CHINA'S INTERNAL SCENE ON THE EYE OF YOUR VISIT

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
LOC-HAK-463-3-6-8
Release Decision: 
RIPLIM
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
4
Document Creation Date: 
January 11, 2017
Document Release Date: 
June 22, 2010
Sequence Number: 
6
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
November 18, 1974
Content Type: 
CABLE
File: 
AttachmentSize
PDF icon LOC-HAK-463-3-6-8.pdf487.94 KB
Body: 
"Tr" 1c1044 4.-/ *7 **I No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/06/22: LOC-HAK-463-3-6-8 IMF ***AT olo $ECRE1******* HOUSE SITUATION ROOM PAW. IMMEDIATE - DU WTESS 00053 0 1611740 State Dept. review completed TO THE WHITE HOUSE rs, Fel( He In ($1,1oH, la a Or ri a *10411tT PEKING 91 TO, THE SECRET FROMI GEORGE BUS SUEJECT1 CHINA'S INTERNAL SCENE ON THE EVE OF, YOUR VISIT IN HOPES THAT IT MIGHT SE HELPFUL TO YOU, WE HAVE PREPARED THE FOLLOWINS ASSESSMENT OF CHINA'S INTERNAL SCENE ON THE EVE OF YOUR V/SIT, AS IT LOOKS TO US IN FEKINO, Ey THE IDEOLOSICA4JCAMPAIGN WHICH WAS JUST SATHERING 4TEAH Y THE TIME OF YOUR LAST VISIT NOW SEEMS TO St DRAWING TO A L SE, ALM0ST toeNTICOL REPORTS FROM 'NOCE CITIES IN CHINA DESCRIBE A RECENT CEN1*AL COMMITTEE DIRECTIVE WHICH QUOTE No LESS THAN CHAIRMAN MAO AS SAYING THAT EIGHT YEARS OF THE CULTURAL REVOLUTION IS ENOUGH, IT APPEARS THAT A NATIONAL \,-pEOpt.Ei$ CONGRESS COULD BE CONVENED AT ANY TIME, A STEP WHICH wouLo MARS FURTHER MOVEMENT TOWARD TNE CREATION OF A LEADERSHIP STRUCTuRf TO TAKE CHINA INFO THE ANTICIPATED SUCCESSION PERIOD, MAO*TSEOPUNG CONTINUES TO REMAIN OUTSIDE PEKING, HOWEVER, AND HAS NON SEEN GONE AT LEAST FOUR MONTHS, A FACT WHICH INJECTS SOME pNCERTAINTY INTO ANY PROJECTION OF PRC POLITICAL,' DEVELOPMeNTS* MAO'S RETURN TO PEKING COULD, AS HAS HAPPENED IN THE. PAST, sIGNAL'ENYIRELY New DIRECTIONS IN CHINESE POLICY, ALTHOUGH THIS DOES NOT APPEAR LIKELY, S. WHAT WAS ACCOMPLISHED BY THE RECENT 004/11cAL CAMPAIGN? IM OUR VIEW, A VARIETY Or ISSUES, ALL PARTS of, wmtem Is PERHAPS mAOIS LAST EFFORT To SHAPE CHINA IN H!S IMAGE, WERE AT STAKE', THEY INCLUDE THE ROLE OF CHINA'S MILITARy ANO ITS RELATIONSH/P TO THE PARTY, THE DEGREE OF CENTRAL CONTROL OVER csImArs mAssivr REGIONAL AND PROVINCIAL BUREAUCRACIES, THE HIODLE KINGOOMIS RELATIONSHIP WITH THE SARBAR:AN STATES, MOST. IMPORTANTLY THE U*1110 ANO THE SOVIET UNION, AND LAST 010 NOT .LEAST, A SENUINLEPFORT TO ERADICATE TRADITIONAL, OUCtAN THOUGHT AND BEHAVIOR PATTERNS AMONG THE CHINESE Le, WHILE IT IS ImPossio?E TO MEASURE WITH ANYTHING 14VELY NO $ ONLY 18 1974 OP SECR t******4 ON-FILE NSC RELEASE INSTRUCTIONS APPLY No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/06/22 : LOC-HAK-463-3-6-8 ."-Tr 10 No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/06/22: LOC-HAK-463-3-6-8 TOP SEC y** A$44.t.-teONT1m1.1to)4' LIA1HopEc14104:TME.i:.Mt4;$11$.?$uttrIS??IN. RE.O?MI G.,..I.MESE ISSUES, 110((??4MINEO.T THE *!StJT$ NAVE SEEN MIXED AT BEST AND MANY Hourst1wc.sAvriltES-00$Pift'amsto BUT NOT $OLV!D ..?.#10t.SAJ01:1!.$11.110$1'.:::.tmPORTANT OHANOtt'llAVIHIA.$1.14,..pLA t../N?? .ILITA170114?',.:4001?.TAM??????1011 tAm0A114M:11$M7'0, CHINA'S ? Aff*legSIOAV$ItttAltIctsMANOEIWAIERC4fttseSE.6,,.LoosE.?.? .A.:',14.Elt-?41140-1,TAN0IN(V',sawtweAstirs?im A.'.111Attivt:'$HIFT. *,..:,,I,11.4tAIT:01,"0140,04-04MAINI.VOLFAP" mottleAt.,TMIY...PREVIOV$ Y ? ,?OADyOtt.t0110,-.130100...:MitITARY AND POLITICAL-003111PmAr USUALLY AS.IMC!AL PARTY FIRST SECRETARY, . .mOST.SAY1t.mow... ? ? STRIPPED OF tkelAfHPOLII1CALIFUNCTION44- THE APPARENT ? 111:?ovEk: MILITARY PRIORITIES ANO. SlAyf4Y ?AO : stEml TO .AY...t-:.:SEEN:Rt$OLvtt:14:.'Av.t/tHofytme...MADIST?.PORITION 'STRESSING': . . . _ . . 0110000412AVOYIA.....*.vetti4V.00fpAREDNIS44?ANOHIWADDITION *r.k4441Z/MtV ECOMOMItHVtIlt.OlkmENT:OVER????mASSIYUMItirkitY. .041.047t, 1104::...pu,:::.4#011#11.01?0' .01040EvER4:TmEllit?Ititortif?mmiLF?14E$OL p4.1.44t...,..1,014ENT4?41tu:.tosytsmt:To, tm?A .MAJOA? FOC.utOr.HOEpATe... Alk.H*44.1414PVes':?INTo.:?,1#4.'::::USCARTAiN PERtott..q.velurottisr.oNi... '4AY'.1Hitr?IlliliOt?HOt:Vittilt*ALVARittill?.LOtAL,...O001$01Lit.#1,AINs 10$04$.0Lvfo??? WA$ALUUSTRAlt0',.$1.114141E4 ARTICLES ZN t4tNOVE$BERAO$Vt',..OPRelY?plAtio ImP?ICIT.tN.11411:?:ARTIttf$ .40:0?;.44!4?4;4110.N...T$A.TH.,FRoylo,ciAL,ANOLOCAAUTMORITIES?:?HAO: ? $VIS4TITUTED.IMEIk.40.00$11T? ?FOlc.1.01.A1 :OP-Tolf*PARTYtINIRAL.1- ??440%04te.., AGAIN ...1St .A.OLE1':VP:'?TSVAINO?UTIONAkIt COMMITTEES 1$ 1*4.410,00u4T4 ?:.T.4E.-.1.vA00?..EMHAf7'tiOtATTMOA'.00VERNMItSTAL???? ? . .A.T0141,1.0RE IsittsPoNsIvg:1". Pfx1146111::AuT40RITy, ottAA?AS OLD AS CNNA,REMAINS UNSOLVED, 4,It'4tBAT!?????wit.gm.t:4?mf.LAT/ONSMIP.104.114: wEAIT:.MAs SISEO.14-.Tmt?f . : l ....ULTURt.TNPOUOI:TSE ?Pottlitts: *.y,mit?NAI0#4000.1,.,FILM 4.m":,1*.1-,,ATTAOM41 .01*.OftlfA*-mU4It...IN TW..:.FIELos,or Oosst01:E.,.*so..Tet#INoLosIt?TStateAlt:1443? CENIggEtr? Oft.:Otr?miti4Am.el,As?HoOf...0Sto.."0...,?TME?jmPORT:Or.FOREIGN.? A*0.40vA.mcf0. ItemNIcloft?....?Yi.4.,.E. PROBLEM IN BOTH ?ts IS Yo- sitfArlx,TemT?CAN...CH;$*Sopit.J.N10.:JHrmoot.pts:,:10.0.00:...4m0.:Wtotwto to#1*;1!,. 01141' TME,MIAT"Wly40441...:TSH,FOOLt....40.41,40-oyt*OHIOg0:,BY 0.10.T$40E, VOLUENCf3'..'??11WAIMSOftl THAT IN loft..,cattRAt...of?Isr.? oft4Tit.kcpmoRomtst? 01417101C HAS SEEN RgAt1.46',*Ott144...F0m...Tsit. ? OlftftWST At LfAST4'.-MAM(HlATIS.flita eMINElt?t4Apefte,?:1$A1 THEY CAN sitYkli.otiotty.:00fATER.H.0017410-ANO?EXPOSURE:,Tt:?:.'llif??MIST:".Mmitt ??? MAX 41440...:14411411#11A?P.R!SOIrist.Or..4!Wr,R1014A4C.C..AND: f0.'::;:::::HREVOLUTIONA*14,114.0EDESEtitiliEEVIJUSit LLY, THE AIENIfft00110.:0.*Ttflt'..fp*Eitta,..:CASOAIGN4..114.E.'?:. 'CoNrUolU$??AltritiOtE11114T-Or 104A#ITIONAVISOUOST?ON '.???????ppflotALAOt.,..0,1*##:. tm:HOUN,1#11:104.4AVImt.A,$*11.1.IMPAtl r*H110.04$1*LE.14.00:411Mtmli-ttIo:?:00K N-BASIED,.-04?014VIIMosvMCHTO-It'..tiollAtAtlitIMEAVORAOT. ? PAF (Ai? No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/06/22: LOC-HAK-463-3-6-8 I. lid 11/1 4- 1 '7 --1 No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/06/22: LOC-HAK-463-3-6-8 7.0 P C C R E, T*** WHITE iiOuS SITUATION ROOm PAGE 00 $ CONT/NUED)A AND THE MAN ON THE, STREET THAT LITTLE HAS cioriNoe0 /N THE MIDsLs KINGDOme mATERIALISH RATHER THAN *EVOLUTIONARY IDEOLOGY REMAINS THE HOST IMPORTANT IMPETUS IN CHINESE SOCIETY, WHICH ALSO Oft/R:NS AN INMATE CONSERVATISM, IN ISE PROCESS OP GITENPTING THESE CHANGES AND REACHING A NEN CONSERRUC/ mORtRER, NEW TURMOIL AND UNCERTAINTY HAVE SEEN GENERATED Pt CNINA, THE CALLS FOR STRUGGLE AND "GOING AGAINST IHE Y1010 0100ENC0 oLo WOUNDS OP THE CULTURAL REVOLUTION AND AROUSED T141 AMBITIONS OF THOSE WHO Rost To posiyinN$ OF POWER DURING THAT MOVEMENT ONLY TO se RELEGATED To osseuRrfy wHEN ORDER ?HAD To, BE RESTORED, NEW FACTIONAL riesTINs AND POSTE* ATTACI4B REMINISCENT OF THE, CULTURAL ' sguOL,0110M ERUPTEDiDURING THE SPRING AND SUMMER, BUT WERE QUICKLY CURTAILED By DIRECTIVES FROM Tots CENTER, APPARENTLY IT WAS AGREE() THAT CHINA COULD NOT AFFORD ANOTHER CULTURAL *EVOLUTION AT THIS TIME, ALTHOUGH FACTIONAL'olsPuTEs AND d POSTER ATTACKS CONTINUE, If IS OUR ESTIMATE THAT THESE ! RSpRtscie A MINORITY 'COSTING A FORLORN CAMPAIGN IN AN EFFORT' It REESTABLISH TSO $044 OF "MASS REPRESENTATIVES" CREATED RC THE CUI,TURAL'REVOLVTION". AT THE CENTER, IT APPEARS THAT A MINIMUM coNsemsus HAS See* REACHED ON THE BASIC, ISSUES CONFRONTING CHINA. THE OWEIRIDING SUCCESSION ICtur NA$ soTH INTENSIFIED THE MANSUVEN/NS FOR PONMAND, REINFORCED THE IMPETUS POR UNITY, 104111, gslikowPING NOW $11114$ el,EN,LY TO HAVE MOVED INTO THE RO!ISG PREMIER'S gala, THIS PLUS THE RECENT ANNOUNCEMENT OF CXJ44 KUAN0AHUATS APP EMINENT AS FOREIGN MINISTER INDICATE -T141.'1014E' BASIC ISSUE* HAVE BEEN RESOLVED PROBABLY INCLUDING CHINA'S CONTINUING RELATIONSHIP WITH liNg 101,5, OUR ASSUMPTIONS 1N YNIs REGARD APE STRENGTHENED BY WHAT WE Frit 2$ AgEDLY MOR RELAXED ATMOSPHEIf TN OUR, olum.INos OUR esistsg At AUIU SINCE '0 1111S YEAR, 1.00*' VISIT WIlott 08E, PROVIDE A N4iCH CLEARERMBIGST INTO TNtSALAHOE CES IN CHINA, SUM UP. IT SEEMS TO us YHA,' THE DIRECTION Of CHINESE POLICY REMAINS VERY MUCH IN ANDS OF THE SANCSTAKI$NfteNT WHICH FIRST OICIpto TO PERMIT TM!! OHNINO OF, THE PRESENT Wise*PRt RELATIONSHIP, VIN IF THE ACTIVE! CAST OP CHARACTERS wITKIN THIS ESTABLISHMENT HAA Ott) $00INNAI. CHIN ACT IONS, BOTH INTERNAL AND EXTERNAL, EMAIN ISSENTIALUN UNCNANGED EVEN /F THEY ARE, PORTRAYED FOR $ or GAINING /ACWIDEST,00105/BLE SUPPORT IN MORE RADICAL OR TIONARYI, TERMS' 0 MIGT/CALLY, ATTENTION Is 0, upow su/LD/w TRE NATIONAL ECONOMY WHILE MAINTAINING TENT DEGREE *P POLftICAL UNITY TO TARE THE COUNTRY THROUGH TIOm IN LEADE**$!Pj IN INTERNATIONA6,APFAIRS CHINA IS FOL. 1K ESSENTIALLY DEFENSIVE PHILOSOPHY (DESPITE THE ATTAcKS No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/06/22: LOC-HAK-463-3-6- AA640` /11" ? 3 No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/06/22: LOC-HAK-463-3-6-8 MH1 01tUATZON ROOM PAGE Po 0WER. MEGEMOSiSN RN* SU PURT COMMIT tNt COVOY*, Ye ANY / ITIATIV NA, OWN NATIONAUltkftREST, TME WORLD) WHICH Dora NOT iNN DAEL LTNPEO TO 40Z NOV /4 No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/06/22 : LOC-HAK-463-3-6-8