LETTER TO MR. WILLIAM F. FINAN FROM H. GATES LLOYD

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CIA-RDP80B01676R000800020048-2
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August 4, 1959
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Approved For Release 2003/05/23 : CIA-RDP80601676R00080 0048-2 4x1sT80,T nnara urice H. Stan* lkireau of the Budget iashington Z5. D. C. Dear Mr. Stens: The bureau of the Budget staff analysis of Free erl4 and ino"5oviet economic aid activity forwarded in draft with your letter of 15 July 1959, has been studied by appropriate members of my staff. and I am pleased to give yeu their comments along with some of our views pertaining to the subject. An elaboration of our thoughts is contained in a recent report entitled "Sino- Soviet Bloc Economic Policies in Underdeveloped Countries of the ffree 'World," CIA/R.R. 3943, published by this Igency in April 1959. As your paper inTlies, certain useful purposes can be served by comparing the total expenditures entailed in Bloc and Free :iorld foreign aid activities, but such comparisons can also be extremely misleading if the dollar figures are taken out of the context of the social-economic.pcditical milieu in which these expenditures are being roade and by which their effects are being supplemented or counteracted. Although the general concluions point to the concentration of Bloc economic assistance, there is no mention of the equally great concentration of Western assistance and investment. Much of the 1r ree World assistance is directed toward underdeveloped areas that are firmly committed to the wrest. According to the annual ICA publication, Mutual Security PrtAintrv. outh Korea. 3outh Vietnam and Taiwan alone have been receivinv about 33 On file OMB release instructions apply. Approved For Release 2003/05/23: CIA-RDP80601676R000800020048-2 Approved For Release 2003/05/23 : CIA-RDP80601676R000800020048-2 percent of U.S. gcvv.znineutsl help while nearly 90 percent of assistance from stern governmamts has been channeled towards British and French overseas territories. A comparison of assistance expenditures and investments that is limited to those uncommitted countries in which both the Bloc and the *sat have chosen to compete would show a considerably smaller dis- parity between Bloc and Free World programs. In about oste- third of these countries. Bloc aid cocoa-litotes:to actually exceed those of the U.S. for the period under considerstion. In addition, he number of countries in which the West simply is not competing is growing and inchtdes a few key countries like Ethiopia and Guinea, which until very recently wore securely in the Western c amp. It might be useful to point out hers that the cepa:ditties of he Bloc for extending foreign aid are *abject to two influences: (1) the rapid growth of total output in the Bloc countries. and (Z) the fact that aid to Free world underdeveloped countries represents only a part of total Soviet foreign aid. Daring the years lffSh through 19511. for example. Soviet credit* and grants to the European Satellites accounted for one?isall of total Soviet credits and grants. Wave China, struggling for rapid industriali- sation, has provided nearly $500 million in assistance to other Bloc countries during the past five years. Obviously Bloc as- sistance to Free *orld countries could be expanded by redi- recting its flow away front other countries tiff the Bloc. The following minor and specific cortirrents relate to the tables and the explanation of the tables. a. The instalment (p. 4 that sorts "5 no-Soviet commitment figures include what are really barter trade agreements" is not accurate. bloc credit agreements generally provide for repayment in goods over a period of years (usually twelve). This maims that the Bloc agrees to purchase goods from the borrowing country in a volume and at a price to be determined at the time of repayment. b. Since December R. 1951. **vend credit. have been ex- tended by the Moe, the total of whtcli amounts to $435 minion. Approved For Release 2003/05/23 : CIA-RDP80601676R000800020048-2 Approved For Release 2003/05/23.: CIA-RDP80601676R000800020048-2 c. Although the figures on Americans abroad (p. 3 and Table VII) include a significant number of individuals who are not engaged in development activity, the figures on Bloc personnel include only persons who are associated with such work. It also should be noted that the method of counting heads is dissimilar. The ICA data, for example, refer to the number of individuals present at a post in an underde- veloped country on 31 December 1958. The Bloc figures, on the other hand, refer to the mmiber in underdeveloped countries for one month or longer during the period 1 July - 31 December 1958. This number has increased during the past six months to nearly 4,700. d. In our view, the wording for the row heading (Table 1), which now reads "Net Effect on Balance of Payments, Free World," should be changed. At least one item (i.e., rein- vested earnings) that is included in this total has only an indirect effect on a balance of payments or an effect that is not directly rneasureable. We suggest a heading such as "Total Public Assistance and Net Private investment and Donations." We feel that the statement in the conclusion (paragraph 3), comparing aid in 1960, should also be changed to read"... one-eighth of the current rate of total public assistance and private investment from Free Norld coun- tries." Pleas* call upon us again in case your staff wishes to pursue further any of the points raised hare. Distribution: Orig. & 1 - Addressee - DCI 1 - DDCI 1 - DD/I 2 - AD/RR 1 - Ch/E 1 - D/S 1 - S/ .5-4,0r/15/72` ORR/D/ ? S1SRED 'lien W. &Junes Director AlTROVED: - / Deputy Director Intelligence 19F9 (30 Jul 59) Ap /05/231! CIA-RDP80601676R000800020048-2 Approved For Release 2003/05/23 : CIA-RDP801301676R000800020048-2 hu rice H. Stans Bure u of he Budget Wash 25. D. C. Dear J4r. tans: The Bu eau of the Budget staff analysis oflree world and Sino-Soviet cortornie aid activity, forward/in draft with your letter of 15 3. y 1959, ha* been studied by ropriate members of my staff, em pleased to give heir comments along with someviews pertaining to tb subject. F., .4.:0...L. . r..-gistry ?7' r EI Ate agree with general t.nor,?L this conclusions presented in he draft. ln fact; they parallel1in many respects those found in a recent report snit ed "Sin* *vie' t Bloc Economic Policies In Underdeveloped Counties offr. Eree World," CIA/R.R. 59-13, published by this Agency iA11 1959. We heartily concur with most in the General Con- clusions that "the problem rais4 by Bloc aid programs do not appear to be a function amount. it of selectivity, propaganda activities method of adyninistrationIpd similar matters." While certain useful purposeeican be served h,y comparing the total amounts of Bloc and 17res World foreign kid activities, such com- parisons can also be/extremely rnisleading\if the dollar figures are taken out of the iontext of the social-economic-political :nitieu in which t e expenditures are being made and by which their effects are being supplemented or counteracted. Nithougii thi?igeneral conclusions point to the concentration of economic assistance, there is no mention of the equally great Approved For Release 2003/05/23 : CIA-RDP80601676R000800020048-2 Approved For Release 2003/05/23 : CIA-RDP80601676R000800020048-2 concentration of Western assistance and investment. Much of the Free World assistance is directed toward underdeveloped areas that are firmly committed to the West. According to the annual ICA publi- cation, Mutual Security Program, South Korea, South Vietnam and Taiwan alone have been receiving about 35 percent of U.S. governmental help while nearly 90 percent of assistance from other Western govern- ments has been channeled towards British and French overseas terri- tories. A comparison of assistance expenditures and investments that is limited to those uncommitted countries in which both the Bloc and the West have chosen to compete would show a considerably smaller disparity between Bloc and Free World programs. In addition, the number of countries in which the West simply is not competing is growing and includes a few key countries, like Ethiopia and Guinea, which until very recently were securely in the Western camp. It might be useful to point out here that the capabilities of the Bloc for extending foreign aid are subject to two influences: (1) the rapid growth of total output in the Bloc countries, and (2) the fact that aid to Free World underdeveloped countries represents only a part of total Soviet foreign aid. During the years 1936 through 1958, for ex- ample, Soviet credits and grant* to the European Satellites accounted for one-half of total Soviet credits and grants. Even China, struggling for rapid industrialisation, has provided nearly $300 million in as- sistance to other Bloc countries during the past five years. Obviously Bloc assistance to Free World countries could be expanded by redi- recting its flow away from other countries of the Bloc. The following minor and specific comments relate to the tables and the explanation of the tables. a. The statement (p. 2) that some "Sino-Soviet commitment figures include what are really barter trade agreements" is not accurate. Bloc credit agreements generally provide for repayment in goods over a period of years (usually twelve). This means that the Bloc agrees to purchase goods from the borrowing country in a volume and at a price to be determined at the time of repayment. b. Since December 31, 1958, several credite have been ex- tended by the Bloc, the total of which amounts to $435 million. Approved For Release 2003/05/23 ,:' CIA-RDP80601676R000800020048-2 Approved For Release 2003/05/23 : CIA-RDP80B01676R000800020048-2 c, Although the figures am *.croricasta Aar Table VU) feelside significant =oche1 ladividuals who ore net engaged in develepr,ent activity, the figures on Slat person nal include only pontos* who are associated wicks each work. If also eittrald be meted that the method et cafastuas laisAgo Is sienitsr. tip* ICA ditta, or ernattple? rater to Ave austatter ol individual* present at 4 pada in an underdeveloped casuistry on Il December 1951. are Bloc agar's ank tne *toter head, ?Mot to Zito *amber outiordeveleped countries tor ;ma month or loagir during fit* perle4 I Ally - II Doceaber t 75d. risie number bee increased daring the past Mx 11103412111 to isearly 4, M. oar view, Us* ~thug for the row beaglitas (VOA* 1) which maw mid* "NM Liteet onkcal-ewe* of Patyrreuts? kroe Weritl." should he charged. Several itetrs to. g., reitavested earnings and Pi- 4St3 traisisactiegts) alia1 itt? iscide4 is tilt* total have only an isdirect *fleet as *helmet* at payment* or an effect that is sot directly weioussable. c suggest a heading each as "rote* Public Aestistasscs and Diet Lolling* Investment and Dsftens,' ws teel that the sualieritad in the eauctuitteit tioaregralott $), coutparing aid in 1440, ehoold eles be Changed to read "... one?eighth of the entreat rate of total public assisuance and ?rival* iirreatmemt from kr.. *KA cowatrics." KOMI* gin upon are Again in cause year matt wilF16041 to perms fortis*r any of the points raised hare. Oistribution: brig. & I - Addressee I - DDCI 1 - DD/f 2 - AD/RR Cb/E DIS SiTT "Prtr RPIPACP 2() i?aceT-ely, rt: (-3 r ---- 4-4614413M76R000800020048-2 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/05,0 EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF BUREAU OF THE BUDGET WASHINGTON 25, D. C. My dear Mr. Du13.es: 0048 ?7-1 Executive fieguatzi t 11' F 195V We would appreciate very mu Ch your views on the enclosed draft Bureau of the Budget staff analysis of Free-World and Sino-Soviet Economic Aid Activity. Certain of the data contained in the report are based On infOrmation prepared in your agency. We should very much like to receive sucb Garments as you might have by August 1, 1959. Staff of the Bureau of the Budget are available for any eenaultation deemed detirable. Copies of the tables are also being sent to The Acting Seeretary of State, The Secretary of the Treuw, The Acting Secretary of Commerce., the Special Assistant to the President for National Security Affairs, and the Chairman of the Council on Foreign Scowaie policy. Sincerely yours, (signed) Maui io i. StanS Honorable Allen V. Nunes Director, Central Intelligence Agency Washington, 25, D. C. Enclosures Director WHIM WI ArrACHSINT Approved For Release 2003/05/23: CIA-RDP80601676R000800020048-2 ? SECRET Approved For Release 2003/05/23 : CIA-RDP80601676R000800020048-2 EXPLANATION OF THE TABLES These tables are a comparison of economic aid activity in the under- developed areas by the Sino-Soviet Bloc, the Free World, and the International Agencies for the years 1954 through 1958, Statistics on the Free World include Government programs, private investment and an estimate of private donations. The International Agencies can be considered essentially an activity of the Free World inasmuch as the Bloc supports only one of them, the United Nations Technical Assistance agency. There are seven tables in all: I - Summary of Expenditures by the Free World and Sino-Soviet Bloc on Economic Assistance to the Underdeveloped areas, 1954-1958 IIA - Regional Comparison of Net Expenditures by Sino-Soviet Bloc and United States Government on Economic Aid, 1954-1958 - Unexpended Balances and Unused Credits by Region, 1958 III - Commitments of Sino-Soviet Bloc Assistance (Economic and Military) by Source, 1954-1956.0.' IV - Detail of Sino-Soviet Bloc Aid, 1954-1958 V - Free World Government Economic Aid Expenditures in Underdeveloped areas, 1954-1958 VI - Free World Private Investment in Underdeveloped Areas, 1954-1958 VII - Comparison of Technicians and Other Professionals in Underdeveloped Areas, 1958 The underdeveloped areas of the world are defined as the Middle East; Asia, except Japan; Africa, except the Union of South Africa; Latin America; and three countries in Europe, Portugal, Spain and Yugoslavia. Greece and Turkey are included as part of the Middle East. The tables cover the past five years, 1954 through 1958, but the time period for each statistical series is not always the same. Figures for the Sino-Soviet countries, UN agencies, private donations and private invest- ment are for the calendar year. Figures for governments are for the fiscal year of the government concerned, thus: USA, July 1-June 30; UK, April 1- March 31, etc. Government figures for comparable time periods are not avail- able. Bovever, the time differences involved make no appreciable effect on either the magnitudes of the totals or their trend. Sino-Soviet Bloc The figures for the Sino-Soviet Bloc, except repayments, have been taken from the Economic Intelligence Committee publication, "Sino-Soviet Bloc Economic Activity in the Underdeveloped Areas." Repayments have been estimated, on the basis of discussions wia013tdikigagi9teoRioetedier to Approved For Release 2003/0Wil*IA- . . SECRET Approved For Release 2003/05/232: CIA-RDP801301676R000800020048-2 point up the small amount of repayments of Sino-Soviet credits thus far. The official exchange rate of four rubles to the dollar has been used. While this rate represents an over-evaluation of the ruble insofar as internal Russian prices are concerned, in world trade, Russian export prices have almost always approximated world price levels. It is also known that the cost of several particular projects, such as the steel mill in India, is reasonable by Western standards. Although some of the Sino-Soviet commitment figures include what are really barter trade Agreements, the total of Sino-Soviet trade with Free World underdeveloped countries has not been covered in the presentations on Bloc economic activity. Comparisons of Bloc trade with Free World trade have not been included in these tables. Almost the whole of Bloc assistance is in the form of loans. Of the total of $2.4 billion, only $98 million has been granted, and all of it in the economic program, as follows (figures in millions): Cambodia - $34; Burma - $30; Ceylon - $16; Nepal - $12; Egypt - $5; and India - $1. Communist China has made $61 million of the grants, Russia, $37 million. Since December 31, 1958, the terminal date of the tables, the pattern of Bloc commitments has remained unchanged with one important exception a commitment of $137 million in economic aid to Iraq hail been added to exception, military commitment of $118 million, made in October, 1950. Private Investment In the area of private investment, figures for the United States are rather good, but for other countries they are incomplete. From 1954 to 19570 direct investment by other countries was $3,640 million. Several hundred million dollars of portfolio investment are readily identifiable and so the figure on the table has been rounded up to $4 billion. Figures for short and medium term investment by non-Americans are not available, but this type of investment is becoming increasingly important for the lesser-developed countries. West Germany is the leading supplier of these credits after the USA. Of the $4.5 billion of American private investment in the under- developed areas tram 1954-1957, about $1 billion represents the short-term financing of ordinary commercial transactions. Such financing frequently helps countries with temporary balance of payments troubles, but probably should not be considered AS a development activity. It is worth noting that before and after World War I portfolio investment was the favorite form of long-term capital investment. Not until after WW I/ did direct investment become the common form of long-term investment, and not until three years ago was interest in portfolio investment renewed. Since 1956 portfolio investment by the U. S. has increased about three times over the level of the early 1950s. It has also been increasing, but more slowly, in Western Europe. (Only $40 million of American private investment is covered by the Investment Guaranty Program.) SECRET Approved For Release 2003/05/2a: CIA-RDP80601676R000800020048-2 SECRET Approved For Release 2003/05/23 : CIA-RDP801301676R000800020048-2 - 3 - Technical and Related Personnel Figures on Free World personnel, except American, are not available. Bence, the table it limited to a comparison of the United States and the Bloc. For this country, employees of private companies are shown as well as Govern- ment personnel, inasmuch as both are required to make a true comparison between the United States and the Bloc. The figures in the "private" column are the total number of "principals" reported in the OCB study on Americans overseas. There is no way of identifying the number of non-government persons engaged in activities of direct benefit to the country of residence. In many of the Latin American countries there are a number of self-employed profes- sional people. There are many others in non-development commercial activities, such as the luxury trades or international passenger, shipping, and airline companies. Some are in the twilight zone. In spite of theme reservations, it is probably not unreasonable to assume that at least three quarters of the number in any of the Latin American countries are associated with development-type activities. In Africa, the Riddle East, and Asia it can be assumed that virtually all Americans are engaged in activities of direct benefit to the country, except in Lebanon, where it can be assumed that the percentage so engaged is very small. There is one general exception in all countries - missionaries wholly engaged in religious activities. These, however, are rather few, probably no more than a third of the approximately 27,000 American mission- aries abroad, because much missionary activity today is of a public welfare sort - schools, hospitals and clinics, even agricultural technical assist- atleet. The personnel table is limited solely to persons engaged in economic activities. It is in no way a measure of the number of persons from either the Bloc or the Free World Who are engaged in political, propaganda, and other non-economic activities. * * * * * * * * * * * NOTE: ONLY THE BIRO-SOVIET BLOC STATISTICS ARE SECRET, ALL OTHERS ARE UNCLASSIFIED. Approved For Release 2003/05/23 : CIA-RDP80601676R000800020048-2 SECRET Approved For Release 2003/05/23 : tIA-ROP801301676R000800020048-2 General Conclusions of Comparison of Sino-Soviet Bloc and tseeozma-recraarxrdw---- A brnrr The material contained in this study covers the years 1954 through 1958 and was derived from documents published by official agencies, U. S. and international. A few of the figures have been estimated or interpolated, and have been no indicated. The magnitudes of the totals have not been affected by these methods. The principal conclusions of the study are: 1. On a world-vide basis, Soviet economic aid activity in the past five yearn has been dwarfed by U.S. activity, public and private. Activity by other free meld countries is also much larger than the Bloc's. 2. Bloc activity is concentrated in a few countries. In Syria, Egypt, and Afghanistan, Bloc activity is much larger than all Free World programs, government and private, combined. Though Bloc expenditures in India appear to be large, they are much less than Free World aid. Bloc assistance to Yugoslavia had bean large, but was cancelled about a year ago. 3. Through 1958, Bloc expenditures have been relatively high in the military program, relatively low in the economic program. However, on the basis of present commitments, expendi- tures on economic aid can be expected to rise rapidly while military expenditures Will taper off. Total expenditures should reach an annual rater of one half billion dollars by 1960 or shortly thereafter. Even at this level Bloc aid would be only one-eighth of the current rate of the net outflow of resources from Free World coUntrieS. Thus, the problems raised by Bloc aid programs do not appear to be a function of amount, but of selectivity, propaganda activities, method of administratiOn, and similar matters. 4. In any comparison of technical and related personnel of the Soviet Bloc and U.S., the figures are overwhelmingly in favor of the U.S. SECRIer Approved For Release 2003/05/23 : CIA-RDP80601676R000800020048-2 ppruved Fur Release 2003/05/23 : CIA-RDP8OBO1576R00080-0020048=2------------- SECE TABLE I Summary of Expenditures by the Free World and Sino-Soviet Bloc on Economic Assistance to the Underdeveloped Areas, 1954-1958 (millions of dollars) 1954 - 1957 1958 TOTAL Unexpended Balances & unused credits Loans and Grants Repayments of principal and interest Net Expenditures Loans and Grants Repayments Net E*penditures Loans and Grants Repayments Net Expenditures Sino-Soviet Bloc. 250 5 245 150 20 130 400 25 375 1,200 Free World - Public U.S. A 6,976 699 6,277 2,173 256 1,917 9,149 955 8,194 3,557 .,' Other Government Y 4,091 83 4,008 1,301 60 1,243. 5,392 143 5,249 1,584 21, IBRD and IFC 495 115 380 285 60 225 780 175 605 648 Other UN Agencies 27 371 - 371 95 95 466 - 466 n.a. 2/ Total 11,933 897 11,036 3,854 376 3,478 15,787 1,273 1:4,514 n.a. Free World - Private Investment U.S A Other country Subtotal Private Donations 2/ Total Net effect on balance of payments, Free World New Invest. & Reinvest. earnings Remission of 22E21210_ 5,466 3,400 Net new investment Investment Earnings_ Net Investment Earnings Net 5,650 14,000 184 600 1,800 1,200 1,800 1,00O o 200 7,450 5,200 ------ 7,266 41o0 184 800 9,650 950 8,866 784 950 3,000 250 2,800 200 250 12,650 1,200 ------- 11,666 984 1,200 -.- 10,660 8,866 1,734 12,770 3,250 2,800 450 3,928 13,850 11,666 2,184 16,698 y Does not include uncommitted spending authority, e.g., borrowing authority of Export-Import Bank 2/ Western Europe, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Japan and India 2/ United Nations Technical Assistance (MITA), United Nations International Children's Emergency Fund (UNICEF), United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees (UNRWA), and United Nations Korean Rehabilitation Agency (UNKRA). The United Nations definition of an obligation is services rendered or goods delivered. Hence, any carryover of unliquidated obligations merely represents the normal time lag in making payments. Most European countries also base their budgets on expenditures rather than obligations, and what we call unexpended balances do not exist. There is, however, a carryover of what we call contract authority, but no figures are available. The figure of 1,584 is the unexpended amount of Japanese reparation payments. !/ About 80% American. Principal categories are gifts to Israel from private Americans, private American foundations, foreign missions, and German restitution payments to individuals resident in Israel. .11 The figures on this line have been rounded on the Summary Table and differ from the detail on Tables IIB, III and IV by $1 million, Approved For Release 2003/05/23: CIA-RDP80601676R000800020048-2 Approved For Release 2003/05/23 . CIA-RDP80601676R000800020048-2 SECRET TABLE IIA Regional Comparison of Net Expenditures by Sino-Soviet Bloc and U. S. Government on Economic Aid, 1954-1958 Far East Near East So. Asia Africa Latin America Western Europe Undistributed Total Sino-Soviet Bloc 80- 182 o 3 134 - 399 Less Repayments 2/ -25 Net Total --'17 U.S. Government 4 187 2,038 114 795 ilo61 ivadtt 8,194 Mutual Security Program 3,814 1,127 62 224 490 _ 5,717 X-M Bank: Gross (82) (64) (29) (826) (29) - (1,030) Less Repayments (34) (56) (13) (507) 13.2) - (_635) Net 48 8 16 319 4 - 395 P.L. 48o, Titles II & III 131 258 36 82 175 - 682 Title I 194 611.11. o 170 392 1,1100 TABLE IIB Unexpended Balances and Unused Credits by Region, 1958 Sino-Soviet Bloc 198 866 y 2 101 34 0 1,201 - U.S. Government 81.1.1 837 127 764 109 879 3,557 Mutual Security Program 814 634 97 90 73 135 1,843 X-M. Bank 27 203 30 674 36 0 970 P.L. 48o _ _ - 744 711.11. 2/ Repayments of Bloc credits cannot be distributed by region. 12/ Of which UAR - $367 million and India-$188 million. '14 SOURCES: Regional distribution of figures on Tables IV and V Approved For Release 2003/05/23 : CIA-RDP80601676R000800020048-2 Approved For Release 20 ? i ? ? 11 II ? II II II II ? TABLE III Commitments of Sino-Soviet Bloc Assistance (Economic and Military) by Source, 1954-1958 (millions of dollars) 1954 1955 1956 USSR 5.8 115.5 542.7 European Satellites 5.0 223.3 119.3 Czechoslavakia 5.0 214.6 90.1 Poland - 23.2 East Germany.... - 8.7 2.9 Bulgaria, Hungary, Rumania - - 3.1 Communist China - 55.4 Total 10.8 338.8 717.4 Et 1957 1958 Total Economic Military 245.5 702.2 1,611.7 1,254.0 357.7 21.4 2/2:1 648.9 227.0 421.9 16.4 82.7 408.8 100.9 307.9 155.5 178.7 64.7 114.0 2.3 30.1 11-4.0 43/4.0 - 2.7 11.6 17.4 17.4 - 20.0 43.6 119.0 119.0 286.9 1,025.7 2,379.6 1,600.0 779.6 Source: Sino-Soviet Bloc Economic Activity in Underdeveloped Areas 1 July - 31 December 1958 (EIC-R14-86) Approved For Release 2003/05/23 : CIA-RDP80601676R000800020048-2 10 SECRET TABLE ror Sino-Soviet Bloc Aid, 1954-1958 (millions of dollars) Egypt Syela UAR Indonesia India.. ..... ..... Yugoslavia Afghanistan.......... . Argenina c Iraq Yemen Ceylon Burma Cambodia. Nepal Turkey Iceland ... Iran Ethiopia Brazil ill . .. . .. . a/ Commitments- Obligations Expenditures Economic Military Total Economic Military Taal 442.1 168.6 Economic Military Total 311.0 194.6 315.0 127.7 626.0 322.3 127.1 40.9 315.0 127.7 9.1 20.8 265.0 127.7 274.1 148.5 505.6 194.0 304.1b/ 163.1- 126.6 102.1 - /42.3 58.0 34.2 34.0 12.6 12.5 4.6 2.3 2,0 2.0 442.7 169.5 - .. 32.4 - 118.0 17.0 . - - - . - _ ... T375 - 363.5 304.1b/ 163.1- 159.0 102.1 118.0 59.3 58.0 34.2 34.0 12.6 12.5 4.6 2.3 2.0 2.0 168.0 106.6 304.1 163.1 94.8 34.1 37.6 15.4 7.5 28.4 12.6 12.5 4.6 2.3 2.0 2.0 442.7 169.5 32.4 118.0 17.0 IND SO 610.7 276.1 304.1 163.1 127.2 34.1 118.0 54.6 15.4 7.5 28.4 12.6 12.5 4.6 2.3 2.0 2.0 1,775.2 29.9 55.0 116.9 132.0 37.8 1.0 tan 2.4 9.0 4.2 7.5 1.5 2.0 392.7 58.0 32.14 17.0 111?? .Mk .1MO gle 422.6 113.0 116.9 1320 70.2 1.0 17.0 2.4 9.0 4.2 7.5 1.5 2.0 1,600.0 779.6 2,379.6 995.6 779.6 399.2 500.1 899.3 Commitments Economic Aid 1,600 Military Aid 780 Pipeline Table Obligations 995 780 pir Grants are $98 mil., of which $61 mil. from:China and $37 mil. from Russia. Major re-CI:pleats are Cambodia, Burma, Ceylon, and Nepal. 12/ Net after suspension of $244 mil. in early 1958. 2/ ExCludes $137 mil. in economic aid eammitted in April 1959. U Unexpended Expenditures Balance 12/31/58 1400 1,200 500 280 Sources: Sino-Soviet Bloc Economic Activities in Underdeveloped Areas 7/1-12/31/58 BIC R14-56) Soviet Economic Aid, Joseph Berliner, Praeger, New York, 1958 Approved For Release 2003/05/23 : CIA-RDP80601676R000800020048-2 - TABLE V Free World Governmental Economic Aid Expenditures in Underdeveloped Areas - 1954-1958 (millions of dollars) LS A 1954-1957 1958 Grants 6,976 Loans Repaymenta get Total Grants Loans Repayments Net Total Grants 6,076 5,394 - 682 3.901 9,149 ( ( (4,823- 4,311 - 512 2,910 338 412 112 104 139 105 371 1,141 445 696 - _2447 189 0 17 1 51 0 495 699 6,277 1,253 1,003 - 170 991 --517- 146 137 1411 38 37 62 95 -07" - 2,173 256 1,917 1,012 U,933 241 458 - 83 ---TE- 24 0 6 0 29 0 115 4,515 238 512 1,012 4,008 532 198 334 388 310 --irr 44 0 17 1 0 21 285 79 177 60 --zr- 11 0 0 0 8 0 60 1,202 157 170 388 1,400 15,787 MSP Ex-in Bank" P.L. 4802 Y Titles n and m Title I Other Government France IRE 0ermany Canada Australia Other Went limp. & Commonwealth 2,599 503 412 123 105 161 105 751 -171- 300 31,036 --24- 179 137 61 39 29 83 320 --or 225 3,478 2,227 484 549 156 142 176 167 466 --gr India and Jaw International Agencies ....... man, ItgorA, Diffk, UNICEF !!/ IRRD and IFC Total Government 371 1495 115 897 0 285 3,854 0 60 376 Loans 1,673 643 1,030 445- 233 0 34 2 51 21 780 0 780 Total Unexpended balances & Unused Credits Repayments Net Total 955 8,194 3,557 ----- 320 5,717 1, 943 635 355 970 682 1,400 744 10 5,249 n.a. -65-- 3312 n.a. 35 682 n.a. 0 549 n.a.. 6 184 n.a. 0 144 n.a. 37 190 DA. 0 188 1,584 175 -----_6-- 648 ...2.104,16 n.a. 175 605 648 1,273 14,514 n.a. 2/ P.L. 480 has been handled as followes Figures for Titles II and III represent deliveries and are entered in the oGranti column; figures for Title I represent deposits and are a combination of both country uses and U. S. uses, lees Treasury dollar receipts from sales of P.L. 480 currencies. These have been taken out of the total since they represent a loss of dollar income to the country. Thus, the figures for Title I assume that all commodities delivered represent an offset in the foreign exchange requirements of the recipient countries except for this dollar loss. The best measure of benefit to the country is the commodity import without foreign exchange lose, rather than the share of sales proceeds used for country purposes. 1/ Contributions to the international organisations are not included in the country figures, but are shown instead as expenditures by the International Agencies. Sources: U.S. Budget Annual Reports of Export-Import Bank 11 Statistical Yearbook, 1958 Foreign Grants and Credits by the U. S. Government - published quarterly by the Dept. of Cammerce /international Economic Assistance to the Lees Developed Countries, 1957/58 - United Nations Annual Reports of IBRD Annual Reports of IFC Approved For Release 2003/05/23: CIA-RDP80601676R000800020048-2 Semi-Annual Reports on P.L. 460 - prepared by the Department of Agriculture Contributions of Members and Associated Countries 4 , a Outside Europe - MC, December, 1957 Approved For Release 2003/05/23 . CIA-RDP80601676R000800020048-2 TABLE VI Free World Private Investment in Underdeveloped Areas, 1954-1958 (Millions of dollars) 1954 1957 1958 (Est) Remissions Direct Short- A. U.S.A. Oil Other Total Portfolio Term Total Latin America Asia, Middle East, Africa IBRD and IFC (1470) (1332) 2802 ( 717) ( 155) 872 (2187) (1487) 3674 513 608 3923 305 258 1435 292 - 292 um -767 -5-6-5-0- of Earnings Net Effect Invest- merit Remissions Net Effect 3145 788 - - 2321 -886 - - - 292 5466 184 1555- 1855- 0 1954 - 1957 1958 (Est) Invest- Net B. Other Countries, Total Investment Earnings Remitted Net Result merit Remissions Effect Direct Investment Only France 1760 1900 -1100 United Kingdom 1400 ) Germany 175 ) ,MP Switzerland 170 ) 1300 580 Sweden 55 ) Netherlands 35 ) Other Countries 45 ) 361g) 12/ 3200 12/ 440 1200 1000 200 5/ Includes reinvested earnings as well as_new investment. NOTE: It has been necessary to estimate or interpolate some of the figures on European and Commonwealth private investment and for all countries for the year 1958. SOURCES: UN Statistical Yearbook, 1958 The International Flow of Private Capital, 1956-1958 - UN Balance of Payments Yearbook - IMF Survey of Current Business - published monthly by the Department of Commerce Economic Development of Overseas Countries and Territories Associated with OEECAletber Countries, OEEC, August 1958 W On the Summary Table these figures have been increased to 4,000 and 3,400 respectively in order to show the effect of identifiable portfolio investment. Country detail of such investments is not available. Approved For Release 2003/05/23 : CIA-RDP80601676R000800020048-2 a pproved For Release 2003105123 . C - OB01676R0 20048-2 TABLE VII Comparison of Technicians and other Professionals in Underdeveloped Countries, 1958 a/ AMERICANS - ICA Internationalb 5irea-e-Contractor Organizations-1 Riddle East 613 183 Egypt Syria (1) (0) (0) (0) Sub-total united Arab Republic 1 0 Yemen 0 0 Turkey 129 64 Iran 249 90 Iraq 70 11 Israel, Lebanon, Sudan, Jordan 164 18 Regional 0 0 Asia 1 676 22.?.1 Afghanistan85 -L--- 128 Burma 12 0 Cambodia 97 192 Ceylon 37 17 India 126 47 Indonesia 110 70 Pakistan 180 219 Taiwan, Korea, Laos, Nepal, Philippines, Tballand, Vietiima. 1,029 951 Regional 0 0 Africa 452 137 Ethiopia 114 60 Geum, Liberia, /Alva; Morocco, Nigeria, Tunisia, Somalia, Fed. of Rbod. A Nyamland 338 77 Nest Europe 101 9 Yugoslavia 33 9 Greece 30 0 Spain 38 0 Latin America 9141 90 Argentina 6 0 Brasil 130 25 Mils 57 10 Mexico 11 4 Other 737 61 3,783 2043 'addle East 613 _s 183 Asia.. 1,676 1,624 Africa 452 137 Western Europe 101 9 Latin America 941 90 Sub-total - Government Private 77 9,668 , n.a. n.a. n.a. n.ii? 22 447 O 0 8 707 9 550 6 542 32 7.422 0 0 87. - 19.522 4 13 5 141 O 322 6 104 17 2,218 6 1,109 10 732 39 14,883 O 0 29 8,21j6 2 289 27 7,857 6 6 1,022 0 4,212 0 3,218 125 47,065 , 0 2,424 13 4,060 lo 934 30 18,494 72 22,153 324 92,853 , 77 9,668 87 19,522 29 8,246 6 8,452 125 47,065 Total USSR Czechoslavakia East Germany 10,541 425 195 195 . , n.a. I, 145 95 145 n.a.. 11 165 25 25 470 (310) (120) (170) 0 ' 100 60 10 908 5 15 15 898 10 0 0 629 , n.a. n.a. n.a. Y,636 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 22,909 1 295 145 40 -L.-- 230 530 70 0 158 75 o o 611 20 0 0 164 25 0 0 2,408 495 25 0 1,295 150 45 40 1,141 0 5 0 16,902 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8,7614 25 0 0 465 25 0 0 SINO-SOVIET BLOC Hungary, Bulgaria, Poland Rumania Communist China International Organizations Total 235 30 4 El_ 150 .- 1 535 ? 60 - 1 275 (210) - (2) (810) 0 30 . 200 25 7 - 60 0 - 10 n.a. n.a. - 60 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 60 55 23 1,618 0 0 2 60e o 10 1 86 0 30 0 50 0 10 0 35 30 0 0 550 30 5 19 289 0 0 o 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 26 0 0 0 25 8,299 8 568 8452-.1.----- o lo o 5 o o o 0 o 0 1 2 1 17 1,070 4,242 10 o 0 5 0 o 0 o 0 o 2 o 12 5 3,256 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 40,221 5 13 o 142__. o o 60 1,430 0 5 o 40 o o . 45 4,218 0 3 o 2 o 0 5 1,011 o 5 o o o o 5 10,539 5 o o o o o 5 23,023 o o o o o o o 99,003, 1 76o 353 332 30 2,805 -A---- 425 195 .235 , 1,95 235 -..--. 30 4 1,084 10,541 22,909 1,295 145 40 60 55 23 1,618 8,764 25 o o o 0 1 26 8,568 10 5 o o o 2 17 48,221 5 13 o 42 o o 60 ICL: Direct Eire 3,783 Sources, ICA Personnel Strength Monthly Report for December 31, 1958 Contractor 2,043 5826 - T03P-Report an Learicans Abroad July 16, 1958 Inter. Organization 324 ginooSoviet Bloc Economic Activities in Underdeveloped Areas, July 1 -Dec. 31, 1958, EIC4L14-56 ; Fl eta 15195- Figures an personnel of other Free World countries are not available. All Americans employed in underdeveloped countries by International organizations are assumed to be engaged in activities of direct benefit to the country, an assumption which can be regarded as at least 90% correct. Approved For Release 2003/05/23 : CIA-RDP801301676R000800020048-2