THE AMERICAN STYLE OF WARFARE AND THE MILITARY BALANCE

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April 10, 1979
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Approved For Release 2002/01/24: CIA-RDP83M00171R001100040001-1 FEATURES COLUMNISTS SURVIVAL Volume XXI, Number 2 (10 APRIL) March /April 1979 The American Style of Warfare and the Military DA~ce The structuring o ce to meet a conventional attack from the Soviet Union and her allies in Europe remains a central issue within the Western Alliance. In this article, Edward Luttwak argues that the United States military clings to a concept of 'attrition' warfare when it may no longer have the superiority in material and fire power necessary to wage such war. He recommends consideration of 'manoeuvre' strategies which would seek not to wear an opponent down but to outflank it - the classic strategies of inferior forces. National styles differ in war, as they do in the pursuits of peace. Embodied in the tactical orientation of military forces and revealed by their structures, these national styles reflect not only the material and human attributes of societies but also their collective self-image. That is why the attempt to transplant a national style of warfare into the armed forces of another nation, with a different pattern of strengths, weaknesses and social relations, usually fails. One recalls vividly the failure of Egypt to practice Soviet- style armoured warfare in 1967, and equally her success with her own tactics, at least during the first days of the 1973 war. To each his own, therefore. But even so a fatal dissonance can arise: national styles of warfare, embedded as they are in culture and society, may retain their domestic authority even while being overtaken by changes in the external military environment. Particularly dangerous are those changes which are subtle and cumulative rather than overt and dramatic. The latter may awaken attention and stimulate a re-thinking of military methods and structures which may yet save the situation. But when change is slow and not manifest, routines are apt to go on as before, until the sudden and catastrophic discovery of inferiority in war itself. Attrition versus Manoeuvre There is now a real danger that the American style of warfare is being overtaken by precisely this kind of change in the external military environment. Even while the Soviet Union is closing the quality gap in one dimension of military strength after another, and even while the United States' overall military resources are declining relative to those of the Soviet Union, she holds on to the belief in her own material superiority. To be sure, the official spokesmen of the services constantly remind us of the growing Dr Luttwak is Senior Fellow in Strategic Studies at the Georgetown University Center for Strategic and Inter- national Studies and a private consultant on defence in Washington. Soviet advantage in numbers and the steady improvement in the quality of Soviet weapons, and yet the operational implications of these facts have not been absorbed. The American national style of warfare remains unchanged: it still presumes a net superiority in material, for it is a style based on the methods of attrition rather than manoeuvre. We all know what attrition is. It is war in the administrative manner, of Eisenhower rather than Patton, in which the important command decisions are in fact logistic decisions. The enemy is treated as a mere inventory of targets and warfare is a matter of mustering superior resources to destroy his forces by sheer fire- power and weight of materiel. Manoeuvre, by contrast, is not a familiar practice in recent American military operational form. In fact, in the language of the US Army, manoeuvre is frequently confused with mere movement, or at least offensive movement. Manoeuvre may well call for movement but it is very much more than that. It can be applied not only in ground combat but in all warfare, and indeed in all things military, even research and development. Manoeuvre describes 'relational' action - that is, action guided by a close study of the enemy and of his way of doing things - where the purpose is to muster some localized or specialized strength against the identified points of weakness of an enemy that may have superi- ority overall. Manoeuvre thus depends much more on Intelligence (and intellect) than attrition warfare, which can almost be a matter of mere procedure. It also entails a higher degree of risk. But while the side that has materiel superiority can choose freely between attrition or manoeuvre, the side whose resources are inferior overall can only prevail by successful manoeuvre. If an inferior force remains tied by tradition and attitude to low-risk or low-pay-off attrition methods, it must be defeated. In the cumulative destruction of the forces ranged against one another which (See MILITARY BALANCE, Pg.2-F) Approved For Release 2002/01 /242 CIA-RDP83M00171R001100040001-1 Approved For Release 2002/01/24: CIA-RDP83M00171R001100040001-1 Part II -- Main Edition -- 10 April 1979 MILITARY BALANCE -- CONTINUED characterizes an attrition contest, the inferior force will inevitably be exhausted first, American Concepts Out of Date It is not surprising that manoeuvre warfare is so unfamiliar to American military men - in whose self-image materiel superiority still looms large - while it is almost instinctive to those who see themselves as inferior in resources, be they from Vietnam or Israel. It is by now obvious that the US Army, Navy, and Air Force would no longer enjoy an auto- matic superiority in materiel if confronted by the forces of the Soviet Union, and yet their structure and methods still implicitly reflect the pre- sumption of a net advantage in resources. The US Army, for example, has recently promulgated a new manual of tactical doctrine for a major conflict in Europe (FM 100-5). This is a doctrine of pure attrition: Soviet forces are expected to attack in deep columns of armour, and the Army means to oppose them by position- ing armour and infantry battalions in their path - some pushed forward to act as a'covering force', but the bulk concentrated on the main line of resistance. Advancing Soviet armour is to be defeated by sheer fire-power, in sequence ; first air attacks well forward of the battle line, then artillery (with precision munitions), then the guns and anti-tank missiles of the yielding 'covering force' in a, shoot/fall-back/shoot sequence, then the main forces with their own guns, missiles and small arms. Single battalions are to leap-frog one another in a slow with. drawal, to reload with ammunition so that they can resume the orderly administration of fire- power.. Catch phrases associated with the new doctrine have an industrial sound: 'force- generation', 'target servicing', etc. The invading enemy is treated as a mass of individual targets to be destroyed one by one, with the strength of the defence in fire-power being ranged against hard armour. No attempt is made to seek out and exploit weaknesses in the modus operandi of the enemy or in his array of forces. No thought is given to the possibility of attacking the long flanks that columns of armour must necessarily have.'The Army's new doctrine thus continues to presume a net superiority in fire-power: US forces are to 'mow down' Soviet armour as British imperial infantry once dealt with the Zulu impis. The British won, though they were outnumbered as the US Army would be today, but unfortunately the Soviet forces are not Zulus and they will not be outgunned. A Manoeuvre Defence for NATO A manoeuvre defence for the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) would be quite another thing. Far from seeking to muster strength against strength in a frontal clash of fire_p9w_er -versus--armour, it -would--rely-on- attacks against the weak points of the Soviet array. For example, Soviet divisions draw their re-supply from convoys of trucks following in their wake, 1,800 trucks for each tank division and 2,200 for each 'motorized rifle' division. Behind each hard wedge of armour there is the soft column of unprotected and road-bound trucks. A manoeuvre alternative to the Army's new doctrine might deploy all-armoured and highly agile strike forces which would side-step the oncoming thrust of Soviet armour columns, penetrate through the spaces between the columns, and then advance deeply enough into the enemy's rear so that they could then turn to attack the 'soft' traffic of artillery, combat- support and service units, and supply columns following in the wake of the Soviet armour. While American tanks and combat carriers would be formed into these strike forces, the infantry (which is already well equipped with anti-tank missiles) would be placed in the path of the Soviet advance to form resilient and amorphous defence zones. The aim would be to slow down and embed the enemy armour spearheads rather than to destroy them in costly combat. In the meantime, the strike forces would be on then way, to advance in parallel to the advancing enemy columns before turning to wade into them. While American battle tanks could no doubt do much better against trucks and artillery carriages than in tank-to-tank combat, the operational goal - as in all genuine manoeuvre - would not be so much to destroy enemy resources as to dislocate the enemy's scheme of operations. Instead of being faced with an entirely pre- dictable frontal resistance (which they are well organized to defeat), Soviet commanders would be confronted by confused entanglements and sudden emergencies in their own vulnerable rear, as the elusive strike forces attack road-bound traffic, only to disappear (when attacked in turn) to come back and attack again somewhere-else along the columns. Soviet armour spearheads would in some cases run out of supplies while fighting it out in the resilient defence zones; above all, the stream of reinforcement echelons (on which the Soviet method depends) would be drawn away to confront the strike forces in the rear, instead of being fed into the penetrating advance to keep up its momentum. This is not by any means a fully analysed idea, and it is of course at the extreme end of the risk/pay-off spectrum, but it does illustrate the general principles of manoeuvre warfare as they apply to all combat - land, sea, or air. First, one's own high-quality forces must not be expended against those of the enemy; instead, they are to find and attack the weak points in the enemy's array of forces.. In the meantime, the enemy's main effort is to be contained (though it cannot be defeated) by a specialized defence, organized from the lower- cost forces. Second, the key to victory in manouevre is force disruption rather than destruction. Of course there will be some attrition, but its purpose must be to dislocate the enemy's system of war, rather than to reduce his forces in piece- meal combat. The goal is to force the enemy to abandon his programme, rather than just to reduce the forces he has to implement that programme. Finally, manoeuvre warfare cannot be fought by standard, general-purpose forces shaped by -traditional--preferences- -and bureaucratic priori- ties. Instead, one must deploy. forces especially tailored to cope with a specific enemy - that is, forces wiucn are _ configured to exploit,. his particular weaknesses, rather than to maximize all-round capabilities. One allows the enemy to dictate one's force-structure and tactics;, the 'organizational initiative' is conceded in . order to seize the operational advantage. Examples of Manoeuvre Defence . . An outlined air-power example illustrates the (See MILITARY BALANCE, P9.3-F) Approved For Release 2002/01/_4.: CIA-RDP83MOOl71 R001100040001-1 Approved For Release 2002/01/24: CIA-RDP83M00171R001100040001-1 Part II -- Main Edition -- 10 April 1979 NEWSWEEK 16 APRIL 1979(10) Pg.21 SETTING UP A SUMMIT Soviet President Leonid Brezhnev is keeping his schedule open for a possible SALT-signing summit with Jimmy Carter in the first two weeks of May. Although protocol specifies that it is Brezhnev's turn to go to the U.S., his frail health may rule out the long flight to Washington. Brezhnev's doctors don't want him to fly at all, in fact. Carter might go to Moscow if necessary, but the betting now is that the Soviet and American presidents will com- promise by meeting in a neutral capital-one that Brezhnev could reach comfortably by train. The Russians seem to lean to Helsinki, Vienna or Warsaw as the summit city. THE OMINOUS HOSPITALS Y.S. intelligence sources report that both Egypt and Libya have begun installing field hospitals near the border that divides the unfriendly Arab neighbors. Both countries have engaged in mili- tary buildups in the wake of Egyptian President Anwar Sadat's signing of a peace treaty with Israel, and the emergency hospitals could mean that open hostilities are in the offing. U.S. analysts don't think Sadat would tarnish his statesman's image by going to war unless Libya strikes first, but they don't rule out the possibility that Libyan leader Muammar Kaddafi might start something. In that event, some analysts say, the Egyptians might launch a drive to the Libyan oil fields. generality of these rules. Soviet battlefield air-defence systems are now much more formid- able in Europe than they were in Arab hands in October 1973, when Israel lost almost a quarter of her air force in three days. To do its work, which is to help in the land battle, the US Air Force (USAF) plans to defeat the array of Soviet anti-aircraft guns and missiles by attrition and sheer weight of materiel: special `defence suppression' aircraft are deployed to attack Soviet radars directly, while other special aircraft are to neutralize Soviet radars with electronic counter-measures. In addition, each line aircraft is to carry self-protection electronic devices. In the first few days of a NATO war, when air power would be needed most to give time for the ground forces to deploy, the USAF would in fact be busy protecting its own ability to operate at all. It is interesting to note that others have reacted differently. The Royal Air Force (RAF) simply cannot afford to fight it out with Soviet air defences; its plan is to evade rather than defeat them. The RAF has decided to use its aircraft in the immediate rear of the battlefield, to attack Soviet reinforcement echelons rather than the first wave of Soviet forces on the battlefield itself-where defences are thickest. As some RAF officers see it, the American insis- tence on taking on the Soviet Union where she is strongest may result in an air force which will be 'taking in its own washing' instead of earning its keep. The RAF approach is 'relational' manoeuvre; that of the USAF a form of attrition. In the case of naval forces, a counter-example can be cited from the opposite side. When Stalin decided to build an oceanic navy as part of the armament programme that began in earnest very soon after VE day, his plan reported- ly called for a non-relational 'balanced fleet' on the Anglo-American pattern, with destroyers, cruisers, and aircraft carriers, as well as sub- marines - the indispensable weapons of the weaker fleet. Had Stalin's successors continued on this path, the Soviet navy would have been a much inferior imitation of the American and bound to be outclassed in every encounter. But after Stalin's death his naval plans were scrapped and the Soviet Union adopted a relational 'manoeuvre' approach; she built her own navy specifically to exploit the weaknesses of the US Navy, instead of trying to imitate its structure. As a result, the American surface navy of carrier task-forces is now confronted by an array of Soviet anti-carrier forces, based on the use of anti-ship missiles carried in submarines, naval aircraft and surface warships. The Soviet navy which this relational scheme has produced cannot do many of the things that the US Navy . does so well, but it does have a fair chance of winning a naval war, at least in some circum- stances. A non-relational Soviet navy, built to realize the typical naval ideal of a `balanced fleet', would by contrast have guaranteed absolute and total inferiority at sea for the Soviet Union. The Implications of Inferiority Now that the United States has chosen to place herself in a position of military inferiority to the Soviet Union by reverting to the pattern of underspending of the inter-war years, the non-relational procedure, with its low-risk/high- cost attrition solutions to every threat, is becom- ing increasingly obsolete. In one area of defence after another there is no third alternative between higher-risk manoeuvre methods and a guaranteed defeat. In part, the persistence of an obsolete style of warfare is due to an under- standable cultural lag: the services are in the position of those remaining ill-informed American tourists who, in Germany or Japan, still offer sotto voce to pay their hotel bills in dollars - and expect a discount. But aside from cultural lag there is another source of irration- ality, and ironically it is the product of the striving to substitute logic and calculation for military instincts and bureaucratic goals. Many of the 'systems analysis' techniques introduced by McNamara and revived by the present civilian defence chiefs are based on mathematical models which treat warfare as a cumulative exchange of fire-power; they are in fact pure attrition models in most cases. Even though the historical record of war shows quite conclusively that superior fire-power is often associated with defeat, and that winners more often than not were actually inferior in fire-power, these mathematical models continue to be devastatingly influential because they capture all that is conveniently measurable about warfare. Thus book-keepers may fancy themselves strategists. Unfortunately, these models miss the essence of warfare, which has little to do with the orderly administration of superior fire-power on a passive set of targets. To their great discredit, the uniformed military have chosen to play the bureaucratic game, and now have their own models, suitably rigged. Instead of resisting the pressure to conform, and devoting their intellect to the study of war as it really was in history, and as it may be again on the battlefield, the military waste their talents on studies and models which are based on premises which are false, and which they know to be false. Hence the blind lead, and those who could see follow in order to defeat the mathematics of the civilian 'systems analysts' with their own, ever more elaborate computer models. Unfortunately, the tactics of bureau- cratic conflict in the Pentagon are of no use on the battlefield. Approved For Release 2002/01/243:-tlA-RDP83M00171R001100040001-1 Approved For Release 2002/01/24: CIA-RDP83M00171R001100046001-1 Part II -- Main Edition -- 10 April 1979 ARMED FORCES JOURNAL APRIL 1979 (10) Pg. 36 The Inoperability of Interop~rability? By Thomas A. Callaghan, Jr. AN INDEPENDENT LOOK AT "NATO wastefully developing eight different mis- at the present rate 4% annually. Standardization, Interoperability and siles, which can then only be procured in ? Contrary to a long-held view, standardization and interoperability are Readiness" was released late in February small quantities at high unit cost. by a House Armed Services Subcommittee Standardization is no substitute for not cure-alls that will lead to vast savings of that title. The report criticizes the state adequate defense budgets. But when Allied for NATO nations. It is unlikely that there of Allied Readiness. It finds the agreed 3% defense budgets are not adequate will be savings from arms cooperation, at are largely Predictions of real annual growth in Allied defense unnecessary duplication of effort must .be least nthe near budgets to be inadequate. It questions the eliminated; wasteful, low volume potential savings 8ay unsupported production must be avoided. by data at present. advantages claimed for Standardization Nobod questions the validity of these ? Annual savings resulting from stand- b q and Interoperability. It finds fault with the mestic defense d e o our views r concept of a "two-way street," gives poor marks to the "family of weapons" concept, procurement. Indeed, in each of the past and concludes that the NATO Long-Term two years, the House Armed Services Defense Plan (LTDP) is one of Committee has stated its belief that "the questionable value. It advocates a review Department of Defense ... _ must avoid (and possible revision) of the Culver-Nunn unnecessary duplication of effort." Amendment, which calls for the Secretary The strength of the report is its of Defense to establish procurement recognition of the fact that "The present practices aimed at standardization of the shortfall in Western European defense US European forces' equipment. demands unique solutions." Its weakness is The report will be a disappointment to not that it rejects every feature of every many, but a challenge to all. unique solution proposed by the President, Strength and Weakness the Secretary of Defense and the Congress The central weakness of the NATO itself, and finds no virtue whatsoever in Subcommittees report is that one must Standardization, Interoperability and read through forty es of detailed Allied Arms Cooperation. criticism before finding a positive Why So Negative a ReporN statement expressing "the hope that the On 31 January 1979, the American, NATO alliance can be strengthened and Canadian and European members of the improved"-and a statement recognizing North Atlantic Assembly's Defense the fact that "the present shortfall in Cooperation inSubio Subcommittee held Western Europe defense demands unique ,Services Committee. Much of the solutions." One might say the Subcommittee has discussion centered on the quite different produced two reports. The first deals with American and European views of what Standardization, Interoperability and constitutes measurable traffic on the two- Arms Cooperation, for which no way street, "NATO-ese" for reciprocal redeeming military, economic or political trans-Atlantic The Subcommittee trade. s Report reflects the benefit is cited. The second addresses the issue of NATO readiness with a high sense fact that the Administration has not of urgency. presented its case effectively. The The strength of the report is the attention marketing function in policy formulation it focuses on the lack of Allied readiness. It doesn't get the attention it deserves. l Subcommittee report need i D Th an e e argues for example, that: "One of the most critical readiness not be a disappointment. The Executive review of the "Culver Nunn" amendment deficiencies of the Alliance is its lack Branch, our Allies, and the Congress itself to determine whether modification is in of reserve stocks of ammunition and must recognize the report as a challenge to order; 2) increased coordination of equipment. These stocks translate bring for the concepts, structures and procurement procedures for arms into staying power or sustainability proposals needed to create the cooperative cooperation by the Executive branch; 3) in a war. Incredibly, after 30 years, Alliance framework called for by General the minimization of the use of government- NATO now hopes; by 1983, to Haig. to-goverment agreements; 4) the develop a capability to fight for 30 Western European defense does demand transmittal of all international agreements days " unique solutions. other than treaties between the US and its The Subcommittee finds the European The Subcommittee submitted the NATO allies to the House and Senate shortages of ammunition and replacement following findings and conclusions: Armed Services Committees; 5) an increase stocks to be critical, and they are. Unfor- ? NATO's ability to conduct a successful in personnel training in combat-related tunately, the Subcommittee see standar- conventional defense against a Warsaw areas to augment equipment-related dization as being of little relevance to Pact attack is extremely doubtful because improvements; 6) a requirement that the readiness, saying for example, "The major of serious readiness problems and Secretary of Defense include a NATO anti-armor deficiency of the alliance is not inadequate defense sperding. readiness report with his annual Defense the existence of eight different missiles, but ? NATO's goal of a \3% annual real budget submission to the Congress; 7) a rather the lack of adequate inventories. growth in defenscjpending is a requirement for annual authorization of o orations and maintenance, and all re p 77somas-J.-C-alaghan.-dr.=rr-Director the Allied Interdependence Project of I Strategic and international Studies. "compromise between m-ldary _ regui ments and political practicality" and will procurement accounts; 8) authorization do little to reverse the trend of Warsaw for the Secretary of Defense to enter into a Pact superiority as long as the Soviets well defined class of agreements for specific continue to increase their defense spending host nation support services. 1979 (10) v- -7 Page 191 April 9 , NATO TALKS: Brig. Gen. Charles W. Dyke of the Army's International Rationalization Of- fice tells the Senate Armed Services' research and developnent subcommittee that the U.S.-German staff talks have resulted in "major strides" toward standard NATO doctrine. He said 11 concept papers have-been approved and signed by the chiefs of staffs of the U.S. and German armies. Among these are papers dealing with anti-armor, air defense, airmobile operations, mobility/cotmterability, fire support, reconnaissance and night e ardization and interoperability would less than 2 percent of the total annual Alliance budgets. ? The term "two-way street" too often is, by Pentagon officials and some European spokesmen, presented as a device to equalize the economic benefits for European defense industries without sufficiently considering the contribution to military effectiveness. ? The European approach to defining the two-way street solely in terms of defense trade shows a large advantage to the US. A broader definition of the two-way street that encompasses all defense-related goods and services would show a balance in Europe's favor. ? The Pentagon's "family of weapons" concept, an approach designed to group families of weapons and divide up the development work among the NATO Allies, eliminates competition and therefore lowers technological standards. ? NATO's capability to fight a protracted war is almost nonexistent. NATO lacks the capability to fight for thirty days and present plans will not provide such a capability before 1983. Evidence available to the Subcommittee suggests that European forces will begin to run out of equipment and ammunition in a matter of days rather than weeks or months. Approve G- - 0040001-1 Approved For Release 2002/01/24: CIA-RDP83M00171R001100040001-1 QATIO dF DIVISIONS PVAILAOt?E AT T'-AE OP AT=== EL_PPSED TIME Vwl t`I ~- wAQN IN fj Fpa 11?NR~ Sq-MA, A-OAY ? e-0^V ATTACK OPTIOI..Ig) CUAVE ccA +mmummim QUILt?UO . t~rnG rae" GoMmEwICEMR_tJT OCZ ATTACK CJkF_OAiIQ'TIONS ro ISSU?WAANIN(r Pp-JDEQ PEnIOA(PWPP), F\AM wAAN%IJG. eP NTTACK. ASSUMES Approved For Release 2002/01/24: CIA-RDP83MOOl71 R001100040001-1 Approved For Release 2002/01/24: CIA-RDP83M00171R001100040001 Western press that five days would have to elapse before tactical nuclear weapons could be fired, and it is not hard to imagine circumstances in which a longer period than that would be necessary before the political leaders of the NATO countries could bring themselves to agree to a nuclear release. (iv) It therefore follows that the Soviet Armed Forces have five days. or even more, within which to attain their military objec- tives before NATO decides to go nuclear. Five days is not really a very long period, so the Russian's only hope of attaining a really worthwhile objective is to move extremely fast; and it is well known that the Soviet Armed Forces are trained and equipped to do this as a first requirement.' (v) It also follows that the USSR has a great need to achieve surprise in these circumstances because its speed of advance would be very much greater than if NATO were to be properly alerted. The achieve- ment of surprise would also bring the further cwtsiderable advantages of fewer casualties and much higher chances of victory. We are therefore postulating a non- nuclear and very fast-moving battle, in which NATO mobilisation and deployment have been at least partially pre-empted. The Soviet Army Wave Attack Philosophy The single-echelon option purpose of this article is consequently to enquire into what sort of echelonning might be used by the Soviet commanders for the purpose of fighting this sort of battle. Prerequisites for victory The Soviet view has traditionally been that the chief factors making for victory in any particular military operation were: (a)- the correct choice of direction for the main axis of advance: (b): the mass concentration of men. and equipment along that axis: (c) a capacity for manoeuvre at all levels; (d) surprise. Today, it includes the factor of speed. For this and a number of other reasons, the relative importance of the various factorsSTATINT has probably now been changed to the following: (a) the correct choice of direction for the main b/ow (not the main axis because, in the nuclear age, the main blow may have to be delivered along two orthreeaxes ratherthan along one, as formerly); (b) surprise: (c) speed; rd) concentration of effort in support o the main Clow; (e) simultaneous attacks upon the enemy throughout the entire depth of his cepioy- ment and upon objectives deep in his rear. It should beemphasised that no actual list giving these factors in the above order is known to the present author, but Soviet STATINT writing in recent years has strongly indicat- ed that it is, nevertheless, the correct one. The existence of nuclear weapons has made it far too dangerous to mass men and equipment along only one axis of main advance, as the Red Army in the Second World War so successfully used to do. As a result, the Soviet concept of the offensive now envisages the advance of the troops along two or three sub-axes, these being not- Approved For Release 2002/01/24: CIA-RDP83M00l71 R001100040001-1 A military commander, if he is to take a sensible decision concerning the number of waves, or echelons, in which to deploy his forces, can only do so if he bases that decision on the actual conditions of the particular operations he is engaged in. Soviet writers, indeed. repeatedly empha- sise the imperative need to study the actual circumstances before coming to a decision, and roundly condemn any general who has imbued himself with a fixed theory of eche- lonning which he applies quite irrespective of the situation with which he is faced. Since, therefore, there is no fixed Soviet doctrine which can be applied, blanket- fashion, so as to determine the number of echelons, it is clear that any attempt to discuss the Soviet attitude to echelonning must be narrowed down by making a num- ber of assumptions concerning the type of operations being dealt with. For the pur- poses of this article, these assumptions are as follows; (i) This hypothetical war in Europe will be one that the Russians have started. A war in Europe might arise from other causes (by accident, for example). but our present study is of a n outbreak of hostilities resulting from a deliberate attack on NATO by the forces of the Warsaw Pact. (ii) The war will be fought without the use of nuclear weapons of any kind. It would obviously be a colossal advantage to the Russians if this could be accomplished. In a conventional war, large numbers of Soviet soldiersand airmen might perhaps be killed, and the territories of Poland, East Germany and Czechoslovakia might again be a battle- ground; but so long as Russia herself remained effectively inviolate, these casual- ties and those other kinds of damage would certainly be acceptable in the eyes of the Kremlin. (iii) NATO, on the other hand. is pledged to resist invasion, and to resist it even by using nuclear weapons if this should prove to be necessary. Nevertheless, it is well known that nuclear release would not be given at the outset of a Soviet offensive. Indeed, it has often been stated in the .Approved For Release 2002/01/24: CIA-RDP83MOO171ROO1100040001-1 necessarily equally spread across the whole width of the attack sector. There is, howev- er, an unwelcome consequence for the Russians in that the present composition of the Group of the Soviet Forces in Germany (GSFG) would not permit the.attainment along each of these sub-axes of a crushing superiority over the enemy in men and equipment without the bringing-up of con- siderable reinforcements from within Soviet territory before the attack began. To bring up these reinforcements, however, would im- mediately sound the alarm for the NATO countries and the attainment of surprise would thereby be rendered impossible. But since we have postulated that the USSR attaches enormous importance to achieving surprise - and since-it believes that, if surprise could be attained, a much smaller superiority over the enemy would be accep- table along the various sub-axes of the main advance -the.only solution available to the Russians is to attack NATO from a standing start'. The assumption that the Russian of- fensive will be launched from a standing start is therefore a natural and basic premise of this article. he purpose of echelonning Soviet military writing declares that the urpose of deploying forces in more than ne echelon is to maintain the momentum of nd thereby keep up the pressure on the nemy defenses. [There is, incidentally, a difference be- tween a second echelon and a reserve. A second echelon is a body of troops appointed for a specific task: to take over from, and then complete the i ork of, the first echelon. A reserve is a body of troops to be used ad hoc, according to the wishes of the comman- der.) Deploying troops in more than one eche- lon is particularly necessary when the enemy has prepared a defensive position in depth. In the Second World War on the Eastern Front, German defensive positions in depth were typically divided up intothree lines of permanent fortification, each being 5-6 km deep and separated from the next line by 10-12 km. The total depth of the German position would therefore be 40-50 km. The German defenses around Gumbin- nen in 1944 were a good example of this.' The Russians found that the best way to deal with this sort of defensive position was to assault the first line after a heavy, though often rather short, artillery bombardment, using theirfirst echelon forthe purpose. This first echelon was expected to pierce the first of the enemy's defensive lines and to pene- trate into the depths of the enemy position. At this juncture, the Soviet formation's mobile group would be committed to the battle, would pour into the breach, exploit the success of the first echelon and, at the same time, help that echelon to continue its advance. Assuming that all went well, the first echelon was expected to continue to advance until it bumped up against the second line of the enemy's prepared posi- tion, by which time it was likely to be exhausted. At that moment, therefore, the Soviet second echelon took over; and it was this second echelon, as yet uncommitted to battle, which was expected to pierce the paign in Manchuria in 1945 is an excellent example of this and it will be used later to illustrate in some detail the thesis of this article. Before going onto discuss that campaign, however, it is essential to point out that echelonning can be and is practised at-all levels in the military chain of command. In other words, if an army group attacks, it can arrange its constituent armies in one, two, three or even more echelons. By the same t "if the ground overwhich tyro attack is to be made is s broad. flat plain with a firm surface. the choice can be made as to the number of echelons without any regard to topography." Note box-like structure on top of Soviet T- 55s' gun mamlet (/DR 8 / 78. p. 1206). now identifie s as a combined laser rangefinder/designator (see also inter- national Defense Digest. IDR 9178). MEW, second line and to fight its way forward to the third line. With a bit of luck, the third echelon would be captured relatively easily. But if the battle was expected to be particu- larlytough, and casualties heavy, the Soviet senior commander might well deploy his attacking formations in as, many as three echelons in order to have a completely fresh echelon with which to assault the third defensive position. It is worth remarking that the Stavka expected that Soviet first echelons would pierce the first line of the enemy defenses within 24 hours of the commencement of the attack or, at the very most, within 36 hours. Anything else was regarded as highly abnormal and none-too- pleasant consequences were likely to follow for the commander. Of course, in actual practice, by no means every offensive of the Red Army worked out as neatly as is implied above. But we are talking here about concepts and, though in the course of the Second World War the execution might sometimes have faltered, the concept remained unchanged. Although the double-echelon deploy- ment was standard practice where the enemy defenses were heavily fortified and deeply echelonned, the Soviet commanders were often willing to attack in only a single echelon when ci rcumstances were different. This was because a deployment in just one echelon allows the maximum weight of men and firepower to be brought to bear on the enemy defenses at a given moment of time. There were a number of occasions during the Great Fatherland War when the need forthis outweighed the need for having fresh forces to maintain the pressure on the enemy. Deployment in a single echelon, however, may well be impossible because of the nature of the terrain. If the ground over which the attack is to be made is a broad, flat. plain with a firm surface, the choice can be made as to the number of echelons without any regard to topography. If, however, the route to be taken traverses mountains, swamps or forests, it may well not prove to be at all practicable to deploy in a single echelon, however much the commander may wish to do so. This point is of impor- tance, and must be borne in mind when reading the rest of this article. Soviet practice suggests strongly that Russian commanders are particularly will- ing to attack in a single echelon at the start of a war or a particular campaign. The cam- Approved For Release 2002/01/24-: CIA-RDP83MOO171 R001100040001-1 Approved For Release 2002/01/24: Cl ilent tr to t1is iIgn, . that it all d. In :can :wo, an be *18 art to tee: T- .d so xo- two echelons, while the divisions might have been in two echelons and their consti- tuent battalions in one. The battalions themselves were most frequently deployed in just the single eche- lon during what the Russians call the first period of the Great Fatherland War, when the Red Army started upon its first counter- offensives. Up to that time, the divisions, regiments and battalions had all always attacked in two echelons, because this was what was prescribed in the regulations. However, the two-echelon deployment was soon seen to be a mistake. This was because the German defenses at that time did not consist of deeply echelonned lines of well prepared fortifications, but of scattered, fortified strongpoints and defended areas. Furthermore, the Soviet forces at that time were not numerically superior to the Ger- mans in men and equipment; on the con- trary, they were usually inferior. Conse- quently, a state of affairs which in any case was bad for the Russians was made much worse by the deployment into two echelons. A significant portion of any Soviet formation was unable to play any part in the first stage of the attack since it was being kept back. in its capacity as the formation's second eche- lon, for the second stage of the battle. Therefore, when the Soviet first echelon hit the German defenses, it was frequently outnumbered and outgunned by the Ger- mans, and suffered defeat as a result. To remedy this, the Stavka ordered the Red Army to adopt the single-echelon for- mation as the standard mode of deployment for the attack, 4 and that order remained until circumstances changed later in the war. By then, the Germans had gone over to defense based on deeply echelonned, well prepared lines of permanent fortifications. Secondly, the numbers of Soviet men and weapons had by then increased so much that the Red Army could afford to have two echelons and still have numerical superiority over the Germans at the critical points of the first line of defenses. token, the armies themselves can deploy their respective divisions in one or more echelons; the divisions, their regiments similarly; and this process continues down to and including the battalions. Nor, in a given operation, does the num- ber of echelons have to be the same at each of the various levels in the chain of com- mand. It often happened in the Great Father- land War that a Soviet army group (front) attacked with its armies in one echelon, that ? T Deployment in a single echelon may well not prove to be practicable it the attack route traverses mountains. forests or swamps. BMPs of Soviet motor nfle regrmem cross a water barrier the simplest way (below), while other units use bridging (above): in the foreground a T-55. followed by a T.55T recovery vehicle and. on the far bank. a BRDM-2 reconnaissance vehicle. The war on the Eastern front The history of the war on the Eastern Front also makes it clearthat, where the maximum blow possible was required and subsequent' supplementary effort was a secondary con- sideration, a one-echelon formation was phy permitted. This was particularly true when surprise was regarded as attainable. When, however, surprise was not thought to be attainable. when the offensive came in the middle rather than at the beginning of a campaign, or when there was clearly a requirement for a second echelon of a means of breaking through an enemy's second line of defense, then a two-echelon formation was decided upon at any and every level. Further examples of these various consid- erations being applied in practice by the Soviet Armed Forces can be found in this campaign. It is indeed a particularly per- tinent campaign to study, because it marked the opening by the Soviet Union of a new theatre of war. What was done by the Soviet commanders in Manchuria may therefore have something to say about what would be done by their modern successors if the Kremlin decided to open a theatre of war in Europe. It is all the more likely to do so because the Russians secured in Manchuria an overwhelming surprise at both the strategic and the operational level; and this, as discussed earlier, would be their aim if they were to plan an offensive in Europe. The Russians started their offensive at 0010 hours on August 9, 1945, when note of the Japanese politicians or military com- manders was expecting them to do so. Admittedly they thought it probable that the Russians would attack them, and they even thought it likely that they would attack them in September, but they had no notion that the Soviet offensive would hit them in the month of August. The Russians appear to have been pretty confident that they would in fact achieve surprise, and they took their decisions on echelonning on the assumption that they would. Whatever mode of deployment was adopted. the aim was to secure the max- imum possible exploitation of the expected surprise. So it is perfectly understandable that, of the three fronts or army groups which took part in the campaign, two decided to deploy their armies in only a single echelon. These were the First and the Second Far Eastern Fronts. The third, which appears an exception, was the Transbaikal Front; but in fact its two-echelon deploy. ment was not so much of an exception as might appear. There were no sizeable Japanese forces within about 400 km of the Transbaikal Front's forming-up area. The principal diffi- culty that faced its main forces at the outset of the campaign was the broad belt of desert and mountainous country that separated them from the Central Manchurian Plain. Only when that obstacle had been sur- mounted could 6th Guards Tank Army come into contact with the principal Japanese forces centred upon Kwantung. The task assigned to the main forces of Transbaikal Front, therefore, was to hurl themselves at top speed across the belt of desert and mountain, and smash into the westward-facing flank of the Japanese at the same time as the First Far Eastern Front smashed into their eastward-facing flank. But in an advance made by a group consist- ing of one tank army and four combined. arms armies, the tank army was bound to forge ahead unless it was ordered to reduce speed. No such order was given. On the contrary, General Kravchenko, GOC of 6th Guards Tank Army, was told expressly that it was the job of his formation to move forward as fast as it possibly could. The inevitable Approved For Release 2002/01/24: CIA-RDP83MOOl71 ROO1100040001-1 Approved For Release 2002/01/24: CIA-RDP83M00171R001100040001-1 gap that would thereby be created between 6th GuardsTank Army'soriginal neighbours to its left and right would then be plugged by 53rd Army, which thus became the Front's second echelon. It therefore seems reason- able to say that Transbaikal Front's adoption of a two-echelon formation was due to special circumstances. So far as First Far Eastern Front was concerned, its task was to strike the initial blow with the maximum strength possible, in order to smash through the enemy's fortified positions at a single go. Having done that, it was then to exploit the break- .through at the greatest speed and to the greatest extent possible. Given that the First Far Eastern Front was expected to achieve operational surprise, it seemed to the com- mander that a one-echelon deployment of- fered the best chance of success. This decision was approved by his superior, Marshal Vasilievsky. the commander-in- chief of all the Soviet forces engaged in the campaign. The offensive launched by Second Far Eastern Front was a secondary operation. The front had only about half the number of men that had been allotted to the other fronts, and furthermore had a lot fewer tanks, guns and supporting aircraft. Since it had no tank army and only three combined- arms armies (plus a few supporting units) with which to attack alonC a front of several hundred kilometres, a one-echelon forma- tion was essential if its initial attach: was to carry any weight at all. The Manchurian Campaign of 1945 is the only example available of an attack launch- ed by the Soviet armed forces at the start of a war which had been begun on their initia- tive; when the forces themselves were in good shape and had plenty of good equip- ment; and when, moreover, the Russians expected to achieve both strategic and operational surprise. Under such circum- stances, a one-echelon formation was chosen for two of the fronts while the two- echelon formation adopted by the third front was the result, we have argued, of special circumstances which are not likely to recur in Central Europe at front level. Lower down in the chain of command in Manchuria, there was no uniformity in the deployment of the corps and divisions. Thus, although First Far Eastern Front deployed all its armies in one echelon, many of those armies deployed their corps (and most of the corps deployed their divisions) in two eche- lons. This was because the commanders at those. levels were confronted with tasks which, in essence, consisted of penetrating the Japanese first line of defense, and then going on and attacking and penetrating the second. In other words, they were faced with A Regardless of the number of echelons deployed in a Soviet attack. organic air defense would be an essential ingredient of me forward forces. Photo shows two ZSU- 23.4 Shilka self-propelled arrtiaircrah gun vehicles; each Soviet tank division and each motor rifle division has 16 ZSU-23.4s plus self-propelled and towed 57 mm and 23 mm AA Duns. T While a single.echelon snack at army level by the Soviet Union on not be ruled out. corps. divisions and lesser units would almost certainly deploy in two or possibly more echelons. Photo shows M1974 122 mm SP howitzers which would follow up the first wave of tanks, providing direct as well as indirect fire to suppressenemy defensive positions. the classic requirement for a two-echelon formation; and a two-echelon formation was consequently adopted. It should not be taken as evidence in rebuttal of this article's thesis that 6th Guards Tank Army, the flower of the Soviet forces engaged in the campaign in Manchu- ria in 1945, deployed its corps in two echelons despite the fact that it expected to surprise the enemy and that it knew that Japanese opposition for the first 300 km or so would be little more than feeble. The reason for the two-echelon formation was purely topographical; and as soon as 6th Guards Tank Army had crossed the Great Khingan range of mountains and had de- scended on to the level ground of the Central Manchurian Plain, 5th Guards Tank Corps, the army's second echelon on thefirst day of the offensive, was to move forward level with the remaining corps belonging to 6th Guards Tank Army. As a result, that army engaged the enemy's main forces in a single-echelon formations Had General Kravchenko expected the Japanese on the far side of the Khingan Mountains to put ups prolonged and bitter resistance a Is Stalin- grad, he would no doubt have deployed his corps in two echelons. But he had come to believe that the resistance would not be of that order and that by a heavy initial blow he might hope to smash it. He deployed so as to deliverthe heaviest possible initial weight of blow and the result proved him justified. It is not wholly ludicrous to suggest that a Soviet commander in Europe might make similar calculations, especially if, as has been as- sumed throughout, he might hope to achieve surprise over the NATO defenders. On the other hand, the nature of the terrain in certain sectors of the NATO front makes it unlikely that all the Soviet armies would deploy all of their divisions in a one- echelon formation too. Furthermore, the likely tasks confronting Soviet 8th Guards Army (launching holding attacks on the US 7th Army in Bavaria, coupled with a thrust into Germany to the north of the American sector so as to prevent the Americans from moving northwards to take part in the main battle) might well impose a two-echelon formation upon the Soviet divisions there. At regimental and battalion level, it is most unlikely that anything other than a two- echelon formation would be adopted by the Russians anywhere. Nevertheless, in the light of the above, one or tv: o interesting trains of thought suggest themselves. If we assumethat in our hypothetical attack the Soviet forces achieve surprise at both the strategicand the operational level, they will not only want to deliver the maximum initial weight of blow. They will also bear in mind that, by gaining surprise, they can more safely deploy into one echelon for the purpose of delivering the blow. Provided that the circumstances in Central Europe were approximately those assumed for the purpose of this article, it is reasonable to imagine that, at least at army level, a one-echelon formation is what the Russians would decide upon. +4 tadv.rws 1. See. ioresample. Colonel G. Lobschev'sanicie in the February 1977 issue of Voennyi Vestnik. 2. See, for instance. Sovietskaya Vomneya Entsiklo- pediya. v,2., p. 421. 3. Voenno-lstonc heskii Ihumal (hereafter referred to as V.I]h.). 4/1971, p. 71. 4. NKO Order No. 306 of 1942. S. V.IZh., 12/1962. cording product 50,000 duced having HK23A ter trou mental specif i Small Approved For Release 2002/01/24: CIA-RD~>3%TOM i-R001100040 Tactical Problems Facing the Soviet Army Recent debates in the Soviet military press by C. N. Donnelly, Soviet Studies Centre, RMA Sandhurst, UK Until about 1970 Soviet Military doctrine held as a basic tenet that any major war in Europe would naturally escalate rapidly to involve the widespread use of at least tacti- cal, and quite probably strategic, nuclear weapons. During the late 1960s there grew up in Soviet political circles the realization that, if for any reason a major war were to start, it was clearly in the interests of the Soviet Union to be able to win it before the Western alliance could reach a decision to use nuclear weapons. As a reflection of this political realization, the first 2-3 years of this decade saw a gradual shift of emphasis in the Soviet military press from a study of the nuclear battlefield to a study of conventional opera- tions, albeit with the proviso that, in any major conventional conflict, weapons of mass destruction might be used at any moment. Whether any war which began in Europe would remain purely conventional or would involve nuclear weapons, the Russian victo- ry, the Soviets believe, would only be certain if the war could be won quickly'. On a nuclear battlefield, weapons of mass - Soviet motor rifle troops will normally assault on foot over the last 2-300 m to the objective. remaining as close as possible behind the leading wave of tanks in order to suppress enemy anti-tank fire with their small arms. BMPs, having disgorged their infantry, should slowly follow the latter about 3.400 m behind them, providing fire support from the shop-halt directed into the 50 m gaps between attacking infantry sections. The new 122 mm SP howitzers , when used in the accompanying role, also provide direct fire between the infantry sections, from ranges of only 5061,000 m away from the enemy positions. such a war is to achieve a rapid rate of advance through a country where going has been rendered difficult by contamination and destruction. By speed and manoeuvre, armoured protection and mass decontami- nation the Soviets would hope to reduce their own vulnerability to enemy nuclear weapons. To improve their chances of doing this, the Soviet General Staff began in 1967 to issue to their Army a vehicle expressly designed for - and, all agree, very well tailored to - rapid offensive operations in nuclear war. This vehicle is the BMP. Since one of the main threats to the viability of highly mobile attacking units under nuclear conditions was considered to be enemy air power, large funds were also allocated during the 1960s to improving anti-aircraft systems, probably at the ex- pense of armoured self-propelled artillery. Forced, as they were in 1970, to meet the political requirement that the Soviet Army be able not only to fight and win a war with conventional weapons, but to do so very quick/y indeed so as to lessen the dangers of rapidly become clear to the Soviet Genera Staff that both the tactics and equipment o their army were not adequate to the task. Equipment was available in insufficient quantity, and was often of an unsuitable type. Tactical doctrine for conventional war was weak, and the army was poorly prac- tised in it. For models of conventional operations upon which to base their plans, training schedules, and calculations of weapon and equipment norms for this 'new' conven- tional battle, the General Staff turned its enormous military history department to studying successful - and unsuccessful - offensive operations of the 1941-45 war. At the strategic level, this study has provided adequate information for a model of a war won quickly (the Soviet campaign against the Japanese in Manchuria in 1945 is considered an excellent example for study and, presumably, emulation). At the lower tactical level, however, the advance of tech- nology (for example the increase in the ranges and destructive effects of weapons, the increase in mechanization and mobility of troops, the emergence of guided missiles, Approved For Release 2002/01/24: CIA-RDP83M00171R001100040001-1 Approved For Release 2002/01/24: Cl TINTL etc.) have rendered much of World War 2's tactical experience much less valid. One of the principal effects of the predict- ed wide-spread use of tactical nuclear wea- pons had been that it necessitated the dispersal of sub-units, and therefore the combination of different arms at a low tactical level (battalion); without combined arms teams, due to the distances involved between dispersed sub-units, mutual sup- port would have become impossible. On the modern conventional battlefield, considerable dispersal is still necessary, the Russians insist, because of the ever-present threat of nuclear weapons. Furthermore, combined arms action at battalion level remains essential, because improved wea- pon technology renders each fighting arm (infantry, artillery, tank, aircraft, etc.) very vulnerable when operating on its own. That is to say, the tank a and aircraft fall easy prey to the missile, the field gun to the fighter- bomber, the attacking infantryman to the artillery barrage, etc. Between 1970 and 1974, in the light of these developments, several authoritative principles appeared3, and most of the stan- dard special-to-arm text books on tactics were rewritten'. A modern version of the most authoritative general reference book "Taktika" (Tactics) which last appeared in 1966 has, to the best of the author's knowl- edge, not yet been issued, and will presuma- ly not appear until a final solution to the tactical problems discussed below have been decided upon. However thorough these new text books might appear, it has become obvious from subsequent comment in the Soviet military press that, probably as a result of hasty compilation, they relied too heavily on tacti- cal theory, and not enough on practical manders perused them in vain toranswers to many of the practical problems they encoun- tered when actually carrying out battalion level combined-arms exercises for conven- tional battle. The unsatisfactory tactical performance of the Arab armies, using Soviet tactics and equipment during the 1973 Yom Kippur War, must have been an added incentive to the Soviet General Staff to give serious consideration to these prob- lems of tactics, and how best to ft-id a solution to them. The Soviet press has always been a means whereby the Soviet citizen could voice his complaints or suggestions about "the sys- tem providing the aim or purpose of his complaints was to effect an improvement in the functioning of the system. not a radical change of it. The military press is no excep- ~ Soviet gunners are fre- guemly criticized by senior commanders for deploying in line, as in Ww2, since this makes them vulnerable to NATO counter-battery fire. The six-gun battery of D30 towed 1.22 mm howitzers (ptato) integral to the single Motor Rifle Regiment of -a ch Tank Division has recently been replaced by no fewer than IS self-propelled 122 mm howitzers. as is also the case in one of the 3 MR Regiments of each MR Divi- sion. The two other MR Regiments in each MR Divi- sion now have 1s D-30s such. ideally suited for nuclearwar, but rather less suited for conventional war. This is not to say that the BMP is not suitable at all for the conventional battlefield, but rather that there are certain phases of war for which it is more suited than for others. For use in those phases of war for which it is not ideally designed. it is considered essential either to adopt tactics which minimise its vulner- ability, or to create local battlefield condi- tions with conventional weapons resem- bling as closely as possible the conditions of mass destruction in which the BMP was designed to operate. This is the basis on which the discussion was opened, and the debate concentrated on the tactical details by which means the above requirements might best be met. The BMP in attack and defense The BMP, it was stated without contradic- tion, is best used for exploiting success. Therefore units or formations equipped with it, when operating as part of the main forces. can expect to act in the second echelon' of a deliberate attack. In practice, however, due to the chaos of modern battle, units equipped with BMP will undoubtedly be called upon to take part in all sorts of attack, even amongst the first echelon in break- through operations. During nuclear opera- tions, it is normal practice forall attacks to be carried out with the troops mounted inside their fighting vehicles. During conventional battle, however, due to the high density of anti-tan in NATO armies, and due to the silienceofastrong defense toSoviet air or arti cry ment, an attack on a prepared defensive position will normally require the troops to dismount and attack on foot, in close co-operation with accompany- ing armour and under cover of well co- ordinated artillery fire. h is the apparently simple operation described in the last sentence which gen- erated most of the heated discussion. The tactical details in dispute are as follows: (a) At what distance from the enemy should the sub-units deploy from the line of march orfrom pre-battle order (company or platoon columns) into attack formation? (b) At what distance from the enemy defense should the motor-rifle troops dismount? (c) How far should they be behind their accompanying tanks when this dismounting takes place; or should they even be in front of them? (d) How close together should infantry and tanks be when actually assaulting the defenders' first line? (e) How close should the BMPs stay to the motor-rifle troops who have dismounted to attack? (f) How best can the BMP support the attack by fire from its missile, cannon or machine gun? (g) Should it fire over the attackers' heads, or into the 50 m gaps between attacking sections? (h) If a BMP battalion, supported by a tank company (13 tanks), is attacking in 2 echelons ratherthan one, should all the tanks be in the first echelon, or should some be in the second? (i) How close under the artillery bombard- ment should the tanks and BMPs try to get before dismounting the infantry (remember- ing that in Soviet doctrine such a bombard. ment is essential to the success of an attack against prepared defenses)? (j) Whet is the drill fordealing with any mixed minefields in front of the defense? Articles in the debate show clearly that el I possible variations on the distances and timings referred to above have been prac- tised: infantrymen have been dismounted, Approved For Release 2002/01/24: CIA-RDP83MOOl71 R001100040001-1 tion to this rule. and the military authorities have allowed and even stimulated the devel- opment of open discussions on disputed tactical issues, considering such discussion as helping to solve many of the tactical problems as well as helping to improve the general tactical education of the sub-unit officers. The discussions in the press' have cen- tred on two areasof concern. Thefirst relates to actual tactical practice and the ability of combined arms combat and logistical units to remain viable in the face of enemy action; the second relates to the ability of the officer himself, in particular his capacity to cope with tactical problems, and the extent to which he should solve such problems using his own initiative. Discussions on the latter theme have been much more restrained, as they come close to questioning many of the Soviet system's long-held and most basic assumptions'. On the theme of tactical practice an which have been subject to intense debate to date are: ? the use of the BMP infantry combat vehicle; ? the deployment of artil- lery and the effectiveness of artillery sup- port; a the flexibility and the resilience of command and control practices; ? and the special effect that the maintenance of a high speed of offensive has on co-ordination in combined arms units. On the theme of the officers' ability, rather looser debate has discussed: the definition of "initiative" (initsiativa) and the practical extent and consequences of its application; the requisite qualities that a young officer is expected to develop nowa- days to enable him to perform his duties effectively; technical means of improving command efficiency; and the way to im- prove the training, motivation and morale of soldiers so as to increase tactical perfor- mance. In many areas the topics under discus- sion, naturally, overlap. We will attempt below to identify and outline the main points of each topic debated and make some conclusion as to the final stance taken and its possible effect on the future development of the Soviet Army at sub-unit level. The first topic to become the subject of serious debate, and the one which has attracted most attention in the West, concerns the employment of the BMP infant- ry combat vehicle. The characteristics of this vehicle (described in detail in !DR No. 6/ 1975 pp. 896-898) have rendered it 1,000 article ered d onexe tional The debat their arms barra rapid be so as t emer tank effec oure time ing; tank sol poin give Approved For Release 2002/01/24: CIA-RDP83MOO171ROO1100040001-1 to take just one example, anything between 1,000 and 200m from the objective. Further articles have indicated that a considerable difference exists between what is consid- ered desirable and what is usually achieved on exercise. This latter problem is clearly not one confined to operations with the BMP, nor even to the Soviet Army as a whole, as any NATO officer can all too easily confirm. This should be borne in mind when making a realistic comparative assessment of opera- tional capabilities. The basic problem as it emerged in the debate is as follows: tanks without infantry support attacking an unreduced defensive position sited in depth will be destroyed by the defending infantry's anti-tank weapons. The same fate will befall the supporting infantry as well, if they attack mounted in their armoured vehicles, because small- arms fire from armoured vehicles is so inaccurate' (the Soviets maintain) as to be only effective for the suppression of the weakest of defenses. In fact, the artillery barragewhich a unit orsub-unit involved in a rapid attack can call down in its support will be so limited as to suppress the defense only during the duration of the fire. It will not destroy the defense. and therefore as soon as the barrage lifts, the defenders will emerge from their holes to put their anti- tank weapons and machine-guns to good effect. For infantry, even those mounted in arm- oured vehicles, to approach closer than 300 m to their own barrage was considered by most contributors to the debate to be ex- tremely unwise; normally, twooreven three times this distance is maintained as a safety zone during exercises, especially if rocket launchers are being used in the barrage. Consequently, the exact place of dismount- ing; the relative position of accompanying tanks: the effectiveness of fire support from BMPs in the last moments of the attack; the timing, accuracy and weight of the artillery strike, all assume critical proportions. Sever- al variations on tactics were suggested as solutions to aspects of the problem. A consensus of opinion was reached on some points, but by no means on all. A ruling was given on some issues in a closing article to the debate by Col. Gen. Merimskiy, Deputy Chief of Combat Training of the ground forces. The most authoritative and best support "solutions" can be summed up as follows: (A) -Actual distances for (1) deploying from pre-battle formation (company and platoon columns) into attack formation (line abreast) and (2) dismounting, can be expect- ed to vary with the ground, strength of defense etc, but they must be as close as practicable tothe forward edge of the enemy defense. Normally, in actual battle as op- posed to exercises, deployment into attack formation will be carried out no more than 1,000 m from the forward line of the enemy defenses, and infantry will dismount at between 400 and 300 m from the enemy lines. (B) - Infantry should always dismount from BMPs as close behind the tanks as possible (never in front of them), and ad- vance behind the tanks to the obstacle. When the tanks reach the forward edge of the defense the infantry should be as close to them as possible and no more than 200 m away, otherwise their small-arms fire will be ineffectual in protecting the tanks from the defenders' anti-tank weapons. (C) -Companies will never attack in more than one echelon and will not normally keep a reserve of any size. Battalions will often attack in one echelon. When attacking in two echelons, a battalion's accompanying tanks will usually all go into the first echelon. This will be particularly truewhen the battalion is operating in the second echelon of a unit or formation attack. (D) - Attacking sections of infantry should keep gaps of 50 m between them. Having dismounted their infantry, BMPs should follow at about 300-400 m and deliver fire support, firing at the short halt through the 50 m gaps between attacking sections, and concentrating their attention on enemy strong points. BMPs should fire over their infantry's heads only in hilly country; otherwise, morale will be adversely affected. The ideal assault formation is therefore to be as shown in Fig. 1. (E) -The commonly observed tendency is for all these distances to become greatly enlarged, and for the time gap between the lifting of the barrage and the attackers reaching the first trenches to widen drasti- cally. Such slipshod tactics, readers of "Voenn y Vestnik" were warned, will inevi- tably result in disaster. (F) - Asa general rule BMPs will not be used in the first echelon of an assault on a prepared defense when any suitable alterna- tive exists. The debate also touched on matters relat- ing to the organization of defensive posi- tions using BMPs. Suggestions that sub- units could deploy to defend wider sectors of the front than recommended in the existing manuals (up to 2 km width of front for a company was suggested), were dismissed with scorn, 1200 m being officially consid- ered as the maximum effective sector that a company could hope to defend. The "invert- ed arrowhead" is the preferred defensive deployment fora battalion, with two compa- nies in the first line and one positioned in depth, because this provides a "killing area" where the enemy can be engaged from the front and flanks simultaneously. Raiding tactics with the BMP Throughout the debate, all participants were in agreement as to the suitability of the BMP for certain types of combat operations where its speed and mobility could be a great advantage and where, since those operations envisaged no desperate assault on a strong defense, its vulnerability did not put it at a disadvantage. These are those operations in the depth of the enemy posi- tion which many contributors to the debate referred to under the general title of "raiding tactics" (reydovaya taktika). This was a phrase of which General Merimskiy disap- proved, but only because it blurred the distinction between the tactical ideas it blanketed. Of the idea itself of using the B M P in operations in the enemy's rear, Merimskiy heartily approved, indicating that not only should commanders think first of their BMP sub-units when choosing troops to carry out such tactics, but that, if they had sub-units available equipped with BMPs, command- ers should consider using such tactics on every possible occasion. The term "raiding tactics" covers the tactics of: (1) long-range recce groups: (2) raids proper ("reydy", involving a large group of reinforced battalion or even regimental size assigned a recce and des- truction mission, and designed to remain in the enemy rear indefinitely); (3) forward detachments (assigned a specific function in the depth of the enemy's position to facili- tate the advance of the main forces); or 44) outflanking detachments (aimed at out- flanking enemy defenses and hitting the defenders from flank and rear). The high speed and cross-country ability of a BMP- equipped unit is ideal for such tactics, where the attackers seek to avoid strong enemy defenses and to penetrate into his rear. This type of action can have an effect on the organization and morale of the enemy quite disproportionate to the effort involved in mounting it. Such tactics, the Soviets con- sider, are particularly applicable to the initial and pursuit phases of war, especially during an offensive when surprise has been achieved. In such an action the BMP unit, it is thought. is most likely to meet an enemy on the move rather than dug-in in defense. That enemy should then be engaged in an en- counter battle. and routed before he can establish himself in defense. The BMP, with its considerable fire power, is considered em'nently -ell suited to this type of battle. Two problems which were raised during the debate, and for which no convincing STAl~INT answers were proposed, were: how to deal with defended minefields, and how to en- sure tight co-ordination and control between tanks, infantry, engineers and artillery. The failure to come to grips with the enormous problem of co-ordination during the rapidly evolving situation usually met with during an encounter battle was particularly note- worthy. A further interesting assumption was that without effective artillery prepara- tion, a deliberate attack wasalmost bound to fail, no matter how good the drill. The ability of artillery to "deliver the goods" has, in fact, been questioned during other debates. Most contributors to the BMP debate favoured deploying all available artillery immediately in support of the first echelon, with the job of laying down fire on enemy strong points. All artillery in BMP units, and a good proportion of artillery in BMP- equipped formations, is armoured and self- propelled. The debate on the viability of towed artillery Whilst the debate on the tactics and viability of BMP units was in full swing, the second debate was launched with an article in "Voenniy Vestnik" of October 1975. In this article, concern was voiced about the viability of artillery10 units, and comment was invited. Subsequent articles were pub- lished from April 1976 onwards, i.e. after the conclusion of the BMP debate. The initiators of the debate, two artillery colonels (Nesterov and Ivanov), had taken their lead f rom a section of a book by Marshal Grechko, the then Minister of Defense, in which the Marshal drew attention to the lessons of the Yom Kippur War. This war, he said, had shown the extreme vulnerability of unprotected artillery batteries when firing in line from open positions. The assumption made in the BMP debate. that there would always be effective artillery preparation and support for an attack, was not seriously challenged initially, although the authors did point out that the viability of artillery was important not only to the gunners, but also to the motor-rifle and tank troops which they were expected to support. Approved For Release 2002/01/24: CIA-RDP83MOOl71 ROO1100040001-1 Approved For Release 2002/01/24: CIA-RDP83M001 TINTL The article identified as the potentially vulnerablefeaturesof Soviet artillery: (1) the lack of armoured protection for 50% of the batteries; (2) the inability, through shortage of time and equipment, to provide engineer protection (trenches. shelters, etc.) for gun crews, command and observation posts and assembly areas for prime movers; and (3) the state of training and psychological prep- aration of conscripts (the loss of its compara- tively small fully trained cadre could render a sub-unit ineffective). A particular threat, the article maintained, was posed by NATO's excellent observation and counter- battery (CB) capacity, particularly in view of the Soviets' normal practice of deploying batteries in a straight line, 200 m long. The authors consequently suggested that the six guns of a battery should be dispersed over a 600x300 m rectangle, and dummy and alternate positions be prepared for the purposes of deception and manoeuvre. Wide dispersal, already the norm for anti- tank guns and anti-tank guided missiles (ATGMs) firing direct did, however, cause problems of ballistic adjustments when fir- ing indirect. . The article concluded with further warn- ings about the effectiveness of enemy anti. artillery action, mentioning helicopter gun- ships and radio jamming; and the authors called for measures to ensure better co- ordination with AA troops, for better support from engineers for digging-in and camou- flage (especially for anti-tank weapons), and for more consideration to be given to im- proving "shoot and scoot" procedures for field batteries. It is interesting to compare this article with an earlier piece by one of the same r'.'ira~l Artillery barrage lust terminating on forward line of enemy defenses ' c?o~ ..ivcf Tanks on the enemy position (as small IF. distance as possible. and no more than 200 ml authors (Ivanov) on the same theme. Al- his article by stressing the great important though, in his previous article, he did identi- of artillery, stating that nowadays it i fy more or less the same range of threats to responsible for 80% of missions to destroy artillery batteries, his emphasis was com- the enemy by fire, asopposedtoonly70%in pletely different. The main concern he ex. World War 2. pressed in the earlier article, which ap- He laid great stress on ensuring the peered in "Voenniy Vestnik" of Nov. 1972, viability of artillery batteries by improving was with the threat posed by air strikes; and Soviet CS performance" especially against his suggestions at that time were limited to NATO self-propelled (SP) batteries. This he passive protection, camouflage and decep- identified as the foremost task for Soviet tion measures. artillery to master. He further emphasized The subsequent articles in the debate the need for effective deception, camou- threw a great deal of light on Soviet percep- flage, engineer preparation, and manoeuvre tions of their own vulnerabilities" and devel- ("shoot and scoot" tactics). He pointed out oped the colonels'suggestions (whichwere, that effective "shoot and scoot" tactics in general, very favourably received). The could, in some cases, obviate the need for most important points raised were as fol- complex dispersal, and permit the use of the lows: 80-85% of artillery crews in unar- much faster (but unprotected) deployment moured artillery units were unprotected, in line. He also considered desirable an and consequently dispersal (to confuse sound ranging and reduce the effect of CS fire) was to be encouraged. Moreover, as the enemy (i.e. NATO) would certainly locate a battery 2-3 minutes after it opened fire, would take 2-4 minutes to process this irformaticn, and would take a further 2-3 minutes to prepare his own guns, effective NATO counter-battery fire could be expected within 6-10 minutes of the opening of a Soviet bombardment. Consequently a bom- bardment of over 7 minutes' duration was considered too long for safety. Ideally, bat- teries should move at least a 5-minute bombardment" A widely dispersed battery was co sl - a o ANandcomputers soreadily available toNATO, enemy armoured attack from a flank, but to be an easier target for enemy diversionary raids. Dispersal, it was also stated, reduces speed of reaction, complicates control and reduces accuracy. The debate was concluded in October 1976 with an article by Lt. Gen. Anashkin, Chief of Artillery CombatTraining. He began Attacking infantry BMPs dismounting their infantry Fire support from amps BMPs advancing slowly (This is the ideal maximum distance from the enemy defenses for BMPS to be at the moment when the tanks actually arrive on the enemy position.) improvement in both speed of opening fire (to forestall the enemy), and in overall accuracy. In conclusion, this debate raised many fundamental points about the vulnerability of unarmoured artillery, and while many suggestions were proposed for improving the situation, none appeared which were radical or concrete. Reading between the lines, the principal problems seem to be: (1) the inability to break away from 70-year-old patterns and the adherence to linear deploy. ment. probably reinforced by a rather low standard of training; and (2) a general -an?~TATI NT much lamented -lack of the mechanizti f~ This debate is of particular interest, because improvement in the efficacy of modern Soviet artillery practice has received con. stant attention in the Soviet military press for some years, although not in the form of a debate. The articles referring to artillery practice have shown a constant preoccupa. tion with Soviet ability to maintain contin- uous effective fire on the enemy during an offensive. A good example of this is the report of an artillery officers' conference that appeared in "Voenniy Vestnik" in Novem. ber 1975 (p. 82) under the title "The uninter. rupted delivery of effective force". The papers presented at the conference dealt with improving long-range accuracy; firing on moving vehicle columns in the enemy rear; counter battery bombardment; firing for effect against enemy anti-tank weapons; the suppression of platoon strong points: the improvement of artillery recon. naissance; the problems of integrating artil- lery into combined-arms groupings; and increasing the competence of officers and gunners. Other topics raised by speakers were fire planning and party political work. The editors of the Journal called for readers' comments and the topics raised were covered in subsequent articles. However, it was not really until the discussion on the high-speed offensive was initiated that debate on the subject became heated. Commencing in April 1976, and running in the pages of "Voenniy Vestnik? at the same time as the debate on the viability of artillery, wasa rather more impressive series of articles discussing troop control. The bones of the problem were laid out in an authoritative article by Col. Gen. Grinke? vich. Chief of Staff of the Group of Soviet Forces in Germany (GSFG). The points he raised, and on which he invited critical comment, were as follows: .................... Approved For Release 2002/01/24: CIA-RDP83M00171R001100040001-1 Approved For Release 2002/01/24: CIA-RDP83M00171R001100040001-1 requires a corresponding increase in the effective Mess oft; oop control, otherwise the benefit of these weapons will be lost. The increase in troop mobility and the effectiveness of weapons will result in fre- quent, rapid and radical changes in battle situations, ina vast increase in the amount of intelligence to be collected and processed, and in a drastic reduction in the amount of time available to make any assessment and to implement any decision. In other words, commanders and staffs will have to do a lot more work in a lot less time. Those phases of the battle at which Grinkevich considered effective control to be positively crucial were: ? the time and place of the introduction of a second echelon or a reserve; ? the co-ordination of fire and manoeuvre; ? the switching of pressure from one axis to another; and ? co-ordina- tion and cooperationwith adjacent unitsand formations. k i h nti- l G i G d n ev troop contro r c co oo .ued, presumes the following qualities: ____________________uick ) - firmness; i.e. the ability to come to a decision and see it through with etermination and toughness. 2) - flexibility; i.e. a capacity for quick eaction to rapidly changing circumstances. (3)-security; i.e. the taking of all measures designed to prevent the enemy from predict- ing one's intentions. (4) -continuity; i.e. the waging of combat without respite, which only uninterrupted control would ensure. Good troop control further requires: (a) a good standard of training of all sub-units, and good morale and political preparation so that the officers and men respond instantly to any order; and (b) a very high degree of knowledge and skill on the part of the commanders and staff so that they can reach correct decisions rapidly and implement them effectively. -4 Amphibious 122 mm SP howitzers swimming a river during Exercise Karpary in July 1977. Deployment of these SP weapons permits dose support artillery to keep up with the fast-mov- ing advance. provides a degree of protection to the crew. and also enables? ..shoot and scoot.. manoeuvres to avoid being hit by NATO counter-battery ICa) fire. Soviets plan on NATO Ca fire starting to arrive on target within 6-10 minutes of the opening of a Soviet bombardment. technical mains' of control and communica- tion available. and the frequency with which those means of communication actually available were misused. The effect of these failings is to make the whole control procedure too slow. Too much time is spent trying to reach a decision; and too much time is spent in the drawing up and conveyance of orders. Furthermore, orders are often imprecise and confusing, said the General. To improve things, Grinkevich stated. several things were to be done. First, there must be warning orders and operational instructions, and the method of parallel work (i.e. conveying orders at "O" groups, etc.) down two or more links of the chain of command at a time must replace the tradi- tional long-winded orders procedure. Secondly, there should be specific training for staff officers in specialized skills. Moreover, a general increase in the staff officers' overall professional skill was over- due. Thirdly, an increase in the use of "automatic" systems of control (this last the General considered essential). The term "automatic systems" covers everything to suit individual circumstances, t we a certain slant. and calculating equipment and even b to seeking for ways of electronic computers. lity of control and its One can conclude from Grinkevi y action. One popular cle, therefore, that the efficiency o troop su I plit the battalion head- control has not kept pace with the increasing quarters into a Command Post (CP) and a volume and sophistication of equipment. Staff HQ in the fashion of higher command The prime need is for an increase in the and control procedure. The Battalion Com- speed and effectiveness of troop control in mander would travel and command from a order to gain time, so as to forestall the position well forward in the vanguard, whilst enemy in deployment. manoeuvre, and in the Chief of Staff would stay in the second the delivering of attacks. echelon and maintain communications with The exposition of the control problem was higher control. In event of the commander's continued in the next article by Maj. Gen. demise, the Chief of Staff would take com- Tovstukha, who reiterated Grinkevich's mand. In event of his death, command points about more work in less time; and should pass to company commanders in about the need to improve the level of designated order of succession' t, unless a training of staff officers. both in terms of senior commander orders otherwise. their general ability and in terms of the In this context, the chief threat to the specific skills required in staff jobs. viability of control was clearly perceived to The main failings in the Soviet army at He considered that a high quality of staff be nuclear weapons. The assessment of the present Grinkevich identified as: an all-too- work requires: (1) a good knowledge of average reduction in effectiveness of the frequent low standard of personal profes- military art; (2) good organization and docu- surviving personnel (due to injury orpsycho- sional preparation and staff work; a lack of mentation; (3) the effective use of the most logical stress)tobeexpected inasub-unit hit knowledge about the performance of new modern calculation and control equipment; by a nuclear strike, is as follows: Approved For Release 2002/01/24: CIA-RDP83MOOl71 R001100040001-1 (4) the rapid issue of orders: (5) the ability to conceal control measures and to deceive the enemy; (6) a continuous checking of all subordinate officers' actions by the com- mander, so as to eliminate inconsistency and error. To achieve all this in an ever shorter time, the perfect staff officer needs: an ability to phrase commands well; a great deal of personal presence (strong will power, tact, an absence of coarseness, etc): and the ability to keep a good, neat operational map. Long hours of private study, the author went on, may well be necessary to achieve this level of expertise and ability. The idea, concluded Tovstukha, that in a highly fluid battle, maps and documents are unneces- sary or superfluous is wrong. We have covered the opening articles in this debate in such detail because they amount to quite a strong complaint about the lack of expertise on the part of staff batta- at sub-unit (i e articularl officers . y . p ,lion) level. The suggestion in the third article in this series. that large amounts of private study plus command post exercises (orga- nized, of course, in the officers' spare time) would help imp-ove skills must have been greeted with dismay by young officers, who are already very hard-worked. One cannot but pose the question, why did these officers not learn how to mark a map properly during their 3or4yearsata Military College?Partof the answer could be that an increasing number of young officers are being drafted from university, when they hin ve com- pleted areserveofficertrainingcourse,for 1- 3 years' compulsory service. However, this is unlikely to be a fully satisfactory explana- STA I NT tion. Retaining control in battle Later articles harped on the need for improving the procedures for transmission of orders and suggested various detailed improvements such as the issue of standar- dized proformae, reducing documentation. and the training of all signallers to operate HF morse in order to beat enemy jamming. An alarmist note was injected by an officer who pointed out that a command post and a main headquarters would be a priority enemy targe. nd that commanders and Approved For Release 2002/01/24: CIA-RDP83M00171R001100040001-1 1-As to why this should be the case. see P.H. Vigor: "The Soviet View of War. Peace and Neutrality"-R.K.P. 1975. 2-The Soviet term "tactical" Itakticheskii) describes military activity up to divisional level; the term "operational" loperativnyi) denotes action by an army or front (army group). Above that level, the term "strategic'* (strategicheskii) is applied. 3-For example: Ya. E Savkin: "Osnovnyye pnmsipy operativnogo isskustva i taktiki" -Moscow. Voyenizdat. 1972. Translated by USAF as "The basic principles of operational an and tactics". 4-Compare, for example. Messrs Lou. Garbuz & Sazonov; "Motostrelkovii batal'on v sovremennom boyu" (The motor rifle battalion in modem battlel-Moscow. Voyentzdat. 1965; and the same authors ' "Motostrelkovii betal'on v boys" (The motor rifle battalion in battle) - Moscow, Voyenizdat, 1972. 5-See Pravda, 19.2.78. p.2. An article by Marshal Ogarkov entitled "Soviet Military Science", in which he outlines the role both of historical research and of the military press in helping to develop military an and extend the Soviet officers knowledge, 6- As the debates have concentrated on pertomance at sub-unit level, the chosen forum has, logically, been the monthly magazine "Voenniy Vestntk" (Military Herald). although related anicfes have appeared in many other Soviet military periodicals. 7- It is perhaps worth noting here that the Russian language has no native Slav word for "initiative". The modem 8-As a general rule. at unit(regimentap level and* bove it issta rd Soviet pb eto mount an attack in two waves, or echelons. The task of the first echelon, which usually compri stwo-thirds of evadable teeth arms and most of the engineer or fire support, is to smash a hole in the first line of.. mydef es. The teak of thesecond echelon is to exploit any success achieved and rush through any Drsach formed, pe rstinges deeply sodas rapidly as possible into the enemy position so as to cause maximum disruption and confusion among the enemy. At battalion level. attacks may be mounted in either one ortwo echelons. At unit and formation level, snacks in one echelon (with a small reserve) will be preferred when the enemy can be surprised. pre-empted or when his defense is weak or in no great depth. Suitability of ground is also important. 9- Recent Soviet studies have s hown that only one infantryman in six can hit a moving target when firing his AKM or PKM from inside a MP. 10- It is important to appreciate that. in this context, the Soviet concept of artillery in?: fudes mortars and multiple rocket launchers. 11-Since this point was raised. it is presumably nor standard procedure at the moment to hand down command on a pre-designated chain. 12-This was stated by Gen. Alexander Haig (SACEUR) in a recent speech at The Royal United Services Institution. London. 13 - The Taman Guards Motor Rifle Division is an elite formation, known especially for its young and energetic command cadre. It was at a Taman Guards Division barracks that the new T.72 battle tank was first displayed to western (French) visitors in October 1977 (see photos first published in IDR No. 6/ 1977 pp. 1031.1034). 14- In Soviet usage. suppression (podavlemyel means the infliction of 25% casualties on enemy personnel and equipment. so that he is incapable of action during the period of bombardment and fora short time after it has ceased. Destruction (unichtozhemel means the infliction of over 60% casualties. and the consequent inability of the enemy to recover for a long time after the attack. 15-150 rounds of 122 mm shells are required-the Soviets calculate-to suppress one hectare of target area. hastily prepared for defense. A NATO platoon defensive position is said. by the Russians. to cover 4 hectares. 16 - The Rogachev Guards Motor Rifle Division is the elite formation of the Belorussian Military District, and participated in the Berezina manoeuvres in early 1978. 17-Voenno Istoncheskiy Zhurnat. No. 6.1976. at moment of burst-down to 20% effective- ness 30 minutes after burst - rise to 75% 24 hours after burst -down again to 40% 48 hours after burst - rise again to 60% 10 days after burst - rise to 80% In order to recover control of a severely damaged sub-unit (particularly one hit by a nuclearweapon), when the Commander and Chief of Staff are both dead, some officers considered it essential that the senior com- mander (regimental or divisional) should take charge. In event of there being enough survivors, he would make an all-stations call on the sub-unit net to appoint a new com- mander and C of S. If the sub-unit were too badly shattered, its components would be regrouped and amalgamated with other sub-units. This latter procedure, it was said, is henceforth to be considered the standard procedure fora sub-unit suffering a direct hit by a nuclear weapon. Its chief, but unavoid- able, disadvantage is the time it takes to accomplish. Good drills, good camouflage, a good spread of battle information amongst all officers, and a chain for devolution of command in emergency will help to lessen the chaos. Final articles in the debate hammered ome t he points about the need for improve. ment in individual skills, the need for more specific staff training; and the glaring lack of computers to aid in the processing of infor- mation. Logistical failings Though it was chiefly conducted in the pages of "Voenniy Vestnik". the debate naturally spilled over into other areas, receiving some attention in "Tyle i Snabzhe- nie", ("Rear and Supply") the journal of the logistics service. Here, the speed and effec- tiveness of control is just as topical a subject, and it emerged that the problems are identi- cal with those met in the teeth arms. The most frequent and serious failing of rear service staffs was their failure to deliver fuel on time, thus delaying the advance or pursuit. Their lack of staff skills, poor train- ing in command procedures, unfamiliarity with new kit, a lack of computers and so on were held to be the cause of this failing. The debate was rounded off in December 1976 by a veryweakfinal article by Col. Gen. Yakushin, Chief of the Main Staff and First Deputy Commander of the Ground Forces. He lent his weight to the calls for a speeding up of the procedure of transmitting orders; for the training of staff officers in individual specialities; for the establishing of standard proforma blanks for orders, etc; for the introduction of computers and automation, and for a general increase in an officer's all- round education. In a word, he said, troop control is too clumsy and too slow by far. It is almost an error for the editors of "Voenniy Vestnik" to call this discussion a debate; for, unlike the BMP tactical prob- lem, the contributors found very little to debate, but much to criticise. They were in general agreement both in what was wrong and in what needed to be done; and most seemed aware at the time of their writing that the gap between what was seen to be necessary and what could actually be achieved was a wide one, and that reducing this gap would not be easy. The root of the Soviet problem Our comment, reading between the lines. is that one of the main problems-is the Russians' tendency to sit and do nothing until an order is given. Making preparations in anticipation of an order so as to speed up its implementation is just not generally done. Routine overwork of junior officers. long a feature of Soviet Army life, naturally reduces their ability and inclination to ex- pand their professional knowledge by spare time work. Moreover, the system effectively prevents time off for study during working hours, because it burdens the officer with so many petty responsibilities. The problem of initiative is a thorny one; but a traditionalr,TATI N lack of it in Soviet life at any level other them the very top certainly increases adherence to stereotype and to rules, and increases dependence on contact with a senior com- mander. Furthermore, the cry comes through very clearly that, if nuclear weapons are used effectively by the enemy, then there is little cha nce that an offensive will succeed. This is because, even i; the defenders are similarly reduced by Soviet nuclear strikes, the prob- lems of recovering control and continuing the offensive in a purposeful manner are almost insuperable. If one calculates on the scale of one NATO nuclear warhead for each Soviet all-arms battalion group, then 15 warheads will wipe out a division, and 500. accurately delivered, should be ample to account for the whole of GSFG. As NATO is reputed to have over 7,000 warheads in Europe, it is not surprising that "destruction of the enemy's means of nuclear delivery" is always the first priority for any Soviet com- bat unit, be it an artillery battery or a sabotage squad in the enemy rear. It was the Soviet Army's realization of this factor that to a large extent determined the topic and course of the next debate. The debate on the high-speed offensive This debate has been the most general and wide-ranging one to date, and it has covered much of the ground dealt with in earlier debates. Its particular interest. however, lies in its approach, which is to force Soviet officers to assess their tactics, their use of artillery, and their control proce- dures from the point of view of an ability to sustain a high-speed offensive rather than simply to survive an enemy attack. The aim of the game, in other words, is to win the war quickly; and the aims of this debate, proba- bly the most important one so far, were first to impress upon commanders and staff that a high speed of advance is their first priority and, secondly, to seek ways of perfecting performance so that the high speed of advance can be not only guaranteed, but actually increased. If war breaks out in Europe, NATO is committed to fighting a conventional delay- ing battle for several days before the use of nuclear weapons will be condoned' 2. The faster the Soviet Forces can advance into NATO territory, therefore, the more likely is a rapid political collapse and the less likely is the esca lation to nuclear war. Even if nuclear release is given to NATO troops at an early stage, a rapid Soviet advance will bring Soviet forces into the heart of Western Europe and into close proximity with NATO forces or centres of population, thus making the effective use of nuclear weapons muci more difficult, :::: ~1 Approved For Release 2002/01/24: CIA-RDP83M00171R001100040001-1 Approved For Release 2002/01/24: CIA-RDP83MOO171ROO11000 TINTL ATINTL It is in the light of this concept that Colonel (now Major General) Lobachev, commander of the Taman Guards Motor Rifle Division' 3. penned his article "High Speed of Advance is an Indispensible Condition of Victory" for the February 1977 issue of "Voenniy Vest- nik". The pace of the advance. said Lobachev, is crucial; and raising the tempo of an offensive is the critical problem facing today's commander. The h ig her the speed of advance, the more the enemy is thrown off balance, losing his freedom of manoeuvre and his ability to deploy his troops and weapons. especially NBC weapons, to good effect. The faster the advance, the lower the daily casualty rate and the lower the daily consumption of fuel and supplies. The aim of a breakthrough into the enemy rear is to achieve the main object of an offensive-thS complete rout of the enemy and his rapid' political collapse. Lobachev drew an exam- ple from World War 2 to support his conten- tion (which every subsequent contributor to the debate has upheld without question), r.-.entioni -g massive concentration and the achievement of overwhelming superiority on narrow sectors as being one of the best means of achieving a rapid rate of advance at that time. He also mentioned the importance of good reconnaissance; of effective artillery suppression; of the use of large numbers of tanks in direct support of infantry; of the timely deployment of second-echelon for- mations; of the use of predominantly tank forces to exploit breaches in the defense; and of the prompt and adequate supply of fuel and ammunition, as being important factors in ensuring the success of such a rapid advance. It later became clear that these examples were chosen because of their special relevance to warfare in the 1970s. Lobachev went onto stress the suitability and adequacy of modern forces to fight such warfare; but he declared that without good control, the best superiority can be wasted. Secondly, he stressed the importance of good intelligence, of close cooperation of all arms, and of quickand effective manoeuvre. Thirdly, he stressed the need for the effec- tive suppression of defenders' weapons, especially anti-tank weapons, and for the destruction of attacking enemy aircraft, without which suppression, he said, "the high-speed offensive is unthinkable." Signi- ficantly, he considered nuclear weapons to be the best means of accomplishing this suppression. Fourthly, he stressed that deci- siveness and initiative are needed by all commanders, to enable them to react to the rapidly changing battle situation. And final- ly, Lobachev underlined the need for good political preparation of personnel, to inspire in them the desire to learn and the will to fight. The problem having been laid bare in the by now usual fashion, contributors weighed in at a brisk pace, either to expand on points raised by Lobachev or to air their own foremost worries or pet ideas. In the discussion of control, one of the points of interest noted by this commentator was the increasing tendency for battalions- even those in fully equipped formations-to be commanded by captains, with a senior lieutenant as Chief of Staff. It would be interesting to know whether the youth of these battalion officers can explain the low level of staff skills that was the cause of so much bitterness in the ution was as fo troops. to the attack i of contributors was the 21a suppr s mortar) fire delivered during the move up, large percentage (fro 40 to ove 60 but before the troops deploy for the attack. was suggested) of the emy's weapons - Its aim is to destroy enemy nuclear delivery (especially anti-tank weapons) before the means and artillery (including anti-tank), attack could expect tosucceed. An attacking CPs, radar and communications, manpower Soviet reinforced battalion group,thecontri- and other weapons (presumably in that butors maintained, would be likely to face a order of priority). Preparation should inflict mortars, plus tanks, radars. etc. To effect the sure destruction of 50% of this before the attack can expect to succeed will require a lot of effort. A modern NATO defense, said one contributor,. has indeed 10 times as many effective anti-tank weapons than had the Wehrmacht in 1944-45; and whereas, dur- ing World War 2, it took between 2 and 3 minutes (i.e. 8-10 aimed shots on average) to destroy one attacking tank, nowadays 30 seconds will suffice, and the second shot is usually enough. An anti-tank guided missile system is considered by the Russians to be just as effective an anti-tank weapon as another tank, Nor can artillery be expected to accom- plish the task of suppression alone. A large percentage of the space allotted to the debate was given over to a discussion as to such losses throughout the entire depth of the defense that the enemy can no longer offer organized resistance to the attacker, and the high speed of offensive is thus ensured. This means, in modern terms, destroying at least 40% of all enemy resources. Careful and imaginative choice of fire plans and types of shell. and careful adjustment on to the target, can do a great deal to improve the effectiveness of artillery preparation. The standard drill is for 3 heavy bursts of aimed fire or successive concentra- tions of fire to be laid on strong-point targets over a short period. The final bombardment should last long enough to cover the attack- ers' progress from the time they come within affective range of enemy anti-tank weapons to the time they deploy to attack (normally about 4-6 minutes for BMP units). why artillery could not easily ensure the ? Support (Podderzhka) is the term given to complete suppression of the defense, and artillery fire which takes place during the how things might be improved. The artil-n assault. with the aim of assisting the troops specs was unusually frank, and probably hides considerable inter-arm bickering. One of the main causes of all these problems is the increasing speed of the battle. Even assuming that the guns accom- panying the tank and BMP units deploy quickly and fire on target at the right time (which is itself not easy to ensure), the time taken for the BMPs to move forward and advance to within 400 m of the enemy defenses is so short that there is not enough time to get off sufficient shells to ensure that the defense is effectively neutralized' a.] Secondly, if a bombardment lasts for 1 minutes or so, enemy CB fire will put th doubling the normal rate of fire. Other: suggested a manoeuvre of batteries, and ye others that a more extensive use of mortar: might be the answer. A great deal of practi cal advice on patterns of fire to adopt fo Maj. Gen. Biryukov, Professor and Doctoro Sciences, in "Voenniy Vestnik" of Mal 1977. All contributors were agreed on the need to exploit fire very quickly indeed (2 minutes delay was considered the max- imum permissible) and increasing reference to rapid exploitation of nuclear strikes was a noticeable feature of many articles. Some suggestions were made as to how, by more effective prediction and correction, accura- cycould be improved to the theoretical ideal of 1 % of the range. The artillery "debate within a debate", which had become extremely intense and technical, was curtailed by a most compe- tent and thorough article by Marshal Pere- delskiy, C-in-C Rocket Troops and Artillery, in the June 1977 of "Voenniy Vestnik". He identified and defined the 3 classic phases of artillery assistance totheattackand detailed the special problems that had to be solved for each phase Approved For Release 2002/01/ successful breakthrough of the enemy defense. Support. therefore, involves firing on targets offering resistance to the attack- ers, and moving the points of aim ahead of the attacking troops. There are two critical points, the first of which is the changeover from Preparation to Support. If it is discern- able, it will warn the enemy of the im- minence of the assault. The second critical point is the moving of fire to targets in the depths of the defense ahead of the troops. Close and strict cooperation is essential if the support is to be effective, and not a danger to one's own troops. During actual battle, tanks should approach to within 200 m of shell burst, BMPs to 300, and infantry on foot to 400 m, before the bombardment lifts. ? Accompaniment (Soprovozhdenie) is the third phase, when individual guns or artil- lery units follow closely behind tanks and infantry into the depths of the enemy posi- tion in order to render effective support. This is a task eminently suited to the new 122 mm and 152 mm SP guns but by no means denied to towed pieces. The tasks in this phase are to assist the attackers to capture or destroy enemy positions, to help beat off counter-attacks, and to seek and destroy any targets of opportunity, usually by means of direct fire. Authoritative though Peredelskiy's arti- cle may have been, it clearly was not heeded by as many Soviet gunners as it should have been, because it was considered necessary to restate the definitions at a high-level artillery conference held in the Frunze Mili- tary Academy and reported in April 1978 in "Voenniy Vestnik". The aim of this confer- encewasto seek ways of developing artillery theory so as to improve the Soviet gunners' ability to deliver effective fire on the enemy STAlINT STATIN Approved For Release 2002/01/24: CIA-RDP83M00171R001100040001-1 mentioned above. He has emerged as one of the most authoritarian Soviet artillery tacti- cians of recent years. From Ivanov's report on the conference, it is clear that Soviet gunners are still not satisfied with their performance, and are still a long way from completing theirthorough revision of Soviet artillery practice. We must expect further discussion on this point, with particular eference to the employment of self-pro- lied artillery. Ither contributions To return to the debate on the high-speed {fensive, more than one contributor men- oned the value of manoeuvre, so as to ypass strong-points and attack the nemy's flank and rear. Strong-points thus ypassed were to be reduced by subsequent chelons. Frontal attack was to be consid- red as a last resort. However, whilst many ontributors admitted the truth and value of his ideal, few paid serious attention to the eans of implementing it. In the '"Manyovr, gon', Udar" trinity (manoeuvre, fire, shock action), which is often quoted as summing up the essence of Soviet tactics, "Manoeuvre" is definitely the junior pan- net. Deception and surprise were other favou- rite solutions to the problem of finding some way of guaranteeing a high rate of advance. Smoke was a favoured tactic, laid either by armoured vehicles, artillery or engineers and chemical troops. The advantage of reducing visibility, and hence reducing the effectiveness of the enemy's long-range ATGMs and tank guns, was obvious to everybody, although engineers warned that it might give cover to the enemy to enable him to retire, leaving minefields behind. Comparatively little space was given to a study of engineer support to the advance, and the sapper colonel who did contribute spent a large portion of his allotted space in describing the horrors of NATO's offensive mine warfare capability, and the havoc that this could wreak on an attacker who was not provided with copious quantities of en- gineers possessing masses of the most up- to-date equipment. He did devote some space to a rather unconvincing description of how his men actually proposed to clear mines and speed up the rate of advance. Late contributions to the debate were: a suggestion (by a tank man) that putting a few infantrymen onto each tank to suppress the defenders" close-range anti-tank wea- pons was a good idea; and a plea not to forget the dangers of enemy anti-tank heli- copters. In this latter contribution, the au- thor identified the main problem in anti- helicopter defense as being fire control. The observed tendency is apparently for every anti-aircraft gunner, infantryman and SA-7 operator to fire ad lib at even a single helicopter, with a consequent massive (and irreplaceable) waste of ammunition. The debate was rounded off with an rticle by Colonel General Salmanov. Depu- discussion and exchange of ideas. He was particularly pleased that the debate had sparked off officers' conference and practi- cal exercises to examine the topic further, the commanders and staff of the Rogachev Guards Motor Rifle Division's being espe- cially commended for their performance in this respect. -Soviet regimental cwn- wanders traditionally com- mand from dug-in forward observation posts. together with the commander of their subordinate artillery bat- tery. This photo, published here for the first time, shows the new ACRV-2 mobile command post/observation post. which provides the regimental and battery com- manders with the armour protection and mobility necessary to keep up with a high-speed offensive. Note numerous observation periscopes on unarmed tur- ret, and what appears to be e housing for an electro-opti- Cal device on turret right side. Salmanov was particularly concerned with the performance of battalion com- manders and staff. "It is on their high ability that the successful implementation of the senior commander's intention depends to a considerable extent," he said; and he recommended strict attention tothe training of personnel in efficient battle and control procedures and in the best use of available equipment. He was particularly keen to press home the point that there would be less and less time available for the solution of ever complex problems as the rate of the offensive mounted. Salmanov's main criticisms were direct- ed at encouraging officers to devote atten- tion to topics which he considered had been neglected. Manoeuvre of fire was one; the study of deception and of enemy tactics was another, particularly in respect of interpret- ing enemy actions and predicting his next moves. Most important of all, he said, there had been far too little attention paid to morale and the importance of party work. It was essential in all war, and especially in nuclear war, Salmanov stressed, to incul- cate a moral and aggressive enthusiasm in the men. A great deal of psychological preparation was needed to give the men faith in their own ability and in the perfor- mance of theirweaponsand equipment (and much of the preceding debate had done the opposite of this). Much more danger and realism should be injected into training to prepare the men for the actualities of the battlefield. "Frequently in the last war [WW2],"'the General said, "an attack halted because at the crucial moment of the battle, attempts to overcome fearamongst the men failed." A strikingly frank and sobering comment with which to round off a debate! Echoes of the debates listed above found their way into the pages of "Red Star" and the Soviet Journal of Military History. Partic- ularly relevant was the article by Army General Radzievskiiy (then Commandant of the Frunze Military Academy) on ways to ensure troop viability in offensive opera- tions, based on his study of World War 2 operations". On the whole, the debates were remarkable for the frankness with which problems and failures were dis- cussed, and they were marked bye distinct lack of ideological claptrap. One of their most impressive features is the evidence they present that the Soviet officer corps is taking the identification and solution of its tactical problems very seriously indeed. The debates constitute a continual attempt to refine and perfect a constantly evolving tactical doctrine so as to provide the best instructional framework forthe training and operation of the Soviet Army. It can be seen from the tone of many of the articles appear. ing in the debates that, whilst the natural Soviet tendency toenforce the application of the -hook answer" is very strong indeed, it is by no means in all cases overpowering; and, moreover, interpretation of what the "book answer" really is differs widely from unit to unit or college to college, often affected by the whim of the unit or college commander. Consequently, it would beas unwise to assume that any final authorita- tive solution to a tactical problem will urn questioningly or unerringly be applied at all times and on every relevant occasion, as n would be to assume that because a sub-unit officer may lack competence or initiative.a divisional or unit commander will likewise demonstrate such faults. Another point which struck the present writer forcibly was that, after a full seven years during which the emphasis in tactical discussions has been heavily on convert tional operations, a renewed impetus was given in many of the articles during the las debate to the study of the offensive use arc effect of tactical nuclear weapons. This mat be simply a reassertion of what is considere to be a realistic balance in training, in views the ever-present threat of nuclear weapons even in a conventional war. On the nthe hand it may reflect a determination to us nuclear weapons if necessary, and a belie that their use could be restricted to th battlefield (i.e. that the war may not new sarily escalate to a use of strategic nuclei weapons). The acquiring of new, h:gN accurate, nuclear artillery by the Sow army, and the determination with whir Soviet politicians are attempting to prever the neutron warhead and nuclear-arme versions of the cruise missile from fallin into European hands might be taken a supporting this point of view. From the very serious attention given' NATO defense, and the great strength it puted to it, it is certain that in future wars' which nuclear wea pons are not used, fa r le formidable defensive positions than we necessary in WW2 will be sufficient , compel the Soviet Ground Forces to eng% ina massive concentration of effort in ore to maintain the tempo of their offensive, or hence win the war very quickly. Put anoth way, this Soviet realization of the potent strength of a modern prepared defense mr make pre-emptive surprise attack ever ms attractive to every Soviet soldier, from c poral to Commander-in-Chief. To quote r most common "cry" voiced by contribute to the last debate. "you forestall -you all!" Approved For Release 2002/01/24: CIA-RDP83M00l71 R001100040001-1