DRAFT PROPOSAL ON ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT OF ILLICIT MARIJUANA CULTIVATION IN SELECTED REGIONS OF JAMAICA

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP98-00500R000200180005-6
• Release Decision: RIFPUB
• Original Classification: K
• Document Page Count: 31
• Document Creation Date: December 22, 2016
• Document Release Date: June 1, 2012
• Sequence Number: 5
• Publication Date: September 17, 1987
• Content Type: REPORT

Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
DRAFT
PROPOSAL
ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT OF ILLICIT MARIJUANA
CULTIVATION IN SELECTED REGIONS OF JAMAICA
SEPTEMBER 17, 1987
from
BATTELLE
Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
 . Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
DRAFT
PROPOSAL
ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT OF ILLICIT MARIJUANA
CULTIVATION IN SELECTED REGIONS OF JAMAICA
SEPTEMBER 17, 1987
from
BATTELLE
INTRODUCTION
Considerable attention and effort has been devoted to influencing the
control of illicit drug production outside the United States. One strategy is
to illustrate to foreign leaders the environmental and associated socioeconomic
consequences of continued production of the illicit crops. The U.S. desires to
continue and enlarge on this strategy.
In particular, many of the growing regions for these crops are
located in fragile ecosystems. The growing regions to be included in this
program often are located in tropical or subtropical climates on steeply
sloped, highly erosive, thin, and leached soils with virgin woody species
cover. Deforestation and certain other agricultural practices in these
environments are known to have devastating short- and long-term effects on the
environment, and on related socioeconomic factors (Figure 1). Among other
negative consequences, deforestation interrupts for extended periods the
intricate and balanced, primary and secondary, productivity of tropical soils,
flora, and fauna. Destruction of genetic resources (germplasm) also is an
important consequence of tropical deforestation.
Battelle has been asked to prepare this proposal with a view toward
providing technical and socioeconomic information which can be used to support
the strategy.
Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
 . Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
AREA AND
DEGREE OF
DISRUPTION
HIGH
HI
SMALL
LO
OLDER SITES,
RECOVERING
FIGURE 1. THE DEVASTATING ENVIRONMENTAL AND SOCIOECONOMIC
CONSEQUENCES OF DEFORESTING AGRICULTURAL PRACTICES
ARE RAPID, AND RECOVER SLOWLY
Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
 Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
The focus of this program is on identifying and assessing the natural
and socioeconomic resource effects which result from growing marijuana in
Jamaica. The output should support U.S. policy development, be country-
specific, and have a material bearing on leaders' decision-making with respect
to active inhibition of the illicit crop production. The major emphasis of
this program is on direct environmental and socioeconomic effects. Lesser
emphasis would be placed on effects of a micro-scale (i.e., on the grower) or
on macro-scale issues (i.e., global climate). The results of this program, if
positive, should provide a framework for conducting similar work in additional
countries and with additional crops.
This document describes our understanding of the program's objectives
and scope, our suggested approach for meeting the objectives, the anticipated
program output, a preliminary schedule of activities, and a description of the
core program team members and their experiences.
Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
 . Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-00500R000200180005-6
-4-
OBJECTIVE AND SCOPE
The primary objective of this program is to:
? Identify, describe, and document for the region
of interest the major environmental consequences,
and the related socioeconomic implications, of
the production of the illicit marijuana crop.
This information will be used to encourage
leaders to actively inhibit the illicit crop
production.
Our goal is to create and conduct a tightly focused program yielding
highly usable results. The results also can establish a framework for future
programs that can focus on other aspects of the problem. To that end, several
elements delineate the scope of the program.
? Geographic Region. The spatial focus of the
program includes certain areas of west-central
Jamaica that currently or potentially are
impacted by illicit marijuana growing. The areas
included in this geographical focus collectively
can be termed `affected regions'. More detailed
geographic descriptions of the focus regions need
to be developed through discussion with our
client. There will be a need for analysis on an
`affected region' basis, as environments and
likely effects differ across areas.
? Crop. Marijuana is the crop of interest in this
region.
? Environmental Implications. We will be focusing
on examining direct effects (changes of vertical
and horizontal aspects of vegetative cover, soil
fertility, local erosion, flooding, in-stream
sedimentation, loss of nutrients from burned
vegetation, recovery rates on growing areas,
etc.) of both short- and mid-term nature.
Indirect and long-term effects, such as possible
changes in fauna, climate, atmospheric
conditions, etc. would receive less attention in
this program (Figure 2).
Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-00500R000200180005-6
 Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
NATIONAL
REGIONAL
sITE
FIGURE 2. THE FOCUS OF THE PROGRAM IS ON NATIONAL "AFFECTED
REGION" BASES, AND ON NEAR- TO MID-TERM AFFECTS
Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
 Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
? Socioeconomic Implications. This element is
designed to allow us to integrate and convert the
findings from the environmental analyses to
socioeconomic variables and descriptions.
As with environmental effect descriptions, we
will be examining direct as opposed to indirect
or distant effects. In this program, we will
concentrate first on the implications to the
drug-growing region of the producing country,
giving lesser attention to its growers,
alternative employment, and alternative crops.
Downstream costs in the countries of consumption
are outside the scope of this program.
Socioeconomic implications of illicit crops
cultivation may far outweigh the direct
socioeconomic implications. The development of
underground economies alienates participants from
the law-abiding citizenry of the country.
Illicit crop cultivation also leads entire
regions of the country to fall under the control
of "protecting" guerilla and organized crime
groups. Intra-country aid programs also can be
affected.
Costs will be monetarily quantified within the
context of supporting policy, and when sufficient
supporting documentation is available.
Otherwise, costs will be stated in environmental
and socioeconomic terms on a per unit basis for
`affected regions' (e.g., loss of soil or
nutrients per hectare; hectare-years of habitat
destruction). We will express the observed and
measured costs of illicit crop growing on a
regional basis since each cropping site affects
areas beyond the actual site borders through in-
stream sedimentation and other processes. We
believe that focusing on the overall costs to the
regions that support illicit crop growing, rather
than on the costs to individual illicit crop
plots will provide results more central to the
needs in this program.
Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
 Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
-7-
ANTICIPATED RESULTS
We anticipate being able to accomplish the following in this program:
? Develop descriptions for the `affected regions'
of the direct near- and mid-term environmental
effects to soils, vegetation, and waterways, and
the associated socioeconomic implications of
growing the illicit drug crop. The major
emphasis will be on the environmental impacts of
the illicit agricultural systems, placed in an
socioeconomic context.
? Develop documentation supporting the effects and
implications through review of the scientific
literature, photographs, on-site sampling and
analyses, and interviews with local and inter-
national experts in the field. Where possible,
`before and after' analyses will be depicted.
? Provide a concise report of our key findings
designed to meet the needs of our client and to
be credible to the political leaders (parish,
national) in the country. The scientific and
technical support to our conclusions and
implications will be provided in appendices.
? Develop and utilize Geographic Information System
(GIS) database of imagery and collateral data
assembled for the `affected regions'.
? Provide a briefing package consisting of report
supplements in the form of high quality imagery
of altered sites, captioned 35 mm slides, and a
narrated videotape presentation usable for
audiences with the foreign leaders and in other
contexts.
Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
 Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-00500R000200180005-6
-8-
APPROACH
Battelle proposes a four-task approach to this program. The four
?
Task A.
Detailed Planning and Resource Acquisition
?
Task B.
Resource Loss Analysis
?
Task C.
Implications Analysis
?
Task D.
Reporting.
This approach will facilitate an orderly development of information
to reach our anticipated results. Each of the four tasks and their
interrelationships are described below.
Task A. Detailed Planning and Resource Acquisition
Objectives
Task A is the major planning activity of the program. During this
task, the Program Management and Core Team will convert the approach outlined
in this proposal into specific assignments and responsibilities for Battelle
team members. In addition, all literature, imagery and other information needs
will be identified and acquired.
Our client liaison should participate in this task not only as an
informational resource, but also to assure that the final plans remain directed
to our client's specific needs. This program (its objectives, time, budget,
etc.) is not amenable to major changes in direction, repeat of tasks, or
multiple field visits to the same sites.
Strategy
Task A will be consist of four steps, each needing to be accomplished
concurrently during the first two weeks of the program.
Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-00500R000200180005-6
 Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
Step A-1. Produce Work Plan and Methodology. The work plan outlined
in this proposal will be expanded to specific assignments and responsibilities
for program team members. Any modifications to the approach will be made at
this time.
Step A-2. Access Literature. The current literature will be
consulted and utilized with the technical and experimental approaches proposed
for this study. Literature searches will be run concurrently by Battelle's
Columbus (BCD) and Northwest (BNW) Divisions. BCD will identify and acquire
literature relevant to environmental damage caused by licit and illicit slash
and burn agriculture. BNW will identify and acquire relevant remote sensing
and spectral radiometry literature. In addition to information already housed
within Battelle's files, literature searches will be conducted on computerized
international literature databases through the DIALOG database service.
Battelle has on-line access to DIALOG and has established methods for rapid
retrieval of potentially interesting references.
One of the goals of the literature search will be to characterize the
life cycles of altered sites, and the human parameters affecting these sites.
Life cycle information includes planting and harvesting cycles, frequency of
site reuse, and other information. Human parameters include relative
preferences for southern exposures, degree of slope, biomass density of
candidate illicit crop plots, planting practices, and abandonment of sites.
Concurrent with conducting the literature searches, the program team
will identify appropriate individuals in tropical agriculture, forestry,
ecology, remote sensing, and narcotics cultivation to be interviewed as needed
during the course of this program. Interview appointments will be set up with
appropriate experts. We anticipate that interviews will be conducted within
both the U.S. and in Jamaica.
An attempt will be made specifically to access information available
at the University of Mississippi's marijuana research facility. A first-cut
list of candidate in-country (faculty) interviewees will be developed between
Battelle and Dr. Fredrich early in the program and expanded throughout the
first month of the program.
Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
 Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
Step A-3. Acquire Imagery Resources. During this step, all
appropriate imagery-related data (to be provided by the client) will be
acquired by BNW. Both image and collateral data will be acquired and digitized
to initialize the Geographic Information System. At this time, the available
imagery-related data will be compared with the needs of the program; any
potential problems will be identified and resolved. The imagery needs of the
program will be finalized through discussions between the client and Battelle.
Three phases of activity involving imagery are presumed in the
? orientation, and overview for site selection
? analysis of and extrapolation from site visits
? final reporting.
Step A-4. Pre-Field Visit Meeting. Once all major program resources
have been acquired, members of the program team will meet to finalize plans for
the Resource Loss Analysis task. This meeting will take place at BNW where
imagery and collateral data will be available for review. The client will
participate in at least part of the workshop to provide guidance in selecting
study sites and to comment on proposed strategies.
More specifically, the objectives of the meeting are to:
? review initial work plan and refine as needed
? delineate specific field study sites/areas
? discuss field methods
? plan field protocol for resource losses via video
and still photography
? review acquired image and collateral data
? provide maps, imagery, photographs, and other
materials needed by the field team for the field
visit.
Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
 Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
Delineation of the study sites (the second meeting objective) merits
further elaboration. Because all altered sites cannot be observed by the
program team, a sample of these sites will be selected for use in making field
measurements. The sample size necessarily will be small. Therefore, it is
important that the sample be representative. Also, it is important that the
sampled sites be located in representative watersheds. Guidance will be sought
from the literature and from the client liaison in selecting representative
altered sites.
Schedule
This task should be initiated immediately upon initiation of the
program, and acquisition of all literature and image-related data should be
completed no later than the fourth week of the program.
Task B. Resource Loss Analysis
Objectives
The overall objective of this task is to estimate the environmental
damage caused by illicit cultivation of marijuana in Jamaica. Environmental
damage will be measured in terms of five types of resource loss:
? soil
? habitat
? water
? biomass
? genetic.
Losses of these resources will be estimated for the entire `affected regions'.
These estimates of environmental damage will serve as the primary input for
evaluating the total environmental, and socioeconomic implications of illicit
crop cultivation.
Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
 Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
Strategy
Our strategy for estimating losses by type includes using published
and verified procedures where they exist, utilizing digital analysis for
quantitative measures across `affected regions' and across the country where we
can reliably, and carrying out credible, creative manual calculations and
descriptions of loss when more automated procedures will not work. Task B is
divided into four steps.
Step B-1. Define Resource Loss Estimation Procedures. A separate
estimation procedure will be devised for each of the five types of resource
loss. Some of the estimation procedures will be derived from information
available in the literature which has been validated and appended through field
observations. The loss estimation procedures will require from imagery
estimates of the numbers and sizes of altered sites in the `affected regions'.
However, most of the actual resource loss Calculations may need to be done
manually (rather than through digital analysis) because we do not anticipate
that the particular resources could be measured in the field and then
correlated with imagery data with confidence. This is especially true for the
genetic resources loss category.
Other resource loss estimation procedures may be able to be automated
to a greater extent, e.g., soil loss -- presuming that degree of slope, percent
vegetation cover, and rainfall data are available in the GIS image and
collateral data, we may be able to estimate loss largely via digital analysis.
Step B-2. Define Affected Regions Spatially, Physically, and
Temporally. The spatial focus of this program includes the mountainous areas
of western Jamaica which currently or potentially are impacted by illicit
marijuana growing. The areas included in this geographical focus collectively
are termed `affected regions'. More detailed geographic descriptions of the
focus regions need to be developed. As an example of a narrowing of geographic
descriptions, we may exclude areas over 10,000 ft in altitude or having slopes
exceeding 70 degrees as unlikely ever to be used for illicit crop culture. In
Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
 Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
addition, river and coastal areas exposed to siltation will be identified and
included in the definition of `affected regions'.
The temporal focus of this study includes the current situation as
well as the previous five to ten years. The exact length of the retrospective
analysis will be determined via the availability of imagery.
Some attention will need to be paid to effects across seasons. We
will be carrying out this program during the dry season, and will not be able
to directly view immediate effects during the rainy season. Therefore, we
intend to discuss seasonal effects with in-country personnel so that we present
a fair over-the-year picture.
The concept of an `affected region' will be valuable in deriving
environmental and socioeconomic implications of illicit narcotics crops
cultivation. The `affected region' definition will allow specification of the
geographic scope of environmental, and socioeconomic damage. Knowing not only
the extent of damage, but also the location within the country will facilitate
deriving implications for the country as a whole.
Step B-3. Field Visit and Interviews. The field team will visit
actual illicit and licit crop production sites in Jamaica, as well as conduct
interviews with individuals identified during Task A, who are knowledgeable
about tropical agriculture, forestry, and cultivation of marijuana. During the
visits to altered sites, the field team will have two overall objectives.
First, the altered sites, watersheds, and surrounding areas will be studied and
also recorded with high quality still and video photography. Second, the field
team will measure sites for resource levels and obtain corresponding spectral
signatures with field spectral radiometers. Sites on which measurements are
made must be reliably correlated to the hand-carried imagery and graphics by
the field team.
It is anticipated that fly-over and on-ground visits can be made to
unaltered (virgin) and legal agricultural sites in addition to illicit crop
sites and sites recovering from illicit crop cultivation (Figure 3).
7
Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
 Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
INTRACOUNTRY
COMPARISONS
BY CROP AND
CROP SITES
ILLICIT
ILLICIT CROP
CROP
SITES
SITES
RECOVERING
VIRGIN
LEGAL
SITES
AGRICULTURAL
SITES
FIGURE 3. ON-SITE VISITS SHOULD BE MADE TO VARIOUS
SITE TYPES TO ALLOW COMPARISONS OF EFFECTS
Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
 Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
The field team will assess soil, biomass and timber, genetic, land
and water resource levels both on undisturbed sites and on altered sites at
different stages of recovery.
Step B-4. Apply Resource Loss Estimation Procedure to Entire
Affected Regions. Each of the five resource loss estimation procedures will be
applied to all affected sites identifiable in satellite imagery so as to
estimate total resource losses for the `affected regions'. Results will be
expressed in physical units such as tons of soil, board feet of timber, etc.
and will be entered into the GIS database.
In addition to current losses, the estimation procedure (where
imagery exists) should be applied to the `affected regions' for at least two
previous time periods to derive retrospective estimates of losses.
Schedule
Steps B-I and B-2 will be initiated during the meeting held during
Step A-4, and should be completed by about the sixth week of the program. The
date of the field visit is subject to change, but currently is scheduled for
late in November. Step B-4 should begin upon the return of the field team from
Jamaica.
Task C. Implications Analysis
In interpreting our findings, we expect to use a simple ranking
system (high, medium, low) to better translate our knowledge into meaningful,
lay-language findings. For example, we may be able to report a high extent and
high magnitude consequence in certain regions, a low extent and low magnitude
consequence in other regions. Out of these relative magnitude of loss
estimates will flow levels of environmental concern and socioeconomic
priorities. Given our findings at this stage, we will begin to draw formal
conclusions relating to the environmental, and socioeconomic implications of
growing the crops in the regions of interest. Meaningful implications will be
described qualitatively and, where possible, quantitatively and monetarily.
Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
 Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
This Task closes with a detailed outline of our findings,
implications, and reporting frameworks. At this point, we will schedule a
meeting with the COTR so as to formally review progress and to finalize plans
with respect to the content and nature of reporting.
Strategy
The output of the resource loss estimation procedure will be units of
resources lost and gained, tracked by the area measurements of affected
habitats. These data will be supplemented with estimates of normal background
levels of resources and the normal resource cycling in undisturbed sites and
watersheds. These data will be interpreted by the program team, and the
implications for the `affected regions' and the country as a whole will be
expressed in environmental, and socioeconomic terms. In each case, future
projections will be presented along with an analysis of the current and past
situations. Brief perspectives on implications for the environmental, and
socioeconomic categories follow:
? Environmental Implications -- Environmental
implications for resource loss will be expressed
fundamentally on a watershed basis. From these
conclusions, the program team will derive
environmental implications for the entire
`affected regions' in an extrapolative fashion.
For example, habitat conversions, biomass
changes, nutrient changes, species and genetic
changes, and siltation of major rivers and
coastal areas likely will be important
environmental effects.
? Socioeconomic Implications -- Valuations will be
placed on each of the environmental resources
lost through illicit narcotics crops cultivation.
Some valuations, such as those placed on timber
or fuel are anticipated to be relatively
straightforward. Others, such as those placed on
genetic resources will involve making assumptions
from field data and extrapolating over time.
l-I do2s
f ~ l ovl-e- ~-v
Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
 Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
One aspect of the literature search will assess
the merits of various resource valuation
techniques. This literature along with along
with techniques used by Battelle in other
programs will be used to develop an integrated
approach suitable for the Jamaican situation.
Some examples of approaches for valuing natural
and environmental resources include: 1)
inferential, where the value of a nonmarket good
such as genetic resources is inferred from the
value of a market good; 2) contingent, where a
hypothetical market is created; 3) restorative,
where values are placed on the cost of replacing
or restoring natural resources, and; 4)
marginal, where the value of lost, but possible
production is estimated (e.g., soil nutrient
depletion resulting in lower biomass production).
Schedule
The full implications analyses must wait until after resource loss
calculations have been made. However, we anticipate that implications analysis
for certain aspects can start by about the end of the third month of the
program.
Task D. Reporting
In reporting the results of this program, we propose providing two
distinct deliverables: 1) a written report, and; 2) a graphics-oriented
briefing package.
Written Report
A written report in two volumes will summarize the conclusions of the
study. This report also will serve to record the methodologies used in the
study, and to document the technical and scientific evidence for the
conclusions. The first volume would be a concise "executive summary"
consisting of five to ten pages which might be distributed to local leaders.
We suggest that this first volume be written in lay language, be hard-hitting
in a credible way, and contain color photographs and other presentation-quality
Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
 Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
graphics which support the key findings. The second volume (a set of
appendices) will provide the technical discussion and documentation of our
findings.
Briefing Package
The second reporting format will constitute a briefing package,
usable by the client in face-to-face discussions with foreign leaders. The
briefing package will allow the client to communicate the findings of this
program graphically through slides and videotape, and not be dependent upon
large amounts of written documentation to tell the story. The executive
summary described above also could serve as a useful "brochure" accompanying
the briefing package.
Specifically, the briefing package will consist of a set of slides,
satellite images, and a 10- to 12-minute videotape. Narration-style captions
(in English) will accompany the slides, and the videotape will be scripted.
It is important for the client to participate with the program
team and Battelle's presentation specialists in editing the briefing package,
selecting the slide captions, and assisting in videotape scripting.
Schedule
Preparation of the reporting materials can be completed after the
analysis for Jamaica is completed. All materials will be turned over to the
client between the fourth and fifth months of the program.
Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
 Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
PRELIMINARY SCHEDULE
Figure 4 illustrates a preliminary schedule for each of the Tasks
discussed in the earlier section of this white paper. Contractually, we have
assumed a six-month program beginning October 1, 1987. Given an October 1
start, our goal is to complete the Jamaican program by between February 1 and
February 15. A later start will move completion back by a like amount.
Careful attention to planning and detail will enable this program to
be completed on schedule. Of particular concern are possible slippages in
being able to arrange the field visits and in obtaining unpublished documents,
comparisons of satellite imagery, and photographs. The client liaison's
assistance with necessary arrangements for the in-country visit is especially
important.
Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
 Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-00500R000200180005-6
Tentative Schedule
Illicit Marijuana Production -- Jamaica
A. PLAN AND RESOURCES
a-1. Plan/Method
a-2. Literature
a-3. I eiagery
a-4. Meeting
B.- RESOURCE LOSS
b-1. Procedures
b-2. Region Def'n.
b-3. Field Visit
b-4. Est. Affected Regions
C. IMPLICATIONS
D. REPORTING
Oct 8? Nov 87 1 Dec 8? 1 Jan 88 1 Feb 88 1 Mar 88
4 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 6 20
I i I I I I I I I I I I I I I i i i l I l L
Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-00500R000200180005-6
 Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-00500R000200180005-6
DRAFT
PROPOSAL
ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT OF ILLICIT MARIJUANA
CULTIVATION IN SELECTED REGIONS OF JAMAICA
SEPTEMBER 17, 1987
from
BATTELLE
Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-00500R000200180005-6
 Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-00500R000200180005-6
CLIENT SUPPORT
We view this program as a cooperative effort between the client and
Battelle. It is essential that a solid base of communication be maintained
throughout the program. Battelle can provide appropriate assistance to the
client in environmental, agricultural, socioeconomic, and remote sensing
analyses relating to this area. It is important that the client's reservoir of
staff expertise and physical assets be made available to this program.
In particular, we will need support from the client in the following
? Provision of photos, satellite imagery, reports
(from INM, DEA, and possibly other agencies),
candidate in-country contacts, possibly certain
INM staff expertise, and other resources relevant
to this program.
? Assistance in interpreting and mensurating
satellite imagery.
? Security clearances for some of the program team
members, should clearances be required.
? Assistance in travel arrangements, and in
assuring that appropriate area clearances,
escorts, and other protective measures are taken
for the safety of the program team.
Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-00500R000200180005-6
 Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-00500R000200180005-6
PROGRAM MANAGEMENT
This program will be managed by the Special Programs Office (SPO)
under the direction of Mr. Tom Grimm, who reports directly to
Dr. Frederick J. Milford, Vice President for Special Programs. The SPO will
act as the Client's focal point for the program and will provide management
review along with all report preparation such as monthly contract status
reports, interim reports and the final contract report. Along with the
Security Office, SPO acts to ensure that the spirit and letter of security
regulations are followed. The SPO possesses all of the resources necessary for
handling classified programs including appropriately cleared personnel, secure
storage, Tempest approved computer, and a secure KY-71 telephone system.
Mr. D. Alan Scantland will be the Principal Investigator of the
proposed research program. He has training in both the biological and
socioeconomic sciences, has over 10 years experience in working with executive-
level Clients on agriculturally oriented issues, and has strong skills in
managing complex, multidisciplinary, and fast-moving programs. Mr. Scantland
will be assigned to plan, direct, and schedule the research work on this
program. We will be the primary contact with the Contracting Officers'
technical representative on all matters related to scheduling, performance, and
reporting of program research activities.
The proposed organization of the program includes participation of
experienced staff from both Battelle-Columbus and Battelle-Northwest.
Dr. Lou Martucci and Mr. George Wukelic will be the primary staff representing
Battelle's Northwest Division (see Figure 5). Significant involvement of the
Core Team members throughout the entire program is planned. Members of the
Support Team will be available when needed to participate in certain highly
focused aspects of the program.
Biographical sketches of personnel selected for the program are
included in Appendix A.
Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-00500R000200180005-6
 Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
r- ~bc-A
be-A
LSr be,d`' unoLis+v
G L 6
Out
ICA"
Or-n,&4-rj "lexe
n~~c SPECIAL PROGRAMS
PRINCIPAL
INVESTIGATOR
l ~`JI f D. A. SCANTLAND
dtj CORE TEAM
VI,IQ NME T/ 40' ROPICAL AGRONOMY
d rS S ti OI S(n?' ENVIRONMENTS
~g q
M. ARTHUR B. W. CnRNARY R A YOUNG
PRINCIPAL
INVESTIGATOR
G. E. WUKELIC
G.I.S. IMAGE/DATA ANALYSIS
PROCESSING AND
REPORTING
G. PETRIE S. KIMBALL J. STEPHEN
FIGURE 5. PROGRAM MANAGEMENT ORGANIZATION
Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
 Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
RELEVANT EXPERIENCE
The Program Team has the necessary skills and experiences to carry
out this program effectively. Included within Appendix B are brief
descriptions of a few programs we have conducted, and which illustrate the
range of experiences which we can draw upon during this program. One or more
members of the Program Team have worked on all of the Programs cited within
Appendix B.
Staff Clearances
The current status (as of September 17) of security clearances by
program team members is:
Battelle-Columbus:
Thomas D. Grimm -- Special Top Secret clearance granted
March 25, 1983
D. Alan Scantland -- Special Secret Pending September, 1987
Mickey R. Arthur -- Special Secret Pending September, 1987
Barney W. Cornaby -- Special Secret Pending September, 1987
Brian A. Young -- Special Secret Pending September, 1987
Thomas A. McClure -- Special Secret Pending September, 1987
John T. McGinnis -- Special Secret Pending September, 1987
Mason H. Soule -- Special Secret granted May 14, 1986
William J. Kelly -- Special Top Secret granted May 13, 1983
Battelle-Northwest:
Louis M. Martucci -- Special Top Secret granted February 10,
1983
George E. Wukelic -- Special Top Secret granted in 1978, updated
January 16, 1981
Greg M. Petrie -- DOE Q granted July 30, 1979, Special Secret to
be submitted
C. Scott Kimble -- DOE Q granted January 17, 1966, Special
Secret to be submitted
Joachim G. Stephan -- Special Secret granted July 27, 1965
Harlan P. Foote -- DOE Q granted January 17, 1966, Special
Secret to be submitted
Daniel Gibbons -- DOE Q
Leslie Guy McWethy -- DOE Q granted September 10, 1986
Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
 Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-00500R000200180005-6
BIOGRAPHICAL SKETCHES
Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-00500R000200180005-6
 Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
RELEVANT EXPERIENCE
Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
 Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
CANDIDATE INTERVIEWEES
Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
 Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
CAPABILITIES IN REMOTE SENSING/DIGITAL ANALYSIS
Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
 Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6
ESTIMATED BATTELLE COSTS
BATTELLE
TASK
ESTIMATED COSTS
$000
Percent
Task A. Planning and Resource
Acquisition
$ 58
21 %
Task B. Resource Loss Estimation
98
35
A
Task C. Implications
55
20
Task D. Reporting V i Jev = 2z,oov
66
24
Totals
$277
100 %
Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/06: CIA-RDP98-0050OR000200180005-6