AGENDA FOR DECEMBER 1986 LATIN AMERICA WARNING AND FORECAST MEETING

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP93B01478R000300020023-0
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 2
• Document Creation Date: December 23, 2016
• Document Release Date: July 15, 2013
• Sequence Number: 23
• Publication Date: December 8, 1986
• Content Type: MEMO

Declassified in Part- Sanitized Copy Approved forRelease2013/07/16 : CIA-RDP93B01478R000300020023-0
SECRET C.4) STAT
The Director of Central Intelligence
Wash'ingtomDC.20505
National Intelligence Council
I.
MEMORANDUM FOR: See Distribution
NIC 05519-86
8 December 1986
FROM: Robert D. Vickers, Jr.
National Intelligence Officer for Latin America
SUBJECT: Agenda for December 1986 Latin America
Warning and Forecast Meeting
1. The December Latin America Warning Meeting will be held on
Wednesday, 17 December 1986 at 1015 hours in Room 7E32, CIA
Headquarters. Invited agencies and components should please keep their
representatives to a necessary minimum because of space limitations.
2. We intend to discuss the following countries/topics:
Sandinista Operations in Honduras, Insurgent Reaction; and
Honduran/Salvadoran/Costa Rican Support for the Contras.
Sandinista Operations in Honduras
The clashes between Sandinista and Honduran forces inside
Honduras raise the spector of a significant escalation of the conflict.
Did Sandinista forces intentionally attack Honduran positions or was this
inadvertent? Will Managua now withdraw from the Las Vegas salient, dig
in, or reinforce and advance? Has this changed the threat to the
insurgent headquarters (DIA - 30 minutes)
Insurgent Reaction
The Contras have considered withdrawal from Yamales to bases
further east if Sandinista pressure on their headquarters become too
great. What impact has the Honduran decision to react forcefully to
Sandinista encroachment had on Contra strategy? What is the status of
the resupply effort? The infiltration effort? How many troops does the
FDN plan to have inside Nicaragua by mid-January and what is their
general strategy? (CIA/ALA - 30 minutes)
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/07/16 : CIA-RDP93B01478R000300020023-0
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cI SECRET L7.) STAT
Honduran/Salvadoran/Costa Rican Support for the Contras
In view of new disclosures of Contra operations, Honduras,
El Salvador and Costa Rica may consider reducing Contra support
activities from their territory. Beyond the immediate military
repercussions, what will be the broader political/diplomatic
implications? Will Contadora's prospects be improved by these
developments? Is an OAS/UN proposal for withdrawal of all foreign
military personnel from the region likely to be favorably considered?
(State/INR - 30 minutes)
3. Please have your clearances passed and call
with your attendance plans no later than Tuesday, 16 December.
jrpAi
robert D. Vickers, Jr.
SECRET
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/07/16: CIA-RDP93B01478R000300020023-0
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