NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE DAILY SATURDAY 3 OCTOBER 1981

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP83T00296R000400030013-1
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: December 22, 2016
• Document Release Date: December 30, 2008
• Sequence Number: 13
• Publication Date: October 3, 1981
• Content Type: REPORT

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Intelligence
National Intelligence Daily
Saturday
3 October 1981
Top Secret
CO NID 81-231JX
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Poland: Walesa's Victory . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
Iran-Iraq: Increased Airstrikes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
Angola: Search for More Aid . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4
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POLAND: Walesa's Victory
Solidarity chief WaZesa's narrow margin of victory in the
balloting yesterday for chairmanship of the union probably will
require him to vau more on to the views of the organization's
militants. 25X1
Walesa received just 55 percent of the vote, with
his three militant rivals splitting the other valid bal-
lots. Early in the congress, his supporters had been
predicting that Walesa would win an overwhelming victory,
with as much as 80 percent of the votes. Although
Walesa's immediate reaction was to warn those who voted
against him that "they should not stand too much in my
way," this appears to be an emotional response rather
than a realistic appraisal of his future relations with
the militants. 25X1
resolution on workers' self-management.
action on the lengthy union platform and vote on the
Congress organizers reportedly are aiming for ad-
journment tomorrow, but the delegates must still complete
a two-day party Central Committee ses- 25X1
sion is scheduled to begin tomorrow r ably to assess
the results of the congress. 25X1
3 October 1981 25X1
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The government evidently is seeking Libyan
assistance and is reexamining its policies toward Namibian and
Angolan insurgents following the recent South African military
incursion into southern Angola.
President dos Santos is in Libya, where he probably
is putting the finishing touches on an aid request
Dos Santos also plans to visit France
and several East European countries.
The ruling Popular
Movement's dominant faction--a mulatto-led group that
also includes dos Santos, a black--reportedly wants to
increase assistance to SWAPO. The rival black national-
ist faction wants the government to reduce support to
SWAPO in the hope that South Africa would curtail its
military attacks into Angola.
Angolan leaders also re- 25X1
mained divided over how to deal with Jonas Savimbi's
South African - backed insurgents in southern and central
Angola.
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