THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST 23 JUNE 1962

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1961-1969
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005992391
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 7
• Document Creation Date: September 16, 2015
• Document Release Date: September 16, 2015
• Publication Date: June 23, 1962

Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A000800370001-8
THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST
23 JUNE 1962
-1Z515"1-EC-41-E-1_
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l. Communist China
a. ?For the second day running, 50X1
we have failed to detect the deploy-
ment of any new combat units, ground
or air, into the Taiwan Strait area. We
now have/
reason to
believe that an overall commander may
have moved into the area. We also
note a general increase in merchant
marine activity in east and north
China coastal waters since mid-June.
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D. in? ssessing the situation,
our Taipei Embassy doubts that a
large-scale Communist offensive is
imminent
Should
the Communists ultimately launch an
attack, the embassy believes that
Quemoy would be the primary target.
c. Communist propaganda broad-
casts during the past two weeks seem
to be aimed primarily at discouraging
Nationalist operations against the
mainland rather than at whipping up
fervor for offensive action. In any
event, we remain doubtful that the
Communists would have gone to so much
trouble to march their troops up the
hill if they had intended only to
march them back down again.
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2. Laos
3. USSR - North Vietnam
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a. Boun Own submitted his resigna-
tion this morning thus clearing the
way for the installation of the new
government later in the day. Souphan-
nouvong was due to arrive in Vientiane
in time to participate in the ceremonies,
b. Souvanna departs for France to-
morrow, probably not to return until
after the Geneva Conference is buttoned
up. During the interim, we anticipate
an uneasy peace in Laos, but look for
the Pathet Lao to consolidate the areas
it controls. We note, in this connec-
tion, that Pathet Lao forces are con-
tinuing their systematic campaign 50X1
to squeeze Souvanna's forces out of
northwestern Laos.
Ho Chi Minh unexpectedly turned up
in the USSR yesterday. Of all the rea-
sons that might be advanced for this
sudden trip, we believe that the most
likely one is a mutual desire to co-
ordinate policy on South Vietnam and
Laos. Furthermore, we would not be
surprised if Ho's visit resulted in
a call for the international conference
on South Vietnam that both Hanoi and
Peiping hanker for.
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4. India
5. Congo
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The storm that was brewing as a
result of Krishna Menon's determination
to block Finance Minister Desai's bid
to become the Congress Party's deputy
leader in Parliament failed to break
when Harekrushna Nhhatab, a relatively
obscure political figure, was selected
for the job on Thursday without a con-
test. This turn of events was un-
doubtedly due to behind-the-scenes
pulling by Nehru who is anxious to
avoid any public manifestation of a
struggle over the succession. As
matters now stand, Desai is the
nominal number two man in the government
(he presides over the cabinet in Nehru's
absence), 50X1
Menon is working hard 50X1
to develop a politico-military power
base from which he presumably hopes
some day to propel himself into the
prime ministership.
Tshomb4 and Adoula have returned
to the conference table, but it is
questionable whether much progress will
be achieved before Tshomb4 departs for
Elisabethville, probably on Monday.
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6. Iraq
7. Peru
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various anti-regime elemen150X1
are plotting to overthrow Qasim.
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sus- 50X1
pect precautionary move 50X1
to head off any violent reactions which
might develop when it is announced that
Pelaunde has won the election.
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A.
NOTES
B. The Viet Cong has warned Europeans in South Vietnam to carry
identity cards in order to ,distinguish themselves from Americans
Although it is premature to draw a firm conclusion, such a warn-
ing, taken with the recent flurry of grenade bombings in Saigon,
would seem to imply that US personnel are to be a special target
of Communist. harassment.
C. Egyptian Foreign Minister Fawzi, with Cuba in mind, went out
of his way earlier this week to assure Ambassador Badeau that
the upcoming Cairo conference of neutral nations would eschew
polemics and stick strictly to its economic knitting.
D. The Finns are again attempting to persuade us that, they must
provide their forces with modern defensive arms, including
guided missiles, in order to maintain their independence and
fend off future Soviet pressure for military "consultations"
under the 1948 treaty.
E. In Turkey, Inonu has resumed his efforts to form a new govern-
ment, and the prospects for his doing SO sometime in the next
few days now appear,to be fairly good.
F. The Thais, their blood pressure still running high over the
International Court of Justice ruling in favor of Cambodia
on the Preah Vihear temple case, say their decision to boy-
cott both SEATO and the Geneva conference on Laos still
stands.
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I.
DOCUMENT OF INTEREST
THE DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE
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