THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 12 OCTOBER 1971

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1969-1977
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005992914
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 7
• Document Creation Date: August 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 24, 2016
• Publication Date: October 12, 1971

Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/18 : CIA-RDP79T00936A010000110001-3
The President's Daily Brief
12 October 1971
27
Top Secret
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/18 : CIA-RDP79T00936A010000110001-3
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF
12 October 1971.
PRINCIPAL DEVELOPMENTS
The Chinese are trying to preserve a facade of nor-
mality despite the behind-the-scenes tension within
the politburo. Lin Piao and "missing" military
leaders remain out of the limelight. (Page 1)
Kosygin's visit to Algeria and Morocco does not alp-
pear to have accomplished much. (Page 2)
Yahya Khan has ended his ban on political activity
in preparation for the elections to fill East Pak-
istan's vacant seats in the national and provincial
assemblies. (Page 3)
Prime Minister. Erim's apparent decision neither to
resign nor to seek an early vote of confidence has
for the moment eased the crisis in Turkey. (Page 4)
Argentine President Lanusse appears to have emerged
politically stronger from last week's unsuccessful
army revolt. (Page 4)
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COMMUNIST CHINA
Despite the behind-the-scenes tension within the
politburo, the Chinese are trying to preserve a
facade of normality, Chou En-Zai 's decision to
accompany Haile Selassie on his visit to Shanghai
on Sunday fits this pattern. The regime also ap-
parently intends to go ahead with the major Canton
Trade Fair scheduled to open on Friday.
Lin Piao and "missing" military leaders remain out
of the limelight. Although recent provincial radio?
broadcasts have referred to "instructions of Vice
Chairman Lin," these appear to be presented in an
historical context. We conclude from these refer-
ences that local authorities are still ignorant of
the leadership situation.
There are still no signs that internal security has
deteriorated in China. The military air stand-down,
however, continues into its 30th day.
1
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USSR - NORTH AFRICA
Kosygin's week-long visit to North Africa does
not appear to have accomplished much. The makeup
of the-delegation accompanying the Soviet premier
indicated that economic matters would dominate the
talks, and in both.Algeria and Morocco Kosygin
called for-an expansion of commercial dealings.
Nevertheless, no new accords were signed in Algiers,
and in Rabat, only relatively unimportant agree-
ments were concluded covering reciprocal port usage
and thesupply of hydroelectric power plant equip-
ment. /
There is no indication that Kosygin's
talks in Algeria have narrowed the polit-
ical differences between Moscow and Al-
giers. The Algerians have been critical
of the Soviets for their support of the
Arab-Israeli cease-fire, and apparently
refused to show any willingness to back
efforts toward a Middle East political
solution. Boumediene, moreover, is on
record demanding the departure of all
foreign naval forces?including Soviet--
from the Mediterranean. Soviet-Algerian
economic relations have been strained by
Algiers' marked preference for Western
expertise and its apparent reluctance to
draw on Soviet credits other than in the
metallurgical field.
2
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
PAKISTAN
Yahya Khan has ended the six-month ban on po-
litical activity in preparation for the elections
in December and January to fill East Pakistan's
vacant seats in the national and provincial assem-
blies. In his proclamation of 10 October, however,
Yahya set stringent limits on activities of parties
and individuals, specifically banning the propaga-
tion of any views "prejudicial to the ideology, in-
tegrity, or security" of Pakistan. Violators will
be subject to fines and to imprisonment up to three
years.
As with other recent steps ostensibly
aimed at improving the domestic political
situation and restoring civilian rule,
this latest action is unlikely to mollify
the disaffected East Pakistanis. The
Awami League, which last year won 167 of
the East's 169 national assembly seats
and 288 of 300 seats in the East wing's
provincial assembly, is still banned.
The disqualification of most Awami League
legislators and the likelihood that many
of the "acceptable" ones will decline to
take their seats, will undermine the le-
gitimacy of the new assemblies in the
eyes of the East Bengalis.
Despite the anticipated widespread Zack
of cooperation by the East Pakistani pop-
ulace in the election process, and the
threat of guerrilla disruptions, as of
now Yahya intends to adhere to his elec-
tion timetable and to convene the assem-
blies shortly thereafter.
3
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
NOTES
Turkey: Prime Minister Erim's apparent deci-
sion neither to resign nor to seek an early vote of
confidence has for the moment eased the crisis caused
by the withdrawal of Justice Party ministers from
the government last week. The leader of the Justice
Party has also helped to calm matters by indicating
that his party's action did not necessarily mean it
would oppose Erim on a confidence motion.r
Argentina: President Lanusse appears to have
emerged politically stronger from last week's unsuc-
cessful army revolt. Lanusse received the full sup-
port of the navy and air force as well as most army
units. He was also endorsed by a large number of
civilian political and labor groups. Lanusse's rap-
prochement with the Peronists and his economic pol-
icies will be sources of continued dissension at
various levels within the military. His success in
putting down the revolt and his popular plan to re-
turn Argentina to elected government in 1973 will,
however, discourage potential coup plotters.
4
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