TWENTY DAYS IN OCTOBER

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CIA-RDP94T00754R000100140006-0
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K
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20
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December 16, 2016
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January 6, 2005
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6
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Publication Date: 
June 23, 1974
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MAGAZINE
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Approved For Release 2005/02/28 : CIA-RDP94T00754R000100140006-0 BEST COPY AVAILABLE I I AF. ? ?A II SI Asee.-1 Approved For Release 2005/02/28 : CIALRIDP94T00754R000100140006-0 The part called for someone taller, slimmer, more adept at reviewing Arab honor guards, more tra- ditional in his diplomatic style, a connoisseur of couscous and Casbah conventions, a WASP. No pro- ducer had ever dreamed of Henry of Arabia! And yet, eight short months after the Yom Kippur war?a war that left the United States at the wrong end of an Arab oil embargo and in a weakened strategic position throughout the Arab world? Secretary of State Henry Kissinger has become the hero of the Middle East. After six whirlwind trips through the area (the last as tour guide for a wounded President eager to recapture his image as a statesman), Kissinger has been hailed by the Arabs as a "superman" and "mediator of peace." Ironically, at the same time, he was being subjected to renewed criticism at home?over his controver- sial role in the Nixon Administration's wiretapping of public officials and newsmen?criticism that led ? him angrily to threaten to resign. Against stiff odds, Kissinger, In November, 1973, launched an extraordinary diplomatic peace effort: He pushed for Israeli withdrawal from occupied Arab territory, but within the context of Israeli security; encouraged the re-emergence of Arab pride, but within the context of realism and responsibility; sought to build up the stature of the moderates By Marvin Kalb and Bernard Kalb By 9 P.M. on Friday, Oct. 5, 1973, Ray Cline, then head of the U. S. State Department's Bureau of In- telligence and Research, had reviewed his latest in- formation, and he concluded that war would break out in the Middle East the following day, or even sooner. Others at the State Department shared his alarm, but somehow, they couldn't communicate it to Henry Kissinger; no one wanted to take the re- sponsibility for disturbing t4 Secretary of State at the Waldorf Towers on a Friday evening after hours. He was In New York attending a United Nations meeting. Marvin Kalb is a diplomatic correspondent and Bernard Kalb a Washington correspondent for CBS. This article is adapted from the Kalb brothers' forthcoming book, "Kissinger." . ? ? ;:opyrieht AD 1971 by Marvin Kalb and ',m " ord Kelb from "Kissinger. used by permission of time. Brown and yomoany: Inc ,Approved For ,Release 2005/02/2.e',.; After the cease-fire: Kissinger with Sadat in Cairo. within the Arab world, starting with Sadat of Egypt; tried to rebuild America's strategic position a in a critical part of the world, gently elbowing Rus- sia out of her prewar pre-eminence; attempted to persuade the oil-producing Arab states to lift their embargo against the United States; and, last but not least, hoped that he would be able to inject a Actually, there had been a steady flow of intelli- gence for several weeks indicating that an Egyptian- Syrian attack on Israel was imminent; and yet Kissinger and most other political leaders in both Israel and the United States misread the evidence. Most of them still believed there would be no war. The next day, Oct. 6, was a very special day. For Moslems, it was the 1,350th anniversary of the Battle of Badr, which launched Mohammed's entry into Mecca. For Jews, it was Yom Kippur, the holiest day in the Jewish calendar. For Kissinger, It was more than simply the end of his second week in office; it was also the beginning of a 20- day baptism of fire?the start of the fourth Arab- Israeli war in one generation. At 6 A.M., he was awakened in suite 35A at the Waldorf Towers and presented a telegram from the b American Ambassador to Israel, Kenneth Keating. ? t Keating had been summoned two hours earlier in, A Jerusalem to an urgent meeting with then Prime f Minister Golda Met., who told him she had just re- ' ti ceived word that Egypt and Syria were in the final hours of a countdown for war. She urged the united d States to use all its influence to try to head them , off, .suggesting appeals to Egypt, Syria and the Sc-': , ?? , ? , ?, 4RDF.?94T0054R00010014,0110,67, cirikteleate, 28 . /iiktfit!it-0611.4 V, revolutionary goal in the Middle East?that Arab and Israeli alike could begin to believe in the possi- bility Of a Peaceful accommodation. Within a few months, his "shuttle diplomacy" began to work. He coaxed and charmed Egypt into concluding a historic agreement with Israel, per- uaded King Faisal and his friends to lift their oil mbergo, and, late last month, capped a photos inish diplomatic extravaganza ?33 days of shuttling between Damascus and Jerusalem?by bringing these two old enemies into an agreement to disengage their military forces along the hot Golan front. The disengagement is scheduled to be completed next week. The SeCtetary needs no experts to tell him now that a good part of the new look in Arab policy is based on the premise that he will continue to help the Egyptians and the Sgrians obtain a further pull- back of Israeli troops, and that delicate diplomacy will still ,be needed. Nevertheless, his performance thus far has indeed been a personal tour de force, an achievement that rose from the very ashes of the October war. And those dark days did not look even remotely. promising then, as a new Secretary of State moved into Foggy Bottom only to find? himself confronted by what he soon perceived as a "murderously dangerous" situation?M.K; B.K. viet Union, and she assured Keating that Israel wotild not launch a pre-emptive attack. Kissiaggr called President Nixon, who was at Key Biscayne, with the disturbing news, and, after hear- ing the Secretary's ireport, the President tolta him to telephone the Foreign Ministers of Egypt and Israel to urge "restraint." Kissinger called and exhorted them to "avoid undermining. . . the cease-fire." To Israel's Abba Eban he also repeated the warning he had made many times during the previous months: "Don't preempt.". The ,Secretary of State then converted his hotel suite, into a command post, and summoned his top aides: In quick order, Kissinger called Soviet -Am- bassador Anatoly F. Dobrynin in Washington and urged him to do what he could to prevent the out- break of war. The Russian envoy said he would try to help., Kissinger cabled King Faisal of Saudi Arabia', and King Hussein of Jordan, two , of the friendlier 'Aiab leaders. and asked theta to "use their good offices." And Kissinger called U. N. Sec- re407, General Kurt Waldheira, alerting him to the ? Secretary then asked for the latest jfligce.ItIt revealed that the Egyptian and Syrian lied in fact swilOS; 100 offensive forma- 14 , k,a A , Approved For Releae 2005/02/28: :':CIA7RDP94T00754Rp00100140006-0 4 rna ttissT a tae e ,f. ael Approved For Release 2005/02/28 : CIA-RDP94T00754R000100140006-0 The well-coordinated Arab assault (an Egyptian bridgehead on the Suez Canal) shook Kissinger's assumption that the spirit of d?nte would encourage the Soviet Union to use its influence to head off the war. Instead, the Russians contributed directly to the initial Arab success by shipping massive quantities of ammunition, tions, but that Israeli military units of both fronts had reacted to this clear-cut threat in an odd way. For the most part, they remained in static positions. Kissinger assumed, despite Mrs. Meir's messages, that Israel was really seeking to lull her Arab neighbors into a false sense of security and then, at just the right moment, planned to deal them a punishing pre-emptive blow. At 7 A.M., there was more bad news. The Situa- tion Room at the White House had monitored a garbled report from Israel, which was interpreted as meaning that the Jewish state planned to launch a pre-emptive strike against Egypt and Syria "in six hours." Kissinger, puzzled by the crisscrossing sig- nals, angrily called Mordechai Shalev, Israel's Charg?'Affaires in Washington, and warned once again against any pre-emptive action. As a double check, he instructed Keating to repeat the warning to MA. Meir, saying, in effect that if Israel struck first, then the United States would feel no moral obligation to help. Israel would be alone. As it turned out, Keating's warning was unnec- essary. Mrs. Meir at just that moment was con- vening her "Kitchen Cabinet," which really met in her kitchen. She conferred with Deputy Prime Min- ister Yigal Anon, Defense Minister Moshe Dayan, and Minister Without Portfolio Israel GaMi. She re- jected the urgent pleading of her military Chief of Staff, .Gen. David Elazar, who argued for a pre- emptive strike to disrupt what he now regarded as a certainty?an Arab attack. The Prime Minister decided that Israel would accept the first blows. Her decision proved historic. By reversing 25 years of Israeli strategy?a strategy based on quick, bold surprises that invariably carried the battle to the enemy?she placed Israel on the defensive. She assumed, as did so many others, that Israel, even if attacked first, could rapidly repulse and rout the enemy. Mrs. Meir ? instructed Elazar to alert some units, but she refused to put the country on full alert. She refused even to call up the reserves. She didn't want to disrupt Yom Kippur; she didn't want to provoke the Arabs; she didn't want to spend $11-million, which a full alert would have cost (there had been two expensive false alarms earlier in the year); but, perhaps most important, she didn't want to go against Kissinger's injunctions. Keating informed Kissinger about .Mrs. Metes decision. Kissinger informed Egypt's Foreign Min-' ister Mohammed el-Zayyat and Dobrynin. Then he called Shalev one more time, apparently even then harboring some doubts about Mrs. Meir's assur- ances. "We took the responsibility upon ourselves," he told the Israeli diplomat, (Continued on Page 42) The Soviet airlift and and alert changed Kissinger's attitude about Israel's capacity to win a quick victory. He determined to open a massive airlift of American military supplies to Israel. (Evacuating Israeli wounded in the Sinai.) ? e:The New. York Times Magazine/Auto 23, 1994 Approved For 1eIease 2005/02/28 :,CIA-RDP94T00754R000100140006-0 A pp 170.Y.P FP rRetpase :20t)/132/28:, C ofi mow Continued from Page I "that you will really act ac- cordingly." Shalev repeated his earlier assurances. At 8 A.M., Egypt and Syria attacked. The war began. Within minutes, el-Zayyat was on the phone, accusing Israel of having provoked the Arab military moves by send- ing her naval force against the Syrian port of Latakia. This struck Kissinger as strange. If Israel were to start a war, he was absolutely sure that it would begin with an air strike, not a naval at- tack. At 8:25 A.M. Shalev called. "Egyptian and Syrian forces have commenced mili- tary action against Israel," he announced solemnly. Kissin- ger told him about el-Zayyat's accusation. Shalev denied it. 'What are you going to do now?" Kissinger asked. "We'll take care ? of our- selves," Shalev replied. Kissinger returned to Wash- ington by midafternoon, con- vinced that the Arabs had started the war. El-Zayyat's claim?that Israel had struck first?made a few converts at the Pentagon. But by evening, when W.S.A.G., the Washing- ton Special Actions Group, re- convened in a crisis atmos- phere, additional information had convinced the top United States officials that Egypt and Syria had broken the cease-fire and that Israel had merely responded. Joining the Secretary at this meeting were former Deputy Secretary of State Kenneth Rush, Under Secretary of State Joseph J. Sisco, Defense Secretary James Schlesinger, C.I.A. Director William Colby and Adm. Thomas Moorer, Chairmen of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. This was the same group which, with the President, was to make most of the basic de- cisions throughout the war. That evening, they ordered the commander of the U. S. Sixth Fleet to move four ships ?the attack aircraft carrier Independence and three de- stroyers ? from Athens to Crete, 500 miles from the coast of Israel. They ordered all American embassies in the Middle East area to pre- pare for an evacuation of de- pendents. They considered calling for an emergency meeting of the U. N. Security Council, but made no deci- sion then. On Sunday. Oct. 7. Kissin- 42 ger got permission from the President to push for a Secur- ity Council meeting; but, be- cause of Soviet reservations, the United States did not im- mediately appeal for a cease- fire. Kissinger, who had never been noted for his enthusi- asm about the U. N., concen- trated instead on the battle- field situation, which he knew would determine his diplo- matic tactics. He checked the latest intelligence. Israeli re- servists, , he learned, had broken away from Yom Kip- pur religious services and rushed to assembly points all over the country and then, depending on their units, to the Golan or Suez fronts. Now the Israelis, once con- sidered militarily invincible, were on the defensive; the Arabs, once ridiculed as mili- tarily incompetent, were on the attack. Syrian tanks were blasting big holes through the undermanned Israeli lines on the Golan Heights. On the southern front, there was even more dramatic news. Thousands of Egyptian troops, supported by hundreds of tanks and armored vehicles, had crossed the Suez Canal in a surprise move that caught the Israelis completely off guard, and established bridgeheads on the eastern bank for the first time since 1967. The famed Bar-Ley Line began to crack. Overnight* this sated Arab assault on the Jewish state shook Kisakager'S cherished assumption that tha., spirit of detente ? ?would ,,en!?? courage the Soviet Union to use its influence to head off ? the war. Instead, it turned out that the Russians not ? only had known about the war in advance and alerted no one to the "threat to the peace," but, in additiOn, they had contributed directly to the initial Arab successes by shipping massive quantities of ammunition to Cairo and Damascus in the two or three , weeks immediately preceding the outbreak of hostilities. Kissinger was angry and dis- appointed; angry at the Rus- sians, disappointed. in himself. Years before, he had written: "The test of statesmanship is; the adequacy of its evalua- tion before the event." He took another took at the pre- war intelligence and conclu- ' ded belatedly that the Rus- sians must have calculated that they could have both de- tente and war. To what de, gree Watergate influenced their judgment, Kissinger could not be sure. Although he wilt angry at the Russians, he realized that he needed their cooperation to contain the fighting and to establish a framework for ne- gotiations. He talked with Dobrynin several times that day. pi one occasion, he gave him a personal letter from the President to the So- viet's Leonid Brezhnev, ap- pealing for a cease-fire and a commitment to contain the fighting. Nixon reminded the Soviet leader that they had Syrian casualty on the road to Damascus. As the 13ras within 20 miles of the Syrian capital, the Russians Approved For Release 2005/02/28: CIA-RDP94T00754R000100140006-0 got permission from the esident to push for a Secur- Council meeting; but, be- Ilse of Soviet reservations, 3 United States did not hn- allately appeal for a cease- e. Kissinger, who had never en noted for his entbusi- n about the U. N., concen- ted instead on the battle. Id situation, which he knew tild determine his diplo- tic tactics. He checked the est intelligence. Israeli re- vista, he learned, had ken away from Yom Kip- religious services and hed to assembly points all r the country and then, 'ending on their units, to Golan or Suez fronts. 'low the Israelis, once con- ered militarily invincible, re on the 'defensive; the 'be, once ridiculed as mili- ly incompetent, were on attack. Syrian tanks were sting big holes through the lermanned Israeli lines on Golan Heights. On the thorn front, there was n more dramatic news. lusainds of Egyptian troops, ported by hundreds of ks and armored vehicles, crossed the Suez Canal a surprise move that ght the Israelis completely guard, and established igeheads on the eastern k for the first time since 7. The famed Bar-Lev Line an to crack. Overnight, this well-coordi- nated Arab assault on the Jewish state shook Kissingees cherished assumption that the spirit of d?nte would en- courage the Soviet Union to use its influence to head off the war. Instead, it turned out that the Russians not only had known about the war in advance and alerted no one to the "threat to the peace," but, in addition, they had contributed directly to the initial Arab successes by shipping massive quantities of ammunition to Cairo and Damascus in the two or three weeks immediately preceding the outbreak of hostilities. Kissinger was envy and dis- appointed; angry at the Rus- sians, disappointed in himself. Years before, he had written: "The test of statesmanship is the adequacy of its evalua- tion before the event." He took another look at the pre- war intelligence and conclu- ded belatedly that the Rus- sians must have calculated that they could have both d? tente and war. To what de- gree Watergate influenced their judgment, Kissinger could not be sure. Although he wet angry at the Russians, he realized that he needed their cooperation to contain the fighting and to establish a framework for ne- gotiations. He talked with Dobrynin several times that day. On one occasion, he gave him a? personal letter from the President to the So- viet's Leonid Brezhnev, ap- pealing for a cease-fire and a commitment to contain the fighting. Nixon reminded the Soviet leader that they had signed two special communi- quas---in May, 1972, in Mos- cow, and in June, 1973, 111 Washington-at:sledging "to do everything in their power so that conflicts or situations will not arise which would serve to increase internation- al tensions." Later that night, Dobrynin returned with a letter from Brezhnev to the President, agreeing to con- sider a cease-fire at the U. N. and expressing the hope that the fighting could be con- tained. Kissinger was moder- ately pleased, because the letter seemed to suggest that Russia's aims in the Middle East were modest; and if Rus- sia's aims were modest, then Arab aims might be, too. At 6 P.M., he met with Israeli Ambassador Simcha Dinitz at the State Depart- ment. The Israeli envoy had returned to Washington from Jerusalem with a modest arms request from Mrs. Meir?es- sentially, an update of her plea of the week before to expedite the delivery of the 48 Phantom jet fighters, as well as tanks and electronic equipment. Kissinger responded sym- pathetically, and promised to help. But despite the initial Arab successes, Kissinger ex- pected a quick Israeli victory ?an expectation that was en- couraged by Dinitz's upbeat report about the plans for Israeli counterattacks, then in the final stages of prepar- ation?and he did not feel that it would be necessary to open a massive emergency pipeline of supplies to Israel. He did not want to be provoc- ative. He did not want to casualty on the road to Damascus. As the Israelis went on the 20 miles of the Syrian capital, the Russians began pressing attack, driving to for a cease-fire. antagonize the Russians, . Or ? the Ara'. The Aelministraieote was under heavy pressure from the oil lobby to give the Arabs a chance to recover their occupied territories or. at the very le at, to take no , pro-Israeli action that could goad the Arabs into imposing an Oil embargo on the United States at a time of increasing energy shortages. If the Is- raelis were successful, as he fully expected, he did not believe that he would have to change his over-all strat- tegy. Early on the morning of Monday, Oct. 8, as the war picked up momentum on both fronts, Schlesinger met with his top aides and, according to reliable sources, rejected a request that Israeli planes be allowed to land in the United States to pick up ammunition and spare parts. Israel's Gen- eral Elazar had predicted that morning that his forces would soon go on the offen- sive, but his prediction was based, in part, on the expec- tation of increased American supplies. When Dinitz learned about Schlesinger's rejection, he was puzzled. He called Kis- singer and pointed out that Russia was not embarrassed about helping her friends; why did the United States ap- pear to be so reluctant about helping Israel? Kissinger said he would check. After an ex- change with the Pentagon, he called back and announced that permission had been granted for "a limited number of Israeli planes" to land at United States bases and pick up supplies, "provided they paint their tails," that is, paint over the identifying six- pointed Jewish star. Clearly, the Administration was try- ing not to offend the Arabs or the oil lobby. At 1:15 P.M., Kissinger called Dinitz again. He had good news. He said the Presi- dent had given his "approval in principle" to replace Israeli plane losses, which were run- ning quite high. At 5 P.M., Dinitz called Kissinger. He had just been on the phone with Mrs. Meir, who pleaded that "top pri- ority" be placed not only on the delivery of planes and tanks already requested but also on a new shopping list, necessitated by the intensified fighting and Israel's heavy losses. Kissinger said he would consider the new list; meanwhile, he disclosed that he had been able to get two planes out of the Pentagon, no more. Tanks, he said, pre- (Continued on Page 48) Approved For Release 2005/02/28 : CIA-RDP94T00754R000100140006-0 :11 lade to the size and shape you need; round, or square. For the dining room, living room, r office. Unique construction of 2 inch thick walnut, oak or maple to give a butcher block better. Combine walnut and oak to get a striped look. To finish simply oil or vf3rnish. ce of 4 different bases; leg and apron, H-type ? oak or chrome pedestal. Come in and see I really special at a price you can afford. Also 3ther ready-to-finish solid hardwood chests, )eds, bookcases, desks, shelving etc. intry Workshop /room: 95 SOITIO St., Newark, N.J. ' 5. Closed Sun. 8 Mon. (201) 589-3407 cent to Rt. 1 near Newark Airport. J. Rt. 1, next to the Prince Theater, (609) 452-1991 tiess. 2327 Mass. Ave. (617) 876-2262 -0 A rare new flower has bloome.cl. The Tennis Flower? by H.Stern. *t,, 3 .cies. Examine the graceful petals. What do you rid look in the center. That's right-14k gold tennis e leafy tie at the base.-yes, a towel. The tennis te gold while the rest of the brooch is yellow gold. - for a rare person. It's not meant to commemorate asion but just to tell someone who happens to or tennis that you happen to have a very deep See it in our elegant showroom or order by mail mice $250. New York residents please add 7% cCAN EXPRESS CREDIT CARDS ACCEPTED 0 .South America's Leading Jewelers Is, inc., 681 Fifth Ave., N.Y., N.Y. 10022 ? 212-688-1740 Continued from Page 42 ? , sented an even nxore coin- plicated problem. It Would take "many weeks" to spring them. What about transferring the tanks from an American base in Western Europe, sug- gested Dinitz. Kissinger said he would check. Why was it so difficult to get the planes, asked Dinitz, if the President had given his "approval in principle?" Kissinger hinted that he was having "bureau- cratic difficulties at the Penta- gon." Dinitz requested a meeting with Kissinger. At 6:40 P.M., he was ushered into Kissinger's White House ofgce. He told the Secretary of State that Senators Henry Jackson, Wal- ter Mondale, Birch Bayh, Charles Percy, and other Pres- idential aspirants had volun- teered to help Israel get weap- ons. Dinitz, fully aware of the pressure Israel's American supporters could exert, said he didn't know how long he could hold off the public out- cry that Kissinger feared could complicate his d?nte with the Russians. Israel needed planes and tanks, and needed them immediately. Intelligence had poured into Kissinger's office all day in- dicating that Israel was hav- ing a rough time. He revised his estimate that the Israelis would need no more than three days to seize the offen- sive and defeat the Arabs; now, he thought, they would need five days. The Secretary told Dinitz, at last, that Israel would be getting the two Phantoms within 24 hours. Two! Dinitz exclaimed. Israel needed dozens! Kissinger claimed that if it weren't for his personal intercession, Is- rael would not even have got- ten those. The Pentagon op- posed any Phantom deliveries at this stage. Kissinger implied again that he was fighting Dinitz's battles in the Amer- ican bureaucracy. In between these calls and meetings with Dinitz, Kissinger was carrying on a similar series df calls and meetings with Dobrynin. That evening, in an address at the Pacem in Terris conference, he issued an indirect warning to the Russians. "We shall resist ag- gressive foreign policies," he said firmly. "D?nte cannot survive irresponsibility in any area, including the Middle East." Kissinger had no doubt that Dobrynin would be filing his carefully worded warning to the Kremlin that night. But the warning had no effect. On Tuesday, Oct. 9, the Sec- retary received a series of dis- turbing reports. One cited an increase in the number of So- , vlet ' supply h1ps stearain& toward Syrian and Egyptian ' ports. Another focused on', a big boost in , the number of Soviet warships in the Med- iterrartean. Still another sug- gested that Brezhnev had changed his mild tone. In a message to President Houari Botunediene, the , militant leader of Algeria, the Soviet party chief urged the Algerian people to "use all means at their disposal and take all the required steps with a view to supporting Syria and Egypt in the difficult struggle imposed by the Israeli Aggressors." Brezhnev seemed to be en- couraging Algeria to join the - Arab war against Israel. In Kissinger's mind, that was a far cry from urging restraint. Kissinger and Dinitz met for the first time that day at 8:15 A.M. The Israeli diplomat wts back in the Secretary's White House office, repeating his , urgent demand for planes and' tanks. Israel, he pleaded, had already lost at least 15 Phan- toms and 45 A-4 Skyhawks, light attack bombers. That amounted to a loss of 20 per cent of all the planes Israel had ever received from the United States. The new mo- bile SAM-6 missile, supplied by the Russians to Egypt and Syria, had been deadly accu- rate. Electronic jamming equipment, similar to that used by United States fighters against other SAM missiles over North Vietnam, was des- perately needed. What was holding up deliveries? Kissin- ger cut short the meeting, ex- plaining that he would deal with the entire problem on an urgent basis. At 11:45 A.M., Kissinger called Dinitz, complaining again about, difficulties with the bureaucracy, implying that ' he was engaged in a one-man fight with the Pentagon. By this time, Kissinger had a pri- vate, secure line put into Dinitz's office at the Israeli Embassy. The Secretary asked the Ambassador to return to the White House at 6:15 that evening. In the meantime, Kis- singer conferred with Nixon and that night was able to tell Dinitz that the President had approved "all" the Israeli re- quests. All plane and tank losses would be replaced. All electronic equipment, includ- ing jamming devices, would be furnished, and Israeli trans- port planes would be permit- ted to land at the Oceana Na- val Air Station at Virginia Beach, Va., to pick up Spar- row and Sidewinder air-to-air missiles and other sophisti- cated hardware. There had been increasing Congressional pressure on the Administration all day to send Approved For Release 2005/02/28 : CIA-RDP94T00754R000100140006-0 Picture a pe brown-hal thirty years tering The ticipation. but for her fl retary to th sterer and d Plaza. Tod Arendt, a Yorker for back, occup office with and marble answers to rector of "R At The PI track of o ? guest room Ballroom, th eleven of th ful parlor s for wedding business co her job to re Catherin sponsible f suites are k visiting roy taries. And Catherin to preservi heritage. In dowalls, p solescence, its exquisit ings, crysta candelabra ties, tableau sculpture, g antique mi nishings, is bastions of splendour, in Catherine dian of our landmark* a F. Bart Mo same dedic weddings, s tions and b ings that C to "Rehab". at 212 PLaz 7-2 A Soneta Fifth Avenue a New Vor ?The Plaza oar been designet New York b Comm ?zr Pictuos a petite, dark-eyed, brort-haired girl some thirtyetears ago. She is en- terinThe Plaza with an- ticipa&n. Not as a guest? but for her first job: as sec- retanpoto the head uphol- stere4nd decorator at The Plaza o Today, Catherine Arent, a native New Yorkstofor six generations back,c8ocupies a spacious officdwith gold curtains and ngirble fireplace and answegs to the title of Di- rectolrof "Rehab". ? Ate Plaza she keeps track-of one thousand guesigrooms, the Grand Ballro8m, the Terrace and eleverkof the most beauti- ful pallor suites available for wtirddings, parties and business conferences. It's her Oh to rehabilitate them. _Catherine is also re-. 7.riqz2 for insuring that -cnz-3:qe kept perfect for johy and digni- c11. - - dedicated priceless htnmeraof win- more military supplies to Is- rael?Jackson taking the lead ?and Dinitz wondered if it was this pressure that had produced the Presidential de- cision. At 8:45 P.M., Kissinger called Dinitz to say that Schlesinger would be available on Wednesday to discuss lo- gistical details. Apparently there had been some Presi- dential arm-twisting. By dawn, Wednesday, Oct. 10, American and Israeli intel- ligence picked up the first clear signals of a Soviet air- lift into Damascus and Cairo. Its full dimensions were not yet known. At 10:45 A.M., Kissinger called Dinitz to discuss it. Both diplomats were obvious- ly concerned: Kissinger, be- cause the airlift was hardly an example of Soviet "re- straint"; Dinitz, because his enemies had no trouble get- ting help, while he, as he put it, had to spend his time Nixon exploded at Schlesinger: 'To hell with the charters! Get the supplies there! Get moving!' "painting Jewish stars off Is- raeli planes." The Secretary switched subjects. How was the war going? He was begin- ning to question his own rosy assumptions. On the Golan front, the Syrians had been stopped, but there was still heavy fighting. Israel was sus- taining heavy tank losses, largely because Syria had been equipped with an un- usually effective antitank mis- sile, the latest in the Soviet arsenal. On the Sinai front, Dinitz said, the Egyptians had smashed or encircled the Bar- Lev Line of Israeli defense on - the east bank of the canal. More than 20,000 Egyptian troops, 400 tanks and other armored vehicles had crossed the canal, and they were dig- ging in. Again, Israeli losses were heavy, in men and ma- teriel. Elazar's promised counteroffensive could not get rolling, and one major reason was the dwindling ordnance. What about supplies? Kissinger called Schlesinger and asked him to organize ci- vilian charters to carry Amer- ican military ?aid to Israel as quickly as possible. The De- fense Secretary showed little enthusiasm, but he offered no opposition. Kissinger wasn't sure, at that point, if Schles- inger intended to help. At the Pentagon, Schles- inger was well aware that Dinitz wanted to see him to discuss military supplies for Israel. A tentative noontime date had been set. At the last minute, the Defense chief can- celed the meeting. His deputy, William P. Clements Jr., a wealthy Texas drilling con- tractor with close ties to the oil industry, had apparently persuaded him that he needed more information about Amer- ican inventaies before he could provide the Israelis with an exact timetable for deliv- eries. No new appointment with Dinitz was set. At the White House, Nixon and Kissinger briefed 10 Sen- ators and 9 Congressmen. Senator Mike Mansfield, be- fore the hour-and-a-half meet- ing, told reporters that the United States must not get in- volved in the war. "I want no more Vietnams," he said. From Beirut, there were re- ports that Brezhnev was ex- horting all Arab leaders to join the fight against Israel. Jordan decided to send a lim- ited force. That afternoon, the Admin- istration's attention was sud- denly absorbed by still an- other major political crisis. Spiro Agnew resigned as Vice President, pleading no contest to a charge of tax evasion in Maryland, his home state. His resignation, on top of the growing Watergate scandal, weakened the Administration even more. Its effect was to increase the pressure on Kis- singer to avoid a foreign- policy disaster that could end up toppling the President. Dinitz returned to the White House at 3:30, and it was a scene of frantic ac- tivity. Kissinger was in the Oval Office. Maj. Gen. Brent Scowcroft, 1Cissinger's deputy CABLE CAR C1LOTHIERS ROBERT KIWI...Ltd. S., F-.. Reek& Goods Stow Use ISM rson we're took- Approved For Release 2005/02/28 : CIA-RDP94T00754R000100140006-0 on. the National' Security Council, told Dinitz that the Russians had just switched tactics on a U. N. cease-fire. U. N. Ambassador John Scan reported that Moscow was now proposing an immediate end to the fighting. The Rus- sian move was clearly an at- tempt to freeze the battlefield situation at a point at which the Arabs had the initiative and the Israelis had not yet been able to mount a counter- offensive. Dinitz angrily re- jected the proposal. Israel, he said, would never accept a cease-fire until Syrian and Egyt?tian forces had been driven back to the prewar lines: He urged the United States to open an immediate airlift of supplies to Israel to match the Soviet airlift. Scow- croft promised to convey his appeal to Kissinger. Late that afternoon, the Na- tional Security Agency, which specializes in electronic in- telligence, and the CIA. re- ceived urgent reports from the Middle East that Russia's larg- est transport plane?the Anto- nov-22--was spearheading the Soviet airlift and that these lumbering giants were com- ing into Damascus and Cairo at fairly regular intervals, sug- gesting the airlift was becom- ing "massive." When these re- ports reached Kissinger's at- tention, he quickly called Dinitz. Could the Israeli Am- bassador come to the White House at 8 P.M.? The meeting that evening lasted for an hour and 15 minutes. It focused on Rus- sia's call for a cease-fire. Dinitz repeated his opposition. "The Russians are hardly in a position to appear as the paci- fists," the Israeli Ambassador stated, with some annoyance. "They are the ones who caused the war. They knew of the impending attack and didn't warn you and didn't prevent it. Now they are coax- ing other Arab Governments to join the fight against Israel, and they are sending a big airlift. And, after all this, they dare to ask to freeze the situation!" Kissinger did not argue. He had been making the same points to himself. After Dinitz left, Kissinger called Dobrynin and per- suaded him to delay his cease- fire call. Late that night, Kissinger received more disturbing in- telligence. The C.I.A. had learned that three Soviet air- borne divisions in Eastern Europe had been put on alert. Why? Russia's clients were fighting well; better than any- one had anticipated, in fact. And direct Soviet intervention could only trigger American counteraction, which could spiral into a nuclear war. It IF.044014.0. was, as Kissinger would later put it, "a murderously dan- gerous situation, much worse, much more dangerous than the 1970 Jordan crisis." He called Dinitz and recommend- ed a 7:45 meeting on Thursday morning.He did not tell him about the Sciviet alert. D . initz's car pulled into the circular drive at the dip- lomatic entrance of the State Department at 7:40 A.M. The Ambassador and Charg?'Affaires Shalev, both bleary-eyed from fatigue, hurried through the quiet lob- by, past the giant, rotating globe and a few reporters too surprised to get in a question. Then, for over an hour, Dinitz and Kissinger focused on one problem?getting the Penta- gon to supply Israel with planes, tanks and electronic equipment on an emergency basis. , During the night, Kissinger had reached a major decision: Russia had to be stopped? not only to save Israel, but also, in his mind, to spare the world the possibility of a big-power confrontation. The Soviet airlift and alert had changed his attitude about Israel's capacity to win a quick victory. Just as he had misjudged prewar intelligence, so too had he misjudged the will and capability of the Arabs and the duplicity of the Russians. ' He was now de- termined to open a massive airlift of American military supplies to Israel. "We tried to talk in the first week," Kissinger later ex- plained. "When that didn't work, we said, fine, we'll start pouring in equipment until we create a new reality." Kissinger told Dinitz to see Schlesinger. In the afternoon, Kissinger himself again urged Schlesinger to charter 20 American transport planes to fly supplies and again Schles- inger resisted, warning of a possible oil embargo. Their ar- gument was resolved only after Kissinger had won the President to his point of view. Nixon ordered Schlesinger to charter the 20 planes; but by the end of the day Dinitz still had heard nothing of the air- lift, and Israel, meanwhile, was still suffering heavy losses. At 6 P.M., Friday, Dinitz, accompanied by Gen. Morde- - chai Gur, then Israeli Defense Attach?finally got his meet- ing with Pentagon leaders. Dinitz reviewed the massive Soviet contribution to the Arab cause and then lamented the "unbelievably slow re- sponse of the Americans." Schlesinger did not dispute the Ambassador's rundown, (Continued on Page 52) Approved For Release 2005/02/28 : CIA-RDP94T00754R000100140006-0 Approved For Release 2005/02/28: CIA-RDP94T00754R000100140008-0 Philadelphia area, make the With the Stouffer extras that'll i about choosing us. The good morning dividend. Ask for a morning wake-up call, and we'll bring complimentary hot coffee and a hot-off-the-presses copy of the morning paper to your room. To get your day started right. The instant check-in. And out. Thanks to our exclusive Prime Minister Club. When you belong, you simply pick up your key and go straight to your room on arrivaL No registration. No waiting. Then, just drop off your key when you leave. We bill you later. Ask to join the Prime Minister's Club when you call for reservations. illy us just once. And see how good it feels to stop at toufiri Valley Forge Hotel 480 N. Gulph Road of Prussia, Pa. (Philadelphia) 1.97-1 *J1.4 Continued from Page 50 but he explained that "politi- cal considerations" had caused the United States to "slow down." The U. S. did not want to destroy its "posi- tion and image in the Arab world." Private airline charter companies feared Arab terror- ism or reprisals and therefore refused to help Israel. Insofar as United States military transports were concerned, Schlesinger carefully empha- sized that they would be per- mitted to carry military sup- plies to the Azores islands, but no further. Israel would have to make other arrange- ments to get the supplies from the Azores to Tel Aviv. Dinitz was flabbergasted. He said, in that case, the supplies wouldn't get to Israel "in time for this war." Schlesinger moved on to other subjects, none more critical to Israel than the delivery of planes and tanks. Here he paused for a moment and then disclosed that the rate of delivery for Phantoms would be "one and a half per day"; but, after "a couple of days," the deliveries would be stopped so that, as Schle- singer explained, the United States could "read Arab reac- tion before we decide on fur- ther shipments." In any case, there would be no more than 16 Phantoms earmarked for Israel. The United States, he continued, intended to do no more than replace Israeli losses. Dinitz pointed out that Israel had already lost more than 16 Phantoms. Schlesinger did not dispute his statistics, but he explained that the United States had to "operate in low profile in or- der not to create an Arab reaction." Schlesinger was al- luding to a possible cutoff of Arab oil, but in his comments he made no specific mention of it. "Mr. Secretary, with all due respect," Dinitz said, "you are not giving us an answer." Schlesinger stuck to his guns. The meeting with the Israeli Ambassador had turned into a confrontation. "Mr. Secre- tary," concluded Dinitz, "in the recent period, we have undergone two crises in the Middle East. One, the Syrian and Jordanian crisis of 1970, and the other one we are going through now. In 1970, your country needed some- thing from us. Now we need something from you. I must humbly say that we acted dif- ferently at the time of that crisis than you do now." The meeting ended with a cold handshake. Shortly after 11 o'clock that same night, Mita was ushered into Kissinger's White House office for a brief, but dramatic meeting. Dinitz be- gan by filling in the Secretary on his talk with the Pentagon chief. He placed special em- phasis upon Schlesingees in- sistence on shipping what would amount to one and a half planes a day for only a couple of days and then paus- ing to gauge Arab reaction. One and a half Phantoms a day, for a couple of days, he told Kissinger, was "a mock- ery to the poor." He repeated Schlesinger's statement that, in any case, no more than 16 Phantoms would be sent to Israel?even though Israeli losses in that one category alone had more than doubled the Pentagon ceiling, and Nix- on had issued a specific order to replace "all" Israeli losses. Israel, he stated, needed a minimum of 32 Phantoms. "II a massive American airlift to Israel does not start immedi- ately," Dinitz emphasized, "then I'll know that the United States is reneging. . . and we will have to draw very serious conclusions from all this." Dinitz did not have to trans- late his message. Kissinger quickly understood that the Israelis would soon "go pub- lic" and that an upsurge of pro-Israeli sentiment in the United States could have a disastrous impact upon an al- ready weakened Administra- tion. A high State Department source later expanded on that theme: "There were enough people in the country just looking for a breach of con- fidence in foreign affairs, above and beyond Watergate. We had always told the Is- raelis, 'When the chips are down, we're with you.' Well, the chips were down, and it looked as though we were not with them. At least, that's what they thought. They had taken a terrible beating from the Arabs. They were the vic- tims of aggression. No doubt about that. They held their hand, because Kissinger told them not to strike first. And after all that, we reneged. We didn't come through. That's all Jackson needed. If Dinitz had gone public with every- thing he knew, it could have toppled the Administration." Kissinger promised Dinitz that he would do "everything in my power" to overcome "bureaucratic difficulties" and launch a massive Ameri- can airlift. He then summoned Scowcroft into his office and? according to one knowledge- able source, asked if the Pentagon had been dragging qu ? tit tli to th as te Approved For Release 2005/02/28 : CIA-RDP94T00754R00 100140006.L0-: Approved For Release 2005/02/28 : CIA-RDP94T00754R000100140006-0 its feet. Yes. Scowcroft nodded, but added that the charter problem had been and remained "real enough." Kis- singer became very angry. He _ quickly got Schlesinger on the phone and warned that the President would "blow his top" when he learned about the delays. Kissinger described the charters as a "matter of urgent national security." "Every morning I come in and ask, 'What about the char- ters?' and I'm told everything is all right," Kissinger said. "But in the evening, I'm told nothing has moved. Now what Kissinger called Alexander Haig. 'We must put the fear of God in Schlesinger and Clements,' he was quoted as saying. 'They are working against Presiden- tial orders.' Is going on?" Schlesinger tried to refute the Secretary's charges. but Kissinqer inter- rupted him with an order to get busy implementing the President's policy. When Kissinger finished talking, be immediately called White House aide Alexander Haig. "We must put the fear of God in Schlesinger and Clements," he was quoted as saying. "They are working against Presidential orders." Kissinger demanded that the problem of Israeli "resupply" be solved "urgently." Haig was surprised to learn that the charter problem still had not been solved. He suggested that Scowcroft be put in per- sonal charge of It. ? Deputy Defense Secretary Clements. for his part, has denied that he was even aware of a problem with char- ters or that be was in any way sabotaging U. S. policy. On the contrary, he has main- tained that he followed White House orders during the crisis. But a high Defense official said that because of "poor communications" between Kissinger and the Pentagon? "he was five miles away, across the river, and we couldn't read his mind"?he often did not know exactly what Kissinger was going to do next. Another Pentagon Official was less charitable. "Henry tried running the Gov- ernment by telephone that week," he said, "and it can't he done that way." The Pen- tagon defense, in short, was that Kissinger was attempting to run the war out of his vest pocket, controlling the flow of 'information even to the top civilian managers of the Pen- tagon, and that he never fully explained his tactics or strat- egy. The Pentagon maintained that the strain across the Potomac existed only during the first week of the war and then cooperation between the State and Defense Depart- ments improved considerably. Later Friday night, Kissin- ger asked Haig to arrange a meeting with Nixon. Kissinger reviewed the day's develop- ments with the President, and it would have been extraor- dinary if he did not lay partic- ular stress on the Pentagon's obstructionist tactics. Nixon took immediate action. He in- structed Haig to order Schle- singer to send 10 C-130 trans- port planes, loaded with mili- tary supplies, to the Azores at once; then to fly 20 C-130's directly to Israel; and finally to facilitate a quick Israeli pickup of the cargo left in the Azores. When Kissinger in- formed Dinitz about the Presi- dent's latest order, aimed at breaking through all bureau- cratic roadblocks, the Israel envoy expressed his gratitude but asked if it Was possible for all of the American planes to fly directly to Israel. He explained that Israeli pilots were needed for combat duty. At 1:45 A.M. Saturday morning, Kissinger called again. The President, he said, had issued still another order to Schlesinger: to make ab- solutely certain that 10 Phan- toms reached Israel by mid- night Sunday. Nixon was aware of the danger of a strong Arab reaction, but he was equally aware of the dan- ger of a Soviet miscalculation of American intentions. He felt he had to make a strong, visible show of support for Is- rael. Dinitz thanked Kissinger but warned that Israel needed more than 10 Phantoms. The war had cut deeply into Is- rael's air force. At 10:30, the President summoned all his top advisers to an emergency meeting at the White House. Kissinger had alerted Nixon to the need for an unambiguous Presiden- tial order launching an Ameri- can airlift of supplies for Is- rael. Kissinger, in his dual capacity as national security adviser and Secretary of State. joined Schlesinger, Moorer, Haig, Colby and other officials. They heard the Presi- dent ask one key question: Why had there been a delay Willie Mays. Fresh Air Rind E Willie IV why he joine team. To hell of the city for summer. To ( to rim and sh instead of rul You can dollar donat: two weeks in any donatiot Please h Air Fund tea why New Yo the big leagt. ? Mail to: 300 West 43rd Sheet Newlbrk IEnclosed is my contribution of Contributions are tax deductible. 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Send $20 in check or nay Cam with your name and address to: SIGN CULTURE COMPANY Vied412 Street taw Yak, N. Y. 10036 In implementing his previous orders about supplies for Is- rael? Schlesinger tried to ex- plain his difficulty in char- tering civilian transport planes. "To bell with the charters," Nixon exploded, according to one eyewitness. "Get the supplies there with American military planes! For- get the Azores! Get moving! I want no further delays." By 3:30 P.M. Dinitz was in- formed that a fleet of larger C-5's had just left the United States for Israel. The Ambas- sador cabled Mrs. Meir that "a massive American airlift" had begun. Kissinger had won what one of his aides later called the "Battle of? 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue." V2y ithin a few days, as one C-5 after another rumbled into Tel Aviv, each one a signal of U. S. de- termination, the Kissinger strategy began to affect both the military and diplomatic sides of the war. In the dead of night on Oct. 15, Israeli commandos, their faces dark- ened to avoid detection, crossed over on rafts to the western bank of the Suez Canal just north of Great Bit- ter Lake. On Oct. 16, Israeli armored units drove an iron wedge through Egyptian lines on the east bank and then built a pontoon bridge across the canal to the west bank? to "Africa," as the Israelis ? called it. Hundreds of Israeli troops and dozens of tanks and other armored vehicles crossed into "Africa" in a dramatic move that turned the tide of battle on the Suez front. This cross-canal operation had been under intensive study since the fourth day of the war, but it had been put temporarily on a back burner. Defense Minister Moshe Da- yan and General Elazar, wor- ried about a growing shortage of ammunition and equipment, had restrained General Ariel Sharon, commander of Israeli forces in the Sinai, from launching this daring mission. Only when Dinitz's cable an- nouncing the airlift reached Mrs. Meir's desk on Saturday night did final preparations begin. At first, the Egyptians tried to destroy the Israeli bridge- head; instead, it was widened and deepened, and Sadat be- gan to realize that his armies on the east bank could be cut off from supplies and dev- astated. The Israelis, after 72 hours in "Africa," were al- ready 40 miles west of the canal and but 50 miles east of Cairo. The airlift, as Kissinger had expected, stimulated activity on the diplomatic front, too. On Oct. 16, Soviet Premier Aleksei N. Kosygin flew se- cretly into Cairo for three days of urgent consultations with Egyptian President An- war el-Sadat. He carried a four-point "peace" proposal, obviously conceived before the Israelis crossed the canal: (1) a cease-fire in place; (2) Israeli withdrawal to the 1967 boundaries, after some minor changes; (3) an international peace conference, at which the final agreement would be negotiated and ratified; and (4) most important, a "guar- antee" by the Soviet Union and the United States of the entire agreement, including the cease-fire. From the moment Kosygin arrived in the Egyptian capi- tal, it was clear that the Rus- sians wanted the conflict to come to an end. Kissinger would later note that they did not press their call for a cease-fire when their allies were on the offensive and they were the only ones run- ning an air and sea lift of sup- plies into the war zone; but once the United States opened its own airlift and the Israelis suddenly went on the attack, they began energetically to press for a cease-fire. Dur- ing the last of Kosygin's long and occasionally bitter talks with Sadat, the reluctant Egyptian leader raised a cru- cially important question: What would happen if Cairo agreed to a cease-fire in place and Israel didn't, or, even worse, if Israel agreed to a cease-fire, and then massively violated it? Kosygin, accord- ing to Egyptian sources, told Sadat that the Soviet Union stood ready to help enforce the cease-fire?alone, if neces- sary. In Washington, on the night of Oct. 18, Dobrynin gave Kis- singer the draft of a Soviet proposal for a U.N.-sponsored cease-fire. The Secretary was puzzled by its extreme de- mands, including a call for a total Israeli withdrawal from "all" occupied Arab lands, in- cluding the Old City of Jeru- salem. It was such an obvious "nonstarter" that Kissinger quickly rejected it. The following morning, at 10 A.M., Dobrynin presented an invitation to the Secretary from Brezhnev asking him to fly to Macow for "urgent consultations on the Middle East." The Soviet party chief, after considering Ko- sygin's report, had con- Introducing an attractive new program for apartment ownership at 303 East 57th St. ?47 Stories? Distinctive and spacious apartments in New York's Tallest Cooperative Resi- dence, nqw featuring: ? ? Liberal long term financ- ing at an annual percent- age rate of 7.95%. ? Membership in the Ex- celsior Club, with its su- perior dining room, year 'round indoor-outdoor swimming pool, sundeck and other club facilities. ? A limited number al apartments of 2 to 71/2 rooms are available for immediate purchase and early occupancy. Room dimensions are unus- ually impressive and many apartments have 3 expos- ures including breath-tak- ing river and skyline views, balcony and extra powder room. 24 hour doorman. Lobby desk. Attended ele- vators. Garage in building. Quality apartments that rank with the finest ever of- fered in New York City. ID Sales Agent for Sponsors Apartments OUGLAS LUMAN a CO. 'I ? Phone (212) 371-2000 Sales Agent on Premises ? Mr. Wechsler Phone (212) 758-8440 Daily and Sunday This advertisement is not on offering which can be mode only by a formal prospectus. Approved For Release 2005/02/28 : CIA-RDP94T00754R000100140006-0 I Approved For Release 2005/02/28 : CIA-RDP94T00754R000100140006-0 eluded that Sadat's forces were in bad trouble, and Syrian President Hafez al- Assad's were in worse shape. In his judgment they needed an immediete cease-fire. If Kissinger had refused to accept his invitation, he would have been prepared to dispatch Gromyko to Washington. Time was critical. The Israelis were advancing on Damascus. Their big guns were little more than 20 miles away, within firing range of the outskirts of the city. In the south, we Israelis were continuing to expand their bridgehead in the very heartland ? Of Egypt, building up their fighting force there to more than 300, tanks and 13,000 troops. Kissinger spent very little time de- bating whether to snap up Brezhnev's invitation?for a number of reasons. First, he thought a rejection would probably force the Russians to go di- rectly to the U.N. Security Council and propose a cease-fire. He believed that such a proposal would have been adopted unanimously. Next, by going to Moscow, Kissinger purchased an ad- ditional 72 hours for Israel to improve ? her military position; Kissinger also =.1111311====21111111 The Israeli Ambassador cabled home that 'a massive American air- lift' had begun. Kissinger had won the 'Battle of 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue.' wanted to be in personal charge of the negotiations. Despite his assur- ances, less than a month old, that as Secretary of State he was going to -in- stitutionalize policy," he could not shake his style of playing .a command- ing role in every negotiation, particu- larly in a ceisis. And finally, perhaps most important, Kissinger believed, ac- cording to one close aide, "that the Russians were getting very anxious and very upset" and might even be considering "unilateral military action to stop the fighting." The Secretary considered the over-all situation "mur-,. derously dangerous," an assessment he was to repeat time and again. After checking with Nixon. he told Dobrynin that he would leave for Moscow that night. While he prepared for his journey, the President was sending a signal to ? Moscow?and to the Arab states, too. In a special message to Capitol Hill, Nixon asked Congress for $2.2-billion In emergency military aid for Israel. For, the first time in many years, the United States proposed giving, rather than selling, this military equipment ? to the Jewish state. "The magnitude of the current conflict, coupled with ? the seete of Soviet supply activities," ? Nixon said, "has created needs which exceed Israel's capacity." Noting that the Middle East had become "a flash point for potential world conflict," the President added: "The United States i$ making every effort to bring this con- flict to a very swift and honorable conclusion, measured in days, not weeks. But prudent planning also re- quires us to prepare for a longer strug- gle." The President's message seemed packaged to enhance Kissingees bar- gaining position in Moscow. Kissinger's plane landed at Vnukovo Airport, Moscow, at 7:30 P.M., Satur- day, Oct. 20. While he was airborne, the Secretary received two signals. One came from the White House; the other from Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. The signal from the White House was high- ly unusual. The President flashed Kis- singer what amounted to a "power of attorney" to sign any agreement in Moscow in his name. Nixon knew that Kissinger was planning to bring any agreement reached in Moscow back to Washington for Presidential perusal and approval: that was the standard operating procedure. The President, who was about to fire Archibald Cox, the first Watergate Special Prosecutor ?an action that would also force the resignation of Elliot Richardson and William Ruckelshaus from the two top jobs at the Justice Department, in what became known as the Saturday Night Massacre?was either too pre- occupied with his political problems to think about urgent diplomatic mat- ters or so worried about the possibil- ity of a world conflagration that he decided to dispense with normal dip- lomatic procedure and give Kissinger the power to take immediate, binding action in his name. The Secretary was surprised by the White House signal but didn't question it. The second signal, from Riyadh, had the impact of an economic H-bomb, but Kissinger was too absorbed with the problems of war and cease-fire in. the Middle-East to give it more than a passing thought. The supposedly pro-American Government of Saudi Arabia, denouncing the United States airlift of arms to Israel and the Presi- dent's special aid message to Congress, slapped a punishing oil embargo on the United States. For months Faisal had warned that he would use his oil weapon in the Arab struggle against Israel; besides, he had committed him- self to use this weapon in secret pre- war negotiations with Sadat. On Oct. 17, the oil-producing states had voted to reduce their production by 10 per cent. On Oct. 18, Abu Dhabi had im- posed an oil embargo on the United States. On Oct. 19, Libya had acted. On Oct. 20, it was Saudi Arabia's turn, and the following day Algeria and Kuwait followed suit. In the months ahead, the oil embargo was to have damaging impact on the Amer- ican economy and way of life. It would eventually force Kissinger to acceler- ate his diplomatic peacemaking efforts but tilled weekend in Moscow, Kissinger had a more immediate aim: to exploit Russia's nervousness about the Israeli offensive. Less than two hours after his arrival in the Soviet capital, Kissinger was es- corted into Brezhnev's Kremlin office, Approved For Release 2005/02/28 : CIA-RDP94T00754R000100140006-0 ? Approved For Release 2005/02/28 : CIA-RpP94-100754R000100140006-0 , the gentle waters of ibbean . the faith- -n you while constant iou . . ? Dutch-clean ding. ? . and ruins of liven your picnics Neicome vou tor -estz.-.;:ants th orange orzi liutch noat?,in i t_nonese una a swinwhou pow iii he ,orar. ',toads oies that toeed vE:L2 nere roans with slow you to see what's e. asinos and nightclubs awake all night and it casinos and night- nights are your own have strayed to new .y?reach up and move almost that close. n rates from New York 4, American or Eastern many airline and travel age plans offer even and water and people id. casinos and food learn more... colorful hotel descriptions ... the coupon today! N'ff-a imitation Center xvenue , New. York 10036 ore...about Aruba! , . . and the two men began to ex- plore ways of ending the war and salvaging the Policy of detente. At .the, same; time they kept a clope:thick on the battlefield. Brezhnev reviewed the result's of Kosygin's visit to Cairo and emphasized the need for an immediate cease- fire. He warned that the situa- tion was extremely grave. Kissinger agreed with his grim assessment and with the need- for a cease-fire; but he' in-' sisted that a cease-fire had to be linked to peace talks, or else it was sure to break down all over again. Their meeting ended well past mid- night. There was no deal, but Kissinger had the impression that Brezhnev was so eager to preserve at !east the spirit :dtente, come to CO ii rule. that he wouid make inalor concession at their %ILA:A scneutueci- for ;Iernoon, most. ,4.M. Sunday when zissinger tinatly got a cnar.re to call Haig at the White House to check on a couple.of annoying problems. He found Haig totally preoccupied and it was only then that Kissin- ger learned about the Satur- day Night Massacre. On Sunday afternoon, Brezh- nev and Kissinger met for four hours. In the intervening time, Israeli troops continued their advance on Damascus and their flanking operations west of the Suez Canal. The two negotiators hammered out the details of a cease-fire arrange- meat that would lead to direct talks between Egypt and Is- rael. It was, for the Secretary, an immensely satisfying re- sult. He knew that the Is-. reeks would not be happy about the cease-fire coming 'at a time when they needed only a few more days to de- feat the Egyptian and Syrian Armies, but he also knew that they would appreciate the op-. portanity,- at long fast, for di- rect talks with Egypt. In- the. President's name, he sent an urgent appeal to Mrs. Meir to accept the cease-fire. "We were hardly in a posi- tion to pay no," one high Is- raeli official said. "We had no real choice. Here was a hersonal appeal from the Pres- 'dent of the United States at wncit Israel was inure flenendent than ever on c'nited States." 'von iattat's ibreernent to direct talks with zs Pala?.t troai ?sypt accented nefore? n*T01:' senuing ins addi. tional assurance that Russia would?if necessary; alone? guarantee the observance of the cease-fire. , After reaching agreement with Brezhnev on the exact wording of the joint Soviet- American call for a cease-fire, Kissinger conferred with Gromyko and then the Am- bassadors of Great Britain, France and Australia, all members of the U.N. Security Council and then sent special instructions to Ambassador Scali in New York to call for Solutions to Last Week's Puzzles 1IC ovol ULEU QCMJLIU fIIUfl T AflTfS'IUL LI i 0 III. Rf WI,A TUL ABE M I PI r f' I 0 A S N i i g m O b S T ' 0 I .? E SIR (.110N L I NE E ED R t caCoGRAPtaaa,5 E P A I S TERSE 5 ISMA 5 oe DS EL ir 1,z T E , i piaErSh RGUE SON NN Ep E E R LUIII Ts .1 I A UN 7 N TO IAN ORE NA 5 Al S TJAITI 7 RI A 7 I Ot '. ?A BLJBNT 11 tiAt. L:: 8._ i R RE ILlIgi4f)?oR (SE S lio.aslAsTOt AL. L IO& ION A 111, HRIOMY OARS teiCIE I 5 STS Si' 0C 1 C4Ei I ,S IL E 'PAMELA '.'MINARET IIS E ,m0-7170 1)!A AIL?ARMS L ANt, I, 5 S P. 5! L PIS E SIA LB E N , AIDIE RAY A !tilt E Lill! 5 ,-,, C1,A L NEN DAI IIN R 5 NG El T'ECIHNY BROOD BOTTS 0 ASKS ArrqUIS H E Itil 11 EIO E E IIP: 011E4 pH i 13A. "Od" IRIBM y,ir a Alw i, tip M ! lEi1 ,$,IiNT a. R p Fi 1. H R fEf NAg6.1N .?,.-E. *V* HU F3 moon , an emergency meeting of the Security Council. The council convened early Monday morn- . Ing, Oct. 22, and unanimously adopted the superpower call for, a cease-fire in place. Res- olution 338 was to go into ef- fect within 12 hours Or, at the latest, by 6:52 P.M., Mid. die East time. issinger left Mos- cow at 10 A.M. On his way back to Washington, he stopped for five hours in Jeru- Sa!em and two hours in Lon- don. His stop in Jerusalem? designed to explain the terms of the cease-fire--proved to be an emotional experience for aim. The crowds it the air- tiort cheered his arrival. Kis- the eeeiing, after ..ailting with Israel's oolitfaai ..nd military leaders, that they .re :tructous to oic war, .?/( cnriv needed ? :anger . 'Oil id ?-1.:r?? ? " r'no it for ....issirner was fuhniing the role. His stopover in London?to brief Sir Alec Douglas-Home, then British Foreign Secre- tary, about the Moscow nego- tiations ? gave Kissinger his first insight into the political significance of the Saturday. Night Massacre. He picked up a couple of British newspa- pers, and the headlines stunned him. He had no, idea, up to that moment, that Nixon was in such deep, deep trouble. The newspapers also ran headlines about the Middle East cease-fire, and he was gratified that, at a minimum, he was still able to come UD with achievements in foreign policy that Americans could support?achievements that - reminded the world that the United_ States, despite Nixon's Watergate difficulties, was still a - major, influential power. On his return flight Kis- singer kept track Of the cease-fire. There were viola- tions. He had expected them. But he believed that they were manageable. . He. arrived in Washington at 3 A.M. Tuesday and had hardly finished his breakfast in his White House office later that morning when there was a frantic call from the Soviet Embassy complaining that the Israelis had massive- ly violated the cease-fire. Kis- singer called Dinitz. "What the hell is going on here?" he wanted to know. Kissinger had been given the Prime Minister's word that Israel would respect the cease-fire; he had communicated that ? (Continued on Page 60) ' a as it i Pappagall of a very d footwear a things; of taste; of a of-view. Pap make ha ri :rid sales .Ino, yes. o, Rut it 'nem anti Ind flat' at ? ,t ? r%intt ale rIK Orenidc 1250 (212) 'Enjoy the res country. Rich over 1,000 ye I& forest vet A commit' 1 Each top I. NO 2 PIER All sizes appr _Natural wood split. We gua 2 separate 0 Mall orders collect. Open TREE TOP CO. Y2 cup sal Yr cup vin teaspix Yr cup Go Mixed sal Golden B Beat vigo Approved For Release 2005/02/28 : CIA-RDP94T00754R60010040006-0 Continued front Page 56 word to the Russians. Now, the Russians could suspect Kissinger of duplicity, which could have a detrimental ef- fect on his role as a middle- man. Dinitz argued that it was not Israel, but Egypt, that had broken the cease-fire. Kissin- ger urged Mita in the strongest terms to tell Mrs. Meir that the United States expected Israel to live up to the terms of the cease-fire? "scrupulously," he added. The Secretary then checked with his own intelligence ex- perts. They confirmed the es- sence of Dinitz's account but added one important fact? that the Israelis had taken full advantage of the initial Egyp- tian violation to extend their lines on the west bank of the canal. Apparently what hap- pened was that the command- er of the Egyptian Third Corps, trapped on the east bank of the canal opposite the Egyptian city of Suez, ignored specific cease-fire orders from Cairo and attempted to break out of Israeli encirclement. The Israelis; still smarting over Egypt's original aggres- sion, beat back that attempt and then intensified their mili- tary pressure on both sides of the canal. On the west bank, In particular, the Israelis kept edging toward the strategic prize of Suez itself. U the city fell under Israeli control, then there would be no way for the Egyptians to resupply the Third Corps. After only a short while, the Israelis would be in a position to destroy the best fighting force in the Egyptian Army. Kissinger resolved that he would stop the Israelis and save the Third Corps and thus guarantee a military stale- mate. The Israelis would be on the west bank, the Egyp- tians on the east bank, and each side would have leverage over the other. From the earliest days of the war, it had never been Kissinger's policy to encourage the Israelis to win another decisive victory, such as they had won in 1967. Such a victory would not buy peace, but rather create ten- sions that would trigger still another war. Besides, Kissin- ger believed that in the cur- rent diplomatic. climate, a clear-cut Israeli victory would contribute to a further isola- tion of Israel, and, given America's close ties to the Jewish state, encourage a new wave of anti-Americanism in the Middle East. The oil em- bargo might then become a permanent feature of Arab policy, rather than a tactical weapon. Finally. if Kissinger , Was able to gain acceptance as a go-between in the Mid e East, as was his aim, he vrok, d have to demonstrate his im- partiality. Saving the Third Corps would be such a test? for him and his policy. In a series of talks with Dinitz, Kissinger cajoled, pressured, urged, implored, warned, threatened and pleaded with the Israeli en- voy to understand his logic and accept his policy. At the same time, he told Dobrynin that he expected the Soviet Union to restrain the Egyp- tians. Stating the obvious, the Secretary said that continued violations on either side could only end up hurting both sides?and the cause of d?nte. By dusk, the number of violations had gone down, but Kissinger's anxieties had gone up. He postponed a visit to China after his intelligence ex- perts alerted him to two sud- den developments. They had detected a sharp and sudden drop-off in the number of So- viet planes carrying military supplies to Egypt and Syria?. from about 70 flights a day down to half a dozen. In ad- dition, they had picked up sig- nals from the Ukraine indicat- ing that a number of Soviet Army and logistical units had been put on alert. That night, Kissinger and Dobrynin worked behind the scenes to arrange a second U.N. call for a cease-fire. The Security Council met in al- most continuous session. By 1 A.M., Washington time, Wednesday, Oct. 24, the second cease-fire went into effect; but, moments before the guns were ordered si- lenced for the second time in 48 hours, the Israelis an- nounced that their forces had reached the outskirts of Suez and the Third Corps was ef- fectively surrounded. When Kissinger got the news, he was furious. This time, when he called Dinitz, his voice did not boom, as it often did; he spoke softly, very softly, and Dinitz knew he was seriously worried. He warned the Is- raeli diplomat that the cease- fire would have to be re- spected, and he urged Dinitz to allow humanitarian con- voys?food, water, medical supplies?to reach the Third Corps. Kissinger's press conference on the morning of the U.S. alert. When Marvin Kalb (front, fifth from right) asked . . . Later Wednesday morning, after further talks with Dinitz and Dobrynin, Kissinger at- tended a high-level meeting at the White House, where he learned about a series of So- viet military moves. Four more divisions of Soviet air- borne troops had been put on alert, bringing the total to seven divisions, or roughly 50,000 troops. Five or six Soviet transport ships had crossed into the Mediter- ranean, raising the Russian naval presence in that area to an unprecedented 85 ships. About a dozen Antonov-22 planes had been spotted fly- ing toward Cairo. The analysts wondered if they might be carrying some of those air- borne troops. An airborne command post had been estab- lished in southern Russia. And, finally, special military orders had been intercepted, suggesting the Russians might be preparing to intervene in the Middle East. Kissinger and Dobrynin ex- changed urgent calls. The Sec- retary wanted to see if Dobry- nin had hardened his bargain. Kissinger believed that a decisive Israeli victory would not buy peace, but rather create tensions that would trigger still another war. lag position. He detected no such sign. At 3 P.M., Sadat radioed an ? urgent appeal to Brezhnev and Nixon to send a joint Soviet-American peace-keep- ing force to the Middle East, basically to police the Suez cease-fire. He accused Israel of continuing violations. Kis- singer rejected his appeal. He opposed the idea of sending big-power troops to a volatile area, believing that their pres- ence would only eiacerbate existing tensions. At 4:15 P.M., Dobrynin ar- rived at Kissinger's State De- partment office to discuss the organization of a Geneva peace conference following a cease-fire. In the course of their talk, Scali called twice from the U.N.: first, to inform the Secretary that the Secu- rity Council would be called into session that evening; and second, to say that the "non- aligned nations" had begun to echo Sadat's appeal. Kissinger immediately warned Dobrynin that the United States op- posed a joint Soviet-American peace-keeping force. The Rus- sian diplomat said that, so far as he knew, his colleague, U.N. Ambassador Yakov Malik, had no instruction to support such a force. Dobrynin left. A little while later, at 7:05 P.M., Dobrynin called. He had unintentionally misled Kissin- ger, he said: Malik did have Approved For Release 2005/02/28: CIA-RDP94T00754R000100140006-0 Approved For Release 2005/02/28 : CIA-RDP94T00754R000100140006-0 . . . if it had been called because of Watergate, he said no: "The President had no other choice as a responsible leader." instructions to support a non- aligned nation proposal for a big-power police forceAissin- ger suspected that the Rus- sians were actively encourag- ing such a proposal, and, in fairly blunt language, he urged Dobrynin to tell Moscow that the United States vigorously opposed the idea. Kissinger then informed the President that the Russians seemed to be switching sig- nals. Nixon reiterated his per- sonal opposition to a big. power peace-keeping force. At 7:25 P.M., Kissinger called Dobrynin, principally to convey the President's views on the subject. The Soviet Ambassador then added a dis- quieting new note. He said that Malik might not wait for the nonaligned nations to in- troduce the proposal for a big- power force; he might intro- duce it himself. Dobrynin ar- gued that the Israelis were continuing to violate the cease-fire, and that Russia and America were responsible for maintaining it. Kissinger re- peated his opposition to the proposal and warned that their countries might be head- ing for trouble. At 9:25 P.M.. Dobrynin caned Kissinger with a "very urgent" message from Beech- am to Nixon. The message Was, within hours, to bring the two ellitelPnwern into di- rect confrontation. Normally Dobrynin Would not have read the message on the phone but, this time, he said it was "so urgent" that he would make an exception. Slowly he dictated the message to Kis- singer; a secretary, listening in on an extension, took down the four-paragraph text in shorthand. The message began with an unusually cool salutation ? "Mr. President," rather than with the usual Brezhnev open- er, "My dear Mr. President"? and its tone was unmistakably tough. Brezhnev denounced Is- rael for "brazenly challenging both the Soviet Union and the United States" and for "dras- tically" violating the cease- fire. Then. echoing Sadat's line, the Soviet party chief said: "Let us together. . . ur- gently dispatch Soviet and American contingents to Egypt." The cease-fire had to be observed "without delay." Brezhnev then dropped his diplomatic bombshell. "I will say it straight," he said, "that if you find it impossible to act together with us in this matter, we should be faced with the necessity urgently to consider the question of tak- ing appropriate steps unilater- ally. Israel cannot be allowed to get away with the vio- lations." Kissinger could see the hedge: "consider the ques- tion. . . ." But he suspected Brezhnev meant business. The Russian leader had extracted Sadat's agreement to a cease- fire, linked to direct talks with Israel, only on condition that the two superpowers?or Rus- sia alone ? would guarantee the cease-fire. He had received 1Cissinger's word that Israel would respect the cease-fire. Now, four days later, Israel had blocked access to Suez city, effectively encircled the Third Corps, and threatened to destroy the cream of the Egyptian Army and perhaps topple the Sadat regime in the process. Kissinger believed that Brezhnev could not "tol- erate" another decisive Israeli victory over Egypt. Kissinger also knew that the United States could not tolerate un- ilateral Soviet intervention. The United States and the U.S.S.R. were on a collision course. Ten minutes later, just to double check, Kissinger called Dobrynin and read the text of the Brezhnev note back to him. "Is it correct?" Kissinger asked. "It is correct," Dobryn- in answered. The Russian added that he had to have an immediate response. The Sec- retary advised him respect- fully not to "press" the United States. Kissinger immediately called Nixon. The President at that time was upstairs at the White House. The Secretary gave him a complete fill-in and stated? that the United States might have to alert its military forces as one way to deter any unilateral Soviet move. The President concurred and empowered Kissinger to take charge of the American re- sponse. He added that if there were any problems, he .would be available immediately. Kissinger hastily assem- bled three panels of experts ?at the White House, the State Department and the United Nations?and, while they quickly reviewed the ac- cumulated intelligence, Kissin- ger, in his capacity as na- tional security adviser, sum- moned an emergency meeting of the President's top advis- ers, a rump N.S.C. gathering of Schlesinger, Colby, Moorer, Haig and Scowcroft. They met at the White House at 11 P.M. By that time, Kissinger had the opinion of the experts. There was, in their view, a "high probability" of some kind of "unilateral Soviet move." He informed the Presi- dent's top advisers about the experts' opinion. Then he dis- tributed copies of all re- cent Brezhnev communica- tions; plus the latest note, and Franconia College, located in the White Mountains, is a co-ed liberal arts community based on tolerance, mutual respect, and dedicated to academic and social responsibility as one route to individual growth and maturation. There are 450 students in residence. 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Split frankfurters, spread with mixture and either broil or grill. ,G4.11(1yo f, oft Vaw With 41 Oomplace. 130 orn or Release 2005/02/2'8 : CIA-RDP94T0075414000100140006-0 The New IrtgrrhrTi. asked everyone present to study the package. Without except/on, they Concluded that the tone of the note, recehied - that night, was "totally dif- ferent" from the earlier communications ? "harsh," ,"blunt," "leaving nothing to , the imagination." While his colleagues con- ? tinued to deliberate about a proper American response, Kissinger called Dobrynin and urged him to make -sure that Moscow did nothing "rash or - unilateral," at least not until the United States had com- posed an answer to the Brezh-, Bev note. The U.S. answer came in two parts: military and diplo- matic. The first part was a military alert. Since the experts had concluded that there was a "high probability" that Soviet airborne troops would. soon- be flown to the Middle East, the Secretary quickly. decided ? that the United States had to alert its military forces? ground, sea and air, both conventional and nuclear units. Schlesinger agreed. Both men felt that the Soviet Union had to be made aware that the United States would resist its- efforts to tilt the military bal- ance against Israel. At 11:30 P.M., Schlesinger instrueted Moorer to tell the service chiefs to alert most but not all military commands. For example. the Coast Guard, with its key air-sea rescue system, was not alerted until the following morning; and Strategic Air Command tanker planes operating over the mid-Atlantic along the United States-Israel air lanes, were not moved north to handle the possible refueling of B-52 bombers. Two hours later, at 1:30 in the morning, Schlesin- ger returned to the Pentagon and widened the alert. The Panama Command was in- cluded. The aircraft carrier John F. Kennedy, carrying dozens of A-4 attack jets, was dispatched toward the Medi- terranean. Fifty to 60 B-52 bombers were ordered from Guam to the United States. The 15,000-troop 82nd Air- borne Division, based at Fort Bragg, N. C., was added to the alert; it was told to be ready by 6 A.M., Thursday, if Happy ending: After the Syrian-Israeli agreement for separa- tion of forces last month, Kissinger gives Mrs. Meir a fare- well kiss. Recalling pictures of him kissing Arab leaders, she joked: "I didn't know you kissed women." necessary. *Finally, the entire Strategic Air Command (SAC) was put on- alert; SAC was a critical signal to the Russians, because it controls nuclear strike forces. There are five degrees of military alert, ranging from Defense Condition, or DefCon 5, which is least alarming, to Defense Condition 1, which is war. That night, during the various stages of the alert. most United States units were put on DefCon 3. In one case ?the Pacific Command?that represented no change, be- cause the Pacific Command is always on DefCon 3. SAC usu- ally operates on DefCon 4; it was moved up one notch. The fleet of Polaris submarines, carrying nuclear-tipped mis- siles, ranges between DefCon 3 and 2; that night, it was put at 3. The Sixth Fleet, cruising the Mediterranean, was on DefCon 2, and it stayed. at that level. As the second part of the American answer to Brezhnev, the Secretary of State com- posed a Presidenti61 response. He checked it with Schlesin- ' 0: ,011,44,0 4wo, 1,4 A soldier stopped for speeding explained to the police, a reporter read the police blotter?and the U.S. alert was public knowledge. ger and Haig and cleared it with Nixon. In the message, the United States reaffirmed the terms of the Kissinger- Brezhnev understanding that the two superpowers would cooperate in the search for peace in the Middle East. It disputed Brezhnev's claim that Israel was "brazenly" violat- ing the cease-fire. By late Wednesday night, in fact, there were comparatively few violations, on either side. The situation, the note said, did not warrant sending Soviet or American forces to the Middle East. The idea of one super- power taking "unilateral" ac- tion would cause great con? cern throughout the world. The United States could not accept such action by the Soviet Union; it could not but jeopardize the entire pattern of Soviet-American d?nte. The Nixon message focused instead on U.N. observer and peace-keeping forces com- posed of nonveto or non- nuclear members of the U.N. In this respect, the United States promised to cooperate with the Soviet Union. The note did not refer to the alert of American military forces; that was not considered nec- essary. "The alert itself," one official said, "was a signal which we knew they would get through their own elec- tronic intelligence." It is curious that, consider- ing the seriousness Kissinger ascribed to the crisis, the Sec- retary never saw the ?teal that night. Hilton, who struck' a number of his close advisers' as "remote," remained in his living quarters, upstairs, while'.: his advisers conferred dovm- stairs. Kissinger talked with ? the Chief Executive only once ?on the phone. , All other messages were relayed through Haig. The last one, at about g A.M., set the stage for a 7:30 A.M. meeting With the President and Haig. Before leaving the White House, Kissinger started the process of informing Amer- ica's allies. He called Lord Cromer, who was apparently in a snippy mood. The British Ambassador is said to have responded: 'Why tell us, Henry? Tell your friends?the Russians." Then Kissinger sent a cable to Brussels, head- quarters for the North At- lantic Treaty Organization, in- structing United States offi- - cials to inform all NATO allies about the alert of American forces. Because of a break- down in the NATO 'communi- cations system, it took hours before the allies actually got the word. Kissinger's final call was to Dinitz. At 7 A.M., Kissinger turned on the television news. He was, he later said, "surprised as hell" to learn that the alert had already become public knowledge. (An Army sergeant had explained to a policeman why hq was speeding; a re- porter read the police blot- ter.) His expectation was that the American people would not learn anything about a worldwide nuclear alert for another 24 hours. By that time, either there would have been a major crisis, in which case the alert would have been justified, or the crisis would have blown over, in which case the alert would have been eased. Keeping such news, ? from the public was not a new tactic for the Adminis- tration?or the Secretary. By the time Kissinger got to the White House for his 7:30 A.M. meeting With the Presi- dent, the C.I.A. had come up with an alarming report from Egypt ? that the Russians might have landed nuclear weapons there. For several days, American reconnais- sance planes had kept track of a Soviet ship carrying radioactive material and head- ing toward Port Said. In the early morning hours of Oct. 25, the ship docked. It was presumed by intelligence ex- perts that the radioactive ma- terial was a nuclear warhead or, more likely, several war- heads, and that they had been sent to Egypt to be tipped to SCUD missiles, which had- Approved For Release 2005/02/28 : CIA-RDP94T00754R000100140006-0 Approved For Release 2005/02/28 : CIA-RDP94T00754R000100140006-0 reached Egypt earlier in the year. The experts had no de- finitive information on wheth- er the radioactive material had actually been unloaded. The C.I.A. report tended to harden Kissinger's judgment that the Russians were going .to ,,send airborne troops to Egypt. Nuclear weapons could serve as backup protection for a sizable Soviet force. On the other hand, Kissinger could not dismiss the possibil ,ity that the Russians were moving nuclear weapons into Egypt because they believed that the Israelis had nuclear weapons and intended to use them against Egypt. In the United States Government, there was no hard intelligence that the Israelis had nuclear weapons. Kissinger immedi- ately ordered a study of Is- raeli nuclear capabilities. With the President and Haig, Kissinger reviewed the military and diplomatic situ- ation. After a few hours, they reached several conclusions: first, that the United States would continue its efforts at the U.N. to set up a -peace- keeping force that? excluded the major powers (early that morning, the Security Council had consideredi a resolution that, while not including the major powers, did not exclude them either); seeded, that Is- rael would have to be per- suaded to observe the cease- fire; third, that the American airtift of supplies to Israel would continue until all of her losses were replaced; and finally, that Kissinger would hold a news conference to ex- plain the alert and Nixon would postpone, for at least one day, the news conference he had scheduled to explain his firing of Cox. When America went to work that morning, it was aware from news reports that United States nuclear forces, on a worldwide basis, had been put on standby alert, apparently in a dramatic move to dissuade 'Russia from tak- ing "unilateral action" in the Middle East. The news of the alert came like a bolt of light- ning out of a sky darkened by Watergate suspicion and upheaval. For many people, still stunned by the Saturday Night Massacre, it was im- possible not to connect the alert to Watergate. After all, only one day before, spokes- 'men had asserted that 'the number of violations was dropping and the crisis seemed to be passing. There was instant speculation on Capitol Hill, in news offices MI at political party headie uarters ? both Republican Dernoreatic ? that thee .routei Mao'been catisied, at least to some degree, by the President's desire to de- flect attention from Water- gate and talk of impeachment. Kissinger has always claimed that the Watergate connection never entered his mind as he planned and or- dered the alert; that only the urgent requirements of diplo- macy governed his actions. That was why his news con- With the benefit of hind- sight, not even Kissinger has given Kissinger a straight A for crisis management. ferenc,e so shocked him. One of the first questions focused on Watergate. "Mr. Secretary," the ques- tion began, "could you tell us whether the United States re- ceived a specific warning from the Soviet Union that it would .eend its forces unilaterally into the Middle East? Do you have intelligence that the Rus- sians are preparing for such an action? The reason I raise these questions ? as you know, there has been some line of speculation this morn- ing that the American alert might have been prompted as much perhaps by American domestic requirements as by the real requirements of di- plomacy in the Middle East. And I wonder if you could provide some additional in- formation on that." Kissinger answered slowly ? as columnist Elizabeth Drew later put it?"in a tone" that was "more in sorrow." "Marvin," he said, "we are at- tempting to conduct the for- eign policy of the United States with regard for what we owe not just to the elec- torate but to future genera- tions. And it is a symptom of what is happening to our country that it could even be suggested , that the United States would alert its forces for domestic reasons. We do not think , it is wise at this moment to go iatO the details of the diplomatic -exchanges that prompted this decision. Upon the conclusion of the present diplomatic efforts, one way or the other, we will make theerecord available, and we .will be able to go into greater detail. And I am ab- solutely confident that it will be seen that the President had no other choice as a responsi- ble national leader." The news conference ran from noon to 1 o'clock, during which time the Secretary tried to be tough and conciliatory at the same time. Having con- firmed the American alert, he warned the Russians not to send their troops into the Middle East and not to expect the United States to join them in a Big Two peace-keeping force. Such an arrangement would only "transplant the great-power rivalry into the Middle East"?to him, an "in- conceivable" proposition that could lead to a nuclear clash. He said, "We possess, each of us, nuclear arsenals capable of annihilating humanity. . .." The remarks were classic Kis- singer. "We need a combina- tion of extreme toughness, when we're challenged," he once said of the Russians. but with enough flexibility "to give them the option of going to a more responsible course" without losing face. "It's in their nature" to probe any soft spot, but the United States "must be willing to face them down when they step across the line." The news conference was being carried live on nation- wide TV and radio, and U.N. delegates paused to listen, de- laying Security Council de- liberations still longer. The delay gave Malik extra time to call Moscow for new in- structions, which became evi- dent almost immediately. Per- suaded, no doubt, that the in- fluence game in the Middle East was getting too expen- sive for the Soviet Union, Brezhnev sought a face-saving compromise at the U.N. He told Malik to stop pushing for the inclusion -of, the super- powers in the peace-keeping force and instead to yield to American insistence that they be specifically excluded. Malik told Scali. Scali told Kissin- ger. Kissinger told the Presi- dent. Although there was not yet any sign that Russian air- borne units had been returned to their prealert status, Kis- singer interpreted Malik's message as a signal that Russia had abandoned its go- it-alone tactic. The 15-hour crisis then eased considerably. The Security Council, swayed by Kissinger's warnings and apprised of the Soviet switch, passed Resolution 340, setting up a U.N. emergency force "composed of personnel drawn from states members of the United Nations except permanent members of the SecuritY, covineiv? Th vote ' ope for alcoholic "I AM AN ALCOHOLIC:* Writ by one who has been the If you are, or someone know is,an alcoholic. . . f the road to recovery tod Write for this FREE book. Sc for help now! Mailed in pl envelope. CID INTERNATIONAL LUTHERAN LAYMEN'S LEAGUE Dept. 95.2185 Hampton Ave. St. Louis, Missouri 63139 Please send a FREE copy of 1 Am An Alcoholic" Name Address City' State Zip Code I s so is me ow ime me ass ess issmat A mass media teleistry The International Lutheran Lalueres League Were, tba foople blatTe.11 ICAO 117115ii I3 Lb' New ,,Y Times Nag , 2;1'$ei ppriziVddTtir-Midaie 2005102/28...:ClA.RDPgerti0164420001001.4ti0O6-6 dooms rosewood eliminate burnt a hostess ... or Boa Of Eight $3.50. Add 50c pOstage Cataiog. . 25c TREE ngftm AUL 20795 ON OWN MITT Or bordered dispOs- Ot Of Geld goods. . or for a gift that (2 dozen only shipping chgs. lFa' 1110 Jersey 07070 New York, guide book to to kIentify vreadows. .40 handling oats urgis,t4.Y. 12901 tea aniroash moround.., antes., elloaPPIlsocoo. orCell IN dlhathAse. Yellt41.Y. 07-$103te.v U0SO4.1400 ? 1" Approved For Release 2005/02/28 : CIA-RDP94T00754R000100140006-0 was 14 to 0, with China ab- staining. After a frightening exercise in nuclear muscle flexing, the two superpowers returned to the twilight zone of detente. The following day, Oct. 26, Schlesinger relaxed the alert. The speed with which Wash- ington cranked up the alert, and then cranked it down, gave rise to postmortem spec- ulation that Kissinger, for one, had overreacted to the Soviet warning about "unilateral ac- tion." NATO allies, who had not alerted their forces, shared little of the Secretary's anxiety about Russian inter- vention in the Middle East, and they protested "a lack of advance consultations." They accused Kissinger of being "highhanded," and Kissinger accused them of being "cra- ven." The Secretary also came in for criticism from sources closer to home. Schlesinger, to take only one example, publicly disputed Kissinger's version of the events. At a Pentagon news conference, the Defense chief asserted that there were "mixed re- actions and different assess- ments of the probability" of Soviet intervention. Although Kissinger described the Presi- dent s top advisers as being "unanimous" in their judg- ment that there was a "high probability" of a "unilateral Soviet move," Schlesinger said: "I think the probability of Soviet forces being en route was considered by someto be low." Later, when queried about the possibility that the Soviet transport planes spotted flying toward Cairo could have been carrying troops, Schlesinger added: "Nobody under those circum- stances could dismiss that as a possibility, no matter how ' low he placed the probabil- ity." With the benefit of hind- sight, not even Kissinger has given Kissinger a straight A for crisis management on the night of Oct. 24-25. The Sec- retary has privately acknowl- ? , ? edged, for one thing, that the' consultation process with the allies was "inadequate" and, for another, that the global nuclear nature of the alert was too extreme. The South- ? ern Command is Panama, for example, did not have to be Welted; nor did the Alaskan ? Command. More important, he mis- calculated the reaction of the American people to the sud- ? den alert, But, unlike his crit- ics at home and abroad, Kis- singer tias consistently main- isipd. that the alert' was sio "vital" to American security and that it was not prompted by Watergate. In his opinion, "if we had not reacted vio- lently," the Russians would almost certainly have put their airborne troops into Egypt "to force the Israelis back to the Oct. 22 line," thus liberating the trapped Third Corps and saving the Sadat regime from humiliation and a likely coup d'etat. Kissinger assumed that If the Russians had managed to establish themselves in the Middle East as the saviors of the Arabs, it would have been very diffi- cult to get them out. Their influence over future oil ship- ments would have increased. The United States could have survived, but Western Europe and Japan could not have gotten along without an ex- panding flow of oil. At his most pessimistic, Kissinger could imagine a situation in which Soviet domination of the Middle East might lead to the communization of West- ern Europe and Japan in 5 to 10 years. r2 he alert was clearly iw not Kissinger's finest hour, but he has in- sisted that it was one of those necessary exercises in big-power politics, which firmed up the United States position in the Middle East and opened the door to a di- rect American role in mediat- ing the dangerous Arab-Israeli conflict. As he saw it, the cease-fire imposed by the two superpowers produced a mili- tary stalemate. The alert pro- duced the crisis atmosphere so necessary in the Secretary's scenario to scare the belliger- ents off dead center. The tim- ing?always a crucial element ?seemed right, at long last, for Kissinger, as Secretary of State, to plunge into the poli- tics of the Middle East. 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