THE CUBAN MILITARY ESTABLISHMENT (Sanitized)

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CIA-RDP80T00942A000900040001-1
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RIPPUB
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S
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18
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December 12, 2016
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April 10, 2002
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1
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Publication Date: 
May 1, 1979
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RP
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r or Release 2002/05/09 : CIA-RDP80T00942A000900q Assessment Center The Cuban Military Establishment Secret 25X1 PA 79-10173D May 1979 Approved For Release 2002/05/09 : CIA-RDP80T00942A00090004QQ01146 25X1 Approved For Release 2002/05/09 : CIA-RDP80T00942A000900040001-1 Approved For Release 2002/05/09 : CIA-RDP80T00942A000900040001-1 o,y p Four Release 2002/05/09 : CIA-RDP80T00942A000900040001-1 mN Foreign Assessment Center The Cuban Military Establishment Research for this report was completed on 23 March 1979. The author of this paper i Cuban Analytical Center, Office of Political Analysis. Comments and queries are welcome and should be directed to 25X1 25X1 Secret Approved For Release 2002/05/09 : CIA-RDP80T00942A0009000400O 3D May 1979 0 Approved For Release 2002/05/09 : CIA-RDP80T00942A000900040001-1 The Cuban Military Establishment Council of State President Fidel Castro 1st Vice Pres. Raul Castro Council of Ministers President Fidel Castro 1st-Vice Pres. Raul Castro 9 Vice Presidents of Council of Ministers Government Offices Under Direct Control of Pres. Council of Ministers Fidel Castro MINFAR MININT Ministry of Culture Central Planning Board 01 State Committee on Finance State Committee on Technico-Material Supply State Committee On Prices Institute of Hydrography PCC Cent'ra Comm 11 Members rfy1 "Secretary Ca tro 2 ecretary " I Castro'' Party Control Secret Approved For Release 2002/05/09 11 : CIA-RDP80T00942A000900040001-1 Approved For Release 2002/05/09 : CIA-RDP80T00942A00090004y0eg9e1-1 Key Judgments 0 25X1 The Cuban Military Establishment 0 25X1 Since the last half of 1975, when Cuba shipped weapons to Angola and the USSR began to supply new military equipment to Havana, it has become apparent that the Cuban armed forces can lend substance to Fidel Castro's commitment to support leftist governments and revolutionary movements abroad and are capable of deployment abroad within a relatively shore period of time. The changes occurring in the military that are making the Cuban Government a more powerful international actor arc: ? The increase in size of Cuba's armed forces since 1975, reversing a :rend toward a smaller military establishment that began in 1970. It is the second largest in Latin America, after Brazil, and the most experienced in combat. ? The resumption of the militarization of Cuban society evident in the 1960s, including expansion of the reserves and increasing regimenlati:m of secondary schools. ? The influx of Soviet weapons, which have been instrumental in allowing the expansion of traditional missions to include offensive tasks that emphasize mobility of forces and dynamic tactics. ? The low cost of military modernization as a result of Soviet underwriting of Cuba's acquisition of military equipment since 1962. ? The increase in Cuba's ability to move its armed forces overseas as its civil air and merchant fleets expand. 25X1 them again. As a consequence of these changes and its experience in Africa, Cuba s military is a potentially dominant force in Latin America and one that poses a substantial advantage when deployed abroad. Cuba is the only country in Latin America to have undertaken a major military effort abroad since World War [I. Its forces have scored notable successes thousands of miles from home twice in the last three years, and Castro is not reluctant to use iii Secret Approved For Release 2002/05/09 : CIA-RDP80T00942A000900040001-1 Cuban Ground Forces Approved For Release 2002/05/09 : CIA-RDP80T00942A000900040001-1 u. S. .ft Havana at Western Army ? Pinar Adel Rio Camaguey .dSt&I/C Hi'ltl_V Holguin a i' Lesser Caymans (U.K.) ^ Army headquarters ya Corps headquarters * Infantry division Infantry brigade Whip Mechanized infantry division AW Armored division - - Artillery division C'entr8/ Arm Santa oClara Grand Cayman (U.K.) 0 100 Kildnelrs wk% Santiago de Cuba 0 25X1 Approved For Release 2002/05/09 : CIA-RDP80T00942A000900040001-1 Approved For Release 2002/05/09 : CIA-RDP80T00942A000900040001-1 Secret 25X1 The Cuban Military Establishment Resurgence in Size only a dozen officers at the two-star, division-gcr. raI level All three are b . mem ers of the 13-member During the 1960s Cuba had between 250,000 and Political Bureau, the country's highest decisionm;.king 300,000 men and women-not countin iliti i i g m a- n ts body. standing armed forces. This strength had grown in response to fears of a US invasion, but as perceptions of Raul commands the loyalty of the military and this threat diminished the leadership became hard security forces personnel, many of whose leaders pressed to justify so large a fighting force. When the served with him in the mountains against Batista ind economy took a downturn in 1970, the Castro regime, in the postrevolutionary struggle against anti-C:as ro partly at Soviet urging, reduced its forces by some 60 forces. This experience and the promotion of percent, eventually freeing more than 150,000 people "Raulistas" to the top levels of the government pre vide for full-time employment in the civilian labor force. Raul with a solid base of support should he ever ha ve to take over from Fidel. As a group, "Raulistas" Lend to All branches of the armed services except the Air be dogmatic, authoritarian, and deeply distrustful of Force were affect d t:..,., bl _ A r - . e no y Th D shrank from six brigades and 24 occupied SA-2 surface-to-air missile sites to three brigades and 18 sites, leaving eastern Cuba unprotected by surface-to- air missiles. The Navy lost a number of radar surveillance posts, again to the detriment of eastern Cuba. The Army was more than halved in size and reorganized. To serve as a link between the party and the military establishment, the Political Bureau establishes: the Military Department of the Central Committee, headed by another ex-guerrilla, Division General Calixto Garcia. He and his department are responsible for formulating military policy options for the Political Bureau and the l i h ' n re ay ng t e Bureau s decisions to the Largely as a result of the decision to send troops proper government entities and monitoring their ccm- overseas (some 32,000 to 36,000 are in Angola and pliance. The Military Department is subordinate to the Ethiopia, rotated on a yearly basis), the armed forces Central Committee's Secretariat-presumably to have increased to more than 160000 i act , ve-duty Fidel and Raul. personnel after a low of 120,000 in the early 1970s.= The Military Establishment and Its Involvement in Civilian Life The Cuban military establishment comprises the Ministry of the Revolutionary Armed Forces (MINFAR.) and the Ministry of the Interior (MININT), directly subordinate to President and Commander in Chief Fidel Castro. Next in the line of command and Fidel's choice as his successor is Minister of the Armed Forces Raul Castro, who holds the second highest position in the government and in the Cuban Communist Party. Sergio del Valle, a guerrilla during the revolution and later Raul's rank- ing deputy in MINFAR, has been Minister of Interior since 1968. All three hold military rank-Raul is the country's only four-star general, and Del Valle is one of Of the 1 10 members of the party's Central Commit tee, 26 hold active and four hold honorary military rank, and 19 others have transferred in recent years to civilian posts on the basis of their proven manageri I skills as well as high rank in the military. In addition to uniformed personnel, MINFAR- - virtually a state within a state-has 31,500 civilian workers employed in factories and repair facilities in Cuba and in building roads and airfields in Africa. Many are employees of MINFAR's Central Director- ate for Housing and Construction, which in addition to military construction, builds housing and apartment complexes for military and civilian personnel of both 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 1 Secret Approved For Release 2002/05/09 : CIA-RDP80T00942A000900040001-1 Approved For Release 2002/05/09 : CIA-RDP80T00942A000900040001-1 0 M IN FAR has its own educational system for officers and other personnel. There are about a dozen "Camilo Cienfuegos" Vocational Military Schools throughout the country to provide secondary education for youths who have decided to pursue a military career. One school has been set aside for youths preparing for the Air and Air Defense Forces (DAAFAR) and two others are for prospective midshipmen. fhese "Camilitos," as the students are called, are the prime source of candidates for such advanced institutions as the Mariel Naval Academy, the Camilo Cienfuegos Artillery School, the Military Technical Institute, and t tie General Antonio Maceo School of Combined Arms, which are Cuba's service academies. 1'he General Maximo Gomez Armed Forces Academy is Cuba's national war college, with Soviet and Cuban instructors. Eleven institutions of higher education, including the Universities of Havana, Las Villas, and )riente, provide military training for more than 10,000 students, who receive commissions in the reserve upon graduation. An additional six such institutions will be graduating reservists by 1981. In addition, more than 20,000 students are participating in military training programs in 40 secondary schools, triple the number of schools offering such training in 1978. Ml N FAR also operates technical schools, such as the Armed Forces Economic Management School, the School for Minor Specialists, and Camp Barbosa for air defense technicians. M I N FAR publishes its own party journal, Trabajo Politico, and MINFAR and MININ F jointly broad- cast over national radio a daily program that forms the core of a political indoctrination class for military units throughout the country. The program usually takes a harder political line than do other se ments of the Cuban propaganda apparatus. The high readiness of the reserves has allowed Cuba to rely heavily on them for service in both Angola and Ethiopia. According to Raul Castro and other Cuban leaders, at least half of the enlisted personnel who have served in Africa have been reservists When returned to civilian life, they become part of a pool of combat veterans subject to callup for several years. Before the Cuban involvement overseas the leadership believed that the postrevolutionary generation knew nothing of life under the Batista regime or of the endurance of the guerrillas that overthrew him. The leaders feared that military service had come to be regarded as undesirable rather than a patriotic duty. There were even difficulties in motivating the Youth Labor Army, a paramilitary group organized to aid in the civilian economy. The hope now is that the returnees from overseas will have developed a sense of revolutionary esprit. Before the intervention in Angola the Cuban military was structured as a home defense force. Its mission since 1959 had been to assure the survival of the revolutionary government against attack. The Army was composed almost entirely of infantry divisions without a great deal of mechanized travel capability; the Air Force was largely an interceptor force with no bombers and few aircraft equipped for airlift or assault; and the Navy was equipped and trained to protect the coasts against invasion and infiltration. There were few weapons that could be considered as offensive since the withdrawal of Soviet combat units with their strategic ballistic missiles and jet light bombers in 1962. This situation did not change until 1975 when Fidel Castro signaled a change by announc- ing that Cuba would receive new weapons from the USSR at least through 1980. Since then all branches of the Cuban armed forces have received new weapons in an upgrading of the Cuban military. The deliveries reflect a change in the Soviet policy that withheld certain equipment in order not to grate on US sensitivities. The ground attack version of the MIG-23 ;wing-wing fighter-bomber and the Ml-8 combat helicopter have been introduced into the Cuban Air Force. Recently an attack submarine, Cuba's first, was delivered to Cienfuegos. Approved For Release 2002/05/09 : CIA-RDP80T00942A000900040001-1 25X 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2002/05/09 : CIA-RDP80T00942A00090QPIpg01-1 0 The equipment arriving from the USSR and the combat experience in Africa indicate that the Cuban ground forces are adopting more mobile concepts of operation patterned after those of the Soviet Ground Forces. The 2 January military parade in Havana marking the 20th anniversary of the Cuban revolution included two paratroop units "belonging to landing and assault troops" and a unit of naval infantry "capable of carrying out different types of combat in any theater of military operations." Thanks to Soviet largess Cuba has an arsenal of weapons that is more than adequate for a 160,000-man army, a 60,000-man active reservist element, and almost any callup of civilian personnel. Since mid-1975 the Cuban Army has received ZSU-23/4 self- propelled antiaircraft guns, T-62 tanks, towed field guns, fire control radar for antiaircraft artillery, BM- 21 tactical multiple rocket launchers, SA-7 man- portable surface-to-air missiles, BTR-60P armored personnel carriers armed with antitank guided mis- siles, BMP-76 armored combat vehicles, BRDM antitank vehicles, and mobile engineering and bridging equipment. teams. They are not normally integrated into tthe h ).t country's command structure. These weapons are being added to an inventory that Should the Mt ~i includes some 720 tanks, 615 personnel carriers and enter the Cuban Air Force, it would provide a c!ian reconnaissance vehicles, about 160 truck-mounted of challenging SR-7l overflights, but would not rocket launchers, 20 FROG (Free Rocket Over improve the Cuban Air Force's ability to parrot Ground) transporter-launchers, 3,400 antitank missile international air corridors or to identify slow-11y;rg launchers and guns, more than 2,100 field artillery aircraft in Cuban airspace at medium and fort pieces and mortars, and 1,500 antiaircraft artillery. =altitudes. The Cuban ground forces are organized into four territorial commands: The Western, Central, and Eastern Armies, and the Isle of Youth Military Region. In addition, expeditionary forces are in Angola and Ethiopia. The armies contain a total of four corps. When mobilized for war the armies and corps probably will become equals, subordinate to MIN FAR's admin- istrative and operational control. In the last two years, the Cuban Revolutionary Air Force (FAR) has received variants of the MIG 23 the assault variant of the MI-8 helicopter, and new mo~ lels. of the MIG-21 interceptor. In addition to incre.isir. the site of the force, these new aircraft brine rot u capabilities for interceptor, ground-attack. and tro. p- carrying missions. The ground attack variant of the MIG-'3 give. tilt Cuban Air Force a new capability. The airplan:u carries a heavy load of ordnance-up to I ~, born bs 100 kilograms each when the load of fuel ;s reducei` and can deliver that load farther than other ( uhan aircraft. It can carry a heavier bomb load than he II_-28 light bombers that the Soviets withdrew Iror Cuba in 1962. In early 1978 the Air Force consisted of less than 6,(i)( men, including only about 500 active pilots. Thee v as little if any surplus in the number of proficient pilot and many were not trained to fly jet fighters. Ar undetermined number of Cuban pilots are being trained in the Soviet Union to make up for ?hesc manpower deficiencies as well as to learn how to operate new equipment. For normal tactical operations, a Cuban Army can be considered equivalent to a corps, controlling up to nine divisions each containing about 5,000 to 7,000 men. The Cuban forces in Angola and Ethiopia apparently are organized into regimental or brigade combat The FAR has well over 300 military aircraft. exchic ing utility variants. These include about 200 jet fighters (half of which are MIG-21 fighters), about 'O military helico ters and move than 80 transport am cargo aircraft. 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Secret Approved For Release 2002/05/09 CIA-RDP80T00942A000900040001-1 0 Approved For Release 2002/05/09 : CIA-RDP80T00942A000900040001-1 130-mm field guns 1~s 1 Since 1975 the Soviet Union has supplied a variety of mobile Secret 4 Approved For Release 2002/05/09 : CIA-RDP80T00942A000900040001-1 Approved For Release 2002/05/09 : CIA-RDP80T00942A0009000.40001-1 secret 25X1 The Cuban Air Force acu .,sired aircraft designed to attac, 25X1 The other main element of the Cuban Air and Air Defense Forces is the 10,000-man surface-to-air mis- sile force. In contrast to the Air Force it lags behind the air defenses of several Warsaw Pact and Soviet-allied states using Soviet weaponry. For years before 1976, Cuba received no new surface-to-air missile weapons. Since then, SA-3 surface-to-air missiles sites have become operational. The SA-3 system complements Cuba's SA-2 air defense missile system, is more effective against low-flying aircraft, and, thanks to the use of different radar frequencies, makes the overall air defense less vulnerable to "jamming" by in attacking force. There are also four long-range King radars in the early warning and tracking net work. 25X1 5 Secret Approved For Release 2002/05/09 : CIA-RDP80T00942A000900040001-1 .'eeret Approved For Release 2002/05/09 : CIA-RDP80T00942A000900040001-1 "he Air Defense Force's 10,000 members are divided ,mong the surface-to-air missile units and the adiotechnical troops. Taken together with the Air nrce, the Air Defense Force is capable of defending l~cy population and industrial centers against anything hors of a major attack. Its major weaknesses are its dependence on the Soviet Union for material and t .chnical support and a shortage of trained personnel. I)AAFAR controls little or no antiaircraft artillery. Instead, SA-7 man-carried and shoulder-fired surface- )-air missiles and ZSIJ-23/4 and ZSI.'-57/2 vehicle- taunted, self-contained antiaircraft guns seem to be ;apportioned to ground force units. 1 he mission of the Cuban Revolutionare Navy f MGR) is defensive. While the Navy is thought e:ipable of shielding Cuba's coast against anything ,;'tort of a large-scale multiforce attack by a major power, it can carry out only limited operations at sea .ond has virtually no antisubmarine capability. It is, However, one of the best-equipped and best-trained navies in Latin America. Its 10,000 personnel operate Approximately 100 ships and boats as well as a land- 1iased coastal surveillance radar network. 1 he MGR has received five new Osa-11-class guided- missile patrol boats since mid-1975. The addition of these small craft, each armed with four SS-N-2 Styx cruise missiles, strengthens the major antiship attack e. ement of the Navy-14 Komar-class patrol boats e-9ch armed with two SS-N-2 Styx cruise missiles, and rive Osa-I-class patrol boats each armed with four SS- N -2 guided cruise missiles. In the past few years, the Soviets also have supplied three small minesweepers to t lee Cuban Navy. In early February the Cuban Navy took delivery of its first submarine---a conventionally armed and diesel- pnwered F-class. Besides serving as a showpiece, the submarine will contribute to Cuba's antiship defenses. N hipments of'submarines to Libya and India indicate tl at more releases for Cuba will be forthcoming. The Soviets also delivered =urya-class hydrofoil 25X1 B submarine chasers in February. The Turyas do not carry the gear for antisubmarine warfare the Soviets use, but this equipment could be added. The delivery of the Turya-class boats marked both their first export from the USSR and the first time that Cuba was the initial foreign recipient of a Soviet weapons system. 25X1 The MGR has 10 S.O.1 small submarine chasers and four Kronshtadt large submarine chasers for escort duty. All were built before the 1960s and are inad- equate for modern antisubmarine warfare. This inadequacy became apparent during the Angolan war when the MGR tried to guard the movement of merchant ships and troop carriers through the Carib- bean, but its escorts had insufficient range to go past Cuban crews were training on the anuchka-class guided-missile patrol ship which the Soviet Navy has used in the eastern 25X1 25X1 25X1 Mediterranean. If several of these ships are transferred to Cuba, they would add significantly to the Cuban Navy's sea patrol capability. The Nanuchka-class ships probably would be armed with the SS-N-2 Styx used on the Osas and Komars because the Cubans lack beyond-the-horizon control systems required by longer-range missiles. There have been 19 deployments of groups of Soviet naval ships to Cuba and Caribbean waters since 1969. They have included destroyers, guided-missile frigates, and submarines. The Soviet naval air force also has sent TU-95 reconnaissance aircraft to operate from Cuba 27 times since early 1975. Some have continued to Africa, surveying the Atlantic for Western naval activity. The TU-95s also reconnoiter the US east coast, seldom missing an opportunity to fly over US carrier task groups. Secret Approved For Release 2002/05/69 : CIA-RDP80T00942A000900040001-1 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2002/05/09 : CIA-RDP80T00942A000900040001-1 Secret I Cuba's first submarine was delivered in early February. It was first seenflying a Cuban ensign near Denmark on its way to Cuba. Cuba has,five Osa-II missile armed patrol boats with more 25X1 7 Secret Approved For Release 2002/05/09 : CIA-RDP80T00942A000900040001-1 II Approved For Release 2002/05/09 : CIA-RDP80T00942A000900040001-1 Cuba: Military-Aged Males ['he Angolan and Ethiopian campaigns gave Cuban (17-34 years) officers practice in managing forces in various types of offensive and defensive tactics, commanding both Mid-Year 100 Cuban and foreign troops, and in logistics. In addition 1978 137 to the experience gained in Africa, Cubans may be receiving tactical demonstrations and mechanized 1979 14 warfare training in Cuba from Soviet advisers. 1980 The modernization of the armed forces and their deployment in Africa have not imposed a serious burden on the Cuban economy because: ? The large-scale Soviet subsidization of the Cuban armed forces has held Havana's direct defense expen- ditures to only 7 to 8 percent of its gross national product. ? The regular armed forces employ only I 1 percent of Cuba's military-aged males (17 to 34 years) and less than 6 percent of the Cuban labor force. Both the manpower pool and the labor force will rise sharply over the next two decades. Despite the absence ofa formal military aid treaty, Soviet support of the Cuban military is extensive. We estimate the value of Soviet military material assist- ance to Cuba over the 1960-78 period at a minimum of $2 billion. Massive Soviet assistance has enabled Havana to keep defense expenditures at relatively moderate levels. The 7 to 8 percent of estimated GNP in 1978 devoted to defense outlays is well above the 1.4-percent average for other Latin American countries but is generally comparable to the United States, the United Kingdom, and Taiwan, and far below the USSR, Saudi Arabia, North Korea, and Israel. Cuban per capita expendi- tures for active duty personnel averaged only about $5,750 in 1978 compared to about $6,725 for the other I.atin American countries. Even if the amorphous budget categories of "other activities" and "reserves" were included in the defense category, Cuban defense outlays would total no more than 15 percent of GNP. In either case the economic cost has been eased by diverting a portion of Cuba's defense outlays to the -1981 1523 1982 1579 1983 1634 1984 1684 1985 1730 1986 1771 1987 - 1809 1988 1853 1989 1901 1990 1943 1991 1972 1992 1989 1993 2000 1994 2008 1995 2010 1996 2005 1997 1993 1998 1973 1999 1949 0 nonmilitary sector; for example the 100,000-man paramilitary Youth Labor Army is funded by the military but is involved in civil action programs, including such agricultural pursuits as sugarcane harvesting. 25X1 25X1 Secret Approved For Release 2002/05/69 : CIA-RDP80T00942A000900040001-1 Approved For Release 2002/05/09: CIA-RDP80T00942A00090004Ng1-1 Cuban Merchant Fleet: Selected Years 1958 to 1978' Number of Ships Year End GRT 15 - 1958 41.000 21 OWPW 1960 5.1i, 0 0 0 33 1965 i 152,000 53 1970 58 1973 60 1975 63 1976 68 apW ..1677 Neither have Cuba's armed forces constituted a serious drain on the domestic labor force. Havana has drawn only 160,000 men from a pool of 1.4 million males of military age.' Moreover, due to a baby boom in the 1960s, the number of males of military age will rise sharply through the early 1990s -as will the labor force. Given the modest prospects for economic growth, Cuba's ability to provide productive civilian employment for jobseekers is limited at best. Although the Cuban armed forces lack a long-distance lift capability, civilian transport has been and is readily available. When Cuba began moving troops to Africa in late 1975, three Bristol Britannias that belonged to Cubana Airlines before the revolution played a key role. These turboprop transports, with major mainte- nance done in the United Kingdom, carried about 80 troops each at a cruising speed of 300 knots 342,000 418,000 439,000 498,000 537.000 I Includes all ships with a GIRT of 1,000 tons or mcne. 9 Figures for 1978 are preliminary. Since the Angola airlift, Cuba has accepted 25X1 Povret-built IL-62 jetliners. Patterned a ter the British VC-10 airliner, these aircraft can c arr nearly 200 troops at speeds of 435 knots. 25X1 Cuba also is receiving other transport aircraft. inc ud- ingAK-40 short-haul trijet s irlilters,25X1 B N-26 turboprop transports, and art 25X1 B undetermined number of AN-30 twin turboprc.p ul ility and aerial-survey aircraft. At the beginning of 1975 Cuba had 59 ships ovt:r I ;100 25X1 gross registered tons (GRT) totaling 387,000 tons in the civil merchant fleet. By the end of 1978 there were 74 ships of the same size totaling 537,000 GRT. T1is amounts to a 39-percent increase in tonnage si-ice 1974_ In 1976 Cuba required less than 15 percent 0 its cargo ships to carry troops and supplies to and frorli Africa. There was no interruption of normal crmn er- cial operations. 25X1 9 Secret Approved For Release 2002/05/09 : CIA-RDP80T00942A000900040001-1 0 Approved For Release 2002/05/09 : CIA-RDP80T00942A000900040001-1 on of aita,:k. tie (uban armed io!k:es wilt not it, it it tie trued-down status an.: lesser nn-nt front the 1J~5I1 seem:, limit -tl Only by the i ( O r a ao assinufate it. 1