NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE SURVEY 21; YUGOSLAVIA; THE SOCIETY

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APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009106/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE SURVEY PUBLICATIONS The basic unit of the NIS is the General Survey, which is now published in a bound -iiy- chapter format so that topics of greater per- ishability can be updated on an individual basis. These chapters� Country Profile, The Society, Government and Politics, The Economy, Military Geog- raphy, Transportation and Telecommunications, Armed Forces, Science, and Intelligence and Security, provide the primary NIS coverage. Some chapters, particularly Science and Inteiligence and Security, that are not pertinent to all countries, are produced selectively. For small countries requiring only minimal NIS treatment, ine General Survey coverage may be bound into one volume. Supplementing the Genera! Survey is the NIS Basic Intelligence Fact book, a ready reference publication that semiannually updates key sta- tistical data found in the Survey. An unclassified edition of the factbook omits some details on the economy, the defense forces, and the intelligence and security organizations. Although detailed sections on many topics were part of the NIS Program, pruduction of these sections has been phased out. Those pre- viously produced will continue to be available as long as the major portion of the study is considered valid. A quarterly listing of all active NIS units is published in the Inventory of Available NIS Publications, which is also bound into the concurrent classified FactLook. The Inventory lists all NIS units by area name and number and includes classification and date of issue; it thus facilitates the ordering of NIS units as well as their filing, cataloging, and utilization. Initial dissemination, additional copies of NIS units, or separate chapters of the General Surveys can be obtained directly or through liaison channels from the Central intelligence Agency. The General Survey is prepared for the NIS by the Central Intelligence Agency and the Defense Intelligence Agency under the general direction of the NIS Committee. It is coordinated, edited, published, and dissemi- nated by the Central Intelligence Agency. WARNING This document contains information affecting the national defense of the United States, within the meaning of title 18, sections 793 and 794 of the US code, as amender. Its transmission or revelation of its contents to or receipt by an unauthorized person is ohibited by law. CLASSIFIED BY 019641. EXEMPT FROM GENERAL DECLASSIFI- CATION SCHEDULE OF E. O. 11652 EXEMPTION CATEGORIES 5B (1). (2), (3). DECLASSIFIED ONLY ON APPROVAL OF THE DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE. APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 WARNING The NIS is National Intelligence and may not be re- leased or shown to representatives of any foreign govern- ment or international body except by specific authorization of the Director of Central Intelligence in accordance with the provisions of National Security Council Intelligence Di- rective No. 1. For NIS containing unclassified material, however, the portions so marked may be made available for official pur- poses to foreign nationals and nongovernment personnel prc vided no attribution is made to National Intelligence or the National Intelligence Survey. Subsections and graphics are individually classified according to content. Classification /control d- signa- tions are: (U /OU) Unclassified /For Official Use Only (C) Confidential (S) Secret APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 Page 1. Ethnic and linguistic divisions 4 Roman Catholic Slovenes and Croats in north and west, Orthodox Serbs in south; interwar dominance of Serbian monarchy; minority Albanians, Montenegrins and Macedonians; five official languages Serbo- Croatian, Slo- venian, Macedonian, Albanian, Hungarian; somewhat parallel religious grouping �Roman Catholic, Orthodox, Islamic. 2. Physical characteristics 4 Predominance of tall, long legged, large -boned Dinaric, distinctions on basis of nationality, decline of distinguishing characteristics. 3. Social classes Traditional peasant societies, interwar ascend- ancy of upper middle class, Communist so- ciety of broad occupation groups� peasants and workers, independent craftsmen, white collar workers including party elite at top of social pyramid; corelation of social mobility and education together with connections. 4. The family and the individual Decline of extended patriarchal system under pressures of urbanization, industrialization, and Communist ideology; Communist em- phasis on legal and social equality of sexes; weakening effect of social insurance and wider education on traditional family interdepen- dence; marriage and divorce. 5. Social values and attitudes Gradual supplanting of traditional peasant value ,.ystem by single industrial culture; per- sistence of localism, nationalism, ethnic and religious separatism as opposed to identity as Yugoslav; economic rivalries as they affect centralism; national attitudes of Croats, Serbs, Slovenes, Montenegrins, :.facedonians; respect for Tito; attitudes toward the West, the U.S.S.R., Germany, the United States, im- mediate neighbors; support for nonalignment and peaceful coexistence, acceptance of com- pulsory military sex,/ice and civil defense. C. Populetior 1971 census total of 20,504,516; rank in size and density among selected countries; distribution by republic, nationality, urban -rural area, age and sex; comparatively low median age and corre- spondingly high dependency ratio; birth rate, death rate, life expectancy; emigration; growth, fertility rate; agricultural overpopulation, em- ployment in the West; absence of government population program. 5 7 9 D. Manpower and labor 15 1. Manpower resources 15 Economically active population, labor force participation rate; distribution by sex, age; labor reserve. ii Page 2. Characteristics of the labor force 16 Proportions in agriculture and industry; cate- gories of agricultural workers; categories in industry, crafts, services; efforts to upgrade qualifications; increasing registered unemploy- ment, problem of joblessness among educated youth and young professionals; underemploy- ment. 3. Labor productivity and working conditions 20 Comparatively low rate by European stand- ards, both in agriculture and industry; eco- nomic reform measures for industry, chronic absenteeism, work stoppages; shift from 48- to 42 -hour workweek, working hours, leave and holidays, standards of health and safety; occupational mobility; employment abroad, especially West Germany. 4. Income 22 Disparity between living levels in countryside and cities despite overall improvement since 1950; variety, quality, and cost of goods com- pared with selected countries; per capita in- come; sources of income, rising money wages, average income by economic sector, narrow differentials for skill; fringe benefits. 5. Labor problems 23 Low productivity; unemployment; 1965 eco- nomic reform plan; wage level. 6. Labor legislation 24 Comparative lack of central controls for Communist country; Basic Law on Labor Relations; major role of workers councils and other self management organs. 7. Labor relations 24 The workers council, its central role in self management, its composition and operation, its varying success as an institution; the Confederation of Trade Unions of Yugoslavia, its changing role, its relationship to the Com- munist party, its espousal of workers' interests; general organization of trade unions and their use as an instrument of foreign policy. E. Living conditions and social problems 26 1. Levels of living 26 Marked variations, regional, urban and rural; housing; considerable overall improveme.t since World War II; persisting discontent. 2. Social welfare 27 All- encompassing insurance system health, old age, survivors, disability, children's allow- ances, unemployment; coverage in relation to socioeconomic groups; organization and fi- nancing on principle of self- management; benefits, inadequacies, abuses; communal services for juvenile delinquents, orphans, and children of the employed; federal re- spcnsibility for disabled veterans. APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 Page 3. Social problems 30 Disruption of traditional values by indus- trialization, socialization, urban migration; incidence of crime, increasing economic crime, growth of juvenile delinquency; alcoholism. 4. Drugs and narcotics 31 Yugoslavia a leading European producer of raw opium, smuggling of d..:gs considered the major problem, increasing drug use. F Health 32 1. Medical care 32 Local administration of public health services, wide range in quality and availability; pro- liferation of small institutions with limited resources; national health policy, health in- surance; death rate, infant mortality; numbers of hospitals, beds, physicians; medical train- ing, effects of socialization of medicine; dis- ease control, major diseases, animal diseases; harmful insects and plants. 2. Sanitation 34 Inadequacy of food handling, waste disposal, and water procurement methods, ineffectual enforcement of legislation; pollution; avail- ability of personnel and facilities in event of national disaster. 3. Nutrition 35 Adequate caloric but deficient protein intake, general monotony of diet; dependence on food imports, food crops and meat production. G. Religion 35 1. Religious influence and the state 35 Strong religious roots, geographic distribu- tion of dominant religions; greater religious freedom than under other Communist regimes, corelation with permissiveness toward national particularism, early postwar drive against religious influence Communist- dominated re- ligious associations, continuing restrictions on religious expression; data on religious affilia- tion, numbers of churches, mosques, schools, publications. 2. The Orthodox churches 38 Serbian Orthodox Church, Macedonian Ortho- dox Church. 3. Roman Catholicism 39 Most influential and organizationally cohesive religious force, link with Croatian national identity, improved church -state relations, in- creasing religious and social activities, goals and problems. Page 4. Islam 40 Strongest in tradition, exemplary modus vivendi with regime, organization, dependence on state subsidy. H. Education 41 1. General 41 Extension of schooling to masses, mediocre academic accomplishments, education an im- portant determinant in social stratification; ideology's permeation of curriculum, general acceptance of socialism; corelation of eco- nomic and educational opportunity; decen- tralized administration and financing. 2. The educational system 42 Decentralization and self- management, uneven achievement of prescribed standards, flexi- bility; major components and their purposes voluntary preschool, 8 -year primary, sec- ondary, skilled- worker and vocational, higher education; emphasis on vocational training; types of higher education and generally open admissions; adult education. 3. Problems in education 45 Shortages of space, equipment, and trained personnel; poor teaching methods, restlessness of teachers, teacher training, low pay for teachers; inequality of educational oppor- tunity. 4. Students and their attitudes 46 Orgr;nized extracurricular activities designed to indoctrinate youth in socialist self- manage- ment Pioneers, Federation of Youth of Yugoslavia, Federation of Students of Yugo- slavia; three degrees of political involvement of youth �small number of disillusioned and impatient radicals, larger number of politically active moderates, the most numerous apa- thetic; inflation, lack of job opportunities, and party control as causes of frustration; drug use. I. Artistic and cultural expression 47 1. The regime and culture 47 Open, diverse cultural life; postwar Com- munist efforts to regiment culture toward so- cialist realism and relaxation of the policy after 1948, continued regime control usually through indirect pressure, instances of im- prisonment for antiregime expressions; prob- lems of allowing but controlling culturr.l nationalism. 2. Cultural heritage and traditions 49 Foreign influences superimposed on separate native forms: Latin- oriented Croats, Byzan- tine- oriented Serbs and Macedonians. iii APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP0l- 00707R000200100032 -0 Page 3. Literature 50 Two groups of writers: radicals opposed to one -party system, those seeking change within the system; novelists, poets. 4. Music and the theater 51 Foreign influence on music, preference for folk music; nationalist expression in drama. 5. Art and architecture 52 World giant sculptor Mestrovic; prominence of primitive art; functionalism of Belgrade's postwar construction, baroque architecture in Zagreb and Ljubljana. J. Public information 53 1. The media, the regime, and the public 53 Relatively high standard of objectivity and depth of coverage; general self censorship but ultimate control by regime; direct rela- tionship of impact of media and education and economic level. Page 2. Press and publishing 55 Principal daily newspapers and their circula- tion; weeklies; orientation of periodicals to- ward specialized leadership; minority and for- eign publications; official agency TANJUG, Pres Servis; book publishing; small library network; museums. 3. Motion pictures, radio, and television 57 Modestly successful motion picture industry; growth of radiobroadcasting, emergence of illegal stations; TV expansion program. 4. Propaganda 58 Regime device for furthering objectives indoctrination, discipline; party monopoly; attenticn to foreign audiences; importance of radio, the press, and television, other chan- nels; propaganda from abroad. K. Selected bibliography 61 Glossary 62 iv Page FIGURES 37 Major religious publications (table) Page Urban and rural schools (photos) Fig. 1 Yugoslav ethnic types photos) 5 Fig. 19 Fig. 2 Comparative population density Fig. ID 45 (chart) 9 Fig. 21 Fig. 3 Population density map) 10 Fi,. 22 Fig. 4 Population by administrative division 51 Mestrovic sculptures (photos) 52 (table) 11 Fig. 23 Fig. 5 Distribution of ethnic population (Photo) 53 (chart) 12 Fig. 24 Fig. 6 Population pyramid by age and sex 56 Fig. 25 (chart) 12 Fig. 26 Fig. 7 Births and deaths chart) 13 Fig. 27 Fig. 8 Vital rates (chart) 13 Fig. 9 Population increase since 1921 (table) 14 Fig. 28 Fig. 10 Age -sex distribution, population and Fig. 29 labor force chart) 16 Fig. 11 Labor force by economic sector and Fig. 30 sex (chart) 1.6 Fig. 12 Employment by level of training Fig. 31 (table) 18 Fig. 32 Fig. 13 Registered unemployment (table) 19 Fig. 14 Comparative levels of living (chart) 26 Fig. 33 Fig. 15 Modern stores and peasant market (Photos) 29 Fig. 34 Fig. 16 Urban and village housing (photos).. 29 Fig. 17 Principal causes of deaths table) 34 Fig. 35 Fig. 18 Distribution of major religions (snap) 36 iv APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP0l- 00707R000200100032 -0 Page Religious architecture photos) 37 Major religious publications (table) 38 Urban and rural schools (photos) 43 Structure of educational system (chart) 44 Schools, enrollment, and teachers, 1969/70 (table) 45 Zagreb University photo) 46 Village cultural center photo) 48 Venetian cultural influence photo) 50 Avant garde theater, Belgrade (photo) 51 Mestrovic sculptures (photos) 52 Contemporary painter Martin Jonas (Photos) 52 Museum of modern art, Belgrade (Photo) 53 Principal :laily newspapers (table) 55 Publication of books by language, 1967 (table) 56 Library reading room at workers' university photo) 57 Radiobroadcasts to and from Yugoslavia (chart) 59 Soviet House of Culture, Belgrade (Photo) 60 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP0l- 00707R000200100032 -0 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 The Society A. Introduction (U /OU) The Yugoslav tcderat on� ethnically, culturally, and socially the most heterogenous European country west of the U.S.S.R. �is a microcosm of the complexity derived from the varied cultural influences and (livers(- political heritage of the whole Balkan Peninsula. The Yugoslav (South Slav) state, created only after the disintegration of the Austro Hungarian Empire and the realignment of great power influence in the Balkans following World War 1, is a compact of convenience for five South Slav nationalities who form the majority of the population and several non- Slavic peoples who make up it minority. As it result, differences of religion, language, and culture divide its peoples, each of whom is jealous of its separate identity while seeking to play an important role in the difficult process of forging it United, Yugoslav national consciousness. Yugoslavia's unit\� is thus fragile, and dependent largely on the realization by each of its constitoent nationalities that, in striving to insure the viability of the Yugoslav state, each must forego some of its traditional, nationa,' separateness in order to retain the greater measure of it. Of the five major nationalities in Yugoslavia, the Serbs, Groats, and Slovenes are numerically the largest three. None, however, constitutes it majority of the more than 20 million iit habitatits. The peoples of Yugoslavia are for the most part the descendants of Slavic tribes who migrated into the Balkans sometime in the sixth and seventh centuries A.D. In the course of the subseque -it 200 years they were converted to Christianity. but at no time prior to 1918 was the territory of present -clay Yugoslavia politically united. Even fit(- introduction of Christianity to the Balkans divided the South Slays: the Croats and Slovenes were converted by ernisaries from Rome, while the Serbs, Macedonians, and Montenegrins fell under the influence of missionaries from Byzantium. The schism that divided the Chrk world in 105.1 formalized This division, swing seeds of hatred, controversy, and conflict which still plague the Yugoslav state. Since the church was the main vehicle for cultural advaoecment in the Middle Ages, the S)uth Slays developed along the respective lines of the two Christian worlds. To the north and west, the Slovenes and Croats identified with and participated in the cultural development of Western Europe. To the south and east, the Montenegrin, Serb, and Macedonian cultural expression followed the Byzantine model before falli-tg prey to five centuries of oppressive. Turkish domination and tale introduction of [slam into an already div isive religious context. "There were brief moments of glory for some of the South Slays. From 92.3 to 1102 an independent Croatia flowered before being acquired by the king of Hungary. The Serbs' national consciousness was fostered when in 1219 the�, were granted an independent archbishopric. A short -lived Serbian state blossomed in the 11th century before falling under Turkish rule after the Battle of Kosovo in 1359. The only people to avoid foreign domination at any time were those Serbs who migrated to the barren Black Mountains Montenegro. The region's isolated, nearly inaccessible mountain valleys helped the Montenegrins to resist Turkish assaults, and to maintain their independence. The struggle for Ldependence which led to the emergence of modern Yugoslavia began with the spread of nationalism in intellect aal circles in the late 15th century, and was given impetus by Napoleon's creation of the Illyrian provinces in the early 1800's. Two uprisings in Belgrade, in 180.1 and 1515, dra watically awakened Seri) nationalism. It was not until 1867, however, that Turkish garrisons were withdrawn and the Serbian princedom became truly independent. From then until the first World War, nationalism was the driving force in the region. The peasants of Bosnia and Hercegovina (Boma i Hercegovina) rose in revolt against the Turks in 1875. The result, however, was only the exchange of one foreign master for another, as Turkish rule in Bosnia and Hercegovina gave way to domination by the Austro Hungarian Empire. Nationalism in both Montenegro (Crna Gora) and Serbia (Serbija) burgeoned in the early 20th century as both states Joined forces on several occasions to push the Turks farther south and to annex large chunks of Balkan APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 territory. Secret patriotic organizations fanned national passions and fostered cultural separatism, while working cLuulestincly to amuse the Slav minorities in Austria- Hungan. The fateful result of this activity was the assassination of Austrian Archduke Francis Ferdinand in Sarajevo on 28 June 1914 sparking the first World War. Serbia paid dearly in material and human losses during the ensuing conflict. but by the end of 1918 the� Serb heroic resistance had won for them the admiration of other South Slav peoples. On 1 December 1918, after more than it thousand years of separate cultural, social, all(] Politil�al development, the Kingdom of tilt� Serbs, Croats. and Slovenes was officially proclaimed under the Serbian royal house. The task of governing these diverse and discordant South Slays proved difficult. "Throughout the interwar period, internal frictions arising from differences of political experience and tradition were aggravated by the system of centralized control from Belgrade. 'I'll( Croats in particular came to loathe the interbcllum period as a time of subjugation to the Serbs. Less numerous than the Serbs bolt highly Westernized, they felt culturally superior to the rest of the South Slays (save the Slovenes) and strenuously resisted subordination to the Serbian royal house. The resulting pent -up hostility and frustration burst forth "ith it vengeance during the Nazi occupation. Front 1941 to the close of World War 11, hundreds of thonsands of Croats and Serbs lost their lives its a bloody civil war fought under the banners of fascism and corn lit unism that often as not merely masked traditional ethnic hatreds. In the inurediate postwar period the Communist regime's federalist solution to the thorny nationality problem met with considerable success. Since the early 1960�x, however, national antagonisms have increased. Fuelcd b economic rivalries, the nationality issue has spurted to the fore in the midst of the nations political and economic decentralization. In 1971, excessive :roatian nationalism presented the regime with one of its most serious challenges, which was hro:ight under control only after 'Tito's personal intervention. Postwar attempts to force Yugoslav social an(1 c�ultnral life into it unified doctrinaire C:onummist pattern failed. The main reason for this wits the regimes concessions to nationalism and traditional cultiirai values in order to garner popular support after Yugoslavia's ouster from tile Communist Information Bureau (Continfornt) in raid- 19 -18. From 19.18 on, Belgrade began to develop its own particular brand of socialism, known as self- managetnent. Self- nnuaage- ment as it social and political system is based on a wide a range of \%orkers councils, Noosing committees, and a Lost of other local organizations which manage such rmaiters as economic and cultural development. e(leicatiora, public health, social insurance, and public entertainment. Because it is based on it philosophy of decentralized, local control and development, self management fosters rather than dinninishes existing regionalism and social and cultural individualism. Despite the regime's successes in industrialization and modernization since 1945, there are still too many Yugoslays for the economy to support at levels of living as high as those in Western Europe. Ac'c'ording to preliminary 1971 census figures, the population surpassed 20.5 trillion and it is growing at a rate exceeding that of most European countries. Surplus labor is it problem of the regime, and temporary economic emigration is encouraged. Some 900,000 Yugoslays were working abroad in 1971, most in Western Europe. Living conditions in Yugoslavia vary sharply from one region to the next, according to degree of urbanization and industrialization, and the educa- tional an(1 cultural background of the area's population. The northern republics of Slovenia (Sloyenija) and Croatia I I ry it t s kit and the metropolitan region of Belgrade in Serbia enjoy higher standards of living than the southern regions or rural areas. One main goal of the regimes current 5 -year plan is to develop the nation's backward areas sufficiently to reduce the gap between the nation's "have." and "have -not" regions. Rapid urbanization has accompanied industrializa- tion, and labor has left the land at a rapid pace since 1945, creating, increasing social problems in the expanding cities. 'Traditional family relationships and Peasant values have been undermined, with no firm new value system to take their place. As it result of the regime's abandonment of farm collectivization in 1953, agriculture Kati remained the stronghold of private enterprise; about 855( of the arable land is privately held. Economic development has helped create it new socialist middle class, composed of party functionaries, technicians, and business officials. "Tile upper echelons of this new white collar group have more and more become it social elite running the country. Entrance into tile circle is based on political and business connections and, inc�rcasingly, on education. The deal :iml for better educated personnel to run an ever more complex economy and society has created tension between the new young technocrats, who believe their talent is undertitilized. and older party and partisan veterans, who believe that tbey canned APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 their present economic and social status by their sacrifices during World War If. Added to this has been it student ootery against arbitrary exercise of bureaucratic authority, and calls for snore educational opportunity for working -class students as a means of !oosenueg the grip of the new class' on society. Advances in education have been achieved by making free schooling available to all, encouraging higher education, and granting government stipends and scholarships. The educational system, however, has tended to become divided between the children of the workers and peasants, who receive vocational education, and the children of the white- collar group, who have greater opportunity for lih4her education. Overcrowded classrooms and lack of qualified teachers, moreover, limit educational achievement. As it result, the educational system has done little to break down social elitism and distinctions both between developed and uuderdevelcolicd parts of the country and between rural and urban areas. Although the regime attempts to limit the influence of religion and, where possible, to use it for its own purposes, there is religious freedom in the sense that public worship is permitted .without undue interference. Religious crganizations are officially discouraged from taking stands on important public issues at variance with the state, and the regime has consisten!IN opposed the Ronan Catholic Church*s attempts to expand religious education or to move into the areas of social welfare and health. Relations with the Vatican. hove %er. have improved dramatically since 1970, when the I loly So-(- and Belgrade upgraded their relations to the ambassadorial level. In early 1971 President Tito became the first head of state of a Communist nation to pay an official visit to the Vatican. After 27 years in power, the Communists i,re still trying to forge it viable nation out of a crazy -quilt patching together of peoples, traditions, and interests, and to persuade the country's constituent ethnic groups to set aside their regional prejudices in the interests of the Yugoslav federation. 'Though the obstacles are great and success is by no means assured, there has been progress toward this goal. i\-loreover, Yugoslavia's postwar history has taught its friends and adversaries alike that the Yugoslav social and political systene, albeit lacking order, has it resiliency that has repeatedly enabled it to resolve both domestic strains and foreign crises. The flexibility of the Yugoslav system in absorbing open criticism and adjusting to domestic complaints has led to the development of it relatively open society, and constitutes it major step forward in giving Yugoslavia that element of democracy which makes it at once a maverick and an attraction within the Communist world. B. Structure and characteristics of the society (U /OU) Deep rooted nationality rivalries have hindered the development of a unified Yugoslav society since the creation of the country at the end of World s't'ar 1. Despite the total control of the state achieved after World War 11 by the Communist regime, it too has been handicapped in creating a unified Yugoslav national consciousness by the country's diverse political, ethnic, cultural, and religious heritage. In the late 1960's and early 1970's the interplay of government reforms, continuing econoric problems, and it freer political climate has led to a resurgence of bitter regional and nationality animosities. These antagonisms threaten President Tito's efforts to build a system that will promote the survival of an independent, nonaligned Yugoslavia once he leaves the scene. In its simplest forts, the Yugoslav nationality problem has been a struggle by non- Serbians against Serbian hegemony. During the period between the two World Wars, the ruling Serbian monarchy viewed and treated ngoslavia as an extension of greater Serbia. The resentment, suspicion, and distrust resulting fie,n; that experience still color the outlook of many other Yugoslav nationalities �nost particularly the Croats. Following their victory at the close of World War 11, the Communists erroneously believed that the establishment of six republics and two provinces� roughly corresponding to the boundaries of Yugoslavia's major nationality groupings �would solve the nationalitic problem. The problem did in fact fade (hiring the first two decades of Communist rule, but this was more the result of Tito's personal leadership than of the system of Communist rule. Yugoslavia thus remains it crazy quilt of ethnic, linguistic, religious, and cultural differences. No other country in Europe is as ethnically heterogeneous. The sharp differences in the regional topography of Yugoslavia have accentuated and abetted the divisions of the people. A precipitous mountain range extending the entire length of the country aggravated the linguistic and religious differences by inhibiting cultural interchange. The sanee geographic factors also resulted in large disparities in the standard of living between the inhabitants of the mountainous regions of .3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 the center and south and the more prosperous population of the fertile valleys and plains of the north arid northwest. 1. Ethnic and linguistic divisions To the north and west are the Roman Catholic Slovenes and Croats, whose historical ties to the West and to economically more advanced societies nurture feelings of superiority. To th-. south and east are the generally Orthodox Serbs around whom modern Yugoslavia was formed. The Serbian monarchy dominated the interwar Yugoslav Government, and the Serbs �mane of whom feel they have been chosen to play a leading role in the nation �still predominate in the federal administration. T!ere are the Albanians in Kosovo, who demand national recognition and equality; Montenegrins, with a proud and independ- ent past all their own; and Macedonians, whose national consciousness has been encouraged in Tito's Yugoslavia. The Orthodox Serbs and Macedonians, as well as the Muslim Albanians, share a Byzantine heritage that helped them endure 500 gars of Turkish rule. Muslim culture and religion took firm root in Bosnia, where a large Muslim Slav minority remains. Divisions of culture and religion are reinforced by those of language. Yugoslavia has five official languages, of which three are Slavic� Serbo- Croatian, Slovenian, and Macedonian �and two non Slavic� Alhanian and Hungarian. Language, along with religion, is one of the main determinants of nationality among the South Slays. Serbo Croatian, which serves as the lingua franca of the country, is spoken in Serbia, Croatia, Montenegro, arid Bosnia and Hercegovina. Slovenian is used mainly in Slovenia and Macedonian in Macedonia. Albanian is spoken in the autonomous province of Kosovo, while Hungarian is widely used in the autonomous province of Vojvodina. All the major Slavic languages are related closely enough to enable people from different parts of the country to understand each other. Although Serbian aril Croatian are not identical aril are written in different alphabets Cyrillic for Serbian and Latin for Croatian� Serbo- Croatian is considered one language by terms of an agreement signed in the city of Novi Sad in 195 -1. It has many dialects which are mutually understandable aril which shade into one another. The Yugoslav Constitution makes Serbo- Croatian the language of military command, drill, arid administra- tion, although all the languages of Yugoslavia are recognized as equal and training manuals are printed in all five languages. Non Serbo Croatian soldiers may use their native languages when off duty, but they are required to learn enough Serbo- Croatian to cyan out their military duties. Slovenian, which is more akin to Russian than is Serbo- Croatian, is written in the Latin alphabet. Macedonian, close to Bulgaria- arid written in Cyrillic, was before World War II considered a Bulgarian dialect even in Yugoslavia. Bulgaria and Greece, with their ;Macedonian minorities, still do not recognize Macedonian as a separate language. Since the establishment of the Macedonian republic bj� the Yugoslav Communist regime in 1944, the Yugoslays have pushed for international recognition of the language as part of their campaign to legitimatize the e- +stence of a separate Macedoni, n nationality and culture. The use of minority languages is guaranteed by the Constitution, but only in the late 1960's was this principle gradually put into practice. In 1966 the faculty of law and economics in Pristina, the capital of heavily Albanian Kosovo province, began lecturing in Albanian. In addition, the Communist party in Kosovo has been urging major Yugoslav universities to offer entrance examinations in the Albanian language. Simultaneous translation of Yugoslav Federal Assembly debates into Serbo Croatian, Slovenian, and Macedonian started only in M67; previously only Serbo- Croatian Fad been used. Religion is an equally divisive factor in Yugoslavia's complex nationality problem. The distribution of the religious groups throughout the country is based upon the historical development of the various peoples and is a factor that divides the population. The majority of the population professes to belong to one of the several religious groups: Serbian Orthodox, Roman Catholic, and Islamic. Traditionally, being a Serb meant being of the lr`rthodox faith and being a Croat meant being a Roman Catholic. 2. Fhysical characteristics Most Yugoslays belong to the Dinaric racial classification. They are the most numerous and characteristic inhabitants of the Dinaric zone, which stretches from southern Germany to the Greece horder and which centers in Bosnia and Hercegovina and Montenegro. The typical Dinaric is tall, long legged, and large boned but spare. His head is small to moderate in size, wide in relation to length and flat in the portion behind the ears; the nose is prominent and the jaw line, wide. Pigmentation and hair color vary from light to dark, and eyes are usually blue or brown. Each South Slav nationality possesses its own distinct physical characteristics presumably acquired APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 through long isolation and inbreeding. Slovenes are almost indistinguishable from their Austrian neighbors. They are of medium height (5'6 have moderately round heads with rather small facial dimensions, and are predominantly blond. Croats have similar pigmentation, but are taller (5'7') on the average. Serbs are about the same as Croats in their bodv measurements, but differ by having a preponderance of high broad heads with faces smaller but longer than those of the Slovenes. The Serbs usually have a high rooted nose with a downward turning tip, and are darker than the Croats. Macedonians usually are shorter and more darkly pigmented than other Yugoslays, although some are tall and blond. The range of physical types is shown in Figure 1. The Montenegrins are probably the tallest and heaviest people in Europe, with a mean stature of 5'10" and an average weight of 160 pounds for a -40- year -old man. They are thickset, with large frames, wide shoulders and deep chests. beads are correspondingly large. 'Their faces have it rugged bony structure, heavy jaws, and it large hawklike, beaked nose. They are lighter in color than Serbs and darker than Slovenes. Intermarriage and large -scale migration within the country have made many of Yugoslavia's national minorities almost indistinguishable from the surrounding population. Peculiarities of dress have declined as a method of identifying various nationalities as relatively uniform dress has spread front the cities to the countryside. 3. Social classes FIGURE 1. Yugoslav ethnic types (C) Se: bion Macedonian Before World War 11, the various national divisions that make up Yugoslavia were predominantly peasant societies. The 'Turkish conquest in the 14th century wiped out the old Serbian nobility. The petty landed gentry who survived this slaughter eventually became the nucleus around which a new nobility emerged in the early 18(x) s� eventually to form the Serbian monarchy and aristocracy in the interwar period. The native aristocracy in Slovenia and Croatia virtually Croatian disappeared under A List ro- Hungarian rule. Only in Bosnia and I Icreegovina, where the heretical medieval nobility embraced Islam to preserve their lands, dill an influential local aristocracy survive into the 20th century. Between the wars, society was dominated by the tipper echelons of a small middle class. At the top of the social structure stood persons in governmental services, including the army. Since education was needed to perform higher government jo4)s, classical APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 European education became a status svrnbol. At the bottom of society were the millions of mostly illiterate peasants and workers. The Communist takeover during 19.11 -45 deprived the old social elite of ?ts political power, and nationalization stripped it of economic power. The society that emerged is composed of broad occupation groups, the major ones being peasants, blue- collar (industrial) workers, independent craftsmen, and white collar workers. Within these broad categories there are marked differences in social prestige, income, privileges, and opportunities to participate in major decisionmaking. At the !road base of the Yugoslav social pyramid remain the peasants and the workers. iUthough they constitute the largest social group in the country, both are underrepresented in the seats of power. The peasantry, in particular, has undergone significant diminution in size, prestige, and importance since World War IL Partially as it consequence of this situation, a new group of peasant workers has emerged, consisting of those who work in factories and return to their farms daily or on weekends. In 18f, there were about 1,300,000 such peasant work. -n performing unskilled jobs to industry. Independent craftsmen, caterers, and truckers form it second major category. Their number is growing to meet the increasing dernand for craftsmen such as plumbers, carpenters, and electric appliance repairmen. Most such craftsmen however, have remained at the mercy of the taxing power of local officials and have little or no political influence as a group. The upper levels of Yug oslav society are occupied mainly by white collar workers, whose ranks extend from lowly clerks to influential professors and party functionaries. This broad group comprises 8% to 10% of the total active population. Among them, social distinctions generally derive from occupation, educational level, and the relative importance of their jobs. The white collar group is mainly drawn from wartirne partisan leaders �many of whorn are of peasant background tile postwar generation of students, and remnants of the prewar middle class. The leadership of the League of Communists of Yugoslavia (LCY) �from the political elite down through the members of the central committees of the republics and provinces--stands at the top of the social pyramid. This group makes up the white- collar elite. They enjoy certain social privileges and a living standard considerably higher than that of the lower, white- collar workers. Moreover, educational oppor- tunity depends to a large extent on money and 6 influence, both of which lower class families often lack. Children of blue collar workers are most numerous in the apprentice schools. Children of white collar workers predominate in the general secondary schools which prepare students for advanced education. One of the demands voiced by the rioting Belgrade University students in June 1968 was for increased opportunities for the children of pcasant and worker families to acquire higher education; they also demanded more worker representation in the party. The conditions for high social mobility exist in theory and law in Yugoslavia. In reality, connections (veze) remain important. Social mobility is greater for those who know the right people, join the party, and contrive to acquire an education. Although party membership is no longer the overwhelming criterion for success, it still is a passport to the top of Yugoslav society. 4. The family and the individual The pressures of urbanization, industrialization, and Communist ideology have accele ated the transformation of Yugoslav family life from the traditional extended patriarchal system (zadruga), which was rooted in rural life, to the modern family concept. 'rhe continued influence of some zadruga traditions, however, can be seen in the ability of most Yugoslays to recite intricate lists of family and clan relations Family life has continued to be more cohesive in rural than in urban areas, and even though migration to the cities is slowly changing their attitudes, many peasant- workers maintain ties with rural relatives. The emphasis on male dominance in the pre -World War II family left women in a subordinate legal and social position. Since then, the Communists have emphasized legal and social equality between the sexes. The regime encourages women to work outside the home and to be active in sociopolitical affairs. In 1967 Croatia became the first republic to name a woman premier. The drive has been most successful in Croatia and Slovenia and in the cities. In the underdeveloped rural republics, particularly those. influenced by Muslims, unwritten social restrictions on women are fading only slowly. The regime also attempts to use the family to provide it basis for social stability. The long -term trend is to smaller families. The endemic housing shortage, however, often forces young couples to live with their parents. Elaborate social insuranu schemes weaken interdependence within the family, while more APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 widespread education undermines the deference paid by the young to the opinions of their often poorly educated elders. Marriage and divorce are under civil jurisdiction, although religious rites often follow the obligatory civil ceremony. 'There are liberal grounds for divorce and the number of divorces has risen from 1 -1,807 in the 1952 -5.1 period to 20,984 in 1968. Most divorces occur among urban blue- and while- collar workers. The relatively low divorce rates in Kosovo, Macedonia, and Montenegro probably reflect the influence of traditional no-es in rural regions. 5. Social values and attitudes Urbanization, industrialization, and socialist practice under Communist rule has severely strained the traditional peasant- derived value systern. Not all Yugoslays have accepted the accompanying demands for it change in outlook, and some have resisted. Many Yugoslays ascribe to Marxism most of the ills attendent upon rapid secularization and urbanization. Ideologically the regime is antagonistic to the traditional peasant culture but understands its deep roots and attempts to use its values to gain regime ends. Despite conservative peasant resistance to rapid social change and continuing wide urban -rural and also regional difference,, Yugoslav society is moving in the direction of it single dominant industrial culture and valve system. The major unifying factors in this evolving culture arc the expansion of primary education teased on an increasingly standardized currictdum; the development of mass media conveying similar ideas, norms, and goals, and improved communications and transportation, which foster increased interaction between urban and rural areas and between the various republics. Traditional peasant culture involved it strong attachment to the land and association Nvith an extended kinship group. Even thongh these ties usually involved identification with it broader religious or ethnic group, the Yugoslav j;casant's outlook remains very localistic. 'I'll(- social systern stressed the values of *rlf- reliance, independence, work, cooperation, and submission to the will of God. The Marxist ideology stressing mans ability to master nature and shape society and his own fate clashes with the peasants tendency to attribute change to the will of God. After an initial period of rigorous persecution of religion, the regime acconunodated itself to the peasants basic religions beliefs, hoping to exploit religiously derived values such as humbleness, loyalty, justice, and self- sacrifice in building a socialist society. Despite thc exhortations of the Communist leadership that party members should be models of social re,ponsibility and that they should respect the rights and opinions of othc �s, self- interest still dominates most prrsonal conduct. In the economy, self management can he vitiated by to %al park cliques, and business corruption often occ. S. The failure of the party to live np to its proclaimed standards has reinforced the traditional Balkan cynicism of much of the population. Apathy and frustration are particularly apparent among the youth. Despite their basic acceptance of the regime, many e�oung people are skeptical about the validity of Marxist ideology and are concerned primarily with their uwn material well being. Although the Communist- inaugurated federal system has helped case some interregional conflicts, the nationality problen remains dangerous. Most people still think of themselves primarily as Croats, Serbs, or members of one of the other national groups rather than as Yugoslays. The onset of economic and political decentralization in the early 1950's allowed a slow surfacing of regional particularism. This process was acceleraied in late 1970 when President Tito encouraged public debate of major moves toward governmental decentralization. One result was an alarming rise of regional chauvinism in Croatia, which ultimately impelled Tito to purge sonic 400 local officials. The old national antagonisms were based on ethnic and religious grounds. The new rivalries are primarily economic. In the case of Croatia, retention of a larger share of foreign currency earnings was the major demand articulated by the reptblic's nationalists in 1971. As the national republics competed for investment funds and the means for faster economic growth, the old ill feelings reasserted themselves in sports, cultural activities, commerce, historiography, and politics. In addition, the outbursts of regionalism since 1970 were based on interrepublic rivalry for the powers hitherto exercised by the central government and �aw� developing in the individual republics. In the case of the Serbs, however, there appears to be an undercurrent of opposition to the decentraliza- tion by unspecified officials who prefer it more orthodox, centrally controlled, Communist state. The Serbs, in addition to emphasizing the sacrifices they have made for the Yugoslav idea in both world wars, apparently are also fearful of losing at least some of the economic benefits accruing to them from it centralized system run from Belgrade, the capital of both Serbia and Yugoslavia. The Croats and Sloven-s, by contrast, are suspicious of it centralized systern, relieving that it siphons off H APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 resources from their relatively developed economies to subsidize the nation's underdeveloped regions. Croat officials in particular loathe the interwar period as a time of subjugation to the Serbs. Less numerous than the Serbs, the more Western- orient(d Croats feel culturally superior to the rest of the country (Slovenia excluded) and are determined to push for nearly full autonomy through decentralization. Because Slovenia as an entity is relatively new �there was no Slovene state until the 20th century �the Slovenes are particularly sensitive to such things as the treatment of their Paguage and the preservation of their considerable, essentially central European, intellectual heritage. The Montenegrins, situated in a small quarter of Yugoslavia along the Adriatic coast bordering Albania, are ethnic Serbs who settled in the Black Mountains in the Middle Ages. They successfully fought off the Turks and remained independent throughout the 500 years of Turkish dominance in the Balkans. These tough mountaineers thus view themselves rs superior to the rest of the Yugoslays. Montenegro harbors strong pro Russian sympathies dating to the days of Tsar Peter the Great when sailors of the first Russian navy trained in Montenegro. Subsequently, Montenegro and Russia periodically joined in waging war against the Ottoman Empire. Even under Communist rule there are similarities between the Soviet and Montenegrin viewpoints. The Montenegrin Communist Party, for example, remains one of the most conservative in Yugoslavia and favors many elements of a more orthodox Communist political and economic system. 'me rise of Ivlacedor.ian national consciousness is closely linked with the existence of a Yugoslav state. Situated at the southeastern end of the country next to Bulgaria, the republic of Macedonia was established as a component of the Yugoslav federation after World War H. Only through membership in the federation has the distinct character of the Macedonians been recognized and allowed expression. Bulgaria refuses to recognize the existence of a Macedonian nation, culture, or language �a refusal most Yugoslav Macedonians read as an expression of age -old Bulgarian claims to the region. Bulgarian needling over the "Maceuonian question" has only heightened the republic's sense of national identity and solidified its ties to Yugoslavia. Although Macedonia may have partially sympathized with the Croatian nationalist position in the late months of 1971, the republic's nationalism has never run counter to the basic interests of the federation. Many Yugoslays are proud of the Communist regime's achievements in industrialization, mass education, and social w- lfare, and of the high esteem Tito has won for Yugoslavia in much of the world. Tito's defiance of Stalin in 194`: earned him immense popularity, much of which he has retained. Tito's person is a major unifying force which is buttressed by the popular desire to maintain independence from outside control. Yugoslavia's foreign policy of nonalignment and balancing between East and West has helped sa',isfy the public's craving for prestige. Since the Soviet -led occupation of Czechoslovakia in 1968, Bel- rade's nonalignment has tipped in favor of the West. Culturally, most Yugoslays already lean toward the West, and the nation's intelligentsia and the youth avidly pick up Western styles and trends in literature, clothing, and music. Infatuation with Italian (and French) fashions, in fact, has helped mitigate the traditional Yugoslav contempt for Italians. Hostility of the ;population toward Germany is strong in some areas, but it is mixed with admiration for German technical and economic achievements. Thousands of Yugoslays find temporary employment in West Germany. Past economic, technical, and humanitarian aid has fostered a favorable attitude toward the United States, and the study of English is increasingly popular in many parts of the country. Pro- Soviet feeling is strong among the older Communists, who sometimes feel a nostalgic pull toward the U.S.S.R. The Soviet Union, however, by the behavior of its troops in 1945, its treatment of Yugoslavia after the break with Stalin, and its brutal intervention in Czechoslovakia in 1968 has squandered the good will it earned in World War II. The Yugoslav public's attitudes toward their immediate neighbors are affected by historical antipathies and cultural differences. There is still some residual distrust of Italians and Hungarians. Romanians are tolerated as allies. Greeks usually are regarded as friends. Bulgarians are distrusted as traditional rivals in the competition for Macedonia. The attitude toward Albanians, usually one of hostility, has improved in the wake of the mutual decision in February 1971 to raise diplomatic relations to the ambassadorial level and to improve general relations. The regime's policy of nonalignment and peaceful coexistence accurately reflects the public attitude toward international conflict. Influenced by national suffering in two world wars, most Yugoslays condemn ar,ything that threatens to generate another conflict. The regime fully supports the United Nations as an instrument :,f peace. There is little opposition to compulsory military service, which has been reduced from 2 years to 18 months. The mem -)ry of foreign APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 invasion is still strong, and Yugoslavia maintain:, an army which is large in relation to the countrv's size. Additionally, the army is vitally important for indoctrinating recruits with the concepts of Yugoslav national unity. The general attitude toward civil defense has improved dramatically since the Warsaw Pact invasion of Czechoslovakia. Yugoslavia has adopted a program of nationwide mobilization called all people's defense. Should Yugoslavia be invaded, every person between 1S and 60 would assume a specific defense assignment. The first large -scale joint maneuvers of the army and local defense Units Freedoin 71 �was held in September 1971. Eyewitness observers report widespread enthus;asm on the part of the participants. C. Population (U /OU) Yugoslavia recorded a population of 20,504,516 in the 31 March 1971 census. This fivure represents an increase of 1,955,225 over the 1961 census, and the Foreign Demographic Analysis Division (FDA D), U.S. Department of Commerce, estimates that by I January 1973 the population had increased another :336,500, to 20,841,000. The 1971 census employed a complicated questionnaire designed to provide long unavailable data on educational ,attainments, migration, characteristics of the labor force, and nationality. Both before and after the census a great deal of controversy arose over these forms, particularly concerning the question on nationality. The term "Yugoslav" was criticized by many because it seemed to encourage individuals to give tip their specific national identity. in Croatia, charges arose that inclusion of terms such as "Dalmatian" in the nationality category was implicitly anti Croatian. The end result of the bickering was the delay of the full publication of the census results until 1973. Of the seven countries which border Yugoslavia Albania, Austria, Bulgaria, Greece, Hungary, Italy, and Romania �both Italy and Rona'anla have larger populations. Yugoslavia ranks fourth in size, after the Soviet Union, Poland, and Romania, of the Cornmlinist -niled countries in Eastern Europe. In land area, Yugoslavia's more than 98,700 square miles rank third in Eastern European Communist countries behind the Soviet Union and Poland. Yugoslavia's 'In this chapter. 1971 census returns are used where available otherwise, the latest estimates are used. POPULATION In thousands 32A92 20.596 20.505 17.03+ 14.426 10.376 8.765 8.601 2.212 POPULATION DENSITY Persons per square mile Federal Republic Of Germany Italy Poland' 273 650 4" Romania 225 YUGOSLAVIA 208 East Germany 408 Czechoslovakia 292 Hungary 290 Greece 172 Bulgaria 200 Albania 1 191 FIGURE 2. Population and population density, Yugo- slavia and selected European countries, 1971 (U /OU) population density of 208 persons per square mile is roughly similar to that of neighboring Bulgaria and Romania, but there are many more people per square mile in Czechoslovakia and Hungary, and more than twice as many in East Germany (Figure 2). Population density, according to the 1971 census, is relatively high in the northern and eastern interior and along the borders of Austria, Hungary, Romania, and Bulgaria. It is low in districts along the Adriatic coast and in the mountains which parallel this coast, although densities along the narrow coastal plain are often high. Except for sparsely populated Monte- negro, the range of densities among the larger administrative divisions is not great; those with the largest populations are also the largest in area (Figure 3). Serbia, the largest and most populous of the six federal republics v,hich make up Yugoslavia, 9 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 Republic capital 0 Autonomous area capital 501625 3-73 FIGURE 3. Population distribution according to the 1971 census (U /GU) contained 8.4 million persons in 197 1, or slightly more than 415 of the total population (I'igure4). Croatia, with 4.4 million, and Bosnia and Hercegovina, with 3.7 million, were the second Ind third most populous republics respectively, but theircornbined populations totaled less than that of Serbia. Macedonia registered 1.6 million inhabitants and Slovenia 1.7 million. Montenegro, the smallest and least populous of the republics, contained only 530,000 people and accounted for less than 3 1 /'r of the total population. Yugoslavia was formed in 1918 when the national aspirations of several different Slavic peoples in the area coalesced, and its administrative divisions still reflect its ethnic diversity. Each of the six republics has its own history, traditions, and cultural peculiarities, as do the two autonomous regions of Serbia Vojvodina and Kosovo, the latter often called the Kosmet. There are five "Yugoslav nationalities," to which abotit 90% of the people belong. The 1971 census figures on the nationality makeup of Yugoslavia have yet to be published. Nevertheless, the basic pattern of ethnic population distribution in 1961, as shown in Figure 5, remains valid. It is clear, however, that the highest rate of population increase among Yugoslav nationalities during the cleeade ending in 1971 occurred among the Albanians in the province of Kosovo. The province registered an increase of 295c between 1961 and 1971, far outstripping its closest rival, Macedonia, which registered a 17% increase. In general, each of the five basic nationality groups �Serb, Croat, Slovene, Macedonian, and Montenegrin �is concentrated in the republic which bears its name. The peoples of the sixth republic, Bosnia and Hercegovina, are not identified as a separate nationality group. The republic is it three -way mix of Serbs, Groats, and Muslims of unspecified nationality. Bosnia and Hercegovina was created in part to terminate rival Groat and Serb APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 FIGURE 4. Population by administrative division, 1971 (U/OU) 'Figures may not add to totals because of rounding. claims to the area and also to give recognition to its unique historical development. The last official statistics to be released on the national ininority groups are those of the 1961 census. At that tittle these national minorities comprised ahont 1051 of the population. 'I'll(- two largest groups were the Albanians (915,000 or about iii of life total population) and the I I ungarians (500,000 or about 2.7i of the total population). There were 15 other smaller minorities, the largest of which were Turks (183,000), Slovaks (86,000), Bulgarians (63,000), Romanians (61,000), Czechs (30,000), and Italians (26,000). Nlost of the people belonging to these minorities live in border regions in the northern and southern portions of Yngoslavia. With the exception of the Albanians, and despite the overall growth of the Yugoslav population since the 19-11 census, the conntry's nationality structure has remained proportionately about the same since 1941. Yugoslavia is if land of small rnral settlements, lint the number of large towns and cities is on the increase as it result of contintiud rnral to nrban migration. In 1961, approximately 2851 of the Yugoslav population lived in urban areas. Since then, this figure undoubtedly has become nuch li}jier. Preliminary returns front the 1971 census show that 2fi i of the population lives in cities of nore than 20,000 compared with 18.71 in 1961. Maurdotia has the highest 1ercentage 37 -of persons living in towns of 20,000 or more. The province of Vojvodina is second with 31.3 "r, and Croatia is third with 30.211. The lowest percentage of urban population 15 -is found in both Bosnia and Hercegovina ant) Montenegro. Althwigh figures for the cities proper are not available, statistics for the 10 largest metropolitan areas -a city and surrounding county or counti ^s (apstina) -show their growth from 1961 to 1971 was as follows: 1961 1971 Belgrade 942,190 1,204,271 AVERAGE 459,464 602,058 Skopje PERCENT DENSITY Sarajevo 213,101 292,241 OF TOTAL PER AREA IN Novi Sad 162,075 POPULA- SQUARE SQUARE ADMINI$rRATIVE DIVISION POPULATION TION MILE MILES Slovenia 1,725,088 8.4 223.5 7,719 Croatia 4,422,564 22.0 203.6 21,723 Bosnia and Hercegovina 3,742,852 18.3 189.6 19,745 Serbia 8,436,547 41.1 247.3 34,116 Serbia Proper 5,241,524 25.6 242.9 21,582 Vojvodina 1,950,268 9.5 232.0 8,407 Kosovo 1,244,755 6.1 301.8 4,125 Montenegro 530,361 2.6 99.4 5,333 Macedonia 1,647,104 8.0 165.9 9,928 Total 20,504,516 0 100.0 208.0 98,564 'Figures may not add to totals because of rounding. claims to the area and also to give recognition to its unique historical development. The last official statistics to be released on the national ininority groups are those of the 1961 census. At that tittle these national minorities comprised ahont 1051 of the population. 'I'll(- two largest groups were the Albanians (915,000 or about iii of life total population) and the I I ungarians (500,000 or about 2.7i of the total population). There were 15 other smaller minorities, the largest of which were Turks (183,000), Slovaks (86,000), Bulgarians (63,000), Romanians (61,000), Czechs (30,000), and Italians (26,000). Nlost of the people belonging to these minorities live in border regions in the northern and southern portions of Yngoslavia. With the exception of the Albanians, and despite the overall growth of the Yugoslav population since the 19-11 census, the conntry's nationality structure has remained proportionately about the same since 1941. Yugoslavia is if land of small rnral settlements, lint the number of large towns and cities is on the increase as it result of contintiud rnral to nrban migration. In 1961, approximately 2851 of the Yugoslav population lived in urban areas. Since then, this figure undoubtedly has become nuch li}jier. Preliminary returns front the 1971 census show that 2fi i of the population lives in cities of nore than 20,000 compared with 18.71 in 1961. Maurdotia has the highest 1ercentage 37 -of persons living in towns of 20,000 or more. The province of Vojvodina is second with 31.3 "r, and Croatia is third with 30.211. The lowest percentage of urban population 15 -is found in both Bosnia and Hercegovina ant) Montenegro. Althwigh figures for the cities proper are not available, statistics for the 10 largest metropolitan areas -a city and surrounding county or counti ^s (apstina) -show their growth from 1961 to 1971 was as follows: 1961 1971 Belgrade 942,190 1,204,271 Zagreb 459,464 602,058 Skopje 270,299 387,889 Sarajevo 213,101 292,241 Ljubljana 206,305 257,640 Novi Sad 162,075 214,048 Nis 146,524 193,320 Split 132,873 183,912 Maribor 152,939 172,155 Rijeka 127,029 160,G30 The irregular shape of Yugoslavia's population pyramid (Figure 6), clearly reveals the impact of wars all(] changing levels of fertility and mortality rates upon the country's age and sex composition. "There is sonic lingering effect of deaths in the Balkan Wars of 1912 13 and in World War I in the narrow shape of the pyramid above age 60, especially on the nude side. The losses during World War II are represented by the deep indentation between ages 45 and 59 years. The deficit of births during World Wars 1 and 11 is sharply delineai; d by the small nunlhers at ages 50 -5.1 and 20- 29. A long -term decline in fertility, which appears to have begun in the 1920's (though it was heavily influenced by the sharp drop in hirtbs during World War II and it postwar hoom in births immediately after it), bas given the pyramid if fairly slender contour; it has it much narrowe hale than is characteristic of populations with high and relatively stable levels of fertility. APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 in hmw* 47 15 13.4 2&0 54 V Goar. vas PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION OF ETIIPRC GROUPS 2. 5.e South Slav swim M AI I."i�m 0 0001. w MW" "WW MVAM sow, of unspacKed noliandiy National Illaerttles Albursr Twks Hwwwisa ONM 2.1 NOTEa Ef nk groups accounting for /w Ikon 5% of fho popublion of an odminidrafive eli.ision an kKJQ1& d in Olow." FIGURE 5. Distribution of the population in admin- istrative divisions by ethnic groups, 1961 (U /OU) Yugoslavia's population is young by European standards; the median age was estimated at 28.3 years in 1968. Because of this relatively low median age, the dependency ratio is correspondingly higher. In 1968, there were 690 persons in the dependent ages (0 -14 and 65 and over) per 1,000 population; Bulgaria had 270 and IIungary 394. Females outnumbered males in Yugoslavia in 1961, when there were 95 males per 100 females. While statistics on the male female ratio from the 1971 census have not been relea FDAD estimates the 1973 ratio at 97 miles per 100 females. It is a universal phenomenon that more boys are horn than girls so that the ;lumber of males per 100 females is typically 12 higher in the 0 -14 age group. Because the mortality rate is higher for males than for females, the number of males relative to the number of females usually drops in each successively older age group. Toward the end of the 19th century both birth and death rates were still high and relatively stable, but at about the beginning of the 20th century the death rate began to decline rapidly, followed, after a lag of about two decades, by a decline in the birth rate. The course of the trend in hoth vital rates has been affected by World W. II and its aftermath, so that neither has been consistently downward. The death rate has declined from about 29 per 1,000 population at the beginning of this century to 9.0 in 1969, while the irth rate has dropped from about 42 per 1,000 Population at the turn of the century to 17.8 in 1969, as shown in Figure 7. Although Yugoslavia's birth rate is half that of neighboring Albania, it is st higher than the average for European countries and the United States. Because the birth rate has been considerably higher than the death rate throughout the 20th century, Yugoslavia has experienced a relatively high rate of natural increase (Figure 8). Life expectancy was 62.4 years for males and 65.6 for females in 1961 -62, according to official Yugoslav figures. Improvements in medical care since then allow an estimate of 67.3 for males and 74.2 for females as of 1968. Birth rates vary significantly within Yugoslavia. In 1970, for example, the birth rate ranged from a high of 36.4 per 1,000 population in Kosovo to a low of 13.0 in Vojvodina. In general, populations living in the poorest and most backward areas have birth rates Aw 7s and over Yugoslavia Uklbd$toIto, 70-74 65-69 60-84 SS-S9 50-54 45.42 40-44 33-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 Male Female 15-19 10- 14 5-9 0-4 5 4 3 2 1 0 1 2 3 4'. 5 Percent FIGURE 6. Popuintion by age and sex, Yugoslavia and the United States, 1972 (IJ /OU) APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA -RDP01 -00707 R000200100032 -0 thousands left what is now Yugoslavia in search of work. Most went to the United States and Canada. During the 1930'x, emigration declined as a result of the worldwide depression and the imposition of restrictions oil immigration by the United States and other countries which made emigration on the pre World War I scale impossible. European countries, particularly Turkey and Germany, became the principal destination of Yugoslav emigrants. Emigration from Yugoslavia was extremely large during and after World War 1I, amounticg to a net loss estimated at between 600,000 and 700,000. "These people were primarily Yugoslav citizens of German FIGU''E 7. Births acid deaths per 1,000 population, 1921 -70 (U /OU) which rank among the highest in Europe, whereas those living in the more ecorunnically and culturally advanced areas have birth rates typic_il of those in Western Europe. Although death rates also varied within the country, the range was not nearly as wide as that for birth rites. Death ra..-s ranged from 10.5 per I,(N)0 p( )ulation in Slovenia to a low of 6.5 in Montenegro, with most of the administrative divisions reporting rates close to 9.0 per 1,000. There are extremely wide variations in rates of natural increase within Yugoslavia. In 1970, the high fertility areas had rates of increase double those in the low fertility areas. Whereas in Slovenia, Croatia, Voivodina, and Serbia proper, natural increase amounted to between only 3 and 6 per 1,000 population, in Bosnia and 1lercogovina, Macedonia, and Montenegro, natural increase ranged between 13 and 16 per 1,000 population, and in Kosovo, where the birth rate was very high, it was nearly 28 per 1,000 population. Since at least the latter part of the 19th century, Yugoslavia has consistently lost population through emigration. Although the size of the movement cannot he accurately determined before the 1920'x, it is known that emigration was relatively heavy during the first decads-s of the 20th century when hundreds of 13 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 FIGURE 8. Vital rates, Yugoslavia and selected countries, 1969 (U /OU) APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 descent, Italians from territory acquired by Yugoslavia after the .war, and Yugoslays displaced during the ar w1w, did not retr,rn after the cessation of hostilities. Although no official data exist for the period 1948- .53, an analysis of intercensal population change by the U.S. Bureau of the Census indicates a difference of 14( between the population that could be expected according to vital records and the enumerated popul ation. Some of this difference may be attributed to varying degrees of accuracy in the 1953 and the 1948 censuses, but the major part must be attributed to net emigration. Some of the components of this migration can be identified anti are estimated as follows: Immigrants: Returning Yugoslays 6,000 Refugees from East European Communist 56,000 countries 9,000 Total 15,000 Emigrant: 960 Jews to Israel 7,000 Russians expelled to the U.S.S.R. or escaping 932 West............................... 15,000 Yugoslays escaping West 5,000 Italialis to Italy 48,000 Germans resettling in the Federal Republic 1,200 of Germany 7,000 Total 82,000 Net emigration 67,000 Yugoslav demographers have made estimates of international migration by republic for the intercensal period 1933 -61, apparently based upon official migration data. They show population losses as follows: Slovenia 14,000 Croatia 56,000 Bosnia and Hercegovina 2,000 Serbia 41,600 Montenegro 960 Macedonia 160,000 Macedw. a experienced the greatest loss, principally due to the exodus of 'I'-arks. The volume of emigration has decline(] marked!v since the 1953 -61 intercensal period, as follows: Between 1962 and 1966, net emigration amounted to 38,928 persons. or an average loss of less than 8,000 14 persons per year. In 1970 only 3,808 persons emigrated, and the figure for net emigration was even smaller because 793 persons immigrated during the yea r. Yugoslavia has had one of the most rapidly growing populations in Europe. In December 1918, when the Kingdom of Serbs, Croats, and Slovenes was created, there were an elimated 11.6 million persons in the area that was to become Yugoslavia. The first census, taken in 1921 after the Yugoslav borders had been established, recorded a population of 11,98 ,000. The history of population change is primarily one of high natural increase, but a Honor part of the growth was clue to territorial acquisitions. On 10 February 1947, Yugoslavia acquired the major portion of the lstrian Peninsula (the Julian March) and several islands, with a combined territory of 2,971 square miles and a 194E population of about 446,000. After the partition of the Free Territory of 'Trieste between Italy and Yugoslavia in 19-34, Yugoslavia acquired 202 square miles with an estimated popul:tion of 61,0(10. I'hc data from various censuses since 1921 have been adjusted to the 1961 area so that rates of growth during this period can be indicated for a comparable area, and They are shown in Figure 9. Between 1921 and 1931, the population grew at an average annual rate of 1.511,, a high rate for a European country during this period. Although the population grew somewhat more slowly after 1931, estimates indicate that it grew more rapidly between 1931 and 1939 than in any other country west of the U.S.S.R. except Albania and possibly Greece. Moreover, all of its growth was due to natural increase. Yugoslavia suffered one of the greatest population losses sustained by any country during World War 11; only the U.S.S.R. and Poland lost greater proportions of their population. About 1.'i million persons were killed, expelled, fled, or refused repatriation �a loss of more than 10% of the population. 1n addition, there FIGURE 9. Population increase, 1921 -71 (U /OU) (Adjusted to territory of 1961 AVERAGE ANNUAL RATE OF CENSUS DATE POPULATION GROWTH NET YEAR INIMIGRATION ETIIGRATION EMIGRATION 1962....... 618 7,891 7,273 1963 932 8,661 7,729 1964 728 7,107 6,379 1965....... 1,200 9,071 7,871 1968....... 907 10,583 9,676 Between 1962 and 1966, net emigration amounted to 38,928 persons. or an average loss of less than 8,000 14 persons per year. In 1970 only 3,808 persons emigrated, and the figure for net emigration was even smaller because 793 persons immigrated during the yea r. Yugoslavia has had one of the most rapidly growing populations in Europe. In December 1918, when the Kingdom of Serbs, Croats, and Slovenes was created, there were an elimated 11.6 million persons in the area that was to become Yugoslavia. The first census, taken in 1921 after the Yugoslav borders had been established, recorded a population of 11,98 ,000. The history of population change is primarily one of high natural increase, but a Honor part of the growth was clue to territorial acquisitions. On 10 February 1947, Yugoslavia acquired the major portion of the lstrian Peninsula (the Julian March) and several islands, with a combined territory of 2,971 square miles and a 194E population of about 446,000. After the partition of the Free Territory of 'Trieste between Italy and Yugoslavia in 19-34, Yugoslavia acquired 202 square miles with an estimated popul:tion of 61,0(10. I'hc data from various censuses since 1921 have been adjusted to the 1961 area so that rates of growth during this period can be indicated for a comparable area, and They are shown in Figure 9. Between 1921 and 1931, the population grew at an average annual rate of 1.511,, a high rate for a European country during this period. Although the population grew somewhat more slowly after 1931, estimates indicate that it grew more rapidly between 1931 and 1939 than in any other country west of the U.S.S.R. except Albania and possibly Greece. Moreover, all of its growth was due to natural increase. Yugoslavia suffered one of the greatest population losses sustained by any country during World War 11; only the U.S.S.R. and Poland lost greater proportions of their population. About 1.'i million persons were killed, expelled, fled, or refused repatriation �a loss of more than 10% of the population. 1n addition, there FIGURE 9. Population increase, 1921 -71 (U /OU) (Adjusted to territory of 1961 AVERAGE ANNUAL RATE OF CENSUS DATE POPULATION GROWTH Not pertinent. APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 Percent 31 January 1921 12,545,000 31 March 1931 14,534,000 1.5 15 March 1948 15,841,566 0.5 31 March 1953 16, 991, 449 1.4 31 March 1961 18,549,291 !.1 31 March 1971 20,504,516 1.0 Not pertinent. APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 was an estimated loss of 600,000 due to increased mortality under conditions of severe hardship and to a deficit of births. Thus, It the war's end the population was about 2.3 million persons less than might have been expected had there been no hostilities. Because of these losses, the rate of population increase between the censuses of 1931 and 1948 averaged only 0.5% per yea r. Between 1948 and 1953 the increase in the birth rate raised the level of population growth to an annual rate of 1.4 c. As the birth rate declined during the 1950's, the annual rate of increase fell to 1.1 for the period 1953 -61. Data since 1961 are incomplete, but suggest a further slight decline. Fertility in Yugoslavia is still high by European standards, however, and as the country becomes increasingly urbanized and industrialized a decline in fertility, .which generally accompanies these phenomena, may be expected. Furthermore, the wide differences in fertility within Yugoslavia suggest that many people are already limiting the size of C eir families and that others may be expected to do so in the future. Family plant however, has met with only modest success. Basic problems in achieving an adequate bird:- control r �gram stem from continued reliance on abortion as the principal means of family planning, aril the lingering attitude of a male dominated society especially in the underdeveloped republics �that women should be kept barefoot and pregnant. If social forces in Yugoslavia operate to bring about a 15% decline in fertility by 1978 and then maintain this level through 1987, while net migration remains .icgligible and mortality declines as it has in other European countries since World War II, Yugoslavia's population would total about 24,112,000 in 1987. Yugoslavia em( ge(i from World War I! as an economically and socially backward country with a rapidly growing population and a large surplus agrarian populAion. Subsequent rural to urban migration has diminished the problem of agricultural overpopulation but has led to increased unemploy- ment in the nation's cities. Between 1953 and 1971 the agricultural population declined from 60.7% to 36.4% of the total population. For many enterprising young Yugoslays leaving the farm the answer was not to go to Belgrade or Zagreb but to seek employment in the West as a temporary worker. It is estimated thol in 1971 about 900,000 Yugoslays were gainfully employed in the West, most of them in West Germany. The Yugoslav Government has not formulated any precisely defined programs aimed at regulating population growth: Various economic, educational, and especially health and social pc.ic :es, initiated essentially for nondemographic reasons, have been demographic in nature; some encourage, while others discourage, population growth. Social insurance measures which provide free maternity care, compensation for worktime lost because of pregnancy, and free medical care for infants under 1 year of age, coupled with a system of family allowances in which the rate of compensation increases with the birth of each additional child, indirectly encourage population growth. Liberal abortion laws and the widespread dissemination of contraceptives and birth control information and advice are, in contradistinction, measures which would tend to limit population growth. D. Manpower and labor 1. Manpower resources (U /OU) Yugoslavia's economically active population` was estimated at 9,702,000 persons in 1971. Of that total, 4,706,000 (48.5 were employed in agriculture: and 4,996,000 (51.5 iu nonagricultural endeavors. The 1971 labor force was estimated at 47.2% of the total population and 72.5% of the working age (15 -64) group. Yugoslavia's labor force participation rate (i.e., labor force as a percent of the total population) is among the lowest of all the countries in Eastern Europe, in large part because of the lower participation rate of women. This relatively low rate results primarily from deeply rooted cultural attitudes which confine women to home and household activities. Resistance to female employment is greatest in the Muslim areas of the south, especially in Kosovo. Post -World War II industrialization and improve- ments in education have resulted in the gradual entry of women into nonagricultural occupations and in a growing tendency on the part of urban women to remain in the labor force while raising a family. The last official breakdown of the total labor force (the 1961 census) indicated that 2% of the nation's working population was under 15 y ars of age. and 4% was 65 or older, as shown in Figure 10. Labor force participation by children aged 10 -14 has declined sharply (from 20% in 1953 to 10% in 1961) because of 2 'rhis term is used synonymously with "labor force." The Yugoslav definition of the economically active population includes all persons, regardless of age, who are engaged in "socially useful" work, including those temporarily not exercising their occupation (the unemployed, prisoners, and members of the armed forces). 15 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 employment stood at a new high of 51.5 (Figure 11 The actual number of agricultural workers is difficult to determine since this is overwhelmingly a private sector of the economy. The problem is complicated by the existence of numerous small truck farms, which are family enterprises and whose male workers may also hold jobs in nearby industrial enterprises. According to the 1961 census, there were more agricultural workers in Serbia than in any other republic, but the autonomous province of Kosovo had the greatest percent (70.8%) of its labor force in agriculture while Slovenia had the lowest (37.9%) of all the republics. 'there is considerable geographic variation in the pattern of agricultural activity. For example, peasant the considerable increase in educational facilities, especially in isolated and underdeveloped areas. Improvements in the pensions system resulted in a modest decline in labor force participation by persons aged 65 and over during 1953 -61. In 1961 about 601 of the males, but )niv about 31 of tl females, were economically active. In 1971 there were an estimated 3,673,000 eco- nomically inactive persons of working age. Many are of military age, with an educational and skill level that is, on the whole, superior to that of their elders. Nearly all of the economically inactive males aged 15- A, and about a third of the females, are still in school acid could readily he transferred to the armed forces or to industrial or agricultural occupations. Only a small proportion of the economically inactive males 25 vears of age or above would be physically capable of entering the labor force on a full -time basis, since this group is made up largely of war invalids, disabled workers, and old -age pensioners. Inactive females aged 25 -64 comprise the remainder of the labor reserve. Most are housewives with only a modest education and no industrial skill or experience. Younger women, however, could replace men on the farms or perform other manual work requiring little training or skill and some would take up arms in the event of war. Yugoslavia has a more readily accessible :c:erve in its unemployed labor force, which in 1970 totaled about :320,0(X). 2. Characteristi., .-s of the labor force (U /OU) There has been a significant decline in agricultural employment since World War It as a result of the governments industri..lization e ffort. Agriculture's share of the total labor force has fallen from 66.8% in 1953 to -18.5% in 1971, while nonagricultural 16 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 FIGURE 10. Age -sex distribution of the population and the labor force (U /OU) FIGURE 11. Labor force by branch of economic activity and sex, 1971 (U /OU) APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 owners operate small farms at.(] orchards throughout Serbia proper and Croatia, \%hercas in Vojvodina, the c�ountr%'s richest crop area, most of the paid agric�ultimil labor force are workers on large, highly nrcc�hanized state and collec�tivv farms. In the inhospitable mountains of Kosovo, livestock raisers, ban�I% able to eke out it liyittg, predominate. Forestry is concentrated ill the nwuntainous regions of Bosnia and llerc�egoyina and fishing along the Dalmatian coast. Private ownership predominates in agriculture, and small and scattered holdings farncd by owncr- operators with the assistance of family members are characteristic of most of the area. By la\% the size of private farms is limited to 10 hectares (approximately 2 -1 acres). In 1969, approximately 96"5 of the agricultural labor force of 5,305,000 was employed in the private sector. I ?nrplovnent in the socialized sector of a griculture droppe prvcipitousl when the collectivization drive initiated in 1945 was abandoned in 1953. h:nrplo%nu�nt on stale farms and collective farms (peasant work cooperatives) rose, however, from the mid- 1950's until 1965, \%lien it reached a peak of 251,000, but declined to 208,000 in 1969. The 1970 \%ork force in manufacturing and mining \%as estimated at 1,454,000 persons, about 26"( above� the 1961 figure. Nearly all manufacturing and mining \%nrkers are in paid employment. 'n 1970, the leading industries in this brunch of economic activity, according to numbers of emplo %ces, were nu�talwork- ing 185,800), primarily metal processing and machinery and eelnilmie nt nanufacturing; textiles and apparel (229,200): woockorking 1330,001)): food and beverages 121,000); elec�tric�al cot iii pnent (91,200); and c�licnuicals (8 1,000). F.nrplo\tnent in the petroleum, nn�tallurgical, electrical procluc�ts, and rubber industries is concentrated ill large enterprises situated in the north. The building materials, textiles and apparel, and food processing industries, however, are dispersal in numerous smaller cnlerprises throughout the country. Approximately 25.1,000 persons wen� engaged in crafts in 1970, compared with 251,000 in 1961. Craft activities �such as metalworking, leatherworking, and \%ood\%orking �in Yugoslavia are distinguished frown una nufac�turing not only by the predominance n handwork Ihul also by the performance of the enth:- prodmc�tion process b\ one worker, or a f ^\y at most, and b% prodnc�tion to fill individual orders. Although private artisans are permitted by lay% to hire as many as five orders, onl% about it fourth of the craftsmen in the private sector are paid ernplo\ves. Since 1911 the government has sought to encourage the expansion o private craft activities. and paid cmPlo\ nu�nt in private workshops has risen from 313,000 in 1963 to 41,000 in 1970. Nevertheless, the total number of artisans (ennplo\ers, self- cmplo\ed, wage and salary earners, and unpaid family v%orkcrsl in the private se ctor �mane of \%hone are near retirem:nt age �is c�ontiuuing to decline. The labor force in services has gnr\%n substantially since 1961, \%lien it totaled 725,000 persons. Paid cmplo\nn�nt increased (luring 1961 -70 in virtually all service activities, \\ith the notable exception of government administration. Roughly 95`1 of the labor force engaged in services is in the socialized sector. Domestic servants, restaurant owners and their employees, and self employed professionals (ph%si- c�ians, lawyers, artists, and journalists) account for most of those in the private sector. Members of the armed forces numbered over 2334,000 ill 1972, or over 2i of the total labor force. The distribution of the labor force b\ class of worker has probably changed little since 1961. At that time employers were few in number, wage and salary earners comprised about 42i of the total, and males outnumbered females in all categories except turpaid fannil% workers, as shown in the following tabulation: PERCENT OF NIALE FEMALE TOTAL LABOR FORCE thousands Wage and salary earners 2,596 934 3,530 42.3 Unpaid family workers 915 1,527 2,442 29.3 Self employed 1,739 451 2,190 26.2 Employers 25 5 30 0.4 Other 112 36 148 1.8 Total 5,387 2,953 8,340 100.0 Wage and salary earners, nearly all of whom work in the socialized sector, are employed primarily in nonagricultural occupations. Unpaid family workers and self employed persons work almost exclusively in private agriculture, while the majority of private employers are artisans and craftsmen. Mining, manufacturing, and crafts accounted for 38 of all wage and salary earners in 19151. While the number of wage and salan earners in the private sector (83,000 1970) has m than doubled simc�e 1952, their share of total wage and salary earning employment has remained about the same 2. V, in 1970 compared \%ith 2.5(' in 1952. Craft workers and domestic servants together accounted for about 765i of the 1970 total in pri ate paid employment. The latest available st, t'stic�al information concerning apprentices was released in 1967. 'I'll(- APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 number of registered apprentices had then reached 145.000. a 39S1 increase over 1961, when they constituted only 1.35i of the labor force. The educational qualifications of apprentices have improved considerably; in 1967 abort 99% had completed primary school as compared with 819c ip 1961 and 49r in 1954. Of those in training, 32% were in manufacturing and mining, :30% in crafts, 14% in trade, 7% in construction, and 7% in agriculture and forestry. The announcement in 1963 of government measures aimed at encour aging private craft activities halted a steady decline in the number of young people apprenticed to private employers, and their number nearly doubled between 1963 and 1967, when almost 25,300 were in the private sector. Craftsmen, production process workers, and general laborers comprise the largest occupational group outside agriculture, and in 1961 they formed 205c of the total and 45% of the nonagricultural labor force. Yugoslavia has a relatively small percentage of its labor force in the professional and technical and in the administrative, executive, and managerial groups. In 1961 approximately 469,000 persons (or 5.65C of the labor force) were placed in the professional technical group, and about 94,000 (1.1 of the labor force) were considered administrators, executives, or managers. Comparable percentages for Hungary, for example, were 8?SC and 1.Y-i of its labor force in 1963. 1'he governments considerable effort to upgrade the qualifications of the labor force has begun to pay dividends. As of December 1968 only 9% of the total labor force had never attended school or at most had completed 3 years of primary classes. Although 92i of the l abor force has finished secondary schools, lack of education still characteristic of workers 40 years of age and older. This situation is a result of the limited educational opportunities before World VVar II and the chaotic conditions which prevailed during the war. The qualifications of younger workers improved markedly in the postwar period as a result of the expansion of educational and vocational training facilities. After -hours classes and on- the -job training have enabled a substantial number of workers to upgrade their qualifications. Workers are required to pass special examinations in order to he certified as skilled or highly skilled; such certificates were awarded between 1965 and 1967 to approximately 183,000 skilled and 39 ,000 highly skilled .workers. Training has riot kept pace with the needs of the economy, however, and one out of every five paid emplovees is reportedly .working in a job for which he is no, adequately qualified. A survey conducted in March 1967, which divided paid employees into wage earners and .alary earners, placed the majority of the former in the skilled and semiskilled category and indicated that the majority of the latter had received secondary education (Figure 12). On the basis or this survey, however, it was estimated that 34 of the jobholders in %hite- collar positions requiring university training and 39% of those working in highly skilled trades lacked formal qualifications. Of the 251,000 salary earners who had actually completed higher education on the survey date, approximately 64So were employed in services. Some 4151 of the 199,000 wage earners who qualified as highly skilled workers were in manufacturing and mining. Registered unemployment has been on the increase since the late 1950's but has trended sharply upward since economic reforms began 'o take effect in 1965. The number of registered unemployed rose from a monthly average of 67,000 in 1955 to 319,000 in the first half of 1968, and the unemployment rate FIGURE 12. Employment by branch of economic activity and level of skill or training, March 1967 (U /OU) (Thousands) WAGE EARNERS SALARY EARNERS Skilled lIighly and semi- higher Secondary Primary skilled skilled Unskilled education education education TOTAL. Agriculture, forestry, and fishing........ 10.3 123.7 137.1 ::.1 26.2 27.7 339.1 Mining and manufacturing 81.7 588.1 472.5 42.2 93.8 80.8 1,359.1 Crafts 18.5 91.9 47.8 2.1 10.2 10.9 181.4 Construction 16.4 105.2 125.5 9.7 20.6 13.5 290.9 Trade 22.3 111.4 51.4 12.2 29.5 32.5 250.3 Transportation and communications. 27.5 132.3 56.7 10.7 29.9 31.2 288.3 Services 22.2 117.0 158.9 160.3 223.6 128.9 810.8 All brunches 198.9 1,269.6 1,049.9 251.2 433.8 325.5 3,528.9 NOTE Figures exclude apprentices. K APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 FIGURE 13. Average monthly registered unemployment, 1961 -70 (U/OU) (Thousands) *Figures may not add to totals because of rounding. (registered unemployment as a proportion of paid employment excluding apprentices) reached about 9 Since then, average monthly unemployment has remained within the range of 320,000 to 330,000, as shown in Figure 13. There is a pronounced seasonal swing in unemployment, due in large measure to the curtailment during the winter months of construction, forestry, and other activities. Unemployment registrations normally rise sharply in January and reach it peak during February and March; the low occurs in July and August. There are remarkable regional variations as well. The unemployment rate in Slovenia is the lowest in Yugoslavia, while in Macedonia and Kosovo it is the highest. Unemploy- ment in the south results principally from village -to- city migration. Population pressure is considerable in the predominantly Muslim areas and drives many of the men to abandon subsistence agriculture. Wage earning employment opportunities are severely limited, however, for the region remains largely unindustrialized. Persons with no marketable skills accounted for 80% or more of the registered unemployed until 1965, but this percentage had declined to 75% by June 1969. This downward trend results in part from an absolute decrease, since 1965, in the number of unskilled females registering at government employment offices. At it time when employment prospects are especially poor, many housewives appear to have withdrawn from the labor market. The number of secondary school and university graduates unable to find jobs has soared upward since 1965, as shown in Figure 13. The problem is severe in Belgrade (where: the last accurate data showed that in 1967 graduates comprised about 21% of the city's registered unemployed), and in other cities with large student populations. School graduates with specialities in commerce, administration, the humanities, law, and economics encounter the greatest difficulty in finding jobs. Joblessness has risen steadily but less rapidly among skilled and highly skilled workers. Of the skilled workers, the highest incidence of unemployment occurs among officeworkers, followed by drivers, masons, carpenters, farmers, foresters, fishermen, tobacco processors, and metalworkers. This reflects the streamlining of government administration and cutbacks in industries where business activity is lagging. The government clearly regards the employment of young professional and skilled workers as a matter of urgency. The outbreak of student unrest in June 1968 hastened the adoption in midyear of measures aimed at guaranteeing jobs for skilled and qualified young people and at stimulating an overall increase in employment. A hitherto ineffective law was amended, in effect to compel enterprises to establish training programs and to accept qualified youths as trainees. A related measure requires craftsmen in both the private and socialist sectors to hire apprentices. Another 1968 measure requires enterprises to draw up job classification systems which clearly specify the qualifications required for the job. This requirement, and it companion measure which guarantees priority of employment to individuals with the highest qualifications, is intended to curtail the widespread practN-ce of filling vacancies on the basis of "connections" and in sonic cases even bribery. Underemployment is prevalent in both agriculture and industry. Yugoslavia's high rate of population increase and retarded economic development prior to World War 11 resulted in a considerably larger population in agriculture than could be efficiently 19 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 HIGHER OR RICHLY SEMISKILLED LOW SECONDARY SKILLED AND AND PROFESSIONAL YEAR TRAINING SKILLED UNSKILLED EDUCATION TOTAL* PERCENT 1961......... 5 21 160 5 191 5.9 1962......... 5 31 190 10 237 7.1 1963......... 8 30 179 13 230 6.8 1964......... 9 23 168 13 212 5.9 1965......... 11 28 185 13 237 6.5 1966......... 17 35 192 1-, 258 7.2 1967......... 26 40 189 14 269 7.6 1968......... 43 49 206 13 311 8.5 1969......... 43 46 231 11 331 8.7 1970......... 42 41 228 8 320 8.1 *Figures may not add to totals because of rounding. (registered unemployment as a proportion of paid employment excluding apprentices) reached about 9 Since then, average monthly unemployment has remained within the range of 320,000 to 330,000, as shown in Figure 13. There is a pronounced seasonal swing in unemployment, due in large measure to the curtailment during the winter months of construction, forestry, and other activities. Unemployment registrations normally rise sharply in January and reach it peak during February and March; the low occurs in July and August. There are remarkable regional variations as well. The unemployment rate in Slovenia is the lowest in Yugoslavia, while in Macedonia and Kosovo it is the highest. Unemploy- ment in the south results principally from village -to- city migration. Population pressure is considerable in the predominantly Muslim areas and drives many of the men to abandon subsistence agriculture. Wage earning employment opportunities are severely limited, however, for the region remains largely unindustrialized. Persons with no marketable skills accounted for 80% or more of the registered unemployed until 1965, but this percentage had declined to 75% by June 1969. This downward trend results in part from an absolute decrease, since 1965, in the number of unskilled females registering at government employment offices. At it time when employment prospects are especially poor, many housewives appear to have withdrawn from the labor market. The number of secondary school and university graduates unable to find jobs has soared upward since 1965, as shown in Figure 13. The problem is severe in Belgrade (where: the last accurate data showed that in 1967 graduates comprised about 21% of the city's registered unemployed), and in other cities with large student populations. School graduates with specialities in commerce, administration, the humanities, law, and economics encounter the greatest difficulty in finding jobs. Joblessness has risen steadily but less rapidly among skilled and highly skilled workers. Of the skilled workers, the highest incidence of unemployment occurs among officeworkers, followed by drivers, masons, carpenters, farmers, foresters, fishermen, tobacco processors, and metalworkers. This reflects the streamlining of government administration and cutbacks in industries where business activity is lagging. The government clearly regards the employment of young professional and skilled workers as a matter of urgency. The outbreak of student unrest in June 1968 hastened the adoption in midyear of measures aimed at guaranteeing jobs for skilled and qualified young people and at stimulating an overall increase in employment. A hitherto ineffective law was amended, in effect to compel enterprises to establish training programs and to accept qualified youths as trainees. A related measure requires craftsmen in both the private and socialist sectors to hire apprentices. Another 1968 measure requires enterprises to draw up job classification systems which clearly specify the qualifications required for the job. This requirement, and it companion measure which guarantees priority of employment to individuals with the highest qualifications, is intended to curtail the widespread practN-ce of filling vacancies on the basis of "connections" and in sonic cases even bribery. Underemployment is prevalent in both agriculture and industry. Yugoslavia's high rate of population increase and retarded economic development prior to World War 11 resulted in a considerably larger population in agriculture than could be efficiently 19 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 utilized in farm work. While the large -scale movement away from the land since the war has diminished agricultural overpopulation to some extent, roughly 12% of the 1961 population in agriculture was estimated to he surplus. A substantial reduction of underemployment in industry (about 10(/,, of the industrial work force in early 1966 .vas considered redundant) is one of the cardinal aims of the economic reforms, and is being achieved to some extent through dismissals aril reassignments. 3. Labor productivity and working conditions U /OU) Productivity levels in agriculture and industry have been low throughout the postwar period. Although some improvement has taken place in industry in response to government efforts, the level of labor productivity in Yugoslavia remains well below that in many other European countries. The low productivity of agricultural labor in the private sector is linked with village -to -city migration, low farm income, inaelequate utilization of technological advances, sociological attitudes, and skill shortages. The movement away from the land is gradually depriving the agricultural labor force of its most productive members, for migrants to the cities consist almost entirely of the young and able bodied. The manpower shortage in some villages has forced older peasants to cut hack production or sell their land. Few private farmers have the cash for substantial investment in improved seeds, fertilizers, or equipment, and the small size of their holdings frequently preludes potentially productive mech- anization. Among the older peasants there is considerable resistance to change in farming techniques which have been handed down from generation to generation. Distrust of the government because of frequent changes in its agricultural policy also contributes to low productivity. While productivity is much higher on the large mechanized farms in the socialized sector than it is in private agriculture, the shortage of skilled personnel and carelessness in the use of farm machinery lessen the effectiveness of agricultural investment. I'he� productivity of industrial labor lagged seriously until the early 1960's wlwn the government launched a series of economic reform measures %%hick culminated in the reform of July 1965. (laving identified high production costs as it leading cause of Yugoslavia's economic difficulties, the government moved forcefully to establish profitability as the criterion for successful business performance. Tax measures introduced in 1961 provided management 20 with a strong financial hicentive for economizing on manpower, investing in more modern equipment, and otherwise increasing labor productivity. The federal government's labor productivity agency was reorganized extensively in the same year, and its research, publishing, and consultative activities were stepped tip Wasteful utilization of manpower is a leading cause of low labor productivity in industry. A substantial degree of overstaffing resulted from the irrational and uneconomic hiring practices which prevailed. The harmful effects of redundancy were largely ignored because of the government's desire to maintain full employment. Beginning in 1962, however, enterprises were encouraged to dismiss surplus workers and to keep new employment to a minimum. The workers councils, which must approve dismissals, proved fiercely protective and tended to ignore financial and other inducements to dismiss surplus workers until stronger measures were introduced in 1965. Mass dismissals since 1965 have become a source of blue collar discontent and have evoked criticism from the usually acquiescent trade unions, but the government appears determined to continue its attack on redundancy. 'Che irrational utilization of skilled personnel which results from favoritism in hiring and placement has .also conk under attack from the government. In 1968 the regime moved to assure priority in employment to the most suitably qualified job applicants. Many enterprises, however, continue to reject job applicants with impressive technical or manaticrial credentials and to accept less qualified candidates with connections or "pull." Chronic absenteeism and excessive labor turnover contribute to the low productivity of industrial workers. The problem is greatest in the recently industrialized areas, but also exists in Slovenia and Croatia, where the tradition of industrial labor dates back to the lust century. Throughout the country the large -scale movement of peasants into nonagricultural occupations creates problems of industrial discipline. The newcomers' lack of industrial experience is manifested in lack of punctuality and reliability and in generally poor working habits. The widespread practice of holding two jobs �one in the socialized sector, which provides social insurance benefits, and another, often more lucrative, in the private sector results in fatigue, carelessness, and lack of diligence. Strikes are not legally sanctioned in Yugoslavia, but "work stoppages" are tolerated its an acceptable expression of worker discontent and usually result in at least partial concessions to the workers' demands. The APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 duration of the stoppages, however (roost last only a few hours, or a few clays at most), do not have significant economic impact. The second Self Managers Congress of May 1971 was originally slated to propose some form of legalization of %%ork stoppages but at the last moment shied away front making such a proposal. Yugoslav industry is in the midst of it changeover from it 48- to a 42 -hour workweek which began in late 1963. Full implementation of the shorter workweek has been delayed, however, by the failure of many enterprises to register commensurit^ productivity increases as required by the government. The switch to shorter weekly working hours is being supervised by the government to insure that overtime does riot rise as working hours are reduced. Usual working hours in firms which are still on the 48 -hour week are from 6 a.m. to 2 p.m. (including a 30- minute paid luncheon period), 6 clays a week. Afternoon and evening hours are frequently used for moonlighting or attending classes. Most enterprises on it shorter workweek have reduced the number of hours worked on Saturday; some have eliminated Saturday work altogether. Workers in government offices and public institutions, who have been on a standard 42- hour, 6 -clay week since 1957, no longer enjoy the leisure of long afternoons. "Their daily schedule was changed in 1967 to 9 a.m. -4:30 p.m. Output per man -year is not reduced by excessive leave and holiday arrangements. Annual leave of 14- 30 working days per year, depending on length of service, is grunted to all wage and salary earners who have completed at least 11 months of continuous employment. Leave is also granted for special purposes (military service, appearance at legal proceedings, important family occasions) and on public holidays, which are celebrated on 1 and 2 January, I and 2 May, 4 July, and 29 and 30 November. Standards of industrial health and safety arc generally low. In 1967, which was proclaimed Labor Safety )'ear in connection with an international labor safety congress hosted by the Yugoslays, official attention was directed to the high accident rate and deplorable safety conditions which prevail in many bran:�hes of industry. Losses arising out of industrial accidents averaged about the equivalent of USS400 million annually during the 1960's. A 1965 law on labor safety prescribes standards for safe and healthful working conditions, requires the use of protective clothing and equipment in hazardous occupations, and redefines tk; responsibilities of the labor inspectorate, which ha.s functioned since 1959. Safety regulations tend to be ignored by labor and management alike; the government inspectors' warnings are frequently disregarded, and many workers are careless with machinery, ignorant of its hazards, and fatalistic about the "inevitability" of accidents. Although the number of work injuries and fatalities is considered excessive by Yugoslav safety officials, there has been it decline in the 1960's. The industrial accident rate %%as 6.3 per 1000 workers in 1965, compared with 87 per 1,000 in 1961. According to the latest available social insurance data, the annual number of work accidents declined from 307,000 in 1961 to 231,000 in 1967, with fatalities declining from 681 to 438. Yugoslays move readily from one occupation to another and tend to advance rapidly within the industrial hierarchy if they possess marketable skills. The shortage of skilled workers and of competent professional, technical, and managerial personnel provides opportunities for rapid upward mobility. The government has led the way in advancing workers, technicians, and administrators who display initiative and promise. While good performance is a primary criterion for advancement, personal connections are often essential, and demonstrated political reliability is required as well for appointment to responsible posts in government and industry. 'rhe unwillingness of most Yugoslays to settle outside their native region limits the movement of qualified workers to areas which stiffer acute skill shortages, and contributes to an oversupply of certain skills in some of the large cities. Government attempts to promote geographic mobility have been largely ineffective. Slovenes and Croats in particular are reluctant to leave their native republics for work in other parts of the country, including the capital. I'm students and workers from elsewhere in Serbia and the south, however, the lure of Belgrade often overcomes' regional attachment. Rising unemployment in the latter half of the 1960's led the government to encourage temporary migration abroad. The number of Yugoslays employed abroad reached over 800,000 in late 1970 (nearly all in Western Europe, including some 425,000 in West Germany). Since then, partly in response to complaints, notably from Croatia, that skilled workers were being lost, there has been an effort to encourage some workers to return, particularly those who have developed skills that are needed at home. Relatively few of these workers take up permanent residence outside Yugoslavia, but many do remain abroad for several years. 21 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 Government employment offices %%ork closely with foreign firms in need of labor and assist Yugoslav jobseekers in obtaining passports, visas, work permits, and other documents. The regime attaches great importance to formal intergovernmental agreements, which are designed to regularize the status of Yugoslays who have entered other countries illegally, to provide a regular procedure for entry and employment, to assure foreign countries of a steady flow of Yugoslav labor, and to protect Yugoslays abroad with respect to wages and social insurance. Such an agreement was signed with France in 1965 and with West Germanv in October 1968. Representatives of the Confederation of Trade Unions of Yugoslavia frequently meet with Italian and West German trade union officials in order to guarantee the rights of Yugoslav workers in those countries. 4. Income (U /OU) Living levels in both the rural and urban areas have improved markedly since 1950 and are considerably higher than in pre -World War II Yugoslavia. Peasants in even the poorest parts of the country have been drawn into the money economy and have cash at their disposal for the purchase of clothing, furniture, and cmmsumer durables w'tich traditionally had bee,, a rarity in most peasant households. The disparity between living levels in the countryside aad in the cities, however, is still great. Urban workers' incomes are far higher than peasant incomes, and citydwellers are more consumption oriented, buying heavily and often on credit. The variety and quality of goods available to the Yugoslav consumer compares favorably with other Eastern European countries, and prices are generally lower relative to wages than elsewhere in Eastern Europe. Compared with Western Europe, however, Yugoslavia is a high -cost country. The prices of refrigerators, TV sets, automobiles, and other consumer goods coveted by the Yugoslav worker are at least as high as in Western Europe, while Yugoslav wages are far lower. In many instances, however, an apartment is included with the workers' job at a nominal rent. With his income free of onerous housing expenses, the average Yugoslav is thus able to buy more of the consumer goods available. Real income in Yugoslavia deteriorated sharply in 1965, 1966, and again in 1972 as a result of currency devaluations. As a result, widespread dissatisfaction with spiraling living costs continues to be expressed through work stoppages aril criticism of prevailing wage levels.:' "Since 1967 there has heen a lack of continuity in reliable statistical information on income levels and distribution. General data for later years are used when available, but trends and comparisons based on this data are tenuous. 22 The per capita income of peasant households, is only half to three fourths as much, on the average, as that of nonagricultural households. According to a 1966 survey of peasant households, avenige annual income in the countryside totaled 11,693 dinars (US$93.5.44)' for a family of 4.7 members. Money income from working the family landholding amounted to only 35% of peasant household income in 1966, while paid employment in industry provided 21 as shown in the ollowing tabulation, in dinars: Sale of agricultural produce Other sources of money income: Paid employment in industry Paid employment in agriculture Family allowances Pensions Other 4,088 2,473 226 75 520 868 Total 4,162 Value of income in kind 3,443 Total 11,693 Money wages have moved r, .)idly upward since the early 1960's, and virtually skyrc, -keted from 1964 until early 1967, when inflationary curbs imposed by the government began to take effect. Money earnings in the nation as a whole rose by 38% both in 1965 and 1966, but by only 14% in 1967. The sharply rising cost of living has, however, largely counteracted the pc5t- 1965 gain in money earnings, and the gap between money and real earnings has widened. The guaranteed monthly minimum wage was raised in 1968 to 300 dinars (US$24), but actual wage rates generally exceed Lie guaranteed minimum by a substantial amount. Average monthly earnings (base pay plus overtime pay, premiums, awards, bonuses, and residual income shares) increased from 204 dinars in 1961 to 787 dinars in 1967. This average rose to 1,173 dinars in 1970. Slovenia outranks the other Yugoslav republics, with a monthly per capita income of 1,376 dinars, whit Kosovo has the lowest income rate, 967 dinars. Average monthly income by economic sector in 1970 is Shown in the following tabulation, in dinars: Agriculture and fi ^hcries 962 Forestry 1,089 Construction 1,127 Industry 1,120 Transportation and communications 1,277 Arts and crafts 1,077 Housing and public utilities 1,142 Covernment and social services 4,473 'Income figures are given at the dinar rate far January 1966 (12.0 dinars US$1.00). 'Income figures are given at the 1970 rate of 15 dinars= US$1.00. APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA� RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 Thcre is considrahle variation within each industrial branch, resulting primarily from differences in the structure of the work force. Coal and coke mining and the printing and publishing business rank among the most highly paid branches in manufacturing and mining, with average monthly salaries in 1970 ranging from 1,434 to 1,681 dinars. Earnings are lowest in the textile and leather industries and in tobacco processing, ranging from 857 to 988 dinars. Wage differentials rewarding level of sk'sll are fairly narrow in Yugoslavia. In 1966 highly skilled workers employed in the socialized sector earned less than twice as much as the unskilled. The earnings ratio between persons with university -level training and the unskilled was 2 7:1. The charge of inequitable income distribution is aired frequently in the press, and underpaid workers complain bitterly of the "exorbitant' salaries commanded by top- ranking personnel. Wage data indicate, however, that such salaries are relatively uncommon and that skill differentials do not provide sufficient incentive for the acquisition of additional qualifications. The problem is more properly one of rapidly rising living costs and increasing hardship for workers in the lowest income brackets. The highly paid group included many enterprise directors, top party officials, and other members of Yugoslavia's" new class," whose influence entitles them to vacations, housing, and trips abroad on a scale which is far beyond the reach of the population at large. The cost of tringe benefits was estimated ii: 1967 at approximately half the total wage bill. The social insurance systeci, which is financed by employers at a maximum rate of 20.5% of gross payroll, is the largest single expense. 'These social insurance benefits, however, are playing a decreasing part in family income. They accounted for 5.4% of the 1967 income of a four member worker's family, compared with 9.3% in 1965. Other fringe benefits provided by large enterprises include low -rent housing, medical services, vocational training, subsidized restaurants, trinsporta- tion, and vacation and recreational facilities. 5. Labor problems (C) The low level of labor productivity is a serious and persistent problem. Even more urgent, however, are increases in unemployment and living costs which have emerged as dominant issues since the mid- 1960's, with political as well as economic implications. Productivity levels seriously '.fait Yugoslavia's ability to compete on the world market and generally impede economic growth. They are linked with the inadequate education and training and poorly developed skills of much of the work force, ehe careless working habits of the relatively large number of industrial workers who have but recently left traditional agriculture, and glaring deficiencies in business organization and management. The government is under growing pressure from the trade unions, students, and the populace at large to alleviate the unemploymen situation, and demonsira- tions in June 1968 by students in Belgrade and elsewhere focused attention on the bleak employment prospects for Yugoslav youth. The unemployn problem results basically from the inability of the nonagricultural sector to absorb the steadily growing number of labor force entrants. A large proportion of these are rural youths, with no industrial skills or experience, who seek employment doing menial tasks in the cities and towns. Those who find jobs in industry tend to be among the first laid off or dismissed, but they usually maintain their ties with the village and can, if necessary, retreat to the family farm. Most worrisome, however, is the increasing scarcity of jobs for skilled workers and for professionally qualified secondary school and university graduates. Their plight points up a serious deficiency in Yugoslav manpower planning: thousands of young people are being trained in occupations with which the economy is adequately supplied, while shortages persist in ot,_ ^r fields. Mea ,ures designed to open up job opportunities for skilled workers and qualified professional personnel were adopt..d in 1968, but job prospects ':`or the unskilled remain poor. The government is committed to the implementation of the 1965 economic reforms �an ambitious attempt to lower production costs, rationalize the price structure, and achieve economic stability. If the program continues to be implemented, the primary stress will be on modernization rather than sheer econor :'ic expansion, and the government will try to resist demands for assistance on the part of ailing industries and enterprises. This would mean slower growth and a continued high level of unemployment by past Yugoslav standards. The government has warned that full employment may riot be achieved for a decade or more. The wage level has also become a source of serious discontent, Lind brief wildcat strikes protesting wage policy have occurred with increasing frequency. The trade unions do riot condone strike action and the government is embarrassed by it, but strikers are rarely punished, for the regime moves cautiously, as a rule, in dealing with expressions of popular discontent. 23 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 6. Labor legislation (U /OU) Governmental control over labor is far less stringent in Yugoslavia than in other Communist countries. The government eschews compulsory allocation of manpower and relies on the operation of a free labor market to direct workers to occupations and industries where they are most needed. Federal legislation guarantees all wage and salary earners minimum standards of protection with respect to wages, working conditions, occupational safety, and social insurance, but the detailed regulation of all employment matters is left to the discretion of the individual enterprise or private employer. Enforcement of labor legislation however, is barely adequate. Violations of the safety regulations are especially numerous, and evasion and manipulation of the regulations on wages and dismissals also occur. The single most important labor law is the Basic Law on Labor Relations, which has been substantially amended since its adoption in 1965; nearly all of the major labor legislation was redrafted in 1965 -66. The Basic Law on Labor Relations applies to all wage and salary carnets; it governs hiring and dismissal procedures, hours of work, periods of rest and leave, special protection for women and young workers, the method of wage determination, labor discipline, and grievance procedures. This law is couched in general terms, however, and is supplemented by implement- ing directives and decrees, by republic and local' laws, and by enterpri >e regulations on labor relations. wages, and other matters. Responsibility for formulating and giving final approval to these regulations rests with the workers council, elected by the entire work force in each enterprise. Active participation by the work force (through the workers council aril its executive organ, the management board) in many of the decisions customarily reserved to management was introduced on a limited basis by a law of 1960. The system of workers' self management has undergone almost continuous modification since then, mostly in the direction of ever greater independence and responsibility for the workers councils aril other self management organs, and it now embraces the entire socialized sector. Workers' self- management is undoubtedly the most distinctive feature of the Yugoslav industrial scene and plays a prominent role in the regime's ideological explanation of its "separate road to socialism." Yugoslav legislation contains only brief and scattered references to grievance procedures and labor disputes. There is no law governing collective bargaining or strikes. The 1963 Constitution names 24 the Confederation of Trade Unions of Yugoslavia (C'TUY) as the organization through which workers may seek to improve their living and working conditions, but trade union rights and responsibilities are not defined in any of the legislation currently in effect. This legislative neglect reflects a conviction that smooth functioning of the system of workers' self management eliminates all areas of disagreement and dispute. 7. Labor relations (C) The Yugoslav system of economic self- management centers on the workers councils. The councils were established by law in 1950, -md their legal basis was embodied in the Constitution of 1963, which states that: The basis of the social economic system of Yugoslavia is free, associated work with socially owned means of labor, and self management of the working people in production and in distribution of the social product in the working organization and social community. Self- management in the working organization shall include in particular the right and duty of the working people to manage the working organi- zation directly or through organs of management elected by themselves. Each business enterprise, and public institution elects a workers council once a year. No more than one -third of the members of the council may be retained for consecutive terms. In large enterprises component work units elect their own councils, which send delegates to compose the overall enterprise council. Nominations can be made by the enterprise trade union branch, the existing workers council, or a group of at least 5% of the total number of workers in the enterprise. A majority of votes is needed to win a place on the council. Voting is by secret ballot. The council elects a managing board as;ts executive arm to oversee the implementation of its decisions. "Three- fourths of the managing board's membership must be composed of workers engaged in production, but the chairman of the workers council may not be a member. The managing board chooses its own chairman, who may not be the enterprise director. The workers council makes basic decisions on the enterprise economic activity, organization, internal relations, and personnel policy. It also selects the director of the enterprise. The enterprise must publicly advertise openings for the position of director, who is then selected from among the applicants by the workers council. As an institution, the council has had varying success in actual operation. Some have worked well; APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 others have not been equal to economically wise decisions when facing such choices as higher salaries versus the purchase of modern equipment. Where self management has been applied to institutions such as hospitais, a frequent complaint is heard that workers are making decisions in areas where they are totally unqualified. Although it is unconstitutional to impair the function of self- management, the Yugoslav press has been frill of denunciations of party or technocratic interference with the decisions of workers councils. With the evolution of the workers' management system, the role of the trade unions has undergone substantial change. Originally, the unions, under the ieadership of the Confederation of Trade Unions of Yugoslavia were a strong arm of the regime, entrusted by the Communist Party with controlling the workers to stimulate productivity, to assist party control of production, and to carry out state social welfare policies. The introduction of the workers council marked the beginning of a general decline in the importance of the trade unions that lasted into the mid- 1960'x. Since that time there has been considerable ferment in the CTUY as it has sought an ever expanding role as protector of worker interest. The result has been that the CTUY, with 3,448,072 members in 1970, has become the third largest, and one of the most important, mass organizi.tions in Yugoslavia. Trade union objectives are still determined in general terms by the party, and the CTUY recognized in its revised statute of 1964 the leading role of the party. The regime itself has sought to use the unions as a check against the workers councils in order to prevent these organs from exceeding the limitations which the party feels appropriate. But the advent of the economic reforms of 1965 and the fall of Tito's conservative heir apparent Aleksandar Rankovic in 1966 has led the CTUY to insist on more independence for itself than the regime envisaged. The union's leadership has more and more taken the side of the workers in the grievances against the government. Union leaders were particularly concerned over the fact that the 1965 reforms initially resulted in higher prices, a temporary decline in the standard of living, and widespread layoffs. Salaries of managerial personnel tended to remain steady or even to increase with the cost of living, while workers' salaries in unprofitable enterprises often dropped or delays occurred in payment of wages. In late 1966 and early 1967 the CTUY leadership was already beginning to take an independent stance. At that time the CTUY took issue with government slx)kesmen who blamed wage increases in excess of gains in productivity for causing inflation. They also fought government attempts to economize by trimming soeial security benefits. Despite this support, worker dissatisfaction with the trade union leadership burst forth publicly at the sixth congress of the CTUY in June 1968. For the first time the congress was relatively open and the voting for the new leadership was conducted by secret ballot. Union reformers and activists worked for a militant union more independent of the LCY and protective of worker interests. Delegates demanded more equitable income distribution and an end to the privileges of the government, party, and economic bureaucracy. The sixth congress also adopted a new CTUY statute in an effort to inject more flexibility into the organization. A new trade union conference was instituted, to meet at least once a year to consider problems of working conditions. The old central council was reduced in membership from 183 to 107 members and renamed the Council of the Trade Union Federation. The presidium, however, which is elected by the central council, was retained. The position of CTUY deputy secretary general was abolished, being replaced by a new vice presidency. The year 1971 was particularly noteworthy for increased trade union activity on behalf of Yugoslav workers. The CTUY openly opposed price increases, criticized the government for overlooking worker interests, defended the interests of Yugoslays employed abroad, and came out strongly in favor of improving the social and material position of the workers in Yugoslavia. In the past the CTUY has been, in part, the victim of the Yugoslav self- managing system, which implicitly questions the rationale for a trade union's existence since enterprises are managed by, and labor relations vested in, the workers themselves. With new problems involving Yugoslays employed in the West and inflation eroding workers' earnings at home, the CTUY is beginning to emerge as a strong power factor in a dramatically changing Yugoslavia. The CTUY's new role on national social and economic issues, however, must adjust to the position of the Communist party as it emerges from the current political reforms. With the ongoing debate over whether decentralization should be extended to include the party, the potential importance of the CTUY in playing a unifying role in Yugoslavia on a class basis cutting across regional boundaries and differences �could be enhanced. The CTUY continues to press for a greater role on behalf of the workers. At the trade union conference in March 1972, bread and butter issues and the union's role as defender of worker interests were dominant 25 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 themes. The conference proposed that the union have a constitutionally sanctioned political role. A demand was also voiced for a change in housing policies as well as for increased educational opportunities for workers children. Basicallv, workers are organized into six large functional unions, which have republic affiliates; these in turn form federations. Underlining the growth in importance of the republican trade union bodies, the Croatian trade union organization decided in October 1968 to change its name from the Federation of Yugoslav Trade Unions for Croatia to the Croatian Federation of Trade Unions. The Communist regime uses the trade unions as an instrument of foreign policy, annually sending numerous delegations to the less developed countries of Africa, the Middle East, Asia, and Latin America. Efforts are also made to maintain labor's relations with the socialist countrie- and the West. The Yugoslays studiously avoid close identification with either East or West, and are riot members of either the Soviet- dominated World Federation of Trade Unions 26 (WF although they send observers to WFTU meetings �or the International Confederation of Fr---e Trade Unions (ICFTU). E. Living conditions and social problems 1. Levels of living (U /OU) The standard of living in Yugoslavia differs markedly from one region to another. Conditic in industrialized, culturally Western, and prosperous Slovenia, .where education is high and unemployment low, approach a favorable comparison with thou: of Weste n Europe. On the other end of the scale is the economically depressed, rural, and heavily Muslim autonomous province of Kosovo .which suffers from chronic unemployment. Firm statistical data relating to living standards are often not available or are not very useful because they contain fragmentary information or averages. Certain indexes of levels of living in Yugoslavia may be compared with those of selected other countries, however, as is shown in Figure 14. APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 FIGURE 14. Compnrative levels of living, Yugoslavia and selected other countries (U /OU) APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 Despite the wide regional diffes2nees, the standard of living in ail areas of Yugoslavia has improved considerably since World s't'ar IL Under the 0 -year plan the regime is channeling funds into less developed regions to narrow the gap between the developed and underdeveloped fzarts of the federation. In urban areas consumer goods are readily available. Stores in Belgrade as well as in republic and provincial capitals are relatively well stocked, although the variety is at times limited, and open -air peasant markets coexist with modern supermarkets (Figure 10). Good housing is still at a premium, and overcrowding is common even in Belgrade where much new construction has taken place. Despite the completion of some 248,999 housing units throughout the country in 1968 and 1969, the construction industry h:,s failed to keep pace with the demand for housing. At the root of this problem has been the large and continuing migration of peasants to the cities with the resulting heavy demand for urban living quarters. Major differences in urban and rural housing relate not only to availability of dwelling space but also to quality of dwellings, the urban type being considerably superior to the rural (Figure 16). Housing conditions in the countryside, however, are gradually approaching urban standards. New rural housing is increasingly electrified, although indoor plumbing is still rare. Wells and outhouses, when they exist, are usually found in surrounding gardens. In contrast to most urban dwellings, rural dwellings tend to be privately owned. Urban housing since the war mainly takes the form of multistoried apartment buildings. Dwelling units are relatively small, usually with one or two rooms. In 1960, the latest figures available, of the 1,638,000 dwellings in cities, most (1,030,0(X)) had electricity, less than half (7090X)) uad toilets, some 809,000 had running water, and more than half (834,(X)0) had access to a sewerage system. Electricity, running water, and it sewerage system are usually absent in prewar urban housing, which in 1961 accounted for 64% of all urban dwellings. The standard of urban housing is significantly higher in the north than in the south. Most urban dwellings throughout the country have electricity. More than 00% of the urban dwellings in Slovenia have water and sewerage systems, but elsewhere the figure is far less than 00 Nearly all Yugoslays, from all walks of life and from all the diverse regions of Yugoslavia recognize that the regime has improved their levels of living. "There are, however, serious problems .which remain sources of Ixrp- idar discontent. 'rhe per capita income in 1971 stood at about US$I,000, but the regime's inability to curb spiraling inflation, which wipes out gains in income faster than they accrue, is one sore spot. Moreover, it is estimated that sonic 00% of a workers' earnings are spent just on food. At the root of the problem is the wide range of economic conditions between different parts of the country, as well as the general urban -rural cultural dichotomy. These factors, under the impact of peasant migration into the cities and increasingly modern cornmunicatic.:s, generate dis,-ti4action with living conditions among the "have rots" as they become aware of the level of living of the "haves." Despite the regime's efforts toward economic equalization, regional and urban -rural jealousies, based also on cultural factors, persist and hinder improvements in living standards. 2. Social Welfare (U /OU) Since World War 11, Yugoslavia's social insurance system has been vastly improved and extended into an all encompassing insurance system that includes health insurance, old -age and survivor's insurance (known in Yugoslavia as pensi.m insurance), disability insurance, children's allowances, and unemployment compensation. 'Total expenditures for health insurance alone -,were the equivalent of US$402 million in 1968. Before World War II, about 17% of the population was covered by benefits; by 1963 the regime had extended some form of social security to ti arly all the people and about half were covered by full social insurance. Social insurance coverage is not uniform, differing as applied to wage and salary earners, independent professional persons, and private farmers. The differences in coverage reflect regime attitudes toward the various socioeconomic groups. Wage and salary earners �the "working class received full coverage early and, in line with Communist ideology, are the most favored group. They are automatically covered by social security upon employment. Independent professional persons are covered by contracts between their professional associations and an institute for social insurance. Such contractural insurance has been secondarily useful in pressuring professional people to join the Communist controlled professional associations. Artists, including writers, musicians, and actors, are insured by special legislation. Compulsory health insurance for private craftsmen was introduced only in 1962, and compulsory pension and disability insurance in 1967. Compulsory health insurance for private farmers was established in 1909. Private farmers are not covered by comr alsory pension and disability 27 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 insurance, and they must arrange for coverage by contract. Health insurance has become 'he most widespread type of social insurance in Yugoslavia, embracing in sortie form about 98% of the country's populati.m. Pension and disability insurance are less widely distributed, but they cover more than 50% of tine population. Under the pending government reorganization, which will give more authoritN and power to the r ,-publics, the organization and financing of Yugoslavia's social insurance, which is already based on the principles of self management and self financing, will be decentralized even further. The 1962 law on Organization and Financing of Social Insurance, giving the government policyrnaking and supervisory control, will be drastically revised to give a greater voice in social insurance policy to local officials. The principal self management bodies for the insurance system :ire so- called communities of social insurance, established at the federal, r: .public, and communal levels. Separate communities of social insurance exist for w: (including independent professional persons and private craftsmen), and for farmers. Each community of social insurance has an elected assembly through which insured persons are supposed to exercise their self- management rights. 'ri assembly of a communal community is elected by workers councils in enterprises, trade unions, organizations of private employees, professional associations, pensioners' ..associations, and similar organizations. The assembly of a republic community of social insurance is elected by the communal communities. The assembly of the Yugoslav coil] in of social insurance is chosen by the assemblies of the republic communities. As the basic organs, co,nmwnal communities collect and provide fluids for health insurance and are responsible for vocational rehabilitation and reemployment of disabled workers. Republic communities are responsible for pension and disability insurance policy. The Yugoslav (federal) community of social insurance coordinates matters of common interest for all communities. The operational side of social insurance is conducted by institutes for social insurance at the communal, republic, and federal levels. 'These institutes implement the policies determined by the social insurance communities. The social insurance system is supposed to be self financing. Increased costs for medical insurance and pensions and inflation, however, have resulted in deficits. 'I'll( deficits usually have been covered by 28 loans. Farads for social insurance expenditures are formed separately for each branch of insurance. The funds accrue principally from contributions for wages and enterprise funds. For workers and ^mployees in the socialized sector, economic enterprises and government agencies pay the contributions out of personnel cost funds. Private employers tray for their insured employees. Self- employed persons and those with contractual insurance pay their own contribu- tions. Ilealth insurance benefits comprise health protection, compensation for loss of earned personal income due to illness or pregnancy, compensation for travel expenses connected with health protection, and grants for the birth of a child or the death of an insured person. Coverage extends to members of the insured's immediate famih and dependent relatives. Although most medical services are free, the insured pays part of the cost of drugs, voluntary immuniza- tions, and dental and orthopedic supplies. Health insurance is carried out on the basis of contracts between communal social i.,arance institutes and health institutions. This arrangement does not deny those insured the right to select their own physicians, but failure to obtain treatment on the basis of the contract may require the insured to pay an additional share of the expense. The increasing expense of the health insurance system, which more than doubled between 1964 and 1970, has led to suggestions that the insurants pay more of the cost of medical care. Although contracts between health insurance institutes and medical facilities sometimes work well, thev usually lead to inefficiency and do not stimulate better care. Some enterprises are considering contracting directly for medical services for their employees, bypassing the social insurance institutions. Eligibility for old -age pensions is determined by age and length of covered status. Pensions normally are payable to men at age 60 after 20 years of coverage and to women at age 55. The amount of pension is based on average monthly earnings and the duration of coverage. Periodic adjustments are made to account for inflation. Dependents have the right to a family pension upon the death of an insured person. Pensions are used by the regime as a method of rewarding its followers. Armed forces and internal security personnel, veterans of the partisan movement, and prewar party activists receive increased pensions. The expense of the country's pension system skyrocketed between 1963 and 1968, from the equivalent of about USM5 million to nearly $620 million. Despite this increase, the pension systern fails APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 y� w 4 1 ELf 7- I I r, Tt It tip JPO S K ,1 r 1 1 s 1 4 t .rte f T a A i f APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 to provide a living income for mail% of its beneficiaries. In addition, abuse of the system is %%idvspread, and businesses often its( pensions to rid themselves of surplus manpower. "There is little uniformity in the dispensation of pensions, and no reliable data are available. In 1967, however, about half of all pensioners received no more than the equivalent of $20 per month. Full disability protection is offered to the usual categories of insured. Major benefits include disability pensions, disabilit% payments for serious physical injuries, occupational rehabilitation with cash krauts during training, and suitable employment with supplementary compensation. Children's allowances were introduced in the early 1950'x, but this form of insurance has lost much of its importance as a source of income. Not only have increases in the amount of the allowances failed to keep pace with the rising cost of living, but new restrictions have cut the number of beneficiaries from it 1966 high of 1,50 ,635 to 873,719 in 1968. Benefits and coverage for peasants awning private plots generally lag behind, even though the rural community makes up about half of the population. The unemployment compensation system was revised in March 1965, in time to meet the considerable additional unemployment which accompanied the economic reforms. Unemployment, which stood at 266,900 in 1963, had climbed to 315,6(x) by 1969, and would have been far greater if it were not for the more than ..+:0010 Yugoslays employed in the West. The unemployment compensa- tion system is supervised by communal and republic employment bureaus. The republics determine the contribution rates and level of monetary c mpensa- tion. Eligibility requirements are stringei.t, and probably less than half of the unemployed recieve benefits. Social protection involves assistance to the aged and indigent, minors, handicapped children and adults, disabled veterans and families of fighters killed in the war. and victims of natural catastrophes. Since no comprehensive program exists and communal authorities supply the funds and administration, social protection is uneven and usually inadequate. Facilities .and personnel for social work are in short supply, mainly because of IaLk of funds. Protection of the aged and indigent is based on communal statutes and ordinances. Financial aid in the form of permanent assistance or lump -stun payments is the most important hype of social protection. Because of restrictive eligibility require- ments and insufficient local budget appropriations, 30 mane needy persons are excluded from social assistance. Placement of aged and infirm persons in institutions usually is limited to the most pressing cases. Institutic,-is for the aged are limited in number and expanding only slowly. Communal welfare services undertake the rehabilitation of juvenile delinquents and care for orphans. Maintaining institutions for young people and supplying school lunches are other important forms of social assistance. The most important establishments for children are the day care centers for children of the employed. In the past, families in the upper income brackets have peen the main benefactors becausa parents must share the cost of these centers. In February 1972, however, the Assembly of Self- Managers in Zagreb, in the republic of Croatia, went on record in favor of reforming the child care center system. Under their proposal, parents with low incomes would not be charged for placing their children in nurseries and kindergartens. Legislation involving protection of disabled war veterans and their families comes exclusively within the jurisdiction of the Federal Assembly. The program of benefits, which started in the early postwar years, has constantly expanded, the whole cost being borne by the federal budget. Among other benefits, disabled veterans have a lifetime right to free medical care. The Federation of Disabled War Veterans offers its members reduced rates at convalescent homes. 3. Social Problems (C) The impact of rapid postwar industrialization and socialization on an economically backward nation has resulted in it disruption of traditional cultural values and aggravation of major, chronic, social problems: alcoholism, illiteracy, inadequate housing, and unemployment. As the Yugoslays have attempted rapidly to pull themselves into the 20th century, they have also encountered typical modern social problems: an increase in certain types of crimes, juvenile delinquency, drug abuse, alcoholism, and disturbed family relations. Only in the latter part of the 1960's was the regime seriously beginning to look for ways to combat these problems. In February 1972 Yugoslavia became the first Eastern European country to introduce legislation prohibiting the advertising of tobacco and alcohol in the public media. The chief factor compounding the social problems of the post -World War 11 period has been the migration of thousands of literate and semiliterate peasants from rural to urban areas. The increased employment of women outside the home and the decline of the extended patriarchal family have added APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 to the migrants' problem of adjusting to urban life. The regimes discouragement of religion and attempts to keep religious influence at a minimum has weakened traditional values of society. In most instances, however, the regime has not totally succeeded in replacing such traditional values with new ones. Laws on criminal offenses in Yugoslavia are a curious mixture of the traditional and the modern. In 1%8, for example, only 186 Yugoslays were convicted of various crimes against the state, while 37,802 persons were convicted of crimes against "honor and reputation." Adult crime in general has tended to decline in recent years. For example, the total number of persons convicted for all crimes fell from 133,714 in 1%0 to 118,824 in 1968. During that period the number of adult women convicted of crimes declined from 26,774 to 20,692. Only two major catagories of crime showed increases, crimes against civil liberties and rights and crimes against the economy. Lengthy prison sentences are unusual and most frequently are meted oil, for crimes against life and limh or property. Short sentences of 15 to 30 days or of 3 to 6 months are the rule. Many sentences are in the form of monetary fines, and suspended sentences are common. In contrast to the traditional criminal acts, economic crime generally has increased. Such shady practices as bribery in commercial transactions, embezzlement, tax evasion, and unjustified price increases are relatively common. In early 1972, a major investigation of tax evasion appeared headed for it large -scale scandal in Skopje. In 1968, 6,265 individuals were found guilty of economic offenses. Moreover, most illegal practices go undetected and politically influential persons usually escape Punishment, unless the regime determines to make examples of them. Public awareness of the situation helps breed cynicism toward the regime's administra- tion of justice. 'I'll(- steady increase in violations labeled "hooliganism" and in traffic violations has evoked it public outcry. As it result, the criminal code was amended in April 1967 to provide stiffer penalties and more flexibility in meeting both types of transgres- sions. The growth of juvenile delinquency, although still low b; Westeni standards, Lr s aroused the regime's concern. In 1959, 3,0(X) juveniles were sentenced for various crimes. By 1968 the number hall jumped to 6,468. Most convictions were for crimes against property, including an increasing number of auto thef.;. Belgrade is plagued by young thieves who prey on the diplomatic community by stealing cars, appliances, and clothing. The incidence of juvenile delinquency is highest in the more urbanized areas Croatia, Slovenia, and parts of Serbia proper �than in the more rural areas of Bosnia and Hercegovina, Montenegro, Macedonia, Kosovo, and Vojvodina. Students comprise the largest group of convicted juvenile offenders, and most of the delinquents come from reputable farni.ies of middle income, as well as from the families of high party officials. Yugoslav authorities emphasize that strained family relations are a major factor in juvenile delinquency. Alcoholism is a growing problem in Yugoslavia to which the regime is giving greater attention. It has been a major social problem ever since World War II, but only in the latter 1960's did the regime begin to examine the roots of the problem. Excessive drinking underlies many of the country's social and economic problems and undermines labor productivity. Although accurate statistics on alcoholism are unavailable, it apparently is the main social problem in Bosnia. In the Kakanj mining center there are individual workers who spend up to 60 of their personal income on alcohol. Regime efforts to stem alcoholism through associations to combat it and treatment centers have been inadequate. 4. Drugs and narcotics (C) Yugoslavia is a leading European producer of raw opium as well as a major transit point for drugs smuggled out of Turkey and the Middle East to Western Europe. In 1947, Belgrade, Ankara, New Delhi, and Teheran signed an international convention limiting their poppy and opium production to amounts needed for medicine. Since then, opium production has been sharply reduced in Yugoslavia. Nevertheless, officials in Belgrade estimate that between 1965 and 1970 some 33,000 kilograms of opium were illegally produced in the country. Drug addiction is on the rise in Yugoslavia. A leading "Zagreb daily in August 1971 estimated the number of drug users in the city to be near 5,000. Nevertheless, smuggling of drugs rather than domestic addiction is considered the major problem confronting the government. Drugs transiting Yugoslavia find their way into the United States either by direct smuggling O, distribution to U.S. servicemen in Western Europe. The Yugoslav Government is concentrating its antismuggling effort in Macedonia, which horders on Bulgaria and Greece. llerc, republic inspectors and officials of the Public Security Service have compiled dossiers on known or suspected sm In addition, 31 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 federal officials are cooperating in the campaign. The� use of trained clogs to unco%er concealed drug, has been eslx�c�iall% suc�c�essful. In ja imar% 1972. 16 drug smugglers %sere arrested and 250 kilograms of drugs were confisc at the Yugoslav- Bulgarian border to%%n of Dimitrovgrad. This amounted to one -half the total confiscated for all 1970. O[,I% since about 1970 ha%e Yugoslav officials puhlic�I% ac�kn(mledged that the% have a drug abuse problem at home. although the total number of addicts has never been revealed. The most recent and significant inme b% Belgrade aimed at combating the problem came oil 12 \1a% 1971, with the announcement of the formation of it Federal Narcotics Commission. Creation of the ne%v commission, corning in the midst of it major go%ernment reform, underscores Yugoslavia's serious concern over the problem. The new federal body is designed to develop and coordinate intensified research on narcotics addiction, and to organize it massive editc�ational effort among social and professional institutions for e,eedical treatment of addicts. In addition, the� new% commission is slated to redefine health care n�gulations to all(,%% treatment for addiction its one of the citizen's rights under the c�oiuitr% *s bealth program. and tc, encourage dc�%�elopment of specialized institutions for the treatment of addicts. Due to it shortage of funds and lack of trained personnel, it is milikel%r that the new narc�otic% cmrnmissimn %will have an earl% and effective impact on Yugoslavia's drug related problems. F. Ilealth (U /OU) 1. Medical care The post%rar de%elopment of public health services has been predicated on Iwo basic princ�iples� dec�entrolization of operations and health insurance. Vncler this decentralized sstem, hom each local commune plans and administers its own public health program, n�I%ing nwinl% on its o%vn financial resources. As a result, there is it %%ide disparity in the elualih, availabilil%, and administration of medical care. 1n Slmvenia and Croatia. as %%ell as in large urban centers throughout the counlr%, medical care is adeolua e, although belm%c the standards of NYestern Mro pe. Els�%vhere, health care is uneven at hest and lacking at %worst. In most southern and rural cmtrtmicmes of the c�otintr%, for example. there is an almost total lack of medical facilities and trained personnel. Because of the Yugoslav regimes connlitnx�nt to local autonom%, i.e., decentralization, the public '3.2 health s%stem is characterized b% it prolife ation of small, separate, regional health institutions, each %%ith limited resources, facilities, and personnel. Efforts have been undemaa since the earl% 1960's to, integrate these small units into larger ones. but progress has been slo%%. For example. not e% (-it the� blood transfusion service has been coordinated on a national basis. Each republic has its oven regulations and s%stems of operation, and the (Itiality of the eyuiprnent and service curies c�onsiderablx. Periodic shortages of blood occur, and Yugoslav authorities believe it .would be necessary to double the amount of blood no%c obtained in order to fill national reyuire�rments. The Yugoslav Bed Gross is the primary agent for soliciting donors, but apparenthi it has no nationall% coordinating role. The In:,titute for Blood Transfusion of Serbia is the principal procurement and production fac�ilit% for blood and blood products National health policy is formall% determined by the Social Welfare and Ilealth Chamber of the Federal Assembly. Most federal health legislation, bo%%�ever, is prepared by the Council for Ilcalth and Social Policy, %%hick replaced the former Federal Secretariat for Health and Social Policy in April 1967. "I'll� Council for Ilcalth and Social Police functions more as a coordinating body than did the old secretariat. Most activity ill public health matters has been relegated to the republics, each of which has a secretariat dealing %cith health matters. Republic assemblies (parliaments) also have i t social- Ilcalth c�handwr as one house of their legislature's. The health insuranc�c program covers nearly Wi of the population. Oil an average, Sir of it %%orkcr's %%;ages go for insurance premiums. I fealth institutions, although lomuinalIN independent, self- nuuuuging entities, are obliged to honor the rights of tIl- insured. As a result, curative services have been emphasized in practice at the expense of prc�centi%�e uneclic�ine. 'I'hc health insurance program also influenced the concentration of most health facilities in industrial and urban centers. %%here� until the introduction of health insurance foragricoltural %corkers in 1959, most of the insured lived. I)espite the qualitative and organizational shortcomings of the Yugosla% health s%steun, health care since World War 11 has impro%ed draunatic�all%. The dealh rate for the c��untr% as it %%bole fell from 12.7 per 1.000 inhabitants in 1947, to 8.7 in 1968. Infant mortality (Iropped from 116 per 1,000live births in 1953 to 59.8 per 1,000 for males and 5 -1.3 per 1.000 females in 1968. "these rates, ho%%r%er. flmc�tuate %videl% from region to region relative to the repmhlic's APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 developneat. [n economically advanced Slovenia, the infant mortality rate in 1968 was 26.8 per 1,(x10; in underdeveloped Bosnia and Hercegovina the rate was 62.6 per 1.(x1(1 (down sharply, however, front 80.0 per I,(X)0 in 1966). In Kosovo, the nation's poorest region, the infant mortality rate in 1968 was 118.5, it figure that in fact represents au increase from the 1966 level of 111.2 per L(xx) live births. 1 11 1970 Yugoslavia had 259 hospitals with .06,726 beds of which 1:38 were general hospitals %with 73,941 beds. "There were also 245 medical centers with 8,287 beds. L 1970 the bed to population ratio was 1:180. To ease the load on the civilian hospitals, military hospitals (24 in 1966) often provide their facilities for treatment of the civilian population. In 1965 (tire latest available data), more Than 32,700 civilians were treated in military hospitals throughout Yugoslavia. "Tire military health system which, unlike the civilian service, has the advantages of nationwide organization and a greater uniformity of standards, may be thus attempting to correct the %vide disparity in the availability of civilian medical care. To what degree this is a regime- inspired policy and the precise magnitude of the military's role in providing health care for the civilian population are not known. There were 20,369 physicians in 1970, or about 1 for every 1,010 inhabitants. Most of the physicians remain in the urban centers or medium -sized cities, resulting in a lack of medical personnel in rural areas, particularly in the south. The shortage of dentists and oral physicians is not so severe; the country had 3,001 dentists in 1970. The latest available data indicate that there were 2,242 stomatologists and 2,687 dental technicians in 1968. In 1970 there were also 3,616 pharmacists, 4,077 veterinarians, 2,950 nudwive.,, 26,731 nurses, 1,941 assistant midwives, Nand 18,409 assistant nurses. Medical training in Yugoslavia lags behind that available in Western Europe. There are eight medical fac�ttltics in the country, although two, in Novi Sad and Nis,` graduated their first class only in 1965. The whole system graduates about 1,300 to 1,500 physicians per wear. Medical courses last 5 years, followed by I year of compulsory internship. At most medical institutions, however, a detailed internship program does not exist. Many of the regimes general policies with regard to the medical profession and the health system as a .whole have tended to discourage entrants into the field and to exacerbate existing deficiencies. The socialization of the medical services virtually all 'For diacritics on place names see the list of natnes at the end of the chapter. physicians (9WC' .work in socialized institutions �arid the abolition of private practice since 1958 are the most important factors. The proscription of private practice, including the strict prohibition against collecting fees on an individual basis from patients, is it particular issue of contention between the regime and the medical profession. In March 1971 a group of physicians in Belgrade demanded a restoration of the right of private practice, but received no encourage- ment from the government. This situation has only added to the shortage of doctors throughout the country, since many professionally trained men and women prefer to emigrate to the West %where opportunities for advancement are better. The governments curtailment i: the hiring of new physicians, a result of an economy drive associated with the economic reforms of the mid 1960'x, has intensified the outflow of trained doctors. Unsatisfac- tory salaries are also a major cause of discontent among the Yugoslav medical profession; delays in salary payments generated a short strike by all medical personnel in Ljubljana in April 1968. Diseases susceptible to relatively simple preventive measures have been effectively combated. Compul- sory vaccination has greatly reduced the incidences of diptheria, tetanus, poliomyelitis, and whooping cough. Malaria was virtually eliminated by 1962. The first smallpox epidemic in 40 years broke out in the province: of Kosovo in March 1972. Fourteen cases and one death were reported i the first 3 weeks of that month. The disease was apparently introduced by Muslim pilgrims returning from Mecca. A nationwide vaccination campaign was initiated and travelers leaving and entering Yugoslavia as of mid -1972 were required to have a valid vaccination certificate. There were a total of 173 cases with 34 deaths. The remaining major diseases are closely linked with congested living quarters and unsanitary handling and storage of food and drinking water. Heart disease is the major threat to national health, with an unusually high death rate (Figure l7). Gastrointestinal disorders strike even more of the population, but account for few deaths. Hepatitis is common, often occurring in localized epidemics. In 1968, gonorrhea was the fourth most widely reported infectious disease. Other major disease threats are amebiasis and shigellosis, infectious jaundice, and scarlet fever. An estimated 25% of the country's rural population suffers from a mysterious kidney disease, endemic nephropathy, apparently unknown outside the Balkans. Nephritis also occasionally becomes widespread, as in Bosnia in December 1965. In 1967, 33 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 FIGURE 17. Principal causes of deaths, 1969 (U /OU) CAUSE NUMBER PERCENT Enteritis and other diarrhoeal diseases.. 1,882 1.0 Tuberculosis and respiratory system... 3,563 1.9 Other tuberculosis, including late eff ects 424 0.2 Malignant neoplasms (cancer) 19,308 10.2 Benign neoplasms and neoplasms of unspecified nature 949 0.5 Diabetes mellitus 1,387 0.7 Chronic rheumatic heart disease 1,281 0.7 Hypertensive disease.....'............ 1,800 1.0 Ischaemic heart disease 11,420 6.1 Other forms of heart disease.......... ?6,860 14.2 Cerebrovascular disease 16,155 8.5 Influenza 4,372 2.3 Pneumonia 8,161 4.3 Bron.:titius, emphysema, and asthma.. 2,943 1.6 Peptic ulcer 1,061 0.6 Cirrhosis of the liver 2,384 1.3 Nephritis and nephrosis 1,979 1.0 C0119enitul anomalies 1.0:36 0.5 Birth injury, difficult labor, and other anoxic and hypoxic conditions...... 1,589 0.8 Other causes of perinatal mortality.... 4,699 2.5 Symptoms and other ill- defined condi- tions 49,787 26.3 Deaths by violence 12,052 6:4 VOTE� Sequence listed is according to the International Classification of Diseases (8th revision, 1965). rodent -borne hemorrhagic fever reached epidemic proportions in Bosnia and Hercegovina, which reported 156 ill and two deaths. Animal diseases of importance in Yugoslavia are essentially the same as those of other countries of southeastern Europe. Yugoslavia has generally made more headway toward control of infectious diseases than other Balkan countries and about the same progress as those of northern Europe. The country is still confronted with some animal disease conditions which are also public health problems. A majorsource of concern is infected milk from tubercular cows. Among the most prevalent anima( diseases are anthrax, Q fever, and rabies. Occasional outbreaks of foot -and -mouth disease usually are quickly localized and brought under control. The principal diseases in Yugoslavia which may be transmitted front animals to man are rabies, anthrax, and brucellosis. Control measures, such as vaccination and elimination of stray dogs and other animals, are applied with varying degrees of success. Harmful insects and plants abound. Of tl various species of mosquitoes, 35 have been identified and are particularly prevalent in the marshlands and lowlands. Extensive use of insecticides has greatly 34 reduced the mosquite population and the incidence of diseases spread by them. Other harmful insects and animals include flies, fleas, lice, ticks, mites, reptiles, and rats. Possibly as many as 3,000 species of medicinal and toxic botanical drugs and plants are found in the country. 2. Sanitation Yugos' -tvia has made some progress in improving sanitatit,.a and food handling methods, at least on the level of legislation; enforcement has been vested in the Federal Council for Health and Social Policy since 1967. In practice, however, neither personnel nor equipment is adequate to insure sanitary food distribution. In large urban centers U.S. -style supermarkets have adequate refrigeration, but in rural areas hygienically poor conditions are the rule. Laundry facilities and even water are sometimes lacking, as well as adequate storage space for food. Some cattle or hogs are slaughtered by the peasants and the meat is placed on the market with little or no veterinary supervision or control. Milk is often delivered to households in bulk and is frequently unsafe for drinking uniess boiled. A central sewerage system is available in-only about a dozen urban centers, and even in cities where a system is operational not all buildings are tied in. Principal cities depend largely or entirely upon surface drainage for the disposal of liquid wastes. In coastal towns sewage is sometimes discharged into the sea. Throughout most of the country, garbage is dumped into pits or piled up at distances sometimes less than one -third of a mile from human habitation. Most of the dumped garbage remains uncovered. Local and national programs for improving waste disposal have progressed slowly because of the cost and public apathy. Lack of sewerage facilities remains a nationwide problem. In Belgrade, as many as half the city's buildings are not hooked in to the sewerage system. In the south, particularly in rural areas, the general lack of proper sanitation facilities, especially waste disposal, increases the likelihood of serious disease in exactly those areas least able to bear the cost of prevention and cure. Water supplies generally are adequate, but sources vary from rr nt to region. Most of the population satisi its water requirements from wells, springs, and centr,J mater systems, although some use ponds, sl nvams, and cisterns. Piped water is available to about One- fourth of the country's population, but only about one -fifth is served by piped distribution systems. The APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 potability of water varies greatly, as do the standards and efficiency of water treatment plants in the major cities. In many areas methods of storage and distribution of water are primitive and highly unhygienic, although water control regulations comr*� to those in the United States have been on the statute books for years. More often than not the water comes from contaminated sources. In rural areas night soil is employed as fertilizer and pollution is common. Limestone springs and wells are often contaminated by polluted surface water. Legislation on the control and curbing of various forms of air pollution is on the books, but appears to be largely ineffective. The failure of the authorities to monitor flagrant industrial violators, the vague provisions of the law itself, lack of funds and staffing to assure prosecution, and public apathy are all factors vitiating pollution control. All industrial centers have major air pollution problems; as of mid -1972, foreigners suffering from respiratory conditions were being advised not to reside in Belgrade. In the event of a national disaster, Yugoslav civil defense authorities have at their disposal all personnel and pertinent installations of the federal and republic health services. In addition, the services of the nation's veterinary facilities, the army, the security police, the Yugoslav Red Cross, and the nation's mass organizations are immediately available. 3. Nutrition The diet of the population, although slowly improving, is� outside the urban areas� modest and for the most part monotonous. The average diet is adequate in terms of total caloric intake (3,190 calories per day in 1968), but remains deficient in meat and dairy products. The unsatisfactory protein content of the average diet reflects excess dependence on cereals and high carbohydrate foods. A major problem in limiting protein intake is the soaring cost of meat. Large areas of Yugoslavia �the western karst areas and the barren mountains of southern Serbia �arc food deficit areas. The populations of these regions depend largely upon Vojvodina and eastern Croatia to augment their food supply. While the Yugoslays are attempting to become self- sufficient in grain production, periodic droughts and flooding force purchases of foreign grain. Annual purchases from the United States under Public Law 480 supplied much of the deficit until 1966, when Yugoslavia ceased to be eligible for the program. Vegetables, such as potatoes, kidney beans, peas, cabbage, kale, tomatoes, carrots, onions, green peppers, garlic, and lentils, and cantaloupes and watermelons are grown, but not always in sufficient quantity to satisfy the domestic market. Mediter- ranean crops� olives, grapes, and citrus fruits �arr� grown along the Adriatic coast. Pork is the most popular meat among the non Muslim population, with beef the second most widely consumed meat. Sheep also constitute an important source of food among the peasants. Despite Yugoslavia's long Adriatic coastline, fish occupy only a minor place in the Yugoslav diet. Poultry is generally available, and game is abundant in forests and marshes. G. Religion (U /OU) 1. Religious influence and the state Religion has strong roots throughout Yugoslavia. The Serbian Orthodox Church was for centuries a rallying point against Turkish rule. The Roman Catholic Church, particularly under the influence of Archbishop Strossmayer of Zagreb, was a learling force in the renaissance of Croatian culture and nationalism in the 19th century. The Muslim religion became entrenched in Bosnia and Hercegovina and among the Albanian minority. In addition to the three main affiliations Catholic, Orthodox, and Muslim �there are 30 other religious communities in Yugoslavia. The geographic distribution of the three dominant religions is show in Figure 18. Although the Communist regime openly attempts to diminish the influence of religion in Yugoslavia, it nevertheless allows greater religious freedom than exists in any other Communist country. Some indirect controls, such as various degrees of dependence on state subsidies, continue to restrict church activities, but virulent antireligious propaganda has disappeared and obstruction of purely religious observances has ceased. The atmosphere of relative freedom in which religious services are conducted and their large attendance is startling� particularly in Catholic Croatia and Slovenia. In these two republics, as in Poland, religion is closely tied to nationalism and religious rites assume strong nationalistic overtones. The regime's emphasis on permitting Yugoslavia's various nationalities a wide latitude of cultural expression has directly buttressed religious freedom in Yugoslavia. Because the diverse historical and cultural traditions that characterize Yugoslavia's many nationalities are inextricably intertwined with specific religious influences, it follows that the more permissive the regime has become toward expressions of national 35 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100032 -0 14� R U S T R"t A. RWalon p IT. H :U.. 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