CHINA: GROSS VALUE OF INDUSTRIAL OUTPUT, 1965-77

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
• Release Decision: RIFPUB
• Original Classification: K
• Document Page Count: 72
• Document Creation Date: December 12, 2016
• Document Release Date: June 24, 2002
• Sequence Number: 6
• Publication Date: June 1, 1978
• Content Type: PAPER

441
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Assessment
Center
China: Gross Value of
Industrial Output, 1965-77
ER 78-10355
June 1978
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CONTENTS
Preface ............................................................................................................ i
iv
Abbreviations ................................................................................................
Introduction .................................................................................................... 1
The Method of Calculation .......................................................................... 2
The Derivation of the National GVIO Series ............................................ 5
Tables
1. Gross Value of Industrial Output, by Province .................................... 5
2. Reported National Data Used as Constraints ........................................ 6
3. National Index of the Gross Value of Industrial Output .................... 7
4. Gross Value of Industrial Output ............................................................ 8
5. Estimation of the National Gross Value of Industrial Output in 1967 .... 9
Appendix and Province Tables
Annual Indexes of Provincial Industrial Output, Selected Years,
1949-77 ...................................................................................................... 11
A-1. Anhwei .............................................................................................. 12
A-2. Chekiang .......................................................................................... 14
A-3. Fukien .............................................................................................. 16
..................................................................................
A-4. Heilungkiang 18
A-5. Honan .............................................................................................. 20
A-6. Hopeh .............................................................................................. 22
A-7. Hunan .............................................................................................. 24
A-8. Hupeh .............................................................................................. 26
A-9. Inner Mongolia .............................................................................. 28
A-10. Kansu .............................................................................................. 30
A-11. Kiangsi ............................................................................................ 32
A-12. Kiangsu ............................................................................................ 34
A-13. Kirin ................................................................................................ 36
A-14. Kwangsi .......................................................................................... 38
A-15. Kwangtung ...................................................................................... 40
A-16. Kweichow ........................................................................................ 42
A-17. Liaoning .......................................................................................... 44
A-18. Ningsia ............................................................................................ 46
A-19. Peking .............................................................................................. 48
A-20. Shanghai .......................................................................................... 50
A-21. Shansi .............................................................................................. 52
A-22. Shantung .......................................................................................... 54
A-23. Shensi .............................................................................................. 56
A-24. Sinkiang .......................................................................................... 58
A-25. Szechwan ........................................................................................ 60
A-26. Tibet .................................................................................................. 62
A-27. Tientsin ............................................................................................ 64
A-28. Tsinghai .......................................................................................... 66
A-29. Yunnan ............................................................................................ 68
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BIIC: British Broadcasting Corporation, Summary
of World Broadcasts, Part 3, The Far East,
Weekly Economic Report, and its
predecessors.
C'KH' ..................... .......... ....------ .Chung-kuo hsin-wen (China News).
F ISIS -... .Foreign Broadcast Information Service, Dai-
ly Report, People's Republic of China, and
its predecessors.
Field, Lardy, and Emerson, 1976 Robert Michael Field, Nicholas R. Lardy,
and John Philip Emerson, Provincial Indus-
trial Output in the People's Republic of
China: 1949-75, Foreign Economic Report
No. 12, US Department of Commerce,
Washington, D. C., 1976.
Great Changes ................ ............ Shen-chow chu-pien-I{:sin Chung-kuo erh-
shih-chiu-ke sheng, shih, tzu-chih-ch'u
chieh-shao (Great Changes in the Father-
land-an Introduction to the Twenty-Nine
Provinces. Municipalities, and Regions of
New China, Hong Kong, 1975.
C;VIO ................................. . ....Gross value of industrial output.
JMJP ..............................................Jen-min jih-pao (People's Daily).
JPRS . .........................................IS Joint Publications Research Service.
NCNA .............. ........ . . ........New China News Agency.
SCMP .........................................American Consulate General, Hong Kong,
Survey of China Mainland Press.
Statistics on the IMAR .........Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region Bureau
of Statistics, Nei-meng-ku tzu-chip-ch'u
citing-chi ho wenhua chien-she ch'eng-chiu
ti t'ung-chi (Statistics an the Economic and
Cultural Achievements of the Inner Mon-
golia Autonomous Region), Huhehot. 1960,
translated in JPRS, No 16,952, 3 January
1963.
TKP (HK) ......................................Ta-kung pao (The Impartial) (Hong Kong).
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China: Gross Value of
Industrial Output, 1965-77
Central Intelligence Agency
National Foreign Assessment Center
Introduction
Although only two or three absolute figures for the value of provincial
industrial output have been released for the years since the collapse of the
Leap Forward, a large number of statements about increases over 1949, 1965,
or the previous year have been published or broadcast. Typical of these are the
following statements about Anhwei: 1
Provincial industrial output in 1975 was double the 1970 figure or 22 times
that of 1949.
Anhwei's industry [in 1970] ... recorded a 62-percent increase in output
value ... compared with 1965.
The province overfulfilled the 1975 State Plan for total industrial output
value, registering a 19.2-percent increase over 1974 and a 195-percent
increase over 1965.
It was possible to use a least squares technique to approximate the unpublished
provincial GVIO time series from which statements such as these were
derived. The technique is fully described in appendix A of Field, Lardy, and
Emerson, 1976, and up-to-date series are presented in the appendix of this
paper. Unfortunately, the series are not complete.
Because of the gaps in the provincial series, a national GVIO series was
derived from them by a method described in the next section. The method is
similar to that used in Field, Lardy, and Emerson, 1976, but differs in two
respects. First, the provincial GVIO data are weighted so that years for which
the data are more complete weigh more heavily in the calculations than those
for which the data are sparse. And second, the value for any given year can be
forced to equal a reported figure or a figure derived from reported data.
The actual calculation of the national GVIO series is discussed in the final
section of this paper.
I BBC, FE/W872/A/8, 7 April 1976; SCMP, No. 4831, 4 February 1971, p. 136; and BBC,
FE/W860/A/3, 14 January 1976.
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The Method of Calculation
The best statement of the relationship between the value of output in the
years i and j is the ratio of the value of output of all commodities for which
output data are available in both year i and year j. The ratio is
k1 dk Pk Qik
it
IE bk Pk Qik
k=1
-where P and 0 are price and quantity, respectively, n is the number of output
series- and d is an indicator function- The function, which indicates the
commodities to he included in the ratio. is defined as
(I if both Qik and Qjk > 0
bk =
0 if either Qij or Qjk =0
An index Y is estimated by least squares from the following equation
= Ili, ' eii
Y;
where a is the error term. Taking the logarithms of both sides yields the
equation
log Yj - log Yi - log Rii = log 0-ii
The weighted sum of the squares of log eij is minimized, subject to the
constraint that the estimated index equals 100 in the base year. Minimize
subject to
og Yj - log ii - log Hij)=
log Y b = log 100
where W is the weight, in the number of years, and b the base year.
Because the procedure uses weights. the output data for at least one year
must be complete. The weight base is defined as those years for which the data
are complete and the weight W,, as the ratio of the total value in the base years
of those commodities produced in both year i and year j to the total value of
all commodities produced in the base years. The calculation is as follows:
Wit =
i#1 Yi, ki 6k Pk Qhk
nn n
h i Yh 2 i 1'k Qhk
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where 7 and 8 are indicator functions. The function I r, which indicates the
years to be included in the weight base, is defined as
1 if Qhk > 0 for all k
jl 0 if Qhk = 0 for any k
and the function S , which indicates the commodities to be included in the
numerator, is defined as
f I if both Qik and Qik > 0
jl 0 if either Qik or Qlk = 0
Finally, additional constraints can be used to force the ratios of the index
numbers for any pair of years to equal a reported percentage increase.
The partial derivatives of the objective function are a system of
simultaneous equations whose solution is the index.
To make the procedures clear, indexes are calculated from the following
hypothetical data:
Output
A
..................
120
2,500
3,125
3,750
4,000
B
..................
100
750
900
975
1,050
C
..................
40
3,750
5,250
5,625
6,000
D ..................
175
1,000
1,300
1,600
The weight, sample ratio, final ratio, and error for each pair of years are as
follows:
Year 2
Weight ................................
Sample ratio ......................
Final ratio ..........................
Error ..................................
Year 3
Weight ................................
Sample ratio ......................
Final ratio ..........................
Error ..................................
Year 4
Weight ................................
Sample ratio ......................
Final ratio ' .........................
Error ..................................
Year 5
Weight ................................
Sample ratio ......................
Final ratio ..........................
Error ..................................
0.3608
1.2700
1.2511
0.9851
0.7415
1.1023
1.3000
1.0833
1.3109
1.0478
1.0084
0.9672
1.0000
0.3608
0.7415
1.5143
1.2126
1.1429
1.5086
1.2058
1.1508
0.9962
0.9944
1.0069
0.6392
0.6392
0.6392
1.6000
1.2308
1.0667
1.6075
1.2849
1.2263
1.0656
1.0047
0.9963
0.9990
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The weight base for the sample problem is years 1 and 4; as expected, the
weight assigned to that pair of years is 1.000, and the error, relatively small. In
contrast, output data for only one commodity were available for both year
and year 3. The weight assigned to that pair of years is 1.1023, and the error is
relatively large. Finally, the index calculated by the procedure is:
Year
1 100.00
2 125.11
:1 131.09
4 150.86
5 160.75
If the value of output in year 5 were known to be 61 percent greater than
in year 1, the index could be constrained; the weights, sample ratios, final
ratios, and errors would be as follows:
Year 1
Weight
0.3608
Sample ratio
1.2700
Final ratio
1.2515
Error
0.9854
Year 2
Weight
0.7415
1.1023
Sample ratio
1.3000
1.0833
Final ratio
1.3118
1.0482
Error
1.OOD0
0.9675
Year 3
Weight
1.0000
0.3608
0.7415
Sample ratio
1.5143
1.2126
1.1429
Final ratio
1.5095
1.2061
1.1507
Error
0.9968
0.9947
1.0069
Year 4
Weight
1.6392
1.6392
0.6392
Sample ratio
1.6000
1.2308
1.0667
Final ratio
1.6100
1:2865
1.2274
1.0666
Error
1.0062
0.9972
0.9999
The weights and sample ratios, of course, are the same but the final ratios and
errors have changed. In particular, the error for years 1 and 5 is greater, but
the final ratio is more accurate because it has been forced to equal a known
value. The constrained index would be as follows:
Index: 1 - 100
Year
1 100.00
2 125.15
3 131.18
4 150.95
5 161.00
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The Derivation of the National GVIO Series
The provincial GVIO data from which the national GVIO series is
derived are presented in table 1. The figures for 1957 are from Field, Lardy,
and Emerson, 1976; the figures for the other years are calculated from the
1957 figures and the indexes presented in the appendix. These data are used to
calculate the ratios of the value of output for each pair of years. The years
1957 and 1974, for which the data are complete, are the weight base.
Because the Chinese have reported the growth of the national GVIO
between certain pairs of years, these data are used to constrain the index in the
Gross Value of Industrial Output, by Province
1957
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
Northeast
Heilungkiang ........ 3,641
7,971
9,885
8,727
10,821
12,639
13,284
13,908
14,922
15,785
17,815
44
18,563
237
11
20,698
Kirin ...................... 2,155
5,138
6,344
6,254
7,517
8,014
9,434
9,378
10,8
,
Liaoning ................ 10,078
18,900
21,586
16,230
24,020
29,232
32,810
34,713
37,977
40,727
43,653
North
Peking .............. 2,100
5,602
6,767
6,345
9,068
12,079
14,483
15,685
16,914
18,569
19,607
20,167
20,727
Tientsin ................ 3,911
6,882
7,684
9,835
12,097
13,738
14,703
16,031
17,524
18,748
279
556
24
......... 2,519
Hopeh
6,723
13,445
14,534
18,039
20,168
22,648
24,873
21,
,
.........
264
6
Shansi .................... 1,645
Inner Mongolia .... 631
3,009
3,321
4,487
5,452
6,018
,
6,018
East
Shanghai .............. 11,402
24,163
27,787
29,542
33,974
39,002
42,848
46,236
49,905
52,892
56,030
56,663
6
61,536
339
30
Shantung .............. 3,640
6,174
9,191
12,565
14,324
15,682
16,188
20,374
20,932
24,79
615
7
,
447
32
.......... 4,124
Kiangsu
7,865
9,201
13,106
L5,796
18,881
18,520
20,611
23,435
27,465
,
2
,
2
......
Chekiang .............. 2,132
3,902
4,813
5,295
6,068
6,881
7,809
8,736
7,805
6,898
9,36
Anhwei .................. 1,348
2,409
3,084
2,035
2,945
3,828
4,707
5,291
6,137
6,149
7,330
7,809
Kiangsi .................. 1,100
2,675
3,004
5,242
Fukien .................. 1,100
1,832
2,207
2,025
2,531
2,812
3,194
3,577
4,325
4,720
h
Central-Sout
..............
.
Honan
1,560
3,988
5,168
5,843
7,654
9,022
10,710
11,323
12,761
10,710
451
12
..
.
Hupeh ..................
2,514
4,140
5,133
3,704
5,000
7,500
8,738
9,238
10,337
27
,
357
10
...............
Hunan
1,634
2,915
3,688
2,705
3,990
5,825
6,384
6,996
7,979
8,284
8,284
8,4
,
173
...
Kwangsi ................
717
1,308
1,635
1,975
2,433
3,022
3,524
4,082
4,528
5,063
2
5,246
28
6,
602
22
Kwangtung ..........
3,570
7,735
9,283
7,848
10,648
12,553
13,228
14,061
15,968
17,195
19,9
9
20,9
,
Northwest
Kansu ....................
695
2,172
2,097
2,760
3,505
4,381
5,591
5,931
6,298
6,769
7,732
7,757
8,579
978
9
Shensi ....................
1,134
2,898
4,141
5,917
6,857
7,696
8,570
6,517
7,215
7,921
,
Ningsia ..................
23
76
86
306
344
359
424
7
Tsinghai ................
117
344
477
394
543
699
898
1,018
1,155
1,259
1,385
1,694
1,95
152
2
Sinkiang ................
465
1,152
1,448
1,351
1,486
1,526
1,861
1,861
1,927
,
Southwest
Szechwan ..............
4,283
6,929
11,424
11,972
12,930
13,852
17,465
14,221
19,910
740
3
............
Yunnan
989
1,503
1,885
1,319
1,922
2,306
2,541
2,735
3,195
3,398
3,447
2,579
,
....
Kweichow ............
562
1,624
2,105
3,248
3,158
4,548
3,991
in
Tibet ......................
9
26
25
50
61
72
89
109
111
125
Sources
1957: Field, Lardy, and Emerson, 1976, p. 20.
1965-77: Derived from output in 1957 and the indexes in the appendix.
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way described in the previous section. The data used as constraints are
presented in table 2.
Reported National Data Used as Constraints
1957 - 100 1964=100 19&5=1 00 1970=100 1976=100
1970
344
1971
380
1973
463
1974.
1975
1976
1977
619.77
Sources
1957=)00-
1970, 1971. and 1973: Derived from reported indexes with 1949 or 1950 as the
base Year and the absolute values in 1949, 1950, and 1957. See Field, Lardy,
and Emerson, 1976.
1977: Derived from the reported average annual rate of growth of 13.5 percent
between 1949 and 1977 by the method described above. See Chi-hua thing-chi,
No. 2, 1978, p. 8.
1964=100: FAIS, 29 September 1975, FS-
1965= 100: Derived from the reported average annual rate of growth of 11.7 percent
between 1965 and 1970 See Chi-hua chfng-rhf, No. 2, 1978, D. 8.
1970=1M Derived from the reported average annual rate of growth of 9.1 percent
between 1970 and 1975. See ilrid
1976-100: Peking Review, No. 2. 1978. p 12.
The national index of the gross value of industrial output is presented in
table 3. A comparison of the sample and final ratios for those years in which
the index is constrained shows that the provincial data by themselves are a
good approximation of the unpublished national data. There is, however, one
national figure that was not used as a constraint. Vice Premier Yu Ch'iu-li said
in a speech delivered on 23 October 1977 that the "gross value of industrial
output rose by 15.1 percent" in 1975. 2 The following tabulation of annual
percent increases shows why the increase was not accepted: 9
Percent
Change
1974
1975
Sample ..............................................................
7.50
10.32
Final
Without the 15.1 percent ........................
4.5
990
With the 15.1 percent ................................ -0.22
15.10
The 1974 sample includes 22 provinces (which produced an average of 85.68
percent of national output in the base years of 1957 and 1974), and the 1975
sample includes 23 provinces (which produced 89.17 percent of base year
output). Because coverage is so good and the final increase without the 15.1
' Peking Review, No. 45, 1977. p. 7.
'The sample increase and the final increase without the 15.1 percent are from table 3; the final
increase with the 15.1 percent is from a separate set of calculations.
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WEIGHT
0.4422
SAMPLE RATIO
1.6835
FINAL RATIO
1.6401
ERROR
0.9742
1965
WEIGHT
0.9656
0.4422
SAMPLE RATIO
2.0489
1.2525
FINAL RATIO
1.9783
1.2062
ERROR
0.9655
0.9630
1966
WEIGHT
0.6430
0.4422
0.6430
SAMPLE RATIO
2.5367
1.5192
1.1998
FINAL RATIO
2.4979
1.5231
1.2627
ERROR
0.9847
1.0025
1.0524
1968
WEIGHT
0.6897
0.3391
0.6744
0.5141
SAMPLE RATIO
2.1547
1.3640
1.0718
0.8811
FINAL RATIO
2.1980
1.3402
1.1111
0.8799
ERROR
1.0201
0.9825
1.0367
0.9987
1969
WEIGHT
0.8319
0.4237
0.8166
0.5987
0.6894
SAMPLE RATIO
2.7877
1.7183
1.3906
1.1329
1.2966
FINAL RATIO
2.8025
1.7088
1.4167
1.1219
1.2750
ERROR
1.0053
0.9945
1.0187
0.9903
0.9834
1970
WEIGHT
0.9118
0.4422
0.9118
0.6331
0.6741
0.8166
SAMPLE RATIO
3.5718
2.1505
1.7252
1.3855
1.5817
1.2279
FINAL RATIO
3.4400
2
2.0.975
1.7389
2
1.3771
1.5650
1.2275
ERROR
0.9631
0.9753
1.0079
0.9939
0.9895
0.9997
1971
WEIGHT
0.9501
0.4422
0.9501
0.6275
0.6688
0.8110
0.9062
SAMPLE RATIO
3.9471
2.4189
1.9365
1.5579
1.7908
1.3891
1.1292
FINAL RATIO
3.8000
2
2.3170
1.9209
1.5213
1.7288
1.3559
1.1047
ERROR
0.9627
0.9579
0.9919
0.9765
0.9654
0.9761
0.9783
1972
WEIGHT
0.9283
0.4138
0.9283
0.6057
0.6460
0.7883
.0.8835
0.9218
SAMPLE RATIO
4.3157
2.6551
2.0978
1.6857
1.8767
1.4830
1.2292
1.0880
FINAL RATIO
4.1963
2.5586
2.1212
1.6799
1.9091
1.4973
1.2199
1.1043
ERROR
0.9723
0.9637
1.0112
0.9966
1.0173
1.0096
0.9924
1.0150
1973
WEIGHT
0.8568
0.3550
0.8568
0.5342
0.6404
0.7238
0.8029
0.8469
0.8478
SAMPLE RATIO
4.6043
2.8997
2.2926
1.8387
2.0665
1.6077
1.3362
1.1837
1.0954
FINAL RATIO
ERROR
4.6300
2
2.8231
2.3404
1.8535
2.1064
1.6521
1.3459
1.2184
1.1034
1974
1.0056
0.9736
1.0209
1.0081
1.0193
1.0276
1.0073
1.0293
1.0072
WEIGHT
1.0000
0.4422
0.9656
0.6430
0.6897
0.8319
0.9118
0.9501
0.9283
0.8568
SAMPLE RATIO
4.9424
2.9965
2.4272
1.9044
2.2001
1.7395
1.4229
1.2593
1.1628
1.0750
FINAL RATIO
ERROR
4.8382
2.9500
2
2.4457
1.9369
2.2012
1.7264
1.4044
1.2732
1.1530
1.0450
1975
0.9789
0.9845
1.0076
1.0171
1.0005
0.9924
0.9884
1.0110
0.9915
0.9720
WEIGHT
0.8917
0.4138
0.8917
0.5931
0.6165
0.7587
0.8379
0.8818
0.8827
0.8328
SAMPLE RATIO
5.5517
3.2851
2.7191
2.1018
2.4417
1.9092
1.5695
1.4007
1.2896
1.1897
FINAL RATIO
ERROR
5.3172
3.2421
2.6878
2.1[87
2.4191
1.8973
1.5457
2
1.3993
1.2671
1.1484
1976
0.9578
0.9869
0.9885
1.0128
0.9907
0.9937
0.9848
0.9990
0.9826
0.9653
WEIGHT
0.7614
0.4291
0.7614
0.4905
0.5002
0.6294
0.7085
0.7469
0.7241
0.6686
SAMPLE RATIO
5.6690
3.2955
2.7266
2.1186
2.3703
1.9381
1.5688
1.3853
1.2734
1.1824
FINAL RATIO
ERROR
5.4366
0
3.3149
2.7482
2.1764
2.4734
1.9399
1.5804
1.4307
1.2956
1.1742
1977
.9590
1.0059
1.0079
1.0273
1.0435
1.0009
1.0074
1.0328
1.0174
0.9931
WEIGHT
0.6845
0.3521
0.6845
0.4136
0.4821
0.5524
0.6316
0.6699
0.6472
0.6506
SAMPLE RATIO
6.5463
3.6545
3.1819
2.3901
2.6254
2.1997
1.7886
1.6016
1.4830
1.3660
FINAL RATIO
6.1977
2
3.7789
3.1329
2.4811
2.8197
2.2115
1.8017
1.6310
1.4769
1.3386
ERROR
0.9467
1.0340
0.9846
1.0381
1.0740
1.0053
1.0073
1.0183
0.9959
0.9799
1975
WEIGHT
0.8917
SAMPLE RATIO
1.1032
FINAL RATIO
1.0990
ERROR
0.9962
1976
WEIGHT
0.7614
0.7035
SAMPLE RATIO
1.0997
0.9959
FINAL RATIO
1.1237
1.0224
ERROR
1.0218
1.0267
1977
WEIGHT
0.6845
0.6266
0.6845
SAMPLE RATIO
1.2739
1.1525
1.1594
FINAL RATIO
1.2810
1.1656
1.1400
2
ERROR
1.0056
1.0114
0.9833
1957
1964
1965
1966
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
VALUE
70.400
11
5.460
13
9.270
17
5.853
154.741
197.297
242.176
26
7.520
295.420
325.952
1974
1975
1976
1977
VALUE
340.608
37
4.331
38
2.735
43
6.318
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 Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
percent is much closer to the sample increase in each year, the 15.1 percent
was not used. The reconstructed national GVIO is summarized in table 4.
Gross Value of Industrial Output
Index
(1957-100)
Million
1957 Yuan
1957 100.00
70,400
1964 ._.. 164.01
115,460
1965 197.83
139.270
1966--._....__ 249.79
175,853
1968 .--.--- 219.80
154.741
1969. 280.25
197,297
1970.... ....... ._. 344.00
242,176
1971 380.00
267,520
1972 419.63
295,420
1973...... _.. 463.00
325.952
1974. 483.82
340,608
1975. 531.72
374,331
1976... 543.66
382,735
1977. 619.77
436,318
Sources
index: Table 3.
Million 1957 Yuan:
1957: State. Statistical Bureau, Ten Great Years, Peking,
1960. p. 87-
1964-66 and 196$-77: Derived from the value of output in
1957 and the index.
Finally, because 1967 estimates are available for only two provinces, the
national GV1O total for 1967 was interpolated by the Kaplan- kloorsteen
method. The method uses an interpolating index to establish the year-to-year
pattern of change. The rate of growth of the interpolating index is adjusted so
that it will fit exactly between the benchmark years at either end of the gap to
be filled. ' The formula is
t+< ti
KfvY1 = t + J \ ti-1 KM~ 1
where KM stands for the Kaplan-Moorsteen index, I for the interpolating
index, and a and $ for the rates of growth between the benchmark years of
the Kaplan-Moorsteen and interpolating indexes, respectively. Here, the
interpolating index is a value-added index based on the physical output of
commodities and the benchmark years are 1966 and 1968. The calculations
are shown in table 5.
' For a complete description of the method, see Norman M. Kaplan and Richard H. Moorsteen, indexes
of Soviet Industrial Output, Santa Monica. 1960, pp. 61.68.
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 Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
Table 5
Estimation of the National Gross Value of Industrial Output
in 1967
GVIO I Value-Added Estimated GVIO
(Million Index H (Million
1957 Yuan) (1957=100) 1957 Yuan)
1966 .................................. 175,853 232
1967 .................................. 202 147,160
1968 .................................. 154,741 221
Average annual
rate of growth ............ -6.19 -2.4
1 Table 4.
2 CIA, China: Economic Indicators, ER 77-10508, October 1977, p. 15.
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 Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
ANNUAL INDEXES OF PROVINCIAL INDUSTRIAL OUTPUT,
SELECTED YEARS, 1949-77
The tables in this appendix present reconstructed GVIO indexes for every
province in China. A considerable number of statements about increases over
1949, 1965, or the previous year are available for all provinces. The difficulty
with these statements is that the reported increases do not all fit perfectly.
They may not fit because they are given with differing numbers of significant
digits or are sometimes preliminary (or revised) figures. On occasion the
figures also may be mistranslated or garbled.
It is possible to use a least squares technique to estimate an index of the
gross value of industrial output that reconstructs as closely as possible the
unpublished time series from which the various reported statistics on growth
have been calculated. This technique is fully described in appendix A of Field,
Lardy, and Emerson, 1976.
The data in the tables are the provincial GVIO in the given year (listed at
the left) expressed as a multiple of provincial GVIO in the base year (listed at
the top). The rows labeled "reported" are taken from (or derived from) the
Chinese press and broadcasts. A typical entry for a reported figure is as
follows:
1.0890 1A(12)
The number 1.0890 is output in the given year as a multiple of output in the
base year. The figure to the right of the multiple indicates how the multiple is
used in calculations. The meaning of the figure is as follows:
0 = not used in the calculations. (Figures accurate to only one
significant digit are not used if more precise data are available.)
1 = used in the calculations.
2 = forced to fit exactly by means of a Lagrangian multiplier.
3 = an estimated multiple that is forced to fit exactly.
The letter that follows the figure refers to a footnote. Finally, for a multiple of
the previous year, the number in parentheses indicates how many months in
the year the data cover.
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 Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
1952
REPORTED
1.7008 L
ESTIMATED
1.7006
1957
REPORTED
0.0
2.3768
1
ESTIMATED
4.0459
2.3758
1964
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
5.5624
3.1705
1.3748
1965
REPORTED
U.0
0.0
0.0
1.31100
1 1
121
ESTIMATED
7.2311
4.2516
(.7873
1.30110
1966
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
11..0
1.2800
1 (6
1
ESTIMATED
9.2558
5.4420
2.2877
4.664.11
1.2600
1968
REPORTED
U.0
0.0
0.0
Q.U
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
6.1074
3.5909
1.5095
1.0980
0.6446
0.6598
1969
REPORTED
(.0
0.0
0.11
0.0
0.0
0.0 _
0.0
ESTIMATED
8.8351
5.1968
2.1846
1.5890
1.2223
0.9549
1.4472
1910
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.11
1.6200
1
0.0
0.0
1.3000
1 (1
21
ESTIMATED
11.4904
6.7559
2.6400
2.0657
1.5690
1.2414
1.8814
1.3000
1971
REPORTED
0.0
0.11
O.U
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
/.2000
1 (1
21
ESTIMATED
14.1277
8.3065
3.4919
1.5399
1.9537
1.5264
22.3132
1.5984
1.2295
1972
REPORTED
11.0
0.11
0.0
0.11
2.2500
1
0.0
2.6000
1
0.0
0.0
1.0970
1 (121
ESTIMATEU
15.8793
9.3364
3.9248
1.8548
2.1960
1.7156
2.6000
1.7966
1.3620
1.1240
1973
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.11
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
18.4200
10.5302
4.5526
3.3113
.4.5473
1.9901
3.0160
2.0640
1.6031
1.3038
1974
REPORTED
U.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
18.4504
10.8516
4.5618
3.3181
2.5324
1.9940
3.0220
2.0861
1.6062
1.3064
1975
REPORTED
22.0000 1
0.0
0.0
U.U
2.93011
1
0.0
11.0
0.0
2.0000
1
0.0
ESTIMATED
22.0000
12.9351
5.4377
3.9551
3.0424
2.3769
3.6022
2.4890
1.9146
1.5572
1976
REPORTED
11.0
0.0
0.0
0.11
3.2000
1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
23.4369
13.7799
5.7926
4.2135
3.2411
2.5321
3.8374
2.6516
2.0397
1.6589
;973
REPORTED
1.1600 1 (
121
ESTIMATED
1.1600
1974
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
1.1623
1.0020
1975
REPORTED
11.0
11.0
1.1920
1
(141
ESTIMATED
1.3654
1.1944
1.1920
(976
REPORTED
11.0
0.0
0.0
1.0790
1
411)
ESTIMATED
1.4759
1.2724
1.2699
1.0653
1949 1952 1957 1964 1965 1966 1968 1969 1970 1971
VALUE 0.333 0.567 1.345 1.653 2.409 3.084 2.035 2.945 $.816 4.707
1972 1973 1974 1975 1976
VALUE 5.291 6.137 6.149 7.330 7.609
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 Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
Sources for Table on Facing Page
1949/52: Field, Lardy, Emerson, 1976, table I.
1949/75: BBC, FE/W872/A/8, 7 April 1976.
1952/57: Field, Lardy, Emerson, 1976, table I.
1964/65: BBC, FE/W349/A/39, 19 January 1966.
1965/66: BBC, FE/W388/A/23, 19 October 1966.
1965/70: SCMP, No. 4831, 4 February 1971, p. 136.
1985/72: FBIS, 6 July 1973, Cl.
1965/75: BBC, FE/W860/A/3, 14 January 1976.
1965/76: FBIS, 15 March 1977, G1.
1968/72: FBIS, 3 October 1973, Cl.
1969/70: FBIS, 8 January 1971, C2.
1970/71: FBIS, 6 January 1972, C3.
1970/75: BBC, FE/W872/A/8, 7 April 1976.
1971/72: FBIS, 12 January 1973, C20.
1972/73: FBIS, 28 January 1974, C1.
1974/75: BBC, FE/W860/A/3, 14 January 1976.
1975/76: JPRS, No. 68,906, 11 April 1977, p. 27.
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 Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
TABLE A-2
CHEKIANG PROVINCE
1952
R
EPORTED
1.9281 1
E
STIMATED
1.9293
1957
R
EPORTED
U.U
2.1651
1
E
SEIMATEO
4.1699
2.1614
1965
R
EPUfITED
0.0
U.0
1.8293
1
E
STIMATED
7.6326
3.9562
1.6304
1968
RfPURTEU
0.U
0.0
V.U
U.11
E
STIMAT EA)
9.4145
4.8746
2.2576
1.2334
1969
REPURTED
5.11
0.0
9.0
1.0
1.1000
1A1121
E
STIMATE,:
10.3>4
5.3616
2.4834
1.3561
1.1000
1970
REPORTEL
0.U
u.U
0.0
0.u
O.V
1.1460
1 {1
21
ESTIMATED
11.8673
6.1512
2.8459
1.5548
L.2696
1.1460
1971
RE PCRT E.0
Y.0
0.0
0.0
7.0
U.0
0.0
1.1340
1 (
101
ESTIMATED
55.4575
8.9755
3.2273
1.1032
1.4295
1.2496
1.1340
1972
REPCRTEL
0.0
V.V
V.U
Z.uUUU
L0
0.0
0.0
0.U
1.1350 1
181
SSTIMATEO
15.2143
7.9172
3.6639
2.0072
1.6225
1.4750
1.2871
1.1350
1973
1180 1
1
4111
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
7.0
17.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
.
1
7
ESTIMATES
17.0869
8.8601
4.0917
2.2387
1.8150
1.0500
1.4395
1.2697
8
1.1
1974
0
0
U
0
REPORT#L
11.0005 UC
0.D
0.0
2.00YU
1U
0.0
0.0
U.0
0.0
.
9
.
8434
0
ESTIMATED
15.2661
1.9124
3.6608
2.0000
1.6215
1.4741
1.2663
1.1343
0.9
94
.
1976
0
0
0
KEPORTEL
13.5000 1
0.0
0.0
U.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.
8833
.
0
7898
ESTIMATEU
13.4919
6.9933
3.2356
1.1611
1.433,
1.3029
1.1369
1.0026
0.
.
1977
0
0710 lE
1
REPORTED
0.0
U.U
0.0
0.0
0.U
0.0
U.0
0.0
0.
988
.
0716
1
tSTIMATEO
18.3110
9.4912
4.3913
2.3991
1.9451
1.7693
1.5430
1.3607
1.1
.
1976
REPORTED
0.0
ES TTHAT ED
0.8838
1977
REPURTEU
U.0
1.3580
1
1111
ESTIMATED
1.1995
1.3572
1949 1952 1957
VALUE 0.511 0.980 2.132
1974 1976 1977
1965 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973
3.902 4.01$ 5.295 6.068 6.581 7.809 8.736
A- THE FIRST 11 MONTHS Of 1969 U9ER ALL OF 1968.
3. NEARLY 1.0 TIMES THAT OF 1965.
INCREASED MORE THAN TEN TIMES 1[.E.. 10-20 TINES) JV[R 1949.
0. NEARLY TWO TIMES THAT OF 1965-
E, THE FIRST 11 MONTHS OF 1971 OVER THE CUKRESPJNUINU PEMIJO OF 1973.
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 Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
1949/52: Field, Lardy, Emerson, 1976, table I.
1949/74: Great Changes, p. 137.
1949/76: FBIS, 12 September 1977, G2.
1952/57: Field, Lardy, Emerson, 1976, table I.
1957/65: Derived from the absolute value in 1965 from a traveler's
report and the absolute value in 1957.
1965/72: FBIS, 9 July 1973, C6.
1965/74: Great Changes, p. 142.
1968/69: BBC, FE/W555/A/5, 28 January 1970.
1969/70: China Trade and Economic News Letter, No. 188,
June 1971, p. 2.
1970/71: FBIS, 7 December 1971, C2.
1971/72: FBIS, 3 October 1972, C2.
1972/73: FBIS, 8 January 1974, B4.
1973/77: TKP (HK), 29 December 1977.
1976/77: TKP (HK), 29 December 1977.
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 Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
REPORTED
1.1346 1
(121
ESTIMATED
1.1348
1952
REPORTED
0.0
1.3663 1
ESTIMATED
1.551)5
1.3663
1957
REPORTED
U.u
0.0
2.9565 1
ESTIMATED
4.5640
4.11395
2.9565
1964
REPORTED
.u
0.0
U.0
U.U
ESTI MA TED
5.6267
5.1363
3.7593
1.2715
1965
REPORTED
O.U
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.3100 1
(61
ESTIMATED
7.6356
6.7286
4.9247
1.6637
1.3100
1966
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.U
0.0
1.2046
1
(8)
ESTIMATED
9.1978
8.1052
5.9322
2.0065
1.5780
1.2046
1969
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
O.11
ESTIMATED
8.4378
7.4355
5.4421
1.8407
1.4476
1.1051
0.9174
1970
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.2500 1
1121
ESTIMATED
10.5413
9..2944
6.1025
2.3009
1.8095
1.3613
1.1467
1.2500
1971
REPORTED
0.0
10.0000 1
0.0
3.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.1110
1 11
21
ESTIMATED
11.7180
10.3260
7.5577
2.5563
2.0104
1.5347
1.2740
1.3888
1.1110
1972
REPORTED
0.u
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.6000
1
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.1000
1 1121
ESTIMATED
13.3101
11.7290
8.5645
2.9036
2.2835
1.7432
1.4411
1.5774
1.2619
1.1359
1973
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
14.9073
13.1365
9.6146
3.2520
2.3676
1.9523
1.6207
1.7667
1.4134
1.2722
1974
REPORTED
U.0
Lb.4000 1
0.0
U.0
0.0
2.3000
1
0.0
0.D
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
18.0231
15.8822
11.6242
3.9317
3.0921
2.3604
1.9395
2.1360
1.7088
1.5381
1975
REPORTED
U.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2.5600
1
0.0
0.D
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
19.6678
17.3315
12.6850
4.2906
3.3743
2.5758
2.1383
2.3309
1.8647
1.6784
?973
REPORTED
1.1200 1
1121
ESTIMATED
1.12UO
.974
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
1.3541
1.2090
'975
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
1.0980 1
(121
ESTIMATED
1.4777
1.3193
1.0913
1949
1950
1932
1957
1964
1965
1966
1969
1970
1971
VALUE
U.240
0.272
0.372
1.10U
1.399
1.832
2.207
2.025
2.531
2.812
1972
1973
1974
1975
VALUE
3.194
3.577
4.325
4.720
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 Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
1949/50: Field, Lardy, Emerson, 1976, table I and notes to table I.
1950/52: Ibid.
1950/71: FBIS, 5 October 1972, C1.
1950/74: Great Changes, p. 157.
1952/57: Field, Lardy, Emerson, 1976, table I.
1964/65: BBC, FE/W327/A/21, 11 August 1965.
1965/66: FBIS, 19 October 1966, DDD9.
1965/72: FBIS, 19 July 1973, B4.
1965/74: FBIS, 7 July 1975, G7.
1965/75: Economic Reporter, No. 13, 1977, p. 13.
1969/70: FBIS, 7 April 1971, C2.
1970/71: FBIS, 3 October 1972, C5.
1971/72: FBIS, 11 January 1973, B7.
1972/73: FBIS, 8 January 1974, B4.
1974/75: FBIS, 6 December 1977, G3.
Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
 Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
REP&I4TEO
2.4280 1
EST; MAT#u
2.4260
1957
REPUMTEO
0.0
1.0805
I
ESTIMATED
5.0515
2.0805
!965
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
ESTI MAT EL
11.11594
4.5550
2.1694
1966
REPORTED
43.0
J.0
0.0
1.24011 1
(81
ESTIMATE.
13.7137
5.6481
2.7 N8
1.1400
'968
REPORTED
U.U
0.0
0.0
11.43
0.0
ESTIMATED
11.1078
4.98.,1
2.3969
1.0948
0.8829
1969
kEPOR TEE,
11.0
O.0
O.0
11.0
0.0
1.2400
1 (
121
ESTIMATED
15.0134
6.1835
2.9721
1.3474
1.0448
1.2100
970
REPORTEL
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.1680
1 1
94
ESTIMATEu
17.5357
7.22;3
3.4714
1.5856
1.2787
1.4483
1.1680
'971
REPCRTEU
0.0
0.0
0.0
11.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.0510
1 (
61
ESTIMATED
18.4300
7.5916
3.6485
1.6664
1..3439
1.5212
1.1276
1.0510
1972
REPORTED
0.11
0.0
0.0
1.7450 1
0,0
0.0
D.0
0.0
1.0470 1
(121
ESTIMATED
19.29.,2
2.94 T4
3.9199
1.7448
1.4077
1.5937
1.2853
1.1004
1.0470
'973
REPORTEL
11.0
11.0
0.0
J.J
43.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.0730
1 1121
ESTIMATE.
10.7021
8.5264
4.0983
1.9719
1. 5096
1.7098
1.3769
1.18116
1.1233
1.0729
1974
REPORTED
21.9000
1
0.0
0.0
2.000) 1A
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.11
0.0
0.11
E571MATEO
21.9000
9.0(98
4.3354
1.9801
1.3969
1.8018
1.4587
1.[469
1.1883
1.1349
?975
REPORTEL.
11.0
0.0
0.0
2.1400 1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
14.7157
10.1795
4.8928
2.2348
1.8023
2.0413
1.6462
1.4095
1.3411
1.1809
976
REPLRTEO
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.301111 1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
O.U
ESTIMATEu
15.7539
10.6011
5.0983
2.3267
1.8780
2.1271
1.7154
1.8687
1.3974
1.3347
k977
REPORTED
J.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
11.0
0.0
0.0
0.9
ESTIMATE.
18.7756
11.8269
5.6846
2.59.5
2.0939
2.3717
1.9127
1.6376
1.5581
1.4881
1973
1971
1975
1976
?974
REPORTED
1.11580
1 (
121
ESTIMATED
1.0579
`975
REPOkTEt,
J.0
1.1400 1 (1
11
ESTIMATEL
1.1939
1.1286
1976
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
1.0550 1 (1
1)
ESTIMATED
1.1440
1.1760
1.0420
?977
REPUFTED
U.0
0.0
0.0
1.1150 1
(12l
ES TIMATEU
1.3811
1.3112
1.1618
1.1150
1949
1952
1957
1965
1966
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
U.121
1.750
3.641
7.971
9.885
8.727
10.821
12.639
13.284
13.908
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
841,4(6 14.912 15.785 17.815 18.5.3
10.696
Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
 Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
Sources for Table on Facing Page
1949/52: Field, Lardy, Emerson, 1976, table I.
1949/74: Great Changes, p. 77.
1952/57: Field, Lardy, Emerson, 1976, table I.
1965/66: BBC, FE/W388/A/l, 19 October 1966.
1965/72: FBIS, 3 July 1973, G4.
1965/74: FBIS, 10 January 1975, Ll.
1965/75: FBIS, 17 May 1976, L2.
1965/76: FBIS, 31 March 1977, L2.
1968/69: BBC, FE/W555/A/5, 28 January 1970.
1969/70: FBIS, 12 November 1970, G2.
1970/71: FBIS, 26 August 1971, G2.
1971/72: FBIS, 6 February 1973, G2.
1972/73: FBIS, 8 January.1974, B8.
1973/74: FBIS, 10 January 1975, Ll.
1974/75: Radio Harbin, 19 December 1975.
1975/76: FBIS, 15 March 1977, L4.
1976/77: FBIS, 11 January 1978, U.
Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
 Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
1952
R
EPORTED
3.6684 Z
L
ST)M-TED
3.8644
1957
k
EPDRTED
0.U
1.9320
2
E
STIMATED
7.4737
1.9310
1964
R
EPORTED
U.U
U.0
1.8}00
1
E
STIMATED
14.1811
!.6920
1.9110
1965
R
EPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.2950
1 49
1
E
STIMATED
19.1041
4.9381
2.5561
1.3317
1966
R
EPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
u.0
4.2963 1
/8I
E
STIMATED
24.7598
6.4405
3.3129
1.7316
2.2960
1969
R
EPORTED
U.0
0.0
U
0
0.0
0.0
E
STIMATED
21.9915
7.1359
:
74 53
3
1.4344
1.4632
1.1305
1970
3100
1
1 41
21
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
4.8400 1
0.0
.
00
3
E
STIMATED
36.6689
9.4791
4.9064
2.5675
1.9194
1.4810
1.
1
1971
0
0
1300 1
1
1124
REPORTED
U.0
U.0
0.0
0.0
2.3600 1
0.0
.
4E
.
1747
2
ESTIMATED
43.2230
11.1733
}.7833
3.0209
4.2624
1.7457
1.51
.
1972
0
0
0.0
REPJRTEU
0.0
0.0
U.0
U.0
2.6000 I
0.0
0.0
0
.
3993
1
187
1
1
ESTIMATED
51.3391
1!.2637
6.8653
3.5920
2.6157
2.0723
[.833
.
.
.
1974
0
0
0
0
0.0
REPORTED
0.0
0.11
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
79
.
4793
1
.
2550
1
1.0572
ESTIMATED
54.2460
14.0228
7.2582
3.7912
2.8394
2.1909
2.93
.
.
1975
0
0
0
0
0. L)
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
U.0
3.2000 1
0.0
0.0
.
672
.
4144
1
2.1913
E STiMATED
61.1332
15.8037
8.1600
4.2806
3.2000
2.4691
2.1841
1.6
.
1976
0
0
0
0.0
1.0000 2
REPORTED
53.0100 1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.
30
.
3993
1
1871
1
1.0000
ESTIMATED
51.3091
13.2637
6.8653
3.5920
2.61'07
2.0723
1.13
.
.
1975
kEPURTED
1.1270 1
{117
ESTIMATED
1.3270
1976
PEPURTEO
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
0.9459
0.8393
1949 1952 1957
VALUE 0.209 0.607 1.560
1974 1975 1976
1964 1965 1966 1969
1.981 3.981 5.161 5.843
VALUE 11.323 11.161 10.710
A. OUTPUT SLIPPED BACK TO ThE 1972 LEVEL.
Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
 Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
1949/52: Field, Lardy, Emerson, 1976, table I.
1949/76: JMJP, 7 December 1976.
1952/57: Field, Lardy, Emerson, 1976, table I.
1957/64: News from Chinese Provincial Radio Stations, No. 106, p. 5.
1964/65: BBC, FE/W334/A/12, 29 September 1965.
1965/66: BBC, FE/W388/A/24, 19 October 1966.
1965/70: SCMP, No. 4862, 22 March 1971, p. 21.
1965/71: FBIS, 25 October 1972, B3.
1965/72: FBIS, 28 September 1973, D2.
1965/75: FBIS, 31 March 1976, H2.
1969/70: FBIS, 31 December 1970, D2.
1972/76: FBIS, 21 December 1977, H1.
1970/71: FBIS, 12 January 1972, D7.
1974/75: BBC, FE/W860/A/3, 14 January 1976.
Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
 Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
'952
kLPURTED
1.3835 I
E-T1MATEu
1.3835
1937
REP DRIED
u.u
2.0902
1
ESTIMATE..
2.d958
2.0902
1965
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
7.7174
5.5782
2.6657
1970
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
ES TIMATEU
15.4348
11.1564
5.3375
1971
REPORTED
..0
0.0
0.0
ES1IMATE.
16.6851
12.0600
5.7696
1972
9 EPORTED
0.U
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
20.7087
14.9683
7.1612
1973
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATEu
23.1513
16.7346
8.0062
'974
REPORTED
2..0000 IA
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
16.0000
18.7919
8.9910
'975
REPORTED
3.0
0.0
0.0
E9111481E1
18.5545
20.6393
9.8143
1976
REPORTED
U.0
O.0
0.0
ESilMATEU
24.4283
17.6549
8.44T4
1977
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
28.1902
20.3760
9.7484
1977
REPORTED
'.1540 1
(12)
ESTIMATED
1.1540
2.0000 1
2.0000
0.0
1.0810
1 11
21
2.1620
1.0810
0.0
0.0
0.0
2.6830
1.3411
1.2411
3.0000 t
0.0
0.0
1.1110 1
112)
3.0000
1.5000
1.3876
1.1180
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.1230 1
4121
3.3490
1.6845
1.5583
L.2555
1.1230
3.7000 1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
3.7000
1.6500
1.7114
1.3789
1.2333
1.0982
u.0
0.0
0.0
U.0
0-0
0.0
0.0
3.1653
1.5827
1.4641
1.1746
1.0551
0.9395
0.8555
3.6516 18
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
3.6528
1.8264
1.6595
1.3613
1.2176
1.0842
0.9872
1949 1952 1957 1965 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975
2ALUE 0.871 1.205 2.519 6.12$ 13.443 14.534 18.039 20.168 22.648 24.873
?976 1977
9ALUE 21.279 24.556
A. TwEN1Y-5IA TIMES THE E4RL? POST-LIbERATlON El6URf.
Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
 Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
1949/52: Field, Lardy, Emerson, 1976, table I.
1949/74: Great Changes, p. 25.
1952/57: Field, Lardy, Emerson, 1976, table I.
1965/70: China Trade and Economic News Letter, No. 188,
June 1971, p. 2.
1965/73: FBIS, 8 January 1975, K3.
1965/75: FBIS, 19 May 1976, K3.
1965/77: BBC, FE/W962/A/7, 11 January 1978.
1970/71: BBC, FE/W656/A/14, 19 January 1972.
1972/73: FBIS, 22 January 1975, K1.
1973/74: Ibid.
1976/77: FBIS, 8 February 1978, K3.
Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
 Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
952
1949
1952
1937
1964
1965
1966
1968
1969
1970
1971
REPORTED
1.4214
1
ESTIMATED
2.4214
1957
REPDkTEU
0.0
2.3623 1:
ESTIMATED
5.7101
2.3623
964
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
6.091.
3.3417
1.4146
965
REPORTED
U.0
0.0
0.0
1.2914
1
4111
ESTIMATED
10.2047
4.2144
1.7840
1.2611
1966
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.2650
118)
ESTIMATED
12.9089
5.3312
2.2568
1.5954
1.2650
966
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
9.4697
3.9108
1.6555
1.17113
0.9280
0.7336
969
kEPDRTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
3.43
0.0
0.0
1.4750 1 1
84
ESTIMATED
13.9677
5.7685
2.4419
1.7261
1.3688
1.0620
1.4750
970
REPORTED
11.0
U.U
0.0
0.0
0.0
0
0
0
0
4600 1
1
(
2
ESTIMATED
10.3949
8.4219
3.5651
1.5203
1.9984
.
1.5797
.
2.1535
.
1.4600
1
1
971
REPORTED
U.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0
0
0
0
0
0
ESTIMATED
12.3483
9.2295
3.9070
2.7619
2.1900
.
1.7312
.
2.3600
.
1.6000
1.0800 1
1.0959
4124
1972
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2.4000
1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.0800 1
481
ESTIMATED
24.4913
10.1145
4.2816
3.0166
2.4000
1.8972
2.5863
1.7534
1.2010
1.0959
1973
kEPDRTED
0.43
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0
0
0
0
1
3899 IA
0
0
ESTIMATED
27.9331
11.53611
4.8834
3.4521
2.7373
2.1639
.
2.9498
.
1.9996
.
1.3697
.
1.2499
1974
IEP11RTED
29.0000
2
0.0
0.0
3.5000
1
0.0
0..0
0.0
8.0
0.0
0.4
tSTIMATED
29.0000
11.9765
5.0699
3.5840
2.8418
2.2465
3.0624
2.0762
1.4221
1.2976
1975
REPORTED
19.0000
2
0.0
0.0
0.0
2.9100
1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
29.0000
.11.9765
5.0699
3.5840
2.6418
2.2465
3.0.24
2.0762
1.4221
1.2976
1976
REPORTED
9.5000
18
0.0
0.0
0.0
2.9800
0
0.0
0.0
8.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
29.5000
12.1830
5.1573
3.6458
2.6908
2.2652
3.1151
2.1120
1.4466
1.3200
1977
REPORTED
U.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
U.0
0.0
0.0
0-0
ESTIMATED
o.2555
14.9729
6.3383
4.480.
3.5528
2.8086
3.1286
2.5957
1.7778
1.6223
1973
REPURTE0
1.1240
1 (
111
ESTIMATED
1.1405
1974
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
1.1841
1.0382
1975
REPORTED
U.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
1.1841
1.0381.
1.0000
1976
REPORTED
U.0
0.0
D.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
1.2045
1.0561
1.0172
1.0172
1977
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.2290
1 1
124
ESTIMATED
1.4803
1.2979
1.2502
1.2502
1.2240
19,49
1952
1957
1964
1965
4966
1968
1969
1970
1971
VALUE
U.286
0..692
1.634
1.311
2.915
3.688
2.705
3.990
5.825
6.384
1972
1973
1971
1975
1976
1977
VALUE
6.996
7.979
8.284
8.184
8.427
10.357
A. DERIVED FROM THE REPORTED ANNUAL RATE Of 11.6 PERCENT.
a. REPORTED TO BE 20.5 TIMES THAT OF 1949. INDEXES FOR GVIAD AND GVAO. AND THE
SHARES Of GVID AND GVAO IN GVIAD IN 1949 AND 1976 INDICATE THAT 29.5 IS THE
TRUE VALUE.
Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
 Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
1949/52 Field, Lardy, Emerson, 1976, table I.
1949/74 FBIS, 3 February 1975, H3.
1949/75 Peking Review, No. 30, 23 July 1976, p. 19.
1949/76 FBIS, 13 July 1977, G6.
1952/57 Field, Lardy, Emerson, 1976, table I.
1964/65 News from Chinese Regional Radio Stations, No. 139,
6 January 1966, p. 23.
1964/74: FBIS, 3 February 1975, H3.
1965/66: BBC, FE/W388/A/24, 19 October 1966.
1965/72: FBIS, 19 July 1973, B2.
1965/75: FBIS, 18 May 1976, H3.
1965/76: JPRS, No. 67524, 30 June 1976, p. 4.
1968/69: FBIS, 1 October 1969, D3.
1969/70: FBIS, 29 April 1977, E3.
1970/71: FBIS, 10 January 1972, D7.
1970/73: FBIS, 29 April 1977, E3.
1971/72: FBIS, 29 September 1972, D2.
1972/73: FBIS, 10 January 1974, D10.
1976/77: FBIS, 12 January 1978, H1.
Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
 Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
1952
REPORTED
2.0169
1
ESTIMATED
2.0169
1957
41908160
0.0
2.9278 1
ESTIMATED
5.9051
2.9278
1964
REPORTED
0.13
0.0
U.0
r STIMATED
7.9955
3.9642
1.3540
1965
PORT
n
t
ED
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.2316
1
1121
1: STIMATEO
9.7237
4.8211
1.6467
1.2162
1966
'!tPOR TED
U.0
0.13
0.0
u.0
1.2400 1
(81
L>TIMATEU
(2.0594
5.9782
2.0419
1.5083
1.2400
1968
4EPORTEO
U.U
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
[S1IMATE1,
8.6996
4.3133
1.4732
1.0881
0.8947
0.7215
19,69
sttPURTEO
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
L.3500
1 11
21
1S1IMATED
(1.7444
5.8230
1.9889
1.4849
1.2078
0.9740
1.3500
1970
4EPOR TED
0.0
0.0
2.9833
1
0.0
0
0
0
0
0
1o F1MATEU
17.6166
8.7345
2.9833
2.2033
.
1.8117
.
1.4611
.0
2.0250
1.5000
1.50013
1 11
2)
1971
RE:'DRTEO
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.1650
1 16
1
ESTIMATED
1974
10.5234
10.1757
3.4755
1.5869
2.1107
/.7021
2.3591
1.7475
1.1650
1; EPORTEO
21.9000
1
0.U
0.0
2.6800
1
2.2600 1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
E STIMATEU
1976
1.70130
10.7591
3.6748
2.7140
2.2317
1.7997
2.4944
1.8477
1.2318
1.0573
4EPOR TEU
U.0
0.0
0.0
0.13
.5000 1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
iSEIMATED
1977
24.2802
12.0384
4.1118
3.0388
2.4970
2.0137
2.7910
2.0674
1.3783
1.1831
4EPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
13.0
3.0042 IA
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
ES ELMATEO
29.2470
14.5009
4.9528
3.6599
3.0076
2.4258
3.3619
2.490
1.6602
1.4251
976
PrPORTEO
U.0
E.?IMATEU
1.1189
`977
Kt PORTED
0.0
1.2060 t
4121
c5F(MITEU
1.3478
1.2046
1949
1952
1957
1964
1965
1966
1968
1969
1970
1971
VALUE
0.42o
U.659
2.514
3.404
4.140
5. L33
3.704
5.000
7.500
8.736
1774
1976
1977
VALUE
9.138
10.337
12.451
4. DERIVED FROM TnE REPORTED ANNUAL RATE OF 9.6 PERCENT.
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 Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
Sources for Table on Facing Page
1949/52: Field, Lardy, Emerson, 1976, table I.
1949/74: Great Changes, p. 164.
1952/57: Field, Lardy, Emerson, 1976, table I.
1957/70: Roland Berger, "Financial Aspects of Chinese Planning,"
Bulletin of Concerned Asian Scholars, vol. 6, No. 2, p. 16.
1964/65: News From Chinese Provincial Radio Stations, No. 139,
6 January 1966, D. 26.
1964/74: FBIS, 16 April 1975, H2.
1965/66: SCMP, No. 3081, 14 October 1966, p. 12.
1965/74: Great Changes, p. 164.
1965/76: FBIS, 16 January 1978, H1.
1965/77: FBIS, 23 January 1978, H2.
1968/69: FBIS, 2 January 1970, D15.
1969/70: FBIS, 1 April 1971, D3.
1970/71: FBIS, 2 July 1971, D2.
1976/77: FBIS, 16 January 1978, H2.
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 Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
INNER MONGOLIA PROVINCE
1947 1919 1952 1957 1962 1965 19,66 1970 1971 1972
1949
REPORTED 1.2914 1
ESTIMATED 1.2914
1952
G#PONTED 0.0 2.3439 1
ESTIMATED 3.0269 2.3439
1957
REPORTED 0.0 0.0 3.9385 1
ESTIMATED 11.9215 9.2315 3.9385
1962
REPORTED 22.0000 1 0.0 0.0 0.0
ESTIMATED 22.0000 17.0358 7.2681 1.8454
1965
REPORTED 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
ESTIMATED 56.6466 44.0194 18.7604 4.7664 2.5839
1966
REPORTED 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1038 14[12)
ESTIMATED 62.7478 48.5890 20.7300 5.2634 2.8522 1.1038
1970
REPORTED U.0 0.0 U.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3510 1
ESTIMATED 84.7730 65.6442 28.0064 7.1109 3.8533 1.4913 1.3510
1971
REPORTED 101.0000 18 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4150 IA181
ESTIMATED 101.0000 79.7584 34.0281 8.6399 4.6818 1.8119 1.4415 1.2150
1972
REPORTED 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0000 11 0.0 0.0 1.1038 1 (121
ESTIMATEu 11,.6923 88.0380 37.5605 9.5368 5.1678 2.0000 1.8119 1.3411 1.1035
1974
REPORTED 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0000 ID 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
ESTIMATED 113.6932 88.0388 37.5608 9.5348 5.1679 2.0000 1.8L19 1.3411 1.1038 1.0000
1947 1949 1952 1957 1962 1965 1966 1970 1971 1972
VALUE U.053 0.068 0.160 0.631 1.164 3.009 3.321 6.487 5.452 6.018
1974
VALUE 6.018
1. THE PERCENTAGE INCREASE IN 1966 AND 1972 WERE ESTIMATED SO AS TO LII THE
INCREASE REPORTED FOR 1965-1972 AMC, DERIVED FOR 1966-1971.
ONE HUNDRED AND THREE TIMES THE EARLY POST-L18ERATIUN FIGURE.
NEARLY T.0 TIMES THAT OF 1965.
u. MORE THAN TWO TIMES THAT OF 1965.
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 Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
Sources for Table on Facing Page
1947/49: Statistics on the IMAR, 1960, pp. 38-39.
1947/62: TKP (HK), 9 October 1963.
1947/71: FBIS, 20 September 1972, F4.
1949/52: Statistics on the IMAR, 1960, pp. 38-39.
1952/57: Ibid.
1965/72: FBIS, 31 July 1973, Fl.
1965/74: Great Changes, p. 54.
1966/70: FBIS, 24 May 1971, F2.
1970/71: FBIS, 12 October 1971, Fl.
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 Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
1952
REPORTED
1.8284 I
ESTIMATED
1.8284
1957
REPORTED
0.0
2.5461
1
ESTIMATED
4.6589
2.5461
1965
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
14.5595
7.9630
3.1251
1967
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
14.0541
7.681.5
3.0166
0.9653
3968
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
U.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
18.5016
10.1190
3.9712
1.2708
1.3163
1969
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
.1.0
0.0
1.2700
1 (1
11
ESTIMATED
23.4970
12.8512
5.0434
1.6139
1.6719
1.2700
1970
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.2500
1 11
21
1971
ESTIMATED
[9.3713
16.0639
6.3043
2.9173
2.0899
1.5815
1.2500
REPORTED
U.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.2780
1
191
ESTIMATED
31.4774
20.4974
8.0442
2.574.1
2.6667
2.0256
1.5950
1.,Tb0
1972
REPORTED
40.0000
1
0.0
0-0
2.70.10 1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.0625
1 (9
)
ESTIMATED
39.7571
21.7442
8.5335
1.7307
2.8289
2.1488
1.6920
1.3536
1.0808
1973
REPORTED
43.0000
1
0.0
0.0
2.9000 1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.0580
1 411)
ESTIMATED
42.2157
23.0869
9.0612
2.8995
3.0038
2.2817
1.7966
1.4373
1.1264
1.0618
1974
REPORTED
45.0000
1
0.0
0.0
3.0000 OA
0.0
0.0
0.0
D.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
45.3742
24.8163
9.7392
3.1165
3.2285
2.4524
1.9311
1.5446
1.2107
1.1413
1975
REPORTED
51.0000
1
0.0
0.0
3.6000 1
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.7620
18
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
51.8339
28.3493
11.1257
3.5606
3.6882
2.6016
2.2060
1.7648
1.3831
1.3038
1976
REPORTED
52.0000
1
0.0
0.0
3.5000 0
3.7000
1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
52.0000
28.4402
11.1613
3.5716
3.7000
2.6106
2.2130
1.7704
1.3875
1.3079
1977
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
D.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
57.5120
31.4548
L2.3444
3.9501
4.0922
3.1085
2.4476
1.9581
1.5346
1.4466
1974
REPORTED
1.0910
1 (
11)
ESTIMATED
1.0748
1975
REPORTED
0.0
1.1500
1
1121
ESTIMATED
1.2278
1.1424
1976
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
1.2318
1.1460
1.0032
:977
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.1060 1
(111
ESTIMATED
1.3623
1.2675
1.1095
1.1060
1949 1952 1937 1%5 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972
VALUE 0.149 0.273 0.695 4.172 2.097 2.760 3.505 4.381 5.591 5.931
1973 1974 1975 1976 1977
VALUE 6.298 6.769 7.732 7.757 8.579
A. MORE THAN THREE TIMES THAT OF 1965.
3. DERIVED FROM THE REPORTED ANNUAL RATE OF 12 PERCENT.
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 Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
Sources for Table on Facing Page
1949/72: Field, Lardy, Emerson, 1976, table I.
1949/72: Rewi Alley, "Northwest Return," Eastern Horizon,
vol. 13, No. 8, 1974, p. 13.
1949/73: FBIS, 11 October 1974, M2.
1949/74: Great Changes, p. 209.
1949/75: FBIS, 15 March 1976, M1.
1949/76: FBIS, 16 March 1977, M5.
1952/57: Field, Lardy, Emerson, 1976, table I.
1965/72: FBIS, 27 June 1973, H5.
1965/73: FBIS, 11 October 1974, M2.
1965/74: Great Changes, p. 209.
1965/75: JPRS, no. 66,673, 26 January 1976, p. 5
1965/76: FBIS, 16 March 1977, M5.
1967/76: FBIS, 9 January 1978, M2.
1968/69: FBIS, 5 January 1970, H1.
1969/70: La Nouvelle Chine, April 1972, p. 41.
1970/71: BBC, FE/W647/A/11, 10 November 1971.
1970/75: NCNA-Lanchow, 21 February 1976.
1971/72: FBIS, 4 October 1972, H2.
1972/73: FBIS, 8 January 1974, B9.
1973/74: FBIS, 13 December 1974, M2.
1974/75: JPRS, No. 66,673, 26 January 1976, p. 5.
1976/77: FBIS, 9 January 1978, M4.
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 Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
KIANGSI PROVINCE
REPORTED
2.6744 1
ESTINAT ED
2.6744
1957
R,PORT$O
0.0
2.0400
1
EiTIMATEO
5.4558
2.0400
196$
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
SSTIMATEU
13.2680
4.9611
2.4319
1969
REPORTED
ESTI MATEO
14.9000 1
1
0.0
0.0 1.1230 1 I61
1974
4.9000
5.5713
2.7311 1.1230
REPORTED
26.DU00 1
0.0
0.0 0.0 0.0
E:. TIMATED
26.0000
9.7218
4.7656 1..9596 1.7450
Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
 Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
1949/52: Field, Lardy, Emerson, 1976, table I.
1949/69: BBC, FE/W541/A/1, 15 October 1969.
1949/74: Great Changes, p. 146.
1952/57: Field, Lardy, Emerson, 1976, table I.
1968/69: BBC, FE/W531/A/4, 6 August 1969.
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 Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
kE SORTED
1.5680 I
1. IlLATED
i.S680
1957
5.4PORTED
4).0
1.7620 1
ESTIMATED
1.1628
1.7620
1963
REPORT ED
0.0
O.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
4.0217
2.5649
1.4557
1965
61908TED
u_0
0.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
5.2692
3.3605
1.9072
1.314)2
968
kEPORT ED
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATE.)
6.1639
3.9310
2.2310
1.5326
1.1698
1969
kEsURTED
ESTIMATE
U.0
8
7
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.4300 1
(81
.,
970
.
600
5.5995
3.1779
2.1831
1.6663
1.4244
kSPORTED
ESTIMATED
51.0
10.5823
0.0
6.7489
0.0
3.8303
0.0
2.6313
0.0
2.0083
0.0
7166
1
1.2100 1
1
2053
463
1971
.
.
k EPORTEO
12.6000 1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.1000 1
412)
ESIIMATED
12.6493
8.0672
4.5784
3.1452
2.4006
2.052.2
1.4407
1.1953
1972
REPURTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2.4000
i8
OU55U IA
2
0
0
D
ESIIMATED
12.4069
7.9126
4.4907
3.0830
2.3346
.
2.0128
.
1.4131
.U
1.1724
0.0
0.9806
4973
REPORTED
13.6000 1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0
0
0
51
0
0
ESTIMATED
13.8083
8.8063
4.9979
3.4334
2.6205
.
2.2402
.
1.5727
.
1.3048
0.0
1.0916
1.1300 1
1.1130
1121
1974
REPURTED
15.7000 1
0.0
0.0
2.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
15.7000
10.0128
5.6826
3.9036
2.9796
2.5471
1.7882
1.4836
1.2412
1.2654
1975
61.081E0
18.4000 l
0.0
0.0
O.U
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4)
ESTIMATED
18.4000
11.7341
6.6599
4.5751
3.4920
2.9851
2.0957
1.7387
1.4546
1
4830
1976
.
REPORTED
18.5000 2
0.0
0.0
4.6000
1
3.4445
18
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
18.5000
11.7985
6.6961
4.6000
3.5109
3.0014
2.1071
1.7482
1.4625
1.6911
!977
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
U.0
0.0
0.0
U.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
21.1375
13.8632
7.8679
5.4050
4.1254
3.5286
2.4758
2.0541
1.7185
1.7521
1974
REPORTED
0.0
ESTIMATED
1.1370
1975
R#PURTED
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
1.3325
1.1720
1976
REPJRTED
U.U
U.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
1.3398
1.1783
1.0054
1977
REPURTEU
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.1750
1 1
121
ESTIMATED
1.5742
1.3846
1.1814
1.1754)
4949
1932
1937
1963
1963
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
VALUE
1.493
2.341
4.124
6.003
7.863
9.201
13.106
1.6.796
18.861
18.520
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
VALUE
0.611
23.435
27.465
27.615
32.447
4. DERIVED FROM THE REPORTED ANNUAL RATE OF 19 PERCENT.
3. DERIVED FROM THE REPORTED ANNUAL RATE OF 11.9 PERCENT.
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 Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
1949/52: Field, Lardy, Emerson, 1976, table I.
1949/71: Peking Review, No. 25, 23 June 1972, p. 17.
1949/73: FBIS, 22 November 1974, G1.
1949/74: Great Changes, p. 116.
1949/75: FBIS, 6 October 1976, G9.
1949/76: FBIS, 17 June 1977, G3.
1952/57: Field, Lardy, Emerson, 1976, table I.
1963/76: FBIS, 17 June 1977, G3, as corrected in FBIS, 23 June 1977, G4.
1965/72: FBIS, 1 October 1973, C4.
1965/76: FBIS, 20 May 1977, E5.
1968/69: FBIS, 3 October 1969, C13.
1968/72: FBIS, 25 July 1973, Cll.
1969/70: FBIS, 16 July 1970, C6.
1970/71: FBIS, 14 January 1972, C5.
1972/73: FBIS, 18 January 1974, C9.
1976/77: FBIS, 16 January 1978, G8.
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 Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
1952
REPORTEL
[.7554 l
ESTIMATED
2.7550
1957
REPURTEL
0.0
2.1579
I
ESTIMATED
7.9450
2.1579
1964
REPORTED
V.U
U.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
11.5246
4.1932
1.9395
1965
REPORTED
U.0
0.4
0.0
1.2300 1
(6)
ESTIMATED
14.1753?
5.1453
2.3844
1.24o1
1966
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
4.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
17.5000
6.3321
2.9436
1.5185
1.2345
1969
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.Q
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATEV
17.2517
6.2620
2.9019
1.4961
1.2170
0.9858
1970
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
U.0
1.1850
1
1.2080
1 (1
21
ESTIMATEV
20.7375
7.5272
3.4882
1.7994
1.4029
1.1854
1.[021
1971
REPORTED
22.4000 1A
0.0
0.0
0.14
0.0
0.0
Q.U
1.0714
1 11
21
ESTIMATEV
2.1088
6.0250
3.7189
1.9184
1.5597
1.2634
1.[615
1.0661
1972
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.9450
1
0.0
1.5011
18
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
26.0247
9.4463
4.3776
2.2582
1.8359
1.4871
1.5065
1.2560
1.1771
1974
REPORTED
20.00014 1
0.0
U.0
0.0
2.0000
0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
D.D
ESTIMATED
25.b720
9.3909
4.3519
2.2449
1.8252
1.4784
1.4997
4..1476
1.1702
0.9941
1975
REPORTED
17.0
0.0
0.0
0.14
2.1090
1
0.0
0.4
0.0
0.0
0.9
ESTIMATED
19.9153
10.8586
5.0320
2.5958
2.1104
1.7094
1.7340
1.4426
1.3531
1.1495
1976
REPORTED
31.0000 11
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4)
41.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
31.0000
11.2523
5.2145
4.6899
2.1869
1.7714
1.7949
1.4949
1..4021
1.1912
1975
REPORTED
1.1620 1
1L21
ESTIMATED
1.1563
1976
REPORTED
J.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
1.1982
1.0363
1949 1952 1957 1964 1965 1966 1969 1970 1971 1972
VALUE 3.304 0.999 2.155 4.178 5.138 6.344 6.254 1.617 8.014 9.634
1974 1975 1976
VALUE 9.378 10.944 11.237
2. TWENTY-T.J TIMES THE EARLY PUST-116ERATIUM Fl VRE.
h. DERIVED FROM THE REPORTED ANNUAL RATE OF 14.5 PERLEMT.
... NEARLY 31 TIMES THE 1949 FIGURE.
Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
 Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
1949/52: Field, Lardy, Emerson, 1976, table I.
1949/71: FBIS, 28 November 1972, G2.
1949/74: Great Changes, p. 66.
1949/76: FBIS, 31 March 1977, L9.
1952/57: Field, Lardy, Emerson, 1976, table I.
1964/65: FBIS, 14 September 1965, DDD6.
1965/72: FBIS, 4 June 1973, G3.
1965/74: Great Changes, p. 66.
1965/75: FBIS, 5 January 1976, L3.
1966/70: SCMP, No. 4874, 8 April 1971, p. 135.
1969/70: FBIS, 31 March 1977, L9.
1969/72: FBIS, 8 May 1973, G5.
1970/71: BBC, FE/W655/A/11, 12 January 1972.
1974/75: FBIS, 31 March 1977, L9.
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 Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
RtPORTE0
0.0
ESTIMATED
1.2086
1952
REPORTED
0.0
1.4658
1
ESTIMATED
1.7707
1.,650
1957
110001t1E0
0.0
0.0
2.3265
1
ta TIKATED
4.1172
3.6065
2.3252
1958
REPORTED
11.0
0.0
0.0
1..5870
1 1
121
ESTIMATED
6.4482
5.1351
3.6417
1.5661
1964
RE?OR TED
O.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
5.3281
4.4083
3.0091
1.2941
0.8263
1765
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.4100 I
(9)
E SIIKATED
7.5127
6.2158
4.2426
1.8247
1.1651
1.4100
1766
r EVORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.2500
1
(8)
ESTIMATED
9.3908
7.7697
5.3035
2.2809
1.4563
1.7625
1.2500
1969
k&VOR TEO
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
11.3416
9.3837
6.4053
2.7547
1.7569
2.1286
1.5097
1.2077
1970
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.8500
1
0.0
1.2280
1 11
21
ESTIMATED
13.9734
1.1.5612
7.8916
3.3939
2.1670
2.6226
1.8600
1.4680
1.2320
1971
REPORTED
U.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.2287
1 1111
1571 MATED
17.3519
14.3565
9.7996
4.2145
2.69LO
3.2567
2.3097
1.8477
1.5299
1.2418
1972
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2.7000
1
0.0
0.0
0.0
FS'IMATED
41.2372
16.7437
11.4291
4.9153
3.1384
3.7982
2.6938
2.13%
1.7843
1.4483
1973
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
13.4416
19.3950
13.2388
5.6935
3.6354
4.3996
3.1203
2.4962
2.0669
1.6776
1974
REPORTED
26.0000
1
21.5000
1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
3.4800
1
0.0
2.3000
1
0.0
ESTIMATED
26.0000
21.5117
14.6837
6.3149
4.0321
4.8798
3.4608
2.7687
2.2924
1.8607
975
REPORTED
U.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
3.8700
1
0.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
[9.0740
24.0550
16.4197
7.0615
4.5089
3.4567
3.8700
3.0960
2.5635
2.0807
'976
REPORTED
0.0
0.41
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
4.000D
1
0..0
0.0
2.1600
1
ESTIMATED
30.1247
24.9243
17.0131
7.3167
4.6718
5.6539
4.0099
3.2079
2.6561
2.1559
1977
REPORTED
11.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5.5000
1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
35.4459
29.3269
20.0183
8.6091
5.4970
6.6526
4.7182
3.7745
3.1253
2.3367
REPORTED
1.1540
1
1121
ESTIMATED
1.1663
1973
REPORTED
0.0
1.1488
1 1
111
ESTIMATED
1.3510
1.1583
1974
RSPURTEO
0.0
0.0
1.1000
1 11
01
ESTIMATED
1.4984
1.2848
1.1091
1975
REPORTED
O.U
0.0
0.0
41.0
ESTIMATED
1.6756
1.4367
1.2403
1.1182
'976
R411U8TE0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
1.7361
1.4886
1.2851.
1.1586
1.0361
1977
RtPURT ED
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.1160 1
1121
ESTIMATED
2.0428
1.7515
1.5121
1.3633
1.2192
1.1786
!949 1950 1932 1957 1958 1964 1965 1966 1969 1970
JALUE 0.174 0.210 0.308 0.717 1.123 0.928 1.308 1.635 1.975 2.433
!971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977
1A043E 3.022 3.524 4.082 4.528 5.063 5.246 6. L73
Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
 Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
1949/74: Great Changes, p. 200.
1950/52: Field, Lardy, Emerson, 1976, table I and notes to table I.
1950/74: BBC, FE/W845/A/2, 24 September 1975.
1952/57: Field, Lardy, Emerson, 1976, table I.
1957/58: Kwang-si jih-pao, (Kwangsi Daily), 4 October 1959.
1959/77: FBIS, 10 January 1978, H5.
1964/65: BBC, FE/W340/A/37, 10 November 1965.
1965/66: SCMP, No. 3801, 14 October 1966, p. 15.
1965/70: SCMP, No. 4848, 2 March 1971, p. 70.
1965/72: FBIS, 17 October 1973, D4.
1965/74: FBIS, 14 April 1975, H3.
1965/75: FBIS, 16 November 1976, H7.
1965/76: FBIS, 4 May 1977, H4.
1969/70: FBIS, 11 February 1971, D4.
1969/74: BBC, FE/W823/A/4, 23 April 1975.
1970/71: FBIS, 6 January 1972, D15.
1970/76: FBIS, 12 December 1977, H3.
1971/72: FBIS, 13 February 1973, Dl.
1972/73: JPRS, No. 61,103, 30 January 1974, D. 13.
1973/74: FBIS, 5 December 1974, H4.
1976/77: BBC, FE/W965/A/5, 1 February 1978.
Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
 Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
REPORTED
2.0173
1
ESTIMATED
2.0173
1957
REPORTED
0.0
2.1845 I
1964
ESTIMATED
4.4068
2.1845
REPORTED
1.0000
1
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
7.9127
3.9224
1.7954
1965
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.2200
1
4121
ESTIMATED
9.5481
4.7332
2.1647
1.2067
1966
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.2000 1
(121
ESTIMATED
11.4584
5.6801
2.6002
1.4481
1.2001
1968
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
9.6870
4.6020
2.1982
1.2242
1.0145
0.8454
1969
REPORTED
13.0000
1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.1470 IA
ESTIMATED
13.1434
6.5153
2.9825
1.0510
1.3765
1.1471
1970
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
15.4959
7.6615
3.5164
1.9564
1.6229
1.3524
1971
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.7000 1
0.0
ESTIMATED
16.3285
8.0942
3.7053
2.0636
1.7101
1.4250
1972
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.8200 1
0.0
FSTIMATEu
17.3570
8.6041
3.9387
2.1936
1.8178
1.5148
1973
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2.0000 09
0.0
ESTIMATED
19.7113
9.7711
4.4729
2.4911
2.0644
1.7203
1974
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
21.2254
10.5217
4.8145
2.6824
2.2230
1.8524
1975
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2.6174 IC
0.0
ESTIMATED
24.6008
12.1949
5.5825
3.1090
2.5745
2.1470
1976
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
15.6335
12.6060
5.8622
3.2648
2.7056
2.2544
1977
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
27.9002
13.6305
6.3312
3.5260
2.9220
2.4349
1973
REPORTED
1.1370
1 (
121
ESTIMATED
1.1356
1974
REPORTED
0.0
1.0740
1
9121
ESTIMATED
1.2229
1.0708
1975
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
1.1560
1 11
21
ESTIMATED
1.4173
1.2481
1.1590
1976
REPORTED
0.0
1.3156
1
0.0
1.0642
1
1121
ESTIMATED
1.4884
1.3106
1.2171
1.0501
1977
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.0800 1
1123
ESTIMATED
1.6074
1.4154
1.3145
1.1141
1.0800
A. FIRST 6 MONTHS OF 1909 OVER THE CORRESPONDING PERIOD OF 1966.
MORE THAN TWO TIMES THAT OF 1965.
... DERIVED FROM THE REPORTED ANNUAL RATE OF 10.1 PERCENT.
1.3800
1 (1
21
1.3568
0.0
1.1860
1 (9
1
1.5997
1.1790
0.0
0.0
1.0600
1 11
21
1.6656
1.2423
1.0537
0.0
0.15
0.0
0.0
1.7918
1.3206
1.1201
1.0630
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2.0348
1.4997
1.2720
1.2072
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2.1911
1.6149
1.3697
1.2999
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2.5396
1.8717
1.5876
1.5066
2.6220
1
0.O
0.0
0.0
2.6668
1.9655
1.4671
1.5621
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2.8802
2.1226
1.8005
1.7087
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 Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
1949/52: Field, Lardy, Emerson, 1976, table I.
1949/64: Nan-Fang jih-pao (Southern Daily), 28 December 1964.
1949/69: BBC, FE/W540/A/12, 8 October 1969.
1952/57: Field, Lardy, Emerson, 1976, table I.
1964/65: BBC, FE/W365/A/1, 11 May 1966.
1965/66: News From Chinese Provincial Radio Stations, No. 189,
5 January 1967, p. 41.
1965/71: JPRS, No. 63,200, 15 October 1974, p. 32.
1965/72: FBIS, 25 June 1973, D2.
1965/73: FBIS, 31 January 1974, D8.
1965/75: FBIS, 2 June 1976, H7.
1966/69: FBIS, 22 August 1969, D1.
1968/69: FBIS, 6 January 1970, D3.
1968/76: FBIS, 28 December 1977, H4.
1969/70: FBIS, 13 October 1970, D4.
1970/71: FBIS, 10 January 1972, D5.
1972/73: FBIS, 31 January 1974, D8.
1973/74: Chien-ch'ih tang-ti chi-pen lu-hsien tsai tou-cheng chung
hsueh to-thing (Uphold the Basic Party Line in the Move-
ment to Learn from Taching), Peking, 1977, p. 67.
1973/76: Ibid.
1974/75: Ibid.
1975/76: Ibid.
1976/77: FBIS, 17 January 1978, H3.
Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
 Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
REPORTED
1.5824
1
ESTIMATED
1.55824
1957
REPORTED
1).0
2.249L
I
ESTIMATED
3.5590
2.2491
1965
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
1u.25 7
6.5001
2.8901
1966
REPORTED
ESTI
T
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.2960
1 16
1
MA
ED
1973
13.3303
8.4241
3.7455
1.2961)
REPORTED
ISTIMAT
0.0
0.0
0.0
2.11000
1
0.0
EU
1974
1u.3714
13.0001
5.7802
2.0000
1.5432
REPORTEC
ESTIMATED
20.0000
20
0000
1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1975
.
12.6390
5.6196
1.9444
1.5003
0.9722
REPORTED
ESTIMATED
u.0
18
8000
0.0
18
2002
0.0
2.8000
1
0.0
0.0
1.4400
11121
1976
.
.
8.0922
2.8000
2.1605
1.4000
1.4400
REPORTED
ESTIMATED
0.0
5.2720
0.0
15
9707
0.0
7
1009
2.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.8775
161121
1977
.
.
2.4570
1.8958
1.2285
1.1636
0.8775
REPORTED
ST
U.0
U.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.3100
1 0.0
E
IMATED
37.7280
23.8423
10.6006
3.ob8U
1.8302
1.8340
1..8864
1.3100
1.4929
1949
1952
1957
1965
1966
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
VALUE
0.155
0.250
0.562
1.624
2.105
3.248
3.158
4.548
3.991
5.958
A. DERIVED FROM THE STATEMENT THAT THE 1977 PLAN AS FULFILLED SO DAYS AHEAD OF
SCHEDULE AND THAT OUTPUT INCREASEO 8.2 PERCENT AND 23..3 PERCENT OVER THAT OF
1975 AND 1976, RESPECTIVELY.
Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
 Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
1949/52: Field, Lardy, Emerson, 1976, table I.
1949/74: Great Changes, p. 267.
1952/57: Field, Lardy, Emerson, 1976, table I.
1965/66: BBC, FE/W378/A/1, 10 August 1971.
1965/73: FBIS, 10 January 1974, E2.
1965/75: CKHW, Hong Kong, 31 March 1976,
1974/75: Ibid.
1975/76: China News Service, Kweiyang, 19 November 1977.
1975/77: FBIS, 2 March 1978, J1.
Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
 Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
X952
REPORTED
3.4187
1
ESTIMATED
3.418T
957
REPORTED
U.u
2.5890 I
ESTIMATE.
8.8510
2.5890
965
REPORTED
U.u
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATEU
16.5991
4.8554
1.8734
966
REPORTED
1.13
0.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATEU
180.9577
5.5453
2.1419
1.1421
968
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
u.0
ESTIMATE.
#4.2537
4.1693
1.6104
J.8587
969
REPORTED
u.u
0.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
21.0955
6.1706
2.3834
1.2709
970
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATEU
25.6733
7.5097
2.9006
1.5467
97I
REPORTED
u.17
0.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATE.
[8.8157
8.4288
3.2556
1.7360
972
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.8400 1
97
ESTIMATEU
30.4870
8.9177
3.4445
1.8367
3
REPORTED
s3.UUVU Id
0.0
4.0
4.4
ESTIMATEU
33.3531
9.7561
3.7683
2.01393
974
REPORTED
36.0000
1
0.0
0.0
2.1600 1
ESTIMATEU
35.T687
10.4627
4.041.
2.1549
975
REPORTED
38.5000
1
0.0
0.0
2.31300 1
ESTIMATEu
38.3387
11.2144
4.3316
2.3097
974
REPORTED
1.0630
1 1
12)
ESTIMATEU
1.0724
975
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
1.1495
1.0718
U.0
0.7519
0.0
1.4800
14(117
1.1128
1.4800
0.0
0.0
1.2170
1 11
21
1.3642
1.8012
1.2170
4.5100
1
0.0
0.0
1.12[4 1
1121
1.5400
2.0216
1.3660
1.1224
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.0580 1
(111
1.608,7
2.1389
1.4452
1.1875
1.0580
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.0960
1 (12)
1.1593
2.3400
1.5811
1.2491
1.1575
1.0940
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.8868
2.5094
1.6956
1.3932
1.2413
1.2732
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2.0223
2.6897
1.8174
1.4933
1.3305
1.2575
1949 1952 1957 1965 1966 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972
VALUE 1.139 3.893 10.078 18.900 1.586 16.230 24.020 29.432 32.810 34.713
1973 1974 1975
VALUE 37.977 40.121 43.653
A. FIRST 11 MONTHS Of 1969 OVER ALL Of 1988.
5. MORE THAN 33 TIMES THAT Of 1949.
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 Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
Sources for Table on Facing Page
1949/57: Field, Lardy, Emerson, 1967, table I.
1949/73: FBIS, 24 September 1974, El.
1949/74: Great Changes, p. 57.
1949/75: FBIS, 6 October 1976, L6.
1952/57: Field, Lardy, Emerson, 1967, table I.
1965/72: FBIS, 19 July 1973, G2.
1965/74: BBC, FE/W809/A/15, 15 January 1975.
1965/75: FBIS, 6 October 1976, L6.
1966/71: FBIS, 19 July 1971, G5.
1968/69: FBIS, 21 January 1970, G1.
1969/70: FBIS, 18 January 1971, G2.
1970/71: FBIS, 19 July 1972, G5.
1971/72: FBIS, 5 January 1973, G6.
1972/73: FBIS, 8 January 1974, B9.
1973/74: BBC, FE/W809/A/15, 15 January 1975.
Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
 Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
1952
1952
REPORTED
1.8244 1
ESTIMATED
1.8244
1957
REPORTED
0.0
2.3481
1
F S T I MAT ED
4.6488
2.5461
1963
REPORTED
12.0000 1
0.0
U.0
ESTIMATED
12.ODUO
6.5175
2.5813
1965
FEPURTED
0.0
U.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
15.4378
8.4618
3.3208
1.2865
1966
REPORTED
0.0
Q.U
0.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
17.3675
9.5196
3.7359
1.4473
1.1250
1972
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
4.0000 1
0.0
ESTIMATED
61.7511
33.8474
13.2834
5.1459
4.0000
3.3554
1973
REPORTED
0.0
0.0
U.0
5.0
0.0
4.0000 LA
1.1350
1 11
11
ESTIMATED
69.4700
38.Y183
14.9438
3.7892
4.5000
4.0000
1.1250
1974
REPORTED
74.0000 1
O.0
0.0
0.0
4.6000 I
0.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
71.4915
39.7345
15.5938
6.0410
4.6957
4.1740
1.11'34
L. 0433
1975
REPORTED
64.0000 1
U.0
0.0
0.0
3.6700 18
0.0
U.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED
85.7479
47.0006
18.4454
7.1451
5.5544
4.9373
1.3886
1.2343
1.1829
1449
1952
1957
1963
1965
1966
1972
1973
1974
1975
VALUE
0.005
0.009
0.023
0.059
0.076
0.086
0.306
0.344
0.359
0.424
A. MORE THAN FOUR TIMES THAT OF 1966.
d. REPORTED TO HAVE INCREASED 5.67 TIMES OVER THAT 39 1905. BUT ONLY FITS YITH
OTHER DATA If IT AS 5.67 TIMES THAT OF 1965.
Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
 Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
1949/52: Field, Lardy, Emerson, 1969, table I.
1949/63: CKHW, 14 April 1964.
1949/74: Great Changes, p. 220.
1949/75: FBIS, 26 January 1976, M2.
1952/57: Field, Lardy, Emerson, 1969, table I.
1965/72: FBIS, 19 September 1973, H6.
1965/74: NCNA-Yinchwan, 18 May 1975.
1965/75: FBIS, 26 January 1976, M2.
1966/73: FBIS, 18 September 1974, M1.
1972/73: FBIS, 8 January 1974, B9.
Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
 Approved For Release 2002/08/07 : CIA-RDP80T00702A000100040006-0
REPORTED 4.4059
1
ESTIMATED 4.2059
1957
REPORTED u.0
3.226b I
ESTIMATED 13.5?138
3.2266
1964
REPORTED U.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED 3v.5755
7.2697
2.2530
1965
REPORTED 0.0
0.0
0.42
1.1840 1 16
1
ESTIMATED 36.4013
8.6073
2.6616
1.184v
1966
REPORTED 0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
ESTIMATED 43.7324
10.3979
3.2225
1.4303
1.2080
1968
r