PROJECT NUMBER: 90104-B , SESSION 1, METHODOLOGY: WRV, VIEWER: 079

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP96-00789R000800070002-5
Release Decision: 
RIFPUB
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
8
Document Creation Date: 
November 4, 2016
Document Release Date: 
June 30, 1998
Sequence Number: 
2
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
October 23, 1990
Content Type: 
REQ
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PDF icon CIA-RDP96-00789R000800070002-5.pdf199.71 KB
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Approved For Release 2000/08/08 :CIA-RDP96-007898000800070002-5 - NOFOF;N SF'ECTAL ACCESS REDUTRED WAhN 1: NG IVO1"ICE : I N'1'EI..L I CaEIUCE SOUI;CES AI'JD ME1-HiaDS 1: NVOLVI=;D F`h0~'IWCT'-Nl1MT~Ef;:--_- - q~=y1c.~4?_D--_-__ SESSION NUI"11~EF~: 1 DA"fE Ot= SESSION: ~~`. OCT ~t0 DAl"E OF f;EF'Oi;T: ~:' OCl" 4tf STAR"I": mill. CWND: 15'?1 ME:THODOLOC~Y: WF"iV VIEWER TDENTIFIEf;: ti79 1.----{SlNF')- .-MISSION: Describe the nature of any terrorist activity, if any, which may be planned and directed against US and coalition forces in Saudi Arabia. If activity will occur, give location{s) and indicators. ~' {SlNI~) VIEWER TASk::TNG: Done initially. Cue was given late in session to address terrorist activity in particular, as it applied to the immediate future of the target which 079 had already identified. ~. {SlNF) COMMENTS: No F'hys:ical Inclemencies reported. Standard WRV session. 07~~ identified and described the major- future events of the target area, to incl~.ide reference to an Afghani inr_ursion westward {into Iran) which may alter Iran's involvement, while bringing anew player into the present mid--east conflict. Late in the session, I cued 07~ to specifict-tlly address the ~:luestian of terrorism. Session transcript and viewer's summary are attached. 5. {S/NF) SEARCH EVALUATION: Monitor: Cj18 F'r-oj Mgr: 018 CI_ASSIFTEII 8Y: DTA tDT) DE'CLASSTFY: OADR NOi=ORN SF'ECTAL ACCESS REG?UIRED Approved For Release 2000/08/08 :CIA-RDP96-007898000800070002-5 Approved For Release 2000/08/08 :CIA-RDP96-007898000800070002-5 No~o~N 90104-B 901022 V: 079 s : a~! At this time, there is not any planned and directed terrorist activity against US and coalition forces in Saudi Arabia. Other scenarios will come into play. They are as follows: Afghanistan will "push through their border area to the west"' and this will be another hot spot in the very near future. There is unrest in the Yemens. They Yemens may be hot spot in the near future. The PLO is acting favorably towards the US during this crises. The Israeli's will stop their incursions. - Iran will be quiet during the crises. Iran is not taking or deciding sides at this time. The United Nations have very difficult decisions to make and it will force Middle East countries to work situations out between themselves and to stop looking to the "west" for help. There will came a time when land or boundaries or borders will be different in the Middle East than the way that they currently exist. Approved For Release 2000/08/08 :CIA-RDP96-007898000800070002-5 Approved For Release 2000/08/08 :CIA-RDP96-00789R000800070(~ ~/ c~~--s f~~ ~~ ~r ~ ~~ cfi ~ /~l 1 Approved For Release 2000/08/08 :CIA-RDP96-007898000800070002-5 Approved For Release 2000/08/08 :CIA-RDP96-00789800080007000 ~ ~~~ ~ d~ ~-~~~1 ~' ~3 ~~ ~d~ ~ s~~/~ ~~~~3. ~' G ,~-U,_S'll~ c.-c...~ v ? ~ - V Approved For Release 2000/08/08 :CIA-RDP96-007898000800070002-5 Approved For Release 2000/08/08 :CIA-RDP96-00789800080007000 ~~/ .S /~' ~., ~ I ~ f l C C ~ ~ ~' ~~~ i'1~ lG ~~.~ ~ ~ S ~ ~~~ U, S~ ~ ~~ Jas' ~ ~, !C. ~ ~-- S ~ ~ ~ C-- ~.~ ~dL r// Approved For Release 2000/08/08 :CIA-RDP96-007898000800070002-5 Approved For Release 2000/08/08 :CIA-RDP96-007898000800070002-5 C7 J SS ~ `J i~c5~1~~~'~ 5 ys,~ . Approved For Release 2000/08/08 :CIA-RDP96-007898000800070002-5 Approved For Release 2000/08/08 :CIA-RDP96-007898000800070002-5 (J . S, ~ ~ ~~ ~~~~ ~~a Approved For Release 2000/08/08 :CIA-RDP96-007898000800070002-5 a ~ ^w ~ , Approved For Release 200 8 08 :CIA-RDP96-007898000800070002-5 PROJECT 90104 SUMMARY - 30 OCT 90 1. (S/NF) TASK A: a. (S/NF) OBJECTIVE: Describe indicators of possible Iraqi preemptive attack. b. (S/NF) RESPONSE: Preemptive attack is not anticipated for near future (i.e; next 3-4 wks). c. (U) DATE OF LAST RESPONSE: 23 Oct 1990 d. (U) COMMENT-S.: Task can be updated in 2-3 weeks, if 2. (S/NF') TASK B: a. (S/NF) 0 i~'~CTIVE: Assess Iraqi use of terrorists. /NF> RESPONSE: o Terrorist activity against US and coalition forces is NOT anticipated for near future. o There may be terrorist support/development activity, or possibly some type of future staging, in vicinity of'B,~i.:;,-- Tikrit - A], Fatha (NW of Bagdad) . ?`Activity' has:~- ;~ ~. - Chemical association - Cylindrical ob,~ects/equ~,pment.involved. - Sensing/detection equi)a'ment involved. ~.- c . ( U ) DATE OF LAST RESPONSE: 23 Oct ~ 90 ' = '-'= `. ~~:: -?: `.?-: ~ ' d. (U) COMMENTS: Task can`be`updat`ed~in`''2=3 weeks,: i~~. desired. CLASSIFIED BY: D IA/DT ~ ~ ` '~ ~ ' `~ ~ ~ ? ~ " . . DECLASSIFY HY: OADR - - -? ;; ~. ~~ ~ = -' ~ =''''; ROT R'FLEA~3ABT,L T'f) FnRETr1v1~TAT?ORAx~B Approved :For Release 2000/08/08 :CIA-RDP96-007898000800070002-5