HIGH-TECHNOLOGY MATERIALS: A KEY TO INDUSTRIAL COMPETITIVENESS AND STRATEGIC CAPABILITIES

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CIA-RDP84S00558R000400150003-2
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January 14, 2008
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July 1, 1983
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Intelligence High-Technology Materials: A Key to Industrial Competitiveness and Strategic Capabilities A Research Paper Secret GI 83-10167 July 1983 Approved For Release 2008/01/14: CIA-RDP84SO0558R000400150003-2 412 Approved For Release 2008/01/14: CIA-RDP84SO0558R000400150003-2 Approved For Release 2008/01/14: CIA-RDP84SO0558R000400150003-2 Approved For Release 2008/01/14: CIA-RDP84SO0558R000400150003-2 Approved For Release 2008/01/14: CIA-RDP84SO0558R000400150003-2 EfF~ Directorate of Secret Intelligence High-Technology Materials: A Key to Industrial Competitiveness and Strategic Capabilities Branch, OGI, This paper was prepared by Civil Technology and Industry Division, Office of Global Issues. Comments and queries are welcome and may be directed to the Chief, Technology Analysis Secret G183-10167 July 1983 Approved For Release 2008/01/14: CIA-RDP84SO0558R000400150003-2 Approved For Release 2008/01/14: CIA-RDP84SO0558R000400150003-2 Secret Summary IrItormation available as of 23 June 1983 ti as used in this report. High-Technology Materials: A Key to Industrial Competitiveness and Strategic Capabilities development costs and uncertain markets. Advanced materials are becoming increasingly important to the economic and military strength of industrialized nations. They are enhancing the competitiveness and performance of a wide range of civil products and military weapon systems. Markets, both civil and military. potentially affected by advanced materials transportation, electronics, computers, telecommunications, machine tools, and weapon systems, among others are cumulatively worth hundreds of billions of dollars annually. Moreover. the flow of dual-use advanced materials and associated manufacturing processes from civil to military applications, already sizable from military to civil, is growing to the extent that large civil markets may attract substantially more R&D investment than military programs can support. Although opportunities are great, risks are high because of sizable Industry experts believe that four classes of advanced materials merit special attention: ? Electronic materials-especially new semiconductor materials such as gallium-arsenide. ? Electro-optical materials-such as fiber optics and sensors for a wide variety of information applications. ? Fiber-reinforced composites-strong, lightweight structural materials used in transportation applications. ? Structural ceramics used in a variety of high-temperature applications, such as fuel-efficient diesel engines for automobiles, trucks, and militar tanks. Significant commercial applications already exist or seem likely N ]thin this decade. competition for sales could develop. Leading foreign governments, looking to high technology to improve their long-term industrial competitiveness, are moving quickly to develop indige- nous capabilities in these key classes of advanced materials. Japan and France, in particular, are undertaking unprecedented national programs for R&D. In the short term, they are encouraging firms to be aggressive in installing production capacity for some of the most promising new materials, even in the face of weak demand. Given the high stakes involved, serious overcapacity in the production of advanced materials and fierce iii Secret (,i er ioi .114 I IQ~? Approved For Release 2008/01/14: CIA-RDP84SO0558R000400150003-2 Approved For Release 2008/01/14: CIA-RDP84S00558R000400150003-2 Foreign successes in advanced materials have several important economic and strategic implications for the United States: ? Industrial Competitiveness. Foreign leadership in advanced materials can translate into strong competitive leverage for products in world markets. Foreign governments may apply measures, such as direct funding and subsidies, that permit domestic manufacturers to take more risks in the application of advanced materials than their US competitors. Furthermore, foreign suppliers may give preferential price or availability concessions on advanced materials to other domestic manufacturers, enhancing their product competitiveness relative to US manufacturers. ? Dependency. To the extent that dual-use advanced materials-those with military as well as commercial importance-and manufacturing process- es are developed and applied more rapidly in Japan and Western Europe for commercial reasons, the United States may find itself dependent on foreign sources of supply for materials important in military as well as commercial applications. Market uncertainties and potential excess world capacity may discourage potential US suppliers from developing new materials and building production capacity. Hence, the relevant production technology-design and manufacturing capabilities, produc- tion experience, and know-how-for key military applications may never be established. ? Technology Transfer. Emergence of strong foreign capabilities in ad- vanced materials complicates US efforts to control the flow of such technology to the Communist countries. Enforcement of COCOM restrictions on the transfer of advanced materials technologies becomes more difficult as the number of possible sources of these technologies increases. The Soviets have been seeking a number of dual-use materials technologies, including those for production of carbon-carbon materials and carbon fibers. ? Technology Diffusion. Similarly, it will be difficult to control the diffusion of dual-use materials technology among non-Communist coun- tries. Advances in materials also pose competitive problems for US industry. Certain mature industries, such as steel, face problems that may affect demand and jobs. Many of the new materials are nonmetallic and are gradually replacing metals in a wide variety of applications. Demand for metals could slacken or even decline. 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2008/01/14: CIA-RDP84S00558R000400150003-2 Approved For Release 2008/01/14: CIA-RDP84SO0558R000400150003-2 Secret Summary Introduction High Commercial and Strategic Stakes Reaching a High-Risk Market 7 Industry Structure 8 Intensifying Foreign Competition 8 Implications for the United States 10 Approved For Release 2008/01/14: CIA-RDP84SO0558R000400150003-2 Approved For Release 2008/01/14: CIA-RDP84SO0558R000400150003-2 Secret High-Technology Materials: A Key to Industrial Competitiveness and Strategic Capabilities Introduction This paper inaugurates the Agencv's coverage or advanced materials in non-Communist countries. Materials have always been the cornerstone of indus- trial development, a concept aptly captured in the nomenclature for man's earlier ages: stone, copper, bronze, and iron. Exploitation of these materials has spurred industrial progress, resulting in significant performance improvements in civil products and in military weapon systems. In the 20th century, ad- vances in structural and electronic materials have allowed man to transport himself around the world and into space and to transmit, manipulate, and store his information. Now, as the developed world looks to high technology to revitalize its industries and to reestablish its military advantage, it appears that advanced materials will play a major role. The commercial and military impact of the materials now emerging from R&D laboratories will be signifi- cant. Soon, even better and cheaper materials will be available. The decade-long increase in energy costs, which, for example, drove commercial aircraft fuel costs to roughly half of the operating costs, triggered a widespread effort to develop and exploit advanced materials to improve fuel efficiency in vehicles. Coin- cident with this development were the quicker-than- ever advances in manufacturing processes-which have yielded new parts and reduced production costs of old parts, making them competitive in a wider variety of applications. Coupled with ongoing im- provements in semiconductor-based microelectronics, these factors contribute to a pace in advanced materi- their important leverage in civil and military applica- tions. These materials can have a tremendous impact on the competitiveness of products cumulatively worth hundreds of billions of dollars annually. Moreover, some materials can impart unique advantages to military weapon systems. (Some of the most promising applications are described in the table.) Once such materials can also be made cheaply, their competitive impact will be magnified considerably, and they will become the workhorse materials of tomorrow. (See glossary for types, definitions, and details.) 25X1 25X1 Advanced materials enhance equipment performance 25X1 and/or product competitiveness in one or more of the following applications: ? In special components critical to system perform- ance. Although unit prices may be small relative to overall system costs, the value of such components to the system is high. Example applications are: semiconductor-based memory chips and micro- processors, the single light-emitting crystal in a laser, and composite "Chobham" armor (defending against shaped charges) in modern tanks. ? As substitute materials in equipment, providing either greater durability or lower operating costs. Examples are: fracture-resistant composites in heli- copter rotors and lightweight materials in fuel- efficient automobiles. ? In components for improving human health, such as body replacement parts with ultimately incalculable benefits. Many of the applications most affected by advanced materials are found in the transportation and infor- mation sectors. In civil and military transportation als development that is unprecedented. High Commercial and Strategic Stakes The importance of advanced materials considerably exceeds their sales value as commodities because of Approved For Release 2008/01/14: CIA-RDP84SO0558R000400150003-2 Approved For Release 2008/01/14: CIA-RDP84SO0558R000400150003-2 Selected Advanced Materials and Applications Application Structural Metals Single crystal High temperature turbine blades in aircraft jet engines Amorphous Transformer cores Lightweight High-stress parts in alloys airframes and auto- mobiles Strength; resistant to fracture at high tem- perature Easily remagnetized without loss of structural strength Fuel efficient in vehicles Ceramics High-temperature a Fuel economy engines in automobiles and tanks Automobile parts such Lighter and more as turbocharger rotors, durable than metals cylinder liners and at high temperatures heads, and pistons Cutting tools Wear resistant Engineering Vehicle dashboards Cheaper than non- plastics and equipment shells plastics; tough, corrosion resistant at moderate tempera- tures Construction; Inexpensive modular housing Fiber-rein- Aircraft, automobile, forced plastics high-speed train bodies (including carbon-carbon) High-stress parts; helicopter rotors, aircraft wings, and brakes; automobile drive shafts and leaf springs; casings for rocket motors for jet engines Stealth aircraft Metal matrix Automobile engine blocks Piston heads in automobile engines Strong and stiff relative to weight Strong and lightweight; hence fuel efficient in vehicles Fracture resistant under high stress Poor radar reflector In castings, much stronger than unre- inforced metals Greater durability at high temperature Under development; being field tested Economics may be marginal The uncooled, ceramic engine is a 21 st- century application Currently used in operating prototypes Continuing develop- ments; some high- performance plastics no longer advanced Increasingly available In commercial aircraft, safety fears hold back use in wings and fuselage Increasingly available Long-range potential Currently in working prototype Costs barrier to widespread use Raw materials inexpen- sive and widely available Brittleness barrier to wide use High cost of tool break- age limits use to special applications Consumer dislike barrier to extensive use Large Third World market Effects of aging not well understood High cost of parts fabrication barrier to widespread use May outcompete more publicized ceramics Approved For Release 2008/01/14: CIA-RDP84SO0558R000400150003-2 Approved For Release 2008/01/14: CIA-RDP84SO0558ROO0400150003-2 Secret Functional Advanced semi- conductors Gallium- Electronic circuits, Switching speed of Already used in arsenide lasers, sensors, devices significantly military applications receivers faster than silicon Fiber optics (glass) Speed-of-light, RF b Already replacing metal emission-free means of wires transmitting information Lasers Widely available Optical-computing Ultrahigh speed A next-century elements application Index of refraction of Early in development electro-optics sensi- tive to pressure, temperature, sound, and magnetic field Membranes Chemical industry Chemical separation In development processes inexpensive and pollution free Water desalination In development Body replacement Minor use to date parts: artery, vein walls a The higher the operating temperature of an engine, the better its fuel efficiency. Ideally, the weight and expense of cooling systems can be eliminated. b Radiofrequency emissions in conventional communications often degrade system performance and risk compromise of transmitted information. As costs fall, industrial use may increase rapidly Notable military interest, such as for submarine detection Numerous potential applications: market could expand rapidly applications, researchers are looking to improve the performance, durability, and fuel efficiency of vehi- cles through innovative use of advanced materials: ? Uniquely configured, ultrathin wings made of fiber- reinforced plastic composite material give at least one advanced research aircraft significantly greater maneuverability than current-generation aircraft (figure 1). ? Diesel engines with the pistons, manifolds, cylinder heads, and liners made of ceramics can be operated at high temperatures, improving thermodynamic efficiency, horsepower, and fuel consumption. Ex- perts anticipate increases of 30 percent or more in fuel mileage in automobiles, trucks, and tanks. Moreover, as technology advances permit higher engine operating temperatures, cooling systems can be made smaller and lighter, and eventually may be eliminated. ? Durable single-crystal turbine blades will help stretch the operating lifetime of commercial aircraft jet engines, as well as permit their operation at higher temperatures. Approved For Release 2008/01/14: CIA-RDP84SO0558ROO0400150003-2 Approved For Release 2008/01/14: CIA-RDP84SO0558R000400150003-2 Figure 1 Advanced Research Aircraft Made Possible With Composite Materials Use of composites: Wings-100?/ Airframe-55?/ Approved For Release 2008/01/14: CIA-RDP84SO0558R000400150003-2 Approved For Release 2008/01/14: CIA-RDP84SO0558R000400150003-2 Secret Figure 2 Use of Advanced Materials in Commercial Aircraft Stahlizcr tips Improved aluminum alloy or forged fittings Advanced materials in the Boeing 767 are designed to produce a light, durable, and fail-safe structure with low cost of ownership. Kevlar/graphite hybrid composite Graphite composite and stringers ? In civil airframes, composites may be near the threshold of a major increase in use. The newest airframes (such as the Boeing 767) already use composites extensively in secondary structures, such as elevators, spoilers, rudders, and engine cowlings (figure 2). Sizable rewards await airframe manufac- turers who can safely and economically use compos- ites extensively in the primary structures-main wings and fuselage-of large commercial aircraft. ? Automobile bodies will become lighter through more extensive use of engineering plastics, compos- ites, and advanced alloys (figure 3). Enormous capi- tal already invested in metal-stamping equipment, however, is one barrier to rapid change to nonmetal- lic materials. Approved For Release 2008/01/14: CIA-RDP84SO0558R000400150003-2 Approved For Release 2008/01/14: CIA-RDP84S00558R000400150003-2 Figure 3 Selected Potential Uses of Advanced Materials in Automobiles All-composite or aluminum body Liquid crystal displays in dashboard of engineering plastics with fiber-optic wiring Aluminum radiator-not needed for all-ceramic engine Cast aluminum or composite suspension /Titanium or composite springs Composite or lightweight alloy drive shaft, wheels Advanced nonmetallic structural materials also prom- approach theoretical performance limits, researchers ise some relief from dependency on Third World are experimenting with faster semiconductor materi- suppliers of strategic mineral additives to metal al- als such as gallium-arsenide (roughly an order of Toys. magnitude faster) and indium-antimonide (three or- ders of magnitude faster when used in optical switch- In civil and military information applications, re- es). Optical fibers made of silicon glass are outcom- searchers are looking to increase computing speeds, peting copper wires in communications applications expand memory capacities, and reduce power require- because of greater message-carrying capacity; the ments for electronic components by exploiting ad- vanced materials. As silicon-based semiconductors Approved For Release 2008/01/14: CIA-RDP84S00558R000400150003-2 Approved For Release 2008/01/14: CIA-RDP84SO0558R000400150003-2 Secret same diameter cable is capable of carrying at least an order of magnitude more messages simultaneously. Electro-optical sensors hold great promise for moni- toring a wide variety of conditions-temperature, pressure, and electromagnetic radiation, among oth- ers-important in a wide variety of applications, such as target-homing antitank projectiles and intelligent robots. Additionally, advanced materials have the potential for competitive impact on a variety of products and on the industrial base itself. Examples include: ? Membranes, to significantly lower energy require- ments for many chemical processes and reduce costs of depolluting effluent from manufacturing plants. ? Photovoltaic materials, for inexpensive, pollution- free generation of electricity. ? Materials that enhance the quality of life, such as nontoxic, fire-retardant plastics, fibers to replace carcinogenic asbestos, and body replacement parts. Sometime in the next century, combinations of com- ponents and equipment based on advanced materials could be integrated into systems with dramatically enhanced capabilities. For example, "smart," highly maneuverable, and perhaps relatively inexpensive missiles-using advanced sensors and microprocessors for navigation and target homing plus lightweight structural materials and fuel-efficient propulsion sys- tems-may revolutionize military aircraft. Reaching a High-Risk Market The problems and risks in bringing new materials and products to the market are often sizable. Costs, timing, and marketing are all critical factors. Devel- opment is costly and time consuming-often substan- tially exceeding a decade-with no guarantee of technical success or economic feasibility. Rewards for innovative companies include proprietary technology advantages-patented materials or manufacturing processes-that can be converted into quasi-monopo- listic production of high-value-added materials or products. Possibilities of spinoffs from commercial to military applications can be an additional incentive. Materials researchers face different risks depending on whether they are principally suppliers or users of advanced materials. Market uncertainty is the great- est risk to suppliers of innovative materials-especial- ly of structural materials. Sizable multiple markets Countering the historical trend, the flow of dual-use advanced materials and associated manufacturing processes from civil to military applications is grow- ing. Cost and durability requirements are the driving factors: ? For some advanced materials, large civil markets can attract substantial/v more R&D investment than military programs can support, achieving economies of scale and driving down production costs of devices and equipment sooner than might occur otherwise, as has happened most prominently in microelectronics. ? Although performance requirements for materials are typically higher in military applications, re- quirements for durability are often signficantly higher in corresponding civil uses; jet engines for commercial aircraft, for example, are expected to last an order of magnitude longer than those for military aircraft. Civil developments in materials technologies are in- creasingly important to the military for several reasons: ? Use of inexpensive components lowers the cost of' weapon systems. ? Military R&D funds can be focused on narrower objectives and hence more effectively used. ? Skills, know-how, and experience gained on civil programs are transferable to military programs. ? Civil product ion facilities provide surge capacity for the military in times of national emergency. are often necessary before suppliers will devote re- sources to the development and production of ad- vanced materials. Prospective suppliers desire accu- rate estimates of markets in order to size production facilities appropriately to achieve economies of scale without building excessive capacity. Potential users, however, are seldom able to forecast accurately their needs for new materials. A number of suppliers, burdened with financial pressures, therefore often find it expedient to license technology, even to over- seas competitors. Approved For Release 2008/01/14: CIA-RDP84SO0558R000400150003-2 Approved For Release 2008/01/14: CIA-RDP84SO0558R000400150003-2 The risks for the material, users (product manufactur- crs) are some%~ hat lower than for the suppliers be- cause they understand their product markets better. But timing in product development and market entry can be critical. At one extreme. companies that fail to apple advanced materials technology at an early stage may be hard pressed to catch up with competitors, as their technically outdated or overpriced products slump in market share. At the other extreme, ovcrag- gressiveness in application of advanced materials can be disastrous. The Rolls-Royce bankruptcy and bail- out in the 1970s b\ the British Government resulted in part from using unproven turbine blades made of composite material in a new jet engine. IndustrN Structure The importance and pervasiveness of advanced mate- rials in civil and military applications have driven many corporations, as well as most governments, to be acuve rn materials i,& u. in inc conventionai sense, however, there is no materials industry per se and no major players dominate the field. In the United States alone, research groups pursuing advanced materials number in the hundreds, if not the thousands. Most groups reside within manufacturing firms some of which are multinationals or in universities affluent enough to afford the necessary research equipment. Additionally, a few independent laboratories special- iic in pursuing materials research for both single and multiple clients, including foreign participants.-1 Government im olvement in materials R&D, once rather selective, is on the upswing. The (IS Govern- ment has pursued materials R&D only for advanced military, nuclear, space, and more recently, energy- related applications. Success or failure in developing and exploiting other advanced materials has been left primarily to the free enterprise system. Overseas, this government private industry pattern has been mir rored to a large degree, but this is changing. Some foreign governments, particularly the .Japanese and French, are no longer willing to leave national pro- gress in materials R&D to the uncertainties inherent in private-sector investment decisions. Approved For Release 2008/01/14: CIA-RDP84SO0558R000400150003-2 25X1 25X1 25X11 25X1 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2008/01/14: CIA-RDP84SO0558R000400150003-2 Secret Western Europe. The French announced in late 1982 their national program for materials development funded at I billion francs ($140 million) : for three years. Under the Mitterrand government's new plan for industrial revitalization, the French are counting heavily on newly nationalized companies to take the 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2008/01/14: CIA-RDP84SO0558R000400150003-2 Approved For Release 2008/01/14: CIA-RDP84S00558R000400150003-2 Implications for the mte a Industrial Competitiveness. Foreign developments in materials technology have long-term competitive con- sequences for US industries. Foreign superiority can lead to proprietary application of advanced materials and manufacturing processes that translate into prod- uct performance and manufacturing cost advantages in a number of industries, enhancing the competitive- ness of foreign products in world markets. In particu- lar, foreign firms may gain several advantages: ? Some foreign firms may barter advanced products with US firms to gain additional materials technol- ogy, making them potentially competitive across an even broader spectrum of products in the future. ? Foreign governments may apply measures that per- mit domestic manufacturers to take more risks in the application of advanced materials than their US competitors. Measures could include direct funding, subsidies, tax breaks, and loans backstopped by guarantees that will save unsuccessful companies from bankruptcy. ? Foreign suppliers may give preferential price or availability concessions on advanced materials to other domestic manufacturers, enhancing their product competitiveness relative to US manufactur- ers. Should this happen, US product manufacturers would become vulnerable to the actions of foreign materials suppliers. For self-protection, US product semiconductor devices. manufacturers may find it necessary to bear the extra costs of stockpiling or manufacturing consid- erable quantities of the advanced materials they need; US semiconductor manufacturers, for exam- ple, are already doing this with polysilicon for Market uncertainties and potential excess world ca- pacity may discourage potential US suppliers from developing new materials and production capacity. Hence, the relevant production technology -design and manufacturing capabilities, production experi- ence, and know-how-for key military applications may never be established. Technology Transfer. Emergence of strong foreign capabilities in advanced materials complicates US efforts to control technology transfer the flow of such materials and manufacturing processes to the Communist countries. Enforcement of COCOM re- strictions on the transfer of advanced materials tech- nologies becomes more difficult as the number of Approved For Release 2008/01/14: CIA-RDP84S00558R000400150003-2 25X1 Approved For Release 2008/01/14: CIA-RDP84SO0558R000400150003-2 Secret possible sources of these technologies increases. Many of these technologies are dual use; they could be important militarily as well as commercially. A vari- ety of evidence indicates the Soviets have been seek- ing a number of such technologies, including those for production of carbon-carbon materials, carbon fibers, and Kevlar (a duPont trade name). Irrespective of foreign successes, advances in materi- als also pose competitive problems for US industry, especially certain mature industries, such as steel. Many of the new materials are nonmetallic and are gradually replacing metals-steel, aluminum, and copper, for example-in a wide variety of applica- tions. Demand for metals could slacken or even decline. Approved For Release 2008/01/14: CIA-RDP84SO0558R000400150003-2 Approved For Release 2008/01/14: CIA-RDP84SO0558R000400150003-2 secret Appendix Glossary' Advanced materials Manmade, high-value-added, nonliving materials that enhance the performance of the products or equipment in which they are used. Some experts make a distinction by application as to whether a material is high technology. Superallovs, for example, having been used in aircraft for years, may be considered high- technology materials by some only when applied to automobiles. Amorphous metals New, unconventional, noncrystalline metals, also known as glassy or rapidly solidified metals. Carbon-carbon materials A variety of fiber-reinforced plastics formed at low temperatures, then baked at high temperatures to increase strength and heat resistance. Primary use has been in aircraft brakes, rocket nozzles, and reentry vehicles. Carbon fibers By far the most commonly used short structural fiber in composites, specifically in fiber-reinforced plastics. High-temperature carbon fibers are properly called graphite fibers. Most carbon fibers are PAN-based; breakthroughs in processing pitch may be needed to make carbon fibers widely competitive with cheap glass fibers. Nonmetallic, nonorganic materials. Compared to most metals, ceramics such as brick are attractive for structural applications because they are lightweight, resistant to corrosion and abrasion, durable at much higher temperatures, and under static loads are nearly as strong. The chief disadvantage is their brittleness; they are susceptible to fracture, especially under dynamic loads. This weakness is partially inherent in the tightly bonded atomic structure that contributes to positive characteristics, as with diamonds. Ceramic-matrix composites reinforced with ceramic or metal fibers may prove to be fracture resistant. Advanced coatings is an exploding subfield, both in new materials and manufac- turing processes. A modern jet engine, for example, typically contains about a half dozen high-technology coatings for corrosion and abrasion protection. Among the more exciting future prospects are protective materials directly applicable to decaying structural materials, such as rusty steel and concrete. New process equipment, such as "electron beam epitaxy" machines, can be used to modify surfaces or to apply ultrathin, precision-thickness coatings of a wide variety of materials. Combinations of two or more individual materials, joined to enhance strength. The three basic types of composites are reinforced (for example, fiberglass), laminar (for example, plywood), and ultralight honeycomb-like structures. The most common reinforcing materials are fibers. Bonding between fibers and matrix materials is critical. Matrix materials may be organic (for example, polymers), metal, or ceramic. The only common commercial composites are fiber-reinforced plastics. Approved For Release 2008/01/14: CIA-RDP84SO0558R000400150003-2 Fiber-reinforced plastics (FRPs) Approved For Release 2008/01/14: CIA-RDP84S00558R000400150003-2 Gallium-arsenide (GaAs) High-technology materials Kevlar Materials technology PAN Pitch Solid materials with an orderly atomic structure. Crystals are important in both structural and functional applications. Single-crystal metal parts are stronger than their conventional counterparts; the latter are weakest along the boundaries between their numerous crystals. Functionally, many materials, such as semicon- ductors, can reliably transmit light or electrons only when they are in crystal form. Fibers, often in crystal form, are used structurally to strengthen materials and functionally, in fiber optics, to transmit information. Fibers may either be short (as in fiberglass) or continuous (as in fiber-optics or filament tape). The chief benefit of reinforcing fibers is to stop crack propagation, a problem common to most metals, plastics, and ceramics. Of the high-technology organic fibers, the most important are carbon fiber and Kevlar (a duPont trade name). The latter has many uses, in- cluding projectile trapping applications: bulletproof vests and jet engine casings (trapping broken turbine blades). Continuous fibers, usually made of silicon glass, capable of transmitting informa- tion-carrying light in a bendable path. Made into cables, these fibers are replacing metals (mostly copper, some aluminum) in communications applications. Plastic (or resin) matrix material reinforced with fibers. Fiberglass is the most familiar example of a composite-glass fibers randomly oriented to stiffen a resin matrix. A typical composite airframe part is made of several dozen laminations of FRP material in which continuous fibers are laid in a single direction. In successive laminations, fibers are oriented at different angles for greater strength. Most part fabrication is done expensively by hand (partly because production runs for aircraft tend to be small), prior to hours-long curing in ovens (called autoclaves). High-temperature FRPs are known as carbon-carbon composites. An advanced semiconductor material, which has several uses in electronics: memories, logic circuits, laser sources, sensors, and communications transmitters and receivers. In the first two applications, GaAs is ideally preferable to the now commonly used silicon because it is inherently about five times faster. In manufacturing, however, it is considerably more difficult to achieve required purities with GaAs than with silicon. High-strength, continuous fiber made by duPont. Kevlar is used in many applications, including jet engine casings and bulletproof vests. As used in this paper, collectively: advanced materials, associated manufacturing processes, and know-how. Acronym for polyacrylonitrile, a synthetic fiber from which most carbon fibers are made. Substantially more expensive than pitch. Inexpensive residue from oil refineries, which researchers worldwide are seeking to cheaply convert into high-quality carbon fibers. Approved For Release 2008/01/14: CIA-RDP84S00558R000400150003-2 Approved For Release 2008/01/14: CIA-RDP84S00558R000400150003-2 Secret Materials that convert light (sunlight being of primary interest in terms of major applications) to electricity. Costs have fallen, but these materials remain about an order of magnitude away from being competitive as an alternative source of energy. Organic materials made from crude-oil hydrocarbons. Despite the runup in oil prices during the last decade, plastics remain considerably cheaper than metals. Engineering plastics are those with higher performance properties that qualify them as high-technology materials. Semiconductors Materials, such as gallium-arsenide, that allow electric current to move within them under certain controllable or exploitable conditions. Precision applications that do not tolerate errors, such as memory chips and logic circuits, require high- purity semiconductor materials. As the term is commonly used, it refers only to this latter, narrower group of semiconductor materials. Notwithstanding, there are additional high-technology semiconductor materials, such as indium-antimony, being used in other high-technology applications. Strategic minerals Commonly used phrase (and literally something of a misnomer) for selected chemical elements, such as cobalt and chromium, typically found only in certain minerals, and used to make high-quality steel and superalloys. Superalloys High-temperature steel alloys containing sizable amounts of nickel and/or other alloying elements, such as cobalt, obtained from strategic minerals. Approved For Release 2008/01/14: CIA-RDP84S00558R000400150003-2 Secret Approved For Release 2008/01/14: CIA-RDP84SO0558R000400150003-2 Secret Approved For Release 2008/01/14: CIA-RDP84SO0558R000400150003-2