NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE SITUATION REPORT KOREA

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: Library of Congress
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): LOC-HAK-552-7-9-2
• Release Decision: RIPLIM
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 7
• Document Creation Date: January 11, 2017
• Document Release Date: August 30, 2010
• Sequence Number: 9
• Publication Date: August 23, 1976
• Content Type: REPORT

No Objection to Declassification in Part 2012/08/28: LOC-HAK-552-7-9-2
P. t
-A 4S ?
USAF, DIA,
NAVY, JCS,
NSA reviews
x3 august 1976
:., National Intelligence Situati
" K O R E A
S~~~trta tr _ ~ '
:'dare norma i status.
r, Report
There has been'rto North Korean mili ary reaction to
the tree-curt i ttrl operation and, a l thouahl still on alert,
ithere are signs that the armed force : arjj returning o a
A private message to the US fe,i;,n' Ki , i1?zs_"rte 3ric4#cat s
his destrc: to defuse, the currcnt erri sis. So~itit +.'i',Yr rt
Nortn, including retention in the region of the US milit.4ry.
force augmentation. '
'leaders appear satisfied ;pit:: the de :otls .ratio, : of US
??f.irjaness, but want Washington to maintai:: pressure on 'the
At this point, the North {iorea tis may feel that they
have achieved so, .iie political Oit.- r b Hi.~' 1,0 by dr tna, ..t,~, %' t:r~.
world the issue of the US military prese.,ce In Ktrl'eu.
#3:!'rtaver, this has been a : the price of a}ptibl is 5. cI'dow
in the confrontation. In this regnra, i' onr'.Will
probably calculate with Increased cure b fore ;r,derta%irg
any new military provocatio"ins.. I
til1tary Si :(tction
There- has been no North Korean -ti li at~ - reactie~t to
the tree-clearin') o eralion,
t.evrer?th l ors, =art ?'.:t;f-st 22
press article stated that armed forces re in full cocrt;lat
readiness." the alert publicly announce( by i'yo:tgyang
on August 19 will probably rel:ain in eft` cf. until :;or - h
Korea Is convinced that tV',e threat of military action by
Op US and its South Korean ally has abated. For propa%am a
purposes, Pyen yang. way continue to main" a in tt "palter a i ere"
long after the armed forces have resuaaed routine O erz.tit ns.
No Objection to Declassification in Part 2012/08/28: LOC-HAK-552-7-9-2
 No Objection to Declassification in Part 2012/08/28: LOC-HAK-552-7-9-2
No Objection to Declassification in Part 2012/08/28: LOC-HAK-552-7-9-2
 No Objection to Declassification in Part 2012/08/28: LOC-HAK-552-7-9-2
C,111,1~11 , 00 F,
? ?d 4~arGc'?remain on incrcaz ied 41cr Joint
A71'rc
Security Area operatii3n , have assucaed a more r,;:rma1
Posture, and t1he i::crementa1 ;~ll~scailotan f Rte ?eew cuttF''`=
operation is underv.ray. accan IS na by L IS and
'
South Korean fighters, conovctc:d teal ni r??; c i i:s i Ons over
the South Korean lr:-.ndnass on r,uclust 21, 122 at.t '3. The
? F94 and F-111 aircraft, which deployed o South Korea on
August 19 and 2O, respectively, reriain here. The carrier
;r+t"y of
n in the ~ir
i
?
.
;.cr
I4ID!AY t.ask group arrived on sta
it 't 15' 4 2!`?
the southern approaches to thie :orea St a
22. ,.
on August
'0lZt:ici,l Si- 1"111Csn
The r~ioSt significant iior?th Korean pbliticz i :?csp si :.
since the August 21 tree-c1carif9 operat on is the deli'; rY,
41
three arid a half hours later at Panr,iun;O i1, o7 is priva"
aressa.ge. flour President Kim 11--sung to the
Commander. Uili iv:.' ':-3 l:iorss
The rli'ssact1`.d Conveyed or ily zr'i!: ?r'i?.atel
I
by the senior Hurd., ?~.. entatiVe on, t,,,: ;licit::,,,
t:i: l.arwr+ r r.~rCS ;
Armistice: Commission to his 'J;l Coi.imafd cunlt?rport.
This is the official English record of Choir Converr~itbQn:
No Objection to Declassification in Part 2012/08/28: LOC-HAK-552-7-9-2
 No Objection to Declassification in Part 2012/08/28: LOC-HAK-552-7-9-2
I t
3EGIN QUOTE:
? KPA First Statement I have been ins :ructed 5y
the Supreme. Comma ncier of the Korean t' !opi es s ttr r+.ry
sa.e ,a?~( ~C t `o the Comma
to convey his ?i, s m .. nde i n ~?hief
of the United Nations. Command side. !W-Itution:
I t was a good thing that no big i ncl d ,Tit currz~d
at Panmunjom for a long period. Howe cry it is
r regretful that an incident occur red i thse oint
Security Area, Pan murtjom, this time. I'An effort must be rude so that such incidents iiy not recur
in the future. For this purpose boti:s s d s. ?hoti3d
make efforts. ile urge your s, to to prr~'vc ?ut she..
provocation. Our side will never provone first,
but take scar-derensive ::oasures only when
provocation occurs. This is our consistent, s t arnd.
End of Quotation. I hope that you c nvey this
inessag?e to your side's Cos,..mandc_r-.i n-- hi f at the
quickest possible true.'
UUUC First Statement: The Supreisid Cor.?-nander P A
wessage to C ommia.nder?-i a-Chi et , Unites Nat-ions ens
Command, will be delivered by ,ne,to I, CU C in
accordance with your desires. .
KPA Second Statement: I have one thi n;i tc * arid. yy
This morning your side again r.ortnitt-d pr+~'j-a:.iCtJ
by bringing hundreds of compiLtely aimed personnel
in the' JSA without any advance no'ti- cation.
Such incidents on your part wi girt cad $e such
one that occurred-on the 18th. 1 s : onctly demand
that your side commit- no such provoc tions.
W C Second Statement: May I have a .opy of the
Supreme Coi::+:iander's message to CI,UCtt' C?
t~PA Third Statement: At present I Iva no copy.
I*now await your reply to iuy last striati"Pierit. .
. ;y r`
`[` )p r CI1 11"J"11
No Objection to Declassification in Part 2012/08/28: LOC-HAK-552-7-9-2
 No Objection to Declassification in Part 2012/08/28: LOC-HAK-552-7-9-2
t r
.*.,
rSODS;cR ,`~S>(~x1:
UNNC Third Statement: Today I met n tit you
at your vegiiest only to receive you Su ro,r.r
Commander's message to CTtiCir'rlC. I. ave nothing
further to discuss at this tiisie-. .?I YOU have
any other subjects to discuss, we nr y do so at
a future meeting.
1.PA Fourth Statement: I would l f kc to stz to
once more c1carly, that the provoca, ion,,,whii
you committed this-morning is a serious olio
which might cause a serious consequf ccs.
Therefore, I hope that you seriousl 11 cci::. zct
this and take. responsible ineaSures . o that such
provocations may not ec;ur. I prop so to con-
clude our Fleeting.
UUUC Fourth Stat,einent: I agree to y ur prop:~sa1
to conclude the sleeting at this 'tim .
END QUOTE.
Kim I1-sung's lne9sage. term,i 19 the
August 18 (when two US of ficer's ware kill
is an effort on his pant, tc. d :fuse the cLJ
sion. }dill's failure to provide a lrittel~
an attempt to avoid losirC prestige a,%lonr
appearing to.havc backed do-wri in the con:,
In their press and radio co mntcrtfarios, ic,
North l(oreans are expressing ther,iselves it
vigorous language, though t, i th notable rc
of threats. {
South Kore,an.leaders have exprossed
with the firmness of th US militar:, rest
killings. ' .There is particular appreciati
to coordinate plans with ROK authorities
ROK forces in a meaningful way.
vrilt s 0,17
t
f rort :,ii N i t a3ryr 3'"
s t t o tri ci n t may b e
r by
-oil L.-Ai os%
r exa;1ji-' i e, the
n characteriszicriiy
,traint in the sc
w
apse i-o the Aug.J t 16
01: o'' the US offo:'L
and to involve.
No Objection to Declassification in Part 2012/08/28: LOC-HAK-552-7-9-2
 *? No Objection to Declassification in Part 2012/08/28: LOC-HAK-552-7-9-2
' . ? [y~~~ + . '. , w a ~I qty. }~
arrangements at Partmtrnjom.
nn the otiac-r hand, the Ito rt. h Korea a
On t;ww other h~tr,d, top South F;ornar leaders. have
formally er-pressed to US officials ill Sci ul a concern.
Kim :.-Sure tc
F g'
that tfi~e US might he tearnt:t~cl, its light.e
admittedly conciliL)LOr'y statement, to i' t the ;;orth off
too easily. The defense minister- and tte for4i n minist~p,
,on Pres'idt:rlt Pak' s orders, arrjuod for S s tai reed i resst~r?e
on the tUirt;ii to extract formal aapologie~. repalz ions, ar?ti
assurances of better bahav or. The South Koreans, advoc t-nd
rnaint.er;aocc: of the augiented US force it South ;;area until
such objectives are achi e?ved,
? The South 'orttiins are disturbed by other i:rlplicaation:.
ho. the Kim II-sung ri essaga:., including ti absence of any ~
South Korean officer at the August 21 ml etirg. Seoul h
persiStemt concerns, about ejyll:hing e; hI in direct US-
North Korean negotiations on political t a LLt n-r s
Asseessgr)ent
At this point in the current crlsi., thw North ;ore;:nis
may see more g'al rss, than losses ; or their +e1 ves. They hcvr
succeeded in drariatizirg to ti;4 a=~orld tae issue tha UP
military presence in Korea. They are sc tt.inr L`:L~ stage
for an intensified diplormitic canpaiggrr o win salrl-p ~'` for
their anti--US rc~sol;ttiun_ ar. the fall se s#ar1 of tie 01
General lrssemhly. P~a:,rr~7yan i :noty also f1i-el that it has
opened up `now possihiiitiea ft;r direct Aids ~tiiMh the US
on such quasi-political maters as impr&~ved security
s have been c~:,:~ _l l ed
to hack down publicly on the rr.ttter at jssue, appx.rently
intimidated by the mil ;Lary' forces so r? pidly brought to
hear. Nor can Pyongyang be happy with .be lacl; cf inter--
national enthusiasm for its cause Burin; the recent crisis.
The USSR a:nd Chi nna offered only feeble l as s ai picrtir
Korean st.'ttemc-ants and no significant su --port. Other cosw:,rt:raist
and left-leaning rations Few oxcep.torts, offered only
briief and bland cominenteary.
No Objection to Declassification in Part 2012/08/28: LOC-HAK-552-7-9-2
 No Objection to Declassification in Part 2012/08/28: LOC-HAK-552-7-9-2
I' sr:;; P,
T i
The 6t3I00!; at, thfs.point is fora
continuation
J L
of North Korea's diplomatic offensive a ainst the US
mi~l~l Lary presence in Korea. It is l i l eY, ItGCs _?~~~-, that
Pyongyang will calculate with increased I care hcfore
undertak nq any new niiitary provocat.iciIs against US
forces in the region.
LINCOLN D. F. UR_R
Major Genera , USAF
Vice Viroctoi ,1.ir Production
No Objection to Declassification in Part 2012/08/28: LOC-HAK-552-7-9-2
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