IN SEARCH OF GEORGE BUSH

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CIA-RDP99-01448R000401580078-6
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March 6, 1988
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-01448R000401580078-6 Si H I The Washington Post IN SEARCH OF GEORGE By Randall Rothenberg CRACKLING FIRE warmed the White House office of the Vice President this raw winter day, com- plementing the deep wood tones, the rich Oriental rugs and the family photographs. Sprawled in a chair, George Bush contem- plated a question: How would his leadership differ from that of his chief rival for the Republican Presi- dential nomination, Senator Robert J. Dole of Kansas? "Can't talk about Bob Dole's leadership," Bush said of the man who humiliated him in the Iowa caucuses and whom, in turn, he de- feated in the bitterly attended New Hamp- shire primary. Then, immediately, Bush caught himself. "I can work well with peo- ple," he added. "I can effect change without brutalizing people." A simple response to a simple question, but telling in what was omitted. After seven years as deputy in the most ideologically charged Administration in this century, and in the midst of the political fight of his life, George Bush's credo remains intact: all politics is personal. He has strewn handwritten epistles by the thousands along the path of his political ca- reer ("George Bush is a fiend for writing personal notes," says a former White House official). On the stump, he seems to delight less in being recognized than in recognizing. "Hey, my main man!" he says to a high school student he greets by name in Ames, Iowa. He spots a fellow back in a crowd in Iowa City. "Hey, how's Shirt? Back in Mar- shalltown?" After his Iowa drubbing, he at- tacked New Hampshire not with policies but with politesse - offering help to locals whose cars had stalled, shaking hands at factory gates, tossing snowballs with re- porters. But ideas? "I'm not what you call your basic intellectual," said Bush during a break in a campaign whose next test comes two days hence, in the agglom- eration of Southern primaries dubbed "Super Tuesday." He grew insistent: "Be what you are in life. Don't try to be every- thing just because you're running for President." The statement rings with irony, for if any man in American politics has been every- thing, it is 63-year-old George Herbert Walker Bush. Yet his resume is the paradox of his public existence. Throughout his rapid ascension from job to appointive job, Bush has left in his wake respect and deep affection. He is credited with building the Texas Republican Party, keeping the G.O.P to- gether when Watergate ripped its fabric, and restoring morale at a Central Intelligence Agency critically damaged by Congressional investigations. Yet his political legacy is as ephemeral as the good will is substantial. One former White House aide calls him "the invisible man" - an apt description of him through- out much of his career. Two months of in- terviews with more than 60 of his col- leagues, family members and close observ- ers from across his history leave an im- pression of George Bush as a man who has willingly sublimated ego and ideology to the values of the institutions he has served, rarely probing seldom questioning, never reaching. Eddie Mahe Jr., the political director of the Republican National Committee when Bush was its chairman in the early 1970's, is an admirer of the Vice President's's hon- esty and tenacity. Nonetheless, Mahe, now a Washington political consultant unaffili- ated with any Presidential candidate, says of Bush. "He's not a deep person." What is more, adds Mahe, "He doesn't have the courage of his convictions." The New York Times s?C-hcit The Washington Times The Wall Street Journal The Christian Science Monitor New York Daily News USA Today The Chicago Tribune Date Co _Marc Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-01448R000401580078-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-01448R000401580078-6 oiindly," he doesn't under- stand the sophisticates' snickers. LET ME TELL YOU SOME- thing," George Bush said to a high school student's query not long ago. "The latest thing in politics is to stretch you out on some kind of psychoanalytical couch to figure out what makes you tick." His own motivations, he continued, were quite basic: "I've always said that I have respect for my Dad because he be- lieved in public service. I believe in public service." Prescott Sheldon Bush, a managing part- ner at the investment banking firm of Brown Brothers, Harriman, personified noblesse oblige, serving on sundry public boards and committees and later becoming a United States Senator. But he was an imposing man who had little time for his children. "Every- one was afraid of him," re- calls his son Jonathan Bush, 56. "He was a man on a mission, and he had mother to raise us." Dorothy Walker Bush, now 86, bred into her five children rules to buttress the sense of service instilled by their father. During childhood summers at Walker's Point, the family's waterfront retreat in Kennebunk- port, Me., and on the lawn of their nine-bed- room Victorian house in Greenwich, Conn., they learned competitiveness - "the zeit- geist of the time," according to her young- est child, William (Bucky) Bush, 49. Whatever the game, the best at it was her second son, George. Yet "Poppy," as he was called, played ball with such grace that the others couldn't begin to be jealous. "He was too big a hero, too big a star," says Jona- than. "You were just too tuvdous to get close to him." For all the competitiveness, Dorothy Bush absolutely forbade bragging. Even the slightest hint of self-aggrandizement, according to Bucky Bush, would be met by her firm statement: "We've heard enough of the'Great I Am."' Dorothy Bush also taught her children loyalty. George Warren, a childhood friend of George Bush's, recalls how as a young adult he rushed to his parents' house in Greenwich the day his father was killed in an accident. When he got there, he found Dorothy waiting on the lawn. "I hadn't seen her in years, and the two families very seldom saw each other social- ly," says Warren, now a retired teacher. "And she took it upon herself to come to our house to tell me. It shows tremendous loy- alty. And you'll find that quality in George Bush as well." Loyalty, modesty, competitiveness - the qualities are George Bush's strengths. But they haunt him. Preternaturally dis- posed to team play at any cost, he is loathe to rise above his surroundings. When he says, as he did in ' 0 NE DUTY FEW young American men questioned in 1942, the year George Bush graduated from high school, was going to war. On June 12, his 18th birthday, he joined the Navy, his mathematics courses at Andover qualifying him to be- come a torpedo bomber pilot. Bush became the Navy's youngest flier, shipping out to the South Pacific on the car- rier San Jacinto. Leo Nadeau, his gunner, painted "Barba- ra" on the cowling of their Grumman Avenger in inch- high white letters. George had met Barbara Pierce - the daughter of the publisher of McCall's Magazine - dur- ing a prep-school Christmas dance. On Sept. 2, 1944, flying cover for an invasion of Chichi-Jima, Bush felt a jolt. The cockpit filled with smoke. After delivering four bombs to the target, he bailed out of his burning plane. His two mates didn't make it. He was picked up by an American submarine and after several months of recu- peration asked to be reas- signed to combat, eventually flying a total of 1,228 hours. There were no more close calls, but for his heroism on that mission, Bush was awarded the Distinguished Flying Cross. He breezed through Yale, a young married man in a hurry, gaining the captaincy of the baseball team, mem- bership in the exclusive se- cret society Skull and Bones, an economics degree, a Phi Beta Kappa key and a baby son A family friend, Neil Mal- lon, a man who "could charm the fangs off a snake," ac- cording to Bucky Bush, of- fered George a bottom-of-the- ladder job in Midland, Tex., at Dresser Industries, his large oil company. After two years, Bush joined with a neighbor to create a firm that would purchase royalty rights from small landown- ers if a driller found oil on the and Several years later, he formed another company to locate and buy oil-producing properties. His uncle, Her- bert walker, found $800,000 through Eastern investors to help get the firms started. marred by tragedy. In March 1953, the Bushes' second child, Robin, was diagnosed as having leukemia. After six months of grueling commut- ing between Texas and New York's Memorial Hospital, George and Barbara Bush saw their 3-year-old daughter die. By the early 1960's, some- thing began to gnaw at Bush. Although a father of five and a millionaire, neither the family sense of noblesse oblige nor his own desire for recognition were being served. So in 1962 Bush, then living in Houston, ran for the chairmanship of the Harris County Republican Party. If George Bush has been caught in a political vise for his entire career, squeezed between a right wing suspi- cious of his moderation and centrists who believe he too readily accommodates ex- tremists, it was in Houston that his ideological travails began. The Republican Party was in its nascent stages in Texas in the early 1960's; for a time, only two Republicans sat in the Texas Legislature. Even so, the party was being torn apart by battles between es- tablishment Republicans and the more militant members of the John Birch Society. Bush won the chairmanship race, and immediately began drawing in people from both factions, identifying with one or the other as the occasion warranted. When he ran for the Senate in 1964 against the liberal Democratic incumbent, Ralph Yarborough, Bush termed himself a "Goldwater Republican" and opposed both the Nuclear Test Ban Treaty and much of the Civil Rights Act. But he still man- aged to antagonize the right. "The rumor ran rampant through the Goldwater or- ganization that the Bush peo- ple had damaged Goldwa- ter's race because they had been getting voters to the polls who were going to vote for Johnson" but who split their ticket and voted for Bush, recalls Congressman Bill Archer, a nine-term Re- publican veteran from Hous- ton. True or not, says Archer, "these were the seeds" of the right wing's discontent with Bush. The seeds sprouted after he lost the Senate race. Within a Z7. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-01448R000401580078-6 +w - a u^ wa ?V . "cab"" - I OUL LIL CJL11L141ULIVI1 WQ5 blindly," he doesn't under- stand the sophisticates' snickers. O NE DUTY FEW young American men questioned in 1942, the year George Bush graduated from high school, was going to war. On June 12, his 18th birthday, he joined the Navy, his mathematics courses at Andover qualifying him to be- come a torpedo bomber pilot. Bush became the Navy's youngest flier, shipping out to the South Pacific on the car- rier San Jacinto. Leo Nadeau, his gunner, painted "Barba- ra" on the cowling of their Grumman Avenger in inch- high white letters. George had met Barbara Pierce - the daughter of the publisher of McCall's Magazine - dur- ing a prep-school Christmas dance. On Sept. 2, 1944, flying cover for an invasion of Chichi-Jima, Bush felt a jolt. The cockpit filled with smoke. After delivering four bombs to the target, he bailed out of his burning plane. His two mates didn't make it. He was picked up by an American submarine and after several months of recu- peration asked to be reas= signed to combat, eventually flying a total of 1,228 hours. There were no more close calls, but for his heroism on that mission, Bush was awarded the Distinguished Flying Cross. He breezed through Yale, a young married man in a hurry, gaining the captaincy of the baseball team, mem- bership in the exclusive se- cret society Skull and Bones, an economics degree, a Phi Beta Kappa key and a baby son. A family friend, Neil Mal- lon, a man who "could charm the fangs off a snake," ac- cording to Bucky Bush, of- fered George a bottom-of-the- ladder job in Midland, Tex., at Dresser Industries, his large oil company. After two years, Bush joined with a neighbor to create a firm that would purchase royalty rights from small landown- ers if a driller found oil on the land. Several years later, he formed another company to locate and buy oil-producing properties. His uncle, Her- bert Walker, found $800,000 through Eastern investors to year, his wing of the Republi- can Party was known as the "Bush Faction" and was con- sidered "an extension of the Eisenhower-Scranton-Rocke- feller-Romney wing," accord- ing to Archer. When Bush ran for Congress in 1966 in west Houston, he campaigned ac- tively in black neighbor- hoods, sponsored a black girl's softball team and spoke of the need for "equal oppor- tunity." He won handily, against a law-and-order Democrat widely considered more conservative. "Young Bush," as he was known, became an immedi- ate presence in Washington, gaining a coveted seat on the House Ways and Means Com- mittee. Back home, he was a power. A 1968 Houston Chron- icle editorial maintained that "Bush has become so politi- cally formidable nobody cares to take him on." Not only was he powerful, he was independent. He voted for an open-housing bill that was vehemently opposed in most of Texas. Political cal- culation probably entered into the vote; according to an aide to a longtime Texas Con- gressman, "anybody who was considering a Senate race" in 1970, as Bush was, "would have voted that way, because his eye would have been on the vast south Texas vote," much of it Hispanic. But it took courage to cast that vote, for in Houston, "it was like the world came un- glued," recalls Bill Archer. "I can't think of an issue that's come along since then that's been as explosive emotional. ly " A meeting was called at Memorial High School in Houston for constituents to discuss open-housing. Hun- dreds of people filled the auditorium and the atmos- phere was charged. The young Congressman talked about the black Vietnam vet- eran. "A man should not have a door slammed in his face because he is a Negro or speaks with a Latin Amer- ican accent," affirmed Bush. He received a standing ova- tion. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25 : marred by tragedy. In March 1953, the Bushes' second child, Robin, was diagnosed as having leukemia. After six months of grueling commut- ing between Texas and New York's Memorial Hospital, George and Barbara Bush saw their 3-year-old daughter die. By the early 1960's, some- thing began to gnaw at Bush. Although a father of five and a millionaire, neither the family sense of noblesse oblige nor his own desire for recognition were being served. So in 1962 Bush, then living in Houston, ran for the chairmanship of the Harris County Republican Party. If George Bush has been caught in a political vise for his entire career, squeezed between a right wing suspi- cious of his moderation and centrists who believe he too readily accommodates ex- tremists, it was in Houston that his ideological travails began. The Republican Party was in its nascent stages in Texas in the early 1960's; for a time, only two Republicans sat in the Texas Legislature. Even so, the party was being torn apart by battles between es- tablishment Republicans and the more militant members of the John Birch Society. Bush won the chairmanship race, and immediately began drawing in people from both factions, identifying with one or the other as the occasion warranted. When he ran for the Senate in 1964 against the liberal Democratic incumbent, Ralph Yarborough, Bush termed himself a "Goldwater Republican" and opposed both the Nuclear Test Ban Treaty and much of the Civil Rights Act. But he still man- aged to antagonize the right. "The rumor ran rampant through the Goldwater or- ganization that the Bush peo- ple had damaged Goldwa- ter's race because they had been getting voters to the polls who were going to vote for Johnson" but who split their ticket and voted for Bush, recalls Congressman Bill Archer, a nine-term Re- publican veteran from Hous- ton. True or not, says Archer, "these were the seeds" of the right wing's discontent with Bush. The seeds sprouted after he That summer, the night he was nominated for the Presi- dency, Richard M. Nixon con- vened a meeting in his hotel room to discuss Vice Presi- dential Possibilities. George Bush's name came up sev- eral times. "I've heard noth- ing but good about George," said Nixon. Nevertheless, he felt Bush was too young for the post. Bush entered the 1970 Texas Senate race with a strong shot of unseating Ralph Yarborough. But then Lloyd Bentsen, like Bush a businessman and World War II pilot, defeated Yarborough in the Democratic primary. Although he was expected to benefit from defections by liberals, Bush lost. Yet he ended his electoral career with his popularity undimin- ished. "He was considered back at the time one of the most char- ismatic people ever elected to public office in the history of Texas," says Bill Archer. "That charisma, people talked about it over and over again." WHAT HAP- p AT d? Did Bush change or did our perceptions of leadership change? Probably some of both. He is a child of the war years, when charisma and courtliness coincided. He came of age intellectually when politicians believed in the "end of ideology." How quaint both notions seem, now that personal and ideo- logical passion are measures of political charisma. President Nixon had prom- ised to take care of him if he lost his Senate race, and Bush knew what he wanted. After the election, his friend Potter Stewart called a top White House aide and said, "This may surprise you, but George would like to be more in- volved in foreign policy. He'd like to be Ambassador to the United Nations." Bush recognized from the start that the United Nations post was "a ceremonial thing," in the words of a for- mer aide. He assiduously pur- sued the Administration's offi- cial "two-China" policy - ad- mitting mainland China to the world body without jettisoning r!-nfin!ii 1 CIA-RDP99-01448R000401580078-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-01448ROO0401580078-6 that Henry A. Kissinger, the national security adviser, was already in the process of dis- missing Taiwan from Admin- istration thinking. Considered "loyal," accord- ing to a former Nixon aide, Bush was the President's natural choice to replace the irreverant and independent Bob Dole as chairman of the Republican National Com- mittee. But he quickly adapted to the reigning cul- ture of the committee. He considered himself a party man, not a servant of the White House. And when Watergate became a burning issue, about six months into his tenure, Bush made it clear that his loyalty was to the state chairmen. He was a traveling preacher of Repub- licanism. In his first year as party chairman, he jetted 124,000 miles, gave 118 speeches and conducted 84 press conferences, strenu- ously attacking any implica- tion that the G.O.P. was con- nected to Watergate. But Bush was tormented by the increasingly debilitating situation. According to his brother Prescott, Nixon at one point told him directly, "There's absolutely nothing to these accusations. I'm tell- ing the truth and there's noth- ing hidden." Bush believed him, and although he pri- vately vented his despair to White House aides, he also displayed what Eddie Mahe, the Republican committee's political director at the time, calls "a toughness that is not generally seen as being part of George Bush." After Gerald R. Ford suc- ceeded Nixon in the Oval Of- fice, Bush lobbied hard for the Vice Presidency. He was in Maine, at his beloved Walk- er's Point with Peter Rous- sel, a longtime aide, when he received the call telling him that President Ford had chosen Nelson A. Rockefeller for the post. Bush returned stoically to the porch where the two men had been sitting. Shortly there- after, a television news crew from Portland arrived. "You don't look too broken up about this," the reporter told Bush. "You cant see wnaus on the inside," he replied. Demanding an audience, Bush told the President he was quitting the national commit- tee. Ford soon countered with an offer to make Bush the chief of the United States liai- son office in Beijing. In China, Bush courted the image of the regular guy who eschewed diplomatic formal- ities in order to bicycle every- where and understand the na- tive ways. A different view of his 16 months in China slipped out shortly after he returned. The historian Bar- bara Tuchman recalls ap- pearing with him at a forum sponsored by a church in Con- necticut. After Bush spoke about his experiences in the Far East, someone asked whether he'd had a chance to meet any of the local people. According to Mrs. Tuchman, Bush replied: "Oh yes. They gave us a boy to play tennis with." AT THE CENTRAL Intelligence Agency - which Ford offered to him in a 1975 Administra- tion shakeup termed the "Halloween Massacre" - Bush again aggressively sought to portray himself em- pathically within the agency. Intelligence veterans, al- ready scarred by ongoing Congressional investigations of past agency practices, viewed the appointment of this quintessential political animal with alarm. But within days, according to several former intelli- gence officials, Bush had turned sentiment around. He "became one of the boys," in the words of one. He not only mastered superficial symbol- ism - taking the employees' elevator to his seventh-floor office rather than the direc- tor's private elevator - but would also bring one of his subordinates to National Se- curity Council meetings and, after a few words of introduc- tion, turn and say, "I've brought my brains along, let's listen to him." Yet that same amiability may also have been responsi- ble for the one substantive controversy during his ten- ure at the C.I.A., the "Team B Affair." For years, many in the in- telligence community had been disturbed by discrepan- cies between the agency's estimates of Soviet strategic capabilities and what later events proved to be true. Con- servatives on the President's Foreign Intelligence Advi- sory Board wanted to create a group of outside experts - "Team B" - who would re- view the same information as did the agency's intelligence officers and assemble a com- peting set of estimates. Bush agreed to the exercise. But Team B, in the eyes of several intelligence veterans, was packed with conserva- tive ideologues. Ray Cline, a deputy director of the agency before Bush's arrival and a strong Bush supporter, says that its members "were clearly people who had a more alarmist view about Soviet strength than was being expressed in the intelli- gence community at the time." Agency staffers pleaded in vain with Bush not to allow Team B to be stacked with such conserva- tive figures as Professor Richard Pipes of Harvard. The study's conclusion - that the Russians were seek- ing military superiority over the United States, rather than mere parity - lent support to hard-liners who opposed arms control. As Director of, Central Intelligence, Bush, ironically, helped to empower conservatives who still con- sider him weak on defense policy. But more telling was his al- lowing the Team B episode in the first place. It was widely viewed, in the words of one in- telligence veteran, as "a bad idea that he permitted in the interests of getting along with everybody." G EORGE BUSH IS A man of rules and insti- tutional values. He op- erates superbly within estab- lished parameters - chair- ing meetings, carrying diplo- matic messages to foreign friends and foes. "He's such a good listener," says a top Ad- ministration national se- curity official. But when the rules change - when ideo- logues try to force their agenda or when the Iran-con- tra affair bypasses estab- lished national-security procedures - Bush can be caught off guard. A turning point of his 1980 Presidential campaign came in Nashua, N.H., at a planned two-man debate between Bush and Ronald Reagan, jointly sponsored by The Nashua Telegraph and by Reagan. Just before the event, Rea- gan's staff opened the debate to the other contenders. Bush refused to agree to the open forum. He sat mutely on stage while Rea- gan and the newspaper's edi- tor argued over the new for- mat. When the editor, Jon Breen, threatened to shut down the sound system, Rea- gan shouted, "I paid for this microphone!" Even though the two-man debate pro- ceeded as planned, Bush's re- calcitrance left an indelible impression. That night, after the de- bate, as they were returning to his hotel, Reagan said to James H. Lake, one of his campaign aides: "I don't un- derstand it. How would this guy deal with the Russians?" Reagan was not questioning Bush's mettle, according to Lake, but his "wisdom." Bush "failed to understand that in order to win this game he would have been better served by being more flex- ible," he says. Bush's apparent lack of an ideological base may account for his remarkable malleabil- ity. In 1980, running as a self- described "moderate conser- vative," he could call Ronald Reagan "as far to the right as you can get." But "the minute they accepted the Vice Presi- dency, the Bushes forgot about the past and became Reagan people," says Nancy Clark Reynolds, a Washing- ton public affairs executive and a longtime friend of Nancy and Ronald Reagan. One former Administration official who wants to remain anonymous calls Bush "a neutral political functionary" who would "come to a lot of Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-01448ROO0401580078-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-01448ROO0401580078-6 Cabinet Council meetings, lis- ten for a while, raise a few points, and say,'Why can't we overcome this problem? What's the solution?' He had this sense that there was a disembodied solution out there that involved no politi- cal or ideological position." Bush is reminiscent of the small-town civic leader in the late sociologist C. Wright Mills's study of America's ruling classes, "The Power Elite," who said: "We do not engage in loose talk about the 'ideals' of the situation and all that other stuff. We get right down to the problem..." Bush replaces ideology with what might be called a cult of courtesy. Stretched out in Air Force I I recently, his gray suit jacket replaced by a blue flight jacket with his name threaded vertically up the zipper, his tie loosened, he bridled at the mention of the name of a prominent liberal activist. It wasn't the man's politics that disturbed the Vice President; it was that he had once dispar- aged Bush in front of one of Bush's sons. "Can you imagine that - to a man's son!" he said, munching on a beef stick. "Now, what kinda thing is that to say?" But the graciousness and civility also make Bush a potential captive of what the author Christopher Buckley, a former Bush speechwriter, calls "the gentle man phe- nomenon: it's good to be liked, better to be loved." Indeed, the drive for accommodation seems to lie behind many of Bush's celebrated gaffes over the years, among them his 1981 toast to Philippine dictator Ferdinand E. Mar- cos that "we love your adher- ence to democratic princi- ples"; his 1984 gloat to New Jersey longshoremen that he had to "kick a little ass" in his campaign debate with Geral- dine Ferraro, and his enthusi- astic comment in Europe last fall that when Russian me- chanics "run out of work in the Soviet Union, send them to Detroit, because we could use that kind of ability." "George Bush wants to see himself as a regular guy," says a former state Republi- can chairman who was wooed ardently by Bush in preparation for the 1988 elec- tion. Bush's brother Prescott agrees: "With the dock work- ers, he probably felt, 'I'm one of you and I can talk the way you talk.' " He seems to refuse to acknowledge that his upbringing effectively prevents him from identify- ing fully with many of those whom he would court. "It's when he tries to be Every- man that he sounds false," says Jim Lake, the former Reagan aide. Bush's desire to appeal to people on their terms, rather than his, often looks like capitulation, and this is the root of his widely discussed "toughness" problem. During the 1988 campaign, he has been obsessed with proving his strength, not only in con- trived confrontations with television newscasters, but in interviews, where, without provocation, he will cite his "toughness." "I avoid sometimes the manifestations of my tough- ness," he said in one recent conversation. At another point, he added: "I don't have to go out and beat my chest like Tar- zan ... and assert toughness by being brutal to people." But it is not his physical, or even his emotional, tough- ness that is in question - through World War II and personal tragedies he's ex- hibited ample quantities of both, and his set-to with Dan Rather and his strident anti- Dole commercials in New Hampshire betokened a will- ingness to hit hard. The doubts concern his intellec- tual independence. B USH HAD EX- plicitly pledged his loy- alty to Ronald Reagan when he was offered the Vice Presidency. After the 1980 election, he made that oath the center of his political ex- istence. Not only would he never be seen or heard dis- agreeing with President Rea- gan on any matter, but he also would never publicly of- fer any substantive opinions of his own. All modern Vice Presidents have been immensely frus- trated in their jobs, to be sure. But none felt com- pletely constrained from at least offering opinions within the confines of the White House. Richard Nixon and Nelson Rockefeller both spoke their minds in National Security Council meetings. Walter F. Mondale was President Carter's faithful soldier, but differed with him over MX missile deployment, the Soviet grain embargo and the sale of F-15 fighter-plane equipment to Saudi Arabia, among other matters. Bush's loyalty to President Reagan may be the strongest asset he carries into the pro- Reagan south on Tuesday. But, because of the way he has ex- ercised his fealty, no one knows for certain how Bush has influenced the President on policy, nor can anyone - in- cluding his closest advisers - point definitively to areas where Bush has attempted to make an impact. Bush, as have other Vice Presidents, chaired several task forces in the White House that he cites often in his campaign speeches. Their success has been mixed. His staff estimates that his Task Force on Regulatory Reform will save the Government $150 billion in regulatory costs during the coming dec- ade. But conservatives in the White House, among others, have criticized it for serving as little more than a "report- ing mechanism" on the costs of regulation. The South Florida Task Force, formed in 1982 to deal with the marked increase in cocaine and marijuana smuggled into the Sunshine State, was successful in unit- ing several competing Gov- ernment bureaucracies in the cause of drug interdiction. But during the task force's existence, cocaine imports in- creased, its price dropped and marijuana smugglers shifted their operations to do- mestic cultivation. And the Vice President's Task Force on Combatting Terrorism, whose final report aptly sum- marized the conventional wisdom on antiterrorism policy, had its key recom- mendation - "The U.S. Gov- ernment will make no con- cessions to terrorists" - vio- lated by the Iranian arms- for-hostages trade. Beyond the task forces, one can only collect impressions about Bush's White House ac- tivities. For example, he sup- posedly played a role in soft. ening President Reagan's "evil empire" rhetoric about the Soviet Union and in open- ing a dialogue with Moscow after Korean Air Lines flight 007 was downed by the Rus- sians. And scuttlebutt inside the White House had it that he was responsible for convinc. ing the President to withdraw American troops from Beirut after the 1983 bombing of the marine barracks there. How fully his whispers in President Reagan's ear con- tributed to these moves is un- known. "He did not, as other Vice Presidents did, speak up in National Security Council meetings," says a national se- curity aide who has served in several Republican Adminis- trations. A number of his own aides declare flatly that Bush, in 1985 and 86, interceded with the President to resolve a dis- pute between Attorney Gen- eral Edwin Meese 3d and then- Labor Secretary Bill Brock over Meese's desire to elimi- nate an executive order re- quiring certain affirmative action standards in Federal hiring. But another former Admin- istration official familiar with the Meese-Brock contre- temps says that Bush's role is "just something I'm not aware of ... [Then chief of staff) Don Regan took the viewpoint that as long as there was disagreement in the Cabinet Council, then it wouldn't go to the President. That was what wore people down." It is impossible to coax de- tails about these or other inci- dents from either Bush or his aides. Whatever he and President Reagan speak about in their private, weekly Mexican-food lunches in the Oval Office remains locked in their hearts. The Vice Presi- dent virtually taunts those who would question his in- volvement in White House decisions. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-01448ROO0401580078-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-01448ROO0401580078-6 - i nere are just many ex- amples in my mind that I'm not gonna share with you, where I know I've shaped what happens," Bush said in a White House interview. "You can't point to three things, I take that on the chin, because it's offset by the fact that I know I've been loyal." More telling, perhaps than Bush's apparently meager in- volvement in policy formula- tion is the perception that he actively backed away if the slightest controversy was in- volved. "There was sort of a fail-safe strategy that he and his people employed," says one former official. Eventually, many in the Administration simply wrote him off as a player. Although some senior officials would, throughout the two terms, continue to try to use Bush as a conduit to the President, others gave up. Says one na- tional security aide: "It be- came known that you didn't go to George Bush to get the President to do something." Even after the re-election landslide in 1984, Bush appar- ently refused to step into the foreground. In late 1984 and early '85, he rejected David Stockman's pleas for help in convincing the President to cut the deficit. A year later, according to several sources, he spurned repeated appeals from leading Republicans to intervene with the President to dismiss Donald T. Regan as chief of staff. A year later, Bush was ab- sent from the scene during the battle to confirm Robert H. Bork as an Associate Jus- tice on the Supreme Court. One former aide says that members of Bush's staff said they wanted "to get out front on Bork" but "it never ma- terialized." G IVEN THE VICE President's penchant for noninvolvement, we can perhaps see more clearly his role in the Iran- contra affair, an issue that will continue to hound Bush, if not in the rest of the pri- maries then certainly in a general election campaign. Bush attended at least 30 meetings at which the Iranian arms sale was discussed, beginning in the summer of 1985. Moreover, Bush's staff had information that might have led them to question relationship with the contras: the Vice President's national security adviser, Donald P. Gregg, a former C.I.A. station chief, was told in August 1986 that North was involved in Central America with associ- ates of the renegade C.I.A. agent Edwin Wilson. Yet Bush has consistently maintained that he was "out of the loop" on the arms sale, that he was "deliberately ex- cluded" from key meetings on the subject, and that he was completely unaware of the diversion of funds to the contras. In a White House interview, Bush grew testy when the subject was pursued: "I've said all I really want to say on this subject ... To rehash all this and then, frankly, play into the hands of political op- ponents is not in my interest." But the question remains: How could he not have known? The most frequent re- sponse from those who have worked with him is that the Vice President was ill-served by his and the White House staff. "Somebody screwed him," says Adm. Daniel J. Murphy, Bush's former chief of staff. "I'm sure it was the N.S.C. staff." While Murphy singles out North and the for- mer national security advis- er, Rear Adm. John Poindex- ter, others point to Don Gregg, who declined to trans- mit to Bush the news about North's involvement with in- telligence agency apostates. Gregg told Congressional in- vestigators that he did not con- sider the information "Vice Presidential" (Bush said re- cently that "ex post facto, maybe" he should have been told about North's escapade.) Criticisms of Bush's staff occur with startling frequen- cy. "There's a feeling he de- serves to be better served," says a senior Administration foreign policy official. "He has a weak national security staff," echoes another offi- cial. "They don't have an im- pact on policy, and they don't have a grasp of the issues in- volved." There are indications that Bush purposely chose a lack- luster Vice Presidential staff in order to fit in to the Reagan White House. According to one former campaign advis- er, Bush said that he felt a high-powered staff could create contention rather than harmony with the President's staff. The Vice President grew angry in a recent interview when told of criticisms of his staff. "I just deny that. I don't agree with that. I think it's wrong," he said. He main- tains his own code of loyalty and forgiveness. "I'll be damned if I'm gonna let the pressure in the newspapers compel me to fire Don Gregg," he said heatedly. "That's not fair and that's not right and I'm not gonna do that!" Still, his professed lack of knowledge about the Iran- contra affair indicates an un- willingness or inability to draw on all available re- sources for intelligence and enlightenment. In his classic 1960 study on leadership, "Presidential Power," the Harvard politi- cal scientist Richard E. Neustadt noted that a suc- cessful executive must ac- tively seek information. "It is not information of a general sort that helps a President see personal stakes," wrote Neustadt. "It is the odds and ends of tangi- ble detail that, pieced to- gether in his mind, illuminate the underside of issues put before him. To help himself he must reach out as widely as he can for every scrap of fact, opinion, gossip, bearing on his own interests and rela- tionships as President." In the Iran-contra matter, this Bush did not do. C AN ONE PREDICT, from his handling of the Iran-contra matter - or, indeed, from his han- dling of the Vice Presidency - how George Bush would lead as President of the United States? Difficult to say. His innate moderation shines through in the few spe- cific proposals he has made on the Presidential campaign trail. He wants a line-item veto to balance the budget and a cut in capital-gains taxes - emi- nently conservative ideas, yet far from right-wing. But he op- poses the concept of an across- the-board freeze on Govern- ment spending, because he wants to he able to spend money on AIDS research, drug interdiction and tax-free sav- ings accounts for college education. He has said time and again that he wants to be known as "the education Presi- dent," employing "the bulky pulpit, using the Presidency, to promote the kind of excellence we want." Beyond these proposals, he adds little to the debate over post-Reagan politics. In the twilight months of the Rea- gan Presidency, this man who has blended in so well is still leery to call too much at- tention to himself and his thoughts. . Yet there is a calm that pervades him. Sitting in his White House office recently, George Bush pondered whether life would have been different had he "stopped to smell the roses." "I sometimes think about that now," he said. "But how many people that pause to find themselves, wondering who they were, uncertain of themselves, have the bless- ings that I have that come from strength of family?" He admitted that he would love to spend more time read- ing, or fishing at Walker's Point, especially when he thinks how "adversarial and denigrating" politics has be- come. "But do I have a cer- tain self-assurance that I'm on the right track and that I'm lifted up by friends and family?" he asked. "Yeah." "You see, I know who I am," he said. "I know exact! where I want to go. How to take this country there." And if he didn't make it? "I'd be a good grandfather," answered the Vice President of the United States. ^ 31. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-01448ROO0401580078-6