WEEKLY SUMMARY

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79-00927A008900010001-5
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 28
• Document Creation Date: December 21, 2016
• Document Release Date: May 22, 2008
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: June 25, 1971
• Content Type: SUMMARY

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Secret
DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
WEEKLY SUMMARY
State Dept. review completed
Secret
25 June 1971
No. 0376/71
Copy
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CONTENTS
(Information as of noon EDT, 24 June 1971)
FAR EAST
Page
Indochina: MR 1-The Enemy's Summer Target . . . . . . . 2
Laos: On the Plaine Again . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
Cambodia: Some Forward Military Motion . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4
Burma to Hold Party Congress . . . ..i . . . . . . . . . . . . 6
South Korea: Party Developments Following the General Elections . . . . . . . . 6
USSR: Spring Peace Offensive:Eontinues . . . . 7
Communist Imports of Free-World Oil Are Rising . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
East German Party Congress. uietly Closes . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
Fluepean~tieilrvd?1~Ioaoritiols 13
. . . . . . . 14
Egypt-Israel: Pes/imism on an Interim Settlement . 15
Tanzania: Exodus of Asians . 16
Guinea: Arrests Continue . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17
Pakistan-India:; The Refugee Flow Slackens 18
Ceylon: Insurgency Situation Report . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
7
'SkR?Y`Ml'fiM"'Ma,"Y's ,
a Ith666 h e regretted the Asians lean hg=;because
it would "damage. the'cobntr,he would not
star7ri-ti titerr_W y.
CHAD: The last of the special French military
units sent two years ago at the government's
request to counter the Muslim insurgency have
left Chad. Some 2,500 French military advisers
and regional intervention troops permanently
stationed at Fort Lamy rerna'in in the country,
however. With their helpv'and continued French
financing, President,=Tombalbaye's weak regime
will attempt to :provide security in the troubled
Muslim regions and deliver promised administra-
tive reforrrms and development projects necessary
to help restore peace-a large order for resource-
poor Chad.
25X
The over-all level of dissidence has dropped
markedly since 1969. Central Chfad, where a
limited settlement has been eiifectecl, is partic-
ularly calm at present, buVthe north and east
remain more recalcitran;tThe Toubou tribesmen
in the north appafly still receive modest aid
from Libya, and``the impending rainy season in
the central-"and eastern areas- could spark 25X1
renewed fighting there as government forces are
immobilized.
Guinea: Arrests Continue
President Sekou Toure continues to sustain
the tense atmosphere that has prevailed since the
Portuguese-backed attacks of last November. His
belief that new attacks from bases in neighboring
states are now being planned with the connivance
of traitors at home has led to a new spate of
arrests and to tight restrictions on the movement
of foreigners within Guinea.
"Confessions" obtained from those already
imprisoned have implicated a widening circle of
Guineans. A sharp increase in new arrests and a
further tightening of security measures have been
noted since 15 June when a special investigative
commission reported that only one quarter of an
alleged fifth column had been rounded up.
Toure's present "purification" campaign, like
previous ones, has focused on businessmen, tech-
nicians, and others who have come under sus-
picion because of their close contacts with for-
eigners-particularly Westerners. Hardest hit have
been officials within the economic ministries that
figured prominently in a cabinet reshuffle on 20
June.
The normal functioning of the diplomatic
community and of foreign technical aid missions
has been hampered as Guineans avoid close con-
tacts. One casualty has been the US Peace Corps
program, renewed only last year after having been
abruptly terminated in late 1966 during a strained
period in Guinea-US relations. The current phase-
out stems not from bad bilateral relations, but
from Toure's obsession with security and his
heightened mistrust of foreigners operating within
the country. Although heads of the technical min-
istries wanted the US program to continue,
dominant influence now is wielded by party mili-
tants in charge of internal security, who were
opposed.
Since the raid on Conakry last November,
Toure has used almost every public and private
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occasion to warn Guineans and friendly govern-
ments of what he claims is a continuing threat of
external attacks, particularly from "mercenary"
bases in Portuguese Guinea. In addition to Por-
tugal, he has singled out West Germany, with
which he broke relations last January, as one of
the main plotters. Two African states, Senegal
and Ivory Coast, also are charged with aiding the
"imperialists" by not denying use of their ter-
ritory to anti-Toure elements. To help forestall
the attacks he believes will come, Toure has
threatened immediately to shoot those now
imprisoned for complicity in last year's raid, and
Pakistan-India: The Refugee Flow Slackens
The Pakistani Government, attempting to
present a more favorable international image, has
now decided to allow foreign newsmen to travel
freely in East Pakistan. Together with its earlier
decision to let foreign relief officials enter the
province, this could put restraints on further
punitive action by the army.
The average daily outflow of refugees has
fallen to a little over 15,000 from a high of
100,000 a few weeks ago. President Yahya has
publicly promised that members of the "minority
community"-the Hindus-will be given full pro-
tection if they return from India, and the govern-
ment has set up several camps to handle re-
turnees. Although a few thousand refugees have
recrossed the border, it is unlikely that many of
the nearly six million East Bengalis will leave
India soon.
In a further step to court international
opinion, President Yahya is expected to announce
on 28 June his program for eventually turning the
government over to civilians. He may well, how-
ever, delay implementation of his plans for some
time.
to take offensive action against Portuguese
Guinea at the first sign of an invasion.
Despite Toure's convictions, there is no inde-
pendent evidence that foreign-backed attacks on
Guinea are imminent. Portugal, however, prob-
ably maintains contact with the elements of the
anti-Toure National Liberation Front of Guinea
(FLNG) who also were involved in the November
operation.
the organiza-
significant move.
tion would require substantia oreign financial
and logistical support before it could mount any
Islamabad's attempts to project a more
favorable image have not yet had much interna-
tional effect. The Western aid consortium has put
off any decision on new economic commitments
until prospects for a political settlement between
East and West Pakistan improve. The donor na-
tions were decisively influenced by a very nega-
tive report from a World Bank/International
Monetary Fund team that recently visited both
parts of the country. The team reported wide-
spread disruption of economic, commercial, and
governmental processes, physical destruction and
disruption of transportation and communications,
food shortages, and a pervasive fear that is in-
hibiting any return to normal conditions in East
Pakistan.
The UN high commissioner for refugees
announced this week that sizable new financial
aid contributions had been received. The UN's
relief program continues to suffer from organiza-
tional problems, however, and officials have been
meeting to formulate an "action and coordination
plan."
In the meantime, India and Pakistan con-
tinue to accuse each other of serious border
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violations, and New Delhi has again warned that
unless the refugee problem is solved soon, it will
Ceylon: Insurgency Situation Report
The government appears increasingly con-
fident in its handling of the insurgency, but prob-
lems still remain.
Earlier this month, the nightly curfew was
shortened from nine to six hours, and Prime Min-
ister Bandaranaike announced a second and
"final" amnesty period during which insurgents
could surrender. The government claims that
about 6,000 rebels gave themselves up during a
similar period in early May. Only a few hundred
insurgents, however, apparently did so during the
second amnesty.
Rehabilitating the 12,000 rebels now in
detention centers may prove a serious problem.
The government's indoctrina-
tion program seems to have had little effect as
yet, and officials seem uncertain of how to
proceed.
One reflection of the largely quiescent na-
ture of the insurgency at present is the small
number of incidents reported. Although the
rebels occasionally attack government and police
installations, most of their efforts consist of at-
tempted robberies of individuals. The army com-
mander recently estimated that there were only
about 100 insurgents at large outside Colombo,
and that they were scattered over five of the
island's 22 districts. He did not consider this small
number a threat, although he appeared concerned
over the unknown but possibly large number of
insurgents lying low in Colombo.
The government has taken advantage of the
emergency to widen its control of the press.
Henceforth, a censor must approve any stories
covering cabinet proceedings and actions or any
matter "considered or alleged to be considered by
any minister or ministry." Previously, the govern-
ment had imposed censorship on all newspaper
editorials, arousing protests from many papers,
including those affiliated with the prime minis-
ter's Trotskyite and Communist coalition part-
ners. Presumably, nearly all of the Ceylonese
press will be unhappy with the new regulations,
which could in practice be extremely restrictive.
Although Mrs. Bandaranaike can claim that the
insurgency requires this increasingly stringent
control, she probably views the current situation
in part as presenting an opportunity to hobble
some old enemies who have been critical of her in
the past and who were partly responsible for the
downfall of her previous government in 1964.
Mrs. Bandaranaike is also considering eco-
nomic reforms, such as ceilings on land holdings
and incomes, that she believes would be respon-
sive to some demands of the insurgents. Also,
contemplated charges for the country's presently
free medical and educational services would be a
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small step toward improving the government's
capability to pay for its massive social welfare
expenditures, a prime ingredient of its budgetary
problems. At this time, however, Mrs. Bandara-
naike does not plan the politically volatile step of
reducing the subsidized rice ration
WESTERN HEMISPHERE
Copper and Politics in Chile
Copper and politics continue to be over-
riding concerns in Chile, providing President Al-
lende with both opportunities and problems as he
moves to transform Chile into a socialist state as
smoothly and quickly as possible.
Exploiting the
to control the country
is preparing to take over
ng-standing Chilean desire
major resource, Allende
ompletely and soon the.
extensive copper mining o"
owned and managed by
erations still partially
conda. Chile apparently will
tions for compensation until t
of begin negotia-
operations are
nationalized under a constitution
that will become law on 12 July. In
amendment
effort to
pvestors,
demonstrate a selective approach to US
Chile will probably announce at the same
agreement to buy out the Cerro Corpora
e an
Allende has preferred tapproach copper
nationalization carefully j "order to avoid alarm-
ing potential Western sources of investment and
credit, which Chile needs to replace US capital.
Extremist Soc~a1 sts, however, objected to the
terms of theCerro agreement, which Allende had
approve,01 and have stalled its announcement
since-,20 May. In turn, their more cautious Com-
nru ist rivals in the Popular Unity (UP) governing
ttcoaIition apparently feel obliged to come up with
schemes to regain the initiative on this vital issue.
A barrage of vituperation against Anaconda and
Kennecott has become a daily feature of the
progovernment media; both are accused of delib-
erate mismanagement that nullifies any need for
indemnification. The Communist daily is publish-
ing a series recounting "twelve great copper
scandals" allegedly perpetrated against Chile's
interest by those companies and the United
States. The opposition is unlikely to challenge
Allende on the copper nationalization, although
some congressmen have blamed the government
for conditions that cause _coper production
OppoOa:, '1=i parties are, however, taking an
increas4 y ressive stance on issues where the
Prt nt and his supporters are more vulnerable.
The most telling criticism has been that the
administration's coddling of leftist extremists has
created an atmosphere of lawlessness with wide-
spread effects, including the recent murders of
ghristian Democratic Party (PDC) leader
E4 ~ undo Perez Zujovic and several policemen.
Acc ations by the UP that rightists and the US
were irolved in the Perez shooting have boom-
eranged, e~gecially with the revelation that one of
the assassinas released last February under an
amnesty granted,, to imprisoned leftists by Al-
Another of those released by the President
as "misguided idealists," despite criminal charges
against them, is the chief of Allende's bodyguard.
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Opposition spokesmen argue that this irregular
security farce should be replaced by the regular
police who., traditionally guard the president. A
bill to augment the police forces with men of the
government's, choice was recently defeated in
Congress, but several high-ranking officers of the
traditionally anti-Marxist uniformed police, the
carabineros, were forced to retire.
Efforts by the PDC and conservative op-
position parties to~cooperat6 more closely are still
plagued by mutual. distrust and personal ambi-
tion. They plan tol support a single candidate
against the UP candidate in the by-election on 18
July for a vacant legislative seat and have defeated
the UP candidate inthe politically important elec-
tion for rector of.' the 'University of Chile. The
opposition majority's ouster of the UP leadership
of the Chamberof Deputies,, however, foundered
on 22 June when the conservative Nationalists
broke with the PDC and Democratic Radicals to
help re-elect a non-Marxist UP candidate as Cham-
ber president. Leftist young Christian Democrats
who want to work with Allende are 'also doing all
they can to break up common opposition ac-
25X1 tivity.
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Me,tos eiancos (cernen xJ
EI Lenient J s./Kennetoth~
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Brazil Cautiously Enforces the New Sea Law
The government is continuing restrained en- ratitHarrY~`r"rskacorrfr._~rtation. Foreign
forcement of its 200-mile territorial seas limit by craft, I zweacer, apparently continue to fish the area,
warning fishing boats out of the area, rather than and a serious incident could easily occur.
taking them into custody.
Government officials have indicated that their
policy is the result of an intention to apply the new
law on the first occasion against fishing boats-
op-erating within 12 miles-rather than 200-of the
coast. They believe Brazil's exclusive fishing rights
are more generally accepted within the narrower
zone. The US, for instance, recognizes a three-mile
territorial sea and a 12-mile fishing zone. A Na-
tionalist Chinese boat seized on 16 June was re-
leased with a warning because, although it was
picked up when only 10 miles from shore, it was negotiations with the government of Trinidad,
determined to have been fishing approximately 190_. whose shrimping industry is endangered by the new
miles from the coast. Brazilian regulations, will reportedly begin in July.
s s ftie Ias twa~ w k5`fta ri rg The French have also indicated an intention to
harass ~Brarifkt-art-strips-arrdplana tf1 ' enter into bilateral negotiations in the near fu-
U Lboats-- av - vvit t&4.w.rrAr?G t wate+ s4e tpo- to re.
Panama: Priest's Disappearance Troubles'the Government
The disappearance 'on 9 June of a popular
young Colombian priest who had opposed the
Torrijos regime has kicked up the biggest public
outcry against the government in its two and a half
years in power. The priest, Father Gallegos, was
apparently kidnaped and killed by the National
Guard. e t rH a ,::tile
popular belief is that he had antagRon zed Lthe gov-
ernment by casting officia.lj,-refs 'm efforts in a bad
light or, alternativel; th tf he had offended mem-
bers of Torrijos family who owned land in
V_eagu srro~iceherehewo.rl?i.
The_rreg r to ktas sed~l p essive,= easures ila t, et
past=aga~t t ic`t mist =a wef a to-4Rtun idat :op-
poaer4 In March 1970, fvzexaample, it arrested
and exiled a Spanish Jesuit whetrams=rnae pad4o-
brad>gcas er ticaJ o? :the regirrre Nevertheless rt
has gengrallyy exercised some:.: degree of restraint
25X1
On the diplomatic front, the Brazilians are
continuing to seek support and to encourage na-
tions to negotiate fishing agreements. The Yugoslav
vice minister of foreign affairs, on a visit to Brazil
in late May, stated his support of the Brazilian
position in principle, noting that every country has
a right to determine its own territorial waters. The
foreign minister of Ecuador, which also has a
200-mile claim, strongly endorsed a joint stand with
Brazil during his visit to Brasilia last week. Fishing
The government, surprised by the agitation
over the incident, has gone to great lengths to deny
its involvement. Its attempts, however, to portray
itself as a friend of the priest and its halfhearted
efforts to blame right-wing elements or the US have
severely damaged its credibility with the populace.
The incident comes at a particularly bad time
for the government. Since April, Torrijos has tried
to reinforce his leftist, populist image and has re-
doubled efforts to mobilize support that could be
used against the US in connection with canal nego-
tiations. Having consistently portrayed itself as a
revolutionary regime protecting the interests of the
"little man" rather than the oligarchy, the govern-
ment is particularly embarrassed at having handed
the opposition a popular issue on which students,
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goat, and in the future he may be more circumspect
in the use of "extralegal" methods.
The establishment by the Bolivian Labor Cen-
tral of a "military command" and its announced
intention to organize a national militia are certain
to have an impact throughout: the armed forces.
These actions could cause-even more military-men
to.. feel---a- need- to move against Torres./-
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Page 23 WEEKLY SUMMARY 25 Jun 71
peasants, the church, and business can unite.
Torrijos may have to come up with a suitable scape-
Bolivia: Torres Hangs On
Government denunciations of "rightist" coup
plotting, the imposition of a state of emergency,
and the reconvening of the extreme left's unofficial
Popular Assembly provide the backdrop for Presi-
dent Torres' continued efforts to secure extreme
leftist support. Meanwhile, the political atmosphere
in La Paz remains tense and uncertain.
Torres is trying to establish an identity of
interests between his regime and the extreme
leftist-dominated labor and student groups that are
behind the assembly by focusing attention on the
common threat posed by "rightist" opposition con-
spirators. The ingredients for a showdown between
the "popular forces" and the government remain,
however. The President has not yet reacted to re-
newed claims of governing power by the Popular
Assembly, which began meeting on Tuesday. The
assembly's sessions also revealed internal friction
among its sponsors, who remain divided by
ideology and personal ambition.
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