LETTER TO MR. JOHN FOX FROM STANSFIELD TURNER

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CIA-RDP80B01554R003600190012-4
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K
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9
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December 9, 2016
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July 16, 2001
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12
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July 9, 1973
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LETTER
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Approved For Release 2001/09/05 : I4A-VRPt.l ?4PMti18WRdIease Instructions on File PRESIDENT OF THE NAVAL WAR COLLEGE Newport, Rhode Island 02840 Dear Mr. Fox, 9 JUL 1973 Thank you for your interest and the encouragement to attend the Conference Board meeting at Chatham Bars Inn. Just scanning the list of the North East Regional Advisory Council, assures me of the quality of dis- cussion which will characterize the meetings. I'm looking forward to meeting you and to the prospect of spending a delightful yet. stimulating weekend in Chatham. Warm regards. ?STANSFIELD TURNER Vice Admiral, U.S. Navy Mr. John Fox H.P. Hood Inc. 500 Rutherford Avenue Boston, Massachusetts 02129 Approved For Release 2001/09/05 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R003600190012-4 Approved For Release 2001/09/05 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R003600190012-4 INDUSTRY Topics of potential interest: J Workers become directors. It is law in Sweden and may soon be sweeping all of Europe. Norway, Britain and Denmark are considering now. Germany had practiced for 20 years already. Results to date overseas 50/50. Today -- a utility company in Northern U.S. has this problem. Fair financial disclosures. The CPA stamp on a financial statement must be believable for the modern company is so complex in different industries in different countries, that the investor is not equipped to verify the finan- cial statement. It is therefore essential to have an auditor who can see that he gets the "fair disclosure he is entitled to have. Trust is required between -- CPA, company and public." Utilities: They claim that they are over regulated and under financed and that the industry is drifting into deep trouble. Most are short of money, ideas, and power -- can't serve present customers let alone those of tomorrow. Regulators are preoccupied with rates and holding rate of return on investments regardless of how company is run. This leaves top management with little incentive to control costs for smart or dumb-mate of return is same. (May turn out to be like railroads if regulations aren't changed.) G) The stock market dries up: A careful look at patte s of trading in U.S. financial markets leads to an ominous conclusion: Today's mar- kets are not performing their traditional function of supplying new capital to companies that need it for expansion and modernization So much in- vestment is now concentrated in the hands of the in- stitutions -- particularly pension funds and trusts -- that the small investor no longer_counts. And the institutional investors are unwilling to put their money Approved For Release 2001/09/05 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R003600190012-4 pproved For Release 2001/09/05 : CIA-RDP80B01554R003600190012-4 into anything but a limited list of favorite companies. As a result, there are only two kinds of companies that can sell stock today: the blessed few, who get astronomical multiples, and the desperately hungry, who are willing to take only four or five times earn- ings for their equity. Hundreds of emerging com- panies are cut off from stock financing entirely. Thou- sands of established corporations are going dangerous- ly into debt because they cannot get buyers for equity. The situation fully justifies the concern shown by Senator Lloyd Bentsen (D-Tex.), who says: "I do not want banks to control American business the way they control German business." Bentsen is holding hearings and expects to bring in legislation designed to broaden the markets. One suggestion is to limits the percentage of any corporation's stock that an institution can hold. Another is to limit the percentage of its assets that an institution can put into any one corporation. To judge the effectiveness of such measures, how- ever, Congress and the public will need information. The institutions have always been close-mouthed about what they hold and when they make a change. The first step toward repair of the deteriorating capital markets should be to get all the facts about institutional holdings and t,rading.opt_on the ?table. Senator Harrison Williams (D-N.J.) has proposed a bill to require in- stitutional disclosure. Congress should lose no time adopting it. The promise that productivity still holds: areful look c l on a Two major conclusions emerge from g, at the productivity of the U.S. economy and the factors that contribute to it or put a drag on it: - Levels of productivity in the U.S. are high -- the highest in the world. Despite cyclical ups and downs -- and with the notable exception of a few industries -- the record shows a strong, continuing uptrend. - There is a potential for even greater gains in the future, but they will not come automatically. To con- vert that potential into realized gains, management must put into practice the new ideas that technology Approved For Release 2001/09/05 : CIA-RDP80B01554R003600190012-4 Approved For Release 2001/09/05 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R003600190012-4 is feeding it, draw on the behavioral sciences to de- vise new incentives for its workers, and organize to increase its own effectivenss. Labor must accept the fact that it cannot demand higher wages and more stim- ulating work and still cling to restrictive job practices and featherbedding. The U.S. has not by any means come to the end of the line in productivity, but it has come to a cross- roads. If it is to achieve real growth in the future, it must strike out now in a new direction. It is vitally important that the U.S. should achieve such growth -- at a rate even faster than the historical averages. For the nation cannot reach the goals it has set for itself -- and cannot face theever-toughen- ing competition of overseas producers -- without lift- ing itself to a new level of efficiency. But before management can come to grips with the problem it must get rid of some excess baggage consist- ing of misconceptions about what productivity is and how it has behaved in the recent past. In fact, the U.S. has no reason to be ashamed of its record in productivity. Despite all the rhetoric, the American worker today produces $100 worth of goods while his German counterpart is producing $74 worth and a Japanese is producing $56. Nor did lagging productivity cause the inflation that began in the mid-1960s and still continues. Rather, it was the inflation that caused the lag in productivity -- by generating a boom-and recession business cycle. Productivity always slows down in the late stages of a boom, and it drops precipitously when the economy goes into a slump. Significantly, output per man-hour has begun to rise smartly now that the economic recovery has picked up momentum. But impressive though the U.S. record has been, it still is not good enough. The average gain of 3.2% a year in output per man-hour over the past decade will not support wage increases of 8% and 10% without a Approved For Release 2001/09/05 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R003600190012-4 Approved For Release 2001/09/05 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R003600190012-4 violent cost-push inflation. If labor is to get the rising wages that union leaders have promised, only increasing productivity can keep wage bargaining from becoming a permanent inflation machine. Similarly, U.S. producers cannot expect to hold their share of market when they are chugging along at 3.2% and their competitors are shooting up at 6% (the Common Market) and 11% (Japan). Add to this the fact that in the fiscal 1973 budget, federal spending exceeds by more than $12-billion the level that receipts would reach at full employment. Though tight controls on spending would reduce the gap, they still would leave a full-employment deficit -- a sure sign that the nation is overcommitted. If the U.S. cannot produce more -- and thereby lift revenues toward the balance point -- it will have to choose.,. be ween heavier taxes and more inflation. This is where productivity could provide the long- run answer. As Chairman C. Jackson Grayson of the Price Commission has pointed out, just one more per- centage point on the productivity growth rate for the next 10 years would generate an additional $600-bil- lion of output. Approved For Release 2001/09/05 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R003600190012-4 Approved For Release 2001/09/05 : CIA-RDP80B01554R00' 6O 90012-4 Depression years ? cautious men -- operate local banking only Past 15 years banking into retail service---------,z-foreign branches--;global money managers. Spend millions on computing machines and comm equip --)bank holding companies------4 diversification into non banking business. Banking v,i Assets of U.S. banks -- $746 billion Main impact of technology = computer and proliferation of credit cards o What's new -- ECON: NOW accounts -- essentially checking account that draws interest POLITICAL: Recent decision of Congress to permit all banks and S&L in Mass & N.H. only to offer NOW accounts Performance: Bank of America - biggest $43B assets CITICORP* had greatest profit - $202M ($37B assets) Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of CITICORP = W. B. WRISTON ? "Our corporate objective," says Wriston, is to pro- vide every worthwhile service everywhere in the world we can legally do it, and do it at a profit.. That is part management philosophy and part temper of the times." *CITICORP = lst National City Corp, NYC a Internal problem: Getting bright people with ability to control costs. Their gray flannel suit man must come with completely new wares today. How to market their new services for competition is severe, i.e., 5000 depositor gets toaster, etc. Loans to minority groups -- takes inordinate time to transact -- U.S. loan to GM for example External problems - Some in Congress would like to see the trust depts spin off from banks--they hold too much'. $330B of the $500B worth of securities held by institutional investors. Approved For Release 2001/09/05 : CIA-RDP80B01554R003600190012-4 Approved For Release 2001/09/05 : CIA-RDP80B01554R003600190012-4 200 top banks per N_ ELOPER. RET: 10-YEAR MK DEPOSITS INCOME COM. GROWTH LOANS 12 MOS. CHANGE EQY. TOTAL ASSETS 0/S ENDING FROM 12 12 MOS. COM 6/30/73 TIME DEMAND FGN. DOM. 6/30/73 6/30/73 6/30/73 1972 MOS. ENDING EQY. E.P.S. $ MIL. %` % % I % - $MIL.- $ MIL. $ MIL:. U.S. 6/30/73 % 0. 1 BankAmerica (San Francisco) 36521 22058- 200.1 10 : 2.90 '13.8 6.2 8:8 2 First National City (New York) 29390 26(a) 25(a) 49 51 37350 24124 227.3 25 . 1.96 14.5 4.9 9.5 3 Chase Manhattan (New York) 26242 25(a) 37(a) 37 63 32608 19100 155.8 5 4.87. 12.4 4.7 7.6 4 Manufacturers Hanover (New York) 15238 26(a) 43(a) 31 69 18132 12335(b) 90.3 18 3.15 12.1 4.8 8.4 5 Western Bancorp (Los Angeles) 13472 61(c) 39 '9 91 16569 9647 74.4 17 3.25 11.8 6.4 6.8 P:) (New York) 6 Morgan (J 13129 23(a) 34(a) 44 56 17297 9196 132.7 1-5 3.63 14.9 3.7 9.8 . 7 Chemical New York 13016 61(e) 39 . 27 73 16151 9379. .62.6 -10" 4.58 9.2 3.7 4.5 8 Bankers Trust New York 12848 60(c) 40 31 69 16114 9219(b) 63.8 14 6.15 12.5 4.3 5.2 9 Security Pacific (Los Angeles) 11304 70(c) 30 21 79 12999 6498 58.3 6 2.88 10.8 6.4 7.7 10 Cant, inentalailinois (Chicago) 11227 . 40(a) 28(a) 32 68 14833 8675 80.1 2 4.64 12.6 5.7 7.9 11 First Chicago ` 10703 49(a) 24(a) 28 72 13915 8833 82.1 16 4.17 12.5 6.1 9.4 12 Marine Midland Banks (Buffalo) 9979 63(c) 37' 31 69 12174 5936(b) 42.5 -4 3:32 11.1 5.6 6.7 13 Wells Fargo (San Francisco) 8275 48(a) 29(a) 23 77 10551 6427 42.9 18 2.24 11.5 4.6 6.8 14 Chaiter New York 7849 58(c) 42. 26 74 9318 4261(b) 30.7 22 3.65 10.0 5.7 2.0 ati'onal(San Francisco) 15 Crocker N 6532 71(c) 29 16 84 7714 4524 33.4 0 3.24 11.1 4.5 5.2 . 16 Mellon National (Pittsburgh) 6296 72(c) 28 39 61 8578 5604 49.5 10 4.98 9.4 3.3 6.6 0 5397 58(c) 42 15 85 6392 2783 37.2 3 6.20 11.0 6.4 9. 17 National Detroit, 3791- 46.0- -18- 3.84-11.3- 5.5- 7.8 16 First National Boston 19 Northwest Bancorp (Minneapolis) 3675 40, 16 3.94 13.7 5.9 9.7 20 First Bank System (Minheapolis) 39 0 100 5780 3423 51.5 10 3.50 14.4 6.6 12.0 21 First Pennsylvania (Philadelphia) 3427 50(a) 33(a) 17 83 5193 3355 41.0 17 3.18 17.3 7.8 13.0 22 Franklin New York 3408 64(c) 36 26 74 4684 2496 13.7 -1 2.34 8.4 7.4 3.3 - 23 Bank of New York 3075 51(c) 49 10 90 3649 1928 27.0 0 4.40 13.3 9.9(d) 3.9(d) 24 Harris Bancorp (Chicago) 2938 51(c) 49 15 85 3650 1672 20.2 22 6.54 11.3 8.4 8.5. 25 Unienamerica (Los Angeles) 2929 50(a) 41(a) 9 91 3795 2362 28:1 26, 2.66 18.3 10.2 7.3 26 First International Bancshares (Dallas) 2678 61(c) 39 27 73 3613 1552 26.4 17 2.36 14.7 7.1 9.2 27 Seattle-First National Bank - 2626 61(c) 39 9 91 3507 1942 23.7 24 8 9 11 5.27 64 2 13.1 6.4 9 7 2 14 9.2 8 4 28 Republic National Bank of Dallas 2596 58(c) 42 33 67 3941 1871 . . . . . Philadelphia National 2567 52 48 29 71 3686 2096 23:3 1 4.14 12.2 6.1 10.1 first Wisconsin Bankshares (Milwaukee) 2538 70 30 21 79 3128 1758 18.4 21 4.38 12.4 6.9 10.1 31 Cleveland Trust 2513 63 37 (e) 100 3070 1789 30.3 17 10.06 10.3 7.0 9.9 N 32 NCNB (Charlotte C ) 2511 64(c) 36 25 75 3456 1852 24.5 24 1.52 16.9 10.8 12.8 . , . Pa.) 33 Girard (Bala Cynwyd 2492 ' 62(c) 38 26 74 3103 1584 16.2 8 6.38 11.8 5.3 7.0 , 34 Michigan National (Bloomfield Hills) 2416 68 32 0 100 2881 1889 21.4 NA 5.44 18.7 12.3 7.7 35 Wachovia (Winston-Salem, N.C.) 2397 60(c) 40 13 87 3554 2132(b) 32.9 7 2.25 12.0 15.4 11.3 36 Detroitbank 2293 68 32 3 97 2710 1587 20.7 15 6.15 12.0 6.0 9.2 37 Nortrust (Chicago) 2264 61(c) 39 23 77 2876 1757 19.9 20 3.91 12.1 7.9 10.8 36 National Bank of North America (N.Y.) 2256 57(c) 43 11 89 2489 1811 17.7 -15 NA 9.6 18.7(d) NA 39 Valley National Bank of Arizona (Phoenix) 2249 63 37 1 99 2725 1713(b) 15.6 1 1.76 12.9 7.9 9.5 40 Bancohio (Columbus) 2239 62 38 0 100 2783 1453. 19.4 17 2.86 11.1 11.4 6.0 41 Manufacturers National (Detroit) 2207 62 38 1 99 2579 1586 15.7 13 5.07 13.2 6.2 8.0 42 Citizens & Southern National (Atlanta) 2152 52 48 2 98 2894 1957 24.8 18 1.06 14.0 12.9 12.8 7 43 First City Bancorp of Texas (Houston) 2150 50(c) 50 7 93 2748 1378 18.0 18 2.38 14.1 4.8 ' 8. 44 Bancal Tri-State (San Francisco) 2108 59(c) 41 9 91 2604 1630 7.4 10 2.45 8.8 4.3 1.3 45 Lincoln First Banks (Rochester) 2063 58 42 0 100 2462 1426 14.0 -2 3.69 9.9 8.6 7.1 Ore.) Bancorp (Portland 46 U S 1940 59(c) 41 3 97 2430 1500 18.2 19 2.25 14.2 4.8 8.6 , . . 47 Fidelity of Pennsylvania (Philadelphia) 1847 62(c) 38 22 78 2407 1510 18.3 15 4.17 15.0. 6.2 10.2 2 48 Texas Commerce Bancshares (Houston) 1830 52(c) 48 -8 92 2322 1274 19.4 24 2.14 13.9 6.5 - 8. h National 49 Pittsbur 1755 56 44 5 95 2393 1221 22.4 5 3.65 6.3 12.3 10.8 g 50 Shawmut Association (Boston) 1695 45(c) 55 4 96 2247 1303 11.4 4 5.96 9.6 7.7 5.4 51 Marine Bancorp (Seattle) 1687 51(a) 36(a) 13 87 2089 1192 D.C.) 52 Financial General Bankshares (Wash. 1660 58 42 0 100 1925 1003 9.7 27 1.72 13.1 15.1(d) 20.2(d) , 53 Southeast Banking (Miami) 1600 54 46 I 99 2042 1111 16.8 23 2.01 15.7- 15.1 11.3 N Y ) 54 Security National (Hempstead 1596 57 43 0 100 2146 1387 11.5 -17 2.35 9.7 24.7 13.2 . . , 55 Centran Bancshares JCleveland)` 1580 62(c) 38 6 94 1960 1124 12.2 .9 3.18 11.3 .., 7.7 7.6 56 United Virginia Bankshares (Richmond) 1563 55 45 0 100 2087 1339 14.5 15 2.91 14.3 12.4 9.2 57 Baystate (Boston) 1447 44 56 0 100 1675 966 13.0 9 4.30 12.1 7.7 8.4 58 National City (Cleveland) 1411 59(c) 41 9 91 1864 848 23.1 6 3.21 14.3 6.7 10.2 59 United Jersey Banks (Princeton) 1382 63 37 0 100 1757 1024 11.8 8 2.09 15.1 18.9(d) 11.2 60 Midlantic Banks (Newark) 1378 58(c) 42 2 98 1657 969 15.5 10 4.86 14.4 12.6 9.8 (a) Does not total 100% because foreign deposits, which cannot be broken out between time/savings and demand are excluded; (b) Loans include federal funds sold; (c) Assumes that all foreign deposits are time/savings, but a breakdown from the bank is not available; (d) Five-year growth rate, 10-year data not Allillbevailahle; (e) Foreign deposits amount to less than 1% of total deposits; NA, not available; NM; not meaningful. (Data: Investors Management Sciences, Inc.). 61 FBT (HaHf 1367 0 93 1719 965 9.5 -4 5.22 11.3 7.0 63 12 1 7 9 3 7.4 2 4 nab 62 3 First N iattx o ' . . . 1698 835 113 13 ard(3 4 8 . 4 6 ( ) 63 First Emlike State u aro) . ppr vedre001/?9/05+: CIDP8(gp1554~0036(1019Q~g0~ 2- 2 8- 8 1 79'-T55 -- - . --11 9 Industrial National (Providence) . . 3 161 15.4 28 1346 -74 26 4 - 96 1744- 4 3 3 09 10 1 . 5 65 Hartford National . . , 1340 44 56 4 96 1698 952 8.6 Approved For Release 2001/09/05 : CIA-RDP80BO1554R003600190012-4 A M`sssage from T Mu "A motto is only as meaningful as the efforts behind it. Behind ours - `Sanwa Bank at Your Service' - is a long tradition for serving the public's banking needs. "With the increasing public demands for socially responsible business conduct, and with dramatic changes occurring in the international economic society, Sanwa Bank has striven to expand and modernize its services. "We're a people's bank, a pioneerin both customer service and near-banking businesses, such as the 'credit- card system, leasing; factoring and computer services. This pioneer spirit can be seen not only in- our domestic CONDENSED BALANCE SHEET March 31, 1973 ASSETS (in thousands) Cash and Due from Banks .....'# 397,356,374 $ 1,500,024 Call Loans ................. 4,107,918 15 507 Securities ... 730,104,984 , 2,756,153 Loans and Bills Discounted .... 3,821,564,193 14,426,441 Foreign Exchanges .......... 322,586,038 1,217,765 Domestic Exchange Settlement a/c, Dr.......... 18,038,329 Customers' Liabilities for Acceptances and Guarantees.. 701,178,266 2,646,955 Bank Premises and Real Estate . 89,185,422 336,676 Other Assets ............... 16,659,961 62,892 TOTAL ............. '6,100,781,485 $23,030,508 banking, but also in our international operations, such as joint ventures and capital participations. We are also increasingly supplying medium-term and long-term loans, including syndicate loans, and making, internation- al investments. "In other words, we are meeting the needs of the times. This, I believe, is an important basis for further growth as it has been for our growth thus far. Our financial statement reflects the result of Sahwa's efforts to build better customer relationships through better service." LIABILITIES (in thousands) Deposits .................. Y4,308,215,175 Call Money ................ 322,747,000 Borrowed Money .... . . . . . 164,602,060 Foreign Exchanges .......... 184,750,053 Domestic Exchange Settlement a/c, Cr......... . Acceptances and Guarantees ... Accrued Expenses ........... Unearned Income ........... Other Liabilities ............ Reserve for Possible Loan Losses ....... Reserve for Retirement Allowances ....... Reserve for Price Fluctuation .......... Other Reserves ............. Capital (Paid-up) ............ Legal Reserves ............. Other Surplus .............. -(Profit for the year after Tax) . . $16,263,553 1,218,373 621,374 697,433 12,283,098 46,369 701,178,266 2,646,955 86,711,83.7 327,338 26,893,611 101,524 24,126,399 91,077 67,045,121 253,096 17,277,209 65,222 8,583,968 12,823,045 50,400,000 11,034,750 102,109,893 (22,858,404) 32,405 48,407 190,260 41,656 385,466 (86,291) TOTAL .............'6,100,781;485 $23,030,508 * Yen amounts were converted into U.S. dollars at the current rate of Mar. 30, 1973 (U.S.$1=''264.90) SANWA BANK Tokyo, Osaka and 209 Domestic Offices OVERSEAS OFFICES: New York Agency: 1 Chase Manhattan Plaza, New York, N.Y. 10005 / Chicago Representative Office: One IBM Plaza, Suite 3610, Chicago, Ill. 60611 / San Francisco Branch: 300 Montgomery Street, San Francisco, Calif. 94104 / London, Frankfurt, Hong Kong, Kowloon, Sydney, Singapore, Jakarta, Kuala Lumpur ASSOCIATES AND AFFILIATES: The Sanwa Bank of California: 300 Montgomery Street, San Francisco, Calif. 94104 / Sanwa Bank (Underwriters) Ltd.: London / Sanwa Financial Services Ltd.: London / Associated Japanese Bank (International) Ltd.: London / Banco Bradesco de Investimento S.A.: Sao Paulo / Eurofinance: Paris / Commercial Continental Ltd.: Sydney / Commercial Continental (Securities) Ltd.: Sydney) Liberty Bank: Honolulu / New Hebrides Trust Co., Ltd.: New Hebrides./ Bangkok Nomura 0 BANK DEPOSITS NETOPER. INCOME 0T. COM 10-YEAR LOANS 12 MOS. CHANGE . EQY GROWTH TOTAL 6/30/73 TIME` DEMAND F.N. DON. ASSETS 6/30/73 0/S 6/30/73 ENDING 6/30/73 FROM 1972 12 MOS. . 12 MOS. ENDING COM EQY P S E $ MIL. % % ? % $MIL. $ MIL. $ MIL. % E.P.S. 6/30/73 . . . . % ?,/o 131-South Carolina NationaI-(Columbia) 703 34 66 0 100 883 544 81, 19 2.49 14 8 8 7 13.8 133 132 Idaho Arizona First Bank (Phoenix) Bank lo 0 uts 701 ''b Od' Tg2' d`J proved F Rel se 201/005 )dp .I`A-gyp8f}Bg 36Q ?~ 4 14.8 17.3(tl) 13.6(d) 134 Old Kent Financial (Grand Rapids, Mich.) 687 71 , 7 3.63 16.5 14.7(d) 14.3(4) 29 0 100 829 443 8.6 13 2.57 16.1 17.1(d) 13.4(d) oval Ce' al " ineial (L.W,a ter, Pa.) 684 62 38 0 100 818 501(b) 7.3 24 2.30 12.9 NA NA Deposits Total deposits as of June 30, 1973. Time and savings deposits and demand deposits will together.total 100% unless otherwise indicated. Foreign and domestic deposits will together total 100% unless otherwise indicated: Loans outstanding Aggregate face value of all outstanding loans before deduction of loan loss reserves. Excludes federal funds sold and securities purchased under agreements to resell unless otherwise indicated. Net operating income Net current operating income after minority-interest and taxes but before securities gains and losses and preferred-dividends for the 12 months ending June 30, 1973. Earnings per share Net operating income available for common per share after the effect of common stock equivalents and minority interest, and before securities gains and losses and extraordinary items, for the 12 months ending June 30, 1973. Return on common equity The ratio of net available for common stockholders to average common. equity, which includes common stock, undivided profits (retained earnings), capital surplus, andcontingept reserves. Growth in common equity Annual percentage growth in common equity for latest 10-year period, based on least squares method. Growth in earnings per share Annual percentage growth in earnings per share, including all common stock equivalents, for latest 10-year period, based on least squares method.