RECOMMENDATIONS OF THE WORKING GROUP

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CIA-RDP85-01156R000100090001-7
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RIPPUB
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K
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83
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December 21, 2016
Document Release Date: 
August 20, 2008
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1
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Publication Date: 
October 7, 1983
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MEMO
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STAT Approved For Release 2008/08/20: CIA-RDP85-01156R000100090001-7 Approved For Release 2008/08/20: CIA-RDP85-01156R000100090001-7 Approved For Release 2008/08/20: CIA-RDP85-01156R000100090001-7 EXECUTIVE SECRETARIAT Routing Slip ACTION INFO DATE INITIAL 1 DCI 2 DDC 3 EXDIR 4 D/- ICs--5 DDI 6 DDA 7 DDO 8 DDS&T 9 Chm/NIC 10 GC 11 IG 12 Compt 13 D/EEO 14 D/Pers 15 D/OEA 16 C/PAD/OEA 17 SA/IA 18 A0/DCI 19 C/IPD/OIS 20 IffJO ECON 21 22 Exe`cufive Se retary l' Dot. Approved For Release 2008/08/20: CIA-RDP85-01156R000100090001-7 ILLEGIB ..^ Irrr u/11 ICG Approved For Release 2008/08/20: CIA-RDP85-01156R000100090001-7 0 WASHINGTON W CABINET AFFAIRS STAFFING MEMORANDUM Date: Subject: OMB. CIA 10/7/83 ALL CABINET MEMBERS Vice President State Treasury Defense Attorney General Interior Agriculture Commerce Labor HHS HUD Transportation Energy Education Counsellor Number: CM 379 Due By: Trade Law Rev_i sion-Chi nP+- GSA EPA OPM UA SBA REMARKS: CCCTIGunn CCEA/Porter CCFA/ CCHR/Carleson CCLP/Uhlmann CCMA/Bledsoe CCNRE/ The Cabinet Council on Commerce and Trade will meet to discuss Trade Law Revision on Wednesday,, October 12 at 8:45 AM in the Roosevelt Room. RETURN TO: ^ Craig L. Fuller ^ Katherine Anderson L", Assistant to the President ^ Tom Gibson ^ Don Clarey Larry Herbolsheimer for Cabinet Affairs Associate Director Approved For Release 2008/08/20: CIA-RDP85-01156R000100090001-7 fairs (,nnnr?i 1 nn ('nmmome ~?rl m--A- Action... FYI ?r,^ CEA CEQ OSTP Baker Deaver Clark Darman (For WH Staffing) NOW SuiH J Jenkins. Approved For Release 2008/08/20: CIA-RDP85-01156R000100090001-7 0 oW I UNWD STATES DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE 1114C1'1101.IY1101 I1-au /'~Y11111RS N'04tNIt '~ . Washington. D.C. 20230 MEMORANDUM FOR: The Cabinet Council on Commerce and Trade FROM: Alan F. Holmer Chairman, Working Group on Trade Law Revision ..SUBJECT: Recommendations of the Working Group At its September 1'+ meeting, the Cabinet Council directed that a working group be formed to develop recommended Administration positions on (1) Congressman Gibbons' proposals to reform the antidumping (AD) and countervailing-duty (CVD) laws (Tab A) and (2) proposals developed by the Department of Commerce (Tab B). As discussed on the following pages, the Working Group reached a consensus recommendation with respect to each aspect of Congressman Gibbons' proposals. It also developed consensus recommendations on the proposals suggested by the apartment of Commerce. In general, the Working Group supported proposals which would serve to promote the aims of more efficient, more equitable, more predictable, and less costly administration of the AD and CVD laws. The Working Group also reviewed and approved a package of 45 technical amendments-to the AD/CVD laws suggested by Commerce (Tab C). Approved For Release 2008/08/20: CIA-RDP85-01156R000100090001-7 Approved For Release 2008/08/20: CIA-RDP85-01156R000100090001-7 Gibbons Proposals Each of Congressman Gibbons' proposals will be briefly described, followed by the recommended position on that proposal. (Except as noted, there was consensus in the Working Group on the recommended Administration position). Starting on page 9, the additional proposals presented by Commerce are discussed. A. Trade Remed Assistance Office: This proposal would establish an office within the International Trade Commission (ITC) to answer inquiries on available trade remedies; and direct ITC and Commerce to assist small business. petitioners in preparing and filing petitions under the AD and CVD laws. o Oppose. Commerce and ITC are sensitive to small business concerns and already provide-much assistance to them. o" The provision probably would be ineffective and very costly. o However, the proposal has considerable support in the Congress. Strong opposition probably is not advisable. I. Targeting Monitoring Program: This proposal would require the ITC to establish a program to monitor, analyze, and report -on ILLEGIB whether foreign governments have planned or implemented targeting programs. o Oppose. This would duplicate a program already established in 'Commerce. o It would add significant burdens for our economic reporting offices overseas. o However, the proposal is likely have strong Congressional support. Strong opposition probably is not advisable. C. Inclusion of T~~argeti.ng Schemes Within Scope of CVD Law: This proposal would ce ine as subsidies specie targeting practices (such as protect-_~d home markets and loose antitrust standards) and would make them actionable under the CVD law. o Strong opposition. There is no domestic or international consensus on what is targeting. o CVD is the wrong law to address targeting because quantification of any benefits provided would be exceedingly arbitrary and therefore could be challenged in the GATT and U.S. courts. Approved For Release 2008/08/20: CIA-RDP85-01156R000100090001-7 Approved For Release 2008/08/20: CIA-RDP85-01156R000100090001-7 ? _ o Many U.S. practices probably could be considered targeting by foreign governments. o Even if the Administration succeeds in convincing the Hill that CVD is not the right law, it must be prepared either to take the initiative or to react to Hill proposals for responding to targeting practices under other U.S. trade laws. D. Include U stream Subsidies in CVD Law: This proposal has two poin s. The first would provide a the CVD law would apply to any benefit bestowed on a product "upstream" from the product under investigation (i.e., a part or component) if the benefit is available only to specific industries or groups of industries (i.e., is not generally available within the economy) and if the benefit is passed through to and affects the price of the product under investigation. The second part of the proposal is intended to overturn the standard used by the Commerce Department in the Mexican ammonia case. It would consider as an upstream subsidy the sale by a government of natural resources at regulated prices when foreign purchasers were not allowed to purchase the resource at the same low price. (Congressman Gillis Long, D.-La., has introduced the same proposal). o Support first part of proposal to the extent it codifies current Commerce practice; oppose the second. o The first part principally codifies existing Commerce practice. o The second part would radically alter the essence of the CVD law, which counters distortions of resource allocations within a cointry. (Thus, as long as the same price is charged to all domestic purchasers, there is no subsidy). o The U.S. would be vulnerable in areas such as regulated natural gas if our trading partners adopt the same standard. This could affect our textile and chemical industries' exports. o There is much dissatisfaction with the Commerce ammonia decision and thus strong political pressure for change. On the other hand, there is growing concern that the change, if any, not affect petrochemical exports from Saudi Arabia. o We need to explore whether there is some middle ground between Gibbons proposal and the Commerce decision that is acceptable to both the Administration and the Hill. Approved For Release 2008/08/20: CIA-RDP85-01156R000100090001-7 Approved For Release 2008/08/20: CIA-RDP85-01156R000100090001-7 -4- E. Limited Prohibition of Downstream Dumping: This proposal would expand the law to cover the sale at ess than fair value (or below cost) of a part or component used to produce the merchandise under investigation. (An example would be basic steel products sold below cost to foreign fabricators who exported their semi-finished steel products to the U.S.)'. o Oppose. Where an international sale (one third country into another) was involved -- e.g., Korean basic steel used by Japanese fabricators -- such a provision would violate the GATT. -Even where the sale occurred within one country, an AD argon against the exporter would not affect the party engaged 1:o the unfair trade practice, the supplier of the input. o In addition, it would be directed at foreign domestic commerce rather than international trade, thus calling into question the propriety of coverage by a trade remedy law. F. Revision of Standards for Calculating Dumping from State- a`on ro a Economies s The proposal wou create an y artificial pricing test to replace the current standard of using third country market surrogates in AD investigations of SCE exporters. Dumping duties would be assessed to the extent-SCE exports were cheaper than the lowest average price of competitive products from market economies (including the U.S.). This is the same proposal as introduced by Senator Heinz in S.1351. o Support concept but urge additional thinking as to the injury test and the appropriate pricing standard. o Virtually all (including Commerce administrators) concede that the current standard is arbitrary, costly, and very difficult to administer. o Gibbons/Heinz woul.d promote more certainty and would be less costly and easier to administer. o Last year the Administration supported the basic concept of then-current version of the Heinz bill (S.958), though it noted problems with particular provisions. This revised version responds to several Administration concerns. Approved For Release 2008/08/20: CIA-RDP85-01156R000100090001-7 Approved For Release 2008/08/20: CIA-RDP85-01156R000100090001-7 -5- o Despite the significant improvement over prior versions, there still are areas where change is needed. In particular, several agencies expressed major concern about the granting of an injury test only to SCE's which were GATT members. (They argued that it also should apply where required by bilateral commitments). There also was some concern about the level of the artificial pricing standard. Using the lowest market price would permit inefficient SCE exporters to dump with impunity down to the price of the most efficient market competition; it also would preclude efficient SCE exporters from pricing below less efficient market competition. o Administration efforts to reach consensL"s-on technical details should continue at the staff level. G. Improve Injury Standards: 1. Cumulation of Injury Determinations -- This proposal would require the ITU to consider the combined injury effect from two or more sources when the petitions were filed simultaneously. o 0 ose cumulation being mandatory; su ort continuation ~f 1TL discretion. The appropriateness (or lack thereof) yr cumu ation can only be judged on a case-by-case basis. -ITC discretion is crucial. 2. ITC Consideration of Causal Link: This proposal would direct the to consider the level of dumping or subsidization in its determinations of whether a U.S. industry is being injured by reason of the unfairly traded imports. o Support. Where the import would undersell domestic coition even if AD or CVD duties were imposed, one cannot seriously argue that there is injury by reason of the imports. 3. Permit Findin of Injury Before Actual Im ortation: This proposal would clari, y that an injury finding could be based on sales (or offers for sale) for future delivery, rather than having to await actual. importation. o Support as to sales; suggest further study as to offers. o The proposal is designed to ensure ability to act where (as in the recent CVD proceeding on Railcars from Canada) sale c-cur:, years before actual importation. Loss of the bid. (sale to a foreign competitor) is the point at which injury occurs in such cases. o To avoid GATT inconsistency and a very protectionist measure, support for coverage of offers should be withheld unless language is narrowly drawn to include only bona fide, .irrevocable offers. Approved For Release 2008/08/20: CIA-RDP85-01156R000100090001-7 Approved For Release 2008/08/20: CIA-RDP85-01156R000100090001-7 ? _ w 4. Criteria for Threat of Injury: The proposal would elaborate. standards for threat of injury. The focus would be on assessing the probability of imports causing-actual injury, based on factors including the nature of the unfair trade practice and likelihood of increased exports to the U.S. (Commerce proposed an alternate change, based on forecasted price effects of increased imports). o Support principle of codifying and clarifying current standards nd overturning limiting -Judicial decisions, but oppose any extension in scope. o There was wide agreement that expanding the scope of the threat concept would- bey high-ly protectionist. - o While agreeing in concept to the principle of codifying current standards, there was-widespread agreement that drafting of appropriate standards would be a difficult task. o Administration efforts to reach consensus on technical details should continue at the staff level. 5. Special Threat of Injury Standards for Targeting Cases: This provision would specify special criteria- D determining threat of injury in cases involving targeting subsidies. o Oppose, based on recommended opposition to treatment of targeting under CVD law. H. Reform of Settlement Agreements: This proposal would eliminate Commerce' s a ity to suspend CVD investigations on the basis of an export tax imposed by the foreign country (in the amount of, and to offset, the level of subsidization as determined by Commerce), (2) to suspend CVD investigations on the basis of quantitative restraints, and (3) to suspend AD investigations on the basis of agreements to eliminate injurious effect. o Oppose. Commerce should maintain the ability to suspend on a Mad variety of bases. Different situations call for different responses. o There is significant political opposition to continuing to allow suspensions based on export taxes, principally because of the feeling that lack of price increases on certain suspended Brazilian cases proves that the U.S. Government cannot ensure that export taxes actually are implemented and not evaded. Approved For Release 2008/08/20: CIA-RDP85-01156R000100090001-7 Approved For Release 2008/08/20: CIA-RDP85-01156R000100090001-7 o The Administration should consider offering 'a fallback. o There is no significant political opposition to continued ability to use QR's as basis for suspension or to base AD suspensions on elimination of injurious effect. (Chairman Gibbons, however, strongly opposes use of QR's). Neither basis has been used to date. I. Procedural Improvements to Reduce Costs and Delay: - 1.' Shorter AD Timetables: This proposal would reduce AD time limits those now applied to CVD investigations. o Strongly oppose. The deadlines already are too short. o Compressing the same work into shorter deadlines will increase the potential for mistakes. This will lead to more judicial review and therefore more cost -- the very opposite of what Gibbons says he wants. o We expect private sector support for our position. 2. Limit Extension Authoiity: This proposal would limit the ability to extend inves Tgations and the length of extensions. o Oppose. Complicated cases need to be extended; there is too much data to gather and analyze within normal deadlines. o There is strong support for limiting extensions, caused principally by the large number of extensions granted by Commerce in 1982 and early 1983. o Extensions now are seldom granted. 3. Eliminate Interlocutory A eals: This provision would eliminate interlocutory judicial review, concentrating it in one proceeding at the end of the administrative process. o Support. This would significantly reduce the cost of prove dings. It wal first proposed by Commerce Under Secretary Olmer. Eliminate Presumption of Administrative Regularity: This proposal would end a presumption that administrative determinations in AD and CVD proceedings are presumed correct in judicial review and the plaintiff must prove they were inc^rrect. o Strongly oppose. The presumption of administrative regularity applies to all agency decisions. There is no reason to make AD and CVD determinations an exception. o The concept of administrative regularity is fundamental to .effective functioning of the administrative process. Approved For Release 2008/08/20: CIA-RDP85-01156R000100090001-7 Approved For Release 2008/08/20: CIA-RDP85-01156R000100090001-7 5. Provide Standards for Releasing Proprietary Information Under Administrative Protective Orders tAFU'S): This proposal would provide standards that would shorten a time it now takes to process requests for release of proprietary business information under an APO. oS__uppp~ort. It would speed up the process of making critical information available to representatives of interested parties, thus making the process more fair. - This was first proposed by Under Secretary Olmer. Allow Sampling and Averaging: The proposal would allow Commerce To -use sampling and averaging techniques in determining U.S. price calculations in AD proceedings. (Currently sampling and averaging are permissible only with respect to foreign market transactions). o Support. It would greatly improve admi ni strabi l i ty of the laws. It is another proposal first made by Under Secretary Olmer. 7. Require Verification in Administrative Reviews: The proposal wou require Commerce to verify information submitted by foreign companies or governments in.all administrative review proceedings wherever there is a significant issue of-law or fact or where revocation is sought. o Oppose. The significant issue standard is very imprecise and certain to lead to argument and litigation. o Commerce practice is to verify where there are controversial issues, significant changes in methodology, or requests for revocation. Currently, over 4,000 companies are under AD or CVD orders. A stricter standard would create administrative nightmares. 8. Preclude Offset Arrangements from Being Basis for Revocation: o Oppose for reasons' expressed in response to proposal H on page bi.Not allowing offsets like export taxes in revocations is similar to not allowing them as basis for suspending an investigation). o Refusal to grant revocation based on an export tax almost certainly would violate our GATT obligations. 9.? Standing for Labor-Industry Coalitions: This 1.ropusal would overturn a court ecision and would a low coalitions of labor and industry to file AD and CVD petitions (i.e., to have standing as petitioners) where the coalition members were representative of the greater part of the affected U.S. industry. o Support. No valid purpose served by not allowing such groups standing. Approved For Release 2008/08/20: CIA-RDP85-01156R000100090001-7 Approved For Release 2008/08/20: CIA-RDP85-01156R000100090001-7 W w -9- J. Study of Adjustments in AD Proceedings: This provision would require Commerce to prepare a study o current practices of making adjustments to prices in AD cases and of recommended reforms to those practices. o Support. The idea was first proposed by Commerce. The area is complex and is not amenable to easy solutions. Careful study is preferable to piecemeal legislation. Commerce Proposals A roved by Working Group (Those Not Also AddresseE by Gibbons) A. Simplify Administrative Reviews by Permitting Use of Sampling and Averaging Techniques in Reviews: Commerce proposed perms ting use of averaging and sampling techniques in administrative reviews of AD orders. (This proposal is broader than the Gibbons proposal discussed in section 1.6 above.)-. Currently, this is permissible only during the pre-or.der investigative phase of the case. During reviews, a dumping calculation. must be made for each entry and a corresponding foreign market value must be calcuTad. (There can be tens of thousands of transactions during a review period). o Suggest addition. The small decline in accuracy would be vastly outweighed by the reduced burden. B.- Simplify Administrative Reviews by Permitting Assessment of CVD 13-5 ties on a Country-Wide Basis as Appropriate: Commerce proposed that, countervailing duties be assessed on a country-wide basis; at present rates often must be calculated for individual companies. o Suggest addition in modified form. Justice dissents. o Have a-presumption that rates will be calculated on a country-wide basis but enable an exporter to establish entitlement to-a company-specific rate where its rate was significantly different from the average. o Justice was concerned about the anti-competitive effect of using country-wide rates. C.. Enhance Coverage of CVD Law to Cover "Sham" Leases: Commerce propose clarifying that e GVD law could be applied against transactions which, although denominated as "leases," were in substance sales. o Suggest addition to cover "sham" leases. (Several agencies noted that extreme care would be requi red to draft appropriate statutory language). o More study is necessary about whether the law should apply to pure leases. The Administration should not propose coverage at this time. Approved For Release 2008/08/20: CIA-RDP85-01156R000100090001-7 Approved For Release 2008/08/20: CIA-RDP85-01156R000100090001-7 V V D. Simultaneous AD and CVD Investigations: Commerce proposed that where a petition er lied AD and V titions simultaneously, it could elect to have the AD time limits apply to the CVD proceeding. This would enable both cases to proceed simultaneously throughout the investigation, thus eliminating current complaints about the different deadlines. o Suggest addition. (Approved without discussion). E.. Pre-Revocation Classification as Inactive Case: Commerce suggested that where exports of a product covered by an order cease for a number of years, interested parties vo not exercise their rights to comment on determinations or tce'.eguest hearings for several years, or there are other indicia t:at the case has ceased to be of interest to the U.S. industry, such proceedings would be classified as inactive. Detailed administrative reviews would cease to be conducted and unless the domestic industry came forward with evidence that reinstatement of the order was appropriate, the case would be revoked after two years in inactive status. o Suggest addition. This would save resources on cases of ?=ttle continue interest. It also avoids the charge that orders =re maintained longer than necessary. F." Automatic ITC Injury Review: Commerce suggested consideration of having the ITC conduct injury reviews automatically every five years. The purpose would be to revoke orders where there no longer was injury. o Do not suggest addition, but instead sugest an amendment to allow Commerce to petition the IT to begin a "changed circumstances" injury review. o There was general rejection of the suggestion as unduly burdensome to the domestic industry. o The alternate suggestion would give Commerce standing to as!: the ITC to review whether injury was still being caused. The ITC would retain its discretion on whether to conduct such a review and, if conducted, whether injury still was being caused. Approved For Release 2008/08/20: CIA-RDP85-01156R000100090001-7 Approved For Release 2008/08/20: CIA-RDP85-01156R000100090001-7 . 49 49 G. Eliminate Minimum Values in Constructed Value AD Calculations: Commerce suggested considering elimination of statutory minimum values for general and administrative (G&A) expenses (10%) and profit (8%) in AD calculations based on constructed value. Instead, actual amounts should be used whenever available. (The minimums could be retained for use where actual amounts were not provided). Suggest addition. The minimum values are inconsistent with the GATT and have been a major and long-standing source of international irritation. o Because we have this provision that is-`widely viewed . internationally as GATT inconsistent, J.S. ability to take the high ground in. complaining abou-t the GATT inconsistent practices of others is undercut. They are very unfair to exporters and importers. They artificially inflate (or create) dumping margins. o Political opposition is likely to be intense because this charge will reduce dumping margins in certain cases. o Administrations have tried (so far without success) t eliminate this provision in every major trade bill since 1958. Approved For Release 2008/08/20: CIA-RDP85-01156R000100090001-7 Approved For Release 2008/08/20: CIA-RDP85-01156R000100090001-7 -12- Commerce Proposals Not Approved by Working Group A. Implement Third-Country Dumping Provision of GATT AD Code: Commerce . propose implementation of GATT Article 12 into U.S. law to enable U.S. producers to allege that imports were being dumped into a third-country market, thereby causing material injury to the U.S. industry. The third country would be asked to conduct an investigation of such allegations. Do not suggest addition to Gibbons package. There was general concern about overnment involvement and, because of standing requirement in U.S. law, U.S. inability to reciprocate and commence a similar-_-al tion here on behalf of a third-country requester. o The provision is unnecessary. The Administration could always use section 301 as the vehicle for such an action. B. Prospective Establishment of AD and CVD Duties: Commerce suggested consideration of radically altering the AD and CVD assessment process so that a rate established in an administrative review would be assessed against entricZ until, as the result of the next review, a new rate was set. Currently, estimated duties are deposited upon entry and there is a contingent liability for definitive duties that ultimately will be assessed. Eighteen to twenty-four months later, an administrative review covering that entry will be completed. The definitive duty will be calculated. If the deposit was less, the shortfall will be collected; if the deposit was more, the excess will be refunded. o Do not suggest addition. There was widespread feeling that t e proposa needed to be studied in greater detail. Various agencies expressed concerns about due process and potentially excessive protective effects stemming from assessing at a rate higher than that actually experienced; others stressed vulnerability to continued dumping and subsidization ii.e., exporters and importers always being one step ahead of the prospective rate). Approved For Release 2008/08/20: CIA-RDP85-01156R000100090001-7 DESCRIPTION OF POSSIBLE TRADE REMEDY BILL Introdction -- 3i11, would -make several reforms in our basic unfair-.-trade remedy ?a