THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE REVIEW 9-12 MAY 1964
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
0005959172
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
T
Document Page Count:
11
Document Creation Date:
September 16, 2015
Document Release Date:
September 16, 2015
Sequence Number:
Case Number:
Publication Date:
May 12, 1964
File:
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Body:
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002600200001-6H. ,,Am
r )
THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE REVIEW
ISSUED BY THE
OENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
9 - 12 MAY 1964
-TOP-SE-CREL
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002600200001-6
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002600200001-6
1.
12 May 1964
Cuba-USSR: It now appears that Cuban
personnel will not be ready to take over all
the Soviet SAM sites on the island before the
latter part of June.
The program in the central sector has
also been lagging. Training in the western
part of the island is further along.'
2. Cuba:
upsurge in counterrevolutionary
activities in central Cuba. There have been
numerous small-scale clashes involving govern-
7ent forces in the past three weeks.
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For The President Only - Top Secret
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002600200001-6
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002600200001-6
3. Cambodia - South Vietnam: Sihanouk has
reacted to last week's border fighting with
a characteristic flurry of diplomatic activity.
He also levels charges of US complicity
in the incidents, charging that US troops
actively participated in these "veritable
acts of war against Cambodia."
Sihanouk has not yet used the incidents
for further approaches to Hanoi or Peiping,
but he may ask for UN
observers to investigate charges that the Viet
Cong use Cambodian soil.
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For The President Only - Top Secret
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002600200001-6
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002600200001-6
4. South Vietnam: A number of leading Khanh
subordinates continue to growl about the way
the general is running things.
One of them, a corps commander in the
northern part of the country, fears that South
Vietnam is becoming "another Laos" with various
political groups unable or unwilling to pull
together even though the military situation
is deteriorating.
Khanh's failure
to delegate authority.
5. Laos: Souvanna, who has been picking
his way carefully between pitfalls to the
right and left, has managed to get through
another week.
The right-wing coup group has been
demanding a wholesale shakeup of his govern-
ment while the Pathet Lao is threatening
political or military retaliation if he does.
He must now deal with the rightist-
dominated National Assembly which is meeting
in Vientiane.
His present plan is to present the
assembly with a scheme for replacing one
dead and two expatriated neutralist ministers.
For The President Only - Top Secret
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6. North Vietnam - Laos:
7. South Korea: Pak may have succeeded in
buying at least a brief period of political
quiet by setting up a new cabinet under Chong
Il-kwon.
Chong, one-time ambassador to the US, is
popular in both political and military quarters.
He is both energetic and astute and will be a
definite improvement over his ineffectual
predecessor.
More importantly from Pak's point of view,
Chong's appointment may serve to mollify the
many opponents of Kim Chong-pil, both in and
out of government.
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For The President Only - Top Secret
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002600200001-6
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002600200001-6
8. Indonesia-Malaysia: Macapagal is sending
former Foreign Minister Lopez to Djakarta and
Kuala Lumpur for still another try at arrang-
ing a meeting with Sukarno and the Tunku.
Sukarno of course will not be hard to
persuade so long as no one insists he with-
draw his guerrillas from Malaysia.
The Tunku has insisted on some give from
Djakarta on this point, however, and will look
skeptically at any proposal Lopez brings.
There has not been a great deal of action
in the Borneo jungles over the past few days,
but the situation remains explosive.
For The President Only - Top Secret
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002600200001-6
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9. Southern Rhodesia:
10.
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These elements have long been deaf to
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Nyasaland.
is due to get full independence--unuer native
rule--in early July.
Malta:
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For The President Only - Top Secret
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002600200001-6
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002600200001-6
11.
Cyprus: The island was quiet over the
weekend and General Gyani, who was beginning
to show the strain, was able to take a day
off for the first time in the 40-odd days he
has been there.
There is little confidence anywhere that
the calm can last. In fact the killing Mon-
day by Turkish Cypriots of two officers of
the Greek Army contingent could set things
off once again. Already ten Turkish Cypriot
hostages have been seized in reprisal.
12. Yemen-Aden:
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For The President Only - Top Secret
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002600200001-6
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002600200001-6
13. Tanganyika-Zanzibar: Nyerere, a concilia-
tor rather than a fighter, is having trouble
bringing the Zanzibaris to heel.
The union is two weeks old, but all
ministries of the supposedly defunct Govern-
ment of Zanzibar are operating as usual and
with Karume's blessing. Information bulletins
bearing the seal of the government are still
appearing on the streets.
Karume, urged on by the many Communists
who still surround him, has been saying that
Zanzibar neither needs nor wants Western aid.
Nyerere has been urging a quick injection of
just such aid for the island.
The thorniest problem between the two
union partners remains East Germany. Nyerere
is deeply committed to the West Germans, while
Karume prefers to stick with East Germany.
(Cont 'd)
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For The President Only - Top Secret
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002600200001-6
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002600200001-6
The East Germans are working overtime in
their efforts to keep their favored position
on the island. Not only have they been push-
ing their case on Zanzibari officialdom, but
they have been conducting a door-to-door cam-
paign to explain how East German aid will
benefit the individual Zanzibaris.
They apparently are confident that they
will either keep their foothold or tear the
union apart.
14. Algeria: Ben Bella
may be about to nationalize Algeria',s petroleum
extraction and distribution facilities, an
act which will not sit well in Paris.
The Algerian leader, who has long been
interested in breaking France's stranglehold
over this and other Algerian businesses, may
have gotten a commitment from Moscow for help
if the French react strongly.
15. West Germany: Chancellor Erhard has
reportedly put aside any idea of a mission
to Moscow for the time being. He is, however,
toying with the idea of sending a Bundestag
delegation there this summer.
16. Khrushchev: There is some indication
that the Soviet premier may stop off in Algiers
after his visit to Egypt. There is also an
outside chance he may visit Addis Ababa as
well.
For The President Only - Top Secret
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002600200001-6
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002600200001-6
17. Panama.: As matters now stand, Robles has
been elected with a plurality of 20,000 in a
total vote of around 300,000. We do not
expect the final official tally to change
this outcome.
So far there has been little evidence of
extensive vote rigging on behalf of Robles.
He seems to have attracted a considerable vote
away from Galindo, and this may have reduced
the need.
The unpredictable Arnulfo Arias, who has
said that he could be beaten only by fraud,
has not yet reacted. He still has the poten-
tial to cause trouble, but some of his fol-
lowers seem to have been intimidated by the way
the National Guard has handled the election
thus far.
For The President Only - Top Secret
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002600200001-6