THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST 29 NOVEMBER 1963

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1961-1969
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005996693
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 10
• Document Creation Date: September 16, 2015
• Document Release Date: September 16, 2015
• Publication Date: November 29, 1963

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THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST
ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
29 NOVEMBER 1963
itrIEGREL
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?
1. USSR
a. TASS has finally announced
that the USSR will conduct another
series of ICBM firings to the Pacific
during the period 2 December to 25
January.
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2. Venezuela
a. President Betancourt is
still determined to hold the national
elections next Sunday, barring a
major catastrophe such as the assas-
sination of one or more of the lead-
ing candidates.
b. A party cannot substitute
a candidate for one who does not
survive until election day; the re-
sults of an election held after an
assassination would be challenged
in the courts and probably voided.
c. Most observers forecast
victory for Raul Leoni of Betancourt's
Democratic Action Party. However,
the election of socialist Jovita
Villalba of the Republican Democratic
Union is a possibility.
d. About one quarter of the
registered voters are youths going
to the polls for the first time,and
they may push up Villalba's total.
Also, the Communists, who have said
they will boycott the elections, may
vote for Villalba if they believe
their votes will defeat Leoni.
e. In any event, the period be-
tween the elections and the inaugura-
tion in March will be a bad one.
The Communist-directed Armed Forces
(Cont'd)
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3. Cuba-
Venezuela
of National Liberation (FALN) will
probably increase their efforts to
disrupt the constitutional succession,
which would be the first in Venezuela's
history.
f. Meanwhile, in the wings are
the military leaders who may well
intervene if they find Betancourt's
successor not to their liking.
g. Though President Betancourt
has taken personal charge of the
search to locate Colonel Chenault
and those responsible for his kid-
napping, his efforts so far have
come to nought. The only news has
been from a Caracas editor who had
a call yesterday morning from a
woman saying the colonel was safe.
a. The discovery of a large
cache of weapons of Cuban origin,
announced by Venezuelan authorities
yesterday, provides the best evidence
to date of major Cuban support for
Latin American subversives.
b. There is definite proof
to support the Venezuelan claim.
The three tons of weapons found in-
clude light automatic rifles and
(Cont'd)
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submachineAguns_identified as among
those shipped to Cuba
in 1959 and 1960. There were also
mortars, bazookas, recoilless rifles,
and ammunition of US manufacture.
d. The cache was found on 1
November on a beach in Falcon State
in the north, scene of the most
active guerrilla effort. The Vene-
zuelan government assumes that the
weapons were sent from Cuba by sea.
e. Caracas will lay formal
charges concerning the arms cache
before a special meeting of Latin
America Foreign Ministers scheduled
for December. After that it will
ask that the Council of the Organi-
zation of American States be con-
voked for consultation on the matter.
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4. Communist a. More information on Chinese
China - Premier Chou En-lai's Afro-Asian
Afro-Asia swing is beginning to leak out.
5. Cuba
c. The press in Mali says Chou,
accompanied by Foreign Affairs Min-
ister Chen Yi, will visit Algeria,
Mali, Ghana, Guinea, Somalia, Tangan-
yika,and Albania.
d. The Pakistanis have just
informed our ambassador that they
have agreed to a state visit by the
two Chinese in mid-February at the
conclusion of their two month tour.
a. Another London shipping
firm says it is willing to abandon
its Cuban trade.
b. Embassy London has been ad-
vised by Papadakis and Co., Ltd.
that it is prepared to keep its two
ships involved in the trade from
calling at Cuban ports when their
charters run out next January.
(Cont'd)
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c. Papadakis is probably ask-
ing the same price for its action as
Basil Mavrolean did recently--removal
of its ships from the US blacklist.
Papadakis operates 19 ships totalling
more than 200,000 tons.
d. Mavrolean's vessels account
for almost half the present British
tonnage calling at Cuban ports and
are the largest single element of
free world shipping to Cuba.
e. The outcome of Mavrolean's
offer is not yet clear.
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NOTES
A. South Korea President-elect Pak Chong-hui's suc-
Cein winning control of the unicameral legisla-
ture in Tuesday's elections improves prospects for
smooth operation of the new constitutional govern-
ment. However, political stability will still de-
pend on Pak's willingness to rule with moderation.
If he interprets this victory as a popular mandate
to pursue an aggressive authoritarian program, he
could provoke serious unrest.
B. Indonesia-Philippines President Sukarno's visit
to Itanila is on again for 4 December, according to
the Indian ambassador to Djakarta. He assumes its
purpose is to head off Philippine recognition of
Malaysia.
C. Thailand Prime Minister Sarit appears to have
taken a further turn for the worst.
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D. Rwanda-Burundi Prompt action by Burundi security
forces appears to have halted the march of tribal
refugees on Rwanda
There is little doubt that the refugees, who carried
only a handful of modern arms and were poorly organ-
ized, would have been badly mauled by Rwandan troops
if they had crossed the frontier.
(Cont'd)
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E. Colombia Pro-Castro members of the terrorist
? National Liberation Army (ELN) are believed respon-
sible for the recent wave of bombings in Colombia's
major cities. At least a dozen bombs were set off
in Bogota during the last two nights. Two of the
? bombs failed to explode after being placed close to
the residence of the chief of US Naval Mission;
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