THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST 25 MARCH 1964

Document Type: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
0005996912
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
13
Document Creation Date: 
September 16, 2015
Document Release Date: 
September 16, 2015
Sequence Number: 
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
March 25, 1964
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. 13 EZM Is= ems) l=9 !3 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/23 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002400280001-0 ? THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST ISSUED BYTHE CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY 25 MARCH 1964 -1.1014--SE-CREL (7; e"' 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/23 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002400280001-0 17 E=I 1=1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/23 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002400280001-0 1. Zanzibar a. The Indian High Commissioner in eastern Africa returned from a week- end visit to Zanzibar convinced that Karume has lost control and that the island will end up as a "Communist showcase." b. His gloomy prediction may not be too wide of the mark. The Communist element, led by Foreign Minister Babu, "a dangerous and intel- ligent man," is chalking up point after point at the expense of Karume and the moderates. d. On the political side, he has been spotting his adherents in Karume's Afro-Shirazi Party, and may shortly be in a position to manipulate that organization. e. As the situation develops, East African leaders, though concerned, have been disinclined to put their hands into the buzzsaw. For The President Only - Top Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/23 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002400280001-0 50X1 50X1 EMS1 EMEa ESM EM3 11 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/23 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002400280001-0 2. Sudan 3. Cyprus a. The attempt of the Abbud government to impose compulsory in- struction in Islam and use of Arabic on southern negroes has sharpened separatist tendencies in the area. b. 'Dissident southerners have in recent months carried out a series of harassing raids on government posts. c. The government has reacted by stepping up its military action against the southerners. a. The island has been quiet so far. today. It is Greek Independence Day, and the Turkish Cypriots, fearing new incidents, are being careful not to provoke the Greek side. (Cont'd) For The President Only - Top Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/23 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002400280001-0 50X1 50X1 50X1 17:=3 r Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/23 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002400280001-0 c. Makarios points out that the British were quite wrong to insist on the Nicosia "green line" and on treat- ing the Turkish community as a legal entity. d. In the Archbishop's view the situation will turn for the better if only the UN force will "cooperate" and the Turkish Cypriots "have con- fidence" in his government. e. This does not seem too likely. The Turkish Cypriots by all reports are despondent and many feel their cause is lost. Few will care to place their trust in their fellow islanders. f. Agreement has been reached all around on the Finn, Tuomioja, as mediator, but little confidence is expressed anywhere that he will be able to make much headway in the three months the force will be on Cyprus. g. If the UN presence does suc- ceed in keeping the island calm, there will still remain immense relief and resettlement problems. Some 50,000 Turkish and 6,000 Greek Cypriots may have been displaced by the fighting since mid-December. For The President Only - Top Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/23 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002400280001-0 50X1 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/23 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002400280001-0 it 50X1 50X1 =1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/23: CIA-RDP79T00936A002400280001771 C= Ci2 r r -1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/23: CIA-RDP79T00936A002400280001-0 4. Sino-Soviet Dispute a. Evidence is piling up that there will be a meeting of East Euro- pean Communist leaders in Moscow during the celebration of Khrushchev's seventieth birthday on 17 April. This is likely to be a big occasion, and other Communist leaders will be in town to pay their respects. b. The Soviet Premier may take advantage of the occasion to push his scheme for a meeting of all Communist leaders to deal with the Chinese. C. A number of parties question the wisdom of such a conference, how- ever, fearing it could have no other result than to widen the breach in the world movement. - d. Most of these would prefer to temporize in the hope that some- thing will turn up to spare all con- cerned further embarrassment. (Cont d) For The President Only - Top Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/23 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002400280001-0 50X1 C=D r-H I?A F72 mm 1=1 17) E 1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/23: CIA-RDP79T00936A002400280001-0 ? 5. ,South Korea g. The Soviets have been moving troops toward the border area 50X1 50X1 5uxi 50X1 a. The students were in the streets again today for further dem- onstrations against the Pak Government's "humiliating diplomacy" toward Japan. They are demanding a policy of no con- cessions to Tokyo. b. A number of students are staging a sit-down strike before the National Assembly and the presidential mansion. So far the police have met the demonstrations with restraint. c. The loser turn out to be Kim in Tokyo trying to in Korean-Japanese in this could well Chong-pil who is break the impasse negotiations. (Cont d) For The President Only - Top Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/23 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002400280001-0 17=3 L=2 ES=1 E:=3 tz; r?t Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/23 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002400280001-0 ? 6. India- Pakistan ? d. Yesterday's demonstrators denounced "national traitors" and asked for Kim's recall. e. Kim has long been a contro- versial figure, and there are many, both in and out of the regime, who would like to break his power and may feel they now have a live issue. a. Though the latest wave of Hindu-Muslim strife seems largely under control for the moment, we are not at all confident that the lid can be kept on for long. b. Each new outburst creates a new group of refugees who find their way to their communal brothers across the borders bearing tales of brutality. These provide in many cases the spark for new outbursts. c. Some 3,000 Hindu refugees from East Pakistan are being processed daily through Calcutta to rehabilitation centers in central India, and the re- cent riots in eastern India will doubt- less send a new wave of Moslem refugees into East Pakistan. (Cont'd) For The President Only - Top Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/23 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002400280001-0 1:=1r f3 1=1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/23 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002400280001-0 ? 7. Laos ? d. Local authorities, beset with their own problems, have generally been slow to react, and order is re- stored only when troops appear on the scene. e. There is also the nagging problem of Kashmir, where yesterday, by Indian accounts, 24 Pakittani soldiers were killed when they crossed the cease- fire line into India. a. A defector has come out of Phong Saly Province, where the Chinese Communists wield special influence, with a story of plans afoot there for a "true neutralist" government with the key portfolios reserved for Pathet Lao bigwigs. b. This strikes us as the sort of contingency plan that might well recommend itself to the Communists, and we had picked up whispers in Janu- ary that something of this nature was in the wind. c. The scheme will probably not be surfaced unless Souvanna bugs out or becomes, in Pathet Lao eyes, ir- retrievably entangled with Phoumi's rightists. d. The Communists would also like to see what can be made ?of a tripartite meeting, preparations for which are still inching along in the usual Lao- tian style. For The President Only - IOD Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/23 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002400280001-0 to",' Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/23: CIA-RDP79T00936A002400280001-0 BANGKOK BUR MA 14 Mar*. CAMBODIA THAILAND Kifala Lumpu MALAYSIA ? RIAUC) ? ISLA141D'S South BRUNEI Scib oh' Celebes Sea N ES 0. StNGAPOYIE P dN T I AN AK" SUMATRA - INDIAN CE EGES OCEAN MALAYSIA 640130 2 0 MILES 1000 34176 `c?.