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CIA-RDP97-00770R000100380001-1
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Document Release Date:
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Approved For Release 2011/05/18: CIA-RDP97-0077OR0001 00380001 -1
Directorate of
Economic & Energy
Indicators
DI EEI 86-014
3 July 1986
Approved For Release 2011/05/18: CIA-RDP97-0077OR0001 00380001 -1
Approved For Release 2011/05/18: CIA-RDP97-0077OR0001 00380001 -1
This publication is prepared for the use of US Government
officials, and the format, coverage, and content are designed to
meet their specific requirements. US Government officials may
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Approved For Release 2011/05/18: CIA-RDP97-0077OR0001 00380001 -1
Approved For Release 2011/05/18: CIA-RDP97-00770R000100380001-1
Economic & Energy
Indicators
Page
Economic Industrial Production
Gross National Product 1
Consumer Prices
Money Supply
Unemployment Rate
Foreign Trade
Current Account Balance
Export Prices in US $
Import Prices in US $
Exchange Rate Trends
Money Market Rates
Agricultural Prices
Industrial Materials Prices
Energy World Crude Oil Production, Excluding Natural Gas Liquids 8
Big Seven: Inland Oil Consumption 9
Big Seven: Crude Oil Imports 9
Crude Oil Prices 10
Approved For Release 2011/05/18: CIA-RDP97-00770R000100380001-1
Approved For Release 2011/05/18: CIA-RDP97-0077OR0001 00380001 -1
United States
2.6
-7.2
5.9
11.6
Japan
1.0
0.4
3.5
11.1
rv csi vcnnany
-L.3
France
-2.6
-3.9
2.1
3.9
1.3
-1.6
-3.1
-3.2
3.3
Percent chan
seasonally adj
ge from pre
usted at an
vious period
annual rate
0.5
- 00.9
5.9
-7.4
-1.0
-2.9
0
4.0
1.9
-1.1
14.0
11.7
44.9
16.4
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
Year
2d Qtr
3d Qtr 4th Qtr 1st Qtr
6.5
2.2
1.1
3.0 0.7 2.9
5.8
3.0 5.5 -2.1
6.8
6.8 -0.2 -6.5
2.3
4.7
4.7
1.2
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
1st Qtr
Mar
Apr
May
4.3
3.5
1.4
-5.0
-3.3
2.2
2.6
1.8
2.3
2.0
0
-6.3
0.3
-2.6
5.3
3.3
2.4
2.2
-0.9
-2.1
-1.2
0.2
12.0
9.5
7.7
5.8
0.8
0.7
1.6
2.4
8.6
6.1
5.3
3.5
5.6
Approved For Release 2011/05/18: CIA-RDP97-0077OR0001 00380001 -1
I! 1 I I
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Money Supply, M-1 a
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
United States b
7.1
6.6
11.2
7.0
9.1
7.9
15.0
15.5
25.9
West Germany
1.1
3.6
10.2
3.3
4.4
9.8
44.9
1.9
-5.8
France
12.2
13.9
8.6
0.5
70.3
United Kingdom
NA
NA
13.0
14.7
16.7
9.0
34.8
30.5
65.4
Italy
11.2
11.6
15.1
12.3
13.7
Canada
3.8
0.7
10.2
3.2
4.1
-13.4
10.4
-17.5
9.6
a Based on amounts in national currency units.
b Including MI-A and MI-B.
Unemployment Rate a
United States
7.5
9.6
9.4
7.4
7.1
6.9
7.0
7.1
7.0
7.2
2.2
2.4
2.7
2.7
2.6
2.8
2.6
2.7
2.9
2.7
West Germany
5.6
7.7
9.2
9.1
9.3
9.0
10.2 _
9.8
9.0
8.5
7.6
8.4
8.6
9.6
9.9
9.7
9.8
9.8
9.9
9.9
United Kingdom
10.0
11.6
12.4
12.4
12.9
12.9
13.1
13.2
13.2
13.3
Canada
7.5
11.1
11.9
11.3
10.5
10.2
9.7
9.6
9.6
9.6
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Year
4th Qtr
Ist Qtr
Mar
Apr
May
United States b
Exports 233.5
Imports 261.0
Balance -27.5
212.3
244.0
-31.6
200.7
258.0
-57.4
217.6
325.7
-108.1
213.3
345.3
-132.0
52.4
89.2
-36.8
92.9
32.0
28.8
Japan
Exports 149.6
Imports 129.5
Balance 20.1
138.2
119.6
18.6
145.4
114.0
31.4
168.1
124.1
44.0
173.9
118.0
55.9
47.3
30.3
16.9
48.0
30.1
17.9
15.7
9.3
6.4
16.7
9.9
6.8
West Germany
Exports 175.4
Imports c 163.4
Balance 11.9
176.4
155.3
21.1
169.5
152.9
16.6
171.9
153.1
18.8
184.3
158.9
25.3
51.2
43.8
7.4
55.2
45.0
10.1
17.2
14.1
3.1
21.9
17.1
4.7
Exports 106.3
Imports 115.6
Balance -9.3
96.4
110.5
-14.0
95.1
101.0
-5.9
97.5
100.3
-2.8
101.9
104.5
-2.6
28.8
29.2
-0.4
30.4
30.3
0.1
9.9
10.2
-0.4
9.9
10.6
-0.7
9.7
10.0
-0.3
United Kingdom
Exports 102.5
Imports 94.6
Balance 7.9
97.1
93.1
4.0
92.1
93.7
-1.6
93.6
99.3
-5.7
100.9
103.5
-2.5
27.3
27.6
-0.3
26.2
28.3
-2.0
8.4
10.2
-1.8
9.1
9.5
-0.4
8.9
9.9
-1.0
Exports 75.4
Imports 91.2
Balance -15.9
73.9
86.7
-12.8
72.8
80.6
-7.9
73.5
84.4
-10.9
78.8
90.8
-11.9
22.5
26.1
-3.6
23.4
26.5
-3.1
7.7
8.5
-0.8
8.2
8.2
0
8.1
7.9
0.2
Canada
Exports 70.5
Imports 64.4
Balance 6.1
68.5
54.1
14.4
73.7
59.3
14.4
86.5
70.6
15.9
88.0
75.7
12.3
22.5
19.6
2.9
21.5
19.8
1.7
6.7
5.8
0.9
7.4
6.6
0.8
a Seasonally adjusted,
b Imports are customs values.
Imports are c.i.f.
Year
4th Qtr
Ist Qtr
Mar
Apr
May
United States 6.3
-8.1
-46.6
-106.5
-117.7
-33.7
-33.7
35.0
49.2
16.0
12.7
6.9
7.9
6.7
13.8
7.4
6.9
2.1
3.8
1.9
5.0
1.1
0.7
-1.0
0.7
0.1
a Seasonally adjusted; converted to US dollars at current market
rates of exchange.
1 Approved For Release 2011/05/18: CIA-RDP97-0077OR0001 00380001 -1
Approved For Release 2011/05/18: CIA-RDP97-0077OR0001 00380001 -1
Export Prices in US $
Percent change from previous period
at an annual rate
Japan
5.5
-6.4
-2.4
0.2
-0.6
111.0
-5.7
West Germany
France
-12.0
-5.5
-4.8
-2.9
2.5
34.8
United Kingdom
NA
NA
-6.2
-5.1
2.3
-16.0
26.4 6.0 9.1
Italy
Canada
3.9
-2.0
0.2
-0.4
-3.5
14.6
-11.1 24.6
Import Prices in US $
Percent change from previous period
at an annual rate
United States
5.3
-2.0
-3.7
1.7
-2.4
-8.7
-29.9
-7.2
Japan
3.6
-7.4
-5.0
-2.8
-4.3
46.8
-66.7
West Germany
-8.6
-4.7
-5.2
-4.8
-1.5
12.7
-2.5
-23.5
-7.9
France
-7.8
-7.2
-7.0
-3.8
-0.3
18.9
United Kingdom
NA
NA
-5.7
-4.5
0.5
-2.0
26.2
-3.6
3.9
Italy
Canada
8.7
-1.1
0.6
1.0
-2.1
7.6
2.1
16.2
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Approved For Release 2011/05/18: CIA-RDP97-0077OR0001 00380001 -1
Exchange Rate Trends
Percent change from previous period
at an annual rate
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985 1986
Feb Mar
Apr
May
10.5
10.6
5.8
9.1
6.3 -31.8
-20.3
9.3
-5.7
10.4
6.2
6.8 106.4
26.2
-2.1
7.0
5.8
1.0
1.7 9.3
4.0
-5.1
-6.1
-4.7
-2.1
2.7 8.0
2.0
2.5
-2.1
-5.0
-2.5
2.0 -36.3
2.5
-9.2
-5.1
-1.6
-3.1
-3.8 8.6
4.2
0.3
0.2
2.3
-2.3
-3.6 -8.9
-5.6
2.7
-12.9
4.6
0
-0.3 61.4
33.4
22.8
42.8
-24.6
-7.2
-5.2
-11.5
-3.3 41.0
26.1
3.7
19.5
-28.7
-20.8
-15.9
-14.7
-2.7 41.0
23.7
-39.1
15.7
-13.2
-13.4
-13.3
-11.9
-3.0 -0.3
40.3
28.7
19.3
-32.8
-18.8
-12.3
-15.6
-8.6 40.9
26.2
- 4.7
18.8
Money Market Rates
1st Qtr
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
United States
90-day certificates of
deposit, secondary market
16.24
12.49
9.23
10.56
8.16
7.68
7.79
7.32
6.67
6.75
Japan
loans and discounts
(2 months)
7.79
7.23
NA
6.66
6.52
6.38
6.42
6.27
6.12
NA
West Germany
interbank loans
(3 months)
12.19
8.82
5.78
5.96
5.40
4.51
4.42
4.49
4.47
4.55
France
interbank money market
(3 months)
15.47
14.68
12.51
11.74
9.97
8.96
8.69
8.29
7.55
7.27
United Kingdom
sterling interbank loans
(3 months)
13.85
12.24
10.12
9.91
12.21
12.26
12.31
11.61
10.41
10.14
Italy
Milan interbank loans
(3 months)
20.13
20.15
18.16
15.91
14.95
16.00
16.56
16.30
13.66
12.50
Canada
finance paper (3 months)
18.46
14.48
9.53
11.30
9.71
11.08
12.04
10.92
9.52
8.78
Eurodollars
3-month deposits
16.87
13.25
9.69
10.86
8.41
7.91
8.02
7.55
6.95
6.99
I Approved For Release 2011/05/18: CIA-RDP97-0077OR0001 00380001 -1
I .,II I
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Agricultural Prices
Bananas 214.0 217.0 232.0 243.0 110.3 109.8 110.7 106.8 NA
Fresh imported,
(Total world, $ per metric ton)
Beef (Q per pound)
Australia 112.4 107.4 111.1 101.0 96.6 97.6 96.6 93.5 91.2
(Boneless beef,
f.o.b. US Ports)
United States
(Wholesale steer beef,
midwest markets)
Cocoa (? per pound)
Corn
(US #3 yellow,
c.i.f. Rotterdam, $ per metric ton)
Cotton
(World Cotton Prices, "A"
index, c.i.f. Osaka, US 0/lb.)
89.8 74.3 92.1 106.2 98.7 95.7 91.0 84.9 NA
1.28 1.40 1.32 1.44 1.43 2.01 2.04 1.92 1.79
150 123 148 150 125 116 113 113 117
Palm Oil 571 445 502 730 501 289 243 242 237
(United Kingdom 5% bulk,
c.i.f., $ per metric ton)
Rice ($ per metric ton)
US (No. 2, milled, 632 481 514 514 484 453 455 440 323
4% c.i.f. Rotterdam)
Thai SWR
(100% grade B
c.i.f. Rotterdam)
Soybeans 288 244 282 283 225 218 218 213 215
(US #2 yellow,
c.i.f. Rotterdam, $ per metric ton)
Soybean Oil 507 447 527 727 571 407 369 349 343
(Dutch, f.o.b. ex-mill,
$ per metric ton)
Soybean Meal 252 219 238 197 157 188 193 187 184
(US, c.i.f. Rotterdam
S per metric ton)
Sugar
(World raw cane, f.o.b.
Caribbean Ports, spot prices Q per pound)
Tea
Average Auction (London)
(c per pound)
Wheat
(US #2. DNS
c.i.f. Rotterdam, $ per metric ton)
Food Index I (1980=100) 88 78 86 92 81 95 97 98 95
The food index is compiled by The Economist for 14 food commodities which enter international trade. Commodities are weighted by 3-
year moving averages of imports into industrialized countries.
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Approved For Release 2011/05/18: CIA-RDP97-0077OR0001 00380001 -1
Major US producer
LME cash
Chrome Ore
(South Africa chemical
grade, $ per metric ton)
Copper a (bar, c per pound)
Gold ($ per troy ounce)
Lead a (? per pound)
Manganese Ore
(48% Mn, $ per long ton)
3.5
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
2.7
2.2
2.1
2.2
2.2
1.8
1.9
1.8
1.8
Platinum (S per troy ounce)
Major producer
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
Metals week,
New York dealers' price
Rubber (Q per pound)
Synthetic b
Silver ($ per troy ounce)
10.5
7.9
11.4
8.1
6.1
5.9
5.7
5.2
5.1
Steel Scrap d ($ per long ton)
92.0
63.1
73.2
86.4
74.4
74.0
73.7
73.0
NA
Tina (2 per pound)
641.4
581.6
590.9
556.6
543.2
357.4
329.2
257.9
249.3
Tungsten Ore
(contained metal,
$ per metric ton)
18,097
13,426
10,177
10,243
10,656
8,673
8,309
7,752
7,474
US Steel
(finished steel, composite,
$ per long ton)
543.5
567.3
590.2
611.6
617.8
551.2
551.2
551.2
NA
Lumber Index a
(I 980= 100)
95
84
Industrial Materials Index'
(I 980=100)
85
71
Approximates world market price frequently used by major world
producers and traders, although only small quantities of these
metals are actually traded on the LME. As of February 1986 tin
prices from the Penang market.
b S-type styrene, US export price.
Quoted on New York market.
a Average of No. I heavy melting steel scrap and No. 2 bundles
delivered to consumers at Pittsburgh, Philadelphia, and Chicago.
e This index is compiled by using the average of 10 types of lumber
whose prices are regarded as bellwethers of US lumber construction
costs.
'The industrial materials index is compiled by The Economist for
18 raw materials which enter international trade. Commodities are
weighted by 3-year moving averages of imports into industrialized
countries.
I Approved For Release 2011/05/18: CIA-RDP97-0077OR0001 00380001 -1
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World Crude Oil Production
Excluding Natural Gas Liquids
World
55,837
53,092
52,633
53,691
53,356
53,757
54,709
53,693
Non-Communist countries
41,602
38,810
38,228
39,257
38,692
39,471
40,423
39,407
Developed countries
12,886
13,276
13,864
14,302
14,730
15,083
15,070
14,872
United States
8,572
8,658
8,680
8,735
8,933
8,942
8,934
8,821
8,791
Canada
1,285
1,270
1,356
1,411
1,457
1,480
1,480
1,480
United Kingdom
1,811
2,094
2,299
2,535
2,533
2,734
2,699
2,699
Norway
501
518
614
700
785
839
870
860
Other
717
736
915
921
1,022
1,088
1,087
1,012
Non-OPEC LDCs
6,036
6,633
6,823
7,515
7,845
7,678
7,393
7,605
Mexico
2,321
2,746
2,666
2,746
2,733
2,510
2,400
2,219
2,358
Egypt
598
665
689
827
874
860
600
800
Other
3,117
3,222
3,468
3,942
4,238
4,308
4,393
4,586
OPEC
22,680
18,901
17,541
17,440
16,117
16,710
17,960
16,930
17,520
Algeria
803
701
699
638
645
650
550
600
600
Ecuador
211
211
236
253
280
300
220
300
300
Gabon
151
154
157
152
153
160
160
150
160
Indonesia
1,604
1,324
1,385
1,466
1,235
1,200
1,300
1,175
1,215
Iran
1,381
2,282
2,492
2,187
2,258
1,700
2,200
1,800
2,000
Iraq
993
972
922
1,203
1,437
1,680
1,880
1,650
1,500
Kuwait b
947
663
881
912
862
1,000
1,100
1,400
1,400
Libya
1,137
1,183
1,076
1,073
1,069
1,100
1,000
900
900
Neutral Zone
370
317
390
410
355
300
300
230
240
Nigeria
1,445
1,298
1,241
1,393
1,464
1,300
1,400
1,550
1,650
Qatar
405
328
295
399
302
400
300
350
180
Saudi Arabia b
9,625
6,327
4,867
4,444
3,290
4,200
4,600
4,000
4,600
1,500
1,248
1,119
1,097
1,146
1,165
1,400
1,305
1,255
Venezuela
2,108
1,893
1,781
1,813
1,621
1,555
1,550
1,520
1,520
Communist countries
14,235
14,282
14,405
14,434
14,664
14,286
14,286
14,286
USSR
11,800
11,830
11,864
11,728
11,749
11,350
11,350
11,350
China
2,024
2,042
2,121
2,286
2,496
2,496
2,496
2,496
Other
411
410
420
420
419
440
440
440
;, Preliminary.
b Excluding Neutral Zone production, which is shown separately.
Production is shared equally between Saudi Arabia and Kuwait.
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Big Seven: Inland Oil Consumption
United States a
16,058
15,296
15,184
15,708
15,697
Japan
4,444
4,204
4,193
4,349
4,121
West Germany
2,120
2,024
2,009
2,012
2,060
1,632
1,594
1,531
1,493
United Kingdom
1,325
1,345
1,290
1,624
1,402
Italy b
1,705
1,618
1,594
1,513
1,516
Canada
1,617
1,454
1,354
1,348
1,344
Including bunkers, refinery fuel, and losses.
b Principal products only prior to 1981.
Big Seven: Crude Oil Imports
United States
4,406
3,488
3,329
3,402
3,216
Japan
3,919
3,657
3,567
3,664
3,377
West Germany
1,591
1,451
1,307
1,335
1,284
1,429
1,395
1,476
United Kingdom
736
565
456
482
523
Italy
1,816
Canada
521
334
247
244
283
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
3,329
2,993
3,000
3,701
4,085
3,126
4,273
1,321
1,225
1,430
1,420
1,380
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
15,923
16,056
16,188
15,833
15843
4,661
5,046
2,096
2,406
2,141
1,626
2,009
1,525
1,706
1,286
1,485
1,718
1,855
1,535
1,495
1,346
1,374
1,183
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1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
OPEC Average a
(Official Sales Price)
30.87
34.50
33.63
29.31
28.70
28.14
28.15
28.09
28.09
28.06
World Average Price
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
27.16
27.36
20.67
16.87
15.05
a F.o.b. prices set by the government for direct sales and, in most cases, for the producing company buy-back oil. Weighted by the volume
of production.
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Average Crude Oil Sales Prices
18.67
11.29 11.02 11.77 12.88 12.93
3.39
1973 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85
"The 1973 price is derived from posted prices, 1974-84 prices
are derived from OPEC official sales prices, and beginning
in 1985. prices are a measure of average world sales prices.
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Economic
and Energy
Indicators
Source Notes I
Industrial Production
Seasonally adjusted
United States Federal Reserve Bulletin, seasonally adjusted; index 1967=100.
Ministry of International Trade and Industry, seasonally adjusted; index
1980=100.
West Germany Statistiches Bundesamt, seasonally adjusted; index 1980=100.
France Bulletin Mensuel de Statistique, excl. construction, seasonally adjusted; index
1970=100.
United Kingdom Monthly Digest of Statistics, seasonally adjusted; index 1980 = 100.
Italy Instituto Centrale di Statistica: Bullettino Mensile di Statistica or Indicatori
Mensili, seasonally adjusted; index 1980=100.
Canada Canadian Statistical Review, seasonally adjusted; index 1971 = 100.
Gross National Product
Seasonally adjusted; constant market prices
United States National Income and Product Accounts of the United States, billions of 1972
dollars, seasonally adjusted at an annual rate.
Japan The Economic Planning Agency, billions of 1975 yen (at market prices), seasonally
adjusted.
West Germany Statistische Beihefte zu den Monatsberichten der deutschen Bundesbank, billions of
1980 marks, seasonally adjusted at quarterly rates.
' Except as noted, the cited sources are official government and central bank publications of the respective countries.
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France
United Kingdom
Italy
Canada
United States
Japan
West Germany
France
United Kingdom
Italy
Canada
Institut National de Statistique et des Etudes Economiques, Les Collections de
L'insee, Series C, billions of 1970 francs, seasonally adjusted at quarterly rates.
CSO Economic Trends (average estimate) at 1980 prices, index 1980=100,
seasonally adjusted.
Congiuntura Italiana (at market prices), billions of 1970 lire, seasonally adjusted at
quarterly rates.
Canadian Statistical Review, millions of 1971 dollars, seasonally adjusted at an
annual rate.
Consumer Prices
Bureau of Labor Statistics (adjustment is by multiplicative factors), all items, all
urban, seasonally adjusted; index 1967 = 100.
Statistics Bureau of the Prime Minister's Office, all items, not seasonally adjusted;
index 1980=100.
Statistisches Bundesamt, all households, not seasonally adjusted; index 1980=100.
Bulletin Mensuel de Statistique, all items, not seasonally adjusted; index
1980=100.
Monthly Digest of Statistics, all items, not seasonally adjusted; index 15 January
1974=100.
Instituto Centrale di Statistica: Bollettino Mensile di Statistica, households of wage
and salary earners, all items, not seasonally adjusted; index 1980=100.
Canadian Statistical Review, all items, not seasonally adjusted; index 1981=100.
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United States
Japan
West Germany
France
United Kingdom
Italy
Canada
United States
Japan
West Germany
United Kingdom
Money Supply
M-1, Seasonally adjusted
Federal Reserve Bulletin (currency, demand deposits and other checkable deposits),
billions of dollars, average of daily figures, seasonally adjusted.
Bank of Japan (cash in public hands and demand deposits), billions of yen, monthly
average, not seasonally adjusted.
Statistische Beihefte zu den Monatsberichten der deutschen Bundesbank (currency
and demand deposits), billions of marks, end of month, seasonally adjusted.
Statistiques Mensuelles de CNC and Bulletin Mensuel de Statistique (demand
deposits, notes and coin), billions of francs, end of period, not seasonally adjusted.
Quarterly Bulletin (currency and sight deposits less 60% transit items), millions of
pounds, seasonally adjusted at an annual rate.
Bollettino (Banca d'Italia) (currency and demand deposits), billions of lire, end of
period, not seasonally adjusted.
Bank of Canada Review (currency and demand deposits), millions of Canadian
dollars, week ending Wednesday, not seasonally adjusted.
Unemployment
Seasonally adjusted
Bureau of Labor Statistics, percent of labor force (incl. Armed Forces in U.S.), sea-
sonally adjusted.
Statistical Bureau of the Prime Minister, percent of total unemployed, seasonally
adjusted.
Bundesanstalt fur Arbeit, percent, end of month, seasonally adjusted.
Bulletin Mensuel de Statistique, seasonally adjusted.
Department of Employment, "Gazette" and Press Notice, thousands (excl school
leavers-claimants), percent, seasonally adjusted.
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Italy Instituto Centrale di Statistica: Bollettino Mensile di Statistica, percent per
annum.
Canada Canadian Statistical Review, percent of total labor force, seasonally adjusted.
Foreign Trade: Exports, f.o.b.
Seasonally adjusted; billion US dollars
United States U.S. Department of Commerce, data as of January 1980 include the Virgin
Islands, FAS (excl. military aid shipments), billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted
at monthly rates.
Japan Finance Ministry (balance of payment basis), millions of U.S. dollars, not
seasonally adjusted.
West Germany Statistische Beihefte zu den Monatsberichten der deutschen Bundesbank (balance
of payments basis), merchandise, billions of marks, not seasonally adjusted at
monthly rates.
France
United Kingdom
Italy
Canada
Bulletin Mensuel de Statistique and Informations Rapides, billions of francs,
seasonally adjusted at monthly averages.
Monthly Digest of Statistics (balance of payment basis, f.o.b.), millions of pounds,
seasonally adjusted at monthly rates.
Instituto Centrale di Statistica: Bollettino Mensile di Statistica, billions of lire, not
seasonally adjusted.
Canadian Statistical Review (balance of payment basis), merchandise, millions of
Canadian dollars, seasonally adjusted.
Foreign Trade: Imports, f.o.b.
Seasonally adjusted; billion US dollars
United States U.S. Department of Commerce, data thru December 1980 on f.a.s. basis, billions of
current dollars, seasonally adjusted at monthly rates.
Japan Finance Ministry (balance of payments basis), millions of U.S. dollars, not
seasonally adjusted.
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West Germany
Statistische Beihefte zu den Monatsberichten der Deutschen Bundesbank and
Saisonbereingte Wirtschaftszahlen, billions of marks, c.i.f., seasonally adjusted.
Bulletin Mensuel de Statistique and Informations Rapides, billions of francs,
monthly averages, seasonally adjusted.
United Kingdom Monthly Digest of Statistics (balance of payments basis, c.i.f..) millions of pounds,
seasonally adjusted at monthly rates.
Italy Instituto Centrale di Statistica: Bollettino Mensile di Statistica, billions of lire, not
seasonally adjusted.
Canada Canadian Statistical Review (balance of payments basis), merchandise, seasonally
adjusted.
Current Account Balance
Billion US dollars
United States Survey of Current Business, billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted at quarterly
rates.
Japan Finance Ministry, millions of U.S. dollars, not seasonally adjusted.
West Germany Statistische Beihefte zu den Monatsberichten der Deutschen Bundesbank, billions
of marks, seasonally adjusted at monthly rates.
France Economics Ministry, millions of francs, seasonally adjusted.
United Kingdom Monthly Digest of Statistics, millions of pounds, seasonally adjusted.
Italy Bollettino (Banca d'Italia), billions of current lire, not seasonally adjusted at
quarterly rates.
Canada Canadian Statistical Review, millions of Canadian dollars, seasonally adjusted.
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United States
Japan
West Germany
France
United Kingdom
Italy
Canada
Export Prices Z
US dollars
U.S. Department of Commerce (export unit-value index), not seasonally adjusted;
index 1977 = 100.
The Summary Report on Trade of Japan.(export unit-value index), not seasonally
adjusted; index 1980 average= 100.
Statisfisches Bundesamt (export price index-1980), total, not seasonally adjusted;
index 1980=100.
Bulletin Mensuel de Statistique (export unit-value index), total, not seasonally
adjusted; index 1975 = 100.
Monthly Digest of Statistics (export unit-value index-1980), total, not seasonally
adjusted; index 1980=100.
Bolletino Mensile di Statistica (export unit-value index), total, not seasonally
adjusted; index 1980 =100.
Summary of External Trade Catalogue, all countries, monthly, total SITC index,
index of prices, 1971=100.
Import Prices Z
US dollars
United States U.S. Department of Commerce, indexes of U.S. exports and imports by economic
class (import unit-value index-1977), not seasonally adjusted, index 1977=100.
Japan The Summary Report on Trade of Japan (import unit-value index), total, not
seasonally adjusted; index 1980 average= 100.
West Germany Federal Statistics Office (import price index-1980), total, not seasonally adjusted;
index 1980=100.
2 Export and import prices in US dollars are derived by dividing export and import prices expressed in national currency units by the aver-
ages of daily exchange rates from the IMF's International Financial Statistics.
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France Bulletin Mensuel de Statistique (import unit-value index), not seasonally adjusted;
index 1975 =100.
United Kingdom Monthly Digest of Statistics (import unit-value index-1980), total, not seasonally
adjusted; index 1980=100.
Italy Bolletino Mensile di Statistica (import unit-value index), not seasonally adjusted;
index 1970=100.
Canada Summary of External Trade Catalogue, all countries, monthly, total SITC index,
index of prices, index 1971 = 100.
Trade-Weighted Exchange Rates
The CIA trade-weighted exchange rate indexes measure the percentage change,
from specified base periods, in each country's currency relative to the currencies of
16 other countries. The US dollar is used as a value numeraire in the calculations,
and the percentage of each country's 1979-80 average exports and imports in the
total exports and imports of the group of partner countries are used as weights in a
geometric average. The countries included are:
United States
Italy
Switzerland
Austria
Japan
Canada
Sweden
Australia
West Germany
Netherlands
Norway
Spain
France
Belgium
Denmark
South Africa
United Kingdom
Exchange Rates Against the US dollar
The rates for Japanese, West German, French, the United Kingdom, and
Canadian foreign exchange (US dollars per unit of foreign currency) are the selling
prices in the home country foreign currency market, reported by Reuter's News
Service.
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United States
Japan
West Germany
France
United Kingdom
Italy
Canada
Eurodollar
Bananas
Beef
Cocoa
Coffee
Money Market Rates
Bank of America-San Francisco, percent, secondary certificates of deposit, 90
days, prevailing market offering rates.
Non-SA Economic Statistics Monthly, percent, average interest rates on loans and
discounts, all banks.
Bank of America-Frankfurt, percent, local currency interbank deposits on account,
3 month, prevailing market interest rate.
Bank of America-Paris, percent, local currency interbank deposits on account,
3 month, prevailing market interest rate.
Bank of America-London, percent, local currency interbank deposits on account,
3 month, prevailing market interest rate.
Bank of America-Rome, percent, local currency interbank deposits on account,
3 month, prevailing market interest rate.
Wood Gundy "Fixed Income", percent yield, 365-day bond equivalent basis,
commercial and financial company paper, 60 to 89 days.
Bank of America-London, percent, 360-day basis, mid-morning rate, eurocurrency
(LIBOR) 3 month rate, U.S. dollar.
Agricultural Prices
The Bureau of Census.
The National Provisione, carlot beef and pork prices; convert to weekly average.
U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA).
George Gordon Paton Co., Inc.,
International Coffee Organization's
International Coffee Agreement,
composite daily price.
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Corn
Cotton
Palm Oil
Rice
Soybeans
Soybean Oil
Soybean Meal
Sugar
Tea
Wheat
Food Index
Aluminum
Chrome ore
Copper
Gold
Lead
Manganese Ore
Nickel
Platinum
Rubber
USDA, Rotterdam prices.
Cotton Outlook, index "B" price.
Oil World.
USDA/FAS, converted to calendar year.
USDA, Rotterdam prices.
Oil World.
USDA, Rotterdam prices.
USDA.
USDA. Average London Auction.
USDA, Rotterdam prices.
The Economist, dollar index food, converted to 1980 index.
Industrial Materials Prices
Metals Week, weekly prices.
Metals Week, weekly prices, Transvaal Ore; average.
Metals Week, weekly prices, average.
Metals Week, weekly prices, London final; average.
Metals Week, weekly prices, average.
Metals Week, weekly prices.
Metals Week, weekly prices, average.
Metals Week, weekly prices, average.
Bureau of the Census, synthetic rubber, and Wall Street Journal, natural rubber.
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Silver
Steel Scrap
Tungsten Ore
US Steel
Zinc
Lumber Index
Industrial Materials
Index
Metals Week, weekly prices.
Iron Age.
Metals Week, Penang weekly prices.
Metals Week, weekly prices.
Iron Age.
Metals Week, weekly prices.
Random Lengths Export.
The Economist, dollar index, all industrial; converted to 1980 index.
Energy
World Crude Oil Production,
Excluding Natural Gas Liquids
Thousand b/d
Department of Energy-Energy Data Reports, crude petroleum, petroleum prod-
ucts, and natural gas liquids; American Petroleum Institute. Weekly Statistical
Bulletin.
Statistics Canada, crude petroleum and natural gas production.
OPEC Annual Statistical Bulletin, country tables. Trade journals and CIA/OGI
estimates.
Trade journals and CIA/OGI estimates.
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Big Seven: Inland Oil Consumption
Thousand b/d
United States
Canada
Japan
West Germany
France
Italy
United Kingdom
Japan
West Germany
France
United Kingdom
Italy
Canada
DOE/EIA Petroleum Supply Monthly, table 1, US petroleum balance.
Statistics Canada, refined petroleum products.
Sekiyu Shiryo Geppo (Japanese Oil Monthly).
Bulletin Mensuel.
Bulletin Mensuel.
Bulletin Mensuel.
UK/DOE: Energy Trends, table 13.
Big Seven: Crude Oil Imports
Thousand b/d
DOE/EIA Petroleum Supply Monthly, table 18, imports of crude oil and
petroleum products by source PAD district.
Japanese Trade Tapes.
Ein-und Ausfuhr von Mineralol, table 2.1.
Bulletin Mensuel, Commerce Exterieur Petrolier.
Overseas Trade Statistics of the UK, SITC Codes 333 and 334.
Quarterly Oil and Gas Statistics of OECD.
Statistics Canada, refined petroleum products.
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OPEC: Crude Oil Official Sales Prices
US$ per barrel
OPEC Annual Statistical Bulletin, country tables.
International Crude Oil and Product Prices, regional and country tables.
Petroleum Intelligence Weekly.
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