THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE REVIEW 1-3 APRIL 1964

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1961-1969
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005959072
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 11
• Document Creation Date: September 16, 2015
• Document Release Date: September 16, 2015
• Publication Date: April 3, 1964

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THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE REVIEW
ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
1 -3 APRIL 1964
MP-SEC:AF.I
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1.
3 April 1964
Brazil: The general atmosphere following the suc-
cess of the revolution is acceptance and relief.
Goulart and his anti-American brother-in-law
Leonel Brizola have dropped from sight and may already
have left the country. Without Goulart, the leftists
are leaderless and will probably be out of circulation
for awhile. In some states, known Communists were
being rounded up even before the revolution was over.
One of the new government's immediate problems is
to avoid any sign of weakness and uncertainty that
could bring the leftist leaders back into action. The
Communists, cut off from the government, may turn to
civil disorders and sabotage.
A shakeup of government officials and military
commanders is already underway. We cannot yet identify
the individuals who will deal with the crucial ques-
tions of economy, 'finance, and foreign affairs. Maz;..
zilli's first few cabinet appointments, however, are
competent men of a generally moderate pro-Western orien-
tation.
One cloud has appeared on the horizon. A Rio
broadcast has claimed that Sao Paulo Governor de Barros
is threatening to break with the new regime over some
of these appointments.
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2. Sino-Soviet Dispute: The USSR has begun its
counterattack against Peiping.
Pravda has now published a speech made in Feb-
ruary by chief Soviet party theoretician Mikhail Suslov,
advocating open opposition to the "incorrect views and
dangerous actions" of the Chinese leaders. At the same
time Pravda printed a lengthy comment on a "decision"
of the partycalling for "ideological exposure" of the
Chinese.
The Suslov speech indicated that the USSR favors
convening the next meeting of fraternal parties "to
discuss" difficulties that have arisen in the Communist
movement. Pravda also revealed that in a 7 March let-
ter to Peiping the Soviet Union suggested a world con-
ference ?of Communist parties in the fall of this year,
following bilateral talks this spring.
The way is now paved for further anti-Chinese
pronouncements by Khruchchev during his current visit
to Hungary and at his 70th birthday celebration in
Moscow on 17 April.
3. south Vietnam: Khanh is still suspicious of some
military and civiliangroups.
There have also been rumors of friction between
Khanh and Vice Premier Nguyen Ton Roan, leader of the
southern Dai Viet faction. Several other Dai Viet
members are in the cabinet.
(Cont'd)
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The Viet Cong are maintaining a high degree of
pressure on the government throughout the country. Most
of this is in the form of terrorism, harassment, sabo-
tage and propaganda, rather than significant military
attacks.
In the coastal areas of Quang Nai province, secu-
rity conditions are deteriorating. The government has
lost control of much of the area formerly considered
secure. The Viet Cong can
launch coordinated attacks with little warning
and may be able to isolate Quang Nai from its neighbor-
ing provinces. -
The Communists, however, are still focussing most
of their activity in the Mekong Delta, where the gov-
ernment continues to make little headway.
4. Panama: Castroists and Communists may try to
start-MTUnt incidents in Panama this weekend,
amanian revolutionaries are read
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training in Cuba'.
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The banana workers strike, now involving 5,000
workers in the interior of Panama, may provide the op-
portunity. Demonstrations are also planned in Panama
City for this weekend, noting the anniversary of the
unsuccessful Castro-supported rebellion of five years
ago.
If incidents start, the Panamanian national guard
would be spread pretty thin trying to control them.
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5. Cyprus: Makarios and Kuchuk have both told Am-
bassiaUF-Wilkins that they do not believe UN mediator
Tuomioja will be able to get a compromise between the
Greek and Turkish communities. Kuchuk, complaining
bitterly about Ankara's failure to take military action,
claimed that his community now faces either slavery or
emigration.
? Wilkins details Tuomioja's major problems as the
absence of any desire to compromise, the absence of
any Greek-Turkish Cypriot body with which the mediator
can operate, and the three-month time limit on the UN
peacekeeping force.
Makarios, meanwhile, continues to press the UN
peacekeeping force to re-establish freedom of movement
throughout the island.
The movement to bring former underground leader
George Grivas back to Cyprus from Greece seems to be
gaining strength. ? Several thousand Greek students pa-
raded through Nicosia yesterday in his cause. Also, a
special committee to promote his return has been formed
and has scheduled a. demonstration for Monday.
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6. Cyprus-USSA: The Soviets are unhappy about the
resurgence of Cypriot feeling for union with Greece
and are urging Makarios to resist./
/Uhion would mean that the sizeable
Communist party on Cyprus would be subjected to Greece's
strong anti-Communist laws.
7. Soviet Space Shot: The Soviet announcement naming
the 2 April deep space probe "Zond-1" (Sounder-1) and
making no mention of its Venus probe mission appears
to have been a deliberate deception.
The USSR may have issued the deceptive announce-
ment because it detected something wrong with the probe
which will interfere with accomplishment of its mission.
Another possibility--less likely--is that the
USSR is hedging. The Soviets may have decided not to
commit their prestige until they can determine whether
the Venlig mission can be achieved.
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8. British Elections: The Conservatives are trying
to make up their minds over the scheduling of a general
election.
9. tAR-UK-US:? Cairo propaganda is going all out
against the UK, following last week's British retalia-
tory air attack on a Yemeni border fort.
Other Arab states are pitching in and are threaten-
ing to reconsider their relations with the UK. Yemen
has brought the case before the UN Security Council and
is getting Soviet support for a condemnation of the
British.
(Cont
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Clashes could occur, however, if the Egyptians
continue trying to stop arms and ammunition coming to
the Yemeni royalists from the south.
The Egyptians may also encourage an increase in
activity by anti-British elements within the Federation
and Aden city. Some sabotage action might follow.
Meanwhile, the Egyptians have told us that their
radio broadcasters have been ordered to stop all attacks
on the US and U bases, including Wheelus. They appear
to mean it, at east for now.
10. Cuba: Last week's highly-publicized political
triar-Fanted up again the division within the Castro
regime between "new" and "old" Communists. Castro was
himself obliged to intervene to maintain "revolutionary
unity."
His defense of the old-guard Communist leaders
may have put them further in his debt and helped assure
his personal dominance of the regime. It also avoided
what might have developed into an embarrassing contretemps
with Moscow.
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12. Laos: Souvanna Phouma arrived in North Vietnam
on 2 Wina, starting a 10-day visit to Hanoi and Peiping
to garner support for his coalition regime.
His departure will delay a meeting of the three
factions in the Plaine des Jarres. The always diffi-
cult security arrangments have been worked out and a
meeting could take place on his return next week.
Also postponed by the trip is a final decision on
Souvanna's threat to pull his neutralists out of Vien-
tiane. Souvanna has been on the outs recently with
Phoumi, who, the premier charges, is using the coali-
tion as a front for all sorts of nefarious activities.
Souvanna plans to visit Moscow, London, and Paris
later on.
13. Ethiopia-Somalia: Only minor skirmishes have
occurred in the Ogaden border area since the ceasefire
agreement went into effect on 1 April.
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