THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 22 JUNE 1973
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
0005993856
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
T
Document Page Count:
11
Document Creation Date:
August 14, 2016
Document Release Date:
August 24, 2016
Sequence Number:
Case Number:
Publication Date:
June 22, 1973
File:
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DOC_0005993856.pdf | 296.01 KB |
Body:
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The President's Daily Brief
22 June 1973
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,
Exempt from general
declassification schedule of E.O. 11652
exemption category 5B( I ),(2),(3)
declassified only on approval of
the Director of Central Intelligence
/
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THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF
22 June 1973
PRINCIPAL DEVELOPMENTS
The first two SS-11 launch groups being modernized
in the eastern USSR seem likely to return to oper-
ational status this summer. (Page 1)
President Ceausescu's visit to West Germany next
week will be ,a high point in his campaign to estab-
lish Romania's independent position. (Page 2)
Laotian Prime Minister Souvanna is ready to allow
Pathet Lao battalions to be stationed on the out-
skirts of Vientiane and Luang Prabang. (Page 3)
Israeli Finance Minister Sapir visits Washington
next week against a background of generally favor-
able economic trends in Israel. (Page 4)
In his speech last night, Juan Peron implied that
he planned no immediate changes at the top of the
Campora government. (Page 5)
Notes on South Vietnam,
Mexico-Cuba appear on Page 6.
India, and 25X1
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Modernization of SS-11 Groups Continues in Eastern USSR
Deraihnya itjedrovo
/14...g MOSCOW 11 A Kostroma
Kozel'sk Teykovo .Yur'ya
1,ilvomaysk
A El Yoshkar-Ola
)
ICBM Complexes
?
? SS-7, SS-8
o SS-9
A ss-11
1:1 SS-13
4'"gg Location of new?
type silos
iatishchevo .Perm
.Verkhnyaya Saida
...Tyumen'
Kartaly ? ? Shadrinsk
Oombarovskiy 00+4., Omsk
4rNII
.Itatka
Gladkaya
r lmeni Castello? ....m Novosibirsk.
?Usher
0 Aleysk
rs2 Tyuratam Missile . Zhangiztobeo 4...,
Test Center
..drovyanayaAdlovyannaya
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USSR
the first two SS-11 launch groups
undergoing modernization in the eastern
USSR may return to operational status this
summer. These silos probably will be
equipped with the triple warhead variant
of the SS-11--the Mod 3.
Construction began on these ten-silo groups--
one at Drovyanaya and one at Svobodnyy--early this
year. The excavation and trenching
now has been filled in. SS-11 equipment was present
at several of the sites, apparently for checking out
the compatibility of the missile with the modernized
silos.
Construction also continues at at least three
other SS-11 groups in the east.
Work on two additional launch groups may
be about to begin. During the past three
days the Soviets have launched five 55-11s
from Olovyannaya, probably in order to
empty the silos prior to modernization.
1
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ROMANIA
President Ceausescu will begin a four-day visit
to West Germany next week. He will be seeking new
German credits And increased economic ties across
the board. On the political side, he will ask Chan-
cellor Brandt to sign a joint declaration stressing
the equality, independence, and territorial integ-
rity of all states. Romania is pressing for broad
acceptance of these principles as the cornerstone
of future agreements on European security.
Ceausescu's trip, the first by a Romanian
chief of state to West Germany, will be a
high point in his continuing campaign to
establish Romania's independence among
European nations.
The momentum of this effort has grown re-
cently. His visit to Italy last month
boosted bilateral economic cooperation,
and on June 4 Romania became the first
Warsaw Pact member to be granted tariff
preferences by the European Community.
Moreover, the Romanians are encouraged by
the prospects for early achievement of
MFN status with the US.
These agreements, of course, have as much
political as economic significance for the
Romanians. They read them as Western
votes of confidence in Romania's future.
The party plenum this week was Ceausescu's
show. No other presidium member addressed the
gathering, and his wife was elected a full member
of the executive committee. Ceausescu tried to un-
dercut any criticism of the move by stressing the
need to increase the role of women in society and
proposing enlargement of the executive committee to
make room for three more.
2
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LAOS
Prime Minister Souvanna Phouma is prepared to
accept the Communists' demand that three Pathet Lao
battalions be stationed on Vientiane's outskirts
and two others outside Luang Prabang to provide se-
curity for Lao Communist ministers.
Souvanna, who hopes to meet his self-
imposed deadline of July 1 for completion
of a new agreement, is willing to meet
the Communists' demand because he is con-
vinced that they will not compromise. Com-
munist negotiator Phoumi Vongvichit earlier
had rejected government proposals for
either a joint police force in the two
cities or the,use of neutralist troops
provided by both sides.
The Lao Army General Staff disapproves the
arrangement, and Souvanna is trying to bring them
into line. Chief government negotiator Pheng
Phongsavan told the US charge that Souvanna is
ready to use his familiar tactic of threatening to
resign should the generals prove obstinate.
3
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ISRAEL
Finance Minister Sapir, who will be stopping
in Washington next week in the course of an Israeli
bond drive, is expected to talk to US officials
about economic assistance for next year. Tel Aviv
is upset over the announcement of a five-percent
cut in US aid.
The Israeli economy is in good shape, and
the need for economic assistance has di-
minished in recent years. Israel has a
high rate of inflation and a surplus of
imports over exports, but these factors
are outweighed by successful fund raising
abroad, either in the form of bonds--
which technically must be repaid--or out-
right donations and transfers. Such cap-
ital inflows, exclusive of US aid, have
brought the country's balance of payments
into the black.
Between 1970 and the end of 1972, foreign
exchange reserves rose from $425 million
to almost $1.5 billion. Through the end
of May 1973, reserves increased another
$200 million, and the trend is expected
to continue throughout the remainder of
the year. Meanwhile, the growth in Is-
rael's imports has been held down, while
exports are continuing to rise.
4
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ARGENTINA
In his speech to the nation last evening with
a silent President Campora at his side, Peron called
on the military to defend the legally elected gov-
ernment--thus implying that he planned no immediate
changes at the top. The former dictator also an-
nounced that he would soon tour the country.
Further assessment of the airport shoot-
out could nevertheless put a damper on
Peron's plans for public appearances and
cause him to reconsider how much he will
directly involve himself in government
affairs. In the past, he has been almost
paranoid in his fear of an assassination
attempt.
5
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NOTES
South Vietnam: Military action has declined
to one, of the lowest levels since the cease-fire
in January. Most action continues to involve local
units or small groups of regular troops. In Kontum
Province, however, the government has made extensive
use of aircraft, artillery, and infantry in an un-
successful attempt to recapture villages lost two
weeks ago. Most South Vietnamese officials con-
tinue to express pessimism over the outlook for
peace, especially as long as Hanoi's troops remain
in the South, and press commentary is avoiding
any predictions that genuine peace is near.
India: New Delhi plans to buy four million
tons of USgrain for the year ending next March,
according to the minister of agriculture--one mil-
lion more than previously indicated. The minister
has told Ambassador Moynihan that one million tons
must be delivered by September. Meeting this tar-
get will be extremely difficult. The Indian Sup-
ply Mission in Washington has barely begun to act
on orders received last month to begin buying
grain, and the shortage of shipping continues.
Mexico-Cuba:
6
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Top Secret
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