THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST 27 SEPTEMBER 1962
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
0005995951
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
T
Document Page Count:
10
Document Creation Date:
September 16, 2015
Document Release Date:
September 16, 2015
Sequence Number:
Case Number:
Publication Date:
September 27, 1962
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THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST
ISSUED BYTHE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
27 SEPTEMBER 1962
-1015-5-EGRE.I.
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1. Cuba
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at least two Soviet 50X1
ships delivering MIG- 50X1
21s.. We now estimate there are 25-30
aircraft of this type in Cuba.
b. Our running account of the
number of Soviet dry cargo vessels mak-
ing the voyage to Cuba since mid-July
is now over 100. About 85 of these
probably were carrying military hard-
ware.
c. The Cuban Foreign Office on
Tuesday ordered Western correspondents
to put in for new credentials by today,
telling them that all of Cuba beyond
Havana's city limits is out ?of bounds
except by special permission.
2. Soviet Fishing a. It now appears that the port
Port in Cuba will be located in Havana Bay. The
fact that it will be under continual
observation ?by ships of many nations
strengthens our belief that under pres-
ent circumstances its primary function
will be economic rather than military.
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b. The Cuban fishing fleet--now
very small but in process of expansion--
will use the port along with the Soviets.
The Soviets will also assist in develop-
ing the Cuban fishing industry. Under
the agreement, they are to provide Cuba
with additional food shipments, which
amounts to a continuing commitment to
shoulder Cuba's food problem.
c. Soviet fishing fleet support
vessels (tankers and mother ships) based
at the port could, of course, service
Soviet naval and electronic surveillance
vessels at sea.
d. The timing of the agreements,
along with.Gromyko's denunciation at
the UN of US:policy toward Cuba, reflects
Moscow's desire to avoid any appearance
of retreating in the face of US pro-
nouncements.
3. USSR-Indonesia- a. Moscow seems intent on ex-
Afghanistan tracting a full pound of flesh from
both Djakarta and Kabul in settlement
of past favors.
b. In the case of Indonesia, the
Soviets are said to want their loans
fully repaid on schedule in shipments
of tin, oil, and copra. For Afghanistan,
the price of a new trade agreement is
to be a three-year monopoly on its ex-
ports of karakul skins and rugs.
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4. Congo
c. ?We note that these goods pro-
vide the bulk of hard currency earnings
for the two countries. Neither can af-
ford to give them away in any substan-
tial quantities and expect to keep its
economy on an even keel.
a. Judging by his mood on Tues-
day, U Thant is sorely tempted to throw
in the towel.
b. On that day, he approved a
plan to end the Union?Miniere's pay-
ments to Katanga. He indicated, how-
ever, that he would seek Security Coun-
cil authority to close down the UN's
Congo operations if the plan failed.
c. Tshombe's attitude, in con-
trast,is one of burgeoning confidence.
His contemptuous rejection yesterday
of the UN's protest over the booby trap-
ping of one of its patrols is only the
latest, and a comparatively minor, symp-
tom. He has virtually suspended nego-
tiations for ending Katanga's secessipn,
and is demanding that the UN evacuate
the Elisabethville airfield. ft
d. :Adoula, fed to the gills with
the vagaries of Congolese parliamentar-
ians, is once again talking of throwing
them out and governing by decree. ,Mobutu
will back him and, presumably, the army
will back Mobutu.
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5. Laos
a. We have so far been unable
to turn up any clues as to what Sou-
phannouvong, who has now been in Mos-
cow for three days, is up to.
b. It is evident, however, that
the main purpose of his trip is neither
to obtain treatment for an earache nor
a pleasure junket./
c. In Laos, Souvanna's people
sat down with the Pathet Lao last Fri-
day to thrash out some of their differ-
ences. Both sides went through the
ritual of reaffirming their adherence
to the principles of mutual trust and
understanding, but neither showed much
give when it came to working out ar-
rangements for access into each other's
territory. They plan to wrestle some
more on this one.
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6. Yemen
a. All we have so far on
the coup in Sana are the rebel
radio broadcasts saying that
Mohammed Badr, the Imam of eight
days, has been "got rid of" and that
a "Free Yemeni Republic" has been
established. It is clear, however,
that the anti-monarchical group
has made its move earlier than we
had anticipated in our piece yes-
terday.
b. We do not know whether the
rebellion extends beyond Sana. It is
improbable that the northern tribes
supporting Badr's uncle Hasan (who
is still in New York) will go along,
and a countermove by them or, by
Badr if he is still alive is quite
possible.
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USIB WATCH COMMITTEE MEETING--26 SEPTEMBER 1962
1. The United States Intelligence Board yesterday ap-
proved the weekly report of its Watch Committee.
The report focused attention on the reopening of
the Sino-Soviet dispute, bloc military exercises,
the Sino-Indian border, and on recent events in
Cuba, Berlin, and Southeast Asia.
2. The Committee reaffirmed its conclusion that the
Communist side does not intend in the immediate fu-
ture to initiate direct military action.
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NOTES
A. USSR-Space The Soviets this morning launched from
Tyuratam what appears to be an unmanned, recoverable
earth satellite.
B.
USSR The annual movement of naval vessels to join
the SovietPacific Fleet via the Northerh Sea Route
has been completed. This year's convoy,'composed of
eight submarines and several small surfaad-craft. was
one of the smallest in recent years.
USSR-Bloc Another meeting of-the Bloc's Economic
Coordinating Council, at the deputy premier level,
is under way in Moscow. This one looks like a nuts-
and-bolts session on how to go about economic inte-
gration.
D. North Korea Pyongyang, on Tuesday, put in its two-
cents worth on the Sino-Soviet ideological dispute
with ?a blast at "Tito revisionism" which must have
been well received in Peiping.
E.
Angola The recent appearance of armed Africans in
Luanda and the use of more sophisticated weapons by
the rebels in the countryside indicates that Portu-
gal's Angolan headache ?is getting worse.
F. UN - West New Guinea Indonesia and the Netherlands
are agreeable to the appointment of James Barrington,
former Burmese Ambassador to the US, as the UN ad-
ministrator in West New Guinea during the transfer
of power period. All that is needed is for Barring-
ton to agree.
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G. Ecuador Rightist congressmen have been unable
to go forward with impeachment of Arosemena.
Arosemena is still skating on thin ice, but seems
to be winning grudging admiration, and support,
from the military.
H. India
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