THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE REVIEW 22-25 AUGUST 1964

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1961-1969
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005959382
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 12
• Document Creation Date: September 16, 2015
• Document Release Date: September 16, 2015
• Publication Date: August 25, 1964

e?"3 taa 12:1 IS= 1=
_ rDeclassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A003000120001-0
?t r?t 1;1
THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE REVIEW
ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
22 ? 25 AUGUST 1964
-113FIEGREI? 50X1
6
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A003000120001-0
LI
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A003000120001-0
1.
25 August 1964
South Vietnam: No further public agita-
tion has been reported since Khanh resigned
as president and rescinded the 16 August pro-
visional constitution.
The Military Revolutionary Council (MRC)
is slated to meet on the morning 6f the 26th
to select a new president and then to dissolve
itself, thus withdrawing the armed forces from
politics.
A bomb explosion in a Saigon hotel after
Khanh's announcement could have been an overt
Viet Cong attempt to exploit the tense situa-
tion, but we have noted no significant step-up
in military activity as yet.
Before the 25 August student and Buddhist
demonstrations forced his hand, Khanh told
Ambassador Taylor that he feared new religious
strife would completely undermine the war
effort. He said he was "attracted" by Buddhist
demands to get rid of the MRC and that General
Khiem had agreed to back his actions if the
US concurred.
Events of the past few days have played
into the hands of militant Buddhist leader Thich
Tri 9,9Ang, who our people in Saigon believe is
the driving force behind the anti-Khanh campaign.
(Cont'd)
Fnr That Praciriant iv - Tnn Sorrpt
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24: CIA-RDP79T00936A003000120001-0
50X1
Gz0 r?n r ; r=7.1 r=n
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A003000120001-0
Khanh told Taylor that all generals, includ-
ing "Big" Minh and the four members of his old
junta, have been asked to take part in tomorrow's
MRC meeting. Khanh seemed to expect that he
himself would again be named to be president.
Khanh said that after the MRC was dissolved,
the president would appoint his cabinet, key
judiciary figures, and a national assembly of
about 300. The cabinet would be mainly civilian.
He also said that Quang had promised to endorse
these actions and would come out publicly
against the Viet Cong. Khanh expects some
trouble from the Dai Viets but thinks that the
party is "manageable."
Minh confided in us that he plans to attend
the MRC meeting and that he had been approached
by Generals Thiem and Thieu about his willing-
ness to accept the presidency. He added that
he would judge the situation at the meeting
before committing himself. If he accepted, he
said, he would "not want the Americans to go
to my subordinates."
2. Cyprus: There is little change in the
picture on the island,and the Cyprus problem
is far from solution.
Turkish Cypriots claim that Makarios :con-
tinues to blockade Turkish communities,and Greek
Cypriot troops have been moving south of Kokkina.
The Turkish Air Force is apparently carrying out
air reconnaissance of northwest Cyprus.
(Cont'd)
C,...
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A003000120001-0
F-71-
 r=-1 r=ni ?-J
? Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24: CIA-RDP79T00936A003000120001-0
In Turkey, qpponents.of Inonu:,s_Cyprus
policy seem to. be .gaining strength. He is
being critiCied by bOth Ili-e-Orrtical and mili-
tary opposition for stopping the air strikes.
Even some leading members of his own party
are charging that the government's policies
are "inadequate."
The Turkish military is apparently not
plotting a coup, probably because it would
rather control the government than overthrow
it.
Criticism of Inonu is coupled with anti-
American sentiment. He is blamed by solri?rarks
for "tolerating American pressure tactics";
others call American "pressure" a "major diplo-
matic blunder." Some military leaders have
voiced their disillusionment with NATO.
Cypriot Foreign Minister Kyprianou post-
poned his scheduled trip to Moscow last Friday
and went instead to Athens on Monday to confer
with Greek officials. Makarios, who has denied
that negotiations with the USSR have been sus-
pended, went to Athens yesterday for talks
which were described as, "decisive" in determin-
ing whether Greece and Cyprus will form a common
policy or go their separate ways,
(Cont'd)
Pesr Mel Presciricuni nniv - Tnn cArrAt
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24: CIA-RDP79T00936A003000120001-0
50X1
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A003000120001-0
CAMEROON
4r
REPUBLIC
OF THE
CONGO
International boundary
? Province boundary
(i) National capital
* Province capital
% Area of Uprising
0 190 290 Miles
0 100 200 Kilometers
GABON
,
CENTRAL
24
AFRICAN REPUBLIC .
e-N?--?-i -------'":"?
...-- .
'
er------? ..../....1\
....1 ?
UELE
14-4-1-'
C./UBANGI./
inena
Bhg!
MOVEN -CONGO
SUDAN
IBALI-ITU
Bunia*
LAKE
ALBERT
UGANDA
Coquilhatville
UVETTE-CE
BRAZZAVILLE
LEOPOLD
1
NTRAL
Inongo
AC LEOPOLD 11
Al- DOMBE
LAC LEOPOLD II)
KWILU
ILL
,Kenge
Kik
SOUTH
.4 MANTIC
OCEAN
MULEL
Rebellio
VCWANGO
1-5
Kabongo
NO D-
NGr-
Manna
\LUALABA
ATANGA-
IENTAL
adotvilte
: ANGANYIKA
itertville
AKE
NGANY1KA
LAKE
UKWA
LAKE
BAN VELBU
A NC 0L A
Provincial boundaries have been interpolated from existing
45814 maps and intellige*e reports. and are not definitive.
isabetkfille
??..
NORTHERN RHODESIA
(U.K.)
2l 640824
50X1
C=2
Declassified in Part- Sanitized Copy App-r-oved for Release 2015/07/24: CIA-RDP79T00936A00300012000111-Z 11
e=1
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A003000120001-0
In the past few days, the Soviet ambassa-
dor in Nicosia has been seeing Makarios. We
think preliminary negotiations for Soviet
assistance may be going on there.
Neither the Greeks
along with the "instant
says it would be unable
on the Cypriots.
nor the Turks
enosis" plan.
to impose the
will go
Athens
proposals
3. Congo: The rebels have begun their advance
downrIVF-Trom Stanleyville and have already
occupied Bumba.
A government force is moving toward the
rebel-held North Katangan capital of Albertville,
and a band of mercenaries is attempting to
rescue about 60-100 Europeans held by the rebels
in the city. The hostages may, however, be
massacred before the mercenaries can arrive.
(Cont'd)
50X1
50X1
50X1
Fnr filo Prociriant Clniv - Tnn Sarrpt
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A003000120001-0
1=0 GQ r?-= r?n r?n r?n 1=7) r i r-771 r i r?n r=m
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24: CIA-RDP79T00936A003000120001-0
Bukavu, still in government hands, is
calm. We have reports, however, that rebel
forces are moving toward the city from Kindu
and Uvira.
Col. Van Der Walle, Tshombe's Belgian
military advisor, has returned to Leopoldville
after discussions in Brussels. /
Tshombe seems to be backing off from his
earlier appeals to other African states for
military assistance, which he made over General
Mobutu's objections. Our ambassador in Leopold-
ville is convinced that Kasavubu will not call
on the OAU for help.
Tshombe is carrying out his order to expel
Brazzaville and Mali nationals,and ill feeling
between Brazzaville and Leopoldville is on the
rise. Anti-US sentiment is also mounting in
Brazzaville where the National Assembly is to
meet in emergency session tomorrow. We expect
it to issue a strong condemnation of the US
and Belgian roles in Leopoldville.
Tutsi refugees in the Congo are said to
be moving toward Rwanda. Rwandan President
Kayibanda told US officials that he has alerted
his troops. A small group of Tutsis tried to
invade Rwanda last night but were beaten off.
For The President Only - Too Secret
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A003000120001-0
C. 1
50X1
=1 f= E=1 F I=
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A003000120001-0
Jordan-Egypt: King Husayn's visit to
Cairo last week made him even more suspicious
of Nasir.
the
Egyptians are maintaining steady pressure on
Husayn to buy Soviet military equipment with
United Arab Command funds.
Even though he is suspicious, Husayn is
likely to acquire some MIG-21 fighters unless
he can get comparable aircraft from the US.
Husayn may be trying
to get a favorable US answer to his arms request.
He may, however, have genuine fears about the
effectiveness of Cairo's subversive activities.
5. Yemen: A shake-up in the regime may be
in the offing.
President Sallal and his right-
hand man Vice President al-Amri reportedly will
be ousted and replaced by more popular members
of the regime. Prime Minister Hamud al-Jaifi
is mentioned as Sallal's successor and the new
Prime Minister would be tribal council head
Ahmad Numan.
Cont 'd)
Fnr Tha Procirirant nrtly - Tnn SPerAt
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A003000120001-0
I 1
50X1
50X1
50X1
50X1
50X1
4= 3 1 r-i-1 t r_--71 =71 r--7-1
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A003000120001-0
Cairo probably goes along with the idea
even though the prospective replacements would
probably be less amenable to Egyptian influence
than their predecessors. The new men have con-
nections which could be used to beef up the
regime's position against the royalists.
6. Zanzibar: More Russians, apparently mili-
tary advisors and their dependents, arrived in
Zanzibar last weekend.
It is rumored that the island of Pemba is
being used by Chinese Communists as a base for
arms deliveries to Burundi and the eastern
Congo. This is quite possible since Pemba is
not particularly well supervised from Zanzibat
and was until last May practically a fief of
three of Zanzibar's most rabid Communists.
Karume visited Pemba last week for the first
time since the January coup.
7. Italy: The death of Italian Communist
Party leader Togliatti will unquestionably touch
off a power struggle in the party hierarchy.
(Cont'd)
Pes.? _ Test, Cete.re0.
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A003000120001-0
50X1
 = _ 1 1? ?1 I- 1 1
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A003000120001-0
We expect Deputy Secretary Luigi Longo to
be named party head tomorrow. We do not think
Longo is strong enough to retain control, how-
ever, and we look for the real struggle for
power to develop after the local elections in
November.
As the fight within the party progresses,
we expect erratic behavior in party policy.
8. Haiti: Duvalier's troops are not having
much success in their efforts to wipe out the
two rebel groups in the south.
9.
Regime forces reportedly are suffering
substantial casualties. They travel in large
groups and are afraid to patrol at night.
Duvalier is also getting increasingly
jittery about further incursions from the Do-
minican Republic,
Cuba(
Few Thom PreaciriAnt Clniv - Tnrt SArrAt
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24: CIA-RDP79T00936A003000120001-0
50X1
50X1
50X1
r"--1 /;E)
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A003000120001-0
10. Afghanistan: Twelve Soviet SA-2 surface-
to-air missilesLshowed up at the Independence
Day parade in Kabul on 23 August.
11.
The Afghans will not be able to operate
the missiles for some time and will continue
to rely on AA and MIG jets for air defense.
Nevertheless the Pakistani ambassador, who is
a retired military officer, was obviously
shaken by the display at the parade.
India: The Indian Communist Party's
"civil disobedience" demonstrations against
rising food prices is in full swing and is to
continue through next Friday.
The party hopes that its effort will result
in a general strike on 7 September, the date
for the reopening of Parliament.
(Cont 'd)
50X1
Fnr The. PrpcirlAnt only - Ton Secret
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A003000120001-0
eEm cam r?n r?n r?n r?n r?n r?, r77-1 f===; Ft==li P=11 1===11 m=m; P=2 EEu
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A003000120001-0
The government can probably control the
demonstrations for the most part, but some
violent clashes are likely to take place between
police and demonstrators.
12. Algeria: Dissidents have now become active
-t,yp First Mili'iarrit whTtn'TECTUagg
the Algiers
For The PreAirlent Only - Too Secret
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A003000120001-0
50X1
50X1