OFFICE OF RESEARCH AND REPORTS MONTHLY REPORTS DECEMBER 1952
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Document Page Count:
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OFFICE OF RESEARCH AND REPORTS
MONTHLY REPORTS
DECEBFR 1952
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13 January 1953
MONTHLY REPORT FOR JANUARY, 1953
During the first two weeks of December a substantial portion of D/A's
resources were devoted to producing the ORR contribution to NIB-65. This con-
tribution was forwarded to ONE on 16 December. During the two pay periods
prior to 21 December, D/A worked 418 hours of overtime, Drimarily to meet the %/
deadline on the contribution to NIE-65. The authors of the report and the
stenographic help deserve a "well done" for this strenuous effort.
Consultation wit has 25X1A9a
helped to "firm up" the various indexes produced in the ORR contribution to
NIE-65. Furthermore, the revisions to the contribution, which are scheduled
for completion early in January 1953, have materially benefited from the advice
of academic-consultants. D/A has proposed that the ORR contribution 25X1A5a1
to NIE-65 subsequently be published in two parts as RR. reports. This decision
has been approved by the AD/RR.
A preliminary draft of ORR Project 110-51 was cut on stencils, and was
subsequently submitted to the EIC Secretariat for duplication. It is planned to
submit this draft to the EIC Working Group early in January at which time the
ORit representative will suggest that appropriate action he taken to satisfy the
NSC request which prompted this Ludy.
25X1A5a1
D/A representatives, primarily consultant met with ONE
to produce a draft of NIE-59. The Board of National Estimates began work on
the staff draft in the latter part of December.
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A third project which occupied D/A during December was the Supplement to
NIE-64 (Part I), extending the original estimate through _nid-1954? Frequent
consultation with ONE and IAC representatives was necessary during December.
The estimate was published early in January 1953.
The Acting Chief, D/A, moved during December to 1315 M building. The 25X1A9a
Economic Accounts Branch plus our logistician, moved to 2106 M. 25X1A9a
Six members of the division,
attended the meetings of the American Economics Association, Chicago, Illinois,
December 27 - 29. the ORR recruiter, was quite active 25X1A9a
and approximately twelve promising young economists were interviewed. 25X1A9a
submitted contributions to the Task Force
Five Project on China on 15 December. of the Office of the
25X1A9a
Director of Research has indicated that he will require substantial partici-
pation from D/A in drafting the Task Force report
25X1A9a
which is due in January 1953?
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Accomplishments
1. The major part of the branch's work was given to the three branch
projects: Soviet Bloc National Accounts, Methods of Financial Planning and the
Soviet Fifth Year Plan.
2. Preliminary dollar estimates of Soviet Bloc GNP.
3. Checking East-West trade data for ORR contribution to NIE-65.
4. _ attended meetings of the AEA in Chicago, Illinois.
Plans
1. Continuation of research on branch projects.
2. Contribution to proposed revision of MP-35.
3. Revision of CIA/RR 22/51.
Personnel
1. Unchanged
Problems
1. Enormous drain of time involved in coordinating Project 21/51 over
which D/S claims jurisdiction.
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Accomplishments
1. During December the Capabilities Branch made preliminary reports on its
two major empirical investigations during 1952. The responsibilities of the
division for Project 110-51 were discharged when EIC R-2 was issued in working
paper form. The branch also issued a preliminary contribution to NIE-65.
2. The activities of the branch were mainly connected with these two
projects. Following up the 1952 Inter-industry report, the Inter-Industry
Staff, composed of a member from each division and chaired by Chief, D/A, met
and drafted general terms of reference for the 1953 Inter-Industry Research 25X1A9a
Project 0.6. Following a visit by to
25X1A5a1
work has begun on refining the NIE-65 contribution. Preliminary work on the
NIE-65 consistency check was begun. attended the meetings of the 25X1A9a
American Statistical Association in Chicago.
Plans
1. The immediate plans for the branch are to revise portions of NIE-65 in
the light of various criticisms and issue revised parts of the original ORR
contributions in the CIA/RR series. Work is expected to begin on the NIE-65
consistency check soon, despite the somewhat clouded situation resulting from
inadequate military contributions. The Inter-Industry Staff will begin function-
ing by circulating staff notes for review and criticism, with a view toward
developing the specific terms of reference for the 1953 Inter-Industry Research
Project.
Personnel 25X1A9a 25X1A9a 25X1A9a
1. at present has three helpers: on NIE-65;
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(officially assigned to Accounts Branch) working on the Inter-Industry staff,
input-output methodology, and the NIE-65 consistency check; and
working on the Inter-Industry staff, the NIE-65 consistency check, and sane
special statistical and theoretical problems of concern to D/Z.
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ECONOMIC ACCOUNTS BRANCH
Accomplishments
1. Approximately 500 cards were added to the Estimates File. The file
now contains about 13,000 cards bearing from 27,000 to 32,000 quantitative
intelligence estimates. An additional 900 cards bearing approximately 5,000
estimates were typed by the unclassified typing pool. These will be processed
into the file in the next few days.
2. A file was established to contain data on Finland
3. The form of the DCI's Blackboard was changed to permit tabular
presentation of data. The scope of the blackbook has been enlarged to include
many new items and
blackbook
4-1
Capabilities
assisting ?
NIE-65. ^
NIE-65. lie
to contain comparable US data where possible. The revised
turned over to D/R.
25X1A9a
has devoted his time during December to work on the EIC
25X1A9a
devoted most of her time during the month to
and to working on the Capabilities Branch contribution to 25X1A9a
Report.
devoted most of his time during the month to work on
also assisted D/Z with statistical problems.
5. Approximately twelve analysts from ORR have consulted the Estimates
File during December.
25X1A9a
1. During the month of January the branch will continue to process intelli-
gence estimates into the Estimates File and to prepare statistical tabulations
for the Handbook.
Personnel
25X1A9a 1.
on duty in the branch during December were:
will join the branch on
25X1A9a
5 January 1952.
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Problems
1. The fact that two typists slots and a statistical clerks slot remain
unfilled continues to limit branch effectiveness.
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Accomplishments
1. The USSR section and the European Satellites section completed con-
tributions to NIE-65 on the regional distribution of Soviet industry and the
pattern of intra-Bloc trade, respectively, on 12 December.
2. The China section completed its contribution to the Task Force V
project on the economy of China. It covered four topics:
a. Economic Planning
b. The Budget
c. The Banking System
d. National Income
3. Members of the branch participated in meetings concerned with initiating
office-wide projects 0.2, the Economy of East Germany, and 0.L, Regional
Distribution of Economy Activity in the Soviet Bloc.
b. Members of the branch attended the annual meetings of the American
Economic Association, the American Statistical Society, and associated societies
in Chicago December 27 - 29 25X1A9a
25X1A9a 5.
attended the annual meetings of the American Philosophical
Association (Eastern Division) in New York City, December 29 - 31.
6. Research continued on the process of price formation in East Germanrnf.
Plans
1. The branch will resume work on the Handbook of Economic Estimates,
interrupted by preparation of NIE-65.
25X1A9a 2. M will continue research on planning and )rice formation in
East Germany.
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3. The China section will participate in the final report for the Task
Force V project.
4. The China section will participate in developing terms of reference
for China Project 0.3 and in initiating the project.
Problems
1. The branch hopes to end the Handbook's position of subordination to
other projects and to make substantial progress on a draft.
2. Time for adequate reading of documents, particularly in foreign
languages, is still at a premium. 25X1A9a
3. The addition of as secretary to the branch has eased the
personnel problem. may now devote much of her time to assisting
the analysts in research. 25X1A9a
4. Six of the seven members of the branch share Room 1318, which is
probably adequate for four people. The seventh member occupies quarters no
less cramped. The efficiency of the branch is considerably hampered by such
crowding. Conferences on one project habitually interfere with the research
of an analyst at an adjoining desk working on another.
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SLCUIiITY ITr OR11ATION
MONT'LY REPORT, BASIC IN LLIGENCE DIVISION, ORR, FOR DECEMBER 1952
1. Goanal Produc,ti, Prog as
NIS contributors produced 39 Sections during December to surpass the monthly
numerical requirement, which in this instance was 35 Sections, for the first time
during Fiscal Year 1953. Most of these Sections, however, were overdue from previous
months,, and only 29% of the Sections actually scheduled for December were received.
State was responsible for nearly 2/3 of this production and the other con-
tributors, with the exception of Navy, resin in default to a substantial degree on
their eormit nts. Navy for the third time daring this Fiscal Year completed all
Sections dm and overdue, and is the only 1IS contributor which has fulfilled its
production commitments in full for the first half of this Fiscal Year.
CIA/OSI reduced their backlog slightly. but D/GG and 050 submitted nothing
during the month, and it will be necessary for them to produce heavily in the coming
months to bring about any substantial reduction in their backlog of overdue Sections
in addition to meeting cunt requirements.
The percentage fulfillment of production requirements for December by agency
is indicated below.
Scheduled Production
Per] 4 42" 990
ITO. of
Sections
Delivered
% Fulfillment
cq specifically
scheduled
No. of Fulfillment
Sections of
Delivered numerical
to D
sections
c
ol
State
8
53%
23
153%
Army
1
6
5
31
Navy
1
100
4
400
Air Force
0
0
3
1011
CIAaD/GG
CIA-0S0
CIA..OSI
None scheduled for Dec.
None scheduled for Dec.
Nons scheduled for Dec.
TOTAL 10 29% 39
A
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The following is a tabulation showing the production record of the HIS,
contributors at the end of the first half of the fYsaal year:
ITo. of Sections No. of Sections Percentage of Average
Scheduled ll?livercd to RJR Cents Ftalfj~]1 d Pb2ak
State 82
Arc V 11,3
Navy 22
Air Force 17
CIA..D/GG 18
CIA-OSO 4
CIArOSI 21
TOTAL 279
81
91
22
10
3
7
215
99%
81
100
17)
25
33
77%
13.5
15.0
305
2.0
(2.0
36
B. For quality of contributions processed during December see Part B
gene. This group has under consideration a draft report to the IV)
proposing the establishment of a central processing unit in CIA to
handle this type of intelligence information for the DIG. As stated
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SECURITY I ORMkTION
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in the DA report for last month,, this proposal affects the work o1`
ITR in D/S, that of Z/SS, and of OCI, but it would go far beyond Vlia
work of any of them. The work of ITR is essentially statistical and
recording, that of Z/SS digesting, and that of OCI reporting, whez+ s
the proposed new unit would analyze and follow on a case-by-case
basis, for the benefit of the action agencies, the intelligence re..
garding Soviet procurement of and efforts to procure, strategic
materials. At present much economic defense intelligence, including
SO and 00 reports, flouts in normal dissemination only to the IAC
agencies and to NSRB. With the exception of State, none of these
agencies has any noteworthy responsibility in the field of economic
defense. The important action agencies in economic defense operat.o ,
besides State, are OD14S, Comnerce and Treasury. In other words the
reports are not going directly to the only agencies who could use then
as a basis for action, D/E arranged some time ago for relevant savi-
tized SO and 00 reports to go to the Coz reial Intelligence Division
-af Coerce and a request for similar transmission to Foreign Assets
Control of Treasury is under consideration. ODI-S, while seeming to
rec:aive much intelligence information, probably indirectly through
the E')AC Steering Group, might be given similar treatment. But this
still '.eaves the request of ODMS for "fully processed, evaluated and
timely intelligence information" in this field unsatisfied.
The now of strategic goods to the Soviet Bloc in violation or
evasion of Western controls, by transshipment or otherwise, could
3 _;_
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SECUR ! YI O IITION
to a large extent nullify the highly intricate and involved legal.
controls, Intelligence on a day-to-day basis as to individual
transactions as well a3 to patterns of evasion becomes, therefore,
highly important. In determining the nature and extent of future
demands on CIA for this type of intelligence support, much depends,
of course, on the future organization within the goverment for
foreign economic operat;ions0 In the meantime, it would seem to be
necessary to make the best arrangement possible within the existing;
fr z work.
CHINCOI4 Requirements
The first big problem of CHINCOM (the little brother of COCOM
which is to be responsible for Far Eastern security export controls,)
is that of establishing definite trade controls of exports of specific
items to China. It will be even more difficult in the case of CHID+MOM
than it is in the case of COCON to give detailed intelligence with
the specificity desired on some four hundred items proposed for cor.trol
to China which are not under COCOM control. It might appear that in
the case of the Chineee economy certain general conclusions could be
reached and export controls agreed accordingly. Unfortunately, the
problem is not as simple as that. An an occupied territory, Japan's
controls were formerly established by the US. These have been con-
tinued for a time. But, for the future, Japan's controls and those
of other non-Soviet nations, especially Great Britain, can be
established only by multilateral agreement, And the other nations
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SECU t !INF RMATION
do not accept the principle of total embargo, or even embargo by
broad categories. Unless and until blockade of the China coast is
declared, therefore, intelligence support will be required by the
US delegation on an item-by-item basis. A background paper on
is in draft for submission to IWG,
Special China control problems such as smuggling, export control
evasion techniques, including especially the Hong Kong and Macao
transshipment situation and maritime shipping problems, are under
study.
25X6A
Intelligence Presentations in COCOM
During the month, in addition to the normal and routine support
of economic defense, directly and through IWG, D/ analysts made
notable contributions through the loan of (E/C) and 25X1A9a
25X1 A9a (E/4) to CDHS for the purpose of assisting in the presentation
of intelligence to COC01,11.
25X1A9a
assisted the US delegation 25X1A9a
in the interpretation and analysis of intelligence on a score of items.
prepared, with the splendid collaboration of other analysts
in ME. D/I, and D/S and CIS. technical ser vices, especially G/R in
the reproduction of the pictorial material, an intelligence presentation
covering locomotives, rails and signal equipment, which so impressed
ODIIS officials, that they requested his loan to that Agency and his
25X1A6a
r ...
SECURITYINFO.RMATION
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SECURTT? I ORI,XTION
The clearance of this intelligence, referred to in paragraph 2 abcvo,
was accomplished after his departure, and release authorized by cable,,
During the month E/C analysts worked with OIT Task Groups to
complete intelligence contributions to International List II items under
review. E/C also participated daily from an intelligence viewpoint
in the deliberations of the Joint Committee on Export Control Levels
to formulate advice to US Delegation regarding ratings and quotas of
List II commodities to be negotiated in COCOb1? In addition, review
was continued of US List IIB items considered appropriate from the
standpoint of significance and available intelligence to be made the
subject of individual intelligence papers.
Evaluation of Alternative Economic Defense Programs
A project which engaged the attention of the Division was the
preparation of terms of reference for an ,. valuation of probable
economic consequences of alternative measures to control East-West
trade, as proposed in the December report, This work was carried
on by a small group composed of one member from each Branch under
the chairmanship of Although the project was only in its
initial stages by the end of the month, a general approach to the
problem was formulated and a survey of pertinent studies completed
or in progress was launched. At the oral suggestion of the AD, a
low priority was assigned to this work, pending any policy deter.
urination or organizational changes by the new administration in the
field of economic defense.
sc12T?WdT! T0N
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SJcuIT! !`OOaTION
In line with previous admonitions to reduce document flow to
individual desks to essential material on a "need to know" basis,
reading requirements of the Division and each Branch were reviewed.
This indicated that while the volume to the Division and to the
Branches is necessarily substantial, it is distributed selectively
and unnecessary duplication is avoided.
Interagency Nee s
During the month D/E analysts attended 37 interagency meetings,
and some 3 intra-CIA meetings. In the case of many of these, especially
rUG and EDAC Working Groups, responsibility devolves on DA for
:preparatory work before the meetings and follow-up afterwards.
Instructions have been given to refrain from participation in all
meetings unless clearly related to the work of the analyst. It is
difficult to reduce further this participation without loss to the
work of the Agency, One of the groups which it was thought we might
exclude was the EDAC Working Group on Technical Advice and Assistance
to other countries in administration of export control, This group
teld three meetings during the month. The D/E analyst who attended
reports that "these meetings have almost assumed the character of
seminars on export control and, as such, provide very valuab3o
experience for all participants and furnish our Division with excellent
material on the export control regulations and relevant economic
problems of the countries under discussion,"
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25X1A9a
American Economic Association
Five analysts of the Division attended the annual meeting at
Chicago of the American Economic Association and American Statistical
Association. An interesting observation by one of the analysts
follows:
"These meetings, good, bad, or indifferent, always serve
as an excellent indicator of the essential problems with which
these two social sciences are struggling at a given moment in
history. Keynesianism, at the present, seems to be on the
wane; the influence of mathematical methods is as strong as i`~
has been over the last few years, but its limitations are more
clearly recognized; economic science in this country appears to
be in a period of stocktaking and reflection, groping once again
for new methods of solution to old and new problems."
Consultants a Parcel
The question of intelligence support for economic defense activities
needed now for the cold war was not presented to the recent meting of
the Panel of Consultants, which was apparently devoted exclusively to
consideration of the research program. Several of the comments, hcv-
ever, volunteered by members of the panel evinced an awareness of the
immediate need of intelligence in support of the cold war, These
comments assumed that time and manpower are available to do the
research and that there are other adequate means for independently
handling the emergency and spot requirements. If these conditions
are changed, it was assumed that the program would be altered and the
personnel used on the more pressing work,
n r, n -
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SECUR? W_ __ 0M `ZION
Z-59
The current draft of NIC..59, 6 January 1953, has been brought to
the attention of DA by the Acting Chief, D/A. Review of the paper
reveals that the conclusions are open to the same objections DJ
subudtted in the consideration of the basic paper -- and, furthermore,
without the limiting assumptions and qualifications stated or implied
in that paper. The basic papers, with all the limiting assumptions
and qualifications, could lead to conclusions for policy-making and
operations quite different from those in NIE@59.
In the opinion of D/E, NIE..59, if approved in its present form.,
will have serious repercussions among the agencies responsible for
economic defense policy and operations. It is recommended, therefore,
that the representatives of those agencies on the Economic Defense
Advisory Committee be consulted prior to the publication of the
estimate,
e:= 9 .=a.
SECUR.ITg INFORt1ATION
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Security information
PR0GR8S R T P8 GEWRAPHIC AREA, OM
Month of December 1952
I +t.1=CZ PRCDVMOB
A.
Yntellis Rata
1. Cag>ed,and Issued
ftlimtEr.
G-l1
tR;-4
The Boundary Between Norway and the USSR
Evasion Geograp$y of fii rghis ASR
Rt4/CIS
(M
Evasion tieogramL3r of Rumenia
R*/OIB
Evasion GOOSM30 by of Bulgauria
R */01S
S-4 a
Greek Turkish Islands in the Aegean
2. Schadulad
25X6A
GR-
Geography of the - S` l.ingzad-Urde Section
of tt-e Vn1ga Carman Y end.
Evasion Geography of Greece
OSI
Rgt/0IS
DR-?4 5 Rap Intelligence Review
W,11 Evasion oeogmri~y or Mongolia
MR-3.0-41.11
25X6AI8413
R!/OIS
Status
25X1 C8a
in reproduction
in reparoduction
in reproductio .
in reproduction
in reproduction
in reproduction
in.typing
in fin&3 typing
in lina.t typir
in final review
in progress
in progress
in progress
in progress
in progress
in abeyance
in abeyance
not initiated
Armenia Rg1/OIS in review
VrO*Y+ t n n the Soviet Zone of GWMUW
PR 10,% 7.$syk 11'
PR It 033 Evasion Geogxrpr of Asefbaidshan and
PR 839 he Manganese I try of $tasil State
PR 9:13 he Southwsstern 8'rontiers of China
PR U43 Electric Pon -Ins ;allstioa~s-~~ at
P7 f 1.CU Electric Po m- Ins ta37atioos--Aft'ica
P'R 3.033 Analysis of Gcograic Factors in Uranium 08I
Rap Intellige .ce Rant
Chapter I7[, C z echoslorakia
W-39 Chapter ixp C .iu
OR-3.3 Target Study of X uric
gam- ~3 Intslligeres Review
PEE- Rap Intellige cs Review
RR uriaoc 3 Rap Zntelligezce Review
GiRmted to have left Reproduction December 31, 1952 altbouet copies
have not been receive in D/GG 1S
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25X6A
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security Infors$tion
2. Scheduled (cont'd)
PN 1035 Evasion Geog a y of Khsai&
P8 10,57 Evasion 0009M #W of Uzbek
P8 :to59 Evasion Geography of Tadzhik
PN low Selected Zeefto and Evasion Areas In
central umis
Piq 45 Casette er and Nap - Middle East Oil
Installations
R ter status
Rq (/OZS in progress
R4/OIS in review
RQM/OTS in progress
MOW
PIS 1085
Border Study, 3eloru scan-Polish
PE i086
Border Study, are1',r-Ptnnieh
RgK/OZS
PN ",90
Border Study, Ukrainian
BSIt/Palish/Czech/Nua mw1an/Aweanian
PN 1091
Border Study, L.ithianian. SSR-Polish
Bounder,
MIMS
P N 1 Ore
Border Study, HoUavion, 8SSR-Rmmisn
10 r356
Border Study, ".d 4zhik SSR-Ate
Dounda y Zone
PR me
Master List of various series of lags
RWOIS
PN c4
Caeeeunications Project (Cables)
ONX
PR 1.110
Evasion Geography of Italy
RWOZS
PR 1=
Restatement regarding representation of
bo~undarie s--Latin. s` is
PV 1112
Selected. E and E Arm in the Volga-Don
Region
Rgl/OIS
PN ]..113
Selected E and E Areas in the l h Black
Bea Region
RWOMS
PR 111b
Evasion Geo rarby of Turkey
R */018
3.
US chapt r 7X Production
NO.
Area -
Scheduled Date to D/8
ors 39
Chin
January
1953
25X6A
January
1953
se
January
1953
11I8 AR
Greece
February
1953
NIB 86
Venezuela
February
1953
I ms
Syria
and
February
1953
Burm
1953
Ills
Hut
May
1953
J
25X6A
une
1953
Ills 9
Spain
June
1953
in progress
In progress
in progress
not initiated
not initiated
in progress
in progress
in progress
nat initiated
in abeyance
not initiated
not initiated
not initiated
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B. 1 Camdlatian and Construction Prolects
. o&u- uct1~
and in!
Numft4w Titles
Im Greece : >3ypec atric
UU38 Rev.- Imigzation Quota Areas
11553 Rev-- Strength of Caamunist Party
116
11838
1137
32093
222-W
12 ?7
123511
l2
123.4
12^50
Netberlends: Principal North Bea n.sning
Western Siberia
Retberlands: Coal Producing Area is Liab.:rg
Province
West Africa
Guatemala
Distribution of Soviet Shipping
Iorotey: Te mitaa i.al Seep
Nos iayt Dslieitaticns of Territc rtal Selo
Greece: A01c4tura1 Producing Areas
l23 me Goianas
12"90.22b09 Central & South Urals
Zak ~_O Central & Southern Uri
Status
CRR C
state C
state C
R
CCI C
State C
CRR/NIS C
R
CRR C
CHR/NIS C
CFR C.
CSR C
State C
CRR/NIB C
R
R
25X6A g
22k",9
Urals Region - Electric Power
Uzbek 88R
Cm
Europe and Asia
cm
19-:79
Ru?ania: Mmianistrative Divisions
Latin l rica
CRR
WE
m
C
992~
mmea & -
/~
~
s
3239
Central Soren
WS
~w~~j
3255
Nearea r"t
CCI
12551
lasts 8effisiere
CCI
12Z;53
Southeast Asia
CCI
255k
Western Rurrope
on
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II. crrxc 0R 3Z Cam'j GCRAP$IC AESE~IHCS
ss.r~rsr r.~r_.~r.
A. Activities
1. Because of the increasing number of instances where Foreiga
Service finds difficulty in obtaining funds in support of regional
travel by Geographic Attaches, 'the Chief, Geographic Research, mart
with the Acting Director of CLI/State and with the AD/IC for the
purpose of discussing methods whereby funds might be obtained for
strengthening overt foreign map procurement and geographic reporting
during the rest of this fiscal year and fiscal year 1934. A staff
study an this question has been prepared and appendices to' this study
are being formulated.
2. A representative of the Organization and Methods Services
Division has indicated that the proposal for the consolidationof
graphics production services in CIA has received a at in so"
offices and it. currently under consideration in t Chief, /
Gaograpbic Research, pointed out to the Chief of the Administrative
Office for D?/P that the Geographic Area of CM does not wish to
assume responsibility for the total graphics effort unless there is
complete cooperation and good will at all levels- Antagonism and
opposition at. working levels would create a very inefficient type of
operation and nothing would be accomplished by the proposed consolidation.
Da/P advised that approval wu..ld indicate that full cooperation could
be expected.
3. The Chief, Geographic Research, conferred with representatives
Of WA, fEA/State, ATOIR and G-2 regarding the Egyptian Governrsent,'s
dr3sire for substantial assistance in carrying out a detailed survey
aad mapping project for the new Aswan dam and reservoir project. The
rgquirements for such a mapping program- wane discussed ' in detail, and
it was finessy decided that cwemercial firms shou2A be called in to
binA s much of the work but that "WA would probably supply some
equipment and training. A joint military mapping program, proposed by
the Rgyptian Government, was shelved.
4. Evaluations of wrformance during calendar year 1952 were 25X1 C4a
p9repsred for The Chief, Geographic Research,
conferred at officers regarding 25X1 C4a
pwomotional policy s~av current and job descriptions and classifications
for the ' 25X1 C4a
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Secuarity Information
arise within a few weeks as additional personnel for the Photo Intelligence
Division cams aboard.
of personnel to new slot nos have been campleted?
i3. Problees
1. A conference was held with a representative of the--Policy
and planning Staff of the procvarewat aid. Supplry 0lf1C6 at CIA for
the purpose of discussing probleaas that have risen in regard to the
.VCMWI delivery of very specialized. equipcienct and supplies required-
for the cartographic effort. It is believed that a procedure may be
worked out whereby special purchases may be obtained on a rush. basis
and precise specifications will be honored.
2. The problem of obtaining the proper person to head up the
:Photo Intelligence Division is currently in hand and it is hoped that
no no-jar block will be encountered. A very serious space question will
5. The Geog'aphic Area'received its restated T/0 which reflects
all, changes resulting from the classification survey. All reassigo?ents
III. GBOGPAM Aty=CN
25X1A9a
program. After soucb revision because of changes by contributors in
the substance of their contributions, the Chapters IX for Germany
IF, and China are nm in final a uscript and are being typed for submittal
to D/B in January. Typing of the initial draft for the HIS Chapter U
on Czechoslovakia is practically complete and appropriate parts will
be submitted to contributors for review during the first week in January.
Progress on other US Chapters IX is satisfactory with murky contributions
in from, other agencies. Higher priority work, however, has delayed
and will continue to. slow up the production effort ' on some of the
Chapters.
.1S which have been distributed, such survey to be initiated and
completed prior to the full-blown initiation of the MW eai Ce
A. AccoaD}.ish?ents
1. The HIS Chapter U Suhcoamittee, chairmaned by the Chieff,
Geography Division, amt an 17 December, and established a production
schedule for fiscal year 1954 which requires the submittal of eight
Chapters during that year. This Subeamsittee felt that it would be
desirable to have a highly . cadpetent non-Gave zmefltnl group appointed
in order to make a survey of end-user reaction to those parts of the
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25X1X3
security Enforwtion
25X1 C9d
2 5X 1 W ou se escape and evasion studies, nww4 for
were distributed in quantity in December . No
a~ore general escape and evasion studies are in re-duction; two arm
in final review; and to are2SK1 6kess . The detailed study of
escape and evasion areas in with the texts for 15 of
the 20 areas is now written. All of the graphics for this studyy are
Similar studies requested by DD/P for areas north of the
ve not yet been aseainned.
An IWVUI~Waft of the first border study requested by TJ)/P, namely
for was subwdtterl to T$)/P for review.
Pepeseatatives of that Office desired a detail which can only be
obtained throw' the analyses of air photogra. Whatever graptiy
is available has been ordered, and will be utilized to the greatest
possible extent. Scree progress has been made on two other border
astudies requested by DD/P-
3. several conversations have been held with appropriate officers
in MM regarding geodetic and mapping questions that relate to the
tan and to the sonezvZ field of guided reissiles. The current studies
in response- to requests from OBI. have been moving slowly, bath because
cf the difficulty of obtaining the necessary information and also because
of the lack of personnel to assign to these projects. With more than
"0 percent of the research and writing completed for the Issyk Ifliil?
Ixo feet, it is believed that the final study sha= be ready for
submittal early in )arch.
The Geography of the Stalingrad-ttrda section of the V-
Caspian Lowland was in reproduction at the and of the month and has
now been distributed. This report is a sanitized. version of a TS
report prepared in response to an OBI request. Also issued is the
study of the boundary between Norway and the U=,, but. the report
on tam is still in Reproduction as
are tiro moat! issues of the P aence Review.
25X6A
5. A "-_ - the 25X1 C10b
Division bas.been preparation of re~questel
by DD/P. The m a n u s c r i p t is cowplated, and should be ready for subdttal
to the uester ear in January. Scrcme attention is being given to
project, upon request fay OR and
with the assistance of S/Cta4. some material bees already been discussed
with ONI . T major offort on this project cannot be undertaken until
later in the spring. Other work by the analysts has involved the -
Saniti7Prl Anprnucrl Fnr Release ? r-ie_DDP7g op66~I~A-0 A399.499994-9
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Security Information
preparation of a special service study of fd reign-published map 25X1 C 10b
series in answer to the completion of
a low priority study involving the preparation an annotated gazetteer
ma caraaadum
of the addle at petroleum industry; preparation of a brief
Amnia in =rw-cr to
25X1 C10b 3 ua av~.:.1-ibis aez'isl ;J;CtOgra'pjr - cov"Ang
ashy of data for assistance 25X1 C8a
to the Cartogfar y Division in the ansUsia of data and of boundary
i1foTMtion as. required for nmp compilation; participation in the instruction
required for 0 internal training couzeos; debriefing U. S. citizens and
Caaverm nt officials returning Fran abroad; assistance in the preparation
of detailed requiremments foarsax . to Geographic Attaches; preparation
of collection requitMents; and the submittal of 22 evaluations of 00-B,
00-K and SO reports.
B. Coordination
25X1A5a1
25X1A5a1
1. R sentatives of of the
on 9 Daacember 1952 with C W. Berg
D/GG, to discuss the adequacy of currentlygeodetic and astronomic
data for use in guided missile systems. ton revealed aserious
gap in the adequacy of the a available data. is preparing
a brief non-technical swbmaLry of deficiencies. Ceder Berg has held
conferences on this subject within the Departial t of Defense and will
Grp the CeoVaZhy Div ice i.i?c " suanroy of , p sr ate
offices, here in Washington, indicates that there is no parogr+~ established
at the Vresent time for deter (t g the precise location of targets in
tau UM.
participated in conferences
Office of the Secretary
of Defense; the Chief, Geogr pby Division, and the Advisor on the UM.,
2. Coordination for a progrm to provide escape and evasion studies
to newt the require?ents of the three Service Daarparteents is maving
sloiiy, althou i 200 copies of the reports prepared by the Geography
Division are distributed to .tae Wavy and over 300 copies to the Air. Force
at their specific reaquests. The Ari is f ting its Muirewwts
ftw escape and evasion studies, and it is possible that the research
undertaken within the Geography Division can be geared to satisfy
total requiteaeeats for this type of research.
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Security larow adian
25X1 C8b
3. The Advisor on the USSR, D/GG, assisted CCI in the ans1y8is and
paration of comments on extremely revealing intelligence received from
In regard to Soviet glans to unify Satellite mapping into its
system. This development will be foUcwed closely and will be related to
other information recently obtained regarding Soviet activities in the
geodetic and mapping fields.
c. Problems
1. There appears to be a continuing increase of interest on the
past of D?/P and OBI regarding the capabilities of D/GG for taking on
additional geographic research in support of their respective operations
and intelligence production. On the basis of the experience obtained
in the preparation of the first border study requested by DD/P, it seems
clear that agreement east be reached with the requesters regarding a
reduction in the scope of these studies or a considerable augmentation
of research time must be allocated to future studies of this type.
2. The Geography Division is concerned with the time lapse in
clearing provisional personnel, and Is still handieappsd by inadequate
typing assistance although the assignment of a.nev clerk-
to the Division during December was greatly appreciated.
IV . PHOTO I MME DIVISIt
A. Acco plishnents
1. During December a second analyst began work within the Photo
Intelligence Division. He returned from an intensive eleven-week. 25X1A5a1
course in phol tpemmetry A third analyst
is fully cleared but has not ca , as MW exact date of
availability. A fourth analyst is an the CIA pay roll In, a provisional
status. As. stated earlier, steps are underway to obtain a, highly
qualified man to fill the position of Chief of the Divisions.
2. A photo intelligence project was initiated for D/Z said stemmed
from work previously done for this Division during Wevesnber. A second
project was also initiated in support of D/GG. This project relates
to the analysis of air photography for the border study being completed
in answer to a DD/P request. There was considerable discussion with
the Advisor on the USSR, D/GG, regarding the type of control needed
in utilizing oblique photography for intelligence purposes. Several
other consultations were held with representatives in other Divisions
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25X1 C9d
25X1 C9d
25X1X4
of CM. The project for DD/P E
gimme-consuming but is nowt practically ?
has been very
B. Coordination
1. The Photo Intelligence Division was approached by representatives
25X1X4
from the DD area and from ATIC, UW, regarding an operation on the
Mar Force interest centers on observable Soviet airfields, but additi
requirements were requested. It was pointed out that this Agency has
25X1 C9d
icular interest in rather complete coverage of
A M/P representative will. be coordinator for
the CIA requirements. It is planned that the field party will depart
in April for a six-month period.
V. CARTCGRA1 T DIVISIpt
1. In general, production by the Cartography Division during December
vas relatively noel, although the number of requests for. now substantive
maps was overshadowed by the request for graplla, special support maps,
wall. displays and other presentation aids. The extremely high priority
and exacting requirements placed on some of the requests during the month,
:.used a certain deg Gc o to fftcienay in op tions but the retuning
products are believed to have been satisfactory.
2. Caxto6Eaphic Effort
a. During December the Csrtograpby Division caeted 22 maps
of which 18 were for CIA. Of special. interest were the 5 briefing
maps ceoetructed at the request of G C1. Oth=r. were erAbstantive:`
maps prepared for inclusion in the EIS publications and in R
reports. As an assist to the Department of State, a detailed
may on iffiigration quota areas was -produced in large quantity.
Th vrk1o d was excessive in the Development and Construction
Branch of the Division. A total of 188 projects were assigned,
of which 80 were cc 1ated.,, corrections were made on 33, and 27
were still in progress at. the end of the reporting period. Among
these projects were 19 charts for E18-65, 5 other charts for CM,
a series of 21 "drop maps" for a study being prepared for D?/P
as well as the briefing maps for the President-Elect.
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a. In arddition to requests for graphs and, special service.
projects, the Division accepted requests for 36 maps of 'which 27
were fit CIA Offices. It is ennticlpated that the series of
briefing maps for the President-Elect vill number 25 to 30. use
are being produced accarding to epe lficatioass at the rate. of three
per week. Pour to 8 pare=+s vithia the Division are aasignid ful
Use to this project in order to saiutain this schedule.
3. QrraPhic Support
a. he Graphics Branch ccoglaW numercua charts and other
pree*ntation media during December- The output represented a slight
increase over previous nontbs. Requests fro the Personnel Division
vere particularly heavy, as were those from General Services and
fn the Directors Office. S me work was also undertaken for CE
and 06I. Because of the occssiot l pile-up of work resulting from
short drowns, one request ftr assistance bad to be dwUne&-
gmua ga
a. The Special Support Branch accepted requests for 19 items
of work and completed 17. This was in addition to the assigmment
of ca filers on a full time basis to the series of briefing maps
for the President-Elect.
TI. HAP LIBRARY DIVISI06
A. of Statistics
1. S' 'v of Recei .$ fiend Disbursesents f0T the 1MsD Ltbrel7 DiviaiQ
co s
1. Procurement
a. During December 7,000 foreign-published asps verre received
a s with fareiga agencies. Of particular significance
t
arzangemen
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Sanitized - Ap ved For Re. e ? fA-RDR754 662R000300100001-0
h" 1.J.131tA1tl i)IV 161ON
St}IMARY OF STATISTICS e. DECEi DER 1952
(for retention in Map Library)
Specialt
y
H
Man She
e
Made in C
r
~
58334
bQ Can automa
r
eceipt
and purchases for stock
2
9623
c, From other domestic sources
,
97
d, From foreign sources
574
e, From foreign sources for stock
~
Total
118614
Atlases and ether reference mAterfa
'a. Cn automatic receipt and purchases for stock
b. From foreign sources
Total
Maw
a. Special maps . CIA/bAC
b. Special maps ? All other
c. Series indexed and cataloged
Total
C osi xi etc 8 of ~f ennce works
a. Atlases
b, Place.-name volumes
C. Publisher's catalogs
dp Other reference volumes
Total
UTSB SII~SENTS
M R?auestas
a,
To domestic establishments
1,
To CIA
2.
To Department of state
3,
To Department of Defense
a)
Department of the Aray
43
b)
Department of the Navy
11
a)
Department of the Air Force 34
d)
Other components of Defense 18
634
238
106
4, To other Government agencies 67
b. To establishments overseas
1, To Foreign Service posts 16
2, To foreign agencies (including
only materials furnished by DItL1,___
Total 1.,042
At1$ses and other reference material
so To domes to establishments 119
bo To foreign establishments
f
TV U0
a, Place-name questions
bn Other reference inquiries
Total. 120
Total
204
71.
275
23 of these were separate tbt~,es,
Sanitized - Approve ror' Relea
Series
Mau Seehts
Total
MAD Sheets
0
8,314
3,561
69184
12
2$67q
3,253
......
6
68252
170
Total Volumes
374 .
350
117
373
2
5
4
21
T=11
3436
558
389
112
26
170
81
l51
I"
..~.~.. 5
63-5
Sheets/plumes
533
18025
S
56
/Vo_ 1
s
98034
1,473
4,493
638
93
380,4,5
717
457
370
st. S
4,413 158832 52
150(est_) 28A
270 336
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U
Security Info nation
25X1X4
wee 3,000 new obtained from and an important
25X1 X4 ehipmeat from A little over 50 percent of these maps
wee distributed to other participating agencies, of which the
MW Map Service was the recipient of the largest amount. Over
9,000 maps and 360 reference publications were forwarded to agencies
abseed in f~ult"1].Zmant of U. S. cca fitments on the cmdwages. Most
of the maps were provided by the U._S. Geological Survey.
25X1 C8a
25X1 C8a - - desired assistance. 25X1 C8a
25X1 C8a in order to t~ a ~ and
reporting mission desired by agencies in Washington. She
remain for m period of rcm1mately two months. 25X1 X4 ^
departed from Washington
25X1 X4 ^ in December for their respective posts. They have been tb fly
briefed by the several agencies they serve.
C. Tro domeitic procurement channels M maps, 13 engineers
drawings and 20 books were received, of which the majority were
transmitted to other user agencies. In processing twelve 00-8
reports 50 maps and drawings were recorded and reproduced. Several
chive rsquirsasats for maps and related information were
initiated for collection purposes throug2r 00 channels.
d. The staff drafted 59 letters, instructions, airgrams and
other eamesi nieations for. action by the Department of State wad
transmittal to the field.
2. Processing
a. A total of 1,000 maps and a number of atlases, catalogues
and Other reference publications were cataloged and indexed. Due
to the lack of available typing assistance, it has been impossible
to reeot do current in the issuance of the Weekly Acquisitions List
of maps on foreign areas. At the present time five manuscript drafts
far this list are smiting further processing.
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12
Security Information
b. A total at 70 larders were placed for 3,400 maps, 200 plastic
relief aps, and 226 other publications. Over 1,000 maps were
destroyed as being of no current value ? On the other hand, 600 Items
were sent out to obtain reproduction prints or lamination.
3. Map Re~temhaae Services
S. of the nearly 1,500 requests directed to the Reference
Branch of the Map Library Division, over 1,000 vere
for maps, in answer to which nearly 16,000 sheets, involving about
4,2 O0 titles, were d! ftributed too Ices In CT, various arts of
the Department of State, eoaponenta of the Department of Defense
and to other agencies. The decrease in the number of requests
during Deca her was undoubtedly due to the reduction of personnel
on duty over the holiday season.
25X1 C4a
C. Coordination
1. The Chief of the Map Librrary Division, in consultation with
representatives of St/C/RB, 00/C, and OCD, arranged for the direct
routing of requirements for the collection of maps from domestic sources
from D/GL to 00/C . This procedure was suggested by St/C and has
considerably expedited the handling of such requirements. Several.
require?ents of the Army Map Service for information obtainable from
domestic sources have been handled by the Map Library Division in this
manner.
to officers in the Map Library Division accompanied
who were on consultation in Washington
part o the month, to the mary camponects of the
Military and civilian agencies. As a result, they obtained up-to-date
review of the regvfremmats of these agencies for maps and related
geographic information on foreign are".
Sanitized Approved For Release '75-00662R000300100001-0
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itizad ' - Approved or Release CIA RCP - 300100001-0
Office emot endue- ~ ? UNIT STATES GOVERNMENT
AD, RR
DATE: 8 January 1953
FROM : Chief, D/I
SUBJECT: Monthly Report - December 1952
1. Production
a. Project Planning.
25X1A5a1
" draft of the proposal for
project was received and forwarded to OAD RR for approval. This
project will provide basic data and or methodology to be utilized in
the analysis of Soviet Bloc aircraft production.
Working groups have met on all office wide projects
included in the 1953 program. The preliminary survey on China is
virtually complete and the Trans-Siberian Rail study well along.
The Division forwarded to DDP flow charts for military
end items showing the sequence of production from raw material to
final output. A subsequent call from the customer indicates complete
satisfaction with the work doneo
co- Progress Developments and Problems in Production.
25X1A9a
During the month of December, projects )43-51 "Anti-
friction Bearings Industry in European Satellites," 27-51
"Agricultural Machinery Production USSR," and 28-52 "The Determina-
tion of the Ministries Involved in the Research Development and
Production of Guided Missiles," were forwarded to D/R. All projects
in the 1952 program have now been forwarded.
I/IF has been conducting a series
of seminars on research methods and report writing. The seminars
have served as a most useful vehicle for exchanging ideas and
techniques and-for giving analysts the benefit of own 25X1A9a
considerable experience. A stenotype transcript has been taken of
one of the sessions and it will be reproduced for each analyst in
the Division and any others who are interested.
25X1A9a attended meetings
of the American Economic Association in icago, 27 to 29 December.
2. Coordination and Appraisal
The EIC Electronic and Telecommunications Subcommittee held
its third meeting. A working group meeting was also held to complete
the initial draft of the survey forms. The Armaments Subcommittee
has completed its survey in record time. Attention will now be turned
to an intensive study of ored forc s v c
Sanitized - Approved F ; - R60l~5-edb6iht&5bU016) 6$ '-ed
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an appraisal of available intelligence in the field.
All Branches of the Division attended seminars with FDD. It
is felt that these seminars have served an extremely useful Rinction
for all concerned, and that is to be commended for
25X1A9a
Arrangements were finally made for to inspect a
Poebeda automobile at Fort Belvoir, Virginia. Such inspections of
Soviet material are invaluable to the working analyst.
3? Adequacy of Services and Facilities
FDD has offered to prepare a bibliography for us in the
Library of Congress, a service which we have had only small success
in getting through the CIA library.
Shipbuilding Branch reports that the library has shown a
slight improvement in providing documents but that the service is
still inadequate.
arranging them. 25X1A9a
4. Relationships with other ORR and CIA Offices.
The Electrical Equipment Branch conferred with representatives
of OSI on the 1953 program of research and on the availability of
completed projects.
5. Evaluations
The Division made a total of 54 evaluations of 00 documents
and 89 evaluations of SO documents during December. The results are
as follows: (Note: We have now kept track of evaluations for a six
months period and we believe the reporting has served its purpose of
finding out how many of what kind of evaluations were being made.
Unless the Assistant Director wishes us to continue this type of
reporting, we are planning to drop it beginning next month.)
00
SO
B-2
19
B-3
23
c-2
11
B-2
22
C-1
5
C-3
8
B-2
5
C-1
8
C-3
14
C-2
4
B-1
3
A-2
4
Other
7
B-1
3
Other
17
Total
51.E
89
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6. Distribution of Branch Effort
December 1952
Activity Hours Percent
Branch Projects 25652
Office Wide Projects 425
34.7
5.7
July-December 1952
17,279 39.4
3,951* 9.0
.1 (Stockpiling) (15)
.2 (E. Germany) (191)
?3 (China-ORR) (23)
? 3 (China-D/I) (29l)
?4 (Regional Distb)(171)
.5 (Trans-Siber) (422)
.6 (Inter-Indus) (6)
.7 (WSM) (10)
Special Projects
1642
NIE 65 (542)
IP (Flow Charts) (73)
Misc (37)
Reading & Intellofaxing
18462
25.0
10,0812
23.0
Evaluations
195-3/4
2.7
997-3/4
2.3
Requirements
2052
2.8
711
1.6
Training
511
6.9
1,84
4.2
Export Control
162
.2
1,424
3.2
Estimates File
5
.1
46
.1
Administration
54-
7.4
2,504
5.7
Consulting
14 32
1.9
770
1.8
Internal Contacts
222
3.0
1,115
2.5
External Contacts
1672
2.3
967
2.2
EIC Subcommittee
68
?9
Editing
106
1.4
3252
?7
Briefings
i
36
.5
Miscellaneous
164-3/4
2.2
1,8874
4.3
7389
100.
43,908
100.
# All non branch projects
Included in miscellaneous
7. Status of Personnel as of December 31, 1951,&.3) December, 1952.
On Duty
P R 0 F E S S I 0 N A L
Dec751 Dec 752
Civilian 37 50
IAC 4 2
In Process
23
C L E R I C A L
Dec/51 Dec 752
9 16
3 4
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"Ii
P R O F E S S I O N A L
Recruitment
Requests Outstanding
Dec
Dec
2*
Civilian
Fiscal 1953 T/O
28
15
Civilian (111)
77
87
* Presently overencumbered by one (Dr. Drell)
During the past year, there was a net gain of 13 civilian
professionals and 7 clerical personnel, but a net loss of 2 IAC
personnel. The number in process increased by 12. With respect to
civilian professionals, the net gain of 13 was the result of an
increase of 20 and a decrease of 7. Of the 7 who left the Division,
2 went to D/T, 1 to 0/S0, one to an overseas assignment, one to OCI,
and one to another CIA office. The seventh person left the agency
entirely for work with the Navy. With respect to clerical personnel,
the gain of 7 was accounted for by an inflow of 15 and an outflow
of 8. Of the 8 who left the Division, 1 went to the Office of
Chief, Research, 2 to the 0/SO, one to St/A, and one is an overseas
assignment. Three resigned from the agency altogether. The net
loss of 2 IAC personnel represents an inflow of 3 and an outflow of
5. Of the 5 who departed, 2 went to Naval assignments, 1 to an
Air Force assignment, 1 to 0/SO, and 1 to D/T.
8. Recommendations
25X1A9a
ORR:D/I
8 Janu 1953
25X1A9a ff
Distribution:
1 - D/I
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Report for Month of December 1952
1. The Materials Division's contributions to the ORR China Project
were completed and are now being reviewed by - of the AD/RR's 25X1A9a
office. (The report on cotton from the Food and Agriculture Branch is
still being edited and will be turned in to 7 January 1953.) 25X1A9a
2. During the month of December, the branches continued work on
their assigned ORR Branch projects with emphasis on those due to be com-
pleted in the first quarter of 1953.
3. The Division examined the Analysis Division's projections and
analysis in the contribution to NIE-65 in the light of the Materials
Division's own projections. There exist areas of disagreement.
4. The semi-annual report of the Petroleum Subcommittee of the EIC
was approved and forwarded to the Executive Secretary of the EIC.
5. The Chemicals Branch reported a large amount of time spent by
sox Xu1A oersonnel in work outside of the ORR Program, e.g., "80%
of time was spent on research and writing reports for COCOM."
The work on explosives is still frustrated by the failure to obtain analy-
ses of explosives used by the Communists in Korea; it has been impossible
to arrange conferences with either the Ordnance Department or the Chemical
Corps regarding information which they are believed to have.
6. The Division participated in all Task Forces responsible for the
office-wide projects, providing the chairmanship of two of these Task
Forces, and is satisfied with the beginnings made in these efforts.
7. The Division is proceeding in its attempts to establish three ad-
ditional Advisory Panels - Solid Fuels, Ferrous Metals, and Non-Ferrous
Metals and Minerals.
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STANDARD FORM NO. 64
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Office emorunaum ? UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT
TO Assistant Director, Research and Reports DATE: 7 January 1953
FROM : Chief, Reports Division
SUBJECT: 114onthly Report
1. General
a. A detailed review of some of the major problems of this
division was presented in D/R's report for December. These matters
remain substantially as presented then and are not all repeated here.
b. During the past month D/R has submitted to the AD/RR
memoranda on the following:
(1) Proposed New Status Report
(2) Proposals for Categories and Numbering of ORR Projects
(3) D/R - D/E Agreement for Processing D/E Papers
(!t) Proposal for Standardizing PR Dissemination
(5) Proposal for Controlling the Dissemination of Working
Papers
c. The Chief, D/R, has participated in recommending a manage-
ment study of the allocation of project initiation and control
responsibilities within ORR and in preparation of the forms and
instructions for the study of daily time allocations.
d. The Chief, D/R, has reported his concern over the magni-
tude of the 1953 program in relation to the probable editorial and
publication capabilities available. The contemplated handling of
this problem seems to be a satisfactory interim expedient.
e. The long delay in receiving a report of the results of
the classification survey has been an obvious inconvenience to D/R
and has prevented a number of well-deserved promotions.
2. Project Initiation and Control Branch 25X1A9a
a. Upon recommendation of the Chief',1 D'TK,
was made available for reassignment and
designate cj Chief, R/PI, effective 22 December 1952.
b. is rapidly familiarizing himself with the
functions of this branch and is giving special attention to the issu-
ance of the new status report, the problems of dissemination of ORR
issuances to various groups of recipients, and the preparation of
Project Initiation Memoranda for the 1953 series.
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AMM
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c. The initial establishment of the Control Board will require
a major effort. Additional supplies have been ordered. Conferences have
been held with D/Z regarding inclusion of their projects. The board has
been seen by the AD/RR and approved in principle.
d. A separate report on the status of the 1951-52 Series has
been prepared for the AD/RR and is, therefore, not repeated here.
a. There are currently 29 projects in various stages of review,
9 being typed, 6 in the divisions for revision, and 2 in reproduction.
Twelve papers were issued in December: 1 EIC, 2 RR, 1 IM, 1 PR, 5 'GYP,
1 IP, and 1 T. Only one paper of the 1951-52 Series has not been
received--namely, 18-51-which has been delayed because of the discove
of errors in the statistical tables. This has been reported to the AD/RR.
b. The most pressing problem of tti:is di-vrision is the recruit-
ment of qualified personnel. Since this has been reviewed so recently
both orally and in D/Rts monthly reports, it is not repeated here. For
the effort expended, the results have been disheartening indeed.
c. As suggested in last monthts report, guidance from the
AD/RR is needed in developing the criteria to be applied in determining
the categories of publications and the standards to be required in each.
4. Administrative Problems
a. D/R's operation continues to be handicapped by two problems
previously report--namely, the lack of messenger service and the intolerable
delays in sending materials back and forth to the Reproduction Division
in Alexandria.
b. Although the policy for the handling of the release of
25X1A5a1 papers - has been established, the machinery for so doing requires
some adjustment and lubrication.
c. Additional requirements for transmitting papers to O FR
representatives overseas have made this operation increasingly cumber-
some. At this writing, D/R is seeking clarification and instructions.
d. The physical dissemination of working papers outside ORR
also presents certain problems of allocation of responsibility for which
D/R is seeking a solution,
e. The handling of the report on rubber suggests the need for
a careful review of the procedures for processing coordinated interagency
reports and the fixin, of responsibility within ORR. Both in its initial
review before meeting and in its editing for publication,
25X1 C8a
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this paper presented a succession of problems which were essentially
administrative and procedural in character and which were unduly
time-consuming.
f. D/R carries on liaison with the present staff of Ch/R
on matters involving the control and review of projects whenever
appropriate. Various problems have been referred to them. For
the time being it,is assumed that this relationship will continue
to be handled on an ad hoc basis.
25X1A9a
25X1A9a
OPR :D/R~: hb
Distribution:
1 - Addressee
2 - D/R files
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MONTHLY REPORT
SERVICES DIVISION
1. Research Activities and Projects
During December the Division spent 46 1/2% of its available analyst
time on research. In spite of a substantial increase in leave during
the month, this represents a slight increase over November when the
Division devoted 45% of available analyst time to research.
During December the following projects were completed by the Division:
a. 7-51, "High Tension Transmission Networks in the Urals Area"
(Proof is now being corrected.)
b. 16-51, Revision of "Air Transport in the USSR Fast of the Urals"
C. 0.3, "Econon of China" (First Phase)
d. 45.1, "Wages and Wage Differentials in the USSR"
e. 46.1, Czechoslovakia Section of "Foreign Radiobroadcast Reception
Potential in the European Satellites"
f. 47.1, Preliminary draft of "Actual Growth of Volume of Construction
in the USSR, 1928-1951" 25X1 A9a
g. 00-B's 59719, 59720, 60825, Reports prepared by of S/TR
based on the interrogation of a source in Chicago in November.
Work was under way during December on the following projects:
a. IP-279, "Manchurian Railway System" (Revision)
b. 0.5, "Volume and Character of Trans-Siberian Railway Traffic"
c. 43.1.1, "China - Statistics"
d. 43.2.1, "USSR - Statistics"
e. 13.3.1, "European Satellites - Statistics"
f. 43.4, "Shipments and Transloading Facilities in Selected Areas of
USSR and European Satellites"
g. 47.3, "Underground Construction in the Soviet Bloc"
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h. 47.4, "Housing Standards of the USSR"
i. 4&.1, "Soviet Retail Trade"
j. 48.2, "Soviet Services"
k. 18-51, "Soviet Orbit Total Trade with Non-Orbit Countries, 148-51"
In the final stages of statistical compilation, vhich forms the basis of
this study, old errors were revealed, necessitating mart' hours of additional
work and causing further delay in its completion. It is now estimated that
the project will be completed by 1 February 1953.
1. 45.2, "Technical Education in the European Satellites"
m. 45.4, "Development of Labor Force in Sovzone"
no 45.5, "Agricultural Labor, USSR"
o. 44.1, "Eaectric Power in Communist China, A General Survey"
r. 41.2. "Organizational Structure of Communist China's Heavy
.Industries"
s.
to
IP-326, "Organizations in East Germany and USSR"
25X1X3
u.
45.3, "Slave Labor in the European Satellites"
2. Economic Intelligence Committee Activities
a. Subcommittee on Trade and Finance
This subcommittee did not meet during December although the working
group on "Financial Policies and Institutions in Intra-Soviet Bloc
Trade and Finance" is continuing its stucy*.
b. Transportation Subcommittee 25X1 A9a
25X1A9a
attended one meeting of the
subco e. also attended one meeting of the working
group studying the capacity of the Trans-Siberian Railroad and pre-
pared a semi-annual report on the activities of the subcommittee.
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-3-
c. Subcommittee on Electronics and Telecommunications
This subcommittee met once during December and began,a survey of
the status of intelligence concerning telecommunications facilities.
d. Subcommittee on Requirements and Facilities
The working group of this subcommittee completed a draft of a
catalogue of requirements concerning telecommunications facilities.
e. Subcommittee on Population and Manpower
During December, this subcommittee approved its survey of the
status of intelligence on Soviet Bloc population, manpower, and labor.
3. Activities of Census Bureau Group
The Census Bureau Group, working under the direction of the Labor Branch,
was engaged in the following projects during December:
The Population of Poland
The Population of Yugoslavia
The Population and Manpower of Manchuria
The following projects have been completed:
Wage Data on the 'USSR
labor Force Data
The Population of Czechoslovakia
. (awaiting the clearance of State Department)
Projections of Population (Revised)
4. Personnel
The chief personnel problem of the Division continues to be the shortage
of stenographers and typists. This is particularly acute in view of the
requirement that the Division put its own working papers on stencil.
Project 23-52, of 375 Pages, was returned by D/R in October for stencil
cutting. So far, 105 pages have been completed.
25X1 A9a Acting Chief of the Construction Branch, died on 17 December.
He had been absent for three months previously. This Branch is the only one
in the Division in which there is a serious shortage of senior analysts. One
applicant expected by the Branch has been rejected on security grounds.
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5. Reorientation of Effort of S/TF
The approaching completion of Project 18-51, which has involved a great
amount of detailed statistical work, will enable the Trade and Finance
Branch to devote itself to the broader problems pertinent to its charter
to an extent that has not been possible up to the present time.
6. In recapitulation, the Division has allocated available analysts time
in the following manner during December:
Research -- !i.61/2%
Service and secretarial work -- 9%
In-box -- 21%
Administration -- 9 1/2%
Training --- 2%
Leave --
1
The increase in percentage devoted to research is due in part to over-
time work.
25X1A9a
WLT:jmc
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,)1N
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M
Office
? Assistant Director, Research and Reports
FROM : Chief, Division of Techniques and r'ethods, ORR
SUBJECT: i?.onthiy Report, December 1952
I. Data Procurement
A. Activities during December
*1. A Soviet Pobeda was exploited
Fort Belvoir.
25X1 B4d
25X1 C8a 2. As yet no final reply has been received from the
concerning the planned exploitation project. The
first joint team has finished its intensive overall training period, is
currently receiving three more weeks of language training, and, if there 25X1 C8a
is still no indication of will then 7o on a stand-by
basis.
3. Disassembly field research continues in the Control
Office, Far East. The third T34-85 tank is currently being exploited.
B. Immediate future plans
25X1 B4d
Security lnfor?mati-
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*1. The substantial amount of accunmulated signal corps
equipment available at Fort 1 onmouth will be exploited by a D/T team some
tine during January.
industrial items will shortly become available
possibilities at Anniston.
3. It is anticipated that additic NWA44at-acquired
*2. A preliminary trip will. be taken to determine exploitation
DATE: 5 January 1953
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B. Immediate future plans
No extraordinary activities are anticipated for January.
III. Production of Intelligence Output
25X1 B4d
B. Immediate future plans
The production schedule on the various working papers and/or
reports outlined above is still- dependent upon the extent of field activities
during January, as indicated in the November monthly report.
IV. Special Items
25X1 B4d
*1. D/T has initiated a series of briefings for other
divisions of ORR to inform them of
analysis and the extent of progress to date. The first briefing was
given to members of D/I on 11 December.
25X1A9a *2. A special briefing was given for Yr. Sherman Kent and
on 19 December.
*3. Discussions have been initiated with Wright Field and
Aberdeen Proving Grounds to set up continuing arrangements for training
of D/T personnel in these installations.
4. Classification conducted its on-the-job survey of D/T
positions between 29 November and 19 December.
5. Current status on D/T recruitment is as follows:
on duty - 43; processing - 9; secretarial vacancies for which D/T does
not recruit directly - 1; total - 53.
6. D/T has prepared its first SOP for hostilities,
establishing a check list of essential steps to be taken now and on any
future D-Day. Arrangements for safekeeping of essential material have
been implemented, and a first estimate of the extent of personnel and
space increase has been made.
Security information
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25X1 B4d Security Information
25X1 C8a 8.
will ar---ive daring January for a period of briefing within D
25X1A9a
security InEformatson
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