THE SITUATION IN VIETNAM

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP79T00826A002900170001-6
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
20
Document Creation Date: 
December 15, 2016
Document Release Date: 
March 25, 2004
Sequence Number: 
1
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
November 14, 1967
Content Type: 
MEMO
File: 
AttachmentSize
PDF icon CIA-RDP79T00826A002900170001-6.pdf824.33 KB
Body: 
Approved Fww~Release 2004/06/24: CIA-RDP79T00 6A00299Fj90S1 ret DIRECTORATE OF INTELLIGENCE MEMORANDUM The Situation in Vietnam Top Secret Approved For Release 2004/06/24: CIA-RDP79T00826AO02900170001-6 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/06/24: CIA-RDP79T00826AO02900170001-6 Approved For Release 2004/06/24: CIA-RDP79T00826AO02900170001-6 Appr Information as of 1600 14 November 1967 25X1 25X1 Port conditions at Haiphong are deteriorating, but North Vietnam's essential needs are being met. I. Military Situation in South Vietnam: Four- teen encounters were reported in the Quang Nam - Quang Tin border area late on 13 November involving units of the North Vietnamese 2nd Division (Paras. 1-4). Communist military action against US forces in the western highlands continues (Paras. 5-11). in Binh Dinh Province indicates that enemy forces there have been receiving large numbers of replacements from North Vietnam (Paras. 12-15). The Communists may have moved 140-mm. rockets into northern Phuoc Long Province-- the first such deployment in III Corps (Paras. 16-18). II. Political Developments in South Vietnam: 25X1 25X1 A newly formed "Committee Campaign- ing to Unite Bu ism" held a rather inconclusive meeting on 12 November in an attempt to resolve the charter dispute (Paras. 5-7). III. North Vietnamese Military Developments: Truck traffic in the Laos panhandle has resumed (Paras. 1-4). IV. Other Communist Military Developments: There is nothing of significance to report. 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/06/24: CIA-RDP79T00826A002900170001-6 Approved For Release 2004/06/24: CIA-RDP79T00826A00290014001-6 25X1 V. Communist Political Developments: Hanoi has belatedly announced that the Soviets honored Ho Chi Minh with the Order of Lenin (Paras. 1-2). VI. Other Major Developments: Port conditions at Haiphong are deteriorating, but North Vietnam's essential needs are being met (Paras. 1-7). 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/06/24: CIA-RDP79T00826A002900170001-6 Approved For Release 2004/06/24: CIA-RDP79T00826A002900170001-6 NORTH `IIETN~s* N Phu My' SOUTH VIETNAM I J L ~u -7 - 1b IOOMiles 1 25 50 75 170 Ndnmbter, 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/06/24: CIA-RDP79T00826AO02900170001-6 App 1. Widespread, scattered engagements were re- ported on 13-14 November. 2. During a nine-hour period on 13 November, US forcesi'n the border area some 18 miles northwest of Tam Ky reported 14 separate clashes. The enemy. forces involved, tentatively identified as elements of the North Vietnamese 2nd Division, lost at least 18 killed. 25X1 25X1 Activity in the Western Highlands 5. Elements of the B-3 Front--the highest Com- munist command in the western highlands of II Corps-- continue to initiate military action in the Dak To area of southwestern Kontum Province. Three separate clashes were reported late on 13 November. 6. The first engagement was a mortar attack, probably by an element of the North Vietnamese 66th Regiment, on an American artillery fire support base some ten miles southwest of Dak To, In the second in- cident,.just a mile to the northeast, 45 rounds were directed at an American command post. US casualties were light., 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/06/24: CIA-RDP79T00826AO02900170001-6 Approv 7. The third incident occurred some 14 miles southwest of Dak To when an army patrol engaged an unknown-size enemy force. Nine Americans were killed, 21 wounded, and six are missing. 8. An undated note captured last week in an area some 14 miles west of'Dak To provides additional information on the 1967-1968 winter-spring campaign of the B-3 Front. The document indicates that many large-scale, coordinated, offensive operations are to be conducted in order "to destroy" large allied forces. These ambitious plans purportedly are to be carried out on an "urgent and continuous basis." 9. The document included four major objec- tives to be achieved during the campaign. These in- clude the annihilation of'a major American element in order to force the Americans to deploy large num- bers of additional troops to the western highlands, and the destruction of as many South Vietnamese troops as possible. Another goal emphasized the need to im- prove the technique of concentrated and large-scale attacks which would ultimately "liberate" an important area and strengthen the B-3 Front base area. 10. The fourth goal is to coordinate the campaign in the western highlands with other major battle areas throughout South Vietnam. Attempts to achieve this goal are suggested by the recent large-scale enemy ac- tivity in northern Binh Long and Phuoc Long provinces to the south. 11. The winter-spring campaign plans also stressed the need to overcome supply difficulties in order to carry out attacks in areas far from Viet Cong/ North Vietnamese Army base areas. The captured paper also mentioned the need for such redeployments as the recent northward movement of B-3 Front units from Pleiku Province to Kontum. North Vietnamese Replacements in Binh Dinh 12. unit has been receiving large nu ers o replacements from North Vietnam. 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/06/24: CIA-RDP79T00826AO02900170001-6 Appro~ left North Vietnam with a -man Infiltra- tion group in early April and arrived at the head- quarters of the 2nd VC Regiment in southern Quang Ngai Province in August. He said that 434 men sur- vived the march. The remainder were lost to illness and desertion. He further claimed that two addi- tional replacement groups, each consisting of 400- 500 men, were scheduled to reinforce the 2nd Regiment this fall. ndicate that two infiltration groups entered South Vietnam in late August or early September en route to North Viet- nam's 3rd Division. 14. Although these reports have not been con- firmed, they are consistent with the long-term Com- munist objective of maintaining an active threat in the heavily populated, rice-producing provinces along South Vietnam's central coast. 15. Very little large-scale fighting has oc- curred in Binh-Dinh in recent weeks as enemy forces have attempted to procure a share of the fall rice harvest. If replacements are coming into this region on the scale reported, a step-up in enemy activity can be expected during the forthcoming "winter-spring" season campaign. Large Rockets Possibly De 16. An enemy base camp estimated to be large enough to support two Communist battalions has been discovered some five miles south of Song Be in northern Phuoc Long Province by an airborne observer. Foxholes, trench lines, and numerous crew-served weapons' positions were sighted. Just to the north of the camp a large object mounted on a wooden plat- form was seen. 14 November 1967 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/06/24: CIA-RDP79T00826AO02900170001-6 Approve 17. The description of the object suggests that it may be a 140-mm. rocket launcher, which is normally mounted on a board. Although there are no known instances of 140-mm. rockets previously being used in South Vietnam's III Corps, their introduc- tion is a possibility. The proximity of the area to major enemy infiltration routes from North Vietnam could facilitate introduction of the weapon and the remoteness of this area would make detection diffi- cult. 25X1 25X1 14 November 1967 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/06/24: CIA-RDP79T00826AO02900170001-6 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/06/24: CIA-RDP79T00826AO02900170001-6 Approved For Release 2004/06/24: CIA-RDP79T00826AO02900170001-6 Approved For Release 2004/06/24: CIA-RDP79T00826AO02900170001-6 Buddhist Reconciliation Efforts 5. A mixed group of Buddhists and politicians, calling themselves the "Committee Campaigning to Unite Buddhism," met on 12 November to seek a reso- lution of the current charter dispute. Although representatives of both the militant and the moderate factions were present, the meeting apparently did not have the blessing of either Tri Quang or Tam Chau. This may, in fact, signal the beginning of the "third force" reported to be emerging as a middle-of-the- road grouping intended to work for the unity of the church without reference to the extreme views of either leader. 6. Some 30 people from various Buddhist sects and organizations were present at the meeting, along with acting lower house chairman Nguyen Ba Luong and Senator Trinh Quang Qui of the Farmer-Worker- Soldier slate. Thich Huyen Minh was the chief repre- sentative of the moderate faction and Thich Phap Sieu appeared to be the militants' sole delegate. Both Minh and Sieu spoke at some length on the charter problem, each professing his desire--and the desire of his faction--for unity. Minh, moreover, expressed the hope that the meeting's participants would work to convene a Buddhist congress which would examine both charters and decide on the retention of one. The others present, however, seemed unsure of exactly 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/06/24: CIA-RDP79T00826AO02900170001-6 Approvo what they should do--whether to establish a formal organization to supersede both V:'ri Quang's and Tam Chau's factions, convene a Buddhist congress, or merely initiate informal contact between the two factions. 7. The meeting ended on that inconclusive note, but a group of six "representatives of Buddhist organizations"--not including, significantly, the one militant representative, Phap Sieu--remained be- hind to draft a declaration. The declaration was also rather inconclusive, pledging only to "promote the creation of an association to unite Buddhism." The association, which would include "many" Buddhist sects, would have a permanent office and a board of directors rather than a single leader. The declaration further calls for a congress, apparently to consider specifics of the proposed association. 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/06/24: CIA-RDP79T00826AO02900170001-6 Approved For Release 2004/06/24: CIA-RDP79T00826A002900170001-6 LAOS PANHANDLE 15 ha ph Hoa Principal road 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/06/24: CIA-RDP79T00826A002900170001-6 Approve III. NORTH VIETNAMESE MILITARY DEVELOPMENTS 1. Supplies are again moving through the Laos _~,.r::andle in support of the Communists in South Viet- nam. 2. Reports from Route 23 south of the Mu Gia Pass indicate that about 120 trucks, or 11 a day, moved south between 1 and 11 November. Some of the trucks carried rice. On Route 911 the daily average came to seven southbound trucks during the first week in November. Stockpiling has probably been un- der way in the pass area since September and aerial observers claim that during late October over 300 trucks were operating on Route 912--the second route from North Vietnam into Laos. Thus far there has been no indication of increased truck traffic in the southern panhandle. 4. 1 lindicate that durilig er large quantities o supplies--- mostly Y-.- ce --were shipped from Cambodia via the Tonle : _.i jer to Communist forces in southern Laos. The shipments were apparently halted for a time in October when supplies failed to arrive at the Cam- bodian transshipment point for delivery to Laos. 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/06/24: CIA-RDP79T00826A002900170001-6 Approved port. IV. OTHER COMMUNIST MILITARY DEVELOPMENTS 1. There is nothing of significance to re- 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/06/24: CIA-RDP79T00826A002900170001-6 Approves V. COMMUNIST POLITICAL DEVELOPMENTS 1. After a delay of almost two weeks, Hanoi has acknowledged that the Soviet Union awarded the Order of Lenin to President Ho Chi Minh. A broad- cast on 14 November reported that Ho sent a message of thanks to the Soviets for such a high honor. Ho, however, requested that presentation of the order be postponed indefinitely until "our people have driven off the US imperialist aggressors." 2. During the Soviet anniversary celebrations in Hanoi, the North Vietnamese had ample opportunity to publicize Ho's award. Their failure to do so at that time is an indication that the 77-year-old leader may have been too ill to receive the award publicly and that the regime decided to avoid men- tion of it. Acknowledgement of the award may, in fact, have been prompted by an article of 12 November by a Western journalist who was in Hanoi during the anniversary celebrations and who reported the absence of comment on the award. The same journalist also wrote that Ho was "very weak" and was confined to bed when the Soviet ambassador in Hanoi came to in- vite him to the anniversary celebrations in Moscow. 14 November 1967 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/06/24: CIA-RDP79T00826A002900170001-6 Approved For Release 2004/06/24: CIA-RDP79T00826AO02900170001-6 NORTH VIETNAM: Maritime Ports, Anchorages, and Shipping Channels 25X1 I EM Maritime Port Maritime Anchorage Principal Waterways A SONG THAI BINH CANAL DES BAMBCJS- LACH TRAY Approved For Release 2004/06/24: CIA-RDP79T00826AO02900170001-6 Appro OTHER MAJOR ASPECTS 1. North Vietnam?s port operations continue to be hampered by cargo handling difficulties. Es- sential needs are being met, however, and in recent months port congestion has been somewhat eased. 2. In the first half of 1.967 imports by sea reached a record high of about 128,000 tons per month. Imports at this pace placed heavy demands on port facilities, particularly at Haiphong. As cargo backlogs stacked up on the docks, ships had to wait longer and longer to unload. By August the turnaround time for ships in North Vietnamese ports was averaging more than 30 days. 3. Since that time, imports by sea have been cut back considerably. The total for October was about 90,000 tons. This has helped to ease port congestion and has reduced the average turnaround time for ships visiting North Vietnam in October to 19 days. Turnaround time is still higher, however, than in 1966 when the average was only 13 days. 4. Silting in the main channel into Haiphong is getting to be a problem. It has meant that most ships must now enter the harbor at high tide. Ships drawing 26 feet of water have been forced to wait ten days or more for the high tide of the month before entering. Recent reports indicate that the average load per ship is being reduced--possibly to permit entry to the harbor at any high tide. In some cases small Soviet ships carrying flour have been diverted to Hon Gai, a port normally used for the export of coal, in order to relieve the overcrowded conditions at Haiphong. 5. Damage to key bridges at Haiphong has slowed the movement of goods out of the port area. In- creased use is being made of pontoon bridges, fer- ries, and inland waterways, and this has minimized the impact on the transport system. Frequent air raid alerts in Haiphong, both real and practice, are reported to cut substantially into working time. 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/06/24: CIA-RDP79T00826A002900170001-6 Appro~ 6. Despite these problems, North Vietnam con- tinues to import essential nonmilitary goods by sea. Bulk foodstuffs accounted for over 65 percent of im- ports in October. Petroleum accounted for another 13 percent. Hanoi should be able to maintain this level of imports despite the growing problems in handling cargo. 7. Instead of using Haiphong, incoming ships could anchor in the many island anchorages in the Gulf of Tonkin and unload cargo into barges. This has been done in the past by tankers. Barges are vulnerable to air attacks so Hanoi would adopt this course only as a last resort. 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/06/24: CIA-RDP79T00826A002900170001-6 25X1 Top'S th tFor Reuse 2004/06/24: CIA-RDP79T00826AQ900170001-6 Top Secret Approved For Release 2004/06/24: CIA-RDP79T00826AO02900170001-6