THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE REVIEW 19-21 AUGUST 1964

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1961-1969
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005959375
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 14
• Document Creation Date: September 16, 2015
• Document Release Date: September 16, 2015
• Publication Date: August 21, 1964

r=! 13
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24: CIA-RDP79T00936A003000080001-5
THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE REVIEW
ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
19 - 21 AUGUST 1964
TOP-SECRET_
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A003000080001-5
3
r
-- A
F r '! r 1 r c--.i r I 1 __Ir
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24: CIA-RDP79T00936A003000080001-5
21 August 1964
1. Congo: The over-all security situation
has taken a decided turn for the worse.
Serious disorders could occur in Leopold-
ville at any time. Recent massive arrests of
Brazzaville citizens living there, accompanied
by reports of police brutality, have stirred
public resentment against the government. Many
of the Brazzaville citizens belong to the same
tribes as residents of Leopoldville.
The CNL has wanted to start uprisings in
the capital for some time, and the arrests may
have given them an issue. Tshombe has also
had several CNL adherents detained, but there
is no certainty he grabbed the right ones.
If anything big does get under way in the
capital, the security forces would have their
hands full. The city's garrison has been pared
pretty thin by the shipment of units to various
trouble spots throughout the country.
Bukavu is still being held by government
forces, which have fought well. Reinforcements
are Still arriving. The three US officials are
still unaccounted for, and Ambassador Godley
thinks there is little chance the Vi Pe consul
is alive.
(Cont 'd)
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved .for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA.-RDP79T00936A003000080001-5
T.--- 1
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A003000080001-5
Kwilu Province, protected by only one
battalion, may be the next scene of major
action, rebels are closing in
on the capital--Kikwit--garrisoned by a com-
pany and a half.
Tshombe has his mercenaries lined up and
contracts signed. The first contingent re-
portedly will lead an assault on Albertville,
but we are uncertain how soon they will be
ready.
Mobile columns of mercenaries and govern-
ment troops are to be formed
Only disheartening responses have been
made to TshombO's request for military aid from
his African neighbors. Each has been equivocal
in one way or another.
If help is to come, it may have to be
through a meeting of the Organization of African
Unity, and at a snail's pace. Also, the price
may be the ouster of Tshombe or, at the least,
concessions by his regime to leftist Congolese
elements,
2. Ghana-US: We think the chances are good
that Nkrumah may soon make another try to reduce
the US presence and influence in Ghana. Since
1960, crises in US-Ghanaian relations have
usually followed a clash in policies on the
Congo and frustration of Nkrumah's efforts to
support Congolese radicals,
? I . a I???? I. ?
LJ
50X1
50X1
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A003000080001-5
50X1
1
r--
1=1 r -1 LI F1 f -
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A003000080001-5
3. Cyprus: Constantine and Papandreou have
indicated initial approval of Acheson's plan
for immediate enosis with a sizeable Turkish
leased base.
The Greek Cypriots are still the uncertain
factor. General Grivas, who reportedly be-
lieves Athens itself cannot pull off enosis,
is said to be willing to arrange it, but may
be unwilling to make the necessary concessions
to Turkey.
We are also not sure how much, if at all,
the Greek Cypriots are really counting on Soviet
support for their independence.
We still see no signs that the USSR is
about to commit itself to much more than verbal
support of Makarios. Cypriot Foreign Minister
Kyprianou, who was to leave for Moscow on the
21st, now says his departure date is indefinite.
(Cont'd)
Declassified in Part - Sanitized E I I -
Copy .for Release : CIA.-RDP79T00936A003000080001-5
F-71
50X1
50X1
50X1
r 1
r=1 c=4 1 E 1 1 1=1 F
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A003000080001-5
On the island, the cease-fire remains in
effect. Swedish troops intervened on 20 August
to stop fighting near Paphos, where Greek Cyp-
riots are still restricting the flow of supplies
to the Turkish Cypriots.
Makarios may now be trying to use the
blockade to win concessions. He has demanded
the opening of the Nicosia-Kyrenia road, which
runs through the only sizeable area still con-
trolled by the Turkish Cypriots.
In Turkey there have been cutbacks in
some military concentrations--departure of
most aircraft from Incirlik, presumably for
home stations, and of some army units from
Iskenderun--but the capability to intervene is
not significantly reduced.
We have no confirmation of the Greek Cyp-
riot claim that Turkish aircraft overflew
Kokkina on Thursday or of the Turkish Cypriot
charge that Russian-built aircraft overflew
Paphos.
4. USSR-Mediterranean: More than the usual
number of Soviet naval units are now operating
in the Mediterranean.
(Cont 'd)
. _ .
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy?Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIP-RDP79T00936A003000080001-5
HH
50X1
1
rzD r71 L_A r=m r-1 6-1 tEg
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A003000080001-5
5, North Vietnam - Communist China: Hanoi
has gone all out in its air defense, prepara-
tions. Work on shelters is on an around-the-
clock basis, air-raid drills are frequent,
women and children are being evacuated, and
antiaircraft artillery increased
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy?ApprOved.fOr Release 2015/07/24 : CIP-RDP79T00936A003000080001-5
- I
50X1
50X1
50X1
bUAl
50X1
50X1
 1-=71 r r7-n
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A003000080001-5
6. North Vietnam - South Vietnam(
Interrogations of two Viet Cong defectors
and the contents of a captured Viet Cong docu-
ment indicate that the Communists plan a change
in tactics in their forthcoming fall-winter-
spring campaign in the northern part of the
country.
They allegedly will initiate a "war of
annihilation" against the South Vietnamese Air
Force in which everyone in each air force unit
under attack will be killed and the unit erased
from the table of organization. They will
also reportedly start a campaign of "clinging
to the enemy."
Both campaigns, if carried out, would be
a marked departure from typical insurgent hit-
and-run tactics.
7. South Vietnam: Khanh has assured Ambas-
sador?Taylor that the recent reorganization
will not upset the counterinsurgency program.
Changes will be restricted largely to Saigon,
and there will be no purge of the provincial
leadership.
(Cont'd)
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Zopy?ApprOved.fOr Release 2015/07/24 : CIP-RDP79T00936A003000080001-5
17-1
50X1
50X1
LJ
r
r:rrinr I r-it
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A003000080001-5
General Minh has been shunted aside, and
Khanh says the former chief of state will simply
have to accept it.
Meanwhile, Buddhist and student opposition
to the government is on the rise. The Buddhists
are protesting Khanh's failure to punish junior
officials who have allegedly persecuted members
of their faith. They are also disturbed by
reports or rumors that Khanh intends to remove
certain officers whom they favor.
The students, an increasingly potent
political force, are complaining about the
authoritarian character of the new constitution.
8. Tanganyika-Zanzibar: Neyrere's efforts
to insulate Vice Presiae-nt Karume from Com-
munist influence are being set back.
One of Zanzibar's most competent Com-
munists has been appointed junior minister to
Karume. He will control and be present at
Karume 's appointments.
Last week Karume dismissed the chief jus-
tice of Zanzibar, a British expatriate whom
Nyerere himself had appointed.
(Cont'd)
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Eopy?ApprOved.fOr Release 2015/07/24 : CIP-RDP79T00936A003000080001-5
50X6
1 -1
r-1
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A003000080001-5
Karume again publicly avowed Zanzibar's
undying friendship for East Germany on 17 August,
the same day a Chinese Communist trade delega-
tion arrived in Zanzibar.
? 9. British Guiana: The arrest of opposition
leader Forbes Burnham on Monday on charges of
illegal possession of shotgun shells further
confuses the political situation.
Five other members of Burnham's party were
imprisoned the same day, allegedly for complicity
in the recent bombings in Georgetown. As a
result, the East Indian community may rally to
Premier Jagan's cause, dimming prospects for
the new anti-Jagan Justice Party which has begun
to attract East Indians dissatisfied with the
Jagan regime.
(Cont'd)
50X1
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for: Release 2015/07/4 : CIA-RDP79T00936A003000080001-5
I-- -1
L=Ji= E?I -1 E-- ---1 F --J (;=3
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A003000080001-5
10.
11.
We have heard that Jagan's PPP, noting con-
cern about Communism among its East Indian ad-
herents, may tone down its pro-Communist, anti-
US line.
Saudi Arabia - Yemen - UARI
Bolivia: Police sent to wipe out the
guerrillas in Santa Cruz Department early this
month made no headway, and the armed forces
have taken over the counterinsurgency effort.
(Cont 'd)
- -
Declassified in Part - Sanitized -CopYAppr3ved. I I " for Rele'-'ase2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A003000080001-5
50X1
E--_-1
it I E- I r-7,71 r70
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A003000080001-5
12.
e President
that unless the lawlessness is quickly
halted it could reach a point where all opposi-
tion forces would climb on the bandwagon,
including Communists and Castroites, The
efficiency, discipline, and competent leader-
ship of the guerrillas suggest that the govern-
ment's campaign might be a long one.
Indonesia-Malaysia/
13. Cuban Trade
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy ApprovedRelease 2015/07/24 : CIA.-RDP79T00936A003000080001-5
fr
50X1
50X1
50X1
50X1
50X1
t! Eam ta c. 1
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A003000080001-5
14. Cuba
Declassified in Part - Sanitized -o ? . I I
Copy Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A003000080001-5
50X1
50X1
50X1
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A003000080001-5
TOP SECRET
?
USSR - Communist China: A Dreliminarv
examination of
Mission
coverage of the
indicates good
Tyuratam rangehead and reveals
new information on the Chinese Communist atomic
energy program.
Mission 1009 confirms the impression given
by 1006 in early June of intensive construction
and launch activity at Tyuratam. Discovery of
additional large radars under construction at
a complex in Siberia indicates more clearly
that this facility is for satellite tracking.
The coverage of the Lop Nor site in China
provides convincing evidence that this is a
nuclear test site. It could be ready for a
test within a matter of months. Photography
of possible and probable plutonium production
facilities, however, does not yet allow us to
say whether or not they are operational.
TOP SECRET
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A003000080001-5
50X1
50X1
C ? ?
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A003000080001-5 1
50X1
50X1
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A003000080001-5