MONTHLY REPORT FOR SEPTEMBER 1958.

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP62S00231A000100100034-6
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 3
• Document Creation Date: November 9, 2016
• Document Release Date: November 30, 1998
• Sequence Number: 34
• Publication Date: October 1, 1958
• Content Type: MEMO

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4`"O""'I%Titized - Approved For RelessePJiRDP62S00231 A0 00100100034-6
Office Memorandum ' UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT
TO Chief, Industrial Division, ORR
FROM : Chief, Manufacturing Sectors Branch, D/I
svsJECr: Monthly Report for September 1958.
DATE: 1 October 1958
1. Status of Branch Projects:
30.1535 -- Industrial Capital Investment in Communist
25X9A5
China. A memo recommendih g the cancellation of is pro ect -gill
be forwarded within the next day or so.
30.1535 -- Investment in Light Indust in Communist 25X1A9a
China. I have finished red ing tif~l t of this
pro ct. This was about 95% completed before he undertook the
Albanian NIS assignment about 9 months ago. He feels that mush
of this paper is considerably outdated and will need much
additional research in order to bring it up to date. As it now
stands, the report is tied in with China's raw material position.
The investment requirements in light industry are related to
China's ability to increase the output of essential raw materials,
cotton, wool, silk, oils 'and so forth. China's present "leap-
forward" campaign complicates this report. For example, the Chinese
formerly had a 1962 goallof 2.4 million tons of cotton. A recent
Chinese statement claims that the 1958 cotton crop will be about
5 million tons. Under the old 1962 goal the conclusion was
justified that little additional cotton textile capacity was needed.
If the new Chinese claims prove correct, the old conclusion is
hardly justifiable. It is difficult at this time to explain the
great and sudden increase in the cotton crop.
e Nine months additional data and the complication of the
"leap-forward" claims undoubtedly affect this paper. However,
f 30.20+3 -- Capital Investment in the Producers' E uipment
25X1 Aga Industry in Communist Ch na. This report is coming along very we 'l.
de some major changes in the organization as a
result of my initial review of some of the preliminary material.
I believe that a very good draft should be forthcoming in October
or early November..
QrT
~S?'anit zed - Approved For Release': -RDP62S00231A000100100034-6
 Sanitized - Approved For Relea 2S00231A000100100034-6
SUBJECT: Monthly Report for September 1958.
25X1 A93-
25X1A9a
? 32.488 -- Induetrial Investment Policy in East Germany.
as gotten back to work on this project and has made some
ss. His major problem has been in having several different,
and conflicting investment series. He has decided to go ahead
using the series on centralized industry as this gives both gross
investment and a breakdot for net investment. We feel that a
definite due date committment can be made by the end of October.
34.89+ -- The termination of Cost and Price in Soviet
Machine Builds g. I have received a draft o report, and 25X1A9a
hope tofinish my review, within the next week to 10 days.
34.1928 -- European Satellite Trade in Machinery and
Transport Equipment,__195 -1957. The draft of this report has been
submitted to the Division. I am preparing comments for the
forwarding memo to Ch/E. I feel this project is in good shape
now although it would probably be possible to do a little more
cutting without damage to the report. I feel this has been
best work to date.
3+.1930 -- Foundxv Production - A Major Bottleneck in
Soviet Machinery. We want to close this project out in short
order. As a result of some other more pressing projects I have
not gotten to work with 25X1A9a
had confidence that be hneexploringfuseful areas.oflrehav-e
search
and that a worthwhile project will emerge.
30.1830 -- NIS 13A, East Germany. as one a 25X1A9a
very excellent'job in getting his NIS unde
unequalled knowledge of sources as an
gives excellent guidance to
analysts charged with writing subsections, and has prepared
several pages of format instructions for the typists. There may
still be problems in meeting the due date of late December to
the Division. No ERA contributions have been received (the due
date was 30 September) and there will probably be delays running
up to 4 or more weeks befgre all are received. The Service
contributions, due on 15 October, will put a very heavy and concentrated load on working on 25X1 A9a
"A" General, however, some of i work eisndependent upon the
receipt of the various contributions. If it becomes apparent
that there is little likelihood of meeting the December due date
I feel that an assistant should be assigned to help. There is
an immense amount of detail work that an NIS coordinator performs
that could very well be delegated to a bright junior analyst.
How tiuch of a problem we will have with this NIS actually depends
on the quality of the subsections. We should get some understanding
of this later in the month,
Sanitized - Approved F
2. Status of Support Projects:
-RDP62500231 A000100100034-6
 Sanitized - Approved For Refe DP62S00231A000100100034-6
SUBJECT: Monthly Report for September 1958?
25X1A9a
10.1803 -- Communist China Through 1963. - the
Division coordinator, in ends to meet with D /A this month and 1
issue instructions to D/I analysts. Yet to be resolvedis the,
question of the machinery index.
3. Changes in Estimates -- No comments.
4. Relationships with Other Components -- No comments.
5. Future Plans -- The major problem confronting the branch
is to complete the various research projects that are a carry-over
from I/MM and I/TH. Later in the fall, I want to get an early
start on research planning for next year.
6. Other Problems -- I want to emphasize once again that we
are going 7o have an extremely heavy typing load in the immediate
weeks ahead. We will undoubtedly require assistance from other
typists in the division in order to complete our NIS committments.
We need an early replacement for 25X1A9a
25X1A9a
Sanitized - Approved For Release : CIA-RDP62SO0231A000100100034-6