(Sanitized) GUIDELINES

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CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1
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RIPPUB
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K
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95
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December 19, 2016
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August 14, 2000
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4
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Publication Date: 
March 1, 1968
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REPORT
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FORM 2250 USE PREVIOUS 2-77 LL EDITIONS t Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 (PLACE FORM 490 HERE) OFFICIAL RECORD COPY The attached document(s) must be safeguarded. It is the Agency's Official Historical Record and must be preserved in accordance with the Federal Records Act of 1976. For additional information, call the Chief, Agency Archives and Records Center, extension 7777. Appro dFoRr Relj'a'~t'2C05ItT~/ .I AAWAR 308 0 04T0 -1 e AGENCY ARCHIVES AND RECORDS CENTER Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 Next 5 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 FOR BACKGROUND USE ONLY Principal Developments in World Communist Affairs (17 January to 14+ February 1968) 1. In what may have been the first step in a major new Soviet- directed ideological campaign, an authoritative lead editorial in the Feb- ruary edition of the Polish Party's monthly theoretical organ, NOWE DROGI, asserts (as reported by Radio Moscow 6 February -- full text not yet avail- able) that "nationalism is the main danger today threatening the unity, the fighting capability, and the ideological content of the Communist move- ment. Therefore, struggle against nationalism ... is a necessary condi- tion for the unity of the WCM and the cohesion of the international forces of socialism." In previous Communist polemics, the controversy has been whether the "main danger" was "revisionism" or "dogmatism and sectarian- ism." If the article in NOWE DROGI remains not an isolated trial balloon but ushers in a new, major ideological campaign, it remains to be seen whether this is actually an attempt to "contain" nationalism (today a dy- namic force in large parts of the world, including a zajority of the Com- munist countries) -- or primarily a manuever to abandon the "revisionism- dogmatism" antithesis which proved rather unfortunate for Moscow's ideolo- gical efforts. 2. With the Budapest consultative meeting only two weeks away (26 February), Hungarian Party daily NEPSZABADSAG (11 February) frankly acknowledged that a number of significant parties will not attend. It disclosed that invitations were extended to 74 of the parties which had attended the 1960 81-party Moscow meeting, but that six were not delivered: the Chinese and Albanian parties refused to accept theirs, and "insurmount- able obstacles" prevented delivery to the Indonesian, Thai, Burmese and Malaysian parties (all based in Peking). The Cuban, Dutch and Swedish parties have announced that they will not attend. The article stated that certain parties which approve the meeting cannot send representatives for reasons beyond their control," and it added that some other parties which had not participated in 1960 have asked to be included in the work of pre- paring the international conference. It dropped the earlier "overwhelming majority" phrase andclaimed only that "a majority" regard the Budapest meeting as "suitable" for dealing with preparations for an international conference. On the basis of information available thus far, one can spec- ulate that: a. Attendance might be the poorest yet for any comparable effort to rally the Communist world, with only 8 of the 14+ ruling parties, and perhaps no more than half of the others which had participated in the 1960 Moscow 81-party conference, present. Of the ruling parties, the Albanian, Chinese, Cuban and Yugoslav have already confirmed their boycott, and they will probably be joined by the North Koreans and North Vietnamese. Since the Japanese party has announced it will not attend, it seems probable that there will be no major party from the Far East (except for the Soviet-dependent and China-fearing Mongolian Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 Party). Moreover, the Norwegian delegates, and. perhaps some others, will limit their role to observers (according to a 26 January TANYUG report from Budapest). b. Even with such limited formal representation, it appears that the Soviet leaders may have more difficulty in reaching any agreement than in any of their past efforts. Although there has not yet been any announcement of the Rumanian Party's intent, close obser- vers are convinced that it will send a delegation instructed to de- fend Rumania's independence line and to oppose any Soviet attempts to impose hegemony on the meeting -- and it would not be surprising if the Rumanians published a statement to this effect before the meet- ing opens. It is also likely that such a stance would meet with sym- pathetic response from a number of the more important participants, including especially the Italian Communist Party. 3. The very limited press coverage indicates that the 22-23 January Yugoslav-Italian Communist-sponsored Rome meeting of Communist and left- wing political parties of the Mediterranean area suffered'Trom the same ailments as the Budapest meeting -- limited participation and inability to reach agreement on plans for the future. Apparently l1 parties from 11 countries (including left-socialist parties as well as the Communist part- ies from France, Italy and Morocco) were represented, seven df them Commu- nist parties. There were apparently no Communist representatives from Algeria, Syria, or the UAR, although the Syrian CP has been prominent as an organizer-member of the 1960 Moscow Communist Conference, the 1965 Moscow "consultative meeting," and the February 1968 Budapest Conference. The communique issued at the close of the Rome meeting claimed in very general terms that the participants had agreed on holding a general con- ference of Mediterranean "anti-imperialists," but did not specify a time or place. 4. In bilateral relations: a. The Soviet Party's prestige suffered another set-back in full view of the Communist world when Politburo member Suslov led a ten-man CPSU delegation, the most powerful ever to visit Japan, through 8 days of strenuous efforts to persuade the Japanese Communist Party to go to the Budapest Conference. Suslov did restore party-to-party contacts, but Secretary General Miyamoto publicly announced, immedi- ately after the Soviet departure on 7 February, that his party would not participate in the Budapest Conference or at any subsequent inter- national conference planned by the Budapest meeting. b. The Cubans sharply escalated their defiance of the Soviet leadership when the Cuban Party expelled nine senior members and a "reVol.utionary tribunal" tried and heavily sentenced them and 26 other members of a so-called anti-party "microfaction" which was ac- cused of being in contact with Soviet diplomats and intelligence Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 agents and opposing the Castro leadership. It is likely that this event was related to the cancellation "on medical grounds" of a plan- ned February visit to Cuba by Bulgarian Party-State boss Todor Zhivkov. c. Rumania, in addition to its opposition to Soviet hegemony at Budapest, has been unable to come to terms with the USSR, Bulgaria and Hungary on new friendship treaties. The old 20-year Soviet-Rumanian treaty expired in February, but is automatically renewed for five years unless denounced by the signatories or replaced by a new version. The old treaty was frequently ignored by both the Soviets and Rumanians. Rumania also took a position in opposition to the Soviet-U.S. drafted treaty limiting the spread of nuclear weapons. d. The Bulgarian and Yugoslav Foreign Ministries and press have renewed old feuding over the status of a Macedonian minority claimed by both. e. Yugoslavia resumed diplomatic relations with West Germany, just a year after Rumania had broken ranks with the other East Euro- pean states to make this move. f. New Czechoslovakian Party First Secretary Dubcek flew to Moscow alone for two days of talks with Soviet leadership; afterwards a "full accord of views" was claimed. 5. The press has reported further internal unrest or conflict in Communist countries: a. In the USSR, relatives of sentenced intellectuals continued to challenge the regime's violations of "socialist legality" by threatening to bring suit against "libelous" accusations in KOMSOMOL- SKAYA PRAVDA. The Soviet Foreign Ministry officially warned foreign correspondents in Moscow that any contacts with Soviet citizens for news purposes must be arranged through the Minstry's Press Department. Further evidence of repression and ferment in the Ukraine, with strong nationalist overtones, has appeared in the western press. b. In Warsaw, the police arrested 50 students in breaking up a demonstration of 200 against the closing of a play by famous 19th century poet, Mickiewicz, which protested Tsarist rule over a parti- tioned Poland. c. And in China, where disorder and violence continue through- out the country, Peking announced the setting up of two more provin- cial "revolutionary committees" in February, bringing the total claimed thus far to 1J4 (in 29 provinces); but reports indicate that confusion and conflict have grown rapidly in the very provinces which the Maoists claim to control. 6. Miscellany: Published as an insert in the October issue of RIVO- LUZIONE PROLETARIA (Milan), organ of the "Federation of Marxist-Leninist Communists of Italy," is a copy of the Federation's Constitution which defines as its objective "the construction -- in the unity of all Marxist- Leninist militants -- of thTeh'Partito Communiissta MalrxiMsta-Leninista' of the Approvedoor ~2efease 2005/v/2i1i~-&8t03~6~ Of~40~8bs04-1 Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 FOR SACKGROUND.USE ONLY March 1968 Excerpts from Minister of Defense A.A. Grechko'.s report on new Military Service Law which appeared in Pravda, October 13, 1967. Demands for ensuring the security-of the Soviet state and preparing the country's entire population for armed defense of the socialist home- land have increased further, in present-day conditions ... the strengthening of the country's security is an indispensable condition for successful implementation of the tasks of communism.... Sincere champions of peace,-Marxist-Leninists have never been paci- .fists. They have always supported just wars, on the premise that it is necessary to use all resoluteness and all available means to defend from imperialist aggression the achievements of the Revolution and the homeland's freedom and independence.... The soldiers of the Soviet Army and Navy are persistently acquiring combat skill and readiness ... at the same time, it has become increas- ingly important to prepare the country's entire population to repulse the aggressors. This presupposes further improvement-in the work of military- patriotic upbringing.... Itralso presupposes perfecting,the entire matter of.training young people for military service in the army and navy.... The.draft bn Universal Military Service will introduce a number of fundamentally new provisions into the system whereby USSR citizens fulfill their honorable obligations. These provisions include such important questions as reducing the term of active military service for soldiers and ai s lors, establishing a single conscription age for all citizens; conduct- ingtwo conscription periods a year instead of one; cutting down on.defer- ments for citizens of conscription age; introducing elementary military training for young people, and other measures.... The draft law also provides for military service by women with medi- cal'or other specialized training. In peacetime they can be registered for military service, taken for training sessions and accepted as volun- teers for active military service between, the ages of 19 and 40.... Conscription age. ... The possibility of reducing the conscription age from 19 to 18 is corroborated by the practice followed in admitting young men to military academies.... On the basis of this data and taking into o t acc un the improvement in the health of conscripted young people, the draft law provides that conscription age should be 18.... On training young people for service in the USSR Armed Forces. ... Introductory, pre-conscription military, training of young, people in secondary and equivalent schools beginning with the fifth grade which , was established by the 1939 law, was abolished after the Great Patriotic War. At the same time the increased demands made on soldiers and the Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 reduction in the terms of military service make it necessary to train young people for service in the armed forces even before conscription. Therefore the draft law provides for establishing a system of introduc- tory military training for young people. This training must be conducted in a compulsory, planned basis for all young men of pre-conscription and conscription age.... Introductory military training of young students is to be conducted by regular military instructors at general education secondary schools beginning with the ninth grade, and also at vocational-. technical schools. On military service deferments for continuation of education. ... Draft law envisages deferments for only daytime students Deferment for grad- uating from secondary schools will be granted to age 20.... Boys enter- ing specialized schools after graduation from general education schools are not eligible for deferment.... 0 Q1 ussi eases consc i i11tar service R VICTOR ZORZA m MANCHESTER GUARDIAN 13 October 1967 rden THE term o .I y In the Soviet Union is to be The US, the Marshal said, was more creating hotbeds of war in vary put Soviet out parts of the world. The. cut to bring it into line with Union Some der ded a to the modern conditions. money into the forces and the "imperialists" did not hesitate Sailors, who have to give up results of this are now becoming to use any "provocation" in four years of their lives to the increasingly apparent In the their attempt to contain "the equipment which is coming Into mighty current of the liberation Navy, will now he kept in for service. The changes announced movement." Although imperial. only three years. The same by Marshal Grechko are thus ism had become weaker, its reduction applies to frontier art of the process of streamlin- aggressive essence has not hodpsr while national service from ing and modernising the Soviet changed." soldiers and airmen is cut from armed forces. To compensate for the shorter three to two years. , term of military service, Soviet Marshal Grechko, the Defence 'Just wars youths will now, undergo para- Supreme e x p t a I n c d yesterday that the In case anyone should mis- military training for the last two the cuts were Soviet made posssisible understand thip announcement, years at school or at work before the cuts by Marshal Grechko stressed that being called up at 18. This will the " tremendous changes" in .~ Marxists-Leninists have never lead to the introduction into for capabilities of the armed been pacifists." They had always school life of a military element litary ree t and s. The striking equipment force supported " Just . wars." The which has often been at odds in recent years. The rocket troops United States, he said, was recent years with the liberal of the strategic rocket ton .stepping tip its military prepara? inclinations of the intelligentsia. and colors Imes had grown tions against the Soviet Union Politicians associated with the to "lossal "dimensions. The behind the screen of talk about conservative wing of the party Government, he said, was taking peace and cooperation. This was leadership, and military spokes. strengthen ttg necessary s steps to the country's defence presumably a reference to blr men, have repeatedly stressed potential. IdeNamara's ADAM announce- the need for the "military. These assurances,. combined mint, which had been J inked patriotic " education of the young with the 15 per cent increase in with an invitation to Russia to people. A, letter in the party P cooperate in slowing down the by g jzine " Konimunio ,sky signed ned M the military budget, are presum. arms race. s e v e r a 1 other high-ranking ably Intended to make it it clear ear that the cuts will not affect the Marshal to the refusal to officers, do not. complains give su that the fltcithe combat capabilities of Soviet refer directly ly to the US decision. schools "patriotic" ed oat forces. These depend nowadays or indeed to any ARitt system, attention to to a much greater extent on the inchisAfir ricanlicy the since tion. quality of equipment than on suggests the at the Russians have No complacency mbe of the men under at last learned their lesson. It They suggest that the schools arcs. nu is arms. It i the equipment, too, was the incessant Soviet boasting that defence budget. a the bulk of the about the power and accuracy of should inculcate in their charges p Russia, hereet. especially of the Russia's own ARM defences that certain habits which will be Russia, where the pay of the was one of the factors which led " required by the future servicemen is extremely low to the US decision. defenders of the fatherland." compared with Western rates. The Introduction of military Approved For Release 2005/04/il : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 11 Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 ovtetJ (17,v('Stta, Oct. 13 (supplementary issues, pp. 7-8. The military-patriotic schools for young pilots, cosmonauts, Speech by Deputy M. A. Prokofvev (Ostashkov E D tank troops, rocket troops signalmen and sailors that ar b - of the Union and Council of Nationalities of U.S.S.R. Supreme societies and Organizations. s DISCUSSION OF,THE LAW ing of the rising generation and to unite the efforts and re- sources of such organizations as the Ministries of Education DISCUSSION OF REPORT ON U.S.S.R. DRAFT LAW ON and Public Health, the Central Council of Trade Unions, the Kalinin Proviiicej - ... Introductory military training is being ing organized in military schools, academies and subunits of established In the upper grades of schools. Students will be civil aviation, the merchant marine and inland shipping fleet taught basic military knowledge and some data on civil de- are an attractive form of inculcating in teen-agers respect for. f Th ease. is measure is timely and necessary. military service and the profession of the Soviet officer. The implementation of the law will create a rational system -r The Y.C.L. organizations consider it their task to streneth- i d ntro uctory military training for young people. Practical realization of the law requires much work and energy. With the planned Implementation of introductory military training, the post of military instructor will have to be introduced in 36,000 secondary schools. These should be knowledgeable people, capable of making the boys interested, intelligent ped- agogues. The necessary material and technical base must be created in these 36,000 secondary schools. We count on con- stant assistance in this matter from the U.S.S.R. Ministry of Defense, its local organizations and the public.... Speech by Deput B. N. Pastukhov (Deinau E D Turk- . ., menian Republic). -The-aII-Union marches of Young Com- munists and young people to places of the Soviet people's and foremost in training young boys and girls in military- technical specialties.... Speech by Deputy A. L. Getman (Kaushany E.D., Moldavian Republic .- ... It is necessary to organize introductory mili- tary training for all young people of preconscription and con- scription age, expand and improve substantially the training of technical specialists in DOSAAF clubs and organize military training of students in senior grades of general-education schools, pupils at vocational-technical schools and students at special- ized secondary educational institutions. A substantial share of responsibility for fulfilling these tasks falls on DOSAAF. The , yWln prov- revolutionary, combat and labor glory are widely known. face committees are already adopting measures for expanding They have become a mass achievement; millions of Soviet the network of the society's educational organizations so that boys and girls took part in them. In the new conditions they can fully ensure the armed forces' Allow me, in the name of 25,000,000 Young Communists, to need for trained specialists. The interests of maintaining the express cordial thanks to the veterans of our party, celebrated combat readiness of the armed forces at a high level require .fighting men and our most Important military commanders, that upon entering the army, the club graduates piaster more who led the young pathfinders along the paths of exploits. rapidly and better the complex subject of warfare. This calls In discussing the draft Law on Universal Military Service, for raising the organizational and methodological level of the we.considcr it our task to Intensify the work of Young Commu- instruction process in the clubs, expanding and perfecting the nist League organizations in rearing young people in the revo- material and technical base and improving political upbringing lutionary, Iahor and rnmIs t traditions of the Party and the work among young people. people and, jointly with the organizations of DOSAAF [Volun- Since existing clubs possessing their own establishments teer Society for Cooperation With the Armed Forces], more cannot provide introductory military training for all draftees, 'actively conduct the military training of young people. the law provides for creating a wide network of military train- Boys have a great propensity for military romanticism and ing centers directly at enterprises, on collective and state a desire to emulate heroes in all their actions. This is graph- farms and in institutions providing military service training icaily obvious from the great growth of diverse military, patri-for the young people who do not study in the defense society's otic and sports associations. Detachments of young friends of clubs. the Soviet Army and Navy and young friends of the border To train the young generation to defend the homeland, It Is guards and the militia, which number hundreds of thousands of very important to improve mass defense work among young children, have become a unique school for bringing the heroic students, especially in the general-education schools. The traditions of the Soviet Army and Navy to Young Pioneers and establishment of introductory military training in the senior schoolchildren. Here they become physically steeled and ac- grades will substantially facilitate the solution of this impor- quainted with combat equipment and technology. In conducting tant task. The DOSAAF organizations have set themselves the the all-Union military game "Summer Lightning," in which task of actively assisting the public education agencies in this more than 5,000,000 boys took part, we once again became matter. In our opinion, the time has come to settle the ques- convinced of the great propensity of boys for military subjects. tion of setting up everywhere military and sports summer In our opinion, the formation of Youth, a unified defense and camps for young people of preconscription and conscription sports society for schoolchildren and adolescents, would make age. We have experience in setting up such camps, and they it possible to improve greatly the physical and character train- have proved themselves to be good.... DOSAAF Central Committee and republic tcrritor d Approved For Release 2005/04/231 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 NEd YORK TINES 4 February 1968 BULGARIAN CLAIM VEXES YUGOSLAVS .They Suspect Soviet Effort for Pressure on Belgrade By RICHARD EM R EpocIAi to Tho ti-a' Ye.'Y Tim" BEi.GRADE. Yugoslavia, Feb. 3-An old issue-rlaims by Bulgaria to parts of what is now Yugoslavia--has flared tip; (bitterly in recent weeks, lead ing to suspicion that Moscow Is once more seeking to put, pressure on Belgrade. I The immediate reason for suspicion Is that Bul garia, which of the European. nations, Is the most politically dependent on the Soviet Union, has been particularly so in for- eign policy. "The Bulgarians don't say 'nh' unless the Russians tell them to,"..one Yugoslav said, referring to the numerous times that Soviet displeasure hash been Indicated by the worsen- ing of Bulgarian-Yugoslav re-I Ialinns. The Yugnslnv Government is taking seriously the recent pub licatipn of artirirs in Dulgaria praisin' th treaty of San Stc- fano. This treaty. signed after the Russian-Turkish War of 1877, gave Bulgaria what is now the Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia, and parts of Serbia. These gains were. annulled. Bulgarian Envoy Called in Miss Pavicevic, the acting Foreign Minister, told the Fed- eral Assembly today that he called in the Bulgarian Amhas sador and informed him that the re-airing of the San Stefano claims could harm relations be- iteeen the two countries. Claims by Bulgarian scholars and writers that the Mace- donians-whose language is similar to Bulgarian -- were really Bulgarians have precili- itated other crises. As recently as 1966, Todor Zhivkov had to conic here and talk with Presi- dent Tito before matters could be smoothed over. In some respects. however, the present dispute presents more serious aspects. For one thing, the San Stefano matter is being aired, not by scholarly and titcrary~ journals, but by Rabntnichesko Delo, the pub- lication of the Bulgarian Com- munist party. Internal Difficulties gecn Sonic diplomatic observers here suggrst the Bulgarian articles seek primarily to cits- tract attention from pressing internal difficulties. Most Yugoslav and foreign [observers, However, suspect that the new flexin'; of muscle. by the Soviet Union and Its close allies is tlrsit:ned to test Yugoslav independence and to discourage excessive pro-West. ern tendencies. Yugoslavia has done a ntim- ber of things recently to irk the Soviet leaders. A decision not to go In the forthcoming meeting of Communist parties In Budapest, and criticisms of the parley, were offensive to Moscow. The recent visit of the Yugo- slav Premier to Italy and the resumption of relations with West Germany were two ma- jor victories by prn-\Vestrrn members of the Yugoslav lead- ership. Sonic diplomatic observers, sec a direct relationship he- twecn the current playing up of relations with Italy and West - Germany and the re- surgence of Dulgarian-Yugoslav tensions, Approved For Release 2005/04/21 :. CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 25X1C1OB k Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 Next 1 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 FOR BACKGROUND USE ONLY The Afro-Asian Peoples' Solidarity Organization on the Skids March 1968 Hampered for years by the repercussions of the Sino-Soviet dispute, the Afro-Asian Peoples' Solidarity Organization (AAPSO) split into two parts on 17 March 1967 in the aftermath of the eighth session of the AAPSO Council (Nicosia, 13-16 February 1967). On that date the Chinese Commu- nists issued a statement formally withdrawing from the organization and denouncing the Cairo-based AAPSO as a Soviet-dominated front. This marked the denouement of a struggle for control of AAPSO between Chinese and So- viet forces which had started in 1961. The larger of the two remaining groups, and for all intents and purposes the successor organization, is Soviet-dominated. The Chinese-oriented splinter group has but few adher- ents. At the first AAPSOtmeeting held in Cairo (26 December 1957-1 January 1958), the organizers sought to create the impression that it was a suc- cessor to the 1955 Bandung Conference. But it soon became clear that the non-governmental AAPSO had only the faintest relationship to the Bandung meeting. Under mixed Soviet, Chinese and Egyptian domination from the outset, AAPSO fell victim to Communist exploitation and dissension. At the Nicosia Council meeting in February 1967 the Soviet-oriented majority had succeeded in transferring the meeting site for the 5th AAPSO Conference from Peking, as previously agreed, to Algiers. In withdrawing from AAPSO the Chinese declared the move to Algiers "illegal" and announced that the Conference would take place in Peking in June 1967 as originally scheduled. As it turned out, however, neither the Algiers nor the Peking Conference took place. It was later thought that the meeting might be held in Cairo on 27 December in conjunction with the AAPSO celebration of its tenth anniversary, but this did not happen either. The anniversary celebrations were kept in low key with little public- ity and, indeed, the event went almost unnoticed. Not only was the occa- sion not used simultaneously to hold the Fifth AAPSO Conference, but even more significantly, no announcement was made during the anniversary meet- ing about the overdue conference. There is reason to believe that a Con- ference in Algiers in 1968 is still on the planning board but it could conceivably be held somewhere else in Africa. The Chinese, for their part, probably will not abandon proselytizing AAPSO members and encouraging them to attend "the" Fifth Conference to be held in Peking during 1968; so far there is little evidence that they are making progress toward this end, even though a few pro-Chicom groups remain in AAPSO. In the meantime, there are several vacancies in the AAPSO secretariat (normally held by China, Indonesia, Japan and Ghana) and there have been protracted disagreements on how to fill them. AAPSO's strength has also Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 been sapped by the establishment in Havana in January 1966 of the Afro- Asian Latin American Solidarity Organization (AALAPSO). Under the leader- ship of Castro's Cuba this group has pursued a more militant "liberation policy" which is more akin to Chicom than to Soviet policy. A Second AALAPSO Conference was reportedly scheduled to be held in Cairo in January 1968, but did not take place; it may, however, be held later in the year. AAPSO's position is that the larger, tri-continental AALAPSO is an off-shoot of AAPSO and should be subordinate to it. In practice, however, AAPSO has been unable to exert control over the "subordinate" group. So- viet manipulations of AAPSO have obviously been calculated to preserve the Cairo-based organization as an entity separate from AALAPSO because it still functions as a Soviet front in the African, Near East and South- east Asian areas and because the AAPSO national committees of the Soviet Union and of the Eastern European countries function as instruments for bilateral contact with African and Asian countries. With AAPSO's own strength and cohesion waning -- but with its propa- ganda capability not reduced to the same extent -- Soviet resolve to keep it above water is further demonstrated by increased liaison between the Soviet-controlled World Council of Peace (WCP) and AAPSO. A WCP delega- tion, headed by its Secretary General, Romesh Chandra of India, held talks with AAPSO's Secretary General, Yusuf as Sibai of the UAR, on the occasion of the anniversary celebration in Cairo. Their joint communique high- lighted the importance in the future of increasing and developing solidar- ity and unity among all revolutionary and anti-imperialist forces. The WCP had supported the establishment of AAPSO in 1957 but there has been less cooperation between the two organizations over the years than is indicated for the period ahead. The trend which has always existed toward such cooperation had been stymied heretofore by the Chinese presence in AAPSO who resisted AAPSO collaboration with the Soviet-controlled inter- national fronts, such as the WCP. Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 I4IZASN Jan/Feb 1967 Vol. 9, No 1 THE PEOPLES' SOLIDARITY MOVEMENT : EVOLUTION AND CONTINUITY by PAUL F. POWER The peoples' solidarity movement is a product of the confluence of Sino-Soviet opportunism and Afroo-Asian ideology on the ground of anti-imperialism. The focal point of the movement is the Organization for Afro-Asian Peoples' Solidarity (AAPSO), based in Cairo, which represents 73 affiliates in as many Afro-Asian nations. Claiming to ,pursue the ideals of the governmental Asian-African Conference at Bandung in 1955 that did not yield a permanent bureaucracy, AAPSO began its life under Soviet and Chinese sponsorship in early 1958. Since then the nominally unofficial organization has contributed to a variety of opinion-making activities in the developing world. Dedicated to the proliferation of its understanding of the struggle against imperialism and its heirs, AAPSO lent cover to efforts which produced the Tri-Continental Conference in Havana at the beginning of 1966, and a new entity, the Organization of Afro-Asian-Latin American Peoples' Solidarity (LAAAPSO). Over time AAPSO has experienced ideological -and structural changes. Persisting despite these changes are the interests of the two Communist states and the articulations of militant Afro-Asian ideologists. Origins AAPSO's formal beginning came from a meeting in Cairo of representatives of African and Asian "peoples" in late December 1957- the First Afro-Asian Peoples' Solidarity Conference. Yet AAPSO's founding, ideology and subsequent programme had roots in prior decisions and meetings. A main source was the Asian Conference for the Relaxation of International Tensions, held in April 1955 at New Delhi immediately before the meeting of Asian and African states at Bandung. Behind the New Delhi meeting roots led to the All-India Peace Council, the World Conference for the Relaxation of International Tensions in November 1954, held in Stockholm, and the World Peace Council (WPC), established in November 1950 under Soviet tutelage. An Egyptian representative attended the New Delhi meeting, together with delegates from Burma, Ceylon, People's China, India, Japan, Jordan. Lebanon, Mongolia, North Korea, North Vietnam, Pakistan, Syria and the USSR. Through the meeting the Soviet Union gained a place as a legitimate Asian entity in a conference of Asian peoples--a precedent for Soviet participation in AAPSO, and helpful for later arguments with China as to the Asian character of the Soviet Union. From the New Delhi meeting emerged the Asian Solidarity Committee and associated national committees, all of them dedicated to Asian friendship, anti-- imperialism and peace. Based on its unquestioned Asian character and benefiting from Chou En-lai's irenic role at the Bandung Conference and its active part in the New Delhi meeting, People's China employed the Asian Solidarity Committee to extend its influence among the developing nations. Its first head was Anup Singh, a Congress member of the Indian Parliament who had entered the WPC-led peace movement and remained with it after Jawaharlal Nehru had persuaded other Congress members to remain apart. In late 1956 or early 1957 the Asian Solidarity Committee changed its name to the Asian-African Solidarity Committee and in 1957 began to publish the Asian-African Review, essentially the predecessor of the Mr. Power is an Associate Professor of Political Science at the University of Cincinnati. His study was made possible by the Charles Phelps Taft Memorial Fund of that institution. Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 Af Pp 'FV 31 RR IseY2II(5i84/21 t9GA-RDR 8nQ 3Q6tl tQQQ400040004-1 broadening of Communist fronts from non-Communist Asia, where by this time Russia and People's China had improved their positions, to the Middle East and Africa where gains from unstable nationalism were especially promising. In early 1957 Anup Singh, accompanied by Chinese, Japanese and Russian colleagues from the Asian-African Solidarity Committee, called on President Nasir of Egypt, the centre of world attention in the 1956 Middle Eastern crises and since 1955 a recipient of Eastern bloc military and diplomatic assistance.' This contact led directly to the First Afro-Asian People's Solidarity Conference in Cairo at the end of 1957 and the establishment of the AAPSO. The reasons for Nasir's willingness to have an Afro-Asian meeting in Egypt and to locate a permanent headquarters in Cairo include his ideological and leadership ambitions in Afro-Asia, which had been enhanced by his participation in the Bandung Conference. Soviet influence was not absent. A leading figure in the discussions with the Anup Singh mission was Anwar as-Sadat, an early member of the Free Officers Movement and from 1960 Speaker of the National Assembly. Later Sadat said that he had suggested that the visitors extend their interests to Africa.' Probably they had already decided to do so, as reflected in the name of the Asian-African Solidarity Committee, and they were searching for a suitable and available centre in Africa. Revolutionary Egypt was qualified and interested. The founders of AAPSO lost no time in preparing its first meeting. A preparatory group with participants from 22 countries met in Cairo in October 1957. Important in the preparations was Felix-Roland Moumie, leader of the exiled faction of the Union des Populations du Cameroun (UPC) which had found a haven in Egypt to prosecute its unsuccessful underground campaign against the Ahidjo government, a target of subsequent AAPSO propaganda. The planning accomplished, the First Afro-Asian Peoples' Solidarity Conference opened at the University of Cairo on 26th December 1957, and lasted until 1st January 1958. Approximately 500 delegates came from about 45 countries. As presiding officer, As-Sadat welcomed them in the name of the Egyptian people. Delegates invited from Cambodia, Liberia, Malaya, Morocco, Pakistan and the Philippines did not appear. No effort was made to secure representatives from Israel or South Africa, though subsequently the African National Congress became and remains affiliated with AAPSO. The bulk of the units sending delegations were previously established solidarity groups linked with the Asian-African Solidarity Committee or similar groups newly created for the Cairo meeting. Also present were delegates of liberation movements in Algeria, Oman and Somaliland. Represented by the Algerian National Liberation Front (FLN), Algeria had a prominent place on the agenda. The unofficial nature of the delegates permitted them to treat political, economic and social issues without serious inhibitions. The Egyptian delegation had the responsibility for writing a conference report on imperialism. It left no doubt as to its criticisms of traditional European imperialism, but also of the collective security efforts of the United States.' The Soviet delegation, which based its qualifications on the Soviet Asian and Transcaucasian Republics, was headed by Sh. R. Rashidov, Deputy Chairman of the Praesidiutn of the Supreme Soviet of the USSR and Chairman of the Praesidiutn of the Supreme Soviet of the Uzbek SSR. Reportedly Russia offered to finance a proposed secretariat and head- quarters building in Cairo, but the Egyptian Government demurred for fear of overcommitment to the Eastern bloc." Indicative of caution, Nasir did not address the meeting. Ideology The aspirations proclaimed by the Cairo meeting in its final Declaration were repeated in increasingly militant ways at subsequent AAPSO Conferences at Conakry in Guinea in April 1960, at Moshi in Approved For Release 2&5/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061AO00400040004-1 Tanganiyka in February 1963, and at Winneba in Ghana in May 1965. The main objectives are the eradication of Western imperialism; the full recognition in world politics of the sovereignty and territorial integrity of states, but especially of the developing nations; the elimination of racial and economic discrimination in international affairs; the banning of the production, testing and use of nuclear weapons as a preface to general disarmament; the reduction of world tensions by the increased use of pacific methods to resolve interstate disputes; and the development of the common interests and mutual concerns of.the Afro-Asian peoples." Except for the imperialism and arms questions, all of these points are found or implied in'the Ten Principles of the Asian-African Conference at Bandung in 1955. The Cairo Declaration took special notice of and reaffirmed the Ten Principles. The famous Sixth Principle recognizes the right of individual or collective self-dcfcnce, provided that collective defence should not serve the private ends of any great power and that there should be no pressure on countries to join defence pacts. At Cairo, however, major addresses and accepted delegation reports implicitly denied Principle Six and criticized Western defence pacts and those Afro-Asian states which had joined them. The dualism of affirming .Principle Six and rejecting Western efforts at collective security reappeared at the Conakry Conference in 1960. Yet a trend was clear, for the second AAPSO meeting officially stated that true independence precludes membership in pacts with colonial powers, and denounced by name the US-Japanese and Anglo-Cypriot security arrangements." The Declaration of the Moshi Conference in 1963 dropped the practice of spelling out the Bandung Principles in favour of a passing word on their behalf. The Winneba Conference in 1965 produced no mention of the Ten Principles or the Bandung Conference in its Declaration, its General Political Resolution or its resolution welcoming the projected second Afro-Asian conference. Despite the phasing out of formal references to the Ten Principles of Bandung, at its start and for a few years thereafter AAPSO identified itself with the 1955 meeting of Asian and African states. There is no substantial affinity between the two. AAPSO may claim with some reason that the "spirit of Bandung" influenced its founding, if by that expression is meant the rising tide of Afro-Asia in world politics. Overbalancing this notion are the contributions of the WPC to AAPSO's conception and birth; its unofficial nature: and the scepticism or disbelief about AAPSO's independent character in non-Communist African and Asian circles, especially after signs of AAPSO's Leftward turn in 1961. A more plausible analogy for AAPSO's ideological position is the international orientation of the Casablanca bloc of Arab-African states during its apogee, 1961-3; but even here there is a difficulty. For the "positive neutralism" stressed in the pronouncements of the Casablanca bloc states has received next to no formal recognition from AAPSO. Although the governments of several countries whose people are said to be represented in AAPSO are firm advocates of some kind of neutralism, the solidarity movement shows little inclination to recommend non- alignment as a major strategy to realize its goal.* *Sensitive about the underplay of neutralism in AAPSO statements on world problems, in 1959 its Secretariat issued an anonymous, undated pamphlet, Positive Neutralism, which expounds on the "independent personality" of Afro-Asian countries subscribing to "positive neutralism" and denies that they are aligned with the Soviet 'Union. The pamphlet is atypical of AAPSO publications. AAPSO did officially endorse the holding of the 1961 and 1964 non-aligned summit meetings, praising their contributions to easing world tensions and continuing the struggle for peace. Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 rccc c?n IfSO~SettIs c'400040004-1 Conference's endorsement of the Ten Principles of Bandung amounted to approval of conditions under which states live i3 peaceful coexistence, although that term was not adopted by the Bandung meeting and only later came to he applied to them by Soviet and other participants in AAI'SC7. With the decline of attention to the Bandung Principles came a net increase in the demand for preconditions to make living together in peace feasible. Thus th; 1960 Conference paid heed to peaceful coexistence as a goal to be achieved only after the liquidation of colonialism and all forms of imperialist domination. The next year AAPSO intensified the struggle to realize the termination of these ills which block ideal objectives and expanded on the nature of the interim difficulties, particularly nco-colonialism. The United States, `Vest Germany, Israel. Britain, Belgium, the Netherlands, South Africa and France were cited as the main perpetuators of neo-colonialism to which collective security pacts, Balkanization of former colonial areas and the Peace Corps were linked. Peaceful coexistence out of dread of nuclear war received the approval of the 1063 Conference which underscored the many impediments to its realization, although not without hone of overcoming them. The 1965 Conference resolved to treat peaceful coexistence as "meaningless" unless imperialists ceased their intervention in developing areas.` Related to the growth of this pattern is a mounting AAPSO call since 1900 for armed intervention or internal revolution ar,ainst sovereign stags, for example, the Congo (L), Malaysia. Morocco, Niger. South Vietnam. Thailand and Venezuela, as well as traditional colonial areas. The highly qualified adherence of AAPSO to peaceful coexistence adds up to a position not far removed from thtit of People's China. This view was expressed in December 1957 at AAPSO's First Conf^_rencc by Kuo Mo-jo, then head of the Chinese section of the WPC. who said that the struggle for national independence against imperialism must be placed before living in peace. This speech foreshadowed the difference that appeared in autumn 1959 between Moscow and Peking on the relative importance of national liberation. An explanation for AAPSO's nco-Chincsc line on peaceful coexistence is that the Soviet Union, especially between 1960 and 1961, had to compete with Peking in the developing world, producing a high tolerance for liberation polemics and a downgrading of the thesis that in a nuclear age Communism should avoid major risks. Ideologically, Russia has scored against Communist China on atomic disarmament, obtaining an AAPSO demand at the Winneba Conference in 1965 for the immediate destruction of nuclear weapons and for states "to dismantle and abandon all means of producing nuclear weapons, above all, the use of such weapons by any power"." But the main power of the Soviet Union in AAPSO is organizational, leaving AAPSO's unsophisticated ideological !,tatemcnts on the conditions of peaceful coexistence to be moulded by competition with China and the exaggerations of Afro-Asian propagandists. AAPSO offers little evidence of trying to unite ex-colonial peoples against industrialized societies as did Mir Sayid Sultan Oglu (Sultan . Galiyev), Stalin's lieutenant from Kazan who offered a theory of revolution for Eastern peoples before he disappeared in the purges of the 1930s.1' One bond does exist between AAPSO ideology and Sultan Galiyev: the thesis that there is no need for class struggle within the East because it has suffered too much from the West and has experienced too little industrial stratification. Consequently, the "solidarity" preached by AAPSO and Galiyev's thought share the justification of national fronts within former colonial peoples. AAPSO's endorsement of national fronts is in agreement with African and Arab socialism which generally rejects class struggle. Yet there is no evidence of Sultan Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 Galiycv's main idea-the urging of a counter-struggle by non-Western peoples against the oppressive advanced societies-an anti-Soviet line that AAPSO has not adopted and is unlikely to adopt in the light of Soviet controls in the organization. Bureaucracy and operations AAPSO's ideological objectives found a structure to mobilize efforts to realize them when the Cairo Conference established the Afro-Asian People's Solidarity Council and Secretariat, bringing AAPSO into formal existence. Of different authority and organi- zation, these organs were formed to carry out the meeting's resolutions, tp promote the solidarity movement in Afro-Asia, and to act as liaison between the new centre and its constituents. The Council represents the national solidarity committees and those liberation movements and opposition parties recognized by the AAPSO as members. The Council's powers and organization were vague until the Second AAPSO Conference in April 1960 adopted the AAPSO Constitution.'-' It specifies that the Council consists of the heads of delegations to Conferences and constitutes the steering organ during their sessions. The Council elects the AAPSO Executive Committee, created in 1960. The Council is responsible for establishing Conference agendas, appointing special commissions, and examining financial reports and budgetary proposals. It selects a President and four Vice-Presidents for each biennial Conference. They lead the Council, which meets during Conferences and once between them for a regular session. Although the Conference has legislative authority and the Executive Committee is the most powerful AAPSO organ, the regular Council meetings can be influential since they are free to adopt their own Declarations and Resolutions which elaborate past and affect future Conference pronouncements. If the Council gives a forum to all AAPSO members, the Secretariat performs their bureaucratic work. The Cairo Conference stipulated that initially the AAPSO headquarters should be in the UAR and that the Secretary-General should be nominated by the UAR. Although the AAPSO charter permits other arrangements. these decisions have been reaffirmed by AAPSO's Executive Committee to which the Secretariat is collectively responsible. As a result Egypt has an important place in and some influence over AAPSO. The Board of Secretaries operating the Secretariat was first limited to one Secretary-General and Secretaries from 11 specified countries." Including the Secretary-General, the _ Board's size rose to 14 at the Third Conference at Moshi in 1963 and to 15 at the Fourth Conference at Winneba in 1965. The present membership has a distribution of six Asians, six Africans and three Arabs." Reflecting their political interests and financial contributions, Russia and Communist China have beta represented in the Secretariat at all times. The Secretariat is located in a comfortable but unpretentious two- storey building in the Manial district of Cairo. Internally the work of the Secretariat is broken down into sections for finance, publication, documents and research, technical service, liaison, and women and youth activities. The last two named inspire or plan meetings of relevant groups. Afro-Asian Journalists. Afro-Asian Jurists, Afro-Asian Writers and Afro-Asian Seminars are other groups with ties to AAPSO, though only the women and youth groups have working sections in the Secretariat. None of them are embedded in the AAPSO Constitution. The Secretariat's operations have reflected differences among AAPSO's members, particularly the Sino-Sovict dispute. A crisis appeared in the spring of 1960 when People's China tried to discharge the Secretary-General, Yusuf as-Siba'i, a product of the WPC and Egyptian nationalism. Peking also tried to move the headquarters out of Cairo, perhaps to Jakarta. A compromise was found which restricted the Secretariat's use of AAPSO funds,,ivin Communist China some Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : OIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 le~era~ppirotv~d fs@!i'R~t &1@e. ~~`??~ ('try-~ ~ Q~~t -Q ~~1c. 00040004D004-1 quarters staff under Egyptian direction, Later disputes among the Secretaries revolved around Chinese versus Soviet influence in the editorial direction of the AAPSO journal .Afro-Asian Bulletin, causing it to suspend publication at the end of 1963. The Chinese bloc in the Secretariat between 1963 and 1965 consisted of the secretaries representing People's China, Indonesia, Japan and either North or South Vietnam. Faced with the slowly increasing size of the Secretariat, Peking has not been able to improve its position which is now about four votes to eleven out of the total of the 15 secretaries authorized in May 1965. It is the Executive Committee which has the commanding position in the AAPSO structure. In addition to deciding every two years on the national composition of the Board of Secretaries, it is authorized to act on and interpret Conference decisions and to judge how to apply Conference resolutions through the work of the Secretariat and AAPSO affiliates. The Executive Committee decides on the maximum size of delegations to AAPSO Conferences and their time and place of meeting. It prepares AAPSO's annual budget, controls the accounts of the organization and decides on members' dues. The budget is reviewable by the AAPSO Council and approved by the Conference. Since 1963 after every Conference the Executive Committee elects from its members a Control Commission to audit the Secretariat's accounts. Sonic members contribute substantially more than an expected minimum to compensate for non-payment and underpayment. The major financial supporters are the governmental committees or parties in Algeria, Communist China, Guinea, the USSR and the UAR. A second category of supporters includes affiliates in Kuwait and Tunisia; and a third. those in Japan, India, Mongolia, Morocco and the two Vietnams. The least responsive category includes many affiliates in Sub-Saharan Africa. There is no charter provision to suspend voting rights or to take other disciplinary action for non-payment or underpayment of dues, Recognizing the economic plight of liberation groups alliliated with AAPSO, the AAPSO Council meeting in 1964 at Algiers discharged them of any financial obligations. The Executive Committee is responsible to and a product of the AAPSO Council which every two years elects the executive body from its members. The Executive Committee had 27 members until the 1963 Conference increased the size to 30. It meets twice yearly under its own elected President for each session. ']"Ile Executive Committee maintained essentially the saute national ntentbcrship from its founding in 1960 until the 1965 Conference. AAI'SO affiliates claiming to speak for the peoples of these countries have been continuously represented : Algeria, People's China, the Congo (L), Ghana, Guinea, India, Indonesia, Iraq, Japan, Kenya, Lebanon, Mali, Mongolia, Morocco, North Korea, North Vietnam, Pakistan, Russia. South West Afrfca, Tanzania, Tunisia, the UAR, Yemen and Zimbabwe. Elected for the first time in 1965 were Basutoland, Mozambique, Palestine, Portuguese Guinea, South Vietnam and Zambia. They had become eligible two years earlier for election to the Executive Committee because of their membership in the AAPSO Council, i.e., membership in AAPSO. The new members replaced Ceylon, Cameroon, Iran, Liberia, Somalia, and Uganda, though none. of these save Cameroon lost its official standing in AAPSO. The changes reflected AAPSO's increased attention to the remainder of colonial Africa, and to South Vietnam and Palestine. Based on the character of the national affiliates involved. Russia's influence has been greater than Communist China's in the Executive Committee. From 1960 until 1965 People's China could depend only on Japan (the Communist Party of Japan), probably on the two Vietnams and Indonesia and possibly on Pakistan. The 1965 upheaval in Indonesia is likely to reverse the usually pro-Peking conduct of its affiliate in Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 Approved For Release 2005/04121 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 AAPSO. The pro-Peking orientation of the Japanese, North Korean and Vietnamese affiliates is now uncertain in view of their shifting away from Peking, revealed in 1966. In agitprop terms which are so crucial to AAPSO, some militant Left-neutralist members, for example Guinea and Mali, may find no difficulty in joining the Peking group. Yet there is little doubt it is a minority. Soviet influence also outweighs that of China in AAPSO's Solidarity Fund. A product of the 1960 crisis when Peking sought to shape the organization more to its liking, the Solidarity Fund was formed to satisfy People's China and AAPSO militants who were anxious to'give material help to liberation movements in Africa. In keeping with a Conakry 'Conference resolution adopted the previous April. the Fund got a formal start in a meeting of the Executive Committee in November 1960. The Solidarity Fund i's composed of seven members elected every two years after each Conference by the Executive Committee from its members. The Solidarity Fund began with Executive Committee members representing Cameroon, Communist China, Guinea, Indonesia, Morocco, the Soviet Union and the UAR. The membership has remained constant, except that Tanganyika replaced Cameroon in 1963. Why Algeria and one or both of the Vietnams have not become Solidarity Fund members to add their expertise is an intriguing question. The Fund elects a chairman, first vice-chairman and second vice-chairman, who to date have come from Guinea, Morocco and Communist China respectively. The Solidarity Fund's mission became clearer in February 1961 at Conakry when a secretariat was established under Guinean direction to solicit financial and material aid to meet the "urgent needs" of national liberators--communications equipment, educational materials, scholar- ships for "technicians". medical care, foodstuffs, clothing and legal defence. The appeal went to national solidarity committees and to other anti-colonialist and anti-imperialist organizations and "all persons who support and approve the objectives of the Afro-Asian Solidarity Fund."15 Since 1961 financial problems have troubled the Fund, reducing its importance as a supply centre for insurgency groups. Competing agencies of AAPSO and the Organization of African Unity have also been present. In January 1961 the AAPSO Council created the International Committee for Aid to Algeria and the Congo to secure diplomatic, financial and medical assistance for the FLN and the Stanleyville rdgime. For African liberation problems the Solidarity Fund has a governmental competitor in the Coordinating Committee for the Liberation of Africa, established by the African states in May 1963 at the founding of the OAU. Additionally, some governments involved in AAPSO have their own conduits, revealed in the Congo crisis of 1963-64 when Algerian, Chinese, Egyptian and Russian supplies and arms flowed to Eastern Congo insurgents through the Nile valley and East Africa. To date the most likely use of the Solidarity Fund as an insurgency supply or training centre concerns the Portuguese African colonies.'' Prospects Four leading and interrelated issues face the solidarity movement-the impact of the Sino-Soviet dispute, the emergence of membership questions the relation of AAPSO to the tri-continental LAAAPSO, and the outlook of Afro-Asian constittents. The impact of the Sino-Soviet conflict has ideological and bureaucratic aspects. The growth of AAPSO's nco-Chinese ideas on coexistence and liberation questions suggests the likelihood of continuing militancy.' A qualifying characteristic is that AAPSO resolutions usually mention "armed" struggle only after some historical evidence of formal insurgency. Thus a 1965 Conference resolution on the "internal colony" of the Afro- American population in the United States says that it "must no longer he isolated from African and Asian struggles for national liberation" and l? nes AAPS u~ t for the "militant Afro-Americans in their Approved i-or`I `lease 200 /0421 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 nrti pprlp g ffw Rg1t$Pis 's(A494 ;AAPPc71?7 P30 J A0400040004-1 either Soviet or Chinese ideology will leave their mirk on the solidarity movement. When structural questions appear, Russia is apt to retain its hegemony. illustrated in the entrance of observers from WPC groups and Eastern European socialist countries into AAPSO Conferences over the objections of the Chinese faction. The Soviet bloc won its point on WPC observers at the Moshi Conference in 1963 and on st~cialist states in 1965 at Winneba. The resulting division of labour may provide a stabilizing factor in the solidarity movement, provided Russia and China are satisfied with their respective advantages. A different aspect of the Sino-Soviet dispute is how it is assessed by Afro-Asian governments now supporting or tolerating AAPSO. Conceivably tht se governments will grow weary of the Sino-Soviet dispute and try to establish their own unofficial, Pan-organization, a step threatened by Algeria's Muhammad Yazid in AAPSO's hierarchy after the Sino-Sovict feuding in the March 1964 AAPSO Council meeting.* Because of their interests in Afro-Asia apart from the solidarity movement, the. two Communist powers are unlikely to permit it to be reconstituted without them. Membership questions have become important for the solidarity movement. Until the AAPSO Conference of 1965 membership matters were not cspecialy controversial. Previously the list of the original solidarity committees in Communist and neutralist countries, plus some exile groups, had expanded to include similar groups. Acceptance into AAPSO is through Conferences by majority vote, with the understanding that the Executive Committee and the AAPSO Council screen all applicants. At the 1965 Conference it became clear that three kinds of membership problems had arisen : the question of how to treat competing segments within a recognized affiliate; the challenge of one or more national rivals to the existing affiliate; and controversial applications from countries new to AAPSO." These problems often involve the instabilities natural to the solidarity or liberation groups in AAPSO's purview. Membership questions have carried over from AAPSO into LAAAPSO. The evolution of the solidarity movement from an organization for two continents, AAPSO, to the creation in Havana of an organization for three continents. LAAAPSO, stems from ambitions revealed as early as the AAPSO Council meeting at Bandung in April 1961. Soviet, Chinese and Cuban manoeuvring delayed the preparations for a tri-continental meeting under AAPSO and Cuban-Soviet sponsorship. Held in January 1966 distinct from the sessions of AAPSO organs, the Havana meeting of some 600 delegates from 82 nations created a new solidarity institution, located in the Cuban capital. Yet the action did not end AAPSO, raising relationship issues for the two organizations. Based on a decision at the 1965 Winneba Conference, AAPSO's 1967 Conference is scheduled to be held in Peking, an unlikely event in view of China's internal crisis and its isolation in world politics. Wherever the next Conference is held in 1967, it may yield answers on how AAPSO relates to LAAAPSO which is to have its second Conference the following year in Cairo. Meanwhile, LAAAPSO proceeds on the AAPSO pattern with a Secretariat, a Cuban Secretary-General (Osmani Cienfuegos), a national liberation committee and a specialized body to aid insurgents in South Vietnam. Complicating organizational relations, a Latin American Solidarity Organization (LASO) came into existe:.ce immediately after To illustrate the three types of problems, the 1965 Conference gave competing factions of Cameroon's affiliate, the UPC, six months to mend differences; affirmed the .11ovimcnto Popular dc Libertatao de Angola (RIPLA) as the sole representative of Angola, despite the challenge of the Uniao das Popula4?ocs do Angola (UPA); and took under advisement applications from groups claiming to represent the Comoro Islands, Chad and the Ivory Coast. The Conference admitted the Thailand Liberation Front, centred in Peking. Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 3 Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 the end of the Havana meeting. No less important for the future of the solidarity movement are the ideological questions raised at Havana. Essentially they refer to a continuation of the neo-Chinese views on coexistence and liberation at the expense of conventional Soviet notions which have been at a disadvantage in AAPSO. One new factor suggested by the appearance of the solidarity movement in Latin America is the possibility of independent Cuban influence on its bureaucracy and ideology without regard to Soviet preferences. Castro's removal of Che Guevara in 1965 and the decline in Sino-Cuban relations in 1966 suggest that Russian guidance of Cuba will persist. Another new matter concerns the relation of the solidarity movement to the West. Although AAPSO has not declared an ambition to expand into the West to include members in agreement with its ideology, its attempts to take advantage of difficulties in American race relations and LAAAPSO's support of Puerto Rican nationalism are to be noted. Also of interest is the Havana meeting's appeal to the working class and popular movements in Europe and North America to tighten bonds with the peoples of the South in the common struggle for its liberation from imperialism, thereby aiding the "emancipation of the oppressed classes in capitalist countries" .12 However weak its logic a solidarity movement that has organizational lines into the West is not beyond comprehension, The future of the solidarity movement will also be influenced by the response of the solidarity movement's constituents to its services. Liberation groups are apt to find more benefits than drawbacks from association. Non-Communist governments which sponsor affiliates or tolerate them may have to weigh the impact of association on their international power and national integrity. These governments are in a position to realize many of the goals found in the Ten Principles of Bandung and in AAPSO's Cairo Declaration of 195S through the slow but demonstrable progress stemming from acculturation, inter-state relations and self-development. Fear of Soviet political or economic retaliation and their own ideological orthodoxy may deter them from phasing out ties to the solidarity movement. Probably AAPSO or LAAAPSO will exist as long as international Communism believes that it can benefit from the weakness of the developing nations or until they decide that their national interests can be advanced without the help of the solidarity movement. The Anup Singh mission to Cairo and the Asian Solidarity Committee are detailed in Odette Guitard, Bandoeng et Rdveil Des Peeples Colonises (Paris, 1961), pp. 70-73. ' Keith Wheelock, Nasser's Egypt (New York, 1960), P. 254. Afro-Asian Peoples' Conferences: Principal Reports (Cairo, 1958), pp. 23-55. New York Times. 2.1.58. The First Afro-Asian Peoples' Solidarity Conference (Cairo, n.d.), pp. 25-27. IHsnc Congres de Solidarity des Pcuple.s Afro-Asiatiques (Cairo, 1960), pp. 64-67. r Afro-Asian Bulletin. May-June 1961, pp. 39-42. Listing of states as in original. Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 Resolutions of the Fourth ,4 f ro-Asian Peoples' Solidarity Conference. mimeo, n.d., pp. 1-4. Richard Lowenthal, "China", in Africa and the Conuntntist 117orld, ed. Zbigniew Brzezinski (Stanford, 19(33), p. 170. Resolutions of the Fourth Afro-Asian Peoples' Solidarity Conference, p. 4. Without contending that Chinese progress in military atomic affairs contributes to peace, Peking's delegate, Liao Cheng-chip, clearly rejected the Winneba meeting's position. Sec Peking Review, 21.5.65, p. 16. For a summary of Sultan Galiycv's ideas, sec Alexandre Pennigsen, "Sultan Galiyev: The USSR and the Colonial Revolution", in The Middle East in Transition, ed. Walter Z. Laqueur (New York 1958), pp. 398-414. Afro-Asian Peoples' Solidarity Movement (Cairo, 1962), pp, 78-84. Cameroon, People's China, UAR, Ghana, India, Indonesia, Iraq, ,japan, Sudan, Syria and the USSR. "Organizational Resolutions", The First Afro-Asian Peoples' Solidarity Conference., pp. 64-65. Algeria, Angola, Peoples' China, Ghana, Guinea, India, Indonesia, Iraq, Japan, Kenya, South Africa, South Vietnam, Tanzania, UAR and USSR. Afro-Asian Peoples' Solidarity Movement, pp. 117-114. Cooperation between AAPSO members and liberation groups for Portuguese Africa is shown in the early October 1965 meeting of the Conference of Nationalist Organizations of Portuguese Colonies (CONGO) in Dar es Salaam, attended by observers from the Soviet Solidarity Committee, People's China, North Vietnam and Algeria. Egyptian Gazette 3.10.65. Among the liberation cases AAFSO cited in 1965 were the "armed stnig gle living %V;1ged by the peoples of the Karncrnu and Niger against French imperialist aggression camouflaged behind the re-gitnes of neo- colonialist dictatorship", and "the armed struggle of the people of Venezuela, Colombia, Guatemala and Honduras against United States neo-colonist political and economic domination". Resolutions of the Fourth Afro-Asian Peoples' Solidarity Conference, p. 9. Ibid., p. 18. john K. Cooley, East (hind Over Africa (New York, 1965), p. 20. Soviet authorized accounts of the Havana meeting appeared in World Marxist Rrt'icw, March 1966, pp. 11-13, and April 1966, pp. 1-6. A Chinese version is found in Pekin? Review, 21.1.66, pp. 19-25. Western appraisals are Paul 1). l;cthcl. "The Havana Conference" The Reporter, March 24, 1966, pp. 23-129, and D. Bruce Jackson, "Whose Men in Havana ? " Problems of Communism, April-May 1966, pp. 1-10. Following a protest against the 1963 decision lodged with the AAPSO Secretariat in October 1966 hr AAPSO groups representing Angola, Gambia, India, \lalagasv and South Africa, the AAPSO Council is to review the question. The Patriot (New Delhi), 11.10.66. Resolutions of the First Conference for Afro-Asian-Latin American Peoples' Solidarity (Cairo, 1966), p. 73. Approved For Release 20-J05/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 25X1C1OB L Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 FOR BACKGROUND USE ONLY March 1968 The Ninth World Youth Festival The Ninth World Youth Festival (WYF) is now scheduled to take place in Sofia, Bulgaria, from 28 July through 6 August 1968. The event was originally planned for Algeria in 1965, but was postponed after the over- throw of Ben Bella; it was rescheduled for Ghana the following year, but the coup d'etat against N'Krumah once again forced postponement. The Youth Festivals are the largest and most expensive of the Soviet front events. This Festival will be the first since 1962, when the Sov- iets staged the event in Helsinki, Finland. It will be the first to be held inside the Soviet Bloc since the WYF held in Moscow in 1957. The location should reduce, but will probably not eliminate, the dissension which has given the two Festivals held outside the Bloc (Vienna, 1959; and Helsinki, 1962) something less than an image of complete "peace and friendship" -- the theme of the Festivals. According to the organizers, approximately 20,000 participants are expected at Sofia. Despite the sponsor's exaggerated claims in the past, this expected attendance figure does not appear implausible. For the first time, several West European Social Democratic Parties (those of West Germany, Italy, Finland and probably other Sandinavian countries) will apparently permit their youth sections to send delegations. While the war in Vietnam will be the major propaganda theme of the Festival, the Middle East is expected to be a significant secondary theme throughout the affair. Another propaganda subject, and one which may receive greater attention if more non-Communist West Europeans attend, is "NATO and European Security." The Festivals are nominally sponsored by a seemingly representative International Preparatory Committee (IPC). Although the IPC is composed of a long list of organizations and individuals purporting to represent a number of countries, ideologies, races and languages, it is in fact only a front for two Soviet` financed and controlled international organizations: the Prague-based International Union of Students (IUS) and the World Fed- eration of Democratic Youth (WFDY), headquartered in Budapest. Generally, delegates to the WYF are grouped into "national" delega- tions which are organized by National Preparatory Committees (NPC's) ac- credited to and by the IPC. Occasionally this pattern is altered to accept as "representatives" of a given country students or exiles who live closer to the site, who are ideologically more reliable, or who represent a more fruitful target to the Soviets. For the Soviets, the success of the event is keyed to the degree of control which can be firmly but subtly main- tained, and the extent to which Soviet positions on a variety of issues can be impressed upon the parti'ipants. In most countries, the NPC is the key to the type of representation which will appear at the WYF. In the past, the Festival organizers have done everything possible to have the NPC appear representative of a variety of tendencies and groups, and yet remain firmly under Communist control of influence. Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 25X1C1OB k Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 Next 2 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 FOR BACKGROUND USE ONLY The Viet Cong Tet Holiday Offensive in South Vietnam March 1968 Although documents captured from the guerrilla forces had long indi- cated that some major offensive by the North Vietnamese Army/Viet Cong (NVA/VC) forces was planned -- presumably for the winter-spring of 1968 -- the exact nature and timing of the attack was not known. A major at- tack was not expected during the Tet holiday truce (even though numerous minor violations of the truce were expected of the Communists). Conse- quently late January found South Vietnam's people in a festive mood for the celebration' of" the happiest and holiest holiday of the Vietnamese year. On the night of 29 January Vietnamese soldiers, a great percentage of them on leave because of the truce and the holiday, made special efforts to join their families, emptying barracks and leaving guard ranks thin. It was after the holiday celebrants had retired that night that 50-60,000 North Vietnamese and VC soldiers struck with a fierceness and bloodiness unusual even in Vietnam. The Communists hit a hundred places across the land -- 36 out of 44 provincial capitals and some 60 district towns, air- fields, military bases, South Vietnamese government buildings and other politically important targets, including the U.S. Embassy in Saigon. The toll of lives on all sides was heavy; allied forces suffered their heavi- est casualties of the war, with the South Vietnamese Army sustaining the greatest losses on the allied side. Heavy Communist losses It was the attackers, however, whose losses were staggering. Many of the NVA/VC attacks were avowedly suicidal, such as the one against the U.S. Embassy, and the recklessness of these attacks cost the Communists some of their best men. In most cases the attackers were highly trained guerrilla forces, including specialists such as demolition experts. The accuracy of the allied count of enemy dead has been controversial; in the heat of battle accuracy may be sacrificed to expediency and exaggerated counts have undoubtedly been turned in by units too eager to please the authorities. But, there is no question that Communist losses were tre- mendous and the claim that the loss ratio runs from eleven or twelve to one in the allies' favor appears reasonable. Estimates of enemy losses up to midnight 3 February were close to 15,000 NVA/VC billed; General Westmoreland gave the estimate as of mid- night 5 February as 21,000 enemy dead. When the U.S. Command announced on 10 February that it was discontinuing its daily casualty reports for the Tet :offensive, the total of estimated enemy dead as of midnight 9 February had risen to 27,000. The U.S. Command's final count was over 30,000 enemy dead. Added to this toll were several thousand captured. Reducing these figures by 10 or even 20% to compensate for possible error would still leave at least one third of the attackers killed or captured. The toll Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 of civilian casualties resulting from the Communist. attack is difficult to estimate but what has been reported already is shocking and the hospi- tals in Saigon and in the provinces are overflowing with wounded. Presi- dent Thieu, at a joint session of the Assembly on 9 February, said that since the 30th of January 3,000 civilians had been reported killed and 8,000 reported wounded. He added, in making an appeal for special execu- tive powers to cope with the situation, that 196,000 South Vietnamese citizens have been made;homeless. This brings the total number of refu- gees, some of whom have twice been made homeless, to an estimated 345,000. Communist Failure to Spark a Popular Uprising Hanoi's avowed intention was to arouse the people, to bring about a popular uprising in conjunction with the attack. A captured document released to the press on 10 February and addressed to personnel of the so-called Liberation Army provided a clear statement of Communist intent: "The ... National Liberation Front has decided to launch a full-scale attack to defeat the enemy and return the Government to the people. All military forces of the Liberation Army and militant political forces are ordered to collaborate closely with different patriotic forces and the entire population to simultaneously dash forward to ... wipe out a good deal of enemy potential ... disrupt the puppet army, overthrow all levelsc 3f the stooge government and drastically punish all high echelon traitors and ... establish the people's revolutionary government at all levels." Interrogations of prisoners have shown that the Communist cadres were thoroughly indoctrinated in this belief. Wild claims were made on the Communist "Radio Liberation" that "patriotic forces, including men in the South Vietnamese Army, the armed organizations of the people, and patri- otic youth are rising up to oppose the U.S. forces and the Saigon Govern- ment and to seize control of the city." It has been reported by defectors that they had received orders to go from door to door in Saigon summoning the people to join the attacking forces and observers of some of the street battles reported hearing Com- munist exhortations to the people over megaphones. The Communists also called for a general strike in South Vietnam and asked for demonstrations abroad in support of their offensive. According to Hanoi's broadcasts and newspapers, scores of organizations supporting the Communists sprang up spontaneously throughout South Vietnam. But the truth is that the people did not join in the attack, there was no general strike, no demon- strations, no organizations spontaneously bursting forth. It quickly be- came clear that the "popular support" claimed by the Communists in Vietnam is a myth which the Communists leadership is vainly attempting to perpetuate. In this connection it is important to distinguish between "popular support" and acquiescence to Communist demands. It is true that the guerrillas Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 were able to hide among the people in the cities and towns before strik- ing out. In some instances this was no doubt due to sympathy for the Viet Cong; but in most cases it was due to simple fear of the consequences of refusal. The important point is that when the Communists came into the open the people did not join them; in fact they fled at the earliest oppor- tunity. (See attachments land 2 for more details.) Viet Cong Alienation of the Population Far from stirring up the popular support Hanoi had led them to believe was bubbling just under the surface, the Communist attacks brought on a vastly different response. By choosing to attack during the traditional, almost sacred, family New Year celebration, the NVA/VC undoubtedly alien- ated major portions of the population. By firing bullets and bombs at the heart of heavily populated areas they caused the indiscriminate slaugh- ter of civilians, rendered thousands of city dwellers homeless and terror- ized those already in refugee status who had fled to the cities for safety. Nor should it be forgotten that all this occurred during the Tet truce which the Communists themselves had proposed first. The Communist offensive against the lives and sensibilities of the South Vietnamese people were not confined entirely to the violation of the Tet truce or the Tet holiday celebration. The NVA/VC forces attacked hospitals as well as military installations, they used churches, pagodas and schools as defense posts, and forced captured civilians (most frequent- ly women) to be human shields. In the areal south of Hue they brutally executed 300 civilians and buried them in a mass grave; they marched off to some unknown destination 125-150 Catholic prisoners and have reportedly started holding "trials" of captured city officials. In the highland town of Ban Me Thuot, the VC killed six American missionaries in a sweep through a leprosarium operated by the Christian and Missionary Alliance. After killing the missionaries, they wired their bodies with booby traps. In Saigon a score of VC paraded through the streets singing songs, waving flags and shouting: "This is the Liberation Force come to liberate the city! Be compatriots! Help us liberate the city!" Two and three-man teams with the same message went .from door to door, like census takers, asking for the names and addresses of local police, government officials, and army personnel. Those they found, they killed on the spot. In Danang a VC guerrilla rose in a Buddhist Tet service with a pistol in one hand and a megaphone in the other; interrupt-ng the service, he appealed to the assembly over the megaphone to "support the uprising." The Buddhists seized him and his two comrades and turnedthem over to the South Vietna- mese police. (See attachments 4-6 for additional details.) Viet Cong Betrayal of its Own Fighting Forces The losses caused by the Communist Tet offensive were not confined to the South Vietnamese armed forces and civilians. The Communist leadership Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-R,QP78-03061A000400040004-1 Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 showed the same callous disregard for the lives of -- and the same readi- ness to betray -- its own fighting forces as it did the enemy's. There is no question that Hanoi has perpetrated an incredible betrayal against its own troops. They were asked to sacrifice for a "popular uprising" which never developed; they were told that their wounded would be housed, hidden and healed by collaborators in the urban areas, but the collabora- tors never appeared; they were told resupply would be forthcoming within 12-24 hours, but in fact provisions had never been made to this end; they were promised reinforcements, but the reinforcements were not sent. Sui- cide squads were sent on missions without the slightest hope of survival; the squad sent into the U.S. Embassy compound, for instance, was abandoned as soon as it had entered the grounds; 19 VC commandos attacked the com- pound and six hours later 19 VC commandos lay dead. In at least one pro- vince, Chau Doc, the Communist units were told by -their leaders that they were to celebrate the New Year with the townspeople who were waiting to welcome them with open arms. In fact they were greeted with gunfire. (The only exception to the almost total lack of genuine cooperation the VC received from the South Vietnamese people may have occurred in Hue where the continuing battle still obscures what is going on there as of this writing.) It remains a stark fact that Hanoi made a cold-blooded decision to sacrifice thousands of its best soldiers' lives in a risky bid for a short-lived psychological/political advantage. This, of course, is traditonal Communist military doctrine. (See attachments 7 and 8.) Heartening Performance of the South Vietnamese Government and Military, Although the morale of the Communist forces must be under consider- able stress, the morale and subsequent response of the ARVN officers and men, after the nitia-l surprise had worn off, has been praiseworthy. Not only did they quickly return from their holiday leave and fight well against the attacking forces, they have also assisted the civil authorities in attempting to restore order and get food and medical supplies flowing and utilities operating and public services functioning once more. Civilian officials have set up centers in the Saigon area to help care for dis- placed persons and Ministry of Health teams are furnishing these centers potable water, rice and other food as well as supplying immunizations against cholera and plague. One third of Saigon's garbage truck fleet of 70 was operating normally by 10 February and more than 500 tons of rice had been delivered to Saigon sales points by the same date. More than 2500 tons of rice were discharged from ships or brought in from outlying warehouses between 8-10 February and it appears the flow will continue. The fresh vegetable supply to the city showed considerable improvement nine days after the attack and Saigon's water and power supplies are func- tioning -- below normal, but at adequate levels. Provincial officials have responded well to the emergency and committees have been organized to deal with the refugee problem; schools, churches and public buildings have been converted to refugee use and food is being supplied in increas- ing quantities. Two thirds of the civil servants were reported back on Approved For Release 2005/04/211 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 the job in Phu Khuong Province and all 63 hospitals in the 44 provinces are in operation. Responsibility for the overall effort of rehabilitation has been vested in a joint South Vietnamese/American task force. It generally appears that the people are behind the government's efforts to restore order and there have been signs of across-the-board participation which are not usual in a society as divided among partisan interests as Viet- nam has traditionally been. However, the Communist-made crisis may have ignited a spark of unity which will be the eventual means of reversing tradition. Time and the performance of both the government and the people will tell. (See attachments 9 and 10.) Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CI-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 the South Vietnamese as Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A00040004?i@1}4-1p p e a r to h a v e LOS ANGELES TIMES (1) 3 Februar?, 1968 Reds Claim Victory Vita Drive Is Assured Iiberately giving the im- pression that the offen- sive, which began Jan. 30, is a total commitment of their manpower and arms to crushing American and South Vietnamese resis- tance. Political Objectives But Observers Believe Part of Effort Is The political offensive is to Soften U.S. Stand on Peace Conditions BY ROBERT S. ELEGANT Timte staff writer I LONG KONG - The Hanoi claimed t h a t Communists declared Fri- "millions of patriotic" day that they now are S o u t h Vietnamese had y joined the Communist-led striking for total victory insurgents in the total in South Vietnam and assault on the power of claimed victory is assured. the Saigon government, Among' a spate of state- which is directed at 40 key towns and cities. According merits, the official Hanoi I to the broadcasts 'and news- d a i I y N h a n Dan (the', papers of the Democratic People) hailed the present R e p u It 11 c of Vietnam, generalized offensive of scores of organizations the'Viet Con as a compre- like the National Demo- cratic Alliance of the old hensive uprising which capital of Hue have will bring the Communists sprung up all over the to nower_ country. Kong believed the Com- rnunists are seeking a political objective as much as a purely military victo- ry. They think the Com- munists are seeking to soften American public opinion for a new peace offensive. .As the picture was un- folded by their publicists, It appeared more and more that the Communists might be staking every- thing on one throw of the dice. An undertone of desperation was evident in a strategy that could leave them defeated and facing the task of rebuilding their strikin; power from a dispirited and van- quished cadre. Despite the heavy com- mitment of Viet Cong and North Vietnamese regular troops to the assault, high- ly qualified specialists in Hong Kong believe the offensive seeks political the same, the creation of a government in South Viet- nam which, whatever its name or formal composi- tion would be wholly re- sponsive to Communist wishes also directed squarely at the South Vietnamese ppeople. Throughout the Co in in unist statements runs the theme that the masses of South Vietnam are joining the guerrillas, oven soldiers and officials of the present regime de- serting their posts to "en- ter the revolutionary ranks." If the Communists can convince the South Viet- namese people that furth- er resistance is hopeless, they will be well along toward the victory they. claim. They have in pur suit of that objective set u organizations-fictious o real -- like the Alliance for National and Peace Forces in Saigon, w h i c h they claim "has been wel- comed by many prominent personalities." Seen as Bait wrongly assessed the American reaction. Accept Consequences The South Vietnamese have always assumed the Viet Con, could make an effort like the present one if they are willing to accept the consequent los- ses. While the offensive will certainly not enhance popular support for the Saigon government, it is not likely to turn a shocked populace to the Communists. The impact on the Unit- ed States is likely to be greater. Nonetheless, psy- chological warfare special- ists pointed out that the Communists may have miscalculated. The Communist offen- sive does not, after all, vitiate the previous Amer- ican assessment that the a n t i - Communist 'forces were making slow pro- gress. It has always been axiomatic among specia- lists that the Viet Cant; could hit any place in South Vietnam at any time they were prepared to take the losses. Although specialists are surprised by the scope of the attacks, their surprise derives from Communist That alliance, carefully strategy rather than Com- distinuished f r o in t h e munist capability. South Vietnam National. Failing Impact Liberation Front, the poli- "If the Communists fail tical arm of the Viet Cong, to have the impact they has issued an "urgent expect on the United National Salvation lla-. States," one specialist nifcsto" demanding "the asks, "if they make the U.S. and its satellites American people angry withdraw their troops instead of cowing them, from South Vietnam so as what will t h e y have to end the war." The ained b th ir l vi h g y e a s at least as much as milita- alliance, its composition expenditure of lives and ry objectives. They think undisclosed, has also un- materiel? They c a n n o t the target of the Commu- dertaken "to negotiate possibly hold the towns nists is as much American with the South Vietnam they have taken. If they and world public opinion National Liberation Front fail to win big now, they as It is real estate the on measures to restore will have squandered their guerrillas cannot hold. peace.... " r ith ff " esources w out e ect. The Communists were The assault was ob- The Communists oh- It appeared that the viously well coordinated viously hope to use their Communists might have with ir re s pone athe m sin- the enigm atic peace newly created organiza- been impelled to their go- lanoi has l been tions as bait to draw all for-broke strategy by tent surrection. they have so pinning for the past the disaffected and the sions among both the long r sov ctor Ino carry month and a half. These war-weary in South Viet- sions and the haraViet ssed y practi- analysts believe that Han- itam to their side. Viet- cal, tactical terms, they of might quite soon offer It would be unwise to population of North Viet- have have staked their success nam. Such a mass offen- a total trevolt of heir s negotiations on terms understate the impact of sive by units that are not South Vietnamese which would appear a the offensive on the South linked on the ground is people, little less obdurate than Vietnamese None- That revolt is vital to the people. a erns, all the basic tenct:s strategy tl mive4t' ht'?q 0itilA~1880~~10~04e~~erlrilla warfare-p::ir- ini; while negotiating." however, would remain may have wrongly as- ticularly when it is staved sessed the psychology of in the face of total enemy Red Gamble ;yI' NCiiL;:;T;;R GU d For I ease 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP714431M A0?0t40OO40004-1 2 rebr"unry 1 'Tito Communists variously ? claim to have held between m 11,H s tai l fw, forty and fifty towns, and they ~,t?y~ have not so far admitted aban- doning any of them., The Hanoi ? party paper " Nhan Dan " 1 n claimed yesterday that the 1..e isrve events of the past few (lays By VICTOR ZORZA Communist radio stations in Vietnam have announced the impending formation of an alternate Government, The call has gone out for the final, mighty push towards victory. A new political organisation has been set up which is being represented as a coalition of all anti-Saigon forces, and which Is evidently acting as a non-Communist front for the MY and the Vietcong. The tifd"s "Liberation Radio " has announced that the " long 'awaited general offen- sive " had now been launched. The headquarters of the Revolu- tionary Armed Forces. which introduced itself as " directing the general offensive to over- throw the regime," has announ- ced : " We are going; to set tip a Government which will he entirely ours," It appealed to all citizens to join its forces in attacking the US troops and their South Vietnamese "hench- men." The new political organisation has introduced itself under the name of "The Alliance of National and Peace Forces." It has issued a 'national salvation declaration," and claims to have held a meeting to explain its policy. In Saigon, it claims, runny intellectuals, industrialists, and representatives of non. Communist political parties and religions have responded to the alliance's appeal. The alliance demands an Anverican with- ?drawal from Vietnam, and calls for " negotiations with the NLh in order to discuss measures to restore peace and bring independ- ence and sovereignty to the country." I 11 Identical policy In policy. ' therefore, it is identical with that of the NLF. It it has any real existence- other than in the broadcasts of claim that political parties and religious organisations, so far unidentified, have joined the alliance. The headquarters of the Revolutionary Armed Forces," which claims to be directing the general -offensive, would appear to he distinct from the Vietcong, which goes under the name of the " Liberation Armed Forces." The new headquarters is des- cribed by the " Liberation liadin " as the commanding organ of the various patriotic South Vietnamese " armed " forces. The " Revolutionary Forces " headquarters therefore appears to stand in the same relation to the alli.inre a'; the Vietcong stands to the \LF. The " Liberation Radio " claims that " the revolutionary Adminis- tration has been set up " in Saigon and in other areas where the " Revolutionary A r m e d .Forces" have taken "complete control or many important centres." The revolutionary Adminstration, which claims to enjoy the " enthusiastic support " of the people, has set itself a number of military and political tasks which are quite distinct from previous NLF-Vietcong policy, and suggest that this is seen by the Communists as the final stage of the war. The Revolutionary Administra- tion has immediately taken up the task of 1 Directing the completion of the armed uprising; 2 Reorganising the militia units and ; 2 Setting up r volutionary political parties." But the armed struggle Is primary. In Ilue, where the National Alliance claims to have seized control? it issued a local appeal to all patriotic forces, in much the same terms as a national declaration, calling for an imm diate armed uprising. The political import of the NLF move may be seen in a state- ment issued by the NLF repre- the NLF's "Liberation Radio"- sentation in Hanoi, which says the alliance seems to have been that in Saigon and Ifue "many set up in order to represent the organisations opposing the USA new offensive as the concern not and the Thieu- y clique have only of the NLF, but of elements been set up to coordinate action - which have previously kept clear with the NLF.'* of it, hence, presumably, the showed that the enemy could be beaten not only in the country- side, but also in towns, "thus quickly reversing the tide In key political, economic and military centres." The offfensive was not over, it added, but was gaining momentum. T' his is closely reminiscent of the Vietnamese Communist text. brxtk formula for the final victory of the revolution. The. Viet? nanhese Communists have !always claimed that they have evolved their own revolutionary road, to suit the conditions of their own country, and quite distinct from those of China and of Russia. In Russia, the revolution had begun in the cities and had spread to the countryside. in China, it began in the country and gradually engulfed the cities. The Vietnamese formula, how- ever, requires a period of armed strue l&' in the countryside and of political preparation in the cities, with the two finally merg- ing in a great explosion of nat:onwvide political and military struggle in tho cities as well as in the country. Struggle This Is the " General Uprising which is supposed to crown the revolutionary struggle-but it is noeworthy that while the C'hm?, uiunist reporting of the "events of the last few d;%?.w (its the formula of the General Uprising, the term itself is not being sed. This may be due to doctrinal differences in the Communist leadership which have isuaily attended major shifts in strategy. There was one such debate; centring on the concept of the ;general uprising, and particular ly on the 4uestion whether political or military struggle was primary, in 1964 On the question of an uprising in the cities, there were clear differences id the leadership more than a year ago, when one faction was pressing for armed urban struggles, while the other argued that the city population was not yet ready for it. Liberation Radio " broadeast-~ expiaincd at the time that the eontlitlons for "a direct revoicr tionary struggle In the cities arc not yet adequate," because there were still nothing like the mere,. sary number, of organised Viet cong groups. in the urban areas 2 Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 LONDON TD- 9 February 1968 (3) A- 0 C I S 11 (S- 0 ri d re a 1. 1 n H not shoot before she had time to FItoM DAVID BONAVIA speak, but by the seventh night she S,ue;oN. FEU, 8 was very depressed and feared she A British girl described today would never escape. how she sent last week hiding A Vietnamese who lived across the p g street slipped in and ollered to guide under a bed with a Vietnamese her to the American military com- faamiiy in Hud, as mortars and pound later. He went out again, rockets fell all around and the and the next thing they heard was Vietcong sniped at American heli- copters from the house next door. Miss Helen Bowen, aged 25, who is third secretary for infor- mation at the British Embassy in r Saigon, was visiting a Vietnam- ese family in the old northern imperial capital over the Tet (lunar new year) festival. In the small hours of January 31 " there was it terrific pandemonium of mortars, rockets, and everything else ", Miss Bowen said. "I was fast asleep, then gradually realized that this was a hit more than Tet firecrackers." Miss Bowen, whose parents live at Sherwood Park Road, Mitcham, Surrey, said the eldest girl of the family rushed into her bedroom and took her next door, where she ,hid under the bed until morning. The parents, 12 children, and three servants had taken refuge in the same .room. . " In the morning we crawled out .and ,,at around in the house with the ngisc continuing ??, she said. For the next sir clay:, they ate boiled rice, with marrows from the garden as the f"irhiing went on all around. They listened to the B.B.C. twice a day and Miss Bowen, who is fluent in Vietnamese, tran:vlated for the head of the f am:ily, a civil servant. At one point ,i North Vietnamese voice on the radio announced that Huc had been taken.' Sometimes shells fell so close that plaster fell from the ceilings. Every nix_ht the family returned to sleep under the beds. " When there was a lull we used to open the shutters and peep out. We knew there must be Vietcong just behind the house There was rifle fire at helicopters from the house next door." One night they heard the Vietcong pass- ing just behind the wall. Miss Bowen wanted to leave, but her host told her:." On no account must you go out, because if you are sear by the Vietcong they will shoot you and all of the. family." She passed the time in reading Svct. that he had been shot. Miss Bowen said the family 'she stayed. with were " absolutely fantastic ??, in their concern for her safety and insisted on giving bet the beat morsels of food, to her embar- rassment. She saw no sign of popular support for the attack. Last Monday they saw at last heavily armed United States Marines coming down the street. They pushed in the door and started to inspect the house. They were astonished to See Miss loweq, but moved on, leave ing her there. Soon afterwards,'hvo Marines returned and told her to leave at once, because they might have to call for an air strike on a concentration of 1,000 Vietcong just behind the house. The Marines had her and the family taken to a refugee centre where they spent the next night. The refugees were not hostile, and kept ollcring to let '? the American girl" share their mats on the floor. There were bodies in the refugee centre and fresh mounds whcre others had been buried. 'the next day the United States Navy put her on a landing craft to take her down the river to Da Nang. Before they left, a mortar shell fell near the landing craft and showered fragments on the deck, As they sailed down the river she could see the Vietcong flag still floating over the citadel of Hud. The battle is continuing. Pat Healey writes:- Before Miss Bowen went to Hut she wrote to her married elder sister, Janette, to say that she hoped to go but that the American intelligence services were predicting a Vietcong attack. " I may finish up being cap- tured by the Vietcong", she wrote. Her mother, Mrs. Caroline Bowen, said at her Mitcham home yesterday: " She did not really mean it when she wrote the letter, but it is signifi- cant considering how close she came to being captured." For five days Mr. and Mrs. Bowen, waited anxiously for news knowing their daughter was in i-luc and that the Foreign Office had no news of e on a three-year engagement, is her second overseas posting since entering the Diplomatic Service five years ago. and a Vietnaamese book called The to say.that their daughter had been Nivht iu?hich l?u.cfs a Lifetime. evacuated to Da Nang. " I asked She had her British passport and them what was the point of taking red diplomatic card with her--" the her to Da Nang when it was under thin ;~ t really clung to"-and fire too ", said Mrs. Bowen. "They believed she would have been raison- told me she would be flown to ably treated if North Vietnam Saigon." troops entered the house and did Approved For Release 2005/04/21 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400040004-1 > 1e bruary 1968 ? pp v or/as 20 5/04/ 1 : CIA-RDP78-03061AO00400040004-1 ~s Q _t 0 R Refugee Rolls WRbhtn;ton Post Fnrrt?n ficrvlc, i SAIGON. Feb. 4 The in. central relief committee tof Ambassador Robert W.tgoo area. jury to South Vietnam's p situation the Americans pr 1966, as "a remarkably ex-' would have ave no indigenous ally j, source1 allocated 1.- ;A.- to the promo-, doubkii the. Americans cot in by t.ic ittelYf 5`~ /Mr. Pike said he believed, (fairly quick victory because oft a measure of disagreement within the North Vietnamese; \\Communist party leadership., '* ++ l llso:e,? t at, some, younger members dis- atgrecd with the view of General) Ginp, Presidnt Ito Chi Minh( +?,o P- -i-i' r Phani Van I)ong that. Vietnam can be reunited by a stubborn, unrelenting war. Defense Minister Giap may have tried to speed up the war.' because of this "grumbling,"' WASHINGTON POST 2 February 1968 (12) I Wrote Book During Leave Mr. Pike, who is 4.3 yeas old, ,rot=e "The Vietcong: Tlui Organization and Techniques of the National Liberation Fronts of South Vietnam" while at the] Massachusetts Institute of Tech-I nolopy's Center for Internation.i al Studies in 1964 and 1965 oft a leave from the United States Information Agency. A native of Cass Lake, Minn., Mr. Pike was news editor of~ the Arm's Far East radio net- work . in' Tokyo before joining,, the information agency about eight years ago. Previously, he had been a reporter and radio Red Raids on Cities Are fwft a eakness, Not Strength WE A 1111 ALREADY en- gulfed in another spate of warnings that. all is hopeless In Vietnam, because of the attack on the U.S. Embassy and the other VC efforts in Saigon And other cities. In reality, however, this flurry or VC activities In urban centers will almost certainly prove to have just the opposite meaning in the end. Th