TRYING A COMEBACK

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CIA-RDP99-01448R000301290010-3
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5
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December 22, 2016
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August 16, 2012
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10
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March 16, 1987
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STAT. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/08/16: CIA-RDP99-01448R000301290010-3 istration that had been foundering. Though it failed to address several of the more troubling aspects of Iranscam, the meticulously crafted twelve-minute speech showed that Reagan recognized the severity of the crisis and had deter- mined to take steps to remedy the situation. By summoning his tremendous skills as an orator, Reagan once again managed to swing events his way, however tempo- rarily. The address won bipartisan plau- dits on Capitol Hill and favorable cover- the scandal and his passive work habits. Reagan's address was not enough to convince his critics that he has learned the lessons of the past few months. "The President gave an excellent speech," said New Jersey Senator Bill Bradley, "but no mere speech can dispel the doubts raised by the Iran-contra affair. Only time will tell whether the President has asserted control over the foreign policy of our na- tion." Massachusetts Democratic Con- gressman Barney Frank was even blunt- er. "The Tower commission," said Frank, "did not find Reagan a lousy orator; they found him a lousy President." Reagan and his support- ers, however, insist that last week marked a turnaround. "He's doing it," said Republi- can Senator Alan Simpson of Wyoming. "He's appointing good people. There will be more changes; I'm not going to speculate who, but others will go. The President went about as far last night as his persona would take him. He didn't apologize, but he ad- mitted his mistakes. He said he had learned. He said he would change. That's quite a bit for a President." A presidential comeback of any sort was long overdue. For three months Reagan had "You pull your energies together. You change. You go forward. " hostages' well-being, the President re- fused to disavow the initiative as wrong- headed from the start. Instead, Reagan looked to the future, assuming the tone of a grandfatherly sage: "By the time you reach my age, you've made plenty of mistakes. And if you've lived your life properly, so you learn. You put things in perspective. You pull your energies together. You change, you go forward." Forward momentum was something Reagan desperately needed after months adrift in the Iran-contra scandal and the devastating report from the Tower com- mission depicting an inattentive Presi- dent surrounded by reckless advisers. The President's response to the report, and his widely applauded appointments of a new White House chief of staff and CIA direc- tor to go along with his new National Se- curity Adviser, gave a boost to an Admin- unflinchingly accepted re- sponsibility for the Iran- contra scandal that has threatened his presidency. But while admitting that his overture to Iran quickly turned into an arms-for- hostages swap because he was so deeply concerned about the 61 TIME 16 March 1987 Trying a Comeback Reagan concedes error in Iranscam, but can he still lead? on my watch ... "There are reasons why it happened, but no excuses. It was a mistake. " "I take full responsibility for my own actions and for those of my Administration. As angry as I may be about activities un- dertaken without my knowl- d I ll e ge, am sti accountable for those activities. As disappoint- ed as I may be in some who served me, I am still the one who must an- swer to the American people for this behav- ior. And as personally distasteful as I find secret bank accounts and diverted funds, well, as the Navy would say, this happened For the old trouper it was a masterly performance. Speaking to the nation on Ash Wednesday in perhaps the most important address of his long political career, Ronald Reagan was simultaneously repentant yet still proud, re- gretful yet determined. He age in the press. Overnight polls showed the President's approval rating, which had sagged to a four-year low, rising by as much as 9 points. At the White House, the mood changed from tragic to trium- phant. "There's a big difference over there," said Nancy Reynolds, a close friend of the Reagans'. "You can hear it in people's voices. You can smell it in the air." But like the false spring temperatures that warmed the nation's capital last week, the uptick in the President's for- tunes could be merely transitory. Artful as it was, Reagan's speech did not resolve the most serious question raised by Irans- cam: Is the President at 76 sufficiently alert and involved to lead the country? To regain political advantage for the final two years of his Administration, Reagan must still overcome formidable obstacles, particularly the ongoing investigations of refused to speak out on the crisis that swirled about him. Since the diversion of Iran arms profits to the Nicaraguan con- tras was disclosed last Thanksgiving week, the President had made only one major public appearance: his recycled State of the Union address in January. But the Tower commission's report, with its damning disclosures of ineptitude and malfeasance, seemed to serve as a cathar- sis for the White House. Finally, now that the Administration's sins had been ex- posed, the President was forced to act de- cisively, beginning with the ouster the fol- lowing day of Chief of Staff Donald Regan and his replacement with Howard Baker, the capable and popular onetime Senate majority leader from Tennessee. The President's speech was the launching pad for an energetic public re- lations offensive that Robert Dole, the Republican Senator from Kansas, 1onhnued Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/08/16: CIA-RDP99-01448R000301290010-3 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/08/16: CIA-RDP99-01448R000301290010-3 agan's first Week. Comeback Re dubbed important move was to accent the with- drawal of Robert Gates' nomination to become director of Central Intel ' e e. As the CIA's deputy director and a close ally of his disabled former b )YiUiam Case Gates had come under fire for his involvement in Iranscam, and his chances for Senate confirmation were looking dim. In Gates' place Reagan nominated FBI Director William Web- ster, a former judge who is widely respect- ed for his integrity. B selectinWebster, the President won the same bipartisan for the ap- received kudos he a pointments o Baker and recently costa e NSC -rector Frank Car- lucci. Significantly, none of the three is a red-white-and-blue Rea- ganite. All are notably cool, non- ideological pragmatists. No one symbolized the Ad- ministration's renewed vitality as much as Baker. The personable Tennessean with the easygoing manner was received almost as a savior in the siege-ridden White House. Baker quickly installed his own team and tried to thaw the frosty relations between the Ad- ministration and his old colleagues on Capitol Hill. "We were lucky Willia the change in personnel came al- most simultaneously with the Tower re- port and the speech," said a Reagan aide. "It enabled us to appear to get a com- pletely fresh start." Appearances were foremost in the k ' h dl l t i d f R retreated quickly after reading a brief statement welcoming Soviet Leader Mik- hail Gorbachev's latest proposals for re- ducing intermediate-range nuclear mis- siles in Europe. After virtually banning questions by reporters at photo opportunities for more than two months, Reagan suddenly wel- comed the White House press corps for two sessions a day. He held conferences with congressional leaders, with Ameri- can arms-control negotiators. For the first time in his presidency, Reagan met with staffers of the National Security wee . eagan s an ers as m n s o Baker set out to limit the damage of the Tower report's criticism of the President's detached "management style." In his first day on the job, the new chief of staff popped into the White House briefing room to announce that he had "never seen Ronald Reagan more energetic, more fully engaged and more in com- mand of difficult circumstances and ques- tions." The following day the President appeared in the briefing room for the first time since late November, although he Council on their turf in the Old Executive Office Building and lectured them on his directive prohibiting all covert NSC opera- tions. On his way to the meeting, Reagan practically bounded up two flights of stairs, leaving Baker and another aide, Presidential Spokesman Martin Fitz- water, panting behind him. The President tried to shift attention to his political agenda. Speaking before the National Newspaper Association last week, Reagan said that the nation had spent enough time concerning itself with "who's up and who's down, who's in and out" (an inadvertent echo from King Lear) as a result of the scandal. "So far as I'm concerned," said the President, "the American people sent me here to do a job, and there are just two years left to get it done." Among the President's top priori- ties for the remainder of his term: an arms treaty with the Soviets. But the President and his advisers are .well aware that the burst of public ap- pearances can do' only so much. "We can't manage by photograph," noted one aide. If the Tower commission report gal- vanized the President, aides say, it also made him conscious finally of how seri- ous his difficulties are. Reagan slogged through the report over the weekend fol- lowing its release, and those who saw him before and afterward sensed his s dawning realization of the depth of I his roblem-as well as enuine n p g surprise at much of what he read. When Reagan returned to the Oval Office Monday morning, he at last seemed to recognize what he was up against. That day he went to work on his response. The basic draft was written by Landon Parvin, a White House speechwriter who has done more work for the First Lady than for the President. According to Fitz- water, Parvin received advice from "everybody and his brother": Howard Baker, Frank Carlucci, Treasury Secretary James Baker, Pollster Richard Wirthlin, Politi- cal Consultant Stuart Spencer, Nancy Reagan's former and current press secre- taries Sheila Tate and Elaine Crispen, Fitzwater and his staff. Parvin first met with the President the day after the Tower report was released. Reagan had read only about a third of the document, but he was able to give Parvin a sense of what he wanted to say. While he did not substantially alter the work the fol- lowing week, the President added a few important flourishes. "It was a personal speech," said a White House source, "so it had to come from him." Reagan had insisted on waiting for the release of the Tower report before fac- ing the public on Iranscam, and he used the document as a guide for his com- Take-charge image: Reagan meeting with the staff of the National Security Council in the Old Executive Office Building A sudden burst of photo opportunities for reporters, but as one aide said, "We can't manage by photograph. " Continued Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/08/16: CIA-RDP99-01448R000301290010-3 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/08/16: CIA-RDP99-01448R000301290010-3 ments. The President once again depicted himself as an innocent bystander in the Iran-contra affair, accepting responsibil- ity for actions that took place "without my Knowledge." Reagan said he "had to hunt pretty hard to find any good news in the board's report," but patted himself on the back by citing a sentence he was "re- lieved" to find in the 288-page document: "The President does indeed want the full story to be told." Reagan accepted the commission's finding that his Iran initiative "deterio- rated" into an arms-for-hostages trade. But he stubbornly clung to the notion that his dealings with the Iranians were in- tended as a diplomatic overture: "My heart and my best intentions still tell me that is true, but the facts and the evidence tell me it is not." Reagan attributed the deterioration of the initiative to his deep compassion. "I let my personal concern for the hostages spill over into the geopo- litical strategy of reaching out to Iran," he explained. "I asked so many questions about the hostages' welfare that I didn't ask enough about the specifics of the Iran plan." The President repeated the assertion he made to the Tower commission that "no one kept proper records of meetings or decisions," and without such records he could not remember whether he had approved the initial Israeli arms ship- ment to Iran before or after it occurred. Said Reagan: "I did approve it:I just can't say specifically when." Since the Tower commission could not answer the question of what hap- pened to the funds diverted to the contras, Reagan hardly discussed the matter, sim- ply expressing confidence that the "truth will come out." He did not address a cen- tral finding of the report, that NSC offi- cials secretly managed the contra war ef- fort at a time when U.S. law prohibited U.S. military assistance to the rebels. As he has done previously, Reagan assured his audience that "I didn't know about any diversion of funds to the contras, " adding, however, that "as President, I cannot escape responsibility." Reagan defended the "management style" that the Tower board cited as a key reason for the White House crisis, saying it was a mode of leadership that served most of his presidency. While he conced- ed that his style "didn't match its previ- ous,track record" in the Iran-contra af- fair, he made no serious promise to reform his ways. The President did announce that he was going "beyond the board's recom= mendations" for restoring order to the .NSC. The moves he enumerated, however, were window dressing. He said he had is- sued a directive prohibiting the NSC staff from undertaking operations, but Car- lucci instituted such an order two weeks after he took over the NSC in January. Reagan told his audience he would put a legal adviser on the NSC staff "to assure a greater sensitivity to matters of law." The council already had such an adviser, most That Was Then... This Is Now We'll do everything necessary to get at the truth, and then we'll make the truth known. !! Point Mugu Naval Air Station, Calif., Nov. 30 id I've paid a price for my silence in terms of your trust and confidence. But I have had to wait, as you have, for the complete story. If id We did not trade weapons or anything else for hostages. !! Television speech, Nov. 13 I do not believe it was wrong to establish contacts with a country of strategic importance or to try to save lives. If State of the Union address, Jan. 27 I think we took the only action we could have in Iran. I am not going to disavow it. I do not think it was a mistake. !! TIME interview, Nov. 26 Surround yourself with the best people you can find, delegate authority, and don't interfere as long as the policy you've decided upon is being carried out. If FORTUNE interview, Sept. 15 ii Lieut. Colonel North... is a national hero. My only criticism is that I wasn't told everything. III TIME interview, Nov. 26 Ad I had no knowledge whatsoever of [the contra diversion] until Ed Meese briefed me on it. If White House statement, Dec. 1 Ad A few months ago, I told the American people I did not trade arms for hostages. My heart and my best intentions still tell me that is true, but the facts and evidence tell me it is not. What began as a strategic opening to Iran deteriorated... into trading arms for hostages. 99 I let my personal concern for the hostages spill over into the geopolitical strategy of reaching out to Iran. 1111 Ad [Trading arms for hostages] runs counter to my own beliefs, to Administration policy and to the original strategy we had in mind... It was a mistake. fill id Much has been said about my management style ... When it came to managing the NSC staff, let's face it, my style didn't match its previous track record. !11 fi As disappointed as I may be in some who served me, I am still the only one who must answer to the American people for this behavior. 111Y fi As I told the Tower board, I didn't know about any diversion of funds to the contras. But as President, I cannot escape responsibility. 119 Continued Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/08/16: CIA-RDP99-01448R000301290010-3 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/08/16: CIA-RDP99-01448R000301290010-3 recently Paul Thompson, who served un- der former National Security Advisers Robert McFarlane and John Poindexter and is still with the NSC. The President ordered an NSC review of all U.S. covert activities, directing that future covert operations must be "in sup- port of clear policy objectives and in com- pliance with American values-" Such--a- review would hardly be more effective than the congressional oversight required by law, which Reagan ignored when he approved the arms sales to Iran. Although the President was more forthright than ever before in accepting blame for the Iran fiasco, he made no at- tempt to assign responsibility for specific actions. In his State of the Union address he assumed the passive voice, saying "se- rious mistakes were made." Reagan was nearly as vague last week when he said. "It was a mistake." More significantly, the President did not question the wisdom or morality of using weapons sales to try to buy influence in a hos- tile nation like Iran. It was a question that prominent figures of both parties wanted him to raise. Said former Nevada Repub- lican Senator Paul Laxalt, one of Rea- gan's closest advisers: "I'd particularly like to have him, in retrospect, look back and say, 'This was a flawed policy.' - Democratic House Speaker Jim Wright declared it was a "wrong policy to send arms to the terrorist government of Iran, whether or not they were offered in ex- change for hostages." But the President would not concede error on that score. If the President minced some of his words, he nevertheless went further in coming to terms with the scandal than he had on any previous occasion. But his mea culpa was not nearly as straightfor- ward or as timely as the one delivered by Jimmy Carter immediately following the disastrous failure of the 1980 Desert One mission to rescue U.S. hostages in Iran. Carter faced the issue squarely: "It was my decision to attempt the rescue opera- tion. It was my decision to cancel it when problems developed. The responsibility is fully my own." Reagan put a more posi- tive spin on his confession by offering a bit of homespun wisdom worthy of Will Rogers. "Now what should happen when you make a mistake is this," he said. "You take your knocks, you learn your lessons, and then you move on. That's the healthiest way to deal with a problem." While the President showed that he can still do wonders with a carefully wrought address, the aftershocks from the Tower report are likely to continue. He might be forced to confront two re- maining aides who have been criticized for their behavior in the Iran initiative. Secretary of State George Shultz and De- fense Secretary Caspar Weinberger ob- jected last week to the Tower report's cri- tique of their performance in Iranscam. According to the document, the two offi- cials "simply distanced themselves from the program. They protected the record as to their own positions on this issue. They were not energetic in attempting to protect the President from the conse- quences of his personal commitment to freeing the hostages." Traveling in the Orient. Shultz told reporters, "I do not agree that my actions were designed somehow or other to make a record to protect myself. I do not oper- ate that way." In Boston, Weinberger complained that the "commission state- ments just don't have any evidence or any support behind them at all." He added pointedly, "It's a little odd to be criticized for being opposed to a program that the Tower commission also opposed." The White House had a cool reaction to the Secretaries' carping. "The Presi- dent accepts the report," said Fitzwater curtly. "Mr. Shultz and Mr. Weinberger can speak for themselves." Speculation around Washington last week that Shultz's days are numbered was undercut by the President when the White House announced that the Secretary of State would visit Moscow next month for re- newed discussions with the Soviets. A highly regarded diplomat whose depar- ture would be unsettling to U.S. allies. Shultz has enraged Reagan loyalists by his criticisms of the Iran initiative. Nev- ertheless, he flatly stated last week, '"I have no plans to leave. So wipe that off your slate." If the President is to get beyond the Iran scandal. he will have to concentrate on the second half of the remedy suggested to him last fall by Richard Nixon: fire two or three more people involved, and then change the subject. As televised congres- sional hearings on Iranscam get under way next month and Special Prosecutor Law- rence Walsh prepares possible indictments against former White House officials. the Administration could be hard pressed to find a subject that will compete for the Senate Majority Leader Byrd tunes in: "One speech is not enough to rebuild trust" Democrats tentatively hailed Reagan 's message but criticized the messenger. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/08/16: CIA-RDP99-01448R000301290010-3 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/08/16: CIA-RDP99-01448R000301290010-3 public's attention. An arms treaty with the Soviet Union, signed at a summit confer- ence in the U.S. with Gorbachev, undoubt- edly represents Reagan's best opportunity to surmount his difficulties and crown his tenure in the White House. On Capitol Hill, there is a sense of an- ticipation as lawmakers from both parties wait to see how the power dynamic will change in the coming legislative battles. Since the start of the 100th Congress in January, the Democrats have snatched the political agenda from the Republi- cans. In addition to forming two special committees to investigate Iranscam, the resurgent Democrats have been challeng- ing Reagan on Central American policy, arms control, taxes, trade issues, the clean-water bill, aid for the homeless. As the White House hunkered down, G.O.P. congressional unity started crumbling. "The effect was devastating," said Repre- sentative Lynn Martin of Illinois, vice chairman of the House Republican con- ference. "We were sort of helpless. A Car- ter malaise had struck Republicans." But there was a palpable excitement among congressional Republicans the morning after the address. South Dakota Senator Larry Pressler used a hockey metaphor to express his glee. "The Gip- per has had some time in the penalty box," said he. "But now he's back on the ice. The speech revived, rekindled, re- newed, renovated and recharged the Rea- gan presidency." Some prominent Republicans were more cautious in their praise. Conservative Georgia Congress- man Newt Gingrich, who de- clared after the release of the Tower re- port that the President "will never again be the Reagan he was before he blew it," was generally pleased with the address, but he warned, "It's going to take five or six months of steady, systematic work to restore his presidency." Democrats, wanting to keep pressure on Reagan, ten- tatively hailed his message but criticized the messenger. Said Senate Majority Leader Robert Byrd: "The President has to become involved. He is going to have to change his work style. One speech is not enough to rebuild trust." The Democrats say they plan to hold the President "to higher standards." Ex- plains one party strategist: "The measure we're going to set is, Will he work with Congress on the budget, on arms control and on trade? If he does, then the prob- lems get solved." Looking ahead to the '88 elections, this Democrat adds, "If he doesn't, then we win next time around." The situation may not be quite so cut and dried. On issues ranging from deficit reduction to foreign policy, the Demo- crats need Reagan's support if they are to attain their legislative goals. On most key matters, the party simply does not have the votes to override a presidential veto. The Democrats will have to be particu- larly careful on tax issues. Last week Speaker Wright called for a tax hike of as much as $20 billion a year to help reduce the Administration's somewhat optimis- tic $108 billion projection for next year's deficit. Wright's proposals were met with a slight shudder by Illinois Congressman Dan Rostenkowski, chairman of the Ways and Means Committee. "I don't think there's any member of my commit- tee who wouldn't support revenues geared to deficit reduction," said Rostenkowski. "But they don't want to give the President the chance to kick them around and then no( accomplish the goal." From the Administration's view- point, some solid legislative victories could help immensely in getting Reagan back on track. The need to stroke Con- gress was a principal reason why Baker, a beloved figure on Capitol Hill, was cho- sen to replace Donald Regan, who never bothered to foster friendly ties with the lawmakers. "It's dramatic because Re- gan's weakest suit is Baker's strongest," said a presidential aide. "Congress holds the key to all the flash points. They're such important critics, sources for so many stories. If they can be defused, half the battle is over." Yet Reagan and Baker could be vul- nerable to an attack from G.O.P. conser- vatives if they get too cozy with the Dem- ocrats. New York Republican Jack Kemp, who hopes to carry the conserva- tive banner to the G.O.P. presidential nomination next year, is already sound- ing warnings about the conciliatory tone at the White House. "We can call sum- mits with the Soviets and the Democrats, or we can move out with the Reagan agenda," says Kemp. "If the White House sits down to write a trade bill or a budget in a summit with Bob Byrd or Jim Wright, it's over." When the President met last week with a delegation of conser- vative Senators, he listed as his legislative priorities the deployment of Star Wars, a balanced-budget amendment and prohi- bition of abortion. While that may be an agenda that does not smack of compro- mise, it is also one that does not hold much promise of achievement. The President's first confrontation with the new Congress could come imme- diately. Last week Reagan made a formal request to the lawmakers to release the last installment of $100 million in aid that was granted to the Nicaraguan contras in 1986. To win the release of the $40 mil- lion, the Administration had to certify that peaceful efforts to reform Nicara- gua's Marxist Sandinista regime have been futile. Congressional Democrats hope to counter Reagan's move by impos- ing a moratorium on any further contra aid until the Administration accounts for money that has already been sent to the rebels, including the funds diverted from the Iranian arms sales and contributions solicited from private sources. Reagan is in for an even more ferocious struggle over contra aid next fall, when he makes his official request for an additional $105 million in assistance for the rebels. Ronald Reagan is not necessarily doomed to repeat the dispiriting pattern of failure that has hounded too many re- cent Presidents. If the Iran-contra scan- dal has left many Americans uneasy about Reagan's grip on his job, last week's performance demonstrated that the still popular President retains at least some of his powers. But if he is to recoup, he will have to resist his tendency to rely on theatrics rather than hard work. As the President and the First Lady depart- ed for Camp David last week, Reagan cheerfully bantered with a group of young supporters. Talking about his agenda for the next two years, he recalled an old show business adage: "Save something for the third act." -By Jacob V Lamar Jr. Reported by David Beckwith, Michael Duffy and Barrett Seaman/Washington Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/08/16: CIA-RDP99-01448R000301290010-3