AGENDA FOR JUNE 1986 LATIN AMERICA WARNING AND FORECAST MEETING

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP93B01478R000300020035-7
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 4
• Document Creation Date: December 23, 2016
• Document Release Date: July 15, 2013
• Sequence Number: 35
• Publication Date: June 10, 1986
• Content Type: MEMO

Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP93B01478R000300020035-7
STAT
SECRET' C;)
The Director of Central Intelligence
Washington, D.C. 20505
National Intelligence Council
MEMORANDUM FOR: See Distribution
NIC 02789-86
10 June 1986
FROM: Robert D. Vickers, Jr.
National Intelligence Officer for Latin America
SUBJECT: Agenda for June 1986 Latin America
Warning and Forecast Meeting
1. The June 1986 Warning Meeting for Latin America will be held on
Wednesday, 18 June 1986, at 1015 hours in Room 7E32, CIA Headquarters.
Invited agencies and components should please keep their representatives
to a necessary minimum because of space limitations.
2. We intend to discuss the following countries/topics: Mexico,
Haiti and Nicaragua.
Mexico
President de la Madrid is reported to be seriously considering
declaring a moratorium on Mexico's foreign debt. Moderates within his
cabinet are still counseling restraint while negotiating with the IMF and
Mexico's international creditors in an effort to stave off such radical
action. What are the chances that de la Madrid will declare a
moratorium? What will be the domestic impact--economically, politically
and socially? What would be the impact on other debtor countries? How
would such action influence Mexican-US relations, particularly from the
prospectives of trade, finance, immigration and narcotics?
(CIA/ALA - 30 minutes)
Haiti
President Namphy's recently announced timetable for elections may
help to defuse popular unrest and impatience, but further demonstrations
seem likely. Pressure is already building for more changes in the ruling
council and the cabinet. Is Namphy willing to make more concessions or
to react firmly aginst the demonstrators? Who is behind the demonstra-
tions and what are the objectives of the various groups advocating
further change in the transition process? Are the demonstrations taking
an increasingly anti-US tone? (CIA/ALA - 30 minutes)
SECRET
1
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP93B01478R000300020035-7
STAT
STAT
Declassified in Part- Sanitized Copy Approved forRelease2013/07/16 : CIA-RDP93B01478R000300020035-7
SECRET STAT
Nicaragua
What are the relative capabilities of the Sandinista military
forces and the insurgents compared to their status one year ago? What
are the major strengths and weaknesses of both sides? What are Managua's
plans for conducting the counterinsurgency during the rainy season, and
how successful are they likely to be? (DIA - 30 minutes)
3. Because of ongoing construction and limited parking space at CIA
Headquarters, we can no longer guarantee VIP parking, consequently,
representatives attending the meeting may prefer to use available shuttle
transportation. Please have your clearances passed and call
with your attendance plans no later than
Tuesday, 17 June.
Robert D. Vickers, Jr.
SECRET
2
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP93B01478R000300020035-7
STAT
STAT
Declassified in Part- Sanitized Copy Approved forRelease2013/07/16 : CIA-RDP93B01478R000300020035-7
LI SECRET
Participating in the NIO/Latin America Warning Meeting of
21 May 1986 were representatives of the following agencies:
INR/IAA/Department of State
DIA: DIO/DIA
DIAC/DB3C3
DIA/0B632
DIA/DC4A
JSI-48
DIA/AT-5
National Security Agency
National Security Council
CIA Participants:
ALA
OGI
OIA
GRES
OCR
OSWR
DO/LA
NIO/W
ICS/HC
NP IC
FBIS
JPRS
4
SECRET
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP93B01478R000300020035-7
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP93B01478R000300020035-7
R
Next 2 Page(s) In Document Denied
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP93B01478R000300020035-7
STAT