NICARAGUA: EXPORT OF THE REVOLUTION--THE FIRST SIX MONTHS

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP85T00287R000100060002-5
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
5
Document Creation Date: 
December 22, 2016
Document Release Date: 
August 17, 2010
Sequence Number: 
2
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
January 11, 1980
Content Type: 
MEMO
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PDF icon CIA-RDP85T00287R000100060002-5.pdf184.63 KB
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Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/08/17: CIA-RDP85T00287R000100060002-5 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY NATIONAL FOREIGN ASSESSMENT CENTER 11 January 1980 MEMORANDUM NICARAGUA: Export of the Revolution--The First Six Months military governments in Honduras and Guatemala. ment has been tempered by their preoccupation with the domestic situation in Nicaragua, confusion over political events in El Salvador, and a wish to placate antipathetic The Sandinistas have trained, advised, and probably armed revolutionaries in El Salvador, although their commit- ing its neighbors. Shortly before the fall of former President Somoza last July, a faction\of the Sandinista National Liberation Front (FSLN)--prompted by revolutionary zeal and their debt to Salvadoran leftists--pledged arms, combat personnel, and financial aid to the Salvadoran Popular Liberation Forces (FPL). From that point, however, Nicaragua's support ebbed and flowed according to circumstances. By October, the hostility of the Honduran military and renewed counterrevolu- tionary activities by former members of the Nicaraguan National Guard in Honduras made Managua increasingly uneasy about a military threat from the north and wary of antagoniz- 1 s memorandwn wa r7juee.F. by the National :-ecurity Adviser to the President. It responds to specific questions and is not intended to be an analysis of the ove.?adl Nicer ua-Clhba relationship. It was pre- pared by the Latin American Division of the Office of Political Analysis under the direction of the National Intelligence Officer for Latin America, and coordinated t,ith the Clandestine Service. Information in this rdworandko reflects information available through it January. ON-FILE NSC RELEASE INSTRUCTIONS APPLY PA-M-80-10017 Duplicate of C05513782: RIP Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/08/17: CIA-RDP85T00287R000100060002-5 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/08/17: CIA-RDP85T00287R000100060002-5 With the advent of a reformist regime in El Salvador in mid-October, the FSL.N--together with Cuban representatives-- cautioned Salvadoran militants that continued violence might ? provoke a rightist countercoup and suggested that radical groups unify in planning for future insurrection. the FSLN may have promised to supply arms and po i t i signed a nonaggression underscoring their ace previous week of 19 .,;a Salvadoran revolut iona in spite 01 the F" and the uncertainties with regard to Central the presence Salv,vioran leftist erg mot .--- i t not all --el t revolutionaries who o Sandinista 1d3adcrb. support. Meanwhile, the Nicaraguans pact with the new Salvadoran junta, ommodation by citing their arrest the ndinistas who were enroute to join ries. SLN's pragmatic reactions to events-- that to some extent guide its policy American revolutionaries it has provided military instruction November) of small numbers of FSLN advisers with dni2;lt ions; we believe, however, that hose were probably inveterate Nicaraguan lunteured without the approval of That the FPL ter the first time began using bazooka- like weapon) and I.araeli-made Galil rifles in September lends credibility Nicaragua has also furnished arms--including Chinese-made- grenade launchers--to Salvadoran leftists. Last month, $500,000 worth of arms reportedly arrived in Honduras aboard three light aircraft to be smuggled by the Honduran Communist Party (PCH) to groups in El Salvador and Guatemala. believe that the arms transited Nicaragua, that Cuba was directly involved in planning the operation,. and that additional shipments will be forthcoming. Moreover, a recently formed, FPL-led leftist alliance--which intends to intensify the struggle against the junta--will reportedly receive additional military assistance from Nicaragua and Cuba. Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/08/17: CIA-RDP85T00287R000100060002-5 25X1 2oAii Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/08/17: CIA-RDP85T00287R000100060002-5 1'h' V~ is little to indicate that the FSLN is ass.isting insurc,c.,Noi t. mechani.ims for insurgents in El Salvador. Arms of unspecified, but probably Cuban, origin are reportedly being flown into ttor.durns And delivered by land to El Salvador and Guatemala. Cuba continues its attempts to purchase a small Costa Rican air char. }er service which will be used for clandestine materiel deliveries to leftist forces in El Salvador and el sowhero in Central America. I:i mid-Decembt*r, Castro reportedly repeated his advice to leftist: in El Sri )vador to stop harassing the junta and unit(. in preparation for a seizure of power this year. Castro' s persona ? intervention indicates that Havana sees El Salvador as the most promising target for further revolutionary gains in Central Amer-Ica. 3 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/08/17: CIA-RDP85T00287R000100060002-5 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/08/17: CIA-RDP85T00287R000100060002-5 Original Requestor 1 NIO/LA 3 Production Staff 3 PPG 3 Bruce Clarke 1 C/LA 1 DC/LA 1 Cathy for country file 1 analyst 1 OPA/Front. Office one for each branch Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/08/17: CIA-RDP85T00287R000100060002-5 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/08/17: CIA-RDP85T00287R000100060002-5 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/08/17: CIA-RDP85T00287R000100060002-5