THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE REVIEW 18-20 MARCH 1964

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1961-1969
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005996904
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 10
• Document Creation Date: September 16, 2015
• Document Release Date: September 16, 2015
• Publication Date: March 20, 1964

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THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE REVIEW
ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
18 - 20 MARCH 1964
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20 March 1904
1, Cyprus: The island has returned to a tense
calm after the sporadic outburst of fighting on
Thursday.
These Greek Cypriot attacks on Turkish vil-
lages prompted Ankara to issue another warning of
possible intervention. The Turks know that the
force of their warning is weakened with repetition
and have asked us to tell the Greeks they really
mean it. The Greek Cypriots, however, appear to
push such incidents to the danger point, then
back off before Turkey can move.
The UN force is scheduled to be activated
late Saturday or Sunday. Its three-month assign-
ment begins then.
Besides the Canadians, the Irish, Swedish, and
Finnish contingents are scheduled to arrive next
month. Austria has offered a small medical detach-
ment and Brazil a marine contingent. General Gyani
will return to take command next week.
The Greek Cypriots are trying to make the UN
force look like an arm of the Cyprus Government.
Some Greeks have appeared in light blue helmets,
a la the UN.
Cypriot Foreign Minister Kyprianou is to arrive
in New York today to push Makarios' bid for a
stronger Cypriot role than U Thant's draft plan
calls for. The Turkish Cypriots, on the other hand,
want the Greek police disarmed and the UN to take
over the island's administration.
(Cont'd)
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There have been some Greek Cypriot demon-
strations for union with Greece.
We do not believe these could sit well with
Makarios, who would fear that only his rival Grivas
would benefit. Nevertheless, Kyprianou has told
the US charge he is coming to believe that enosis
and voluntary. Turkish Cypriot emigration might ba
the best solution.
Both Greek and Turkish military activity
remain at a relatively low level.
2. Brazil: One of the touchiest situations we
have yet seen in Brazil appears to be shaping up.
Goulart shows no sign of letting up on his
drive to force radical reforms through congress.
He seems confident he has both popular and
military support to bludgeon congress into doing
his bidding or else. Leftist support is now coa-
lescing behind him.
The opposition is still divided but the con-
sensus in congress is to resist him.
Large antigovernment demonstrations were held
in Sao Paulo and Rio on 19 March, the latter
attended by a half million Brazilians.
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3. , Cambodia - South Vietnam l The glimmer of hope
for a Cambodian.- South Vietnamese reconciliation was
doused by Thursday's border incident.
The Vietnamese hit across the ill-defined bor-
der while chasing a Viet Cong band. A Vietnamese
plane was shot down by a Cambodian aircraft and
crashed in home territory.
Sihanouk is not waiting for the results of
the ICC investigation now under way. ?He has told
a provincial audience there is no hope for talks
with South Vietnam because, as he put it, the US
could depose Khanh at any time. He is also stressing
reports that US military men were involved in the border
affair.
Sihanouk now will probably step up his demand
for a "Geneva" conference
4. South Vietnam: The Communists continue to
make small-scale ?attacks and harass government out-
posts and hamlets.
Government operations last week in the western
delta region used combined air, land, and river
forces to produce generally favorable results.
(Cont'd)
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Khanh has obtained general approval from the
US for the idea of a trip to Paris by Foreign Minister
Quat, who would ?try to set relations between the
two countries back on the track.
If Paris is responsive to feelers being put
out, Quat's trip will be part of a fairly eXtensive
tour which would include Geneva, London, and Wash-
ington.
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planning a coup de force to effect a sweeping change
of personnel held over from former Prime Minister.
Sarit's government.
6.
Top government officials and military officers
have been maneuvering behind the scenes since Sarit's
death on 8 December, and there have been numerous
coup and countercoup rumors.
North Vietnam: Hanoi now appears worried over
airires into North Vietnam.
military vigilance in the Laotian
border area. North Vietnamese regulars are being
sent to protect transport routes there.
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7. Libya: A new Libyan note makes it specific
that negotiations should be aimed at terminating
the base agreement and fixing a date for US evacua-
tion.
Prime Minister Muntassir claims the British
have agreed to start negotiating around 20 April,
and he wants the US to begin the following week..
8. Soviet Gold: This week the USSR offered
another 4;15 tillion worth of gold on the London
market.
Moscow has already delivered $75 million this
year under an agreement made last December. Last
year's total sales were 8520 million, which will
probably be equalled in 1964. The grain purchases
which caused these sales now total $800 million.
9. Cuba-Bloc: We estimate there are now about
1,500 Cubans receiving military training in the
bloc. The training probably involves technical
courses in the operation and maintenance of late
model military equipment. It would follow that
Cuba may be in line for new shipments of Soviet
hardware in the near future.
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10. Cuban Sugar: Havana is trying to prop up
world sugar prices by leaking misleading informa-
tion on Cuban crop prospects.
11.
12.
We think this year's crop will end up about
the same as in 1963. Labor and transportation
problems will probably prevent the increase the
Cubans had hoped for.
South Africa: Government-controlled news media
are playing up the idea of South African withdrawal
from the UN.
Such a move would be good domestic politics
and also eliminate one area in which the government's
foreign critics can put pressure on it. Verwoerd
has already taken his country out of the UN's Food
and Agricultural Organization and the International
Labor Organization. Yesterday the South African
delegation walked out of the World Health Organiza-
tion's annual assembly.
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13. Bolivia-Cuba: Cuba has agreed to furnish Vice
President Juan Lechin money and arms to help his
campaign for the presidency.
14. Panama: The Panamanians are testing sentiment
in the Otib for a foreign ministers' meeting. Mean-
while, anti-Americanism will probably be the key-
note of the Communist-led student congress opening
in Panama on 20 March.
15. British Guiana: Another general strike may
be in the offing.
Jagan is having some success in luring the
sugar workers away from the anti-Jagan Trade Union
Congress. The congress has reacted by threatening
a strike.
Last year, Jagan brought on a damaging and
violent two-and-a-half-month strike by trying to
destroy the congress through legislation.
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16, France:
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USSR: The Keyhole mission of 12-14 March,
the sixth mission employing the KH-7 camera system,
has provided the highest quality photography yet
obtained. Excellent photography was obtained on
portions of nine out of the eighteen ICBM complexes.
The mission contributed a wealth of additional
useful detail on previously photographed activities
and facilities. For example, we can now say with
confidence that at most ICBM sites the missiles
are kept in nearby ready buildings. It would, there-
fore, take three-four hours to ready these missiles
for launching.
We can also see that there are four launch
silos at MRBM hard sites rather than the two or
three we had estimated earlier.
We may conceivably be able to distinguish types
or classes of vehicles in military parks.
The mission confirmed our suspicions that con-
struction work at the anti-misSile missile sites
around Leningrad was stopped last year before com-
pletion.
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