NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE SURVEY 42; THAILAND; THE ECONOMY

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APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA-RDP0I-00707R000200090026-8 CONFIDENTIAL 4 CONFIDENTIAL S E jF 11 Thadar April 1974 NATIONAL II` CONFIDENTIAL APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA-RDP01 -00707R000200090026-8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200090026 -8 WARNING The NIS is National Intelligence and may not be re- lea3ed o- shown to representatives of any foreign govern- ment or international body except by specific authorization of the Director of Central Intelligence in accordance with the provisions of National Security Council Intelligence Di- rective No. 1. For NIS containing unclassified material however, the portions so marked may be made available for official pur- poses to foreign nationals and nongovernment personnel provided.no attribution is made to National Intelligence or the National Intelligence Survey. t. Subsections and graphics are individually classified according to content. Classification /control designa- tions are: (U /OU) Unclassified /For Official Use Only e (C) Confidential (S) Secret x sy a' r f ZS' iCEAf .1., w x s.ytgS't w .P, uryi gB3y53 Y 4" Yw ''ssL �.,TS`Sra ya4, s X L wv C L A si'x`' i L e r zyr"�' pp s,x 'z s `f, X� sz o t s e 0 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200090026 -8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200090026 -8 Page FIGU)fiFa Page C. Economic policy and finance 21 D. International economic relations 30 1. Government policy 21 1. Foreign trade 30 2. National budget 23 2. Direction of trade 32 3. National monetary and banking systerin 27 3. Balance of payments 32 Manpower 29 4. International organizations 34 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200090026 -8 FIGU)fiFa Page Page Fig. I Cross domestic product (table) 9 Fig. 10 Central government revenues (table) 25 Fig. 2 Land use Ccitart) 5 Fia.: 11 Central government financing (table) 26 Fig. 3 Vegetation (map) 5 Fig. 12 Labor force by economic sector Fig. 4 Regional production of rice table) 6 table) 30 Fig. 5 Production of principal crops (table) 7 Fig. 13 Foreign trade (table+) 31 Fig. 6 Econonic activity (man) 11 Fig. 7 Mineral production (table) 13 Fig. 1.4 Composition of merchandis4 exports Fig, 8 Production of selected industries (chart) 31 (table) 16 Fig. 15 ltmporb by commodity group (chart) 31 Fig. 9 Central government expenditures Fig. 16 Direction of trade (chart) 32 (table) 24 Fig. 17 Balance of payments (table) 33 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200090026 -8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200090026 -8 k6 a' y, 9 w -y The Economy A. Economic appraisal (C) 'I'bailand is ogle of the few less deveioped countries to have sustained a rapid rate of cconoruic grosvllt during the past decade. Uk- ouomic growth for the 1962 -72 period as it whole averaged 7.V" alilowdlr. althour.h some slowdown occurred in the last fov years, with annual growth rates of (MM, 6.4%. sad 3.9 during 1,970 -72. As population grew about 350 anotuilly, real gross domestic product (GUI') per capita for the period increased an average of about .1.3 anuuaily. a very respectable performance lowlig low- inc)itil'. calmtriel. A remarkable feature of'1'hail:nnl's growth is that it has been accomplished. while the evouoniv is still largely agrieulttiral. Agriculture employs about 757c of the labor foree; together with processing :utd commercial activities related to f:araiiiig and forestry. it also accounts for naore than two- fifths of GDP. Although the imporlaace of fartning; irk national output 6 grad u: d IN dechiii rig, 'd'ha!lantl'suciiicvcnicnt of au avertge aiutual rate of growth of about 5 1 is ugriculturd output during; 1962 -72 is matched by few voutildos in Southeast Asta.'['hisgrowth wassuffieienl to provide for an increasing cnnsump[ion of food by Thailand's rapidly grving population aad surpluses for export. Bice emtimies to dominate like :agrieulhrral Wdov, having averaged nearly three fifths the annual net value of all craps produced from 1966 -70 :aid 229, of :iiinual exports during 1967 -72. The average output of paddy during; 1967 -72 was 23co shove lliat of the preceding a years. In contrast Ili the lortg -tens historical trend !it Thailand, where increases ill output depended catirely oil all expansion of the cultivated :trca, mercies over the last decade have resulted as iiutela frorn higher yields� prhuarily because of hupmved water cmti-ot --as frorn expanded clttiva- tion. Within the agricultural sector, [here has bccn a movement tow:artl a niore diversified range of products as well as Higher levels of production. hr 1.971 cony replaced rithber as the second itiosl i[iiportant agricultural commodity after rick in both pnttluctioit atilt export vabie. Due to inefficient processing techniques unit a long; -term decline in world prices. rubber exports in 1 ranked 3.1%, less than in 1960. even though the volume exported increased 91 s. Resides curs. other crops that have increased ill intpodaacc include keno�, cassava (tapioca), faung heaps, surg;huin, tobacco, and sugar- Although insignificant it decatle ago, these crops vow accotmt for about 20% of loth, exports. Thailand is one of the few less developed c)uatries to IMYC achieved some measure of succw -t in diversifying its agricultural exports. Thailand's agricultural progress is the more remarkable becalaSC the cauiitry is not well endowed With natural resources. Land Is relatively abundant, hia :ill irregular water supply aad, in sonic areas. infertile soil snake f;lrraiag; difficult. Considerable effort Eras beeii made to develop the nation's irrigation system, but most arable Iaud still lacks \voter control, and eroi7 production it] fatally areas a1 entirely depmdeut nil weather cmditious. F �crests provide leak, yang, alld other rood nseftal ill antstruction, as well as banilwo, which is lased extensively throughout the cotuatry for a variety of purposes. I1ovever, the logging industry has been poorly 111 aaag;Gtl, anti lttltclk of the readily amc.Lsible stock is depleted. Forestry's contribution to CDP fell from 2.5% in 15167 to 2.15% in 1972. Tin and fluorite are the only minerals proiduetid in i'hailatid in yu:mtities of internntioual Agntfic:alet. 'I'!u is the country's fourth largest export (1971'), and Thailand ranks third as a- >vorld producer. Lignite is the only fuel :available in sig;nificao.t quardity. 'f'eiloeeo and Union, twn of st:vertl eoirrpanies exploring for petroleum in the Gulf of Thailand, reportedly found traces of oil ill 1972, but no coamaercially exploitable field has been confirmed. Despite the liniiiel resource base, it solid start has been made toward utodemization outside of fanning. Steadilyelainihig a largersharc of natioiial output, the itoaagricultur:al sectors of the Thai' ecmiciniy grew during the period 1961-72 at in:averageannual rate of U,';. Together, these sectors increased their share of CDP fmin 63% in 1962 to', I% in 1972 (Figure 1). APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200090026 -8 I_1 �:tOIN 4I 7OM N =1 4 =F_m =W41I11:1111-M1 [wo] F_ !1] :1 1 1 ErIly Loy :llIrIrYIIrIIIItIrY 3 FIGURE 1. Sectoral origins of gross domestic product (U /OU) Amoy; the MOM rapidly growiltg sectors are electric (Value in millions of U.S. dollars; 1962 prices) all of Wilicil llsve gro- o ai aver ge.1111111;!! rates above 1O% since 1962. 'I'hC olit of C1eetricily and tike 1962 expansion of the proeesscd water supply, for example. 2154 Over (lie 1472 i:due Peramake Yalu. !'crcrntnHr agriculture 1.1aS.9 37.1 1.854.1 �9.t whole,alaand retait undo....... 4701.1) 15.5 1.076.10 Ui.s \lanufacturing 432.7 14.1 1,174.0 is .3 Servimi E99,2 .9. 663.0 10.3 Transportation and COmmumication+... 222.6 7.5 418.3 6.5 Construction 057.2 5.1 :800.11 i�s Pablie adadnistra+ion stud defense..... 137.0 4 273.6 4.3 Basuking, in,urauee, and rest} estate 71 2.3 277.-1 4� Ownership of dwellings 51.7 217 120.2 1 5 Mining mid quarrying 36.5 1.2 58 1 '�S Electricity and water supply.......... 15.3 -(?.r k29.3 Total 3.0167.2 100.0 6,�llb.3 10!1.0 Forces fur their achicycrilent. Public itivestrncnt ill trtnsptrtalion, power. and c0lllnrt11licat10oF has been cspcciully important in providing (lie iufrastructumr necessary to enhance it'Vestnlent prospects ill the private scelor. As a resuit. capital has grown at very high rtlCS. lrixccl irivesln}ertl grew it an avcrage annual rate of 14.2 in real ternis Irnnr 1961 to 1911 and imcrcawd its share of Gi)P front 14.11% 10 25.1:4 over the sank period. Over 1110 10 -year period, 6850 of invcslToellt has lakCil place ill the private sector. Although rLCY'lttll' Isstled decrees restricting foreign business and lltc employrncnt of foreigners it, Thailand rtlay have a negativC illlpact on future developments, traditionally the goverimmit's liberal itivestineot lawS have offend strong inducement to foreign participation in the CL'011011. \ouch of 'mailand's recent industrial growth l+as been spurred by foreign investors, partict:laTly japancsc and Americans, who have taken advantage of a favorable tax strilclure. a Stable an(i alnvertible CASIMIcy, 131d low-cost labor. Foreign investlaicull has been the prineitird mechanism for iintx)rting management and technical skills, modem dusigils, and training in moderih business lcclnli[lucs. Despite significant Progress in the JXISI SCVCraI years, the '1'llai CLOIIOrTIy iS Still llrirllt)Cri by SeVeral lmljor weaknesses. Futatre ecmomic growth is threatened by large disparities in incomes atltong regions, by a high birth rte that has compounded the difficulties Of providing an adequate educatio system, by Contmunisl- sponsored insurgency in remote rural areas, and by a leudcncy towarl slower growth of merchandise exports and redtived earnings from lite U.S. mihtarv. a v l APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200090026 -8 Amoy; the MOM rapidly growiltg sectors are electric power. hawking and inMIFU CV, alld mamifacturing. all of Wilicil llsve gro- o ai aver ge.1111111;!! rates above 1O% since 1962. 'I'hC olit of C1eetricily and tike expansion of the proeesscd water supply, for example. 2154 Over (lie expaulded at an ayera9v u meal rite of decade. "rite growth rite of w'holcs rte and entail !rude also esr(x[Ic(I the {lacy of the ecs+nOrm as a whole. The fast exP:msio31 of cuiuncTCc was reflect(.(' in rut r average rite of growth Of about l L?Sc utmually by the flanking, insuramc', amt real estate sectors. Manufacturing, which accounted for 18% of C DP in 1972. is still One [if like host (hvamic sectors' of kite ecY111[111fv, alllimigl' it, the l, few years MCSS cupacily (its become it Problem to some industries. "rite sector achieve(' ;ill average annual rile of growth of 9.5E from 1967 through 1972 compared t4. 1 L I% durinr, the prec'ceding 5 period. Ili part, grown Oyer the lasl dc�ca(le reflects the expansion of industry related to agriculture, but accelerition ill the growlll of other industries, which Hitherto had not Played significant rile in the 'Thai economy, as even uuirc rapid. increased Outplt Of cement, rCfillC(I pclrolculti, chemicals, and textiles resulted primarily from like expansion of domestic demand aCYompanyillg overlii growth of the ecmhoiny. M ajor elements Irl 'I "hailalHhs impressive eivoiloolic advance have been its stable Ixilitical atmosphere, soun(l economic an(I financial policie s, a high Tate Of saving and investment, and sizal)le imflows Of foreign Capital. The g(overnnlCTA has restricted it% role ill t he e4eim my largely to programing public itivCS i rilCrlt expe-l(htures willtin the frtmcwvsl( 0f mullivear (levclopmcnt plans. Plans establish targets for the various industrial wetors but rely essentially on rnarkel Forces fur their achicycrilent. Public itivestrncnt ill trtnsptrtalion, power. and c0lllnrt11licat10oF has been cspcciully important in providing (lie iufrastructumr necessary to enhance it'Vestnlent prospects ill the private scelor. As a resuit. capital has grown at very high rtlCS. lrixccl irivesln}ertl grew it an avcrage annual rate of 14.2 in real ternis Irnnr 1961 to 1911 and imcrcawd its share of Gi)P front 14.11% 10 25.1:4 over the sank period. Over 1110 10 -year period, 6850 of invcslToellt has lakCil place ill the private sector. Although rLCY'lttll' Isstled decrees restricting foreign business and lltc employrncnt of foreigners it, Thailand rtlay have a negativC illlpact on future developments, traditionally the goverimmit's liberal itivestineot lawS have offend strong inducement to foreign participation in the CL'011011. \ouch of 'mailand's recent industrial growth l+as been spurred by foreign investors, partict:laTly japancsc and Americans, who have taken advantage of a favorable tax strilclure. a Stable an(i alnvertible CASIMIcy, 131d low-cost labor. Foreign investlaicull has been the prineitird mechanism for iintx)rting management and technical skills, modem dusigils, and training in moderih business lcclnli[lucs. Despite significant Progress in the JXISI SCVCraI years, the '1'llai CLOIIOrTIy iS Still llrirllt)Cri by SeVeral lmljor weaknesses. Futatre ecmomic growth is threatened by large disparities in incomes atltong regions, by a high birth rte that has compounded the difficulties Of providing an adequate educatio system, by Contmunisl- sponsored insurgency in remote rural areas, and by a leudcncy towarl slower growth of merchandise exports and redtived earnings from lite U.S. mihtarv. a v l APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200090026 -8 I_1 �:160 :1 Ili 161:a 0 :1 111 1- im:W41I1Y1LQ11![ MWO] /edN 11 1 II1 1141kily :l4lIlY4lIlYIIIIY 3 e 7 a t Ceogriphically, vvonomic� growth has Followed the typically uneven palters of other rapidly developing nations. The prod uctive power of the nation has tended to polarin ill the ffaugkok urban urea, while tilt rurd areas have lagged fur behind. Estimates for 1968 show that per capita income ill the cenlrad plain amounted to $262, compared to $160 in the south, $114 in the north, and duly 882 in the northeast. Even thotigh the share of development cxpendilure-% allocated to reran areas has increased, regional disparities have widened. Despite [lie influx of C apital associated with U.S. mililury construction, per capita nluortie ill the northeast has 5how11 little irnprovelncnl during the past 10 years while the 50tith and north :rod even the rurll areas of the central plain have grown at a much slower pack Ilan the 11augkok area. The government has sought --with limited success --to remedy sonic of the more acute problems, of the rural sector with it wide ra itge of transportation. .tgriettllural, and educational programs. The highway progrartt has vastly increased the number of all weather routes connecting principal towns and provincial capitals. Numemm feeder roads have -list) been buill rider the U.S.- snpporled Aceeleraled Rural Development (ARD) program. Nevertheless, 'Thai- land's road net is still sparse, mid many villages remain inaccessible, especially during the rlitiv season. Since 1960, exletrsive inestartcnt in irrigation projects has reversed a long downward trend !it crop yields, but yields are still among: the lowest in Sontheust Asia. Production increases have conliuured to depend significantly oil expausiotl of the cultivatcci mea. In the future, growth in outpul must inereasinglydepend fill the application of technology to aellieve increased yields, bm -ause most of the remaining reserve land is of warginal quality. Although Thailand"s edluralionad system takes a veiv large proportion of the budget, educational facililies have not kept pace Willi the growth in population, and development is hampered by a critical shortage of qualified manpower a ,1 technical personnel al all levels. Since 196.5, 'Thailand has faced grooving Cont- Tttonisl- sponsored 'lnsurgeuey, hill the pace of ccemoritic dcvclapM111 indicalcs that the insurgency. confined to remote areas, has had little impact on t1?e ee nouty. Although the resources required to contain [lie insurgency could have been used more productively, its threat has awakened 'Thai authorities to the gravity Of social and economic problems ill matey parts of the country and impelled the adoption of far reaching programs of improvement which would not otherwise have been attempted at the time. National securily expenditures have substantially increased, and since U.S. assistanea began dropping off ill 1968. they have taken an increasing portion of the bmdgel through FY/ 197:3. Ill the oyeol of a inure� serious insurgency problem and /or continued deterioratimi of the military situation on its burden. even greate, securily demands would he placed on Thailmid's alreadv strained resources, anus severe cutbacks in development programs would lie 11 ec'essa n', International trade is of vital import to the Thai economy, The oontbind value of imports and exports in 1972 amounted to about $2.6 billion, an amount equivalent lO over one third of CDP. Thailand is almost entirely dependent on imports for capital goods needed to maintain and develop the economy. for many industrial raw materials. and for a hirge portion of its mrmufaetured consuruer goods. Despite some success with diversification, its export base remains narrow, nmd earnings are highly susceptible to world price fluctuations. In 1972. 51 of export carniugs stemmed from sales of five cvrntuodilies: rice, rulber. tin, corn, and tapioca, with other agricultural producls making ill) the bulk cif [he rernaiiider; exports of manufactured products are s111311 but growing rapidly. Japan is Thailand's principal trading pariner for both imports and exports, followed by [lie United States. 'Thailand sells nest of the remainder Of its exports to other Sonthcast Asian C(Ptlitrics, but it depends largely fin Weslern COl1otrics for the remainder dif its imports. Imports cousistenth e::xed exports, and trade deficits have widened as the dentand for some Iridiiional exports slagnated. and imports of hunt alnsunlerr and producers goods grew a pace. Thailand'; balance -of- payments positiou began to deteriorate ill 1967 after immy favorable years, although this trend was masked by certain special factors in 1971 -72. For most of the 1960's increasing tnide deficits had bccn more than Offset by capital Imports, foreign borrowing, and earnings from tOtirisrn. The forte lots infusim of $560 million from U.S, Tuililary spendilg during the 1966 -68 period largely offset Ills mlarding effects of drought noel lagging exports. Poorgrcnvl}i performance of exports in 1969 -70, however, was accompunied by a decline in U.S. military spending and a reduction of private iuvcstmeut, resulting in a simble loss of reserves over the 2 -year period. 'These losses we recouped ov the ne 9 years as exports made large gairts, Vir;tnanl- related spending ill Thailand increased after mid 1971, and tourist receipts increased. 'The Thai fiscil year hidudo it period fmm 1 Octuber to 00 Septernlrcr of the follo -Aug ycar, ii is designated by the year to srhich it ends. APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200090026 -8 I_1 �:160 :1 IM 161 0 :1 4 :F_F9:wW1Yy1111MMWO] Ela N 11:111 11111kilyj 3 lit the coming years. the detc�Tioratitlg trend is (-s1x�cicd to Continue. lsxparl volume will probably decline sh:erph iu i 6173, allhungh rccurdl hi1;h prices uF most agricullural cxpurts will offset the lass while foreign dlemmid for 'Thai agricultural products is mlicctcdl to remain strong at least through 19 Over the longer lean, powth in export earnings may fall off. "rilis is most likely in the case of ace as traditional imporliog cnuntrivs move closer to self sufficiency. The outlook for other agrividwral e,,\ports is inixel but, 4111 halanc�e, it does oat suggest rapid growth. D opite govc�tmuent auslerit� ra�asures, imports are especledl to continue item ising, since 11milaud is almost entirely dependent on imports for capital goods, for touch industrial raw material. and fora large portion of its tnammfavlured consumer goads. Based on ;t projected widctr'rng of tit(- trade gap. and expeedel (rather reduction in U.S. militaryspenling, prospects art for it decline� ill resents over the next 5 years. TImiland's healthy reserve p�r+sition, however. loaves it comfortable margin CUT fiRL016lg bat :uuc uf- payou�nis deficits. F I .c t i B. Structure of the economy (U /OU) 1. Agriculturc, forestrv. and fisheries Agriculture, forestry, and fishing constitute by far the most importmA sector of the Thai economy. Together, tiles(- comportents amount for the largest single share of national output �some 30% in 1972. Statistics on national output, however, temp to updtrxtale the true importance of agricultitre to the econunny, in part because of undervaluation of the comidembie portion of agricultural output alnsumtcl on tike farm. More indicative of agricultlirc s littportatice IS till' fact 1,11:1t, aCLOrding to the 1110A recent cslitimtes, the sector employs about TV; of the labor force. Agriculture has list) accounted for at least 8o`c of l�h :tiland's export carvings over the last 5 years. Rice and rubber have traditionally provided the bulk of these carvings, but in the period 1961 71, their comhined contribution dropped significantly, from 57% to 28%, while exiorts of other agricultural commodities. particularly cY>rt and tapioca, incre:tsecb their shwes. 'I "Imiland is sr.If- xufficicnl ill mast basic foods, although some agricultural items nulsl Ere imported. Imports of foodStUFFS �such as dairy products and wheat totaled! S3�1 million ill 1971, or about 85b of total imports, 'file most significant agricultural imports, however, arc raw cotton and ultmanuf.letured tobacco for use in 'Thailand's manufacturing sector, 4 Agricultural production is dependent oa uupredict- ablc ntatisuull rains, whiell, except ill ills extreme southern portions of the coonlry, occur from mid May through Sept in ber. 'rile nw;or agricultural region is located on tine centntl ]}lain of lilt' \lac Nam Ckto 1'hrlvu.:t river that has its sources in the northern mountains. This broad alluvial plain and delta systela benefits from tilt� deposit of rich silt daring animal flooding, and through a long history of canalization, hits becrmtc tilt area of intensive riLe cultivation. Other regions are relatively less favored agricullurdjv. The narrow punitlsula of the south is tllconly region in which rain falls the year round, bat nounlaiv ridges extend almost to tilt' sea in manly arras alotig the western coast. limiti. ;tg rice land largely to the coastal pl ;tins (if the ear:,, Rubber is grown extensively eon the infertile s :uuly and clan soils in the far south. IIarTllan! is scarce ill the seven provinces of t1W nortii :ltd is limited to narrow valleys and adjacent slopes. NOWT(- lilt� IMIU tiny irrigated soils arc rchttively fertile. :1t higher elevations, a }lldlndl rice and other crops are grown under tilt' method (if silifling cultivation. The northeast, where rainfall is less Ithltrldanl 4111d1 more vrritic, is the most poorly endowed rogion. Flat terrain :tad ina eepuMe1% drained sails in the area make effective irrigation difficult, and 111v region differs from both flood dantoge in tits rlim season and serimis droughts tit the dTy season. Unlike the central plain, flooding provides little positive effect in the marthcast, SiTlCe lilt' silt is composed mainly of s:uldstone, which does little to revitalixv the soil. -Of "i'huiEau:d's Will area of 125.5 millioli acres. farrnhoid in 1965 accounted fop Some30 million acres. 82c of which was under cultivation Figoms 2 and 3). �Clot following shows the percentages of land area and total farm) ;old accounted for by each region in lilt oriel- 196(ys: '['lie lmdolnin:uice of the central plain is explained by both the physical factors cited above and its proximity to the major markets and ports. In the last few years, the central region's sitars of cultivated area has probably decreased. since most of the expansion in troll acreage scents to have been in other regions, particularly ill the northeast. Some virgin land ix still available ontside tide delta region, but in must :areas all arable land is already being cultivated. APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200090026 -8 L.ca AISN_a FARM LAND Central 36 43 Northeast 33 33 North 17 6 South 14 !8 Total 100 100 '['lie lmdolnin:uice of the central plain is explained by both the physical factors cited above and its proximity to the major markets and ports. In the last few years, the central region's sitars of cultivated area has probably decreased. since most of the expansion in troll acreage scents to have been in other regions, particularly ill the northeast. Some virgin land ix still available ontside tide delta region, but in must :areas all arable land is already being cultivated. APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200090026 -8 I_1 �:160 :1 IM 161 0 :1 1111 1_F9:wW1Y1LQ11ll [:3Wd /edN 11:111 1111 Loy /:l4tIlY4tItYIIIIY 3 i iw is held under titles that confer less than full ownership. land is !his category is normally unam-eptable as collateral against loans. holdings average ahoul 10 acre~ in si'r.'. and are often divided into widely Total Area scattered parcels, int4M.101m11 utilization of irrigation 128.5 Million Acres and inability to use modern equil.menl result from this fragmentation. Far these, art(] other reasons� introduction of new techniques has been rather slow in 1'haitand. and fanning; by traditional methods still predominates. Crop rotation is rarely practiced. Plattting and harvesting are gcnerally dome with haucitools and draft allinials: 11mIlvr11 egllipolent is scarce and is used FIGURE 2. land use, 1965 (U/OU) y ..4 nluinly on larger fauns or by farmers' cooperatives. 1.3 Annual fertilizer usage, which averages about 7 pounds per acre, has tripled since 1J60. IHO it is still Other lower than in many Asian countries, primarily because Land In contrast to many less developed countries. problems of l and lenure arc not particilarly pressing. The last agri4utturll census io 1%. *3 revealed dial nearly 13,35 of farmers owned all or part of the land [hey cullivaled. Tenancy is virtually nonexistent in the knsurgent- troubled northeast. It is more prevalent in Ilse central plain, where one -third to one-half of paddy fields are tenant- oper,ltel. j 56.2% 23.5% r I..,ack of clear land titles and the fragmented nature Forest, includiirg sav open of holdings, h0WCVCr, nIC Serious constraints out scrub, and arland government sponsored land development plans, used lorshifting particulatly in areas outside the central plain. cultivation 'I rldilionaliv farmers have been able to obtain land Cmde.wsiae.s merely by cicaring and cultivating it. This systetn r 9ol, prevailed to sonic extent even after official titles wen: t instituted at the tirn of the century. Until recently, Rice fanners in many areas have been able to secure land 51.4% rather easily by complying with liberal and often- �7. t �r ignored government regulations. As a result, only o i FIGURE 2. land use, 1965 (U/OU) y ..4 nluinly on larger fauns or by farmers' cooperatives. 1.3 Annual fertilizer usage, which averages about 7 pounds per acre, has tripled since 1J60. IHO it is still Other lower than in many Asian countries, primarily because Land In contrast to many less developed countries. problems of l and lenure arc not particilarly pressing. The last agri4utturll census io 1%. *3 revealed dial nearly 13,35 of farmers owned all or part of the land [hey cullivaled. Tenancy is virtually nonexistent in the knsurgent- troubled northeast. It is more prevalent in Ilse central plain, where one -third to one-half of paddy fields are tenant- oper,ltel. a I..,ack of clear land titles and the fragmented nature .Y y'"' s of holdings, h0WCVCr, nIC Serious constraints out Tioyraia nacc++ a.a government sponsored land development plans, r ^l particulatly in areas outside the central plain. p1deCQUO" M 'I rldilionaliv farmers have been able to obtain land Cmde.wsiae.s merely by cicaring and cultivating it. This systetn prevailed to sonic extent even after official titles wen: t instituted at the tirn of the century. Until recently, fanners in many areas have been able to secure land rather easily by complying with liberal and often- �7. t �r ignored government regulations. As a result, only o FIGURE 3. Vegetation (U /OU) a i ,.e S r c. a; r r:: x> r.. Arr. 4:., as- da� aa+ f: Pr=. o. u wFN- svv.. F m we w r. x. axrts .v; ,,;,a,.'...r APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200090026 -8 I_1 �:160 :1 IM 161 0 :1 4 :F_F9 :W*41Y711113#i NWO] Ela N 1 1 :111 11111kilyj 3 i of the relatively Irigh fertilimr costs that Dave wstihed From proteC!IHIg ant 104flCie)l( donit�StiC indnslry. The problem of water eootrol remains a greal obstacle to increast'd prothictivity. Water for dry season crops is available oil]% oil a frtc'tion of the irrig:ded land. lit the central piaiii virtually all +:der for irrigation is provided by the overflowielg of the rivers ill lltr Nlae Nam Chao Phraya sysU m. Dallis and canals luelp to disperse the eater spilled over the l:utd. "I'llk Method sul)plies a constant fluor of .rater while the riven are in flood- stage, ])tit floes not provide for regulation of water levels in individual fields. tons. it is not suitable for cultivation of (tic new high yielding varieties of ri(e that require precise grater cvmtrol. "I'hroughout much of the plaiii, the wafter sul)ply is too high at its rnaxinlu111 for any crop other illali rive and ton low at it's tltirlimrnn for ally crop to follow rice. Fur lack of a year -round water supple. doubde- eroppiiig is restrk--ted to small areas. The pattern of e lllnblC�Crnl)i)]ng prCV :tililtg in the ttorth is rice for the first crop. followed by tohatco. peanuts, soybeans, or garlic. S01110inies, hnw�e'CT, anollier crop of ricv is grown. A second crop of rice predominates in tw rest of the country's double- cropped area, but some corn, sorghurn. pcanols. Sovbaans, nlung beans. and variotes other vegetables are also planted. Thai farmers, although ill equipped in both leclmolorgy and re; mrces. have, nevertheless, been reslwrlsive to market incentives, as refleeleel by the sigiiifica t expansion of crops searll as vor11. easszwa, and keiiaf. The incentives plus effective government programs for improving lransportatimi, providing irrigation facilities. and informing fanners of profitable opl)ortimilies have been largely responsible for some widening of Thailand's agricultural export [),INC. a. Rice Rice is lire mainstay of'Ihailatid's agricollurc and liar retained its preeminent role 4espite the rapid dcvcloplrtent of othe crops. it is grow'11 ill all parts o f the country end, with the exception of the smith and in sonic wars the northeast, is at least sufficient [or domestic needs. Production is still concentrated in a sitti;le annual crop harvested front November through January. "I'hr centr area, s[retcltitlj same 4 i0 atilt: north from Bangkok, 1=01114S for the bulk of the nation's output. 'I'll(- most remit regional breakdown of rice planting, production, arld yields is given in Figure �I. Most Thai tice is of tilt: wet, or lowland, variety, atid the remainder is mainly floating, or deep- water, rier, which is broadcast rather than tr Or It limite quantities of upland rice are cultivated by hill tribes. The nonglutinmis type of rier predominates, but local tastes ill the extreuu� Ilortit and norilleast favor the gdutinaus or sticky type, which accounts for about one-third of total rice pmdacli011_ FIGURE 4. Production, area, and yields of rice (U /OU) S 4 :.1 rat -I acre. rhailamt's National St i by TImilnnd's Ministry of 6 atisticol Office ptodnctim totals are inconsistent with those ))ravidad Agriculture (Itice Department) ns shown in Figure 5. APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200090026 -8 1967 I I9ris 1 1 1 1970 Art pianted (1,0110 rui):' Cooral nod North......... 2 2 2 2 21,907 2 23,410 '22.h10 15,420 1 19, lot 2 20,210 2 20.071) S011rh 3 3,�100 3 3.300 3 3,720 3 3.420 9'ond 4 41,Ei10 4 44,308 4 47,400 4 46. L00 Production (1,000 metric tuns): Centr4ltunt North 7 7,50(1 7 7,810 7 7.550 7 7.900 \ortli cast .11,306 �1 IAA SOt1rh 870 9 983 9 980 9 910 T otal 1 11,190 1 1 �_,�rfill 1 13,410 1 13,270 Yields (kilognunsirnD: Centrai and North 3 3211,9 3 3- 3 331.5 3 350.0 Northeast............ 1 1.32.9 2 2' -'5 .4 220.2 Cnuth 2 251.4 3 397.8 2 2113.1 2 258.3 Average Field 2 268.9 2 28_'.1 2 2s2.9 2 237.8 4 :.1 rat -I acre. rhailamt's National St i by TImilnnd's Ministry of 6 atisticol Office ptodnctim totals are inconsistent with those ))ravidad Agriculture (Itice Department) ns shown in Figure 5. APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200090026 -8 I_1 �:160 :1 IM 161 0 :1 4 :F_F9 :wW1Yy1111 WO] Ela N 1 1 :111 11111kilyj 3 FIGURE S. Production of prittcipol crops M OW f Thousands of metric tons) 1972� Noll 19115 11111 HIM 1971 1 KxTOIATF.0 Paddy riee...... 11,770 (1, lgo 10,770 13,315 13,-111} 11,'.111 H ubbor...... 1181 260 2+0 28:: 325 rte Corn (mairc) :313 1,509 1,700 1,0511 2,:300 1A.50 ('aaeu touts...,. I.tISS !,610 2,701) 3,000 :3,300 ear �1.35!1 S,ti511 6,740 7,:355 5.925 9,1110 Mung beans............ ib IS-5 200 210 230 No I'eanal 1'!5 111[1 {S1 1`15 2uel 220 Soybeans..... 25 �1.) 1113 li0 oil 55 l$ 20 20 20 :30 2:i Cnronut. 9115 {,100 '.,110 1,1111 mt rut Caslur brm 195 .10 10 55 55 M Seed cotton 35 I311 130 50 s0 111 Jttic till 5 5 5 rfffy fill licnnt 30 :315 350 :31111 370 1.10 Tobacco...... 3.i 00 911 /,1 lt10 919 S0t93lllll1 ,sass '10 55 70 1311 135 130 on Dille not at ^t{lnblc. �Crup year 11171177:3, lraddv prodoeliom� although subjeet (1) wide %car to -year flUetuatiO-u, has iacm;lsed upprcci ;lbly over the last decade (Figure 191. Output reached I�L2 million metric tons ill 1971/12 compared to 8,2 Million nlc(ric (tins in 1961/111 bstinlats Average yielels are lose, but the relatively short growing season of 90 to 120 days allo farmers a second, planting of corn or tome other crop in the j uly- September period. The bulk of like corn is produccd in the central region, with *.cost of the remainder corning from adjacent areas in the northeast. Inereasrug amounts of corn arc used domestically, but most is exported, tnuinly to jupasn and Toic.an. Exports arnomtlexl to sonic 1.8 million tons in both 1971 and 1972, although price declines dropped the value from $103 million to $95 million. 11ccause of thesetback in 197- production caused bydnrught, export tonnage in 1973 will be sharply reduced. Th nest- runking grain crop is Production of srrrghu.r increased signifieanliv after its introduc- tion to'I'hailand in the early 19611 s. Exports reached 100.000 mtrtric tons in 1,166. declined in tlae nest 3 years as low farm prices nil other iactors caused farmers to shift out of so rghum. and rose again in 1970, In 1971 record exports of 131,0110 metric �ens netted $7.5 million and 1972 exports are estinnated to have been at about tite saune quantity anti value. Growth in foreign demand also spurred the production of cassava, Thailand"s fifth ranking export. An umimportatil crop in 1956. camava has bcctime the principal cash crop in southeastern Thailand, particularly in the provinces 4 Chonlrnri and Rayong. Planting begins in these provinces in November and elsewhere, generally in tMay. The crop can he harvested 7 to 8 months after planting. but requires I5 months for }rest weight and quality. Production of cassava mots tripled over the last decade. reaching 3A million toils ire 1971. and Only a small share was consumed domestically. Sonic cassava is'processed domestically into Hour for use in food preparation, but roost is pelletized and c %ported for use as a fattening argent in animal Fred orupounds. Cassava exports in 1972 arnounicil, to 1.3 million metric to ils, valued it S74 million. EEC countries, particularly the Netherlands and Ii'est Germany. are the largest Customers for tapioca pellets, and the United States takes considerable amounts of tapioca flour. Under government encouragement to curtail imports of refined sugar, sugarcane production rose from 4.4 million metric tons in 1960 to 9.4 million .Iric toms in 1872. Sugarcane is grown principally on small farms; however, a number of major u, :11s have their own plantations. Chonbud Province in sautheasturn Thailand is 'tile center of sugar cultivation, although sonic cane is grown in all regions. Sugarcane is generally planted in March May, and milling begins in November. Sugar APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200090026 -8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200090026 -8 y. cFy t'i.. s 7 produetion in 1972 was estimated at 683,000 tons compared to 550,000 tom+ in 1971. Exports of raw an plantation white sugar, have become an important foreign exchange earner, reaching 427,000 metric tons in 1972 (valued it $60 million) compared .0 175,000 metric (oils (valued at $1S million) in 1971. [n July ]471, 'Thailand withdrew from the International Sugar Organization and since then has had little difficulty marketing its sugar surpluses abroad. 11 sought reentry to the organiz ition in 1973, however, as a guarantee of rnarke'% in the future. Thailand ranks fifth among '1110 evsrld's coconut producers, but its role in .world trade in this commodity is negligible, as about nino- tenths of production is consumed fresh domestically, thereby providing a major source of fat in the diet. Coconut palms are planted throughout the country, but production is concentrated in the peninsula and in (he eonslal areas of the central region. Annual production is on the order of 1 million to 1.5 million tons frorn approximately 22 million hearing palms. Some trees bear year -round, but the bulk of tine harvest is from October through January. Exports of copra (dried coconut meat) reached 11,273 metric tons in 1972. Coconut oil production, however, does not even meet the modest domestic demand, and small amounts are imported. Tobacco has become a very important cash crop both in the north and to a I�esser extent in the northeast. The bulk of the crop is harvested in February. "That farmers ;row both a native sun -dried and a flue -cured Virginia variety. Production of the latter is largely ,nder the control of the Thailand Tobacco Monopoly, a government commercial enterprise which ;maintains a strict monopoly o^ the manufacture and sale of cigarettes. leaf is sold in independent curers. however, as well as to monopoly- owned curing barns. In addition, private exporters may buy the c.x.mss over the Monopol purchase quotas. Total production of all types of tobacco reached an estimated. 99,000 tons in 1072, of which the Virginia variety accounted far about half. Toliactio exports have grown markedly because of increased demand from Thailand's principal buyers: Nest Germany. the United Kingdom, and Japan. The widespread embargo against Rhodesian tobacco has also stimulated prodnetionof'rhai flue -cured tobacai. Indigenous Thai varieties, by contrast, represent only a small portion of total extorts, [n 1972 total tobacco exports were an estimaled 18,000 tons valued at $14 million, compared to only 1,5W tons valued at $1 million in 1960. 'Thailand also imports large amounts of better- stradc Icaf primarily for blending in the production of domestic cigarettes. Imports in 1972 (almost cttlirek fmnt the United States) were valued at $28 million, or twice the value of tobacco export,. c. Industrial crops and forestry products Industrial crops Consist primarily of rubber and various fibers. Virtually all tubber is produced it; the southern half of ppninsalar 'Thailand and in the southeastern lip of central 'Thailand, where. heavy rains favor its growth. Thailand is the world's fourth largest supplier of natural rubber, but it still accounts for .nly about 7% of a large world market. Almost all rubber is exhorted, only a small share being retained for domestic production of tires, tubes, and footwear. Despite a steadily increasing volume of exports since 1960, declining world prices have sharply rettucecl earnings from this crop. [it 1972 rubber exports reached a record :325,000 Ions valued at $92 million, ecsrnpared to 169,000 tons 1960 valued at $174 million. Rubber accounted for roughly 10% of exports in 1972, making it Thailand's third most important agricultural commodity after rick �cod corn. The rubber industry has a number of basic problems. fat contrast to tine efficient system of estate cultivation in ;Malaysia, it is hased on fragmented holdings averaging less than 8 acres in size. Trcec are overaged, and yields are very low. Poor handling and crude processing methods result in production of j oior quality sheet, with less than 10% being rated first- grade. [n addition, competitiosa froen synthelics is expected to cause long -tern downward trend in rubber prices to continue. Kenaf, kapok, and cotton are the principal fiber crops produced, with kenaf (a substitute for jute) being by far the most important. Grown almost exclusively in the northeast, where it is the principal upland crop, ken ;J is used pri marily in the production of gunny bags; however, small quantities are used for ropemaking. Kenuf production, only 27,518 tons in 1951160, reached a peak of 637,000 tons in 1966/67, largely because of favorable government programs and price incentives. Exports in 1 arnounled to 473,000 tons; valued at $7$ million, malting it Thailand's third- ranking export in that year. Annual kenaf output has varied widely with conditions in 1111'eign markets, particularly India and Bangladesh, but since 1966 it has shown a significant downward trend. fit 1972 increased local use of kenaf in the production of gunny begs for export offset much of the decline of raw fiber exports. In 1972 gwilly bag exports amounted to 231,000 tuns valued at $52 million. "'lie overall outlook for kenaf exports is unfavorable, however, unless new uses for the crop are found 9 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200090026 -8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200090026 -8 through research. Tralr is also hampered by 'Thai problems in quality control as well as tilt- luck of u tlelx loll; rl>le seater supply for netting, a highly labor intensive process of separtling fiber from stock. Kapok and coltmi together occupy a subs(asltially sm:;;ier plumed area than kentf, but they do lease imtporlant uses in 'Thailand. Kapok production' mainly in the northca -.t, is aboal 100,000 tons of fiber amutally. This silky white fiber is used dmIllCStiCaliV for furniture and mattress sltnffing. f:xporls have shown no significant change in Lite last decade, aver,�giog aboul 15.000 tons annually anti amounting to about S7 million in 197?. Colton is cultivated in a number of areas but is evntered in Stikholloui a -id Loci Provimcrs. Prodnetium received a number of severe selbacks in the last few years. The area planted in tilt 1959/70 season declined by one Third, after the previous years crop was hit Isar[ by drought and insect damage. This drastically redmed area again suffered frow drought are([ insects, which reportedly desiroved �105b of the crop. As a rcitih, output of seed cordon in 14170 amounted to 50,(x)0 loos (compare to 130,1xx) lolls ill 1968) and had fallen Us �10.000 lolls by 1972. The supply of row collon is far helow domestic requirctncuts, and the� tiuthok forsubshamtiaE incrcasta in output is slot gootf because malty fastness have abaodnucd Colton as a cash entprasa result of the high risks. rf. Livestock That livestock prodtictioit, which probably accounts for somCwhat more than io% of total agricultural output, is still rather backward, although then: have been substantial signs of progress in remil years. L.css than one -half of total production is commercially slaughtered. Pork is Il,c principal meal crutsttmC(I in 'Thailand. Water buffaloes and cattle are present on mast farms bill are sold for meat only when they are no longer useful as draft animals. There are very ftnv dairy cattle in tale coxmtry, but attempts arc heing manic to inlrothice them. Consumption of milk, especially e910en5 -milk. is increasing, Will dairy product imporls in 1972 amounted to $28 million. Large numbers of poultry are grown throughout "Thailand. and poteltry and eggs account for more -than one -third the value of all livewtock production. The livestock population tilt farms in 1970, accimling to iviofficial estimates, was as follows, in thotmands: 'I'licie are nn direct govmmieul support payments for livestock production; hon in an effort Ion improve the quality of livestock. the government has established 15 livestock stations throughout the country to provide artificial insemination Of licc�stmck at it giotninal coup. Despite the relatively small output Of livestock pnx m-N some 40,040 head of cattle an.i I0.0t}f) lolls of hides and skins were exported frnto 'I'hailaud ill 1972. e. Fisheries Visiting is one of the fastest- gwwirig m onomic activities ice Thailand, the tolal a illmal catch rising front 256,000 torts in 1960 to 1.15870)(3 !ails in 1971. Fish provides it large portion of animal protein in the 'Thai diet, and fishing has traditionally played ate important role ill the eetrnomy of southern 'I'llaiiand. II currently ace mots for :bola 4 of GI)P. The share of marine fish to the total calrh increased from 7050 in 1062 to 93% in 19 1, largely because of Ilse increased use of moloricea trawlers. Ahnnst 80 of Ilse marine catch comes front tine coastal .eaters of the Gulf of Thailand. "11he government leas had some success in limmoling deep-sea trawling. but fishing in the Audautan Sea is still relatively unexploited. Principal species landaf include duck fish, mackerel, shrimp, and otliershcllfish. Probably only at fraction of Thailand's freshwater catch is recorded; subsislence fishing its inlaid waters is important and widespread, and this catch shokild continite to increase with the growing numbers of large inland impoundments. A small btit increasing portion of the value of Thailand's exports is derived from lisp and fish products. In 1.971 exports, principally to Malaysia and Japan, totaled 32,22`1 loos, valued at $21.6 million, These consisted mostly of shellfish, particularly shrimp. which :logic aecrunted for 55% of export earnings from fish prodttcis, The volume of shrimp exports, however, actually shows it dediiiing trend from the high of 5,829 Ions (eaclmd in 1967. largely because of increasing domestic consumption. rising prices in world markets have maintained average exports for the last 5 years at about $12 million amttiaily. 'I'tnailai d's Third Platt calls for reversing the decline in export tonnages and increasing shrimp exports to I4.(XX) lolls by 1976, more dean dm(bling the 6,200 tons exported in 1971. f. Forestry E Water buffaloes 5,734 Cattle 4,6M han_�sts cYrer 72 laid ?ion acres, or almost 56% of Hogs 5,132 'Thailand". total land area, bid-only one -half o that is L. Chickens 58,791 accessible because of a poorly developed road system i Ducks 7,109 and dense vegetation. ivlom,over, heavy cutting of i, 10 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200090026 -8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200090026 -8 tineber has depleted nnrch of the readily accessible Stock. The emitributlon (if forestry to COP, which aneounted to some 35 ill 1950, has steadily declined for the last severa; years to only about 2% in 1972. Nearly all forests are state owned. and gorcntnrent regulation has been imposed Somewhat helatediv to protect existing reserves. hr 1970 it was rstiol;tted that Mural cutting amonmled to twice that leg"'IN harves!(xi by the I ore.�st Deparinreot. Repi'amting of teak, ;ter importautl forest product grown in the north, has been extremely slow. Official figures show that teak production although well below the itigh reached in the 1950's expanded front 103,665 cubic meters ire 1961 to 223,300 cubic meters in 1970. 'Peak is still 'I'iraihaud's most important forest product in terms of foreign exchange eumirtgs, although its irrspiurtance steadily de�liuexd through the 1960's with more domestic use of teak, lsxpo'rts a noun(ed to 29,000 tons in 1970, ceanpared to 100,000 tons in 1960. to the lust 2 rears, however, exixorts showed a substantial rise, reaching �1QW) torts in 1972, valued at $10 million, The forests also provides pang, valoCd for its timber and resin. and a variety of other useful woods. Fang production during the 1960's followed the same pattern as teak, with exports declining as output increased. 1sxlxrrts dropped steadily from 1(7,000 cubic rttcters in 19M 11) all estimated 13,000 cubic meters in 1970, then rose to NAM euhic meters ill 1972, valited at less thrill $1 million. Extraction of firewood +And charcoal totaled about 1.6 million cubic meters in 1970. Official figuresshow that both have remnlly declined ire hnpxrtu+lce with the increased use of other feels. Other forest products include tire all�irnpurL. nt hameboo, with its varied uses ranging from house construction to fishing proles; several hgx`s of gums and oils that arc also usL d fora variety of purimses: and three forms of lac. for oily about 2 Although data are unavailable on other cncrgy sources, firewood, charcoal, rice husks. and similar agricultural wastes arc si.L'reificant fuels for cvnunercial and domestic uses in rural areas. Petroleum refining was the most rapidly growing industry during the 1966 -71 period, expanding at an annual vale of 13.5`c (Figure 6), Until 19CO a small refinery at Iang was the only proeessing facility in Ihc- euunlry. Since that lime. three neore refineries have started producing. The Thai Oil and Ilefinery Company, 1.1d. (TORC), at Si Racha. with a 65,000 harrel -1wr -day (h.p.d.) capacity, is the couutn s largest producer of gasoline anti also produces large quantiCes of diesel oil, jet f, =el, aloof kerosene. 'I'Ite Stinimit Industrial CTrporationrcfiucryal Hang Chak, a Bangkok suburb, with a 65,000- b.p.4. capacity. produeeS lieptefied ixlroleum gas ligill naphtha reftxnuales, kerosene, jet furl, gas, Will diesel oil, The ulltcr refinery is the E Standard 'Thailand, 1.td. s r 2. Fuels and power EhailaurI is Iw or ire energy resources. PMrolcturt pnxluets are by far the most important primarysotrrce of energy, accounting for more than four Fifth-, of reported 1 4`ttic nmptiore. Virtually all crude oil is importeil. AJlhaoiph traces of oil have been found in the Cwlf`of ii;�a1; nd, commercially exploitable crude oil dci?, "yet. stave yet to he Confirmed Actual prodltctinii 1 4 crude oil is confined to a small piomping station in the Nang Basin that supplies less li3an 1:4) of annual crude nil requirements. Plydmclectric power, of increasing importanLe but still it relatively new source of energy, provides abput one- severtlh of reported energy consmnptiott, while lignite accounts w i re Infio"S Economic Activity l.gr,ea,TUral are. TeN R.W. L.J 0 0- fowl Map+dam s4 MDUSTRY AND DIMMING q v"ra,wm ree.,. y 5. T., M Cl6Wtl F. 1� T-sn 4. F P.W. Hfdrx'KOc W T,.g,,,s PD -04,1 sums sa. FIGURE 6. Economic activity (UJOU) II APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200090026 -8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200090026 -8 .t ?s 7 R L I facility, which opened in February 1972 at Si Racha. This plant has a capacity of 35,000 b.p.d. and produces automotive diesel oil, jet furl, light and niediuni fuel oil, kerosene, and five grades of asphalt. Although domestic consumption, estimated at 100,000 b.p.d., is well below capacity of the existing refineries, a fourth plant is now under consideration, which would have a 50,000 b.p.d. capacity and would distribute petrolcurtr products by means of all overland pipe system. Despite the surplus capacity, Thailand still imports large quantities of refined products, principally diesel oil, lubricants, and special fuels. 't''tailand' only significant solid [Lie] is lignite (brown coal), which has !cell nriued singe 1957 and is ell consumed domesticaliv. Production of lignite from the two existing miges reached a high of 441,000 tons in 1971. The one oat Krahi provided fuel to a 60,000 kilowatt powerplant on the southern peninsula. The other �al Ma^ Mo in the north supports both a powerplant and a fertilizer plant. [loth lignite -fired powerplants are under the control of the Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand (EGAT). The country has no known deposits of exploitable natural gas or coal, and nuclear generation is still in the planning; stages. Thailand*s electric power industry has expanded cwsiderably in support of the growing national aconomy. installed capacity reached 1,613,000 kilowatts (kw.) at the end of 1.972, haviiag more that( doubled since 1968. Production during 1972 amounted to about 6.2 billion �kilowatI hours (kw. hr.), corresponding to a per capita output of [70 kw. hr. Over two !berets of the national capacity is in thermal plants (almost :11 of w hich are pet roheum-fired). and the others are in hydroelectric facilities. Development has been aimed at satisfying a steadily increasing industrial demand. The significant gain in power c:tpacity' during lire past 3 years is reflected in a 23% average annual increase in consumption. This orientation toward industry has led to a concentration of power use in larger urban complexes, resulting in a low national level of electrification. fn the Bangkok metrropolitan ciea, the largest consumer center, service is provided to approximately 60% of the people. Nationally, ho-eever, less than 207c of the total population and only about 105o of the rural inhabitants use electricity. Operation of the predominantly government -owned prayer industry is distinctly centralized, although there are some significant regional facilities. 1GAT is the principal controlling organization, accounting for almost all of the power output. The verysrnall balance 12 !:E`'`.Y.I;Sx -4' V. uc] C, u�_ ww>. a_ w.-. tw+ m..+-... is provided by another govcn'irrrent agency, the Provincial Electricity Authority (PEA), which is responsible for rur0. power, and by industrial plants for their own use. 'Three large installations contain nearly three fourths of tie total capacity, and four Others rcpresznt almost an additional IOSc. Two of the three in ijor facilities are thermal plants in 3ang4 -6k: Bangkok South has a 460,000Aw capacity and Bangkok North has a 267.500 -kw- capacity. 'rite third is tlae 420,00044, Yan fee hydroelectric plant in the north. Tani Her is the principal supplier to the couMry's transmission network. serving the north -con- tral region, including the capital city. A regionally important posverplant in the south is the 60,(1(10 k.v. Krabi thermal plant, which supports a small local transmission fretwork. In the northeastern region, three hydroelectric plants- Zhe 40,000 -kw. Narn Phrom plant, the 25,000 -kw. N:an Yang plant, and the 21,000 -kw. Lam Dom ;Noi plant �are the maior suppliers. The northeastem area alms is supplied with power purchased from the -kw. Nam Ngam Hydroelectric plant in Laos under at 10 -year eontravt signed in June 1971. These four hydroelectric plants and the Yan flee Hydroelectric plant account fnr40% of national prrzluction. The four are joined into a transmission system v. provides local service and also is interconnected with the main network for added flexibility. The heavy concentration of power consumption in larger cities is reflected in the design of the lrarrsmissior networks. The three main systems, serving the north central, northeastern, and southern areas, are intended primarily for channeling electricity for the main load centers to the neglect of smaller towns and rural areas. Bangkok, the countr s largest urban area principal industrial and commercial hub, consumes nearly three- fourtlis of all available electricity. Nationwide, industry accounts for about two thirds of the total consumption and domestic and commercial users for most of tine remainder. Scheduled development calls for an increase in national capacity by over 2 million ku% by the end of 1980, which will mote than doule the end -1972 capacity During the 1973 -75 period, principal projects to be undertaken are the expansion of the Bangkok South thermal plant by two 300,000 -kw. units and construction of the 373,000 -kw. sirikit hydroelectric plant in the north. Both are financed partly by loans from the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development, as were the Yan Kee and some other plants -.n the past. The new capacity will permit extension of the transmission networks; the system in the south is to be linked to the Bangkok area, and an additional connection from y. T APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200090026 -8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200090026 -8 i A 1 `s as P, J 1 `F e" R f Sirikit to Bmigkok will strengthen network integration. Other inlereonnections to the northeastern area will join the major plants into a national nctsvork� Expansion in the period from 1916 to 1980 is to Etc ace0inplished mainly through construction of the 360.000 -I.w. Quae Yai hydroelectric plaltt northwest of tilt capita'-city, the 150,(M Mae iIvioli thermal plank at a lignite mine in the north, and the country s first nuclear powerplant of about 5IX},IKK) ktt'. near Bangkok_ The decision to eslablish a nuclear facility was illf ocotrd by the absence of domestic fossil fuels, it limited hydroelectric potential, and the need to reduce rcltaore on high cost pcl role uIII iingnlrls. Development also is projected for the I'vIckong; river to the northern bordcrarea with Leos, under the auspices of the iatlernatinnal Mekong Committee. A long -range project erivistges grachial electrifica- tion of rural areas over a period of 25 years, viding patter to .I lark: sginent of thu population pro and ulnas altering the pattern where service is available only to larger urban centers. Still in the planning stages, rural electrification is recommended iw the United States Agency for International Development, USAII) would ;'lore the foreign exchange portion of the total cr ust of US�$650 million with the lnlcmational Hunk for Reconstruction and Development and the Asian Development Bank. The ultimate goal is k, furnish. power to �10,!}01) villages, thereby extending electricity to an additional -1 million people. 3. Metals and minerals lvlining is important tu'I'hailand's foreign trade hilt is a relatively minor economic activity in the context FIGURE 7. Mineral produce �on (UfOU) (Thousands of metric Pons) Tin or,.. T ungolen ore Lead ore :Antimony: Ore..................... Metal Jtangaaene ore: Battery grade Metallurgical grade Chemical Kra& Iron ore Gypsum Lignite.. Fluorite. Marl.... na Data not xvnihtble. of fatal national output. In 1972 mineral exports Nvere valued at 8110 million, about 13 of total export value, but this sector accounted for only 2.1 1`a of C1)I'. Some 7.50 mines provide jobs for about 50,000 workers, or about 0.35o o! the country's labor force, iiccently, the annual rate oaf growth of mining output hasslowed significantly, from 10.3% during 1965 -68 to 3.7o in 1 969 -72. Tin is Thailand's leading primary product outside the agricultural /forestry sector, omimnting for 65% of the value of mine output and 70% of mineral exports. Peninsular Thailand is the main producing 01`011, particularly the area rxtending southward from Minting to Ko Pltuket island. About 60% of'fhail :ancd's tin is recovered from hydraulic and gravel pumping; operations. Onshore mining is done an small, �Ildivid[t:dIV claims that can be worked cheaply by (Lose methods. The move to offshore areas with dredges, however, iscxpected to gain moincutom over the next few years as the more aceo: land deposits show signs of depletion. Tin are production remained al about 30.000 tons annually from 1968 through 1972 (figure 7). A tin smelter, owned by Thai Sinching; and Refining Company (Thaisarco), :I joint venture with Union Carbide, was completed in 1965 at Phuket. Exports of tin are were curtailed in that year by the government, and the company, given monopoly, buying rights, has since done all initial processing; of On carteentrtle in Thailand. The country's lin metal exports have declined in both c"mintih' and value front the high retched in 1967- 26,997 metric tons valued at $88 million --to 2�,351. metric tons valued 880 million in 1000 1'308 1009 1970 1fi71 1072 10,755 32,765 28,7415 2y', 780 29,010 30,130 105 91351 1,205 1,3so 3,515 5,843 4,600 0,475 4,230 3,0351` 4,521, 3,785 nn 425 1,501) 5,545 1,305 11,I70 na 380 345_ 155 Si 20 530 5,851 4,225 0,�175 5,005 5.415 no 35,'115 25,505 17,3110 8.W, 14,415 Ma Ma 115 na nn 25 11,4 75 440.505 �177,395 32,515 311,530 27,82(1 13,000 1:8,005 92,035 144,250 107,005 S9,805 107,785 305,335 347,810 309,870 445,0K p 345,485 3,400 245,105 207,500 317,&.50 422 6,500 305,070 434,475 1,024,,200 1,533,940 033,745 480,730 372,195 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200090026 -8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200090026 -8 G` c i; 15 1972. Near] all tin metal is so,el to pile United States, japair. :lid (lip \eticrlands. i Ire flux of foreign capitul to large Offshore u� �u :g projects snpporls a treed toward higher technology in Thailand's tin inchustry. The eoeutry"s first cutter suction dredge Was put into opl-rctio0 ill 1973 off Plinkm h% Thailand Exploration and \luting Colupany (TEXICU), another joint venture %%itil l'aiou Carbide. Other U,S, interests have also moved into till mining operation's. Alcoa and Belhlellcin Steel. each with 23 +lx?'.%erf,�M1'd; t= K'e:'t+W'Aw;%.. .m, :waea +...ww?m,i�,wxs R:- wx: ebiam ^'r... k.+x- :rss..Y.e.. w.wn.w 'w.,s::...:: m.v.oFmb wi'� 2' viFJCYaw. xr. Phm' rvS:.> aY. MrNrariar.. CW� aroad& KFatrsM2f1 'uay.yVttaetlivM'aL% =DWI! k' YT.' rMQ4" tlXlWfi+ s- KRILIY, Aic@.5..n.a;'l{Y,y'vv'Fa a. +iel 'w. s APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200090026 -8 F-11IMMOIN 4 IMICAN 4 4 =F-im =W41111:71111-yj HWO] Fila;l 11:11i N 4C :5 V4 D t, V A 0 m t'l 2c Q m ca au a x c!! x bc v. czl e- oo V; m Q B, vl c a 9 L` i r l G m 0 m tz 0 w C o a O -6 7: t s CP a a O LU 26 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA-RDP01-00707R000200090026-8 m t'l 2c Q m ca au a x c!! x v. czl e- oo V; m Q B, vl c a 9 L` i r l G O -6 7: t s CP a APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA-RDP01-00707R000200090026-8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200090026 -8 pY Ilk w improved collection procedures. The budget deficit is projected at about 7 trillion bath� roughly 105 lower than the previ year �to be financed largely front domestic borrowings. :1. National monetay and banking system tU /OVf a. Currency s s'e r> The hasic unit of 'Thai currency is the baht, divided into IM sitlang, In October 1963, following a period Of currency stability in which the international vaiue of the habt was permitted to seek its own level in foreign exchange markels, the government established it par value of 820.80 per US$I.ol) Willi titer International A1011ctary .Fund WWI), Authorities of an Exchange Equalir:rlioo Fund (Goa') intervene in llte foreign exchange market %%-licit necessary to maintain effective rates within the margin perniilled by the IVIF. The EEI limits its buying zinc[ selling Operation to dollars. BY lac-, the Bank of 'Thailand is required' to maintain a 6051 reserve behind t haitt notes issued In he held ill gold, foreign currency, and foreign securities redeemable ill I year front (lie dale of purchase. Since Iffil the Bank's holdings of gold and foreign exchange have been sufficient to provide UW,S cavcragc of the note issue. b. The banking xyaferi r +Y.tr 1 3 t C tY The 'Thai harking system Consists of tilt government controlled central hank, privalecrinmer- vial banks, and a number of specialived financial institutions. The (kink of Thailand, established as an independent entity in 19.12, is Ilse c -lt W ry s cenlyd bunk. it is functionally divided into the lssrte Department, which issues currency notes and manages the currency reserve; and the Banking Department, which manages the public debt, nets as the government's agent for exchange control, and is the degwsilury for tilt Elf. The Banking Department also uperatmS is clearinghouse and,functioos as a liartk of reserve for the commercial hanks and a rediscttinler cif (licit (rills. The Commercial Banking. Act of 19u2 vested the liartk (if 'f ha'iland :with solos regulatory power over the. money supply; including lite authority to establish reserve require forcoi nmerc:..1 batiks, rediscount short term commercial paper engage -in open- market operations. The Blink also has additional powers to- stipulale-the muxinaum amount that any h ank may lend In cane ix,rrer ;6cr and to prescribe legal limits oil inlerest rtucs for' -any lender (a ride, ignored more often than respected). Under the 1962 act, foreign hanks operating in 'Thailand ore also required to hold a minimum arnottill of assets in the Fonu of deposits will) doe Bank of Thailand. The principal sunlit Operation of the Bank of Thailand is rediscounting, or purchasing promissory notes held by commercial hanks against the private sector. 'Transactions of this type rose by in average 32% annually froth 1967 to 1972, when thm" loan funds totaled 8923 million. Nlost rediscounts carry a preferential rile and are for short -tout (mosactions, with a maximum period of 2 to 12 utonlhs. liedisctin fitting facilities for uunnnfacturing cover Only operating cpeiises of certain industries. Silice July 1971, however, wdisLomiting has been extended to cover promissoy notes of the Industrial finance Corporation of Thailand (IF [it an effort to aid farmers, the central hanks rediscrninting facility has also been extended to incindc bills arising; front agricultural production. The ]kink ha riot always been able to use its powers extensively of effectively. Its ability to regulate: kite expansion of commercial credit has been limited by Lite commercial batik practice of maintaining reserves in excess of legal requirements, letiving little need ter, borrow front the Bank; this has limited the effectiveness of changes in tilt- Bank's discount rate as a tool for :xmtrolling credit expansion. 'i he 'Thai exchange control s }Tern permits coritrnercial hanks to use short -lento faci l ities abroad freely, allhough utilization of horrowed funds internally is limited to the scope allowed under the capital -risk asset ratio. As till indicator of the traditionally low reliance of commercial hanks on the Batik of Thailand, tits outstanding amount of credit from the Bank uncounted to only 2.1% of total crnintercial hank liabilities at (lie cud of 1972. Commercial banks form the nucleus of the inoutey market in Thailand iinid are glee most significant financial establishments for generating savings and supplying invcstmciet funds At tine end of 1972, there were 29 commercial hanks --16 domestic and 13 foreign operating over 600 hank offices located throughout the 72 provinces. Their facilities are, however, concentrated in the Hangkok- Thonburi area. Total commercial bank� deposits reached 48 billion bald in 197 time art([ .savings deposits comprised 78% of the total, while demand deposits and other deposits accounted for 21 and 1 respectively. Loans and overd(u1`6 extended by the banks were valued of 26 billion baht in 1972, an-..I discounts totaled billion baht. The largest portion of direct bank credit was exlendmi to domestic wholesale and 27 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200090026 -8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200090026 -8 s 4 t retail trade. Credit to finance foreign trade. manufacturing, personal colts ti fill) tion, services, construction, real cstalc, financial businesses, and agriculture accounted for Ilse nest largest portions, i1t that order. The receit ped0d has witnessed spectacular growth in comtercial banking, The number of bank offices has increased over 705c since- 1960. '['tint deposits increased at all average atonal rate of i5ro bet well 1967 and 1972. l.ecans and overdrafts by commercial hanks increased) an average of 15% arinrrull over the last b years, while, credit from discounted notes exixuided by 16% annually. Aside from increases it, [lie money supply, a prime factor ii this rapid growth has been the increasing ivilltngtiess of tile'I'hai people to take advantage of expanded banking services. Iniporlant changes have taken place Over the last 5 years in dm- p atient of cormercial bark eredil to 'Thai business. The proportion of outstanding loans auicl overdrafts for foreign trade dvelilled significantly front 1967 to 1972. An important cauvsal factor in this relative decline was till, increased role o the Bank of 'Tlratiland in holdilIg trade bills. 9'h is ticvcloptncnl facilitated an increase in Lornilicrcial bank credit for suca other activities is supporting doinestic trade and production, With the not able exception of a decline in agricultural accounts, the share of domestic sectors in loans aril overdrafts eithee renailled ti same or inerca, d marginally. [t addition to the Celilral Bank and the network of commercial hanks. 'Thailand has titre speciaiixe(i fin-ancial institutions, (lie oldest and largest of these !icing the. Government Savings Bank. The chief iaslit �!tion for rural savings, live Government Savings Bank, has played an important role in channeling fluids into development programs t hrough the purchase and sale of gover-`iment bonds. It accepts savings deposits. issues savings boitds, and deals in government bonds. This bank has a network of over 100 branches and is the main subscriber to governw-tit long -term bonds. At the end of 1972, deposits totaled 65 billion baht, compared with 3.4 billion haht at the end of 1967. Investment in government securities comprised 9050 of its assets at IZie end of 1972: Another specialized institt Lion, the Industrial Finance Corporation of Thailand (IFCI'). was established under government sponsorship ill 1939 to provide long -term credits in both f.!.eigo acid local currency for the establishment, expansion or modernization of small= or medium -sitar private industries especially those using local raw materials and Promoting local cmployrnent. Corporation is 28 entpo to provide financing in any Bann Considered appropriate to its clients and its own interest. As a general rate its aiin is to diversify its i financing among different F vPcs of industry with as broad a geographical basis as acne able. It cncotiragus the promotion of private industry by offering entrepreneurs more attractive financing thati is generally oblain ble from Other institutions. It is privately owned: cti tnotercial banks have a 755,r share holding, and the reminder is held by investment con ipanies, insurance firms, private companies and :ndivicluals. It has received low- interest loans Goin the budget and has sold debentoies to the Bank of Thailand, the Government Savings. Hank, and eminnercial cranks. For foreign currency loading, the IFCT itas been utiliririg existing credit lines front the Asian development Batik and Japan. The Bank of 'Thailand has agrceel la rediscount IFCT pnronissory notes that arise from its Icadillg to high priority projects, a trove which will enable the Corporation to expand its r.1011MIC of lending and thus play in even larger role ire the future_ The 1CY :'I' has greatly expanded its lending role over the last 5 years �loans to the private sector at Elie atid of 1972 amounted to 585 trillion baht, more than double their 1967 level. Nonetheless, its resources are far frost adequ to meet [fie needs Of industry, and it reinaitts general practice for industrial undertakings to Obtain Plant and ccluipnient on supplier credits from abroad and burrow frtnl cortitnercial banks for working capital. The Bank for Agriculture and Agricultural Cooperatives (BAAC) was established in 1966 to relieve the great dearth of institutionally financed capita: in the agricultural sector. The banks 55 brunches extend unsecured production loans of tip to 5,00'1 bola net subsidize-d interest rates (to cooperatives at 95o and to individual farmers at 12%), especially to those producing primarily for sale rather than subsistence!, It also lends against mortgages, governrriciiE Ixmds, or deposits up to 60% of Ihe. value Of such collaterael. Short term loans repayable in I year and .medium -terns loans repayable within 8years, are extended for the financing of land clearance, land development, irrigation, and the purchase of agricultural egpipment. [o addition, the BAAC.has been Permitted 16,11iscount promissory, notes on a regular basis since :May 1972. The hank has beets highly successful: tatting and overdrafts to the private sector increased from 381; million bah) at the eiid of I967 to 1.8 billion baht at-the end "of 1972. limited working capital; however; has not allowed it to meet all requirements. APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200090026 -8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200090026 -8 i, a :a. .n, i Ai Notwithstanding the relativeiy well- developed institutional framework for all types of credit financing, many 'Thais depend on art assorlinwit of relatives, shopkeepers, crop buyers, landlords, and professional moneylenders as their primary source of funds, This uaorganizoil market is not subject to real regulation, supervision, or control. lost transactions are in cash and repayment I>4ril ods areshort. Although loans from relatives are sot ;ielirncs interest -fret, rules are most often higher than those charged by institution lenders. Monopoly eleutents du exist and abuses are not infrequent ill some of Ihesc olhcs forms of credit; but in general, burrowers `.have access to more than one lender, :nod the higher rates reflect lack of collateral all([ higher risks of default. Given a limited supply and a veq� ;irge need for funds frequently for nonproductive purposes --the unorganized market does its job reasonably well at prices which appear c'oosonio t ,vitli prevailing cwoditions. The unorganized money market is particularly important :is a source of agricultural credit, since relatively few farmers are reached by lending iustitntions. It is estimated, for example, that coomio,rcial hanks and the flank for Agriculture and Agriculture Gwpemitives together actirnant for only about 1040 (if all farm credit, Shopkeepers and relatives are by far the most important sources of farm credit throughout the country, although crop huyers and landlords do play a significant role in the central plain, where average debt per family is several times higher than in any Diller region. front the Hank of Thailand to finance growing cash deficits. EMernal factors were also expansiauary in 1972, however. Because of a marked list! in export earnings as Well as a revaluation of assets, reserves increase(! by 3200 million. At rte and of 1972 the money supply stood at 24:7 billion babt, or ue double the 1965 level. Charactenstic of a developing country, dcru:uul deposits amtinucd to make 411i an increasing share of the money supply, rising to 3950 in 1972 from 375; in 1965. Until 1972 prices did not rise significantly in Thailand'hecause the greater increntents in the anoncy stack were still largely absorbed by substantial increases in production and growing rno,mization of tiro economy. Foreign exchange reserves were adequate to permit a liberal import policy, and rising imports have dampened or completely offset potential price increases, Wholeside and consumer prices in 1,971 were both about 3.55o ah;we 19tiif levels, or avertg+s annual increases of about I o for the -3-year period, During 1972, however, wholesale prices increased steadily to a level 15% over the previous year, .while the crose.mer price index rose 10`0, reflecting partly increases in prices of paddy and milled rice, the two items with tilt highest Weight in the respxactivc indexes. and partly higher import casts that resulted from currency realignments, particularly with Japan. It is expected, moreover, that larger govenarnent Cash defieils will increase the pressure on prices over the next few years. Some offset to this might occur from increased imports, however. c. Aloney supply and prices 4. Manpower /611) Alter experiencing a lung period of monetary Thailand's labor force is projected to increaseat an stability, Thailand's economy has faced expansionary at,nual rile of ahont 3 o at least for lite next decade, pressure from a rapidly growing nroncysnpply during thus boosting annual incrcmenis to labor, front about the early 1970's. ]n the 1960's lire achievement of m 00(i in 1973 to about 88,000 by the end of tlae monetary stability in the face of sustained large period. Economically active, workers totaled 16.9 increases in exchange reserves was due to a high rate of million in 1971 or about 45% of the p>,ipulation private saving and the slow growth of net government (Figure 12). Nearly all workers, whether orban or borrowing from the ,banking system ws a �whole. rural, receive meager lficomis; Despite laixhr. laws Money supply grew at all average annual rate of 6.2% which call. for a minimum wage of 16 balit, per day fnim 1962 -69, which compared favorably with rcul (us$b.80), wages, are determined by market force, growth in CDA of 7% amntalk over the same I riod. skill, and' willingness "to work and to change From 1969 through 1972, hnjwcver, mrumq supply occupation. Uumphiymeut is purely frictional or grew at all average annual rate of 11.2 compared to sc'usunal." a slower annual growth in Cf)A of Since net 'the hruitt211 sizcO the nonagd ulturd sectors has foreign assets declined from 1969. to 1197 1,. the roilial resulted in .a slow shift in the'emplbyment structumc monetary expansion was mainly the result of iarternial tiv'6 the las't'sevcrad years: Farming still absorbs`niost factors, particularly goveiTi ncnl finance. Tile central of the new eritrunts into labor force. They lend to govemrucnt bus l ieco uie u mal(ir expansionary. factor' settle un new lunrl -of .incrrusingly p rxii oiva hty. u since 1969, as current surp)lnscs have declined steadily' pattern: which will plrobably'cDntiriuc until the supply and the govcrmneut has had to increasa,its lxtrrcawing of cultivable land' is exhausted. Itelvicen -19[iJ and f APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200090026 -8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200090026 -8 af:Crl)li Agriculture Niiniug and rluarrybig Munufavturiag Construction Fleciricity, gas, water and sanitnry serei:e.. Commerce Transport, storage, cnnmmuirutit>i S ervices Total lflli{I Number Yereenlaar of of bborers total 20 0.2 462 9.7 71 0.6 IS 0.1 760 6,0 138 1.3 655 5.: 13,594 100.0 1071 Number Percentup. or or laborers total 13,076 77.4 51 0.3 715 3.2 1.10 0.9 42 0.,, 1,2 r3 7.0 317 1.9 1,273 7 16,902 100.0 1971, the acgnlenl of the labor force engaged in agrieultlire declined only 5.5,%, while labor absorption ill ill(, Il larill fact 11 ring, comme Geld service sectors increased by only 9.5 �b, 1.6% and 2,350, respectively. Labor Unions arc harmed. Thailand's firs( comprehensive labor lute authorizing labor Unions was enacted in 1957 dirt was abrogated the following year after the coup staged by Marshall Sarit. The country's progress tit the last 15 %'cars has been to retrace its steps to the 1957 law. In 1965, legislation c;,lahlished d procedures for the settlement of labor disputes. These were modified try a 1972 decree which also allowed for the formation of sO- called "-,vurkers associations." Technically these associations are granted the right to organize, to engage ill collective bargaining, and to strike. In fact, however, they are governed by host of restrictions intended to insure that they remain weak and tneffietive. in addition, the us,;ociations are expressly forbidden to conlri6oite to political funds or become involved in politics. Labor strikes ;order the former military govenlnient were infrequent, totaling only 85 from 1970 thr.,)ngh 1972. In 1973, however, labor unrest increased, accelrrating rapidly after the changes in government ill October. From January through Scpternber, there were 136 strikes uriJ by the "end of the year the figure was over 300. Nearly all strikes have been illegal. Current laws goverliing labor dispute pirovirde for a ,.3 tortuous and time cmcun:irg Icgltl process dlcf(ire it strike is 1writilted, Mast disputes have involved Uancompliance of employers with tuininluni requirements of the labor Law and civil service aj legislation. In the private sector, (stir dispute. have affected the textile, garment, tend steel industries; ""I taxis' scNice, hotels, and a c't rrmerciul hank. The nosh 30 of strikes hats also spread to state enterprises involved in rail, port, telephone, and garbage collection services as well as tobacco production. D. International economic relations (U /OU) 1. Foreign trade Foreign trade accrlutted far 35 of 'Thai GDP in 1972, exports accounted for 15 and imports accented for 2050. Between 40% and 50% of government rev enues ate detivo6dinxtly or illdi -'ectly front taxes on international trade. Perhaps even more intpnntantly, foreign sources supply fuels, capital g oods, and interinediate goods, without Wilicll idomc-stie industry and commerce oould not have reached their present stake of development. F(r'zign trade moves tnainly through the tort of Bangkok; provincial ports such as Son gkhla and P account for only abuut 18% of exports and less than 250 of inlporls. Exports fluctuate markedly front year to year, depending on weather conditions and changes in world market prices, but the long -term Irend has been toward a SIOWdOWn in growth (Figure 13). The average annual rate of growth in exports deciiiiLd front 10% in the 19'i(Ys to 7% in the 1960's, Export perforn ance was purticularly poor in the latter.parl, of the Iasi decade, showing an average rate of,growlh of about 150 annually from 1967 to 19M. Although unexpectedly large increases in exports were registered in 1971 and 1972 -1750 and 315; respectively -the .f slowing trend is expected to resurlle. Tile sharp gadns.iu the last 2 y ears weer attributable to abrupt'shifts, from f APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200090026 -8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200090026 -8 ti Iu r a FIGURE 13. Foreign trade and gold and foreign exchange reserves (U10U) (A00ions of U.S. dollars) surpluses to shotlogvs on world markets for sugar, kenaf, and rice. which together aceomrted fur ahcnit two -thirds of lire increase in export canihigs in 1971 and 1972. 'rile colml ry is still dependent on a narrow range of prsxluets for the bulk of its export earnings (Figure 1.1 Poor performance Over the past several years reflects for the most part a poor growth mcord for lratlitional exporls such as rice and ruhLor and, in recent years. liu, whose Combined share of total export %'little has declined loot still atnoanled to 3(i.9;b in 19T1. F i00% Other 0.60"x, Murmg,(3eans 1.5% 0.02% 9upr 2.2% a e^ 0.12%Tobs=oLeaves 1.496 0.0296 shrimp ].4% Rubber Tin can TJepioca Products Jute and Kenai I96I 1971 Thailand has hacl some success, hoaeyer, in diversifying its exports. New exports such as corn, kenaf, and tapioca shomd remarkable growth from 1938 to 1966, providing an inmporlant stlnlolIS to the economy Ill those yearn In more recent years fluorite, tong �tell, tobacco, cement, and shrimp haye become important foreign exchange: earners. Additional emir lotlities sttch as cotton fabrics, processed fish, woad products, tropical fruits, although still relatively unitllportant among exports. show Cosi(Isnable promise. Thaiiantl is heavily dependent on imports for capital goods needed m maintain and devel the economy, for industrial raw materials allot fuel, umi for a large portion of its uuulufactnrCd Cmstimer goods. Over time last dMMIC cite v:d11c of imparts inerease(l at an average alluual rate. of 10.370. C:hatigm in lite composilion of imports over this period inflect a rapid rise in capital goods imports during; 11162-69. after which investment became slaggish (Figure 15 'Cho MJl.rnl d U.f. deJler[ soo CaWtol L i ado s L 300 196+2 1966 1969 1970 1971 1972 It'[n'raK slgre or Jnparts 6{ ram..edry crag roe X 01hn Imports 228 22.2 i4.3 20.5 2Q1; cap4at goods Intl!rmMala troauct}aad 29.0 rer matelyts Canwme, goads, 1962 WS 1969 1970" 1971 1972 FIGURE 15. Imports by commodity group and percentage share of Imports bjy commodity group (U 1041) 31 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200090026 -8 (MLIJ AND raxlaas V FAlt r :C1 impolITt{ rXClt. %.NGr. Ill :4r.11\'!: 1011x......... iSB 55$ 495 1903...... �165 01:1 .141 1004........... 593 485 010 Igor)........... 022 7.12 70:1 19013........,.. 068 840 8131 196 081 L OU 11111 HISS.,......,.. 058 1,150' 938 1069........... 708 1,206 89 -1 1070........... 710 1,298 767 1071......... 831 1,388 766 1872........... 1,088 1,452 067 surpluses to shotlogvs on world markets for sugar, kenaf, and rice. which together aceomrted fur ahcnit two -thirds of lire increase in export canihigs in 1971 and 1972. 'rile colml ry is still dependent on a narrow range of prsxluets for the bulk of its export earnings (Figure 1.1 Poor performance Over the past several years reflects for the most part a poor growth mcord for lratlitional exporls such as rice and ruhLor and, in recent years. liu, whose Combined share of total export %'little has declined loot still atnoanled to 3(i.9;b in 19T1. F i00% Other 0.60"x, Murmg,(3eans 1.5% 0.02% 9upr 2.2% a e^ 0.12%Tobs=oLeaves 1.496 0.0296 shrimp ].4% Rubber Tin can TJepioca Products Jute and Kenai I96I 1971 Thailand has hacl some success, hoaeyer, in diversifying its exports. New exports such as corn, kenaf, and tapioca shomd remarkable growth from 1938 to 1966, providing an inmporlant stlnlolIS to the economy Ill those yearn In more recent years fluorite, tong �tell, tobacco, cement, and shrimp haye become important foreign exchange: earners. Additional emir lotlities sttch as cotton fabrics, processed fish, woad products, tropical fruits, although still relatively unitllportant among exports. show Cosi(Isnable promise. Thaiiantl is heavily dependent on imports for capital goods needed m maintain and devel the economy, for industrial raw materials allot fuel, umi for a large portion of its uuulufactnrCd Cmstimer goods. Over time last dMMIC cite v:d11c of imparts inerease(l at an average alluual rate. of 10.370. C:hatigm in lite composilion of imports over this period inflect a rapid rise in capital goods imports during; 11162-69. after which investment became slaggish (Figure 15 'Cho MJl.rnl d U.f. deJler[ soo CaWtol L i ado s L 300 196+2 1966 1969 1970 1971 1972 It'[n'raK slgre or Jnparts 6{ ram..edry crag roe X 01hn Imports 228 22.2 i4.3 20.5 2Q1; cap4at goods Intl!rmMala troauct}aad 29.0 rer matelyts Canwme, goads, 1962 WS 1969 1970" 1971 1972 FIGURE 15. Imports by commodity group and percentage share of Imports bjy commodity group (U 1041) 31 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200090026 -8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200090026 -8 =i I 1 i share of capital goods in total imports, for esaniple. rose from 28.2 in 1962 to 35.3% in 15769, then dropped to 31.4 a in 1972. The trend lwv and impart substitution hi cunsuruer goods industries ninliuued throughout the decade. Imports of Lonsumer goods declined as a percentage of lotal �ntpn while inipv,ts of materials for consumer goods prodimlion im�rc,vsed front 11.4% of total imports in 1962 lcr 19.2 in 1972. Imports of consumer goods were largely nondurable goods, mostly food especiaily hairy products) and clotllirig. Durable goods imports consisted principally of household gunds, electric appliances, and motorcycles. Intermediate products and raw materials imports were primarily base metals, chemicals, textile fiber%, unnrmufacttrred tobacco. and paper and paperboard. Capital goods imports were largely machinery for industrial use, electrical machinery, urclal ntanufuctures, fertilizers and pesticides. scientific and optical instruments, glass, and ether mineral manufactures. The remaining imports are mostly crude oil and lubricants, velaicles, chassis, and bodies. 2. Direction of trade Japan is by far Tha �fuu