THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 1 NOVEMBER 1976

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1969-1977
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0006466886
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 10
• Document Creation Date: August 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 24, 2016
• Publication Date: November 1, 1976

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The President's Daily Brief
November 1, 1976
2
7p
Se/2X1
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Exempt from general
declassification scheduk of E 0 11652
exemption category 5E111,12)13)
declassified only on approval of
the Director of Central Intelligence
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
November 1, 1976
Table of Contents
Italy: In a move that could ultimately lead to a weakening of
the government's parliamentary support and to a vote of
confidence, the Christian Democrats have rejected Communist
chief Berlinguer's proposal for a more formal system of
consultation with the Andreotti government. (Page 1)
Lebanon: The military commander of the Arab peacekeeping force
has so far been unable to arrange a meeting among all
parties to the conflict. (Page 2)
Syria-Iraq: Syria has halted its propaganda attacks on Egypt and
the Palestinians and has intensified attacks on Iraq.
(Page 3)
Notes: Rhodesia; USSR-Egypt; EC (Page 4)
LATE ITEM
CHINA: The US liaison office in Peking reports that wall posters
have appeared in Shanghai naming Li Hsien-nien as premier
and Yeh Chien-ying as chief of state. Similar posters pre-
ceded the appointment of new party secretaries in Shanghai.
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
ITALY: Italy's Chris-
tian Democrats over
the weekend rejected
Communist chief Ber-
linguer's proposal for
a more formal system
of consultation with
the Andreotti govern-
ment.
In ruling out Berlin-
guer's proposal, the
Christian Democrats ap-
parently chose to risk
a weakening of their
parliamentary support
rather than give Ber-
linguer a concession
that he might have used
to edge closer to Com-
munist membership in
the government.
The Christian Democrats decided
instead to schedule a parliamen-
tary debate on the government's
austerity program. The vote on
the program could become a vote
of confidence on the government.
Last week Berlinguer termed the
austerity program inadequate and
proposed that economic policy be
set by conferences involving the
government, the Communists, and
the other four parties that sup-
port Andreotti indirectly by ab-
staining in the parliament. The
collegial approach suggested by
Berlinguer would have replaced
the government's practice of hold-
ing informal bilateral talks with
these parties.
Three of the four other parties--
the Socialists, the Social Demo-
crats, and the Republicans--pave
varying degrees of support to
Berlinguer's idea. Only the small
Liberal Party rejected it outright.
By keeping the Communists at arm's
length, the Christian Democrats
may have hindered Berlinguer's
ability to deliver his party's co-
operation in the enactment and im-
plementation of a tough austerity
program. Despite his critical
stance, Berlinguer has generally
supported the government's efforts,
and the Communist unions have played
a decisive role in keeping labor
protests within manageable limits.
--continued
1
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
LEBANON: The military
commander of the Arab
peacekeeping force,
Major General Ghunaym,
tried to arrange a
meeting yesterday among
all parties to the -Leb-
anese conflict, but
right-wing Christian
leaders refused to at-
tend.
There have recently been increas-
ing signs of dissent in the Commu-
nist Party over Berlinguer's pol-
icy of cooperation with the gov-
ernment. If he fails to win fur-
ther concessions from the Chris-
tian Democrats, the Communist
leader may find it more difficult
to counter influential critics
who say that the party is getting
little in return for cooperating
with the Christian Democrats.
Ghunaym had hoped to win general
agreement on a schedule for open-
ing main roads, creating buffer
zones, and deploying the Arab
peacekeeping force.
Phalangist leader Pierre Jumayyil
is publicly urging Christian sup-
port for the efforts of Lebanese
President Sarkis to implement the
latest cease-fire accords. Na-
tional Liberal leader Camille
Shamun, however, opposes the move-
ment of peacekeeping forces into
Christian-controlled areas and is
threatening that the Christian
militias will resume fighting if
leftist and Palestinian forces do
not withdraw from the mountains
southeast of Beirut.
Leaders of the leftist groups that
follow Kamal Jumblatt announced
Friday night that they will not
withdraw from areas they control
unless the Christians pull back
their forces. Neither will they
allow the Arab peacekeeping force
to move into leftist areas until
the Christians permit entry into
their strongholds.
--continued
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620813 11.78
0 KILOMETERS 20
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
So far, only the Pales-
tinians appear to be
withdrawing, and they
are doing so in limited
numbers to Beirut and
to southern Lebanon.
SYRIA-IRAQ: Syria has
halted its propaganda
attacks on Egypt and the
Palestinians, following
the latest reconciliation
with Egypt, and has in-
tensified attacks on
Iraq.
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Palestine Liberation Organization
chief Yasir Arafat has visited
six Arab capitals in the past week
in an effort to maintain his stand-
ing in the aftermath of his conces-
sions at the Riyadh and Cairo meet-
ings.
Syrian media are portraying Iraq,
which condemned the Riyadh accords,
as isolated from the other Arabs
on the Lebanon issue. This propa-
ganda is designed to induce other
Arabs to urge Iraq to limit its
disruptive activities in Lebanon
and to prepare the way for blaming
Baghdad should the present cease-
fire break down.
The Iraqis may now try to block
implementation of the Cairo sum-
mit decisions by encouraging Pal-
estinian extremists and Lebanese
leftists to renew their activity.
The Iraqis may also be tempted to
try to intensify their campaign of
terrorism in Syria. The capabil-
ity of Syrian security services to
respond in kind against Iraq, how-
ever, may persuade Baghdad against
such action.
* * *
3
--continued
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Rhodesia
KA RIBA
LAKE
0
25
5,0
75 Miles
0 25
50
75
Kilometers
Mozambique
1
2A South Africa
20612 11-76
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
The attack by Rhodesian
insurgents on a tourist
hotel near Victoria
Falls on the night of
October 30 points up
the increasing capa-
bility of the guerrillas
to operate in all sec-
tors of Rhodesia.
* Soviet Foreign Minister
Gromyko and Egyptian
Foreign Minister Fahmi
will meet tomorrow or
Wednesday in Sofia,
Bulgaria.
4EC foreign ministers,
meeting in special ses-
sion at The Hague on
Saturday, agreed to
declare a 200-mile
fishing zone effective
January 1.
NOTES
The attack, which occurred near
the border, was probably staged
out of Zambia. Most insurgent
activity heretofore has been along
the border with Mozambique where
the bulk of the guerrillas are
based.
The guerrillas presumably would
regard an attack on a tourist ho-
tel as particularly likely to at-
tract international attention.
This will be the first high-level
meeting between officials of the
two states since Cairo abrogated
the Soviet-Egyptian friendship
treaty last March.
The decision clears the way for
the EC Commission to begin nego-
tiations on fishing agreements
with third countries--most nota-
bly Iceland, Norway, Canada, and
the US, each of which already has
or plans shortly to establish its
own 200-mile zone.
Negotiations with Iceland should
start next week. The UK's bi-
lateral fishing agreement with
Iceland, which ended the cod war,
expires on November 30, and fhe
Commission wants to begin dis-
cussions on a follow-up accord.
4
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Top Secret
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