THE ARAB - ISRAELI CRISIS

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP80R01443R000200230003-3
• Release Decision: RIFPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 2
• Document Creation Date: December 9, 2016
• Document Release Date: April 27, 2000
• Sequence Number: 3
• Publication Date: April 12, 1954
• Content Type: BRIEF

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6SC BRIE ~G
THE ARAB-ISRAELI CRISIS
I. Current Situation in Palestine
A. Arab-Israeli tension highest since
Israel created in 1948.
B. Israel using provocative measures end
unsatisfactory armistice with Jordan,
Syria, Egypt and Lebanon.
1. Exaggerated border incidents,
possibly provoked others; executed
major military operations against
Jordan.
2. Israel wants UN and West compel
Arabs make peace.
3. Sharett forced by extremists to
endorse limited retaliation.
C. Arabs convinced Israel trying provoke
attack.
1. V key show no aim to do so, demand
UN punish Israeli aggression and
US stop aiding Israel.
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2. New Arab Legion policy raises
possibility larger actions.
II. Dilemma in the UN
A. Council considering two items: 1)Arab
item on Nahhalin incident; 2) Israeli
item
problem,,u PPORTED By WEST
B. Dilemma: Arabs will discuss whole
issue only if condemnation Nahhalin
agreed to by West. Otherwise may
still walk out. UN action expected
Thursday. Condemnation would
strengthen Israeli extremists.
III. Prospects
A. No indication UN action will help.
B. Failure may force Sharett to more
extreme policy or his replacement by
ex-prime minister Ben Gurion. With
LID 20*0
o'kap or Ski
~]1 Lavon an a, n, Ben Gurion favors
"treat 'em rough" policy.
C. Such an eventuality could lead Israel
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