NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE SURVEY 73; HONDURAS; THE ECONOMY

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13 /GS /E Honduras August 1973 NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE SURVEY FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070014 -3 NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE SURVEY P UBLICATIONS The basic unit of the NIS is the General Survey, which is now published in a bound -by- chapter format so that topics of greater per- ishability can be updated on an individual basis. These chapters� Country Profile, The Society, Government and Politics, The Economy, Military Geog- raphy, Transportation and Telecommunications, Armed Forces, Science, and Intelligence and Security, provide the primary NIS coverage. Some chapters, particularly Science and Intelligence and Security, that are nca pertinent to all countries, are produced selectively. For small countries requiring only minimal NIS treatment, the General Survey coverage may be bound into one volume. Supplementing the General Survey is the NIS Basic Intelligence Fact book, a ready reference publication that semiannually updates key sta- tistical data found in the Survey. An unclassified edition of the factbook orr,its some details on the economy, the defense forces, and the intelligence and security organizations. Although detailed sections on many topics were part of the NIS Program, production of these sections has been phased out. Those pre- viously produced will continue to be available as I g as the major porti --.i of the study is considered valid. A quarterly listing of all active NIS units is published in the Inventory or Available NIS Publications, which is also bound into the concurrent classified Factbook. The Inventory lists all NIS units by area name and number and includes classification and date of issue it thus facilitates the ordering of NIS units as well as their filing, cataloging, and utilization. Initial dissemination, additional copies of NIS units, or separate chapters of the General Surveys can be obtained directly or through liaison channels from the Central Intelligence Agency. The General Survey is prepared for the NIS by the Central Intelligence Agency and the Defense Intelligence Agency under the general direction of the NIS Committee. It is coordinated, edited, published, and dissemi- nated by the Central Intelligence Agency. WAR \ING This document contains information affecting the national defense of the United States, within the meaning of title 18, sections 793 and 794 of the US code, as amended. Its transmission or revelation of its contents to or receipt by an unauthorized person is prohibited by law. CLASSIFIED BY 019641. EXEMPT FROM GENERAL DECLASSIFI- CATION SCHEDULE OF E. O. 11652 EXEMPTION CATEGORIES 5B (1), (2), (3). DECLASSIFIED CNLY ON APPROVAL OF THE DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE. APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070014 -3 WARNING The NIS is National Intelligence and may not be re- leased or shown to representatives of any foreign govern- ment or international body except by specific authorization of the Director of Central Inteiligence in accordance with the provisions of National Secur;ty Cnuncil Intelligence Di- rective No. 1. For NIS containing unclassified material, however, the portions so marked moy be made available for official pur- poses to foreign nationals and nongovernment personnel provided no attribution is made to National Intelligence or the National Intelligence Survey. Subsections and graphics are individually classified according to contant. Classification /control designa- tions are: (U /OU) Unclassified /For Official Use Only (C) Confidential (S) Secret APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070014 -3 This chapter was prepared for the NIS by the Central Intelligence Agency. Research was sub- stantially completed by January 1973. APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070014 -3 r :i u i K .r J ,t t s 1 ;j 7'/ r s r k_. A f fl Honduras CONTENTS This chapter supersedes th, economic corcr- afir in the Gcncral Surrct/ daicd August 1969. A. Economic appraisal 1 1. Ldonomic growth and government poliov 2 2. Problem areas B. Structure of the economy 3 1. Agriculture 3 a. Land use and tem.we 3 b. Agricultural inputs and techniques 5 C. ,:,icipal props (i d. ivestock 6 e. .Fisheries i f. F'orestry i 1'on OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070014 -3 Page 2. Fuels and power 7 3. Financial institutions, money supply, 3. e Mining and minerals 8 and prices 4. Manufacturing 8 a. Financial institutions Composition of public investment Fig. 2 -Toney supply 2 a. Food products, beverages, ges and C. Prices tobacco 9 4. Manpower Fig. b. Other manufacturing 9 a. Size of the labor force C. Construction 10 b. Levels of training 5. Domestic trade 10 c. Labor movement C. Government finance and economic policy 10 1. Economic policy and programs 10 Public finance a. Central government 11 b. Decentralized agencies 12 c. Municipalities 0 D. Foreign trade 1. Composition and direction of trade a. Exports b. Imports c. Direction of trade 2. Trade regulations 3. Balance of payments 4. External debt FIGURES Prrge 13 13 1 14 14 14 15 16 16 16 16 16 16 18 18 18 ii APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070014 -3 Page na-- e Fig. 1 GDP by sector of origin chart) 1 Fig. 15 Composition of public investment Fig. 2 Economic activity (map) 2 (chart) Fig. 3 Growth of GDP and selected Fig. 16 Assets and liabilities of the banking components chart) 3 system table) 14 Fig. 4 Value added in agriculture table) 4 Fig. 17 Consumer prices and GDP deflator Fig. 5 Production of priwipal crops (table) 4 (table) 15 Fig. 6 Land use (chart) 5 Fig. 18 Labor force by economic activity Fig. 7 Farm units by size and area (table) 5 (chart) 15 Fig. 8 Source and use of agrictultural credit Fig. 19 Labor force: by class of worker (table) 5 (chart) 15 Fig. 9 Texaco refinery (photo) 7 Fig. 20 Composition of exports (chart) 16 Fig. 10 Value added in manufacturing Fig. 21 Exports (table) 17 table) 8 Fig. 22 Imports table) 17 Fig. 11 Operations of the public sector table) 11 Fig. 23 Direction of trade chart) 18 Fig. 12 Central government finances table) 12 Fig. 24 Trade with CACTI countries (table). 19 Fig. 13 Central government revenues table 12 Fig. 25 Balance of payments table) 19 Fig. 14 Distribution of central government Fig. 26 Balance of commodity trade chart) 20 current expenditures table) 13 Fig. 27 External public debt table) 21 ii APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070014 -3 The Economy A. Economic appraisal By any standard of comparison. Ilondwas is the poorest -it tul (cast (I eve hgwd cot lutr in :cntraI America. Gross domestic prodttc�t ((:I)I)) per capita cas onl LIS$260 in 1971. comparect with an arrage of slightly more tban $400 for other Central American countries anti of $530 for all of Latin An. �rica. The total output of the I (ondtiran econonn is ver sntall� approximatel $7 -10 million dollars in 1971. BlIgged topography, it narrow :rcttttrntl resource base. and it weak institutional franu�ork all contribute to the country's poverty and backwardness. Because of a highly skewed distrib(tti ,n of income and wealth, the standard of living of nto,t of the population, especially in the rural areas and in the rapidly growing slams around "Tegucigalpa, is very low. Indicative of present deficiencies are the infant mortality rates. hich are among the highest in the Western Hemisphere, the almost total lack of Safe drinking water and other basic scrvices, and tie vrry high level of iii-a!1)loyinent and underentploynu�nt. Although f londuras is relatively small in both area and population. settlements are v dispersed in scattered valleys, often connected b only tie nu,st rndintentary transportation. and the econont conscyuently has been fragmented. TllV Valley's in the South and west traditionaliv have been more closel connected with El Salvador and Guatemala than with the rest of Honduras. 'I'll(- northern coastal area lilts been devoted largely to growing bananas for export to the United StatcS. "4'he capital. Tegucigalpa. has been isolated in the local economy of t) e central plateau. Honduras is basically it two-level agrarian society with only it small industrial sector. Most of the 2.5 n)illion people are peasants who eke out it subsistence living growing corn and beans on tiny plots using tic most rudimentary techniques. On the other hand. floncluras also lilts it number of large -scale banana. coffcc, and cotton plantations �many of them foreign owned�that use hired !:::)or, apple considerably more nwdern technielucs, and produce for tic world market. NOTE�The entire contvnt of this ihapler is ('NC .ASSIFIED 1)u1 is FOR OFFICIAL I'SF. ONLY. Together the two agricultural sectors acc -iinl for more than one- third of the comitr\ 's gross domestic product (Figure I BanaVtaS alone account For 10ci o!' the GIN and the health of the econont therefore delu.nds to it great extent on this one crop. Manufacturing, although it has been groing rapidly, co;ttribtites only it small share of total output. -lost industrial enterprises are snt:dl -scale enterprises (Figure Serving domestic needs. :1llhougi gains har been made in d(w( doping production for export or for import substitution, progress is restricted b a lack of industrial and managerial skills and of neccss.tr infrastructure. Rich bas caused inestn,ent capital to be attracted to other Ccntral :1nwrican countries in preference to Honduras. Ilondttnts depends heavil on foreign trade, especial Iy trade with the l'nite(I States. I ree trade relations math the (ventral .Iirnerican Common Market (C:WNI) (luring the 1960's enlarged the market for some industrial products whose manufacture for domestic use alone 'ould not he ('0111011tic and also provided outlets for some agricultural staples not readily marketable elsehew. The termination of the free trade relations in f anuar 1971 disrupted this trade, although it aided sonic less efficient Honduran industries that had suffered from competition within the (:A( :NI Public administration 3.0% Commercial services 14.0 Other 19.1 Industry 20.2 Agriculture, forestry, and fishing 34.9 Mining 2.1 Transport and communications 6.7 FIGURE 1. GDP by sector of origin, 1970 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070014 -3 0 e A "g Puerto .e Cartes La Ceiba J W G i ,p Trujillo San Pedro Su13 A Tela t: T e K L" v t S,1 goid a m Linda Lo,,d zw,- AGRICULTURE Ag (1t; b Benanaa k t Too&xx, e e Teguc K Pt, C K 1 501788 5.73 FIGURE 2. Economic activity 1. Economic growth and government policy The econonty has grown sporadically in response to fluctuations in banana output and developments on the political scene. Real CDI' per capita rose by an average of only 0.5i7i per year during the 1950's, front tile equivalent of S183 in 1930 to $192 in 1960. Pe was more dynantic in the 1960's (Figure� i), with an average annual increase of 2.2 in real GDP per capita. %lost of this growth occurred during, 1964 -68, when substantial investments b%- the banana companies led to a near doubling of merchandise exports. After 1968, economic expansion slowed sharply. and real income per capita remained almost stationary. This i t.1g,1ation was due� to a number of factors, including severe hurricane damage to the banana plantations in 1969 and 1972, poor market conditions for bananas, political instabilitY and indecisiveness, and ramifications of the short .car My th El Salvador in mid -1969. The Honduran Government never has been an e ffective force in promoting economic development. It has neither committed adequate funds and expertise to inyestrtu,nt a11(1 ec�onomw planning, 1) romot:�(I legislation to encourage privat irrvestnu�nt, nor taken 'In 1966 1lundimm priers. INDUSTRY is Foud p ,,q Brvr�r:rgrti A Fr awe nr era nlothinq g T-ti� Lumbv, and wuod pruducs Furnrtunr Q Ch,�n,,d orr:d.,n., obaun prou�ssma pal, od ,�i G�...r�nt plan; J& WevoL�um r. �fiomq 11 Hydras 1� +.roc Duv+r�r plant sufficient initiative to develop the .ecnno infrastructure nec�essar% to gruth. Of great importance to Ilondurtn develop nu�nt me�r tile last dceu(Ie has been the g(ticlauu�e and fin:LUte�ial support (external finane�iug accounts for approxi- nutt(I l( i of all public investment) of U.S. and international institutions. 2. Problem areas Despite progress during the 1960's, Honduras still faces several obstinate problems. One of these is the need to provide entplo anent for a grm%ing labor force. :ontinued population gro%vth at the present high rate (3.3 in the early 1970 %will severely strain an economy that is produc�i ig few new jobs in induslr and has no case access to new agricultural land. More intensive use� of the potentially prod(ue�live valley lands is un ,�ntly needed. Broad -based changes in the pattern of land ownership are necrssar, but political. institutional. and fiscal constraints will impede such changes in the immediate future. 'I'hr need for improved social services and infrastructure is great. 'There are major deficiencies in education, health� and nutrition, particularly in rural areas, despite guiles made in the lart decade. The transnortation network requires much further APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070014 -3 MINING Aq S,1 goid Pb Lo,,d zw,- AGRICULTURE Benanaa k G,t4 Too&xx, G rnon 1. Economic growth and government policy The econonty has grown sporadically in response to fluctuations in banana output and developments on the political scene. Real CDI' per capita rose by an average of only 0.5i7i per year during the 1950's, front tile equivalent of S183 in 1930 to $192 in 1960. Pe was more dynantic in the 1960's (Figure� i), with an average annual increase of 2.2 in real GDP per capita. %lost of this growth occurred during, 1964 -68, when substantial investments b%- the banana companies led to a near doubling of merchandise exports. After 1968, economic expansion slowed sharply. and real income per capita remained almost stationary. This i t.1g,1ation was due� to a number of factors, including severe hurricane damage to the banana plantations in 1969 and 1972, poor market conditions for bananas, political instabilitY and indecisiveness, and ramifications of the short .car My th El Salvador in mid -1969. The Honduran Government never has been an e ffective force in promoting economic development. It has neither committed adequate funds and expertise to inyestrtu,nt a11(1 ec�onomw planning, 1) romot:�(I legislation to encourage privat irrvestnu�nt, nor taken 'In 1966 1lundimm priers. INDUSTRY is Foud p ,,q Brvr�r:rgrti A Fr awe nr era nlothinq g T-ti� Lumbv, and wuod pruducs Furnrtunr Q Ch,�n,,d orr:d.,n., obaun prou�ssma pal, od ,�i G�...r�nt plan; J& WevoL�um r. �fiomq 11 Hydras 1� +.roc Duv+r�r plant sufficient initiative to develop the .ecnno infrastructure nec�essar% to gruth. Of great importance to Ilondurtn develop nu�nt me�r tile last dceu(Ie has been the g(ticlauu�e and fin:LUte�ial support (external finane�iug accounts for approxi- nutt(I l( i of all public investment) of U.S. and international institutions. 2. Problem areas Despite progress during the 1960's, Honduras still faces several obstinate problems. One of these is the need to provide entplo anent for a grm%ing labor force. :ontinued population gro%vth at the present high rate (3.3 in the early 1970 %will severely strain an economy that is produc�i ig few new jobs in induslr and has no case access to new agricultural land. More intensive use� of the potentially prod(ue�live valley lands is un ,�ntly needed. Broad -based changes in the pattern of land ownership are necrssar, but political. institutional. and fiscal constraints will impede such changes in the immediate future. 'I'hr need for improved social services and infrastructure is great. 'There are major deficiencies in education, health� and nutrition, particularly in rural areas, despite guiles made in the lart decade. The transnortation network requires much further APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070014 -3 220 T 200 190 160 140 120 Index 'Estimate FIGURE 3. Growth of real GDP and selected components expansion. Becrarlsc government finances have deteriorated sharply since the 1969 war, the govertintent must both increase revenues and curtail current expenditures before it can devote significant funds to developing services and infrastructure. Another key problern is the future of Ilondtlran relations with the CACNI. This issue is highly controversial, because sonu� elements of the business and labor eonlnlunity stand to lose by a return to regional free trade. There also is widespread concern o\�t�- the c�otnitry's trade and investment disadvantage in relation to the other nwm;u�rs. B. Structure of the economy 1. Agriculture Agriculture, the mainstay of the economy. employs 65% of the labor force and accounts for about 3Yi of GDP and nearly 7Mi of export earnings. Bananas dorttinate the sector and conse�ctuently the entire econorv but crops such as coffee, cotton, corn, beans, and sugarcane also are grown on a significant scale (higrtres 4 an(l 5). Livestock, partie�ellarly beef catllc, is important both for dcl:nestic c�clnstnnpliun and for extort. Agriculture is heavily export oriented. Ili IJ10, apprtlxinnately 63` "1 of total production carts stud abroad. Ilonduras also produces nearly all the food consumed donn�stic�ally. Imports of' food and beverages usually amount to less thus IO! "i of all imports. Agricultural output grew steadily front 1963 through 1971. except for !969, when there was heavy hurricane damage to crops. There was a sharp drop in output in 1972 as it result of fu tlter hurricane damage. unfavorable market conditions for bananas, and trade difficulties with neighboring countries. The following shows the values of agricultural pri�duction (if) nillions of U.S. dollars at 1961 -65 average conunodity prices `Preliminary data. a. Land use and tenure Of a total land area of 27.7 million acres, slightly more than -1 million are potentially arable. an(f rougldN 2 million actually were under cultivation in 1971 (higelre 6). Mtich of Ilondttras is loo ntountainotls for agriculture, and if large part of the lowlands is too hot and humid (annual rainfall usually exceeds 100 inches). In the southern and central areas, on the other hand. there are intermittent droughts. A large section of the country, extending northeast front Tegucigalpa to the sea. c�an support little agriculture because of poor soil. heavy forests, rugged terrain, and unfavorable c�linrate. The valleys of the north, south, and east are the most potentially productive areas. The northern valleys, of which Valle de Again' \'all( de Sala, and Valle de Lean are the most important, contain an estimated 1.5 million acres of productive land, but only the areas planted to bananas and sugarcane- -less "Par diacritics on place nann�s we the list of manes on Iho apron of the Sununar\ Map in the Counln Profile chapter and the map itself. APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070014 -3 1960 1962 ;964 1966 1968 1970 1972 TOTAL TL�'AR CROPS LIVESTOCK ACl;ICULTURE 1961 101.5 22.5 124.0 1962 103.6 21.2 124.8 1963 102.4 22.1 124.5 1964 108.4 212 129.6 1965 124.6 21.3 145.9 1966 131.2 22.2 153.4 1967 135.4 23.2 158.6 1968 141.0 25.3 166.3 1969 135.8 25.5 161.3 1970 142.6 27.3 169.8 1971 155.4 29.2 184.6 19"; 2' 129.8 30.4 160.2 `Preliminary data. a. Land use and tenure Of a total land area of 27.7 million acres, slightly more than -1 million are potentially arable. an(f rougldN 2 million actually were under cultivation in 1971 (higelre 6). Mtich of Ilondttras is loo ntountainotls for agriculture, and if large part of the lowlands is too hot and humid (annual rainfall usually exceeds 100 inches). In the southern and central areas, on the other hand. there are intermittent droughts. A large section of the country, extending northeast front Tegucigalpa to the sea. c�an support little agriculture because of poor soil. heavy forests, rugged terrain, and unfavorable c�linrate. The valleys of the north, south, and east are the most potentially productive areas. The northern valleys, of which Valle de Again' \'all( de Sala, and Valle de Lean are the most important, contain an estimated 1.5 million acres of productive land, but only the areas planted to bananas and sugarcane- -less "Par diacritics on place nann�s we the list of manes on Iho apron of the Sununar\ Map in the Counln Profile chapter and the map itself. APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070014 -3 1960 1962 ;964 1966 1968 1970 1972 FIGURE 4. Value added in agriculture (Miflions of 7 966 lempiras) ANNUAL GROWT1 FIGURE 5. Production of principal crops* (Thousands of metric tons) 1960 1963 1966 1969 1970 1960 lit 196S 70 1971 1472#* Bananas 9:59 1,270 I,2SI M rcr �t Bananas 52 53 109 118 120 10.1 Coffeee 0 11 36 -W 11 17 6 Cotton and oil crops........... :3 S I1 7 6 2 'tobacco and sugar cane........ i S 9 12 12 U. 1 Corn :30 :35 39 12 1:3 3.7 Other cereals 11 11 8 S S 0.9 Beans 13 Ili Ili IS IS .3 9 Fruits, vegetables. and roots.... 29 30 30 32 311 j.2 Total crops 17.1 197 266 278 290 7.�ti' Livestock 58 66 Iii 77 Si 3.0 Poultry 13 15 IS 20 20 *Data are for calendar years. Forestrc 38 0 10 -1.1 51 at) 3.:; Fishing; and hunting........... :3 2 d 5 7 Total rietiltur( 2813 :320 �101 �133 -its FIGURE 5. Production of principal crops* (Thousands of metric tons) than 10'/ of the total �arc used intensively. The remainder serve largely for grazing. Coffee. corn, and beans are grown on the mountain slopes throughout the northern, western, and southwestern parts of the country. Stockraising is widely distributed in the grassy upland basins and in the Pacific lowlands. Cotton plantations are found in the southern coastal plain. Of the approximately 180,000 farms in the country (higure 7), almost 70% are under 25 acres, and nearly half are under 10 acres. Most of these snntll larms are in less desirable, more nlotnitainous terrain. Only about 6% of the farms contain more than 125 acres, but these account for 60 of all farmland. "I'he largest single landholder is the Standard Fruit Company. whose several properties total 250,000 acres. On the large farms, which are located mainly in the Caribbean lowlands, only it small percentage of the 4 land is cultivated. 'I'll( larger Kurt is unused or in pasture. The government is a large landholder, but only a small hart of its land is being worked. Only about 22 of all farms� nutstly the larger ones �arc operated by the owners tinder clear. indivicbtal titles. About are worked by cjfdatarios (farnivrs who work holdings called c jidos� national lands which municipalities have the right to allocate to residents for lifetime use). About I I ri of all farms are operated by squatters who have no legal title to the land they arc working (usually national land) and the remainder by sharecroppers or under sonic mixed forin of tenancy. The governments of Honduras have initiated numerous laws to enc�otirtge� land ownership. The latest of these %\;t� the \grarian band Reform (�f I962. l'ndcr it. the \utional \grarian Imlilnlc tlr: is cntho\\vwd to purchase or APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070014 -3 1961 14116 1967 1965 1969 11 170 1971 1472#* Bananas 9:59 1,270 I,2SI 1.351 1.280 1,112 1, 1123 1, 220 Coffee 22 20 29 27 :3:3 :3d 31 :37 Cot ton �1 10 S S 3 2 2 :3 Cottonseed 2 17 11 13 5 5 5 5 Sugar, raw (centrifugal) 2.1 :37 -15 51 57 5:3 ti1 lit Co................................. 277 3S9 330 3:53 :3:39 3I6 :359 :300 Beans :311 14 57 63 :55 55 :50 00 Rice 7 :5 S 7 6 li 1 1:3 Tobacco :3 :3 S :i 5 2 3 3 *Data are for calendar years. *Preliminary data. than 10'/ of the total �arc used intensively. The remainder serve largely for grazing. Coffee. corn, and beans are grown on the mountain slopes throughout the northern, western, and southwestern parts of the country. Stockraising is widely distributed in the grassy upland basins and in the Pacific lowlands. Cotton plantations are found in the southern coastal plain. Of the approximately 180,000 farms in the country (higure 7), almost 70% are under 25 acres, and nearly half are under 10 acres. Most of these snntll larms are in less desirable, more nlotnitainous terrain. Only about 6% of the farms contain more than 125 acres, but these account for 60 of all farmland. "I'he largest single landholder is the Standard Fruit Company. whose several properties total 250,000 acres. On the large farms, which are located mainly in the Caribbean lowlands, only it small percentage of the 4 land is cultivated. 'I'll( larger Kurt is unused or in pasture. The government is a large landholder, but only a small hart of its land is being worked. Only about 22 of all farms� nutstly the larger ones �arc operated by the owners tinder clear. indivicbtal titles. About are worked by cjfdatarios (farnivrs who work holdings called c jidos� national lands which municipalities have the right to allocate to residents for lifetime use). About I I ri of all farms are operated by squatters who have no legal title to the land they arc working (usually national land) and the remainder by sharecroppers or under sonic mixed forin of tenancy. The governments of Honduras have initiated numerous laws to enc�otirtge� land ownership. The latest of these %\;t� the \grarian band Reform (�f I962. l'ndcr it. the \utional \grarian Imlilnlc tlr: is cntho\\vwd to purchase or APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070014 -3 l. ;%grivultural inputs aril techniques TOTAL LAND AREA 27.7 million acres percent distribution I so Corn 21 Coffee Beans Bananas Sugarcane 0 Sorghum Other \griculturaI I )rod uctivit% in Ilond(Iras, which is :unong the loosest in I.atill :1nu�ric�a, is limited not onl% b I)rubletns of land tenor� and b unfa%orable soil and c�litnatt� conditions but also be in methods of ('1111kation. Use of modern agric�ullltnll illethods is liuited :Ihnosl to banana Im)(luclion. Imports of agric�tlllural inpits ananult to orals $16 million a sear, a lu%% figure considering (he import.o.. of agriculture and the� (Inavailabilih of suet iul)(Its from donn�slic sources. There is little mechanization in I lon(luras. The ase�rai. tv farmer uses it machete to (lig ul) the� soil anti it slick to sons the seed. In the cottntrs as :t se hole there is an a(rrage of one l)lo\% for esrr\ four farms. Lack (If transltortatimi and c�onunnnication and the l)r�valcnce of iIIiterac�\ hanll)er (Iisu�nlination (If information un modern fanning methods. I�,xt( service�s. I)re)%i(Ie(I inainl\ b\ the Directoritte of Rural I)ew�IoI)nn�nt, are thinb spread and of limited effecti%eness. The small fit rner, It(, fretlneutl is t�ulli\ating %ulnerable nountaiii slol)es, sel(Iorn practices snit consersatinn. (:rule are not rotated, and only the� largest farms use chenlic�al fertiliz(-rs. Irrigation. \%hic�h could hell) to c�nnnter effects of irregular r.tinfall in several Darts of tau country. is limited Io ahoul 50.000 acres of banana plantations Mid about 23.000 avers of other crops. 'There are prac�ticallc no drainage or Ilood protection \corks r�\(el)t on the banana plantations. Xgric�ultural credit hasgro%%n in resent \ears(Figur� ti), but it has benefited mainl\ the largerc�ominerc�ial farmers. not the lmasants. 0mitnercial banks Flare� extende(I most of the ne%% credits. I.vitding for IisrstIwk (I esrlol)nu�nt has been gro%%ing notch more FIGURE 6. Land use, 1971 estimates expropriate private land for (listribution to the� landless. The IN:\ also has promoted nv%% settlt�nenls on national lands and has Irie(I to encuetrage cultkittion of idle land. In general. ho%ee\er. the 1962 reform prognun has nade little� progress because of Door administration, limited financial resources. and apittlietic national leadership. The� pattern of farm (listrib(ttion contributes to locc productivity and income. The concentration of farms cln it relati% shall extent of nunuttainous terrain while large areas of plains retrain ime\ploited is i:(�fficient. \lor(�O%cr. insecurit% of tenure is it disincentive to imestuent and more efficient prodtic�tion. FIGURE 7. Farm units by size and area, 1965 -66* FARM I Nrr. 'I�otVi 17.S. 1 11)0. f) :i, 111:3 l )n.n Government estimates. *I heetare 2.17 acre.. FIGURE 8. Source and use of agricultural credit A \NI M. Ac 1:HAG or n l at l' It S F'.%I t: N T. Total \III.I.IaN. of SIZE IN Total Pvt 1.1)(I(r Percent nerr.utt:. 1.111111's of total acre1 of total 11 I............ \1.11 "i.l INs Is..; !1............ 36. 1 /l 2111 Other insli!ution.............. 11) 1!1 27.1 I:i.' atilt lll.. �II 1!1.......... 311.11 5Y1 l; .l .ill 1111.......... 11.1 i.l; 127 l:..i 11111 1!14........ 2.5 1.., 3 21 21111 1!1!1........ I.:i 1).; 313 11. \lore than )0(I.. 0.7 1) !I.i:i 'I�otVi 17.S. 1 11)0. f) :i, 111:3 l )n.n Government estimates. *I heetare 2.17 acre.. FIGURE 8. Source and use of agricultural credit A \NI M. Ac 1:HAG or n l at l' It S F'.%I t: N T. A"t M. \III.I.IaN. of GI OW1 II It It "I It AT \mntA. rl:ItVEN1 11161i 111711 1966 711 Commer�ial Dank- 14. 1 sn.1) 1 1 2.9 Livestock I. 1 32.:3 1 Drops. I 14.II 1`.(i .1 National Dv%vlopno ..t Bank.... 2:3.2 21.5 1. Livestock S..) 10.S Is..; ('rap. 17.7 1:3.7 l; Other insli!ution.............. 1;.7 III.� 11.1 Total agricultural Ielldilig...... 111.:3 11.).1; 23.7 Livestock 11.3 Is.1 $.3.1; ('rap. :35.1) 117.:) 1:' 5 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070014 -3 rapidl% than lending fur crops. Most peasants, lacking I) roI)vr I:uul titles, find credit unavailable at reasonable rates. The governna�nl has attempted to aid small farmers thro�gh the National I)eyclopma�nt Bank (B,.kN;kFOBi\I). Lending by this agency has stagnated in recent gars, f,ut it B:\NAFOIZXI prc grant fur building grain storage facilities in 'Tegucigalpa :std San Pedro Sula is polenlfally important fur agric,tll,trai deveIoI) men t. If t his storage capacil\ leads to higher and more stable prices at the farm level, it will contribute significantly to agricultural incomes. c�. Principal crops (1) Export crops Bananas are by far the most important agricultural crop. Ilonduras is the fourth largest producer of banamis in the world and the second largest exporter, follo\\ing F.cuador. Bananas are the chief source of foreign exchange earnings. V:dete added by the banana industry accounts for more than 2YC of all agricultural production and close to 10(i of (:I)I The banana industry is dominated by two large l`.S. -owned companies, the Tela Hailroad Contpany (a division of United Fruit Company) and the Standard I'mit and Steamship Company. 'These two firms grow or purchase nearly all the bananas exported by Ilonduras. Banana production increased by 50`1 between 1960 Mid 1970 and by about 1 i more in 1971. This growth was clue mainly to good world market conditions that stimulated large capital investments. including the imtrodac�tion of disease resistant varieties. There was a marked drop in output in 1972, as there had been in 1969, because of severe hurricane (lamage. The Honduran banana industry is not in a favorable position for future expansion. World demand for the fruit has not matched increases ill suppl and labor costs in the Honduran banana inchtstry are higher than in other exporting countries. Coffee is the second most important crop. It accounts for about 10ii of the value of agricultural production, and more than Wi of output is exported. Both pro(l(tetion and exports have grown considerably in the past decade. Although coffee is grown mainly om small- amd ntedimn -size firm s. ntarketin,g is highl\ concentrated. Honduran coffee is of generally lower quality than that of other Central rinte�rican countries because of less favorable soils and less modern processing facilities. Tobacco, grown in the western part of the country, is raised mainly for export. Production has been stagnant in recent years. largely because of 6 unsatisfactory marketing arrangements, bct Im spec�ls for expanding output appear good. Most of the crop is it high- clualit\ cigar leaf, for which work/ (Ic�nuuul is st rong. Colton was a major export crop in the mid- 1960's, but its importance has since dec�lified sharply because of falling work/ prices, weather and insect damage to crop and the war with F Salvador, which caused the loss of thousands of skilled Salvadoran cotton workers. Ilc�nduran cotton- rcisitg pmc�tic�es are crude, and the ieict s low �less than 500 pounds per acre. l i �nduras became self- stffic�ienl in sugar in 196 awl began exporting it, 1967. Sugarcane k grc,wm untie/\ un commercial farms. The largest single producer is the Honduran Sugar Company. which has extensive fields near San {edro Stla. 2 0onlestic� foot/ crops Food crops consist mutinly of corn and beans. Other cereals, including rice. sorgftumt. and millet. :re grown in snall quantities. Iloncfcras raises almost no wheal but intports s ananutls. \lost corn and beaus are consunwd locally, bolt there us(all\ is also a surplus for export. Export vamtings from these crops have fallen sltarpl\ since the disruption of trade with 1-:1 Salvador. the l arge st market. :kbout half of all cultivated land is planted to corn. the mntjor items in the� Ilooduran dict. Thk crop itc- coutt for about Ill', of the yalne of agricultural not iml. Most corn k ,rtmn on snr.tll :old llwdirurt-sizc farnv.. and ntnclerm tnetliml� of cukkation are prac- tically uukrt(w n. icld, arc lom even in coomparim m with lho m- of ether (:ent�al :\nwrican countries. I'r)- cloc�tion rose bs :ot ;tyeratgc of 1`, a se;tr daring the IWit1's. onlx slidltl\ I;t than popttlatiott. Bealls, tie seeded basic food crop. provide most of the protein in the Ilonduran diet. Abdul .10"7 of the bean crop is grown b primitive methods crt plots of less than 10 acres. d. Livestock Beef cattle are the principal t} pv of livestock. with herds numbering some Hi million heat/ ill 1970. About Wi of the cattle are raised by small farmers whose herds average less than 50 head. but there are sonic� large producers, notably the two foreign owned banana companics. In 1970 Honduras also had 550,000 hogs, more than any other Central ;\mcricatl country. There are more than 150.000 horses �used both for work on farms and for transportation �as well as oxen, mules. and donkeys that are used for farmtwork. Goats and sheep each number fewer than 25,000 head. Poultry flocks never have been adequate to cover domestic needs. Until the war in 1969, FA APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP0l- 00707R000200070014 -3 Salvador was the nu;jor source of poultrs. Dmr% herds also arc too sn :ell to cover dortesliu requircnn�tts. Ilonduras is self sufficient in the major INi of nwat and also exports suhstatilial quantities of hoth neat products and live auinals. I)ontestic conasrn lit ion. itI%%ays lot%, has been declining. \lvat production has been gracing at :ul average rate of a year since the early 1960's. but exports have f,een increasing at nore than twice that rate, so that domestic supply has been reduced. Meat exports go tnainl\ to the l.'nited States and.Pue Rico. The livestock industrt has consideraIv grnttth potential. There are east areas of uuexploited laud suitable for grazing. :kiso, the qualitc of Ilonduran beef, vvhic�I is Unite I(M, could he inprowe( s(tbstantially by better breeding and I e. Fisheries Fishing, vvhicli is of only ninor inportance to the econonv, is conc�eiOmted along the northeast coast. The govennu�nt ctains fishing rights around offshore� kevs and islands, in some cases as far as 1011 miles out front the coast. and is thing to exercise control over the fishing fleet of' approxiinately 150 vcsscls to prevent overexploi tat ion of fish resources. It is estitnated that over 6 nillion pounds of shrinp, the principal Catch. and a half nillion pound> of lobster were taken in 1971. Alnnost all shritp and lobster. after initial processing it, Ilonduran p1mits (see ManufaCturing). go to the United Stales and Puerto Rico. f. Forestry I londurts has the largest pine and hardwood forests in (ventral :knu�rica, constituting it rich and relatively untouched resource. Ssstctnatic� harvesting of forests FIGURE 9. Texaco petroleum re- finery in Puerto Cortes has been h: inpered be the� lack of appropriate infrastructure, especiall roads and ports. and bs fire, poor consen :etion practices. and insect danage. \lost logging is (lone in the pine forests, but Ilou(Icnras also has \A iii ble tropical hard\ toods, partic�larl\ naho ,ml\ and Spanish cedar. \lore than tftrev- fourths of all stood c�ut is for fuel. Major expansion of f'oreslrt operilions is hanpered F,t the Ilondtiran Forestrt LiM of March 1972. 'this lass, tthic�h re(luires the goternnunt to o%\ it :il f; of ant najor nett forestrt enterprise, makes it difficult to obt :tip, investrent capital to launch n(�\% projects. 2. Fuels and pouter Ilonduras has no vo ail exploration so far has Ltiled to locate couuuerc�ially exploitable deposits of petroletun, although geological Conditions suggest that the\ I'm\ exist. I londtiras imports all its crcule oil. but siuc�e I9, 1 it has imported no refined oil. Its I. 111111 b an, I 1 ;er -d ;tv relinert I inure SI (m n,�d :,od operated bx Texaco. beg:n opernlim. in Augusl 19(i5. Sonic refined nil has been exported, espec�i ;dlv io Panama and the Doninican Republic. but exports have dropped rarkedly because of rapier grooving domestic re(ltirements. Wood is important as fuel for household and small industry use. The 1) rojec�te(I steel plant near I'eg ic�igal )it if built, vv ill use charcoal rather Uncut coke. Electric� power capacity doubled during 196S-T2 to approximatel\ 165,000 kilowatts (kvv Production has increased by a \ear and atnounted to 350 nillion kilowatt hours (kw. -hr.) in 1972. but has barely kept pace with grr,vving dcinmids. Per capita c�onstttnption (excluding plant use and transmission losses) ver:ges 115 kw. hr.. one of ;()west in Centrd America. H APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP0l- 00707R000200070014 -3 Industry consumes more than half of output, households nearly one- fourth. Agriculture uses only about ?i The northern power district, including San Pedro Sula, accounts for 60 of consumption, the central district, NVith 'Tegucigalpa, for 35c/(". barge areas of the country nave no electric power. 'I'll(- central and northern districts are interconnected by a 138 -kv. trunk line and several 35 and fig kV. lines. This system, comprising some 330 kilometers of lines and interconnecting abott 6055 of the generating capacity, is the sole transmission system. Sonic 60% of installed capacity and 75 of annual output is hydroelectric, but only about lWi of the country's Waterpower potential- estitnated to be more than one -third of the total for Central America -has been utilized. Thernial plants are diesel- fueled. Public utilities, plainly the government's National Enterprise for Electric Power (ENF.E), generate 90/7 of total output. Equipment for power facilities is imported, and as of 1972 some -1 -1 of the power industry was financed by foreign credits and loans. Additional generating capacity of 100,000 kw. and addilional tntwmission lines are plamwd for the 117:i 77 period. 3. Mining and minerals The mining industry contrihutes only about 2Si of (;DP, but it is important to the economy because most of its output is exported. N/lineral exports in 1971 amounted to approximately -I4i of all exports. Honduras has cennrnercially important deposits of gold, silver. lead, and zinc and smaller deposits of FIGURE 10. Value added in manufacturing (Value in million.; of 1966 lempiras) cadntittnt, iron, tin, copper, and pitchblende. Silver is the "lost Valuable metal, hill output of both silver and gold has been declining. In 1970, Ilondtras mined :3.7 million troy ounces of precious metals, compared With 5.-1 million in 1968. Cro\Ving production of lead and zinc has partially -�ompensated for the decline in output of precious metals, h"t Ill( rate of growth for these metals apparently h.. slowed since 1970. About 355i of tFc Valte of niaing conics froin nonmetallic minerals, pztinly building materials such as stone, sand, and limestone. Cement prodne�tion has grown rapidly because of strong demand from the construction industry and tit(- cast/ availability of high- gr _ide mw nntterials. Ilondttran mining laws are liberal and encourage private activity. Most nining is done by t\eo 1 otVned c�otnpanies. 'I'll(- New fork and Ilondtras Rosario `lining Contpay, the older and larger, has extensive facilities at its EI \lochito nine, Nest of Lago de Yojoa, for producing lead and zinc' concentrates. 'I'hc other f.nn, the `lining Conpany of Los Angels, produces lead and zinc in the� Department of I-ranc�isco Worazan. 4. Manufacturing Honduras is still the least industrially developed country in Central America, though the� ntzutufacluring sector has gro\%n rapidly during the past decade. \;du(, added bV Ilonduran ind.tstry increased at an averag- annual rate of 9i daring the 1960's (F)gure 10). Growth was especially Vigorous b(,tWeell 196 3 and 1965, as a result of large .t 1. t�t: PERCENT (W 1�i)r.11. Fac�ton production: Food processing Beverages and tobacco 1' extilc hues and clothing Consumer chemicals Wood products Industrial Chemicalss Petroleum Construction materials Metal products O ther. 'I'otatl Handicraft production Total manufacturing 8 19170 11170 1960 19; 0 13.0 :36.S 10. 1 I8.0 12.R '1.11 7 .3 f: 2 0.5 :3.1 /).f: /.S 9.:i 17.9 12.(I lfl.3 I.6 3.11 0.0 I.6 I(,U :.f; 3.0 10.2 0.7 :i.0 0.9 :3. 12.:3 W.2 127.1 -iS. 7,5.3 :32.9 ilia 1.f; .H.; 711.1 17:3. 100.() 100.1) APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP0l- 00707R000200070014 -3 is west nu�nts in thr sugar industry an(I expande(1 pit rtic�ipalion ill the (:AGM, whiclo fostered the (It veloptncnt of some ney italustries. The rate of growth slowed to about 6..;Si it year between 19119 and 1971 because of tits disruption of Irade resulting froth the war with i ?I Salvador and uncertainty about regional prospects and government policy. The last (let kiled industrial census (1967) listed 2,03-1 industrial enterprises. Of these, 6.3.1 had five or more employees and were classed as "factories." The remaining I, W were artisan shops. The conlrihulion of the artisan sector to total industrial production declined from �11.5 in 1960 to 6.7 "1 in 1970. ,More than 90! of all industrial establishments are located in three (le,rtrtnu nos� \tl ;utida, :ortes, and F rancisco Morazim. About 7Y(' are it; San I Sula, which has better power and transportation facilities thaii the rest of the countr%. Plants located in and around Tegucigalpa it re most ly light industrial enterprises, such as textile plants and breweries. a. Fend products, becc�rapes, and tobacco Processed foods, beverages. and tobacco ac�c�otut for nearly ool� -third of value added u the Honduran manufacturing sector. Output increased at ;tit estimated 9.5'1' mmally during the 1960's. Mitch primary food pvwessing is done on the fare or in small, astieluatcd stills, bolt an increasing number of Iro;e up to date plants are prod such products as sugar, flour, milled rice, dairy products, animal feed concentrates, and industrial oils. Some of the older. inefficient plants also are being modernized and expanded. lit spite of its recent gro:yth, the food processing industry provides only the most basic processing seryiccs. False added by the food processing industry is only about 7.5 of the total y;luc of Honduran food production, whereas in industrialized countries tit( share is 3Yi to 10o 7 i. Sugarcane processing accounted for almost :30'1 of value added by the food- processing sector is 1970. ,\Ithough Honduras has fe(�n exporting sugar since 1967, little profit is realized from sugar sales on tit(- world market because of relatively high production costs. '!'here are three sugar companies, which, unlike most sugar operations ill Latin i\mvric�a, are o\%-[,:'(l by public shareholders rather than wealthy families. "They are the Chambaym Sugar Processing Conopally in Santa Barbara, tit(- n(�w Choluteca Sugar Compall\. and the Ionduran Sugar Processing Company in San Pedro Sala �the largest which has it capacity of 6,5M tons of call( per dad. The meat processing and packing industry grey by an average of 10Si it year betwe 1967 and 1971, chiefly is response to it growing market for frozen boneless beef in the United States and Pict Bice. F.\porls during this period grey b\ W( it year and I!wtaled some -12 million pounds in 1971, well over half of production. five plants are certified b, the V.S. Coyenunenl for export to the United States. and about a dozen other slaughterhouses prodnc�e for the (Iotneslic market. Be I; ma tion of I'.S. inport restrictions in 1972 will I this in(Icstry, bit'. growth also depends on better liyesiock supplies. The dairy products industry is small, though growhog. ''s'hcre are processing plants in San Pedro Sula and Tegucigalpa. Ilondtims exports mine milk p oducts� especially ice cream �to Ni, ragcta and El Salvador, but it is it net importer oI these *m ducts. Si\ small fish- processing plants are in operation, and three more are planned or under constnoc�tion. Only the� simplest preliminar\ operations are performed before the fish are shipped in fn�( rer ships to New Orleans and other southern U.S. ports. An important nesy food processing ac�tkity began \yith the inauguration in 196.7 by the l'nited Fnoit ('mill"an of thr mald', I:rge.t plant fair c.mnvd .oat frozen banana pnme and banana chips. This plant. located in Lit Lisrt. C ;u process 20 million pounds of bananas amorally. It produces exclusively for export, chiefly to the United Slates, C;�.nada, Western 1?urope. and Japan. Other ne\y food processing plants pro(luc�e cotton and sesame seed and citns fruit concentrate. The vegetable oil industry, which produced enough to permit net exports of oils in 'he late 1960's. has been hart by the decline in cotton production and the disruption of Central American trade. I londuras has if small tobacco industry, producing nuoink cigarettes for domestic consttntption but also it growing number of cigars for export. The beverage industry. \yhic�h consis!s almost entirely of beer brewing, is one of the oldest and largest industries in Honduras. \'aloe added by the beverage industry in 1970 e(lualed 8`i of total y:due added by the entire nuuufacturing sector. Ionduras also has one plant producing gin and vodka for export to the United States. b. Other manufacturing The \yood products industry. which is next in importance following the food and beverage industries, produces mainly basic lumber products. More than 100 small sawmills. using rudimentary technology, were in operation in 1971. There arc also a plywood plant and it few furniture factories and cabinet shops that produce for export. Honduras has barely begun to realize the potential of its vast stands of timber, but investment restrictions on foreigners 9 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070014 -3 hinder the �xecrttiou of it( wood-processing projects such as a lark planned pulp :utd paper still. 1'rodtiction of textiles, clothing, auld shoes aeeotutted for 9r(" of value added in manufacturing in 1940. I'roduc�tion of clothing and textiles greoy vigorously during the� 1960 but the country still is a net importer of these items. Exports have dropped considerably as it result of trade difficulties with the :kCN1. Honduran textile products are generally unsalable outside of Central America because of high prices and low duality. Most clothing and textile enterprises are family -owned firms "ith Iovy Productivity, although t nod.nt stills oyillt sontroyhat hett.rst:a :u :!rcisopened in the ntid_I9)6O's. The footwear industry, consisting of more than :300 small shoemaking firms, increased both output and exports rapidly during the early 1960's. It \vas severely hurt by increased competition front more efficient producers in the other CACNI countries but has revived somewhat since the recent difficulties in CACM trade. Honduras produces only the simplest chentiezil products� such as soaps, d\-es, cosmetics, plastic products, and some drugs. The level of technology in tale chemical industry is loss, but the rate of grooyt I has been rapid. Value added increased by an average of -10'/r per year behyeen 196 -1 and 1970. This industry has suffered from the dl,ra:ption of CALM trade, because it large part of its output Lis exported to the GkC M countries. Metal processing and ntac�hime boil(ling are at a loo\ level of development. Ilonduras must import nearly all basic metal products and machinery and equipment, as well as many consumer durables. One rolling mill, at San Pedro Sula� produces sin; off commercial shapes front steel billets imported front klvxico. A number of small plants manufacture such items as electric household appliances ,111(1 stores, metal furniture and utensils, and industrial pipes and tubes. Construction of it S35 million -S -10 million iron Mid steel plaint near 'Tegucigalpa has been tinder consideration for more than i t decade but is being delayed by financial problems and the uncertainty of economic prospects. 'I'll( construction materials industry grew b 14S; annually during 1966 -40, and its share in total manufacturing rose from 5.Wi in 1960 to 11.5`,'(' in 1970. There is one c�errtent plant, located in San I S111a. c. Construction Because of rising demand for industrial installa- tions, housing, and public works, constriction activity expanded vigorously daring 1966 -69, grooving at an average annual rate of I8"1 it year. 'I'll(- construction industry accounted fur 5.3!1 of GDI' ill 1969 compared oyillt 3 ).W4 in 1966. Actiyit�- slooyed during 1970-72, because both private and public investment slackened. (lousing accounts fur tit(- largest share of constntc�tion, but its share dropped front more than one -half in 1964 to less loan one -third in 194 1 vyltil. tic share for roads, bridges, and other public facilities ruse. Large internidicrnally financed projects usually ctnplu\ foreign contractors instead of the small seal. domestic construction firms. 5. Domestic trade The market systc�nt is practically c�onfi'ted to tit. urban areas, although neoy roads built r�ceutly bay(- increased coma ercial activity by bringing mtanN preyio(tsly isolated people into onlac�t vyitlt the money .c�011011ly. Wholesale and retail trade is doininated by Tegucigalpa. the twain popu;ation and fin.lnc�ial center. 'I'll(- ports of Puerto Cartes and Tela on the Caribbean coast are important distribution points for imported goods. Other centers of c�onunerce inchide La Ceiba. San Pedro Sula, Choluteca, Contav gua, and FA Progreso. i\lost ru:1l inhabitants produce.� their o\% it food. textiles, and other basic necessities. Some products. such as coffee and native handicrafts, are sold to pa unit purchase of it fevy ntamil'aclured items. In small towns. bazaar -t.pe markets and itinerant traders are cvnunon. lu larger tosyns. cons +user goods are sold throng! a yarieh of outlets, including small specialt\ shops. vet stalls, and outdoor markets. C. Government finance and economic policy 1. Economic policy and programs The Il!rnduran Government pla\s a less significant role in the economy tban is usual in it developing c�o(rnlry. It makes investments. operates public enterprises, and exercises various direct and indirect controls, but it never has been it motivating force for ec�011011tic growth. Most of the development pr>,grants it has adopted have been instigated b\ U.S. or iit ternati )it al financial i list it tit ious upon vyhiell Ifoil (luras depends for financial support. The govern utent of President OsoyaIdo Lopez. oyhic�h was in poorer from late 196.3 to early 1941. was committed to c�onlini ing the program of moderate economic� reform began under the preceding administration of President Hanlon Villeda Morales. In 1965 it prrblish.d it National Plan for Economic and Social Development 1965 -69), calling for APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070014 -3 diversification of agriculture to broaden the export base, stinttclatiou of industrial expansion, and increased public expenditure for infrastructure. It did not, boweve�r, follow through energetically on executing either this plan or the previously euac�ted Agrarian Reform Lrxy of 1962, altbotigh it did launch a vigorous public investment program in 1969 -70. It also failed to shift to an alternate tax base to replace revenues lost when tariff revisions in the 1960's eroded receipts from trade taxes. Conse(Iuently, financial difficulties developed that pe "sist to the present. Tice regime of President Ramon Cruz, which followed the Lopez administration, was particularly maladroit in economic administration. :1lthmigh it produced two development )falls little was done to promote economic development, and it allowed government finances to deteriorate further. Ill 1972 President Lopez returned to power confronted b% a shaky financial situation which overshadowed development problems. The government has tried to stimulate expansion of industry I,y granting tax concession and by providing credit and promotional support. Since the mid 1960'x, the National Development Bank has clianneled funds from the Agency for International Development and the Inter American Development Bank to manufa.�- Wring firms and also has estal an Industrial Development Division to condi et feasibilih studies. promote investment, and provide technical assistants. Nevertheless, Ilonduras has been less successful than its Central American neighbors in attracting new investment, largely because of its limited resource base, inadequate infrastructure, and relatively high wage levels but also because government leadership has been weak. The greatest government stimulus to industrial growth in the 1960'; was tbv association %yith the CALM, whose common external tariff provided protection for infant industries and increased access to markets of the other member countries. Reversal of tit(, FIGURE 11. Operations of the public sector (Millions of current lempires) 1060 196 Current revenue 0:3.9 Current expenditure 73.11 Current surplus 15.9 Capital revenue 0.14 Investment expenditure 23.2 Overall deficit Ii.5 Net external financing 8.5 Net domestic finaei Ing 2.3 *Preliminary data. 115.2 1'20. ti 21.6 e. 9 2'i 8 0.3 free trade position ill January 1971- ailhough it benefited some industries, such as the manufacture of textiles, clothing, and footu which had suffered from e�ontpetition within the CACM- probably will damage the industrial sector as it whole by raising costs and prices and encouraging iue ffi_i< nc y. 2. Public finance Tlly public sector consist.-, of the central government, decentralized agencies and enterprises operated b% the central government, and tit( municipalities. Public sector �wenut�s and expendi- tures (Figure II). represented 17 Si and 22`0. respectively, of 1970 (:1)1'. In ;971, tile public sector incurred a deficit eelual to 195; of its total expenditures and to 457 of GI)). Public investnu�rtt in fixed c�apit:d accounted for 5.ffi of GDP 1971. a. Central government The central government accounts for abmit three fourths of current public reventt ,s and expenditures. It accounts directly for about two thirds of Public sector investment and indirectly for it much larger share. through apital transfers to decentralized agencies. I Revenues- Foreign trade taxes provided half if all revenues in tit(- early 1960's and still accounted for about i05i at tit(, end of the decade, despite extensive sid)stitution of domestic and free -trade goods for extraregional (revenue- produc�ing) imports. 'I'IIe import�utce of direct taxes ill total revenues has decreased b(,cause of a drop in receipts from taxes on the banana companies, but receipts from sales and luxury taxes have b.�en increasing and provided more than one -third of tit(, central governmenCs revenue in 1971. Most of tit( substantial increase in myenues during th(, 1960's jigurvs 12 and Ill resulted from rising national income, improved admin ?strttion, and increases in tit(- number of ta- payers, not from new 19e3N 1967 196s 1969 1970 1971 162.5 180,8 201.1 214.5 2:37.5 21:3.1 1:36.5 149.1 1ti�i.I I9s.1 210.5 21S.i. 26.0 31.7 37.0 16.7 27.:3 24.e.1 2.1 0.7 1.0 1.9 I.0 1.9 :35.7 46.5 5S..1 89.�1 117.1 5:3.0 7 .13 14 1 20.4 70.S 65.3 56.2 6.(i 10.7 IS.2 3:3..1 4I.S 35.3 I.0 3.�t 2.2 37.4 20.5 17.9 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070014 -3 FIGURE 12. Central government finances (Millions of current lempiras) 141it1 Current revenue Current expenditure Current account surplus Capital revenue Investment expenditure Overall deficit Net external financing Net domestic fin :uleing *Prelimivan data 73,2 63. 4. 7 0.5 I6. S ti 6 7.:i ll tl Ili 113. I6 S 0.0 17.5 0. 1.2 11.11 1 4110) 1 467 1 4115 1969 1070 147 1 123.5 125.!1 1.111.8 155.4 17:3 .S 177.1 103.1) 113 A 12:1.4 151.:; 162, 2 167 .2 20.2 15.5 20. 0.0 I.6 0.0 11.6 0.11 III.:? 11.0 O.0 211.4 0.0 31 1 35.0 :ill. ti 113. 1 :15.7 6. 7 15.6 1 1. 1 19.0 151.8 15.5 1.5 7 .6 13.5 I.S. I 2ti.s 21.6 2.2 8.0 0.3 30.!1 35.0 311.9 FIGURE 13. Central government revenues by source, selected years taxes. The minnposition in janaary 1971 of tariffs on imports from the CMAI countries has failed to boost gosernnunt receipts appreciably, and no nesv. dvix-ndable source of incon)e has been developed. (2) E.rpenclitl/res Cuyernnu nt current expcildi- tures grew rapidly thronghout the 1960 and especially rapidly during 1969 -7 1, when defense rclated spending rose markedly. I lalf of' the increase in current spending during the 1960's went to social services (Figure I -H. The share of current expenditures going to general services and to cc�ononnic services declined daring the period. hiblic� invesUncnl also rose during the 1960s, but it (Ieclined in 1971 because of deterioration of govcnnnwnt finances and c�onse(luenl cuts in spending. In terns of total goven)nu'nt spending including transfers economic services are grossing ins innpor- tance relative to social services. Agriculture rcecives only it small percentage of total governnu�nt funds, but transportation receives it large an(I gro\%ing share. The sizable increase in public investnnent in the late 1960's and in 1970 resaltvd largely front spending in the transportation and power sectors (Figure 15). 12 especially the expansion of the North Road and the Bio hildo hvdroelec�tric� project. (3) 1)( ficits -With lark increa es in both current :nut inyesUnenl expenditures, the goyenanu�nt deficit ruse sharply in 1969 and has remained at a high Ievel. During 1969 -7 1 it averaged 22'(' of expenditures. To c�uv( the deficit, both external and domestic financing were consideral)ly expanded. Before 1969. bank credit to dw central governnu'nl had been either negaliyc or negligible. b. Decentralized agencies I)ec�entcalizvd agencies. syhic�h include both public enterprises and aulononnlos institutions account for about one fourth of public revenues and about one third of public spending. The difference consists largely of transfers fronn the central goveni nenl. hiblic� enterprises. which include four public utilities, lh(� National (lousing Institute, the National Lottery, and, since the end of 1965. the National Port Authority, expanded operations c�owidcrably in tit( Jule 19ti0's, but total expenditures of decentralized APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070014 -3 190 tit A cE HAG e 14117 1969 1411 Pe rccid 'lazes on foreign tradee m.1; 111,.1 ?U.1 iU.l tI1lpUrl taxt ll Export taxes. .li j 3. 7 3.l; Direct taxes 2S.:i Taxes oil ballad: colllpallies............ !l,:i :1.:i 7. Other iuionle tax 16.7 ,.'u. t; in.o P ropeity tax 11.11 l.1 n. ,c I.0 faxes on domestic transactions............ .5.:i 2S.,,' i..: .i",.a Sales tax 0.11 :Automobile tax 1.l BVVI� NI X 10.1 .l 1;.,` 1 Other taxes Ii. 1d.l I,.7 IS 1; Nontax rev entit S. /i \.jl lll.j 11).9 taxes. The minnposition in janaary 1971 of tariffs on imports from the CMAI countries has failed to boost gosernnunt receipts appreciably, and no nesv. dvix-ndable source of incon)e has been developed. (2) E.rpenclitl/res Cuyernnu nt current expcildi- tures grew rapidly thronghout the 1960 and especially rapidly during 1969 -7 1, when defense rclated spending rose markedly. I lalf of' the increase in current spending during the 1960's went to social services (Figure I -H. The share of current expenditures going to general services and to cc�ononnic services declined daring the period. hiblic� invesUncnl also rose during the 1960s, but it (Ieclined in 1971 because of deterioration of govcnnnwnt finances and c�onse(luenl cuts in spending. In terns of total goven)nu'nt spending including transfers economic services are grossing ins innpor- tance relative to social services. Agriculture rcecives only it small percentage of total governnu�nt funds, but transportation receives it large an(I gro\%ing share. The sizable increase in public investnnent in the late 1960's and in 1970 resaltvd largely front spending in the transportation and power sectors (Figure 15). 12 especially the expansion of the North Road and the Bio hildo hvdroelec�tric� project. (3) 1)( ficits -With lark increa es in both current :nut inyesUnenl expenditures, the goyenanu�nt deficit ruse sharply in 1969 and has remained at a high Ievel. During 1969 -7 1 it averaged 22'(' of expenditures. To c�uv( the deficit, both external and domestic financing were consideral)ly expanded. Before 1969. bank credit to dw central governnu'nl had been either negaliyc or negligible. b. Decentralized agencies I)ec�entcalizvd agencies. syhic�h include both public enterprises and aulononnlos institutions account for about one fourth of public revenues and about one third of public spending. The difference consists largely of transfers fronn the central goveni nenl. hiblic� enterprises. which include four public utilities, lh(� National (lousing Institute, the National Lottery, and, since the end of 1965. the National Port Authority, expanded operations c�owidcrably in tit( Jule 19ti0's, but total expenditures of decentralized APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070014 -3 FIGURE 14. Distribution of centic+l government current expenditures (Millions of current lempiras) *I'relinlin:u�c data. "Viglin's differ from those is Pit:ure 1:3 hec;llho of iucuu >i (caries is official data. 1l ncil drdincd in 19 ;111(1 1971 ;1 ;1 n �1111 I)f Iln� t;ll\t�rnrnvnt's fiscal difficulties. Public enterprises generall\ finance current expenditures from their o\\it m\enues but rel\ tttt the central gm and foreign sources fc in\rslnu�nt financiltk. \I( )It a11t )III lllltlIS IrlstitIItitHIS (lVIWIId MI Transportation 56.1 Power ZZ 16.8% 8.3% Agriculture OtF�cr 6.6 �0 2.6 Communications Health 3.7 J L 3.6% Education L 7.3% Housing Economic development 83.6% Social welfare 16.2% FIGURE 15. Composition of public investment, 1971 central goxernntent transfers for both openitiug and capital funds. Onl\ the Ilondimm In slituty of Social Security is large1% self- st11>1mrting c�. Municipalities The mllnicipalities are large(\ self supporting and acc�onnt for onl\ ;tbmit of public slmnding. The le\el of spending b\ local g()\enonent inc�rc ;ised ()rtl\ slightly bet\\ren N67 and 1971. 3. Financial institutions, money supple, and prices a. Financial institutions The banking s\stent consists of the Cviitrll Bonk of Ilondtims� the National De\elopment Batik. the %lunicipal Development Rio IIk. nine c() nlnlercial banks (four I'()reign I)\\ned). several specialized credit institutions. and ;1 minder (If savi I t-I's and loan eooperalivcs. The Cviand R;utk, founded in 1050. acts ..s the governincids fiscal agent. issncs ctlrrcnc\. sets interest rates and reser\c requirements. anti controls eolcl and foreign e\c�I ange reser\es. Mon -fir\ llolic�\ has been directed nntinl\ to\\ard protecting the value of the lempira within a s\stetn of free con\vrtibilil\. '1'hc� Bank fre(II wilt IN has re( IIiired aid front the International tMonelar\ fund to maintain a sufficient level of international reser\�es. The state -o\\ ned Notional Dvv(dolnncnt Bank also doting from 1950, in addition to I:i APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070014 -3 1'1�:nl'ENT Prat Cl: NT I -I-A" EM 1111111 o1, '1'OTA1. 1967 OF TOTAL 1117 1 n '1'"'1 .11, (i(- %d Se1'\�iVE'S 111.1 I1.7 1;.S 1i1.5 ,1.11 t l 111 i llist tat it/Il........... 12. "o. 21. 1 Is. 1; 33.2 19.9 1)t4t'nst' and politr.........1 l 1. l 1 1_'.:3 u.S 211.2 12. 1 .1 list e stic l .I.it d.:; 1.1 .!1 Interest ou public debt..... _'.1 3.3 I.:i >.s' 10.3 1;. Snci:d Sel'Cil�t'S 2.1 I .?S.!I Ili. 1 40 :l 1 .it ?duc:uion I1.:3 .J_'. :i 21. 1 25.0 17.0 !S.1 Health li.5 10.2 10.9 !l,6 111.11 11.., ltlei:ll 1 .7 i (i 1 li .11 7.5 Ot tier 1.ti ..1; 11.3 ll.,i 11.11 4,.; 1'a'l1llomic sel \'iee5........... i-1 .5 22.. 17.3 l :i �i 2 1 i A g I'll' 1111 it n 2 .5 .;.!I 6.l ollllilllllit atlut.s. 3. 1 j.N 1. 1 3.!I 5. 1 t IISlx/l'I:l t ill 11.... 11.2 5-S; ...1 11,11 01111 i i..i I .II ll.! 1 .5 \djustnu�ul I.I \,11 11.11 'Fol II expendit lll�t' 67.6 lull.O 113. 1 lllll.11 1111 .2 11111. *I'relinlin:u�c data. "Viglin's differ from those is Pit:ure 1:3 hec;llho of iucuu >i (caries is official data. 1l ncil drdincd in 19 ;111(1 1971 ;1 ;1 n �1111 I)f Iln� t;ll\t�rnrnvnt's fiscal difficulties. Public enterprises generall\ finance current expenditures from their o\\it m\enues but rel\ tttt the central gm and foreign sources fc in\rslnu�nt financiltk. \I( )It a11t )III lllltlIS IrlstitIItitHIS (lVIWIId MI Transportation 56.1 Power ZZ 16.8% 8.3% Agriculture OtF�cr 6.6 �0 2.6 Communications Health 3.7 J L 3.6% Education L 7.3% Housing Economic development 83.6% Social welfare 16.2% FIGURE 15. Composition of public investment, 1971 central goxernntent transfers for both openitiug and capital funds. Onl\ the Ilondimm In slituty of Social Security is large1% self- st11>1mrting c�. Municipalities The mllnicipalities are large(\ self supporting and acc�onnt for onl\ ;tbmit of public slmnding. The le\el of spending b\ local g()\enonent inc�rc ;ised ()rtl\ slightly bet\\ren N67 and 1971. 3. Financial institutions, money supple, and prices a. Financial institutions The banking s\stent consists of the Cviitrll Bonk of Ilondtims� the National De\elopment Batik. the %lunicipal Development Rio IIk. nine c() nlnlercial banks (four I'()reign I)\\ned). several specialized credit institutions. and ;1 minder (If savi I t-I's and loan eooperalivcs. The Cviand R;utk, founded in 1050. acts ..s the governincids fiscal agent. issncs ctlrrcnc\. sets interest rates and reser\c requirements. anti controls eolcl and foreign e\c�I ange reser\es. Mon -fir\ llolic�\ has been directed nntinl\ to\\ard protecting the value of the lempira within a s\stetn of free con\vrtibilil\. '1'hc� Bank fre(II wilt IN has re( IIiired aid front the International tMonelar\ fund to maintain a sufficient level of international reser\�es. The state -o\\ ned Notional Dvv(dolnncnt Bank also doting from 1950, in addition to I:i APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070014 -3 acting as it (I evelopnterit bank also provides coninterc�ial banking svrvice.: to Darts of the c�ountry not adequate(% served h% the coutnterc�ial hanks. It obtains funds main!% front the gov (-nunent fut also front foreign hit it and international finartc�ial institutions and grunts c�rvdit to both industry and agriculture. It provides fit) to ti5lf' of total bank credit to agriculture, mostly in loans to small- and median( -sired producers who cannot obtain ordinary commercial credit. Conitnerc�ial banks control about half of tc,tad banking assets. w1 ich grey by an average of I it year during 1966 -7 1. At the end of 19 tltc four foreign controlled (mainly U.S.) hunks held about 52r of c�onunercial hank assets. In 1912, legislation wits proposed which would require foreigners to divest themselves of holdings in Ilondurun bank. Specialized credit institutions include four sin :11 sayings and loan institutions, a state -owned bank for eIrkilneling funds to municipal govertnnews. and t%% 1 rivate investment hanks, one of which, operating nutinly on All) loads, is an important sotirce ef investment funds for the manufacturing sector. "There art� also six insurance conipanics and some 125 sin,111- scaly credit unions in the cottrutry. b. Money supply During the ntid- 1960's the banking systene iw(ptired resottrc�es npidh. and credit expanded without (.,using inflation or balance of pad inents difficulties Figure 1 6). A sharp credit expansion with it concomitant decline in net international reserves in 1961 was followed by i t substantial ,eeIlntulatiort of reserves in 1968, but further brisk expansion of credit in 1969 and 1910 led to balatlee of paN merits problems and brought foreign exchange res(-nes to it Io%% level. With restraiue�d expansion of cri�dit, fure�igu excttarige reserves increased main in 1911 and 1972. c. Prices Prices have been relatively .table fe,r it number of years. Th(- oyer:dl price le%el increased ()ills negligil,1% dtiriog 1968 I, although c�onsunu�r Iric�es apparently rose by ari a%crage of 2 it year, with food price rises in 1910 :ltd 1911 ac�c�ounting for it large part of the inc�re�r,se (F igure 1 4. Manpower a. Size of the labor force The Ilonduran labor force:' ntunbers :ippro \intatcl\ WO, 000, or a l :prexiniitIvIy i2r.( cf the total population. It grew during the 1960 at an average aurinal rate of 3.2 or slightly i(-ss r :epidl than tnta! population. In 1912. 65S of the work force %sits etnplo in agricultural activities, enl\ 0.2`( less than in 1971. !)(-spite it decade of fairly rzipid in- dustrialization, ntandiwhiring still ii(votinted foronly Sri of the total in 1912 and stil! ranked third in entplo\ntent categories, behind both agri(�ulturc� and finatc�ial and housing services (Figure IS). S(-If- eniploled persons and unpaid fancily nu�nu1w rs together stake alt over half of the work force (Figure 19). 'I'll(- reserve of w()rkers who (night he brought into the labor force is quite large perhaps 250,000- is mostly felrtale and (mostly untniined. Vnentployrnent, concentrated nwirtly in the urban areas, apparently `The econnmiealh actke pupulatiun at!e 15 and mer- FIGURE 16. Assets and liabilities of the banking system (Millions of current lempiros) APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070014 -3 19'iti 1967 19115 1969 1970 1971 :Assets. F oreign ssets 10.0 2S.1 52. ti W.I 11.11 2 11.2 Domestic credit 20 :3.; 257.2 279.7 313. 125.5 161 .5 '1'o the puhhe wetor...... 10.9 1:3.7 S. 1 23.9 5 :1.S 77.0 To the private sector 170.1 31:3.5 212. ti 291.7 317.3 :3119. 1 Other assets 23.4 29.7 25.7 22.2 21.4 I5 .1 Total assets 2.13. 1 2S:i.13 :3:33.3 :359.9 -113.5 190.7 l.iahili!ies: M one,\ 105.11 120.3 1:35.'3 157. I 167.3 152.2 Quasi- money 711.11 !11.5 109.�1 130.11 1137.1 196.2 Foreign liabilities 27. 6 :32.3 12 9 17.9 d8.0 -15, I Other liabilities 3:3.:3 �11.1 11.5 A, 5.0 1311.5 11(1.9 Total liabilities 213.4 25-5.(1 333.:3 319.9 11:3.5 190.7 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070014 -3 FIGURE 17. Consumer prices and GDP deflator (Percentage annual changes) ANN VA AN ERM;E 14tIS 1969 1970 1471 1968 71 Consumer prices 1.8 1.3 f.0 1.8 .2.0 Of which, food............ 1.H GDP deflatorr Domestic prices........... -U.: l.rl U.' ti. n.l 1- :xport prices /.,i rl.,s' N. e; 1. l I as risen in recent years to about 8r'; 1 1 ntlerenploy ment is widespread. especially in rural areas. b. L.erels of trainin.; I fonduran workers are poorl% educated and trained. Sonie 8 -ISC' have had no formal education at all.:khout 121 have had some prinutry schooling, but only have attended secondary school and fewer than I `,i of all employees have a university degree. :1t least Iwo- Agriculture 65.2% Financial and housing services 12.1 Manufacturing 9.4 F-1 Commerce 5.4 1 Construction 2.2 0 Transport and communications a 1.8% Utilities 0.5 Mining and quarrying 0.3 Other (public administration and defense) 4.1 FIGURE 18. Composition of the labor force by economic activity, 1971 thirds of all industrial and service workers have had no formal education, and in agriculture the proportion is higher. Vocational training is a recent innovation illid has helped onl% it small number of \%orkers. Ilonduras suffers front :i severe shortage of skilled and setniskilled craftsnen, machinery operators and tnechanics, technicians. supervisor% personnel. and administrators. The logy iluality of the labor force has handicapped the coinitry in its efforts to attract u( iudustry and utilize domestic resources. The logy levels of skills acid worker nuitiyation. combined with poor tu:utagentent and logy capitali_':ation. lead to low productivity. which. in turn, makes labor in I londuras relatively expensive even though wage rates, as shown in the follo%%ing schedule of average %%eekly earnings in various fields (in Icnipiras. 19)70). are lo%t: AyL�'RACE WEEKLY SALARY Agriculture 48.66 Mining and quarrying 31.56 Manufacturing 41.76 Construction 63.30 Utilities 78.48 Commerce 62.76 NOTE� Figures are for a working week of six 8- hour days in 282 companies with 10 or more workers. Wage and salary earner trirrirr ii111TTR1RTT19 }191 40 employed Hll }I }l }t }I }l 38% Unpaid family worker 167 Employer 1% Other* 5% *Includes people not otherwise classified who were employed and also people unemployed during the year that were seeking work at the time of the census. FIGURE 19. Labor force by class of worker, 1971 15 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070014 -3 c. Labor niorement Organized labor accounts fur c,nl\ a snall part of the I londura n labor force, but it is of considerable and gro%%ill inporlancr. :\l the end of 1969 there w n 30,000 union nu�ndwrs in a score of organizations. l main industries are orgauized: banana %orkcrs. refiner\ \\orkers. longshorellWil, and espccfalk 01�01 power workers. "There also is a peasant organization with considerable political influence. Union nilit; :nc�y is high. Strikes are frecluenl and often cause substantial economic loss. The unions had sone success in inproving wages and working conditions, particularly in the banana industry, but in general the bargaining position of Iloncluran corkers is poor. Organized labor is a vigorous proponent of I: ud reform. mininum \eage lacs, and an inprued social sec�urit\ system. D. Foreign trade Foreign trade is extrenu�Iy important to the ecouon. l ?xport earnings regularly anounl to about 10"1 of (:DP. a high figure even for an undcr- developed country. Ilonduras must export extenskcly in order to be able to purchase needed capital goods and consuner durables not rnanufac�hred donu�sti- c�aII y. I. Composition and direction of trade a. Exports Bananas dominate Iloncluran exports. The\ accounted for more than half the total in 194 (Figure 20). Despite recent difficulties in both gro\\ing and Bananas 50.5% CU P'godut t'a Coffee 12.1% I i Other Indus c 6.0% Pro Reexports 2 b M e a t and unclassified 4 S 4.7 f Mineral Lumber products Other 10.0% 4.3"x, 6.9y. FIGURE 20. Composition of exports, 1971 16 marketing banaims. the \;duc of banana exports has inc�reas�d (�onsideclbly. With a value of swi million ill I) I, it as larger than in 1965. Mhcreas the value of other exports \\,IS slightly snaller (Figure 21 has a breakdown of vahu�s of Ilondcran exports). Although coffee exports are limited b quotas set under the International Coffee ;\grevnwilt, c�offe is growing ill importance and accounted for I?`( of total exports in 19i I. 1-:sports c,f� most other agric�u1hral products have declined. The v;duc of cotton exports in 194 \%as otl\ about 6 of their value in 1966. ?xporls of corn, beans, and lire aoinuds ha\c been hurt b\ the disnption of C, trade. Until 1969, \chcn difficulties \\iIII the (MAII began, Honduras as nrocicratcl\ successful in diversifying exports and expandiiii; the share of industrial goods. particularl\ seniprncessed agricul- tural and forc�str\ products. Fxports of lumber and chilled meats have gro\%n steadily during the past 10 sears :old constituted about 15'( of the total .:due of exports in 1971- Honduras also expanded exports of such manufactured goods as soalps, c�osinetic�s, clothing, and shoes to the (MAI area daring 1966- 00, but this trade dropped sharply in 19; I. F sports of nanufactured goods other than lumber and mu�ats nade ,p 15`(' of the total in 1970 kit only-Ti`; in 1971. b. Import~ I he r;ltio of Ilporl" to CDI' roil� lrulll klot 20', ill the carp 191101*', to Hideo� than .311', in N70 'I'hc slrnclurc of import .11 umisidrl :11)1c. Beflec�ling increases in fixed investment and expansion of the industrial sector, imports of capital goods and industrial ra\c nrclerials grew nuc�h more rapidl\ than imports of consunu�r goods. The share of the latter in total imports declined frc,n about t0 in 1960 62 to i0 "1 in 197 I. Fignrc� 22 gives a breakdocc n of v:aloes of Iloudurao imlporls. I'1�Irolcnnl. coil.lroction materials, steel, and c�hcrnicals are the principal race malcrial imports. The most important consnmu�rgoods inports arc \c heat. pharmaceuticals. horse appliances. textiles. artomn,biles. and automobile spare parts. c. Direction of trade Developed countries account fur the bulk of Ilondcran trade. kith the I'nited Stales far in the lead (Figure'?i). The l'niled Slates. Western 1� :urope, and Japan bought about 78(1 of Honduran exports in 19 the United Stales alone taking 5?`'(. Imports from developed countries accounted fur 6 7 1 of the total (the remainder coming almost entircls from Latin :1nu�ric�a), %cith the share at 1I'i. F\purls to the United States inc�1rdc bananas, coffee, sugar. and invat. Imports consist mainly of nmc�hiner\, transport APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070014 -3 FIGURE. 21. Exports (Millions of U.S. dollars) PH PA, I %IINAItY AgricitItIt raI products .17.:3 112.0 121 .:3 107.5 111 .0 1 1 anas 25.2 75.:1 79.7 71.1 75.3 Co ffee 11.'s 11.0 20.5 IN..) 25.8 Cot tof) 0.11 5.5 -I.S :1,6 I.1 T oba evo 0.5 '2.5 2.7 2.3 2.2 Corti 1.0 1.9 2.11 I1.!1 0.4 13eat1S 0.4 2.7 -1 1 :3.2 1.11 Li ve IIIIiIIIIIIs 2.4 :3.:3 2.S I1,9 0.0 0 0her 1.11 3.:3 3.5 �1.0 3.11 Industrial products 10.7 :32. -1 :34.11 .18. it :12.3 Nlea t I 1 -1.-1 1.7 4.0 4.7 Lumber S.2 II.5 11.11 15.3 313.2 Textiles 0 0.7 I.6 1.5 1.5 Clothilig and shoes 0.2 :3.2 3. 1 :3. 1 1 .5 C hemicals 0 5. :3 13.11 13.0 13.:5 Petroleum 0 0 2.1 1.8 13. Other 1.2 7.:3 13.it 5.9 10.1 Jlitteral product �1.�1 7.11 11.7 9. 1 S.S Silvvr 2.:3 I._' 7.S 4.5 1.1 IXMI alld YIIII.......................... 2,11 3.6 3.S �1. 1 1.5 Gold 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 13eexports told 11110 %ssified exports......... 1 .9 3.5 S.2 -1 .9 i.5 'total exports, Lo.b 64.3 155.5 1511.5 170.7 177.13 *Included io Other. 1960 1967 19fiS 1969 11170 1971 130.1 96. tl 1,3.0 0.5 2.1 1.5 o l tul 4.0 ll1.11 Y :3.2 4.13 8,2 3. S .1 2 0.2 10.5 1 90. 1 FIGURE 22. Imports (Millions of U.S. dollars) Consumer goods 2S.6 ondur able 21.0 Dura ble 7.6 hale materi als 22.1i Alrricultur e �1:1.9 Industrc and mining IS.:i O' c: nstruction I.I Lubricants and fuels 13.0 O'ap3ta1 I: 00ds 1.1 .3 A griculture 2. 1 Indus �p S.I T rans port :3. -1 t'rclAssified imports and balance of pa 1 aletlts adjustment I.6 1460 1966 1967 19135 1464 nu Total import,, c.3.f 73.1 etlttipim-tit, chemicals, and consumer goods. West Gcrmanv is the� second largest buyer of Ilondwan exports and until 1967 was also the second largest supplier. it position now held by japan. 'trade with C;ACN/I partners grew rapidly during the late 1960's !tut dropped substantially in 1969 because of the war with EI Salvador and declined farther in :11.0 56.2 65. 60.3 117.7 37.-1 10.9 17.2 1:3.0 �1:1.9 13.6 15.3 17.5 17.3 21 .5 .53 i 57 5 135.3 f 1 .3 8.1 S .5 1) 5.3 :i.:3 5.0 7.9 1 d�1. :12.1 W.2 li5.6 7.:i 7.5 7.9 10.1 11.1 7 .13 8.0 12.2 12A 11.13 35.3 31 13 10.9 14. 1 55.3 :i.2 5.S 5.6 7.8 S.d 21 .5 2 23. S 29.0 :32.:3 5.11 11.0 11.5 12.3 11.13 :3.7 :3.7 :3.11 3.11 0. 1 1 167.:3 157.0 157.0 222.S 1971 as a result of continuing politicill difficulties with other member countries (I ;urc 2 -1). In 1971, exports to CACM countries were only 23 %i of those in 1968, and imports front the area only 28Si of the 1968 figure. Trade with El Salvador, long the major Latin American trade partner, has practically ceased. Loss of CAC M markets has been particularly disadvanta- APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070014 -3 Percentage distribution United States 41.1 West Germany 5.4 Italy 0.9 Japan 8.0 Other developed 10.2 CACM countries 25.3 Other Latin America 8.4 Other 0.7 United States 53.7 West Germany 10.6 Italy 5.6 Japan 1.3 Other developed 8.3 CACM countries 11.6 Other Latin America 81 Other 0.2 FIGURE 23. Direction of trade, 1971 IMPORTS (c.i.(.) US$222.8 million EXPORTS ((.o.b.) US$177.6 million genus for newly developed industrial e,gports such !!s soap, vegetably shortening, and clothimr. 2. Trade regulations All foreign exchange transactions are carried out at the official rate, set in 19 16, of two Iempiras to oli U.S. dollar. The gold parity of the lennpira was IH Tariffs and 'Trade ((;AT I'). changed in May 1972 to maintain t'u� elutionsllip With the U.S. dollar. "There are no exchange restric�tious oll foreign payments. Export and import duties are a major sour(-(- of' government revenue and an important instrunivia for influencing the nature and level of trade. Steep tariff surcharges enacted in 1968 and 1970 nn imports front outside the CACA1 boosted intraregional trade. but in January 1971 flondtires repealed the surcharges and introduced dirties ou CACN1 goods. The otherCA(:.%4 inembers then responded with import duties on Ilonduran products. "Trade %%ith the CACM area consv(pientl\ dropped sharply. Both exports and innpoits are taxed. but exp;:rt duties are logy. %lost unprocessed agricultural export goods are taxed at specific unit rates that vary with the product. Imported food and niw nnutcrials also are taxed at specific unit rates, whereas luxury items. naci inerv, and transport eytipment are subject to ad rulorent rates that range front Yi on capital goods to 50'; uu some liixtiry goods. Ilonduras is a member of the Central American Bank for Economic Integration (CAB I "I) and also is a signatory to the International Coffee Agweine�ut. It clots not participate in the General Agnrnu�nt on 3. Balance of payments Typicall\ llondoras has a deficit in both foreign trade and services. Until 1969 the deficit on current account was covered by inflo\ys of private capital (direct investment. loans, and stipplier's credits) and by official capital and transfers Figure 25). In 1970. intennatioual reserves were� rediwed to it dangerously logy level as a result of sharpl} increased deficits on current accounts. The trade account deficit tgew from 86 million in 19178 to $16 million in 1969 (Figure 26) bec�aose of a drop in agric�ulturtl exports� espec�ialk banan resulting front hnrric�ane damage, an(I to $-15 Million in 1970 as it result of increased imports. Sizable capital inflows in 1970, restltintg largely from increased foreign borro\ying by the public sector. prevented the balance of pa\ntents from beconing unmanageable, and in 1971 the situation improved as imports declined stbstantially. The problem persist(- in 1972� however, as exports rennaincd sl(tgp imports increased again, and inflows of foreign capital slowed. 4. External debt The external public debt store than dotiWed between 1967 and 1971 (Figure 27) and increased from the e(Icnivalelit of I I of GDP to 19r(. of the� increase wits due to borrowing by the e�enlral government. Although the Icycl of indebtedness is APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070014 -3 FIGURE 24. Trade wiih CACM cruntries (Millions of U.S. dollars) FIGURE 25. Balance of payments (Millions of U.S. dollars) 1966 r:xron' 1966 196!1 I I-otrrs 1!1, Export. lf. o. b .i 1967 1965 191111 1970 1971 19117 1965 1969 1970 11171 ('osta Rica :3.:i 5.7 6.-1 7.9 1.9 5.1 6.6 i.6 13.(1 :3.3 El Salvador 13.:3 15.0 7.(i 0 0 19.:1 3:3.1 1:3.0 0 (I Civatenialu 7.1 5.0 7.1 S." �.S I1.S 1.1.1 I8.2 29.:3 S.I Nimragtut :3.(1 1.9 :i.3 .1 1.5 .3.5 I.S (i.Ii II.3 5.1 Total 3:1.9 33.(1 36.:3 20.7 (i.5 10.5 19,3 15..1 511.3 16.S *Lo. b. 3.5 0.1 1.:3 Transactions with international onl aiiirations... 2.11 0.11 1 t n.5 0.7 1 .0 *c.i.f. 0 0 0 a :3,3 2.7 Errors and omissions 1 I 1 3.S FIGURE 25. Balance of payments (Millions of U.S. dollars) *Yretiminan high, rvixtyr ent schedules are favorable, because most of the loans were extended by international lending agencies, particularly the World Bunk and the CABEI. At the end of 1971, nearly 95`1 of the delft was in loans with; it final maturity of 15 years or more. Debt service is moderate, but payllients doubled between 1967 and 1971. 'I he ratio of debt service payments to exports of goods and services was expected to reach 5.8ii in 1972. Aid conunitn enls front U.S. and international agencies mostly long -term, logy- interest develttpntent loans for schools, roads, and nuditria eradictttion- totuled $101 million between 1968 and 1971. Nearly 890 million of contracted loans retrained unused tit the end of 1969, but the figure was halved by the cnd of 1971. Honduras typically is slow in using aid fonds because of the shortage of adniinistrative and technical personnel needed to inlplenugnt projects. 19 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070014 -3 1966 1967 1966 196!1 1970 1!1, Export. lf. o. b .i I1!.a 155.5 ISII.S 170.7 177.6 1!10.1 mport. e. i. f.' 151 .3 167.3 157.11 157.0 222. 197. 1 Trade def icit 7.0 11 .5 (i.3 16.3 15.3 7.0 Net inconuv from mmfactor service......... 1 .0 1 1 I .6 :3.11 3. 1 11.7 Net factor imomc 15.5 31 3 3:3.1 IN. 1; 33.5 21.2 Net transf ers 1.:3 1.7 6.3 7.:3 6.11 6. 1 Current account balatue 19.3 211.1 31.7 30.G 61.'_' 31.5 Private capital, tiet 9,3 III.� 19.5 11.1 IS,3 !1.0 Official capital. uet 5.7 111.3 9.11 1S. I 23.9 17.3 Banking sYstem 1'6 2.3 5.3 3.5 0.1 1.:3 Transactions with international onl aiiirations... 2.11 0.11 1 t n.5 0.7 1 .0 :Allocations of SI)13s 0 0 0 a :3,3 2.7 Errors and omissions 1 I 1 3.S 1 .9 5.5 9.:3 13alallee of pacuumts surplus or deficit 2.5 5. S 13.1 3.3 1 1 .0 1. 1 International reservv at end of Ye:u'............ 311.0 11.3 26.:3 33.0 11.0 M. l *Yretiminan high, rvixtyr ent schedules are favorable, because most of the loans were extended by international lending agencies, particularly the World Bunk and the CABEI. At the end of 1971, nearly 95`1 of the delft was in loans with; it final maturity of 15 years or more. Debt service is moderate, but payllients doubled between 1967 and 1971. 'I he ratio of debt service payments to exports of goods and services was expected to reach 5.8ii in 1972. Aid conunitn enls front U.S. and international agencies mostly long -term, logy- interest develttpntent loans for schools, roads, and nuditria eradictttion- totuled $101 million between 1968 and 1971. Nearly 890 million of contracted loans retrained unused tit the end of 1969, but the figure was halved by the cnd of 1971. Honduras typically is slow in using aid fonds because of the shortage of adniinistrative and technical personnel needed to inlplenugnt projects. 19 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070014 -3 Millions of U.S. dollars 240 200 160 120 i 80 40 Imports (c.i. f Deficit. i Exports 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 %1 '62 '63 '64 '65 '66 '67 '6111 '0 70 71 Millions of U.S. dollars 45.1 Deficit 16.3 12.4 11.5 7.1 7.0 6.1 7.0 1 %1 '62 6S 0.6 1.3 '63 '64 66 '67 '6e 69 70 71 Surplus 6.0 FIGURE 26. Balance of commodity trade 20 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070014 -3 FIGURE 27. External public debt by borrower, lender, and maturity (Millions of current U.S. dollars) 'I"Ital exiel 11.11 publi� debt BY llorrowvr: Centel go�el-11111�ilt Rest of public sector Stane ffilallcial illterlm-diarivs Other (govvrinn�nt guar:tritt-tqj) BY lender: International Bank for Reconstruction a I )vvvlo 1) Illell t Inter American Devel Bank Central American Bank for �vonoiniv Inte- g ration................................. AgelleY for IlltVl'll:Lti0ll:d Ih e elopuu nt E'xport-Import Bmik ('01"Inercial hanks '4upplivrs B. 111,Lturit.% I to 5 ea rs 1; to 10 v ("I n II to 15 v v:irs Ovvr 1- vars FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY 21 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA-RDP01-00707R000200070014-3 DECEMBER 31 1961; 1967 196N 1969 1970 11171 55,2 62-s 7S.2 100.5 1 29.7 135.7 25. 6 29. 1 317.5 17 ,6 67.3 7!1.1 1 5A 17.-� 20.7 211. 1 317.17 33,11 11.:3 111.1 1 1 0 i5.3 15.17 17.1 7.0 S,5 11) 2 21 1 22.17 25.3 33. N 1 1.7 16. 1 13.7 16.9 2:3.2 311,5 31i.4 0.6 I .1.2 3.17 6. 1 11.7 21. 1 15.S 17.3 21.11 21.0 �x!1.1 26.3 11.4 1 1 0.9 11.7 0.5 11.5 71.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 :3.2 :3. 7 I.-S :3.5 0.2 0 1 0.7 0, 1 0. 1 :j.q 5. 1 6. 1 17.5 GA 5 1.3 1 .3 2.0 I.S I 11 57. 1 71 m ill .9 121.0 130. 1 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY 21 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA-RDP01-00707R000200070014-3