KEY INTELLIGENCE TASK (91008)

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: STARGATE
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP96-00789R002900260004-9
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: K
• Document Page Count: 6
• Document Creation Date: November 4, 2016
• Document Release Date: November 25, 2002
• Sequence Number: 4
• Content Type: SUMMARY

Approved For Release 20031L CIA-RDP96-00789R002900260004-9
KEY INTELLIGENCE TASK (91008)
(S/NF/LIMDIS) Will there be any significant terrorist activity in
the near future (20 Jan 91 >< 1 Feb 91).
(S/NF/LIMDIS) Source a Assessment (DOI: 21 Jan 91):
a, No significant terrorist activity is expected
through 31 Jan 91.
b. A large city (probably London) may experience
terrorist activity after 31 Jan 91.
C. Terrorist activity will probably spread to the US,
though use of chemical devices are not anticipated.
Initial targets could involve nuclear power plants and
possibly nuclear storage/development areas.
S/NF/LIMDIS ).,?.: Source B : ?Assessmeftt (DQI ; : 08:-Jan 91)
A large EUirope?an. city i?s. ?a" likely 'target `in
this time frame.
(S/NF/LIMDIS) Surc?e C Assessment (DO2' _: 22 ?J.an 91)
a. The New.York City.,area is being' planned for. terrorist
.. ; ., +he neAr -'F?+"_,]re Location -.is neat:, or,... in a.
_.L L
ack
e t ? or some typ o:f "award . ceremony .' ' A '' name` ke ..
;e
v
"THEODORE", ,. ess.ociated? _,with; a..;. le.ftis PLO . grou ..: ;mss
involved
k.. Other' ? loxi
include
Shell Oil Company headquarters'. (Houston,
TX).
aerospace ;:companies ..probably in :New
oPPing?;;'ma3 is tnt ougnput
Some attacks may be made against nuclear
power plants in an attempt to cause them to
"melt down".
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(S/NF/LIMDIS) Source D Assessment (DOI: 21 Jan 91):
a. Cargo ships are rigged with H.E., gas-type explosives
-(probably-in, or soon in, UK, US harbors).
b.
Israel delegation to UN is main personnel target.
c.
d.
A large hotel in Paris is targeted.
School areas of Germany are targeted
(Wiesbaden,
Augsburg).
e. Greece and Italian military areas and city. location
are targeted (via common delivery trucks).
f. NY and DC areas?are targeted (main access probably
via waterways).
.:.?. DC (ongr:ss. area,,: .. probably via large
.truck).
General impressions:
Trap ha several dirty nuclea'r..devices and...
may' use.them in-Kuwait -or possibly Israel .aLea
(via ships, large commercial planes).
e:: miss les/aircraft `may be ` Stored :
S
om
Jordan within iles ` 'of 'Iraq bo.rger
rracf..will --start oil well fires. in :Kuwait
and-off shore.)..in the near future
CW./BWexplosives will be -left behind" in
event of retreat from Kuwait.
- A considerable amount. of. Iraq "spotters"
have infiltrated S. Arabia, Egypt for aid in.
target location,,. terrorist strikes .
Libya will a _sist Iraq:. vi:a :CW ., equipment:;. an
mine deployment.
(S/NF/LIMDIS) Source E Assessment (DOI: 17 Jan 91):
a. Hussein has placed.CW/BW devices on -various cargo or
empty oil tankers that are (or will be) in various
worldwide ports.
b. Hussein does have a few "dirty" nuclear devices that
he plans to move via ships, trucks to various worldwide
locations.
c. Libya will soon join in the conflict .(probably via
Pt1` ftfl El'SABLE'.TO iorflCN 'N' A;1ONMS
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terrorist support), and will also play a role in attack
of US ships in the Red Sea or Mediterranean Sea area.
d. -Jordan,-or possibly Iran, amy.also have an emerging
role in future support of-Iraqi activities..
e. Terrorist activity will be coordinated worldwide.
Leading target areas are:
- Water supplies, food source.
- Oil fields or supply lines.
f. In general:
Iraq may consider attacking allied ship-in
the Gulf and Red Sea. ...This may involve
coordinated -ai.r., ship and possibly missile.
attack' with .Libyan ' n " 1-rani-an .assi