THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST 2 DECEMBER 1963
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Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
0005996697
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RIPPUB
Original Classification:
T
Document Page Count:
7
Document Creation Date:
September 16, 2015
Document Release Date:
September 16, 2015
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Case Number:
Publication Date:
December 2, 1963
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002100080001-5
THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST
ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
2 DECEMBER 1963
-rOrIEGREL_
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1. Venezuela
a. Over 3,500,000 Venezuelans
(some 96 percent of the electorate)
went to the polls yesterday. An
overwhelming turnout.
b. The process was marred, but
not disrupted, by terrorist activity.
c. Returns are still too frag-
mentary (about 5 percent of the vote
counted so far) even to show trends.
d. The press is currently mak-
ing much of the early 2 to 1 lead
established in Caracas by dark _horse
independent Uslar over Betancourt's
nominee Leoni.
e. This probably does not mean
much. In 1959, Betancourt lost the
capital but won over-all 5 to 1.
2. Egypt -Saudi a. As matters now stand, a re-
Arabia - Yemen sumption of UAR-Saudi hostilities
over Yemen seems a virtual certainty
with the coming of the new year.
(Cont d)
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b. Nasir has done nothing to
fulfill his promise to reduce Egyp-
tian troop strength in Yemen by that
time. It remains around 32,000.
c. We doubt that any plans he
may now have would extend beyond making
some last-minute token removals and
fudging his figures, as he has done
before.
d. He has also thus far sty-
mied efforts for a political solu-
tion being made by the Yemenis them-
selves. They want to broaden the
political base of the government to
include important tribal and religious
elements (not necessarily royalist)
now opposed to Sallal.
e. While this solution still
holds promise, it probably cannot,
under the circumstances, be brought
about soon enough to avert further
clashes.
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3. Syria
a. No one gives the Baathist
regime in Syria much of a chance.
b. Apparently this goes for
Baathist Premier Hafiz himself. He
has moved to neutralize the national
guard, the party's paramilitary arm,
and is casting about for support in
non-Baathist circles and the army.
Though this has put the fat
in the fire, Hafiz probably felt the
move against the guard was his only
chance.
d. It is sort of a smudged
carbon copy of recent Iraqi events.
e.
a group of disgruntled conserva-
tive army officers, very actively
plotting their own coup.
g.
there is a group of pro-
Nasir, anti-Baathist "unionists"
ready to take over
in the confusion.
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4. South Vietnam a. Plans to shuffle the corps
commanders have been called off.
b. We are not entirely sure
why, and suspect there may be some-
thing to reports that the change in
plans was the work of Security Min-
ister Dinh.
c. There has also been public
clamor against General Tri, I Corps
commander, who has a reputation of
being anti-Buddhist and is genuinely
unpopular.
d. The press is saying his re-
assignment was in response to popu-
lar pressure. This is probably
partly true but the allegation has,
at the.same time., made it difficult
to reassign him and much infighting
has developed.
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NOTES
A. Cuba
B. USSR
C. Turkey Prime Minister Inonu hinted in a speech
last nighthe may resign soon. He is meeting today
with leaders of the two parties that pulled out of
his coalition.
D. Senegal Senegalese presidential and legislative
elections took place yesterday amid considerable
rioting (at least ten killed). Renowned poet and
francophile, President Senghor was returned to the
job. He was the only candidate for it.
E. Congo? Congolese Foreign Minister Kalinda-Mabika
has been arrested before he had a chance to resign.
He is being held responsible for allowing a passport
(since revoked) to be issued recently to Tshombe.
The government may have good reason to suspect this
was no mere bureaucratic oversight.
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