THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 23 JULY 1976

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0006015171
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RIPPUB
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T
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18
Document Creation Date: 
August 14, 2016
Document Release Date: 
August 24, 2016
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Publication Date: 
July 23, 1976
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6,==i Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010031-3 The President's Daily Brief July 23, 1976 2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010031-3 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010031-3 Exempt from general declassification scheduk of E.O. 11652 exemption category 5B(11,121.13) declassified only on approval of the Director of Central Intelligence r--mg Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010031-3 ? Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010031-3 July 23, 1976 Table of Contents Lebanon: Palestinian and leftist leaders reportedly do not ex- pect much to come out of their current talks in Damascus with Syrian officials. In Beirut, the Palestinians seem convinced that by delaying a. new American evacuation they car. stave off an anticipated Christian-Syrian assault on west Beirut. (Page 1) Egypt-Iraq: There are more indications that Egypt is still trans- shipping Iraqi arms to Lebanon. (Page 3) USSR-Syria: A Soviet Foreign Ministry official has asserted that there has been no major change in Moscow's relations with Damascus. (Page 4) 25X1 Kenya-Uganda: Nairobi's economic pressure on Uganda is having a serious impact. (Page 5) 25X1 USSR-India: Notes: USSR; Rhodesia; Italy; Bangladesh (Pages 9 and 10) FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010031-3 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 :,CIA-.RDP79T00936A013500010031-3 Beirut, Lebanon 01111Crt411C7g?,,, OCJCZOJSAK EL 13,11vp-, Mediterranean Sea 476 E4 g ?LNI9z1?3,:s.i-N_I%'6'.c.z-7 rearitfiJiL.a_Aaft jartl.eflid PRO ..4,11/44,& Livr-MmAZRAA:jiii 4114! fa:Jr:5713,-r,, a ? " A r - /1 Statute Mile Mime. tir 4g=o0114, :67 RIN-1-DAWAR, , Cl .4...., .- ..A' RSP?,aLD 4 TA.Pjit-f_i.7.-'-rt R M E IL _n51.5 '11PC4,L 4...piNOSIG ERSITRAttelb-- rprp--,4----------,-,--, ? AO R1 trOotrikse iteifimi-,*sW' - < -'"V2-'5?7:e_\0, ;4-7igf 11 BOURJ HAMMOUD1 DEKWANEH a 4. Vng,1 CABAK tisti AP VU gLE:109a7 k.4; Cji -11 117Z t,, p .7Z 4'2 y.....11SR EL BACHA I C 620128 7-76 Declassified in Part -Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19: CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010031-3 -L, J _J Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010031-3 J. V' a IL =J./ a. J. 11 .a.... ? a ? a. LEBANON: A Palestin- ian delegation met yes- terday in Damascus with Syrian Foreign Minister Khaddam. Unconfirmed press reports claim that Palestine Libera- tion Organization chief Yasir Arafat has flown to Damascus to join the talks. The leftist radio is playing up the story that the US is supply- ing arms to the Chris- tians via Israel--a charge that is likely to reinforce fears that the US is masterminding an anticipated Chris- tian-Syrian attack on west Beirut. The delegation apparently carried a proposed agenda for eventual discussions between Arafat and President Asad which included the establishment of a cease-fire under Arab League auspices and the regulation of Palestinian ac- tivity in Lebanon under the re- strictive terms of the Cairo ac- cords. By putting the accords on their agenda, the Palestinians may be signaling Damascus that they are approaching the possibility of negotiations seriously. In pri- vate, Palestinian leaders have long held that the accords have to be renegotiated. The Palestinians and leftists re- portedly do not expect much to come of the talks. They point to the hard line enunciated by Asad in his speech on Tuesday, contin- uing Syrian and Christian military pressure, the apparent acquiescence of other Arab states in Syria's strategy, and what they see as Syrian efforts to undermine Pal- estinian-leftist unity. Their willingness to send a delegation at all probably reflects their growing desperation. The leftists have reacted by mov- ing men and military equipment into the city's coastal district, where the US embassy is located. The embassy assumes that these moves are related to widespread rumors of an imminent seaborne attack. 1 --continued FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010031-3 _ L L._ - Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010031-3 -I. V' J. .11 ?4 ? ..??? a J. 16 ? a.s. a. ? ? The 150-man Saudi Ara- bian contingent of the Arab League security force, which is trying to establish a buffer zone in Beirut, came under fire again yes- terday. The Saudis kept their positions however. 25X1 The Palestinians seem to be con- vinced that by delaying a new American evacuation from Beirut, they will stave off the expected Christian-Syrian attack. The obvious edginess of the Pales- tinians and the leftists who are bracing for an attack on west Bei- rut poses an additional hazard to US attempts to arrange an evacua- tion. If the talks in Damascus go badly for the Palestinians, the possibility of some kind of rash action will grow. Fighting goes on at Tall Zatar, but attention is beginning to shift to the Shia Muslim enclave of Nabaa, which has been shelled by the Christians for the past few days. Elsewhere, in the mountains east of Beirut, the Christians are con- tinuing their offensive with some help from the Syrians. --continued 2 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010031-3 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010031-3 Lebanon A Palestinian Refugee Camp ...Syrian Blockade -- Syrian Line of Advance o Christian Town MEDITERRANEAN SEA BEIRUT Mar E Has. Sabra ShatillaA Arab League Security Force Nahr al-Band Baddad' Tripoli SYR I Christian Controlled Juniyah /ADibayah Ayntulat). Tall Zata ) iar-af-B as ha - BuILLIAaralinah Al Sawfa PredominIntly ulated Leftist Alrhe Sido niksAyn a -Hilw NIia?Nlia of 414. A,No,batiyal Palestinian Alriferd Mar) Llyun Al Khiyam AAItontrolled 1.,,,,ABurf,a1Shamali 4'ff;;t1idliaii Tyre DAMASCUS IA MILES 20 . 620123 7-76 CIA 0 KILOMETERS 20 25X1 Declassified in Part -Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19: CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010031-3 ? Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010031-3 A 'V A %. A. A A 1-..1 A AIL d IA ? A .1. V Al A. The Palestinian air- strip near Nabatiyah in southern Lebanon could possibly be pleted within the week or so. Com - next EGYPT-IRAQ: We have received further indi- cations that Egypt is continuing to trans- ship Iraqi arms to Leba- non. The rudimentary airstrip will be able to handle only one aircraft at a time and apparently will not have any service or refueling capabilities. It could be used by US-built C-130 transports and Soviet-built AN-12 transports. Libya has eight C-130s. Egypt has about 30 AN-12s and Iraq ap- proximately 10. Although an AN-12 probably would have to carry less than a full load of cargo to use the airstrip, a substantial amount of arms could be flown in each day. 25X1 la small plane landed at the airstrip late last week. Neither the type of aircraft nor its cargo was identified, however. We are still uncertain about the length of the other rudimentary strip in southern Lebanon north of Jazzin, but it may only be able to handle light aircraft. Construc- tion could be completed within a month if there are no interruptions. This strip apparently cannot be used at this time. Transport aircraft, presumably carrying arms destined for Leba- nese leftists and Palestinians, have been scheduled for daily flights from Baghdad to Cairo be- tween July 19 and August 9. These flights supplement an airlift of at least 40 other transports that have gone to Cairo since early June. --continued 3 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010031-3 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010031-3 ' MX. 1 ill:. I I1 LILLd1 v .1 #i V USSR-SYRIA: A Soviet Foreign Ministry of- ficial has given a rel- atively calm view of Moscow's relations with Damascus. 25X1 Since the Arab League has rejected Iraqi participation in the peace- keeping force, the group may be made up of Iraqi or Palestinian volunteers recruited to join left- ist and Palestinian forces in Lebanon. Yevgeny Pyrlin, the deputy head of the ministry's Near East divi- sion, told a US embassy officer yesterday that--despite strong differences over Lebanon--there had been no "spectacular" change in Soviet-Syrian ties. He stated, however, that Moscow strongly be- lieves that the Syrians should withdraw from Lebanon. When asked about Soviet military aid to Syria, Pyrlin replied that to his knowl- edge "all military agreements are being fulfilled." On Lebanon, Pyrlin gave the impres- sion that the situation there was beyond Soviet control. He also expressed great concern over the plight of the Palestinian move- ment, which he blamed equally on the current crisis in Lebanon and on the divisions within the PLO. 4 --continued FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010031-3 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010031-3 EAST AFRICA Lake Tana! Blue,v4. jibouti ofAden SUDAN It T1 SOMALIA CENTRAL AFRICAN RE PUBLIC La e.Rudoll Lake, Merl KENYA BU UNDI Bujum Mombasa 0,00. TANZANIA Lake Tanganyika Dar es Salaam Lake Alu.eni ,ZAMBIA Lake' Kyasa 200 Miles 200 Kilometers MOZAMBIQUE Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010031-3 _ - - ...i- t- Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010031-3 VAV AAA LI A A V A-I l?-? A A/ AJ J. V A S.., J. .?. KENYA-UGANDA: Kenya's continuing restrictions on the delivery of pe- troleum supplies and other goods to land- locked Uganda are ap- parently having a seri- ous impact. Pyrlin said that he saw no pros- pect for the revival of the Geneva talks until after the US elections and until the Palestinians get their, house in order. The Ugandan government this week imposed strict fuel rationing and cut off supplies to private citi- zens. 25X1 The Ugandan foreign minis- ter met this week with Saudi and Kuwaiti leaders, presumably to E25X1 for their assistance. 25X1 The Kenyans recognize that Amin's military capabilities probably have been further lim- ited by the economic sanctions and the ap- parent decline in his troops' morale. In public, Amin has adopted a more conciliatory position. This week he has repeatedly disavowed any hostile intentions toward Kenya, most notably in a telegram to Pres- ident Kenyatta. 25X1 --continued 5 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010031-3 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010031-3 A. A. 11. A A A 2.-1 A A VA/ A A./ V A S.. -I. ? Libya, meanwhile, has announced that it will provide Uganda with pe- troleum products, but the supply route re- mains unclear. USSR-INDIA: 25X1 Nairobi is still concerned about reports that Libya has sent Mi- rages and troops to Uganda. We cannot as yet confirm these re- ports, but a Libyan official told journalists in Kuwait last Sunday that Tripoli has provided "war planes" to Kampala and "will not stand silent" if Uganda is attacked. Amin apparently has asked neighbor- ing Tanzania for access through the port of Dar es Salaam. Presi- dent Nyerere, long one of Amin's favorite targets, will be reluc- 25X1 tant to agree to such an arrange- ment. 55X1 25X1 25X1 6 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY --continued Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010031-3 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010031-3 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 7 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY --continued Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010031-3 --1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010031-3 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 8 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY --continued Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010031-3 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-,RDP79T00936A013500010031-3 Lilongw Zambia Southwest Africa(NanM ? Victor, Falls Mozambique Channel Botswana Road Railroad SoCith 620125 7-76 CIA 200 MILES 200 KILOMETERS Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19: CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010031-3 25X1 L._ -I Lj LL.= Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010031-3 A. J. .1/ 1-,?-?? ? ? -?????F 25X1 NOTES 25X1 Rhodesian guerrillas have for the first time carried out an attack along the main highway in western Rhodesia. Press reports indicate the incident took place some 130 kilometers (80 miles) southeast of Victoria Falls. The incident may signal more ex- tensive guerrilla activities in northwestern Rhodesia, as threat- ened recently by Zambian President Kaunda. There have been several reports of guerrillas infiltrating into northwestern Rhodesia from Zambia. The guerrillas have al- ready begun small-scale activity along the Botswanan border. If guerrilla attacks continue on the Victoria Falls highway they could force the Rhodesians to be- gin a defense convoy system like that already in use on the main highways in the southeast. This would further stretch the man- power of Rhodesia's security forces. --continued 9 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010031-3 ' 6 __, Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010031-3 .1 V .1 1 JA-../ A .1 V 1-1 kJ A A-, .La 1VA VAT A-d The Italian Socialist Party leadership meets today to formulate an official position on the proposed government program that prime min- ister - designate Andre- otti discussed with the party yesterday. 25X1 25X1 25X1 4 A Socialist spokesman has hinted that the party would agree to ab- stain in a parliamentary vote of confidence, which could enable Andreotti to form a temporary Chris- tian Democratic minority govern- ment. The Socialists have insisted that they would not cooperate with the Christian Democrats unless the Communists also are involved in some way with the government. The Communists have been refusing to take a position until Andreotti settles on a specific government formula. In putting together his economic program, Andreotti appears to have made a serious effort to secure a benevolent Communist at- titude toward a new government. - 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 10 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010031-3 HimmemoO imenal timmemi )taswasil iftemmi 6.... 16..4 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010031-3 Top Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010031-3