TENSION IN THE MIDDLE EAST

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP78-03061A000400020019-7
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RIPPUB
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S
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14
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November 11, 2016
Document Release Date: 
August 4, 1998
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19
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Publication Date: 
December 13, 1968
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REPORT
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Approved For Release 1999/08/24 :CIA-RDP78-03061A000400020019-7 25X1C10b Next 2 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 1999/08/24 :CIA-RDP78-03061A000400020019-7 TIME ~pYR ~1T 13 Dec~l~~"t1~d For Release 1999108/z4G~GIA-RD~'~A000400020019-7 THE GUERRILLA TI-TREAT I~! TI-,E MIDDLE EAST The revolution of Ftrtah exists! It exists here, !here and everywhere. It i.r a storm, a storrrl in every house mtd village. ~AITHFUI. and unfailing as the mu- czxin's c;ill from the minaret, that heady cry goes out nightly from a radio station in Cairo to the Arab lands. It is the "Voice of El Fatah," speaking for the Arab commando organization whose bands of raiders cross each night into hated Israel, bent on bringing death, de- struction and terror. To Arabs huddled in wind-chilligg refugee tents outside 1[11[X[[ S-[X[t[ .. f ~fC - ': T r. yq. i ~- ~ R- ..M h _.4R ~. r~ ' , ~~ ,rI ~~ y an ma 'c cat way in- land, plant a mine, ambush an Israeli pa- trol or throw a grenade, then scramble as best they can for home. The odds a ns clr ma ?Ing i ac ~, for many arc caught or killed by ef- ficient Israeli security forces. IIut the re- wards arc high, as posthumous com- pensations go. They are martyrs to all Arlb~. their photographs and talcs of and Amman. Under thc~rulcs of jihad, or holy war, proclaimed against Israel by Moslem Ieadcrs from 34 countries last October, ehose Arabs who fall in bat- tle are accorded the reverence of proph- ets and go straight to'paradisc. The Elements of Instobility a rs c cr re aeons wrt t c ra s most of whom regard America as sim ply the backer and ally of Israel. I this situation, Washington can do littl balance of arms among the antagonists hlcanwhilc, the Soviet tTnion, more in flucntial in the Arab wor1J than ever be cause of its arms shipments, has stake its own claim to the use of the Mcd a an or t s expan ulg navy, s iarp- Iy increasing the danger of a direct U.S.-Russian confrontation on the high seas should a new Middle L"?ast war break out. For more than hvclve months, Unit- ed Nations Special Representative Gun- nar Jarring has patiently sought grounds ,f..,~.~~~~` The Fatah is one of several similar t ~ clandestine organizations. While no one f ,~'~ can be Slli'C nF the eY 9rt nn mhrrc in_ t .n_ ~ ,`^. skilled in the arts of the commando and ~: i'~ ~`~i,;a.~; ~~ ."''`? another, who play a large part in keeping area in the world. Israel, dcspitc its over- .-,, __. - - - - peace with its encircling Arab neighbors ~,,,,,,.,.,_~;;,,;~,r still beyond reach. The Arab countries, _ j their armies and air forces rebuilding ..__.....~- , y ~ with major Soviet aid and advice, rc- '"~-4r- Amman, sipping thick coffee in the draw- ing rooms of Damascus, or lounging in the common rooms of t}IC American University of IIcinlt, the Voice brings welcome-if often inaccurate-news. The fight against Israel continues, it as- serts, dcspitc the Arabs' humiliating dc- fcat in last year's war. Each ~ night new Ar:~l~ heroes arc born, fresh revenge is meted out to Israel, a portion of Arab pride is restored. Amid the breathless bulletins and the florid rhetoric of prop- aganda, there arc the underground's cus- tomary coda} messages: "M.H.: the bird is back in Lhe cage"; "Attention Green Lion: the gift has hcen received." On Fatah's signal, a band of Arabs sets out across the Jordan River on rafts made from tractor tires, carrying their Russian-made Kalashnikov assault rifles in waterproof inner tubes. In the i ~~ w :`G~.r and the largest of them. To the Is ~' ;..~?'?`'~?--- ~ ~ .? = i~ raclis, the raiders arc terrorists and thugs, `, '"~'-~s``~` ~?G11.~? -inept and indiscriminate inrtheir mis- pp, ~~~'~`: ;i ' steer Tn the Ar~}.c eh,.., ., a f~.,..A.,.,, ail a'' "^-~ t7 / eliminating Israel. The more responsible 14 '` Arab Icadecs, including Egypt's Gamal _ Abdcl Nasser and Jordan's King Hus- ~~', L,,, ? i~ % ~~ ? _ ~ ~~ sein, know 'that any early attack on Is- "` ----~ ?? _~~'+ ??.~. ~f~~l~ vu,y [[suu rn anomer re- ~t. ,, .~ . ,,,. sounding defeat. But in a measure they .. ~,(~y~ arc prisoners of their Arab masses, long -- ....? fw,,a%yy fed on the oratory of hate and revenge and embittered by the 2ti,000 sq. mi, EL FATAH POSTER PROCLAIMS: "THIS IS THE of Arab territory-taken from Jordan, WAY TO LIBERATION OF MY I1OMELAND. Syria and Egypt-now occupied by the AND 50, MY BROTHERS, I'LL FIGHT ON." Israelis. for agreement, and at Icast succccclcd Despite their common adversity, the in becoming an iritcrmediary whom both Arabs arc as quarrelsome and mistrustful sides trust and through wh~>m they have of one another as ever. Iraq, for ex- begun, in a fashion, to talk to each ample, has sent troops to bolster shat- other. In the biucr history of Arab-Is- tered Jordan's defenses against Israel, raeli relations, that is no ,Wean accom- and King Hussein worries about the plishmcnt. Though his mandate was due Iraqis in his midst almost as much as he to expire this month, both sides want dots about Israel. The U.S. is tom- him to stay on the job. One of the rca- mitted to peace in the arcs aAd to Israel's sons is that 1sr:lcl's stunning victory in right to exist; but also vitally needs to es- the Six-Day War introduced at !cast a Approved For Release 1999/08/24 :CIA-RDP78-0~061A000400020019-7 small clement of reality into the :~Iid- dle East impasse. Before the 1967 war, t~4~~-ro?~+~1~~sie~~9g9/08/24 mate clear y not negotra a at a con- ference table between the Israelis and the Arabs. But the matter of recovering the occupied territories is' negotiabtc- thcoreticaily. In the discussions with Jar- : ..~`?vt ""C'_`"4""'~ ., l.4.~ y-;.,+.t^.'c~: JERUSALEM MARKETPLACE BOMBED BY EL FATAH Outlet for defeat and disillusionment. ring, the Israelis so fair refuse to give up any of the occupied territories with- out guarantees of progress toward a full Middle East scttlcmcnt. The Arabs in turn so far refuse to talk about a sct- tlcmcnt until the Israelis return the Arab lands. At times last week it seemed that the area's fourth war in two decades was al- ready in progress. Israeli and Jordanian artillery opened up on two successive days. Far the firti~ time, Israelis also hit at the 15,000 Iraqi troops stationed in Jordan, who recently started firing their long-range, 122-mm. Russian heavy guns into Israel. Israeli jets dashed across the cease-fire lints three times to bomb the area around the Jord^nian town of Irbid and hammer at the artillery po- sitions of the 421st Iraqi battalion. Dccp inside Jordan, Israeli commandos hlew up two vital hridgcs connecting Am- man and the port of Aqaba (see Harp}. In the past, the United Nations has merely cp ore vro ahons o e race and urg~eid alla~pa~ryti~.es to get on with ~n,,er,~- ,i c T~.~~c~rc4~Fitie~t~~~4r4~20 concern that the fighting might get out of hand. Russia publicly urged a polit- ical scttlcmcnt, declaring far the first time that it would not "permit" a re- sumption of war-whatever that meant. Washington registered its anxiety by call- ing in the Israeli and Jordanian am- bassadors. They were warned against the dangers of continuing to violate the tattered cease-fire agreement that ended the Six-Day War. It is in this tense milieu that the Arabs' "men of sacrifice" operate, in a defiant effort to exploit its instabilities io their own ends. The fcdaycen, who owe no fealty to any government, are rc- sponsible only to themselves, and vices any scttlcmcnt as a betrayal and a di- saster. They possess the power to sting Is- rael into repeated reprrsals, and per- haps to whip Arab popular opinion to such a pitch that not even Nasser with all his prestige might dart a scttlcmcnt with Israel: In Jordan, their primary stag- ing area, they constitute virtually a statc- within-a-state and could probably topple King Hussein and take over his splin- tercd kingdom if they chose. And their power and inttuencc arc increasing all the time. The Palestinian Diaspora The primary sources of fcdaycen strength are the Palestinian rcfugccs, now 1,500,000 strong, who for 20 years have been a scattered and forlorn pco- plc, possessing neither a country nar any say in the harsh events profoundly atTccting them. Dispossessed of their homes, lands and sense of nationhood when Jsrael was founded in 1948, they dispersed throughout the >ttiddlc East, They endured the scorn of their host populations toward outsiders, although the most skilled and educated came to dominate many areas of Arab intel- lectual and commercial life. Those that did not assimilate settled in crowded camps, mostly in Jordan and the Gaza Strip, where they lived a miserable, sub- sistcnce life, fed by the United Nations Relief and Works Agency. For 20 years they have been pawns in Arab politics, naurishcd on promises of a return to Palestine and a pas- sionate hatred of Israel. Today the camps house 540,000, including 350,000 new rcfugccs who fled the occupied territories after the June War. The camps seethe with frustration and anger, and provide a rieh? source of Fecruits for fcdaycen. Says the mother of one dead com- mando: "I am proud that he did not die in this camp. The foreign press comes here and takes our pictures stand- ing in food queues, and they publish them and say `Look at this nation of beg- gars.' This is no life. I am proud to 19-7CPYRGHT Approved For Release 1999/08/24 :CIA-RDP78-03061A000400020Q19-7 ,end my second son to replace the first, "' App ~~dr~?i~~ele~l~-Fs~99y9~8124 : CIA ~~.=Q.3061,.i~~Q'0,~~1 year-old boy for the day when he can ~t j,, y.. - - ~= 4-- ~ ' ~ e. `.~ vl With the fanaticism and desperation `~~ ~ s ~ s ~ v ". ~ ~ , t,,;;, scus 1 of h h hi men w o ave not ng to lose, the r ;.,,J,~,~, F t7cs,,; i..;~. ' 1lF,7GJlTS fedayeen.havc taken the destiny of the -, q Palestinians into their own hands. Peace ' ~,L[I Qu?~;tr, in the area would hurt their cause by re- _~ , ~ ?, ,. ..._ ...o ..... ....t,t,.,.. v ..,,.w. ri+uv~. (;'-,...?.~ o/lragiyunt hey have no brotherly concern for ~~ the ambitions of Nasser-and certainly ~ ? -' '? r~~y;,,,,?:, ~f'~ ?~ ~rbl~ of for, as one fcdayecn communique ::..,. ~;:.~a,,:;;- - ~ ~~, \ uts it, the "slave trafpickers in the ~~~ t?+~ =~??~%~= i, f~ ~; ' ~, .N. lobbies" and their efforts to act _ _ _ '' ( t 'f~? ,.f~a~~ . , in the attermath of the Arab defeat, ~ ~ `{n?aa'/~ yr~~e;%~~~C'n,man the fcdayecn are today the only enes car. . ~,_~:. [. ~ s~ ,[ scntmcnt of Israel and give an awak- r,.,,,t ~ `,U 1 ..~~~u ~a uac vt o we w a w tc ac- ~~' . t N ~ ? ~~ customcd to decades of defeat, dish- ' - ,.~' ~ ,; y .o? ess, the Arabs have come to idolize ~,~ ,5 ;i~g o~ ;i~ Mohammed ("Yasscr") Arafat, a leader Jodr:~.~_v p; N pf EI Fatah fcdayecn who has emerged EI Arish ;, , ~r .~' ~ = ~~ +:,orv up ctcrmined Palestinian, he is enthusi- :-` ~ tpp~~ Ltidros actir~lly nnrtrovn.l h.. rh.. ~.7...i.:.,.. A~..1. ~90mi. to 1. // atcd-and fcarccl-foe. SINAI , It was the Israeli victory last year PENINSULA that, as one fcdayecn commander puts it, "handed us the Arab pcople~on a gold- ,,.-~\; w sign up as ccrrons[s. uoctors aban- """'+'"~_ oncd their practices in Beirut` and Cairo ~ ~ , lioJ o come to Jordan to attend wounded cdayccn. Arab businessmen ofTcred sup- c~z5"??"'?? r' s~i~~r tics and purchased weapons, and the ~ t ~ i A, T` t~'Sc .~~t ~! audi and Kuwait governments began ~ ' F~ ^ i ~r.,, r;. ~,tid Sc. ivcrting to fcdayecn coffers funds usu- TIME Mapb~2.7AChuBin,1.. ;. ~ ~. - lly contributed to Jordan's budget. In- ividual contributions by the thousands poured in from Arabs throughout the Middle East and those abroad; the wife f Saudi Arabia's King Fcisal sent X4,500. In the coflec bars of Beirut, Dung Arabs peddle EI Fatah stamps, o he used like Christmas seals, bearing picture of :t burned child and the orcts "Shalom and Napalm"-a rcf- rence to the use of napalm by Israelis n last August's reprisal raid on the Jor- anian town of Salt. Other stamps show guerrilla fighter, a momiment to mar- yrs or Jcnrsalcm, with the slogan: "Pal- . stinian Resistance." The money raised, f course, goes to buy bullets. Contributing to the fcdayecn mystique s their shadowy organization, which omehow manages to appear to be ev- rywhere in the Arab countries. At the the fcdayecn." Customs formalities arc cut short, and the supplies arc whisked away. The goods may be headed for any one of more than 50 bases main- tained by the fcdayecn in the Jorda- nian mountains cast of Wadi Araba, the desert valley that stretches from the Dcad Sca to the Gulf of Aqaba. No one knows how many Arab com- mandos roam about in that desolate stretch, from which raiders set out night- ly, but estimates range upward from 10,000. Besides their base camps, tl~cre are other installations as well, The fcda- yecn maintain at least a dozen under- ground field hospitals and supply de- pots, as well as training camps for n.slr- bals, or tiger cubs-refugee children who arc taught the art of guerrilla war beginning at age eight. ` -7 irport of Amman, dark-suited youths Ambassador Extraordinary idle up to customs ofTicers as crates irked "Palestine Nation, Amman" or The fcdayecn are most secretive of Freedom Fighters against Israei, Am- 'ail about their high command, though- an'?' arc unloaded, and whisper, "For? the largest organization, Arafat's EI Fa- tah, is said to be rule Approved .For Release 1999/08/24 :CIA-RDP78-03061A000400020019-7 CPYRGHT Approved For Release 1999/08/24 :CIA-RDP78-0306'~A0004bb0~ JORDANIAN BRIDGE DESTROYED BY ISRAELIS Response in fradifiona! fashion. of wealthy civilians in Damascus. Nor dots anyone really know very much ? about Yasscr Arafat, though everyone in the Arab world knows who he is. As E(Fatah grew and felt the need (or a visi- ble spokesman, he became its ambas- sador extraordinary to the Arab world, its chief fund raiser and its field com- mander in Jordan. Arafat (his code name is Abu Amm:tr) sits at a wooden desk in his headquarters in Amman, dealing with a procession of couric~s like a gen- eral on a field of battle, which in a sense he is. When a guerrilla comes in to report a successful raid, Arafat's eyes, bulging almost to the panes of the dark glasses he wears day and night, dance with delight. He speaks softly and turns aside all questions about himself: "Please, no personality cult. I am only a soldier. Our leader is Palcstinc. Our. road is the road of death and sacrifice to win back our homeland. If we can- not do it, our children will, and if they cannot do it, their children will." Arifat's career in a way mirrors the history and thrust of the fcdayccn. E?orn in Icrusalem, he spent his tarty child- hood in a house within a stone's throw of the Wailing Wall, The area today is marked by the Israelis for bulldozing. Of that prospect, Arafat says bitterly: "We will sec that our homes arc re- built." Descended from Palestinian no- bility, Arafat learned early what dis- possession meant. According to one story widely told in the l~fiddle East, his fam- ily has been disinherited of enormous wealth for 150 years through a legal tan- gle that deprived it of land ones owned in downtown Cairo. Arafat's father spent a lifetime trying to reclaim the land in the Egyptian courts but was overruled first by King Farouk and then Nasser. There are those who suspect that that may be one factor in Arafat's occa- sional lack of enthusiasm for Egypt's ruler. A teen-age gunrunner in the 1948 war with Israel, Arafat afterward en- rolled at Fuad I (now Cairo} University, whcrc he majored in civil enginecring- and in Palestinian nationalism as presi- dent of the Palcstinc Student Federation. After graduating, he worked in Kuwait, editing an ultranationalist magazine on the side. In 1955, he appeared in Cairo attending officers' school, whcrc he spe- cialized in explosives. He graduated as a lieutenant just in time to share in an- other Arab defeat, at Sucz a year later. That debacle only confirmed Arafat's conviction that the Arabs could never dc- fcat the Israelis with conventional ar- mies. Throughout .the 1950x, he had organized "cells" among Palestinian stu- dents abroad and studied the techniques of Algerian guerrillas. At that time, Nas- ser had ? organized forerunners of to- day's fcdayccn among Palestinians in the Gaza Strip, and used them to stir up the bottler, a role they took on with sutlicicnt enthusiasm to help bring about istte!'s decision to launch the 19SG w?ar. After Sucz, EI F:ttah" was founded. as a strictly Palestinian force outside Nas- ser's reach. ~ The name is an acronym derived frvm the Arabic words Ilarukat al Tahrir al-Fnlrrstin, or Movement for the Liberation of 1'alc,tinc. Its initials, Il.T.F., form the Arabic word fot death. They arc ingeniously reversible 10 F.T.fI., pronounced "faht," meaning conquest -;:_ace EI Fatah ot, as it is Icss commonly spelled, El Fatah. 0019-7 Approved For Release 1999/08/24 :CIA-RDP78-03061A0004000~0019-7 Ap Not until 19b4 was El ]=atai~ rt:, pp'~1/itE~idt'iF.SOraR,ed.BsatS~?n~~A9~Q~31~24:CIA-RDP7Ep~91A000400020048-7. ' pcrimental era," recalls Arafat, when El Fatah staged only one raid a wcck, . testing out attack techniques, taking notes on Israeli defenses and rcactinn __ times, and filing away the information to be used in future battle plans. "We were also experimenting with public opinion all through this period," Ara- fat's top aide told TtMt: Correspondent Edward Hughes last wcck. According to the' dictum of Mao Tse-tung, guer- rilla fighters must be able to live among a friendly population tike fish in water. But El Fatah at that time "had no au- dicncc. Without the people to listen to us, we had no sea to swim in-the fish had no oxygen." 7ho Expansion of the Wor After last year's war, EI Fatah found itself not only swimming in popular sup- port but also possessed of a sudden be- quest of weapons left by the retreating Arab armies. The battlefields were lit- fcrcd with arms, and for two weeks, El Fatah teams took camels into the Sinai desert to collect machine guns, rifles, gre- nades and b;,zookas before the Israeli salvage squads. Four heavy trucks were found in Golan, along with two tons of ammunition and weapons. A Bedouin of- fercd to sell 150 Kalashnikov rifles for $140. EI Fatah gave him twice as much. Another Bedouin found a Syrian hel- icopter and built a tent to hide it for the EI Fatah men. But when they arrived, tlicy h:,d no helicopter pilot along, so the craft was clestroycd. A cache of eight tons of T'NT, too heavy to carry away, was buried in the Sinai: "We don't have to carry explosives into that area. It's there waiting for us," Araf:-t says. By August 1967, El Fatah was ready to try to launch an underground revolt among the Arabs on the now occupied West Bank. Hundreds of guerrillas trekked across the Jordan River, only to be rounded 'up by Israeli. forces. To head off any future attempts, the Is- raelis blew up the homes of any Pal- estinians who cooperated with Arafat's men. El Fatah's next phase was a cam- paign that sent smaller groups to hide in caves or live with sympathetic Ar- ahs, and venture out at night to set mines or time bombs. Israel hit back at their riverside guerrilla camps, forcing El Fatah to move its bases farther in- ' land. Despite these setbacks, the feda- yccn have bccn able to step up their operations to as many as two dozen a day. Though EI Fatah hotly rejects be- ing called terroristic, it has also turned increasingly to attacking lsracl's civilian population. The methods are brutal and indiscrinunate, random terrorism fot ter- rorism's sake without any military value x ? ~,. .~ .t FEDAYEEN GIRL PRACTICES RIFLERY Breaking the chains. -a bomb in a crowded cinema, a grc- nadc thrown in a schoolyard, a mint planted for anyone who comes along. Last wcck a 17-year-old Los Angcics girl, Sari Roberta, who had gone to Is- rael to serve as a volunteer worker, lost her right leg when she stepped on a mint. By laying down a strict policy of stay- ing out of Arab politics on the ground that, as Arafat says, "one enemy at a titnc is enough," EI Fatali has so far bccn able to operate independently in the host Arab countries-cl~ic(ly Jordan. Disputes with rival fedayecn organiza- tions arc another matter, and on one oc- casion two groups of raiders almost shot it out, each thinking the other was Israeli. Last month, the fcdayeen set up a council to coordinate raids between El Fatah and its two chief rivals, the Pal- estine Liberation Force and the Pop- ular Front for the Liberation of Pal- estine, or P.F.L.P. (incvitahly pronounced "flop" by Westerners on the scent), a mil- itantly leftist mcrgci? of several splinter organizations on the scene. Training for Torror From the refugee camps, and from universities that arc often staffed with zealous Palestinian professors, come a steady stream of several hundred re- cruits amonth-morc,.in fact, than El Fatah can handle. It accepts Palestinians for the most part, and only those who pass rigorous medical tests and an ex- amination by a team of psychiatrists. A recruit must also pass a final, brutal test of fortitude. He is handed a large Approved For Release 1999/08/24 :CIA-RDP78-03061A000400020019-7 box containing; the hotly of a newly ' l~#lp~rao~r~cUIR~~~~I~at~~1~F9^,~9/08/24 :CIA-RDP78-030,6004000200 the land seeps out, he rs told, "(ns+uc it and carry it around the h}ack and ~ ^- + ~? Oring it back here." The recruit is not in- ~' _ ~l ... ? "= _ ?-~ ? ''^" '1 `"`' ? ? clined to ask questions. If he vomits or faints on the spot, he is gently steered to an easier job as a courier, or told to ga home and simply spy on his neigh- bors. If he passes, he is sent to one of doz- cns of different training camps in 7or= dan, Syria, Lebanon and Iraq. Outside Amman, children, aged eight to twelve, from the 13nr1'aa refugee camp, arc trained in commando techniques. They arc given rigorous calisthenics and obstacle-course training, taught to han- dle rifles and machine guns, and in- structcd whcrc the larynx, heart, liver -and intestines are located, the better to thrust a dagger in the right place. Daugh- tcrs of dead fcdayccn arc scot to schools .run by the "Martyr Family Welfare Ser- 'vice," whcrc they arc taught to chant: "i have broken my chains. I am the daugtltef of ratans we arc au ~~~~~-_ ,;?,.. ?- :. ,, .. mandos;' Refugee women arc" trained ;~.~...... y---- - in first aid and in handling weapons. ASHBAt (7iGER CUB) Ai A7iENTION In EI Fatah's headquarters buildings Learning the art at eight. in Amman, a hectic bustle reflects the K h ' growth of the movement. Switchboard operators bellow into makeshift World War I[ British field telephones, trying. to make contact with branch ofliccs in' Salt or Irbid. Most communicatian is still by handwritten letter, carried by ct>uricrs on bicycles, in Jeeps or on fact. When a dusty Arab arrives with a~ tightly wadded piece of paper, Arafat scribbles an answer in the margin, then send>s the courier ofI again. Agents ar- riving in little black Volkswagens dash up for conferences. A white" :+mbulance -pulls up bearing the insignia of the Rcd Crescent, the >Vioslcm cyuivalent of the Rcd Cross. When a cargo of grcan filing cabinets was llnlaadcil last week, a ? guerrilla with a .45 stuck in his belt smiled: "Our acco+jntin(; dc- partrnertt h:+s arrived." 7"tresc days L'1 Fatah hardly has time to fight as it copes with the avalanche of aid. Stacks of bandag.:s, food and am- munition arc pilccl everywhere. Somc- 'times the arriving shipments include beer. It is not drunk; the fcdayccn sell it and use the money to purchase arms. Some of the fcdayccn weapons arcacc ?.cttlemcnt vas cotirely invisible to Israelis and for-I Thus for -alt the Israelis' contempt might bccomc impossible ;~r,J a new it;n dignitaries watching rho parade. fifer the raiders, there is evidence that war likely. To avoid such a showdown, Vhcn a $1,000,000 fire damaged Tcl''thcy arc worried. Recent) Israel closed Washington may be forced to ;cconsidcr viv's I. `dda Air ors in October, EI Y, y P the Allenby Bridge over the Jordan Riv- ~ its o(licial policy of leaving the Israelis ~atah promptly took credit for setting cr to truck tratffc, reversing its own pol-;and Arabs to settle their own atfnirs t. Tho Israelis Insist that the blaze was icy of keeping conncciions between for-?and join with the Russians in an at- taricd accidentally by a welder's torch. dan and the Wcst Bank open. Now -tempt to impose a peace scttlentent. Approved For Release 1999/08/24 :CIA-RDP78-03061A000400020019-7 "I'hc Administration already feels th:,t Is- ton on :t tour of ihc ~Iidclle East to ?l's die?u si s of ar?ous 1?cne tar sra? sot?nd osit? ~t ~ ~ t s~c , ~ ~ " ` ~~-ri~~~~~ei~~~o8i~,~~k ~~-I~~~~=~>3~~~ ~~lf~4go Ara'~~~a~~~.~ bring on irresistiblc popular dcntand+ sor war, Israel has rcacred angrily to U.S. pressures to return most of the oc- ?atpicd territories. Any adeiition:tl ;tt- tempt to impose a settlen~tcnt svoul post several risks for President-elect Nixon--who last week sent zorrrter Pennsylvania Govcrnor_William _Scran- blunder, rcinforcin~ Arch claims tlrtt Is- rac;l is bent on exlsansian and liilciy to ish community anal ether pro-Israeli, sympathircrs. Yet, asks 11'ashington, what is the alternatiyc to taking a Strang, diplomatic hand? 1t could be for the United States to find itself trapped in the ring with the equally reluctant Ftrs- sians, should the Arabs and Israelis square off far another round of fu11- scale war. 020019-7 1.3 January 169 CPY ~ddBe East: ?~'ha~ I~ ~h~ ~~~~~- Th~~t I~ ~n etnhassics and foreign tninistrics arauud the world last week, diplomats s yoke soberly of the danger of war in the Middle Last. In so doing, they were closing their eyes to an overriding fack: tltcrc uh?cady is a tvar in the :~Iidd]c I?ast. And it is a war in which, for the first tirnc in their twenty-year struggle with ]sracl, flee Arabs arc scoring some notable successes. Al tin: moment, of course, ihc violence in the diddle L:isl is small bc?cr com- pared with that ragint; in ~'ictn:nn :uul ;`igeria, lint it is serious enough. Last week alone, sis israclis were killed by ~a?:ch rockets, shells and mines (map, page 3J)-and jest how many Aralts dice at Israeli hands may ucvcr be known. h'rom Israeli helicopters hovering near tlrc Jordani:ut city' of Aloha, front Arah bazookas rcroccl in e n F: ing Solonxn is :~Iincs, front artillery chrg in uu both sides of rho Jord;ut Itivct?, and from Flnssiutr rocket launchers high np in the craggy Leboncsc nunmt:tius, dc?atlt arul dcstS?uc- t:'on pourcil forth. "11'c stay borne at nit;hl more than we used to," one nervous Jrru- s.tlem housewife :ulmittr^ci. "11'e listen to the radio eyerY hour to find out where they ]lave struck this- time-:uul yrherc we have hit back at t I u?nt." isracl's most dramatic ri- postc against the Aralts, of c?om:ac, occ?urrcd two weeks -ago at Iirinrt Tutct?national Airport. That raid, am of the moll d:u?ing and precise iu the hislor}~ of :tit ;u?m}? that specializes i:t d:u?ing :nut precision- came off mili- t,u?ily like ;ut cacehlicmally clean piece of surgery. Shortly aftcn? .) p.nt., four hcli- copters with the Star c>f David am their sides knifed in fratn the ~Icditcrr:uu?:rte :ate touched down at Iirirut airport. 1.1'itltin minutes, Israeli anmuandos ra-tncd ~yith Uii submachine guns ;uul satnc~h of dynamite were nta ices of the field. 11y the tune the Israelis headed Pr?cssed the dismay of tl~r. LT,S. "\Ve for home ~k5 minutes later, half of L~ba_ thatk it is a grays matter,' he said, "for non's commercial air fleet lay in ruins- regular forces of the goyerntucnt of Is- yet not a single At?ab or Israeli had lost racl to attack a civil international airport his life. in a conniry which has been striving to- " The 13cirut strike, as the Israelis end- lessly emphasized, was in retaliation for ward nuxlcratiou in the \Iiddlr I;axt. the machine-gunning of an ~l Al jetliner. sttonsr in the t?Wiled Nations, A1'ith the. ut Athens airport by Arah terrorists-:ut strongly worded approval of U,S. dclr- attac?k in which one Israeli civilian was gate J. Russell \1'iggins, the ~t?;\. Scru_ killed and another injured. The decision city Council un;minxntsly c?eaulenuu'd the to launch the retaliatory athrck was made raid on lieirnt airport, said that it ryas at a night session of the Israeli Cabinet, up to lsract to c?ompcnsatc Lebanon fcn? There was sonic opposition to the idea its fiuanei:tl losses (whicL amounted to from a i:c;tv'ntiuisters, including, accordirt~; more than w?f0 million) :tad svarncd that to Must accounts, Foreign \finistcr Abby the Council might consider imposing Eban, the percunial dove in the Israeli sanctions against Jrrus:drnt if? the Israelis li i l po t ca aviary. In ihc end, however, a maja?ity of the Cabinet approved the raid-with the stipulations that only Lcba- nose aircraft were to be attacked :end that every cllort be Waldo to avoid cas- ualties on both sides. The Cabinet re- portedly did not specify the number of planes the raiders were to destroy and, in point of fact, the commandos appar. eutly had no idea how many aircraft they would find when they ;u?riyrd al licirut? ',millions of Jews were beta}; murdered." As things turned ant, the}, ; r1s fur the Sccnrity (;ouncil resolution, it fomul and destro}?cd thirteen `ntcrely added to ihc contempt with more than world opinion. con- diiioncd to the Iiihlical princi- ple of an eye for an cyc, could :u?c?cpt. "Sc;uul:dous in- tcrnational banditry," trunt- pclcd Moscow. "An esa,~,c;er- atcd act of violence," itrtune?d breach President C;hark?s dc? Gaulle. prom Rome, Pupc Paul E'I sent a nmssugr to Leh:utesc Presidc?nt (:h:n?]es Iielwt deploring tiro ait:tc?k. :1nc1 in 11?asltinglon, Presiden- tial aide \\''a1l Rostou? ex- struck ag;tin. Prcdic?tabl}?, the Israelis n?rrr furious at the world rrac?tinn. }k?ligions Alf:tirs \fin- istrr 7.cralt \V:trhaftig, speal.in}; at a nu?- morial scrvic?c? fur victims of Nazism, lasla?d out angrily :rt the I'o~m for fnilini; to balance his criticism u( Israel with criticism of :1ral> terrorism. "`1'hc Pope's " voice, said 11';u?haftig, "svgs silent when Jews were att:tckcd-just as his prcdre?es- which nutst Israelis now reg.u?cl the iLl\'. (bus ). I;yrri Israelis who wc?rc privately willing to conccdr_: tint tltc? lic?irnt raid might have. been a case. of "ovrrkill'? thought that the tvarl