CABLE TO DIRECTOR FROM LEOPOLDVILLE RE DOUBT (SANITIZED) WOULD BE BEST CANDIDATE FOR NEXT PREMIER

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Keywords: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
0001366112
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
U
Document Page Count: 
6
Document Creation Date: 
June 24, 2015
Document Release Date: 
November 17, 2011
Sequence Number: 
Case Number: 
F-2009-00914
Publication Date: 
November 3, 1960
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PDF icon DOC_0001366112.pdf323.63 KB
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(b)(1) (b)(3) APPROVED FOR RELEASED DATE: 11-02-2011 CLASSIFFED AMSSAGE FROM ACTION INFO LEOPOLDVILLE NOV 3 16482 6o-. OPERATIONAL IMMEDIATE I N 37'289 OPIM PIR CITE LEOP 0229 1. NO ACTION TAKEN 1XEF PROGRAM VIEW INSTRUCTIONS TO DELAY. 2, ALTHOUGH CANNOT PREDICT NEXT PREMIER, DOUBT BE BEST CANDIDATE, HE RELATIVELY ABLE BY LOCAL STANDARDS BUT LACKS*DRIVE'AND FORCE NECESSARY FOR GOVT CHIEF.. HAVE. ASKED'MANY 1MaAS.~y~ LOCALS,t PERSONNEL AND EUROPEANS WHO. THEY BELIEVE WOULD L BE BEST PREMIER ITED BY MAJORITY AS BEST QUALIFIED -, r AAN ALTHOUGH HE LACKS 'BROAD POLITICAL SUPPORTOT MIGHT PROVIDE ALTERNATE CANDIDATE BUT MANY CONSIDER HIM BE TARR-ED WITH . BELGIAN BRUSH AND LACKING IN COURAGE, REPRODUCTION BY OTHER TH 1. THE ISSUING OFFICE IS PROHIBITED. CoQy No: ,_..__. u~a~y.lrY.tlwVMlr.w.. ns:~N-t.sa-,awL.t:r ~. uw.x.-wv w. r~?r- r...+vavrr.twn.xr...uurwv-ur_~w..~.r...a.v....a.~~.. vr.....~~...x.r.r.......a ..._ LEOP 0229 2 IN 37289 PAG~ STATION BELIEVES PLAN 6UTLINED BY SYG WILL GREATLY HINDER AND COULD.RENDER IMPOSSIBLE REF PLAN.. A. IF UN ASSUMES DE FACTO CONTROL CHAS 4ALI-ItN WILL cho v '"u LOSE ITS PRIMARY' WEAPON, MILL BECOME JUST ANOTHER ANTI LEADER (AND ONE WITH LITTLE INFLUENCE AS HAS NO POLITICAL P^RTY) AND WAY WOULD BE OPEN FOR CIVIL WAR AND/OR. RETURN POWER. IN SHORT, CONTROL CNA ABSOLUTELY ESSENTIA UN CONTROL ARMY WOULD PLAY INTO HANDS FORCES. IF ODYOKE/IVES IN ON THIS POINT, ROGRAM~WILL HAVE LITTLE IF ANY CHANCE IN NEAR FUTURE. IN SUCH CASE IT WOULD BE JUST AS WELL TO SOFT PEDDLE STATION HOPES THIS:WILL-NOT.BE CASES FORIRETURN WILL XY MEAN TROUBLE FOR WEST AND ADVANTAGES FOR BLOC. DESPITE REPORTS BY LIMITED NUMBER JOURNALISTS LEOP, NEITHER STATION.NOR'EMBASSY HAVE REASON BELIEVE_POWER WANING IN ARMY. .ALSO WE DISCOUNT EXAGGERATED STORIES RE CNA'TERRORIST ACTIVITIES. THERE WERE INCIDENTS BUT SOME JOURNALISTS EXAGGERATED THEM OUT OF ALL PROPORTIQNS, B. AGREE POLITICAL REALITIES REQUIRE'SOME FORM CONSTITUTION- ...,_. ....REPRODUCTION 13Y. OTHER THAI THE..ISSUING OFFICE IS PROHISITED.. l.. C. c 0 q;C13 LEOP 0229 IN 3728 PAGE ALITY FOR NEW GOVT. HOWEVER' It. 14E TO BE REALISTIC, MUST BE SATISFIED WITH DEMOCRATIC FACADE ASS WITH POSSIBLE EXCEPTION NIGERIA, THERE NO REAL DEMOCRACY IN. AFRICA AND CONGOLESE ARE LESS.' PREPARED 'THAN MOST AFRICANS FOR TRUE DEMOCRACY. WE HAVE ' AL-TERNAT.I BETWEEN DICTATORSHIP WHICH WOULD BE ANTI-WESTERN AND PRO-WESTERN COALITION WHICH WOULD-TRY GIVE CONGO STABLE IF NOT FULLY DEMOCRATIC GOVT. ' KATANGA DEPUTIES).. ALTHOUGH RECOGNIZE POLITICAL DIFFICULTIES UN WHICH WOULD RESULT IF PREVENTED FROM. ATTENDING.,PARLIAMENT., A HIS PRESENCE'PARLIAMNT WILL ENDANGER OUR PROGRAM.. HE IS A CONVINCING DEMOGOGUE. l1JN PROTECTION PARLIAMENT MEETING.4tJLL REMOVE LEVER STATION PLANNED USE. HAD PLANNED PLACE CNA AROUND PARLIAMENT AGREE PARLIAMENT MEETING MUST BE "FULL".CTHAT IS INCLUDE BUILDING IN EFFORT CONVINCE. HESITANT DEPUTIES IT NOT HEALTHY SUPPORT HOWEVER PLACING UN TROOPS AROUND PARLIAMENT BUILDING IS DEPUTIES ,NOT SOLUTION TO INTIMIDATION PROBLEM. MANY ANTI AFRAID COME LEOP OR AFRAID TAKE OPEN STAND AGAINST AS THEY ?THE;..J .SU(.NG,.OF@1CE, IS PR.OW8TT A..-.,.....:,.,._:. LEOP. 0229 4 IN 2 ..2289 PAGE FEAR MNC AND PSA GOON SQUADS$ A!FTACKS ON FAMILIES IN PROVINCES,. AND DESTRUCTION PROPERTY,' VIEW .THIS, BELIEVE IT ESSENTIAL guTo GUARANTEE ANTI DEPUTIES PROTECTION WHILE LEOPs, PERHAPS RESERVING AND GUARDING-HOTEL FOR THEM. ALSO BELIEVE HE MUST FORM wm CIVILIAN GOON SQUADS TO COUNTER PRO SQUADS; D. OPERATION CANNOT SUCCEED IF WE DO NOT "PUT '?S01t T INGi,_??'; IN' POCKET" OF MANY PEOPLE. 4, -STATION GREATLY CONCERNED BY MANEUVERING '' WITHIN' UN OF NATIONS SUPPORTIN LAND APPARENT COOPERATION IF NOT AC'T'UAL CONNIVANCE' OF DAYAL,? RIKHYE AND OTHER UN PERSONNEL. THEY HAVE MADE NO SECRET OF THEIR DISLIKE AND CONTEMPT FO AND RIKHYE HAS STATED ON MANY OCCASIONS UN OBJECTIVE IS'TO DISARM CNA AND QUOTED BY SOME AMERICAN CORRESPONDENTS AS "LOOKING FOR PRETEXT" EFFECT SAME. ALTHOUGH RECOGNIZE NEED DISCIPLINE.?CNA, RIKHYE AND OTHERS KNOW THIS WOULD E GIVE BIGTRUMP CARD. ?N -APPF S ODYOKE,,BEING.-OUTMANEUVERED, IN UN. OUR POLICY OPPOS BEING BLOCKED BY SMALL GROUP POWERS CLAIMING SPEAK FOR AFRO-ASIAN BLOC,, DESPITE FACT WE REPROOUCT,f.ON...BY.:OTHER.:,7HA91',THE;,J,SSV1.NG...OFF,1%E .-IS_ PROHI BITgD ~.14 ... , CLASSI F! E MESSAGE IN. -37209 PAGE PROVIDING LARGEST PART.FINANCIN(1'FOR.UNOC. EXAMPLE OF-MANEUVERING HLOC IN UN IS EIGHT NATION RESOLUTION TO SEAT CONGOLESE DELEGATION AND RECOMMEND OPENING RARLIAMENT SOONEST. USUN HAS SUGGESTED COMPROMISE RESOLUTION AND EMBASSY.HAS RECOMMENDED DELAY,, FOR IF RESOLUTION-CALLING FOR EARLY OPENING PARLIAMENT PASSED'UNGA, DAYAL COULD AND PROBABLY WOULD USE IT?VORCE OPEN PARLIAMENT WITH UN. TROOPS. , jJCH ACTION' IN -NEAR FUTURE WOULD. ' PROBABLY RETURN [[ 5. IF ODYOKE-CONTINUES"?PtEJRM'IT TAIL TO WAG UN DOG, STATION BELIEVES (PS~tNiVG Il WE WILL SOON FINI BACK. IN SADDLE, BLOC REPS. WILL RETURN IN FORCE; CO NGO WHICH' IS KEY TO CENTRAL AFRICA WILL'FOLLOW CUBAN PATH WITH RESULT THAT ALL' AFRICA MAY SOON FALL UNDER INFLUENCE IF NOT CONTROL OF ANTI-WESTERN NATIONS. tAS61 . e r IN SHORT, STATION BELIEVES.ODYO MUST TAKE STRONGER UN POSITION, EVEN AT.RISK 7. TEMPORARY.LOSS POPULARITY AMONG NEUTRALS. IF WE CONTINUE COMPROMISE AND PER MIT . POLICY WILL FAIL AND ANOTHER- AREA WILL HAVE GONE DOWN THE DRAIN. 6. VIEW.MANEUVERYING WITHIN UN, STATION IN COORDINATION WITH AMBASSADOR WILL ENDEAVOR IMPLEMENT REF PLAN. IF UN WERE NOT IN ACT, OUTCOME WOULD BE'IN THE BAG. HOWEVER, VIEW UN PRESENCE AND ROLE, HQS MUST REALIZE THIS UPHILL FIGHT. 7. REGRET DELAY REPLY DIR 09026 (OUT '8717). rlAS NOT ABLE OBTAIN NIACT 1112 UNTIL (PORTION GARBLED-BEING SERVICED) NOV. . 8. AMBASSADOR READ CLEAR TEXT -VERSION %" S MESSAGE AND FULLY APPROVESHE REPRODUCTIQN BY-OTHER TH&N THE ISSUING OFFICE IS PROHIBITED TO POWERe .ALSO.A COMPROMISE WHICH'WEAKENED 4 FORCES-WOUD DEFINITELY UNDERMINE STATION RELATIONS WITH LEOP 0229 LEOP0229- tiv RECEIVED ROGER CHANNEL MESSAGE AUTHORIZING REF PLAN 3 NOV. WILL COORDINATE ALL STEPS PLAN PER DIR O9643 (OUT 8 E2~.~$).. `W"' j **.Queried- whether any action was taken on Leopoldville's prior to receiptdc request-to hold off,,on..the proposal. C/S comment: * Station's suggested program of .22 October fo e t END OF ME SAGE *** :iAuthorized Leopoldville to implement program of support to ** ** OCR/CS notified 'of reference.