THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST 20 NOVEMBER 1962
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
0005996049
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
T
Document Page Count:
10
Document Creation Date:
September 16, 2015
Document Release Date:
September 16, 2015
Sequence Number:
Case Number:
Publication Date:
November 20, 1962
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IIEM3 EM3 EEM 7E3 E;5
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THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST
ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
0 NOVEMBER 1962
TO
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Cuba
a. Castro has written U Thant
saying that the IL-28s belong to the
USSR and that if the Soviets want to
Pull them out in order to advance
negotiaticins they are free to do so.
He added, for sour grapes, that the
planes were intended for defense, "but
are outmoded equipment compared to
modern antiaircraft defenses..
b. Castro stressed that while
the decision regarding the IL-28s was
up to Moscow, the decision against
inspection and aerial surveillance
is wholly Cuban and will be maintained.
c. The letter made no reference
to Castro's "five points," which
suggests he has been unable to per-
suade the USSR to make these conditions
for a settlement.
d. The new letter was publicized
by Radio Havana shortly after a
Mikoyan meeting with Castro and top
Cuban officials--the first such
official meeting known to have tran-
spired in two weeks.
e. Moscow has made no comment so
far. Kuznetsov, in talks today, will
probably take the line that, by agreeing
to remove the IL-28s, the USSR is
meeting all US demands and is entitled
to a simultaneous US guarantee not to
invade Cuba,r
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2. Cuba--Bloc
shipping
g. The ban on all commercial
flights contrlues in force.
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Boundary shown on recent Chine. Communist
mops (Where differing from US and Western maps)
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(Where differing from US and Western mops)
Boundary shown on most US and Western mops
Rood or track
? 21020 Spot height (in feet)
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3. India - a. India's retreat from major
Comunist defensive positions at Se La, Walong,
China and Bomdila in the northeast puts the
Chinese Communists in a position to
occupy all the territory they claim in
the Northeast Frontier Agency, just as
they have done in Ladakh.
b. We have no firm reports On
Indian losses in the action, but
apparently they are large and involve
entire units.
c. In Ladakh the only fighting
reported is in the Chushul area. The
airfield there has been under enemy
artillery fire, but at last report the
garrison still holds. Several outposts
have fallen, however, and the road to
Leh--the only overland route to the
rest of India--has been reporte&cut.
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4. Pakistan
a. A high Pakistani official
has, for the first time, publicly voiced
the fear that the Chinese advance
endangers Pakistan. The minister of
communications told reporters on Monday
that a state of emergency might have to
be declared.
b. A special session of the
National Assembly meets tomorrow to
consider the repercussions of the
Indian border war.
c. However, public outcry against
Western arms aid to India has reached
a crescendo, drowning out all other
considerations. Even if Pakistani
leaders begin to see the need to re-
consider their policy on the border
war, their freedom of maneuver is
limited.
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5, North Korea
c. The North Koreans have con-
tinued to receive Soviet military
assistance, but the Chinese may now
try to replace Soviet influence Which
up to now has been predominant..
A. Last year the North Koreans
signed almost identical mutual defense
treaties with Moscow and Peiping.
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6. USSR
a. As expected, Khrushchev has
again resorted to organizational
palliatives to cure chronic economic
b. For purposes of administering
the economy, Khrushchev's new plan, in
effect, will divide the party into two
separate organizations, one for industry
and one for agriculture.
(Cont'd)
mo. .??? me AN.
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c. This parallel system will
obtain at every step of the party's
administrative ladder, will require
a multitude of new organizations and
will entail mass transfers of key
personnel.
d. For the-short run, at least,
it is hard to see how serious dis-
ruption and confusion can be avoided.
.e. Presumably the newly created
USSR Council of the National Economy
will have the job ?of straightening
things out.
,f. ?With the creation of this
organization, the pendulum swings back
to the situation extant before the
industrial reorganization of 1957 when
there was a single organization at the
center responsible for management Of
the entire economy. Apparently there
has been a need to strengthen and
centralize political control over the
economy.
g. ,Something more than Khru-
shchev's passing reference to profit
incentives will be needed before these
are widely adopted.
h. Without these, and with
reduction in authority of local managers
implicit in the new plan, the chances
for improved performance are not great.
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7. Sino-Soviet
'Bloc
a. China has recalled its aMbassa-
dors from Eastern Europe for at least
six months,
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HMS
B. Yemen Our complaints to the UAR about harassment of
our aid people in Taiz may bear fruit. Authorities in
Taiz have been ordered by Sana to do everything necessary
to set things right.
P. Hungary The eighth congress of the Hungarian Communist
party gets under way today. Czechoslovakia is next
(in December).
D. Bulgaria Party boss Zhivkov, as expected, was named
Premier yesterday.
E. Somalia Premier Abdirascid is angling for a brief
unofficial visit to London following his. visit to Wash-
ington next week.
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