THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 29 SEPTEMBER 1971

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1969-1977
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005992889
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 12
• Document Creation Date: August 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 24, 2016
• Publication Date: September 29, 1971

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The President's Daily Brief
29 September 1971
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Top Secret
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF
29 September 1971
PRINCIPAL DEVELOPMENTS
Some official Chinese explanation for the decision
to curtail National Day celebrations may be avail-
able today. (Page 1)
Additional Vietnamese Communist forces that have been
in Cambodia may be moving back toward the South Viet-
namese border. (Page 2)
In Laos, government soldiers and irregulars have been
consolidating their recent gains on the Plaine des
Jarres and around Paksong. (Page 3)
On Page 4, we discuss the current status of the East
Pakistani refugees in India and of the Bangla Desh
leadership.
Further details on the British decision to expel So-
viet officials accused of espionage are reported on
Page 5,
The Soviets have been warning Arab Communists that
the recently formed Federation of Arab Republics
will pursue a strong anti-Communist line. (Page 6)
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
COMMUNIST CHINA
The official explanation for at least some of
the circumstances behind the regime's decision to
curtail National Day celebrations may be presented
this morning. According to a Canton television an-
nouncement yesterday, the station is scheduled to
carry a special relay from Peking at 7:00 AM Wash-
ington time.
There is tentative evidence that the situation
in China is-having an imPact on the conduct of or-
eign-relations.
China's foreign trade minister
will visit only Prance during his current trip
abroad, canceling previously planned visits to Italy
and Algeria. The: minister left for Paris on 27 Sep-
tember and is expected to remain there until 11 Oc-
tober, when he will return directly to China. Ital-
ian and Algerian officials have not yet. confirmed
the cancellations.
There has been no reported change, however, in
Haile Selassie's scheduled trip to China next week.
He is still expected to arrive on 6 October, and an
advance party has already departed Addis Ababa./
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Communist Military Action Increases in Border Area
551927 9-71 CIA ?
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
SOUTH VIETNAM - CAMBODIA
In addition to the movements by elements of the
North Vietnamese 7th Division into Tay Ninh Province,
reported in The President's Daily Brief yesterday,
a regiment of the Vietnamese CommungE-5th Division
in Cambodia has moved some 11 miles closer to the
South Vietnamese border. Another regiment from the
5th Division may have been involved in the recent
enemy attacks near Krek.
In the recent fighting in the border area, the
Communists have blocked sections of Route 22--the
major north-south land link between Tay Ninh City
and South Vietnamese forces operating near Krek in
Cambodia. General Minh, who commands South Vietnam-
ese forces in this region and the Saigon area, ?has
sent in forces from his 18th Division and from the
Airborne Brigade to reopen this road.
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
LAOS
The town of MUong Soul., west of the Plaine des
Jarres,was retaken in an assault by government ir-
regulars on 24 September and is now being held by
some. 400 Lao Army troops.' Just north of the Plaine,
the irregulars have so far been unsuccessful in
their attempts to reoccupy high ground positions
near Phou San.. According to US pilots,.the.North
Vietnamese appear to be moving increasing amounts
of supplies to forward positions north and east of
the Plaine-.
at least some
Communist units have Lost supplies and
suffered casualties as a result of gov-
ernment air and artillery strikes. These,
together with their losses to Vang Pao's
units on the Plaine, may cause some de-
lays in the Communist dry season opera-
tions.
In southern Laos, government forces are con-
solidating their positions in-And.around Paksong.
They now hold most of the high ground near the town,
but North Vietnamese troops have so.far thwarted
their efforts to open Route 23 between Ban Phak
Kout and Paksong.
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
INDIA-PAKISTAN
According to. Indian data, the influx of refu-
gees from East Pakistan passed the nine million
mark last week. Indian officials and international
observers agree that the current rate is about 30,000
per day, a figure likely to increase with the re-
ceding of flood waters next month.
Recent refugees indicate that the depredations
by Pakistani troops and fighting between the army
and Bengali guerrillas are the major reasons for
their flight. American priests still in the East
wing have stated that large numbers of young men
also have left East Pakistan because of fears of
being recruited into the service of the Martial Law
Administration.
Aid pledged for the refugees now amounts to
slightly over $200 million. Some $114 million has
been channeled through the UN, and $92 million has
been pledged in bilateral arrangements between India
and other governments or by voluntary agencies. US
aid accounts for almost 40 percent of total aid ex-
tended to date.
Factions persist among Bangla Desh politicians
in India, and there appears to be a gap between them-
and the Mukti Bahini guerrillas inside East Pakistan.
This situation in turn is causing some of the Mukti
Bahini to look more favorably on the Moscow-oriented
and other radicals in the movement, who apparently
still operate some guerrilla training camps. India
had hoped to keep radicals in line by encouraging
their participation in the multiparty Bangla Desh
"liberation front" formed earlier this month (see
The President's Daily Brief of 13 September), but
the success of this Indian- tacticis far from as-
sured as the radicals gain new adherents.
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UK USSR
Despite Moscow's strong reaction, London is
determined to follow through on its decision to ex-
pel some 90 Soviet officials and to refuse re-entry
rights to 15 others on espionage charges. The ex-
pulsion had been planned for some months, but London
had delayed because the four-power talks on Berlin
were nearing conclusion. A British Foreign Ministry
official has explained that information provided by
a Soviet defector strengthened the government's re-
solve, and that a newspaper leak on the defector
actually triggered the move.
The British are answering Soviet protests by
saying that any reconsideration-is out of the ques-
tion-and that further pressure on London will only
damage diplomatic relations still further. Should
there_be Soviet:reprisals, the UK is prepared to
respond with even greater restriCtiOns on the still
large Soviet-mission in London. The-British-are
seeking-, however, to divert the Soviets.from retal-
iation by reminding them of broader concerns of
European security and general problems of Anglo-7
Soviet-relations.
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USSR - FEDERATION OF ARAB REPUBLICS
Although the Soviets have in the past
given qualified support to Arab federa-
tion efforts, Moscow has been decidedly
cool to the new grouping. In the wake of
the anti-Communist repression in the Su-
dan, the Soviets are apprehensive about
the ideological hostility of the Federa-
tion's leaders, who could be joined
shortly by Sudanese President Numayri.
They have been particularly wary of
Libya's Qadhafi, who is intensely anti-
Communist. It is doubtful, however, that
the group as a whole has adopted such an
ambitious program against Arab Communists
as the Soviet ambassador alleges.
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NOTES
USSR: Luna 19, launched from Tyuratam yester-
day with an SL-12 booster, is expected to arrive in
the vicinity of the moon on 2 October and will prob-
ably be placed in orbit there.
Chile-USSR: The Chilean arms purchasing mis-
sion that visited the USSR and Eastern Europe last
month is reported to have obtained a Soviet credit
the army, with en-
couragement from Allende, is sufficiently eager to
update its antiquated material and add to its weap-
onry to accept aid from Moscow. Also, Allende ap-
parently has been able to exploit the army's genuine
need for equipment to enhance his standing with the
military and to de-emphasize its dependence on the
West.
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