AID AND TRADE ACTIVITIES OF COMMUNIST COUNTRIES IN LESS DEVELOPED AREAS OF THE FREE WORLD 1965

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March 1, 1966
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SECREjApproved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92B01090R000400010024-7 AID AND TRAD',- CTIV TIES OF Chi 11 COUNTRIES I I. ESS DEVELOPED It OF 'NE FREE WORLD 1965 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92B01090R000400010024-7 25X1 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010024-7 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010024-7 Approved For Release 2006/0gigZc RPP92B01090R000400010024-7 This series provides periodic summaries and analytical interprEta.- tions of significant developments in the economic and military relbtiors of Communist countries with less developed countries of the Free Wcrld. These developments are reported on a current, factual basis in the biweekly reports under the same title. This report, covering the 12 months from 1 January through 31 December 1965, constitutes the twentieth periodic supplement to a. report on Sino-Soviet Bloc Postwar Economic Activities in Underdeveloped_frea.w, 8 August 1956, SECRET. The present supplement updates the previous semiannual report and includes the more significant developments dt.rinF the reporting period. It also relates noteworthy noneconomic activi- ties, including military aid, to economic operations of the Communist countries in less developed areas. Data have been revised to include new information, and figures in the current supplement supersede trose in previous issues. In this report the term Communist countries refers primarily tc the following countries that extend aid to less developed countries of the Free World: the USSR, Communist China, and the following countrieE of Eastern Europe -- Bulgaria, Czechoslovakia., East Germany, Hungary, Poland, and Rumania.. For certain limited purposes the term also me,y include Albania., Cuba, Mongolia, North Korea, and North Vietnam, none of which is normally a. donor of aid. Yugoslavia is not included. The term less develo ed countries of the Free World includes tie following: (1 all countries of Africa except the Republic of South Africa; (2) all countries in Asia except Japan; (3) Iceland, PortuFa.l, and Spain; (4) all countries in Latin America except Cuba.; and (5) all countries in the Middle East, including Cyprus, Greece, Syria, Turkey, and the United Arab Republic. Approved For Release 2006/d ,O`tq F$P92B01090R000400010024-7 Approved For Release 2006/02/97 C4A 92B01090R000400010024-7 CONTENTS PaV I. Communist Activities in Less Developed Areas, by Type of Activity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 A. Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . B. Economic Assistance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 a. Extensions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 b. Distribution by Sector . . . . . . . . . . . 13 c. Drawings and Repayments . . . . . . . . . . 13 2. Technical Assistance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 a. Economic Technicians . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 b. Academic Students and Technical Trainees . . 15 C. Military Assistance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . lb 1. Credits and Grants . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . lb 2. Technical Assistance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . lb a. Military Technicians . . . . . . . . . . . . lb b. Military Trainees from Less Developed Countries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . lb 1. Value . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2. Direction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3. Commodity Composition, 1964 . . . . . . . . . . 1( 21 22 25X1 Approved For Release 2006/02 ~CtA-i P92B01090R000400010024-7 25X1 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010024-7 Next 2 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010024-7 Approved For Release 2006/02/-CERAARDP92B01090R000400010024-7 AID AND TRADE ACTIVITIES OF COMMUNIST COUNTRIES IN LESS DEVELOPED AREAS OF THE FREE WORLD, 1965 Summary Introduction The sizable new extensions* of economic aid by the USSR to les developed countries during 1965 and the continuing high level of deliveries of military equipment to these countries indicate the willingness of the new Soviet leadership to extend new economic aic where favorable opportunities exist and to fulfill its existing corunit- ments. They also demonstrate that Moscow's current appraisal, of tte aid program and its prospects in less developed countries differs little from that of the previous regime (see Figure 1). It is apparent, however, that the new leadership has adopted a more deliberate approach in undertaking new economic aid commitments. Unlike the earlier practice of announcing large umbrella credits before specific projects were negotiated, the USSR in 1965 apparently preferred to avoid definitive commitments pending detailed studies and negotiations. Moreover, the financial details of recent Soviet. aid agreements have not been publicly announced in the USSR. This restraint may be an effort to allay internal criticism of the program while domestic shortages still persist. It may also reflect the uncertainty surrounding critical decisions over Soviet allocation cf domestic resources still to be made for the upcoming long-term eco- nomic plan. The change in Soviet leadership has had no discernible adverse effect on military aid policy: new aid agreements to supply military equipment to nine less developed countries were signed during the year and the USSR continued to honor existing agreements. * In this report the term extension refers to a commitment to provide. either as a grant or on deferred payment terms, goods and services not available in the recipient country. Assistance is considered. to have been extended when accords are initialed and constitute a formal declaration of intent. The term obligation refers to a credit or grant when it has been allocated to specific end uses. The term drawings refers to the delivery of goods or the use of services. Approved For Release 2006/d't/b7C-dtALbP92B01090R000400010024-7 Approved For Release 200?Lq2 p7ft_ I RDP92B01090R000400010024-7 Th, year 1965 was one or serious problems and frustrations for Peiping's policy toward less developed countries. The Indonesian Army's suppression of the pro-Peiping Indonesian Communist Party during the last three months of the year was perhaps the most serious setback to Peiping's expectations. Chinese Communist failure in Algiers to marshal Afro-Asian support and Cuba's recent shift to more explicit support of many Soviet policy positions also appeared to have somewhat blunted 'Peiping's drive to expand its influence in the less developed world. East European countries, on the other hand, expanded their aid programs in 1965 and continued to apply the more liberal aid policies that became apparent in their new aid undertakings during 1964. All major new aid extended during 1965 carried easier terms than in the past, and a more liberal attitude was applied to the repayment problems of a number of aid recipients. These developments, together with a record level of East European aid extended in 1965, demonstrate the determination of these countries to exploit the aid program as a means of strengthening further their economic and political ties with the less developed countries. Economic Credits and Grants Following peak annual extensions of almost $1.7 billion in 1964, Communist countries extended a total of $1.2 billion of aid to 22 less developed countries during 1965, increasing their aggregate aid com- mitments since the inception of the aid program in 1954 to more than $7.7 billion. As in 1964, the major share of new economic assistance was allocated to Middle Eastern countries, with Iran the largest single aid recipient and the UAR second. East European countries extended a record $491 million of new aid during 1965. The USSR extended $656 million, more than 80 percent of which was designated for CENTT0 countries. Communist China was the smallest aid donor during the year, extending only $62 million in economic credits, com- pared with its record commitments of $338 million in 1964. New economic aid continued as in the past to be most heavily committed to the industrial sector of the economies of less developed countries, while an increasing allocation of aid to commodity imports reflected a growing Communist awareness of the need to generate local currency to implement the aid program more effectively. Drawings on Communist aid in 1965 are estimated to have totaled about $4.55 million (a decline of about 15 percent from the 1964 level), bringing total Communist deliveries since 1954 up to $2.6 billion at the end of 1965. Concurrent with the rise in. aggregate drawings, the net indebtedness of the less developed countries for economic aid. to the USSR and to the countries of Eastern Europe increased to about $2 billion by the end of 1965. In 1965 the less developed countries were scheduled to repay an estimated total of $115 million for principal Approved For Release 2006 0FC 4 2DP92B01090R000400010024-7 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010024-7 SECRET ECONOMIC AND MILITARY AID ACTIVITIES OF COMMUNIST COL I ]FRIES IN LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES OF THE FREE WORLLI` Selected Years, 1954-65 ECONOMIC AID EXTENDED Communist China USSR = Communist China 01 Eastern Europe Il USSR AA;ii. ,- t IC r)-il . ECONOMIC AND MILITARY TECHNICIANS M Military fl Economic " [ - ] I I I I I II II I_ .ILL 1-1__J 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 STUDENTS DEPARTING FROM =LESS DEVELOP':I COUNTRIES FOR TRAINING IN COMMUNIS COUNTRIES Military IE Technical ? Academic Data are revised periodically to include oat a *c,Ymatian aia the r may not be comparable with data prrviour Ge cento7 SECRET Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010024-7 Approved For Release 2006/QJQ7c RPP92B01090R000400010024-7 and interest on Soviet credits and approximately $45 million on creditE from East European countries. As in 1964, there was evidence that a number of aid recipients were unable to meet these heavy repayment obligations, and concessions were made in some cases to allow deferment of current debt service payments. In addition, softer terms on nev credit extensions were requested, and new assistance, especially b~ th? countries of Eastern Europe, generally allowed longer repayment periodE. Even if future aid program deliveries were to remain at current le%els, annual debt repayments on credit extensions would increase at a rate of between 25 and 30 percent a year and thus will be a growing protlem. The technical assistance program continued apace with almost lt,00C Communist economic technicians employed in less developed countries during 1965, an increase of 30 percent over the previous year. A Shari expansion in the number of Chinese Communist technical personnel accourtz for most of the increase and reflected the accelerated pace of Chirese project activity in Guinea, Mali, and Yemen as well as the labor-irtensi character of Chinese aid activities. Approximately two-thirds of all Communist technical personnel in the less developed countries were employed in Afghanistan, Algeria, Guinea, India, Mali, Nepal, and the United Arab Republic (UAR). In the UAR alone there were nearly 2,500 Soviet technicians, 1,500 of whom were engaged in construction of the main dam and the electric power grid system eventually to be fed b~ the Aswari High Dam. About 2,100 Chinese were employed in Guinea and M%.li developing agricultural areas and small-scale industrial facilities. Technical Trainees and Academic Students As part of the program to increase the technical proficiency o1 personnel in less developed countries, about 1,400 persons from these countries went to Communist countries during 1965 to receive technical training. This brought the total number of persons who have undertaker this training since 1956 to almost 11,000. These trainees have included professional and managerial personnel and skilled technicians whose training is related primarily to the manpower requirements for Communist aided projects in their homeland. During 1965, 1,690 students from less developed countries enro:iled in academic training programs in Communist countries. This number represents a drop of approximately 39 percent from the preceding year, which is also the third consecutive year in which a decline has occurred Continuing the pattern of the past, by far the largest percentage rf new enrollees went to the USSR and, as in recent years, most of the nee students were from African countries. Approved For Release 2006/1 Pi GtM-I P92B01090R000400010024-7 Approved For Release 2006/0R/~7R qPTRDP92B01090R000400010024-7 Military Credits and Grants Communist countries extended almost $200 million of military aid to less developed countries during 1965, bringing the total of such assistance extended since 1955 up to $4.3 billion. The USSR, which has provided more than 85 percent of total Communist military aid to less developed countries since the beginning of the program, continued to be the chief supplier in 1965. Although new aid commitments in 1965 were considerably below the near-record level of 1964, the USSR and Czechoslovakia each concluded important new agreements with India; in addition, the USSR concluded agreements with Algeria, Congo (Brazzaville), Indonesia, Uganda, and Yemen. A minor credit was extended by Communist China to Cambodia. Military Techincians and Training AE materiel deliveries under old agreements continued at a high level in 1965, the number of military technicians sent to assist in the assembly of equipment and to instruct in its use rose to 3,870, an increase of 17 percent over 1964. Afghanistan, Algeria, and India accounted for the largest part of the increase although most of the other military aid recipients also employed more technicians in 1965 than they had in the previous year. During 1965, 2,720 nationals from 15 less developed countries enrolled in military training programs in Communist countries, primarily in the USSR. Since the start of the program, nearly 21,000 persons have received such training, and 4,355 still were being trained at the end of 1965. Indonesia has accounted for more than 40 percent of the total number trained, and five other countries -- Afghanistan, Algeria, Iraq, Syria, and the UAR -- have accounted for another 45 percent. Trade At. the meetings of the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development in 1965, the Communist countries continued to avoid precise commitments to the less developed countries on grounds that the responsi- bility for the present economic plight of these countries rests with the "imperialists." In place of substantive undertakings, the Commu- nist countries reiterated many of the same themes that they had pre- sented at the Geneva Conference in 1964. In general, the less developed countries remained unimpressed by these Communist propaganda claims, realizing that the Communist area cannot match the developed countries of the Free World in fulfilling their trade and development needs. Foreign trade turnover between the Communist and less developed countries during the first half of 1965 amounted to $1.9 billion, or roughly 15 percent above the corresponding period of 1964. This expansion was accounted for primarily by increased Soviet and East European trade with the less developed countries. In 1964, total Approved For Release 2006 D7 RCIfDP92B01090R000400010024-7 Approved For Release 2006/02 U(e'MMRDP92B01090R000400010024-7 Communist trade with these countries increased 12 percent over 196= to $3.6 billion. The growth during 1964 was accounted for by increased East European and Chinese Communist trade. Soviet trade with the ]ess developed countries in 1964 remained at the 1963 level of $1.4 billion, primarily because of a decline in Soviet imports of rubber and cotton and a leveling off of Soviet exports under long-term economic cred:ts. The geographic distribution of Communist trade with the less developed countries during the first half of 1965 followed the pattern of 19f4, concentrating on Asia and the Middle East in general and on India End the UAR in particular. In 1964 the commodity composition of trade between Communist and less developed countries showed some variations from earlier years. The share of food products in total Communist imports rose from 27 to 39 percent of the total, while crude materials declined from 60 to 45 percent. In the case of Communist exports, the most striking feature was the rise in the importance of machinery and equipment, which now accounts for two-fifths of total Communist exhort= to less developed countries, compared with one-third in 1963. Communist relations with African countries during 1965 were high- lighted by a low level of new economic aid commitments; by some sharp setbacks for Communist, particularly Chinese, policies in Africa; End by a general decline in overt Sino-Soviet competition for influence in African countries. Only $98 million in new aid was extended during the year, a precipitous drop from the peak annual level of.$348 millior in 1964. The USSR did not conclude any major agreements in 1965, compered with $215 million extended to African countries during the previous year The overthrow of Ben Bella in Algeria and the assumption of power by the Boumedienne regime ended the use of that country as a forum for Communist, especially Soviet, propaganda. The Afro-Asian (Bandung II) Conference, avidly sought by Communist China as an instrument for expanding its influence among participating countries, was canceled. In spite of these policy reversals, however, Communist aid activities, particularly military, continued, and a Boumedienne visit to Moscow in December served to assure the continuance of Soviet programs-, in Algeria. No new Communist aid commitments were made to Congo (Brazzaville), but some progress was noted under existing Soviet and Chinese credits. The favorable Chinese position in the Central African Republic (CAB) came to an abrupt end with the overthrow of the Dacko government and CAR's severance of diplomatic relations with Communist China. Morocco was the recipient of the largest Communist credit extended to an African country in 1965, $30 million from Poland. Nigeria received its first economic aid credit from a Communist country with the acceptance of a $14 million credit from Czechoslovakia. Approved For Release 2006/6 /b7C f~bP92B01090R000400010024-7 Approved For Release 200f/I?/@7R-QIA-RDP92B01090R000400010024-7 Ghana was the recipient of a $20 million credit from East Germany and President Nkrumah announced his decision to initiate discussions with the USSR for the construction of a $100 million hydroelectric dam at Bui. Guinean President Toure visited the USSR and Hungary and claimed that he had received Soviet assurances of assistance for construction of the Konkoure dam and related aluminum facilities. About 770 Chinese tech- nicians were employed in Guinea, mainly at the site of the Kinkon dam and at the Macenta textile project. Mali also was host to a large number of Chinese technical personnel, about 1,230 employed largely on agricultural and light industrial projects. In Tanzania, Communist aid programs were characterized by Chinese cash disbursements, a modest amount of East German construction activity, and deliveries of Soviet military equipment. Major Communist aid activities in Asian countries during 1965 gener- ally followed the pattern of recent years. Construction activities in Afghanistan and India continued at a high level, while the programs in Ceylon and Indonesia reflected the usual confusion and lack of satis- factory progress. Military aid, however, continued to be delivered rapidly, concentrated in Afghanistan, India, and Indonesia. Although Soviet construction projects in Afghanistan progressed satisfactorily, the USSR also initiated action to ease some of Afhani- stan's financial problems. Commodity credits were extended to generate local currency for Soviet projects, and the services of a number of Soviet technicians were provided without charge. Soviet military aid activities also continued at a high level. In March, Afghanistan accepted its first aid from Communist China, a $28 million interest-free credit. li Burma, Chinese construction activity continued to increase, and the Kunlong bridge was opened to traffic in November. There was little significant economic aid activity in Cambodia. Communist China agreed to provide military equipment sufficient to equip about 10,000 Cambodian military personnel. A change in government in Ceylon early in 1965 brought a shift in that country's foreign policy and an effort to im- prove relations with the West. Prior to the election, East Germany had extended a $42 million credit to Ceylon. India continued to search for substantial amounts of foreign eco- nomic assistance during 1965 for its Fourth Five Year Plan, and two .high-level delegations traveled to Moscow to obtain Soviet..aid. Prime Minister Shastri's visit in May formalized the Bokaro steel mill agree- ment. In November, Finance Minister Krishnamachari reportedly sought as much as $1.5 billion from the USSR for India's development program. No specific Soviet commitments, however, have been made public. Soviet Approved For Release 2006M21W-RG44DP92B01090R000400010024-7 Approved For Release 2006/0,VQ7-c : AERPP92B01090R000400010024-7 military aid to India picked up in tempo after September with the sign- ing of a $100 million agreement with the USSR for naval equipment. Thf USSR delivered at least 6 -- and perhaps an additional 10 -- MIG-2 jet fighters to India. The abortive "coup" in Indonesia in September highlighted. that coun- try's relations with the Communists. Relations with Communist Chi-,.a deteriorated rapidly as Indonesian military leaders became convinc,d that the Chinese were implicated. All trade with China was embargf.)ed and Chinese economic technicians withdrawn. Indonesian-Soviet relation? however, remained relatively unchanged. Military deliveries contiii.ued, and a new agreement totaling $26 million was signed in May. Soviet and Chinese aid activities in Nepal continued to focus ()n roadbuilding projects. Pakistan further expanded its relations wi-,h the Communist countries, especially Communist China, during 1965. A $>0 mil. lion Chinese credit was formally signed in February, and half the .ota was allocated for industrial installations. Soviet aid to Pakistan totaled $50 million, largely for the import of machinery and equipment. Latin American economic relations with Communist countries wer, confined largely to trade. Large grain sales by Argentina to Comutnis7. China and the USSR, totaling at least $245 million, highlighted su-h trade. In September the USSR extended a $15 million credit to the Argentine oil industry. Brazil's foreign economic policies reflected a cautious interest in expanding trade with the Communist countriel-;. An agreement was concluded between the USSR and a private Brazilian firm for an unspecified credit to construct a pilot plant for proc,.s- sing shale oil. During the year, Communist China purchased 11,500 tone} of copper and 40,000 tons of sodium nitrate from Chile, paying for these purchases in hard currency. Communist aid activities in the Middle East were highlighted br major commitments to Iran and Turkey, an $84 million credit to a Greek shipowner, and additional sizable aid commitments for the UAR's Se~'ond Five Year Plan (July 1965 - June 1970). In Cyprus the USSR ecmple~,ed its military aid deliveries under the September 1964 agreement (trans- shipped through the UAR, where some SAM equipment still was it storage and a number of Communist countries concluded trade protocols designed to absorb much of Cypriot agricultural surpluses. Trade between Greece and the Communist countries remained at a high level. The USSR ex??endec` * Tonnages are given in metric tons throughout this report. Approved For Release 2006/02t `? i1A P92B01090R000400010024-7 Approved For Release 200 /Vjp7R_q RDP92BO1090R000400010024-7 an $84 million credit to a private firm for the purchase of Soviet ships with payment to be made over a period of eight. years in hard currency and Greek commodities. The USSR achieved a significant economic breakthrough in Iran with the negotiation of a $290 million credit for the construction of a steel mill, a machine tool plant, and a natural gas pipeline. The credit will be repaid over 12 years at 2.5 percent interest in Iranian commodities and natural gas. The pipeline will be built to carry gas to the Soviet border, but the USSR apparently will not supply the large-diameter pipe required for the line. Iran also accepted credits from Czechoslovakia and Hungary totaling $25 million. No new Communist credits were extended to Iraq, but the USSR agreed to obligate part of its 1959 credit for the construction of a dam on the Euphrates River and a tractor assembly plant. Syria was the recipient of credits from East Germany totaling $29.7 million. A defunct Polish credit of $15 million was revived and raised to $25 million. The Soviet Union may have negotiated a new military agreement with Yemen in mid- summer. Turkey showed a willingness to expand economic relations with the USSR. During an August visit to Moscow, Prime Minister Urguplu accepted a Soviet commitment to construct a number of plants in Turkey under a credit unofficially placed at $200 million. Although a new government emerged in October, Soviet surveys subsequently were initiated to determine the precise cost of seven projects which may be undertaken. In December an agreement was announced by Turkey, resulting from an official exchange of letters. During 1965 an additional $255 million was extended by Communist countries to the UAR, bringing to almost $900 million the total of Communist aid commitments made during the past two years for the UAR's Second Five Year Plan. Economic difficulties in the UAR, however, compelled the regime to initiate a review of the development program, resulting in the cancellation of a number of Soviet, Czechoslovak, Polish, and Rumanian projects. A new military aid agreement with the USSR may have been signed during the year. Approved For Release 200EgOXU_RCfAtiRDP92BO109OR000400010024-7 Approved For Release 2006/02ltZCJ. RPP92B01090R000400010024-7 I. Communist Activities in Less Developed Areas, by Type of_Activrty A. Introduction In the weeks following Khrushchev's ouster from power, concern was evident among many of the leaders of new states that his successor.- might view differently the Soviet foreign aid program in the less c.e- veloped world. In fact, however, the foreign aid policy of the neti.- regime suggests an appraisal of its prospects in less developed cocn- tries which differs little from that of its predecessor. The willeng- ness of the new Soviet :Leadership to extend new economic aid where favorable opportunities exist reveals that Moscow believes that sociali? revolutions in such countries are unlikely in the near term. ~'hus the USSR has little alternative to supporting existing regimes, and their economic development programs, if it hopes to make any progress toward accomplishment of its objectives in the less developed world. Although the $656 million in new economic aid extended by the USSR in 1965 was almost two-thirds the record level of economic aic it extended in 1964, Moscow concentrated its efforts on wooing the Central Treaty Organization (CENTO) countries of Iran, Pakistan, and Turkey with substantial offers of economic aid. Taking advantage cf the growing receptivity of these countries to Soviet aid blandishmEnts, the USSR signed aid agreements with the three CENTO members totaling approximately $540 million, or more than four-fifths of all economic aid extended to less developed countries by the USSR during the ye?,r. Moscow has, however, adopted a more deliberate approach in undertaking new economic aid commitments. Unlike its earlier praciice of announcing sizable credit extensions prior to negotiations on sxeci i projects, the USSR in 1965 apparently preferred to avoid definitiv? aic commitments pending detailed studies and negotiations. Definite Scviet commitments to Iran and Turkey and to India's Fourth Five Year Plar (1966-70) presumably were made contingent on the results of extensive and protracted surveys. Moreover, none of the financial details of recent Soviet aid agreements is.known to have been publicly announced domestically. This restraint may be an effort to allay internal criti- cism of the program while domestic shortages still persist in the LSSR. In larger part, it may reflect the uncertainty surrounding critical decisions over the Soviet allocation of domestic resources still tc be made for the upcoming long-term economic plan. The change in Soviet leadership also has had little discerriblE effect on the military aid policy of the USSR. Although the close relationship enjoyed with the Ben Bella regime has not been established with the successor government, the USSR has become less restrained in its attitude toward the new Boumedienne regime and has continued tc honor existing military aid agreements. The current Soviet leadership concluded new military aid agreements with nine less developed cour.triEs. and earlier agreements were implemented rapidly. Approved For Release 2006/d17 0 dI7 F~bP92B01090R000400010024-7 Approved For Release 2006 (~ZR. ArRDP92B01090R000400010024-7 The year 1965 was one of serious problems and frustrations for Peiping's policy toward less developed countries, and Communist China extended only $62 million in economic credits to these countries in 1965, compared with the record $338 million in 1964. The Indonesian Army's suppression of the pro-Peiping Indonesian Communist Party during the last three months of the year was perhaps the most serious setback to Peiping's expectations. The Chinese Communist failure in Algiers to marshal the Afro-Asian support for Peiping's policies and the recent shift by Cuba to more explicit support of many Soviet policy positions also appeared to have somewhat blunted Peiping's drive to expand its influence in the less developed world.* East European countries in 1965 continued to apply the more liberal aid policies that became apparent in their new aid undertakings during 1964. All major new aid extended during 1965 carried easier terms with longer amortization periods than the 5 to 8 years that usu- ally have been applied to these credits. Moreover, a more liberal atti- tude was applied to the repayment problems of a number of aid recipients by East European creditors. These developments, together with a record :level of East European aid extended. in 1965, demonstrate the determina- tion of these countries to exploit the aid program as a means of strength- ening further their economic and political ties with the less developed countries. fn. 1965 the meetings of the United Nations. Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) offered a forum for examination of Communist policy on trade with the less developed world. Communist countries were careful to avoid any precise commitments to the less developed countries on grounds that the responsibility for the present economic plight of these countries rests with the "imperialists." In place of the substantive undertaking proposed for them by other conference mem- bers, the Communist countries reiterated many of the same themes that they had, presented at the Geneva Conference in 1964. Among these were the recurrent espousal. of the need for a truly universal trade organiza- tion and a relaxation of East-West trade controls which, they alleged, hamper further improvement in Communist trade with the less developed countries. The USSR also repeatedly stressed. the fact that as of 1 January 1965 it had fulfilled a promise made at the Conference by abolishing tariffs on all goods imported from less developed countries -- an action with little practical meaning since tariffs do not significantly affect the planned imports of the Soviet foreign trade monopoly. In general, the less developed countries remained unimpressed by these Com- munist generalities and propaganda claims, realizing that the Communist area cannot match the developed countries of the Free World in fulfill- ing their trade and development needs. The developing countries also continued to press the Communist countries for more liberal terms on aid and trade and for improved performance in. carrying out bilateral trade agreements. Early in January 1966 the Central African Republic and Dahomey severed diplomatic relations with Communist China. Approved For Release 2006 .SD(?_-RCJ DP92B01090R000400010024-7 Approved For Release 2006/O2-7 - IA-RDP92B01090R000400010024-7 B. Economic Assistance 1. Credits and Grants a. Extensions Communist commitments of new economic assistance to lesr: developed countries continued at a high level in 1965 as East European countries extended a record volume of new aid and. the USSR extended sizable credits to three CENTO countries. Following peak annual exi,ens:c;n_ of nearly $1.7 billion in 1964, Communist countries extended a tota: of t;_"' billion of aid to 22 less developed countries during 1965, increasing tie., aggregate aid commitments since the inception of the program in 1951 to rt-c. than $7.7 billion (see Table 1 and Figure 2). Nigeria and Greece were to the list of countries that have received Communist aid in the par. i,~: in 1964, the major share of new economic assistance was allocated to Micc__ Eastern countries. Iran* was the largest single aid recipient; the UAR, which received the largest amount of aid in 1964, was the second larrgesi. The USSR and East European countries provided about 55 percent and 40 percent, respectively, of the new aid extended in 1965 and the remainder was supplied by Communist China. East Europ?~an extensions of $491 million of economic aid in 1965 were about 50 pe-- cent above the 1964 level and 25 percent more than their previous peak year extensions in 1961. The record commitments in 1965 reflected the sharp upsurge in East Germany's aid undertakings as well aas heaay commitments made by four of the East European nations to the dAR Second Five Year Plan. East Germany assumed the lead among East European aid donors with extensions of $202 million that exceeded the aggregate of all East German aid undertaken during the previous 11 years of the aid program. Of the other East European countries, Czechoslovakia contributed $118 million to the total for 1965 while Bulgaria, Hungary, and Poland accounted for $172 million. The USSR extended approximately $656 million ' new economic assistance during 1965, of which an estimated $540 million, or approximately 80 percent of the total, was designated for CENTO countries. Although these countries had accepted only $91 million of Soviet aid prior to 1965, their recent willingness to accept lar;e- scale economic assistance was in part generated by a general d.issatLs- faction with the level and type of Western aid, and Turkish and Pakistan:` dissatisfaction with the lack of Western support in their conflicts wits Greece and India in Cyprus and Kashmir. It also reflected the careL'ul Soviet avoidance in recent years of attaching any political conditions * The Soviet aid agreement with Iran was signed initially in 0ctobrr, )nnnt the amount of aid was not announced until January 1966 after survey3 ha,t been completed and a final agreement signed. Approved For Release 2006/62:-Ct 1~bP92B01090l 000400010024-7 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010024-7 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010024-7 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92B01090R000400010024-7 ECONOMIC CREDITS AND GRANTS BY COMMUNIST COUNTRIES TO LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES OF THE FREE WORLD EXTENSIONS AND DRAWINGS 53785 4-66 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92B01090R000400010024-7 Approved For Release 2006/Q2-O7C-I P92B01090R000400010024-7 to its aid -- namely, the disassociation of these countries from the CENTO alliance. The USSR also extended credits totaling $84 millicn to a private Greek firm for the purchase of ships, adding Greece tc the list of aid recipients in spite of the fact that a government- to-government transaction was not involved. Communist China was the smallest aid donor during the year, extending only $62 million in economic credits, compared with its record commitments of $338 million in 1964. Afghanistan and Uganda, recipients of credits totaling $28 million and $15 million, respectively, were added to the list of countries receiving aid frcm Communist China. b. Distribution by Sector At the end of 1965 the distribution by sector of tctal Communist aid in recipient countries coincided roughly with the pattern apparent four years earlier (see Figure 3). As in the past, by fax the largest portion of economic assistance is being allocated to the industrial sector, with assistance to agricultural and multipurpose projects and to transportation and communications ranking 'next in importance. The share of industry in the total has been increasing, however, with recent Communist commitments to the Second Plan in the UAR, the Bokaro steel plant in India, and to industrial development projects in Iran and Turkey. Industry's share of the total rose from approximately 54 percent at the end of 1961 to 58 percent at the erd of 1965. Obligation for the construction of steel plants has assured particular significance with the USSR having agreed to assist in the construction of facilities with a total annual capacity of 8 millicn tons, two-thirds of which was obligated during the past two years. Another important change in recent years has been the increase in the share of aid allocated to commodity imports, reflecting the growing Communist awareness of the need to generate local currency to implement the aid program more effectively. The share allocated for commodity imports rose from 3 percent of the total obligations during the earlier period to 6 percent at the end of 1965. c. Drawings and Repayments Drawings on Communist aid in 1965 are estimated to total about $455 million, a decline of about 15 percent from the 1964 level of about $530 million. Total Communist outlays since 1954 rcse to about $2.6 billion at the end of 1965. The drop that occurred in 1965 is accounted for by a reduction of about 40 percent in drawings on East European credits and 10 percent on Soviet credits. On the other hand, drawings on Chinese Communist credits rose by more than 50 percent to their highest annual level, primarily because of increased transfers of cash. Approved For Release 2006/0 /67 dr - DP92B01090R000400010024-7 Approved For Release 2006 MD .;Il ~-PDP92B01090R000400010024-7 Concurrent with the rise in aggregate drawings, the indebtedness of less developed countries to Communist nations for economic aid also is increasing. At the end of 1965, their net in- debtedness to the USSR and the countries of Eastern Europe was esti- mated at approximately $2 billion. The less developed countries were scheduled to repay in 1965 an estimated total of $115 million for principal and interest on Soviet credits and approximately $45 million on credits from East European countries (see Figure 4). This compares with approximately $90 million and $40 million that was due to these respective donors in 1964 and demonstrates the rapid increase in the rate of repayments due as additional deliveries are made annually under the program. As a result of these scheduled repayments, the net out- flow of economic aid from the USSR totaled an estimated $215 million in 1965 and about $20 million from the East European countries. Again in 1965 there was evidence that a number of aid recipients were unable to meet these heavy repayment obligations. In some cases they requested concessions on old credits and softer terms on new credit extensions. At least three countries -- Guinea, Mali, and Yemen -- were allowed to defer current debt payments due to the USSR in 1964 and 1965. Some concessions also were made by Czechoslo- vakia and Poland to Guinea and Ghana, and Czechoslovakia agreed to extend the amortization period on its 1962 credit to the UAR from the original 5 to 8 years to 12 years. Extensions of new assistance especi- ally by the countries of Eastern Europe indicated an increasing aware- ness of this problem as longer repayment periods were applied to most new extensions of aid. Most of the major new East European aid extended in 1965 carried 10-to 12-year amortization periods and 2-1/2 percent interest compared with the previous 8 year, 2-1/2 to 3 percent terms. Nevertheless, by the end of the year, repayments totaling about $560 million were scheduled to have been repaid by the less developed coun- tries to Communist countries. Even if program deliveries were to remain constant at the 1964 level, annual repayments would increase at a rate of between 25 and 30 percent a year and would thus be a continuing problem. Technical Assistance a. Economic Technicians fn spite of the decline in the level of drawings on Communist economic aid in 1965, .the number of Communist economic technicians employed in less developed countries increased by about 30 percent, rising to nearly 18,000 from the 14,000 present during 1964 (see Table 7*). A sharp expansion in the number of Chinese Communist technical personnel accounted for about two-thirds of this increase, with the remainder almost equally divided between the USSR and Eastern Europe. The rise in the number of Chinese technicians present in the less developed countries reflected an acceleration in the pace of Chinese project activity in Guinea, Mali, and Yemen and Approved For Release 2006LAc7 :RGtDP92B01090R000400010024-7 Approved For Release 2006/02/07'';: CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010024-7 SECRET ALLOCATION OF ECONOMIC AID BY COMMUNIST COUNTRIES TO LOSS DEVELOPED COUI4`TRIES OF THE FREE WORLD BY END USE, Cymulative 1954-65$ (percent of total) *!he component ports cannot be broken out s+ .e- mul"pn x,_,e projects include dams that contribute to both t - a9-+c ar? Sector and to the generation opre/ectricity. Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010024-7 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010024-7 SECRET Scheduled Repayments to the USSR and Eastern Euro e; by Less Developed Countries of the Free World for Economic Aid Drawn 1957-65 180 53153 2-66 VOW SECRET Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010024-7 Approved For Release 2006/%2/j.7C--g1A-PDP92B01090R000400010024-7 increased the share of Communist China in the total number of technical personnel present in the less developed countries in 1965 to 24 percent, compared with only 12 percent in 1964. Although Chinese aid expenditur during 1965 represented only 12 percent of total Communist outlays, ther accounted for nearly one-quarter of all Communist technicians in that year, reflecting the labor-intensive character of Chinese Communist aid activities. Concentration of Communist technicians in a few countri>,_ continued to characterize Communist technical assistance programs is th. less developed areas. While about two-thirds of all technical pers.3nne_ were employed in Afghanistan, Algeria, the UAR, India, Guinea, Mali, Nepal, and Yemen, the first four of these countries accounted for aopro_ - mately 60 percent of all Soviet technicians and the latter four for neap v 80 percent of Chinese technicians. About 2,500 Soviet technicians were r. the UAR, of whom 1,500 were engaged in construction of the main dam and the electric power grid system eventually to be fed by the Aswan High D_. About 1,230 Chinese were employed in Mali establishing rice, sugar Jane, and tea plantations, and constructing small-scale industrial facilities. Communist technical assistance programs not connected with specific aid projects continued to employ approximately one-fourth of all technicians sent to the less developed countries. The bulk Df this activity was concentrated in Africa, where more than 40 percent of the technical personnel from Communist countries weie engaged in nonproject programs. Most of these personnel were employed as advisers and planners, medical specialists, or administrators. For the first time, Communist technicians were noted in Libya, where about 100 Soviet and East European personnel were employed in nonproject activities. b. Academic Students and Technical Trainees In 1965, 1,690 students from less developed countries enrolled for the first time in academic training programs in Communist countries (see Table 9*). This was the third consecutive year in welch new enrollments have declined and the lowest annual total since 195). After the peak year of 1962, when about 5,600 students initiated aca- demic programs, the number of new enrollees dropped to 3,670 in 1961, to about 2,775 in 1964, and to 1,690 in 1965. The total number of students from developing countries who have undertaken academic train- ing in Communist countries since 1956 is now 21,200. Continuing the pattern of recent years, African stuient; were the most numerous and accounted for more than one-half of the stud -t> enrolled in Communist institutions at the end of 1965. Asian students predominantly from Indonesia -- comprised the second largest continent, followed closely by those from the Middle East, while Latin American students accounted for more than 10 percent of the total. Approved For Release 2006I 6Z rSti-1 DP92B01090R000400010024-7 Approved For Release 2006 @#V RC AZRDP92BO109OR000400010024-7 Almost two-thirds of the total number of students who have undertaken training in Communist academic institutions since the beginning of the program in 1956 have done so in the USSR. An estimated TOO students have gone to Communist China for training, the remainder to Eastern European countries. The declining enrollment of academic students in Commu- nist universities could be attributed, in large part, to the backlash of repeated incidents of racial discrimination, clashes with Communist authorities, and student dissatisfaction with conditions in Communist countries. Repercussions are still being felt in several African coun- tries as a result of the murder in mid-March of a Ghanaian student at Baku Preparatory School and the continued unwillingness of the host gov- ernments to permit student political associations on a national basis. Moreover, in contrast to the program in earlier years, both donor and recipient governments are apparently adhering to more rigid academic standards in the award of scholarships and insisting on certification of completed secondary education as a minimum. The application of educational prerequisites undoubtedly has reduced the number of students eligible to fill scholarship quotas. During 1965, 1,405 nationals from less developed coun- tries initiated technical training programs in Communist countries, bringing the total number who have undertaken this training since 1956 to almost 11,000 persons (see Table 8*). These trainees have included skilled laborers and professional, organizational, and managerial personnel whose training is related primarily to the manpower require- ment for Communist-aided projects in their homeland. Although a large part of this training is provided under economic aid agreements, personnel also are being trained under agreements for scientific and technical cooperation. Concomitant with and complementary to the programs for academic and technical training being conducted within Communist countries, the Communists are expanding their educational assistance programs abroad through the distribution of books and educational aids; the provision of teachers; technical assistance to ministries of education; the establishment of schools, institutes, and vocational training centers; and on-the-job training related to Communist eco- nomic aid projects. In June 1965 a Soviet source stated that 90 edu- cational institutions were being constructed with Soviet assistance in Asia and Africa. C. Military Assistance 1. Credits and Grants Communist countries extended about $200 million of military aid to less developed countries during 1965, bringing the total of such P.~l. Approved For Release 2006 9(L-;RC ,9.4DP92B01090R000400010024-7 Approved For Release 2006/0-2197G44 DP92BO1090R000400010024-7 aid extended since 1955 up to $4.3 billion (see Table 2). Althougt the new aid commitments in 1965 were considerably below the near-record levw of the previous year, the USSR and Czechoslovakia concluded important new agreements with India which accounted for approximately 60 percent of total aid extended in 1965. The USSR also signed agreements with Algeria, Congo (Brazzaville), Indonesia, and Uganda. Communist China concluded agreements with Algeria, Cambodia, and Uganda. The USSR continued to be the chief supplier of Communist arms aid to less developed countries and has provided more than 85 percent of the total up to the present. Military Aid Extended by Communist Countries to Less Developed Countries of the Free World September 1955 - December 1965 Million Current US -3 Estimated minimum value 4,51-2 Less downpayments L=)3 4, 3',`9 Credits 2,3 '7 Discounts and grants 1,(12 During 1965 arms deliveries under earlier agreements con- tinued on schedule, relatively unimpeded by internal political upheavals in some of the recipient countries. The flow of arms under the aid program continued in spite of the governmental overthrow in Algeria, open warfare between India and Pakistan, and an abortive coup in Indo- nesia. In October, Morocco became the first recipient country to dis- continue a Soviet military aid program, when the last six Soviet air force technicians departed. Soviet deliveries to the UAR of Tu-16 bombers, An-12 trans- ports, all-weather MIG-21 jet fighters, and surface-to-air missile (SAN) equipment ordered in November 1964 were made during the year. India expanded its equipment orders in 1965 to include for the first time large quantities of naval materiel, and at the same time progress was made on the construction of the nascent MIG assembly plant. The war with Pakistan over Kashmir in September heightened India's concern over the possibility that only limited military aid might be forthcoming frc:n non-Communist suppliers in the future. By the end of the year, additic .. agreements, covering a wide range of defense needs, had been o.? were be l:4-1 negotiated with the USSR and other Communist countries. Approved For Release 2006/6'z/b7C:-efi -PbP92B01090R000400010024-7 Approved For Release 2006 .Oj Zjj JArRDP92B01090R000400010024-7 During 1965, arms aid to Indonesia was marked only by the signing of a new agreement with Moscow for equipment repair facilities, although deliveries under old agreements continued. In Afghanistan, MIG-21's (the first deliveries of this type), T-54 tanks, and additional SAM's were delivered. The SAM delivery indicates that Kabul intends to install an air defense system based on the MIG-21 and SAM mix established in India, Indonesia, and the UAR. The USSR also implemented earlier agreements with Algeria, Cyprus, Iraq, and Somalia and. continued its shipments of arms to dissi- dent groups in Africa through such countries as Congo (Brazzaville) and Ghana. In Cyprus the arrival of tanks, artillery, and SAM-associated equipment, under the 196+ Soviet-Cyprus accord, intensified Greek-Turkish communal tensions on the island. In Iraq the first known deliveries were made of the all-weather version of the MIG-21 jet fighter, and S0-1 subchasers were delivered to Algeria. With deliveries of MIG-15's in 1965 the USSR continued to provide aid under the commitment made to Somalia in November 1963. a. Military Technicians The number of Communist military technicians in less developed countries rose to 3,870 in 1965, an increase of 17 percent over the level achieved in 1964. Most recipients of military aid employed more Communist technicians during 1965 than they had a year before, but the major part of the increase was accounted for by the expanding requirements of Afghanistan, Algeria, and India. In Indonesia the number of military technicians declined, and in Syria, the UAR, and Yemen the number remained the same as in 1964. Besides assisting in the assembly of equipment and instructing in its use, technicians are being sent to less developed countries to help establish military production and repair facilities, as in the MIG-21 production facility in India and the repair centers to be built in Indonesia. With continued proliferation of modern weapons systems into the less developed countries the number of Commu- nist military technicians present in these countries should rise. b. Military Trainees from Less Developed Countries !haring 1965 a total. of 2,720 nationals from 15 less developed countries enrolled in military training programs in Commu- nist countries, primarily in the USSR. The number from Algeria increased more than from any other country. Nearly 21,000 persons have received this training, and 4,355 still were being trained at the end of 1965. Indonesia has accounted for more than 40 percent of the total number trained, and five other countries -- Afghanistan, Approved For Release 200& 2 O7 i G1 RDP92B01090R000400010024-7 Approved For Release 2006/Q2/Q7C-I1jRPP92B01090R000400010024-7 Algeria, Iraq, Syria, and the UAR -- account for about another 45 per- cent. Since the start of the program in 1955, the USSR has been responsible for the bull: of the instruction and has accommodated about 85 percent of the total number trained. D. Trade 1. Value During 1965, Communist countries continued to conclude trade agreements with the less developed countries, many of which called for increased trade. In the first half of 1965, foreign trade turnover between the Communist countries, excluding Cuba,* and the non-Communist less developed countries amounted to $1.9 billion, or roughly 15 per- cent above the corresponding period of 1964. This expansion was accounted for primarily by increased Soviet and East European trade with the less developed countries. Communist China's trade with these countries declined slightly below the level recorded in the first half of 1964. Of particular interest in 1965 was the continuation of large sales of wheat by Argentina to the USSR and Communist China. Together. these two countries contracted to buy 4.6 million tons of wheat, worth at least $240 million, to be delivered between April 1965 and. mid-1P66. In 1964, total Communist trade with the less developed nations of the Free World rose to $3.6 billion, an increase of 12 I-er- cent over the previous year.** The increase in imports exceeded that * Cuba'a trade with the less developed countries during the first half of 1965 totaled $77 million, compared with $74 million during the comparable period of 1964. Morocco, Spain, and the UAR continued to account for the major portion of this trade. For data on Cuba's exports to and imports from individual less developed countries during 1962-64. see Tables 12 and 13, pp. 75 and 77, respectively. ** Because of a lack of complete data for 1965, the remainder of this section analyzes developments during 1964. It should be noted that the value data on Soviet foreign trade with the less developed countries are from comprehensive official Soviet foreign trade handbooks. For Eastern Europe and Communist China, which do not report such comprehen- sive trade data, the trade returns of the less developed countries have been used. It should be noted that the figures used for Soviet trade are the sum of the gigures given in the Soviet trade handbook for trade with each less developed country and this sum amounts to $1,441. mil- lion. This handbook also gives a total figure for trade with the less developed countries of $1,589 million. The difference between the two total figures could include Soviet deliveries of military items, which are excluded from the country breakdowns and also from this section. Approved For Release 2006/O17 0-611 1 bP92B01090R000400010024-7 Approved For Release 2006/0 /.~7R CJ RDP92B01090R000400010024-7 of exports. The USSR did not contribute to this increase in trade as it did during the first 6 months of 1965; instead, the growth during 1964 was accounted for by increased East European and Chinese Communist trade with the less developed areas. East European trade with less developed countries rose 12 percent in 1964 over the 1963 level to almost $1.5 billion, and for the first time since 1961 this trade with less developed countries exceeded. the total value of Soviet trade with these areas. Communist China's trade with the less developed nations showed the largest increase, rising 43 percent in 1964 to an all-time high of $693 million to reflect its large grain purchases from Argentina. On the other hand, Soviet trade with the less developed countries dur- ing 1964 remained at the 1963 level of $1.4 billion. This leveling off was caused primarily by the following factors: (a) a $69 million decline in Soviet purchases of Malaysian rubber as the USSR apparently drew down its stockpiles to conserve foreign exchange, (b) a $50 mil- lion reduction in Soviet cotton purchases, and (c) a leveling off of Soviet exports under long-term economic credits. Although Soviet imports from less developed countries showed an absolute decline in 1964, there was a 2-percent increase in Soviet exports to these countries. As has been the case since 1958, this growth in Soviet exports was caused by deliveries under long- term credits rather than by commercial exports. The latter remained stable at the 1963 level in 1964 (see Figure 5). Inasmuch as exports by the USSR on long-term credit have accounted for 45 percent of its total exports to the less developed countries in both 1963 and 1964 and since Soviet deliveries under these credit arrangements did not increase significantly in 1965, Soviet exports to the less developed countries for the year 1965 probably will show only a small increase. Total Soviet trade turnover with the area, however, should be well above the 1964 level partly because of increased purchases of Malaysian rubber and Argentine wheat. As a result of the leveling off of Soviet trade in 1964, the Soviet share of Communist trade with the less developed countries fell from 44 percent in 1963 to 40 percent in 1964. The share of East European countries in this trade maintained the 1963 level of 41 percent, and Communist China's share of the total increased from 15 percent in 1963 to 19 percent in 1964.* The share of the less developed countries in total Communist trade in 1964 was 9 percent, the same share as in 1963: the Communist area's share in the aggregate trade of the less developed countries remained at 5 percent as in previous years. In spite of these relativly low ratios, the Communist area continued to account for a major share of the trade of certain less developed countries. For example, Communist countries supplied more than one-fifth of the total imports of Guinea, * For detailed data on Communist exports to and imports from individual less developed countries during 1963-64, see Tables 10 and 11, pp. 67 and 7_i_, respectively. Approved For Release 2006; O(a DP92B01090R000400010024-7 CONFIDENWATved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010024-7 Trade of Communist Countries with Less Developed Countries of the Free World, 1955-64 and Percentage Distribution, 1964 COMMUNIST FAR EAST EASTERN EUROPE USSR 2000 1000 1955 195 *Excluding $11.1 million of trade with So0hern FRodesk Zambia which cannot be distrib,,ted e- Commun r coon United Arab Republic CONF I D ENTIL I 53155 2-66 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92B01090R00040001~0024 7.- Approved For Release 2006/Q?/R7C-L RIP92BO109OR000400010024-7 Mali, Afghanistan, Cambodia, Ceylon, and the UAR and absorbed more than one-fifth of the total exports of Guinea, Mali, Greece, Afghanistan. Syria, the UAR, and the nonpetroleum exports of Iran.* Communist coun- tries also continued to purchase sizable portions of products that are major earners of convertible currency for some less developed countries. In 1964 these included purchases of 15 percent of Ghana's total exTort? of cocoa beans and of 59 and 65 percent, respectively, of the UAR's and Syria's total exports of cotton during the 1964-65 marketing year. 2. Direction The geographic distribution of Communist trade with the less developed countries during the first half of 1965 followed the pattern of 1964, concentrating on Asia and the Middle East in general and on India and the UAR in particular. In 1964, India and the UAF accounted for 37 percent of Soviet and East European trade with the less developed countries and for more than 45 percent of Soviet trade alone. This concentration reflects the trade momentum generated by deliveries under Communist, particularly Soviet, long-term economic credits and the repayment of both economic and military credits in the form of commodities., Communist China's trade in 1964 continued to be conducted mainly with its Asian neighbors -- Burma, Ceylon, Malaysia, and Indonesia -- and with the UAR. In addition, Argentina, because of large grain sales to Communist China, became a major trading partner and accounted for almost 30 percent of Chinese imports from less developed countries in 1964. This relationship will continue in 1965 because of the large purchases of grain made by China again in 1965. Asia continued in 1964 to account for the largest share of Communist trade with the less developed countries (41 percent). Communist trade with Asian countries in 1964 amounted to $1.5 bill'ien and was 13 percent above the 1963 level. Communist exports to these countries rose by 12 percent mainly because of increased shipments to Pakistan, India, Ceylon, and Indonesia. Increased imports by Communist nations from the latter three countries more than offset the nearly 40-percent decline in purchases of Malaysian rubber and accounted for most of the 13-percent increased recorded in Communist imports from the area. Those from India increased almost 50 percent above the 1963 level, with the USSR taking the major portion of this increase. In fact, India was the only less developed country to score a significant absolute increase in its exports to the USSR during 1964. Communist trade with the less developed countries cf th- Middle East rose by 5 percent to $1.1 billion in 1964 and accounted * For data on the Communist share of the total exports and imports of selected less developed countries in 1964, see Table 14, p. 79. Approved For Release 2006/0'ffb8Ti-1DP92B01090R000400010024-7 Approved For Release 200f,i10/F RWDP92B01090R000400010024-7 for 31 percent of Communist trade with all less developed countries. Expanded. imports -- primarily from Greece, Syria, and the UAR -- accounted for most of this increase. Communist exports to the Middle East rose by only 3 percent to a level of $610 million in spite of increased Soviet deliveries to the UAR. The share of Latin America in trade between the Communist and less developed areas rose to 12 percent in 1964, compared with 9 percent in the previous year. This trade, amounting to $426 million, showed an increase of 41 percent over its value in 1963, primarily because of the large Chinese Communist grain purchases in 1964. Com- inunist exports to Latin America rose only by 12 percent. Communist trade with Africa in 1964 increased by 13 percent to $483 million, but Africa's share in Communist trade with less de- veloped areas remained at 13 percent. Communist imports from Africa showed almost no increase, primarily because of smaller Soviet pur- chases of cotton from Sudan and of copper from Zambia. Communist exports to Africa, on the other hand, grew by 25 percent, largely because of increased Soviet deliveries to Algeria and East European deliveries to Ghana. Communist trade with the less developed countries of Europe -- Iceland, Portugal, and Spain -- declined by 18 percent to $100 million in 1964 because of reduced trade with Spain. As a share of total Communist trade with all less developed countries, these European countries accounted for only 3 percent. 3. Commodity Composition. 1964 The commodity composition of the trade of Communist coun- tries with less developed countries in 1964 showed some variations from earlier years, particularly for Communist imports. Although imports of food products and crude materials continued to account for roughly 85 percent of total Communist imports, the share of food products rose from 27.to 39 percent of the total, while crude materials declined from 60 to 45 percent. This shift in the relative importance of these two groups of goods applied to all Communist countries (see Figure 6). Chinese Communist purchases of food products, rising by almost $100 million over the 1963 level, showed the largest absolute gain in 1964, primarily because of heavy imports of Argentine wheat. Soviet imports of food products rose more than 40 percent above the 1963 level to a record $250 million. Most of this increase was accounted for by larger imports of rice and of coffee, cocoa, and tea. The last three commodities, as a group, continued to hold first place among Soviet imports of food products, accounting for more than 45 per- cent of the total. Eastern European imports of food products from the less developed countries were almost 30 percent above the 1963 level. Approved For Release 2006[MAZ=FGI -RDP92BO109OR000400010024-7 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010024-7 OF THE FREE WORLD, BY COMMODITY GROUP,* 1962-64 TRADE OF COMMUNIST COUNTRIES WITH LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES EXPORTS BY COMMUNIST COUNTRIES USSR 12%: 12% 12%: 12%i ' N Y A i k k Y L! Y 1 I k x?~ ~19d 1311 43S{. ~~ ti, $96 a 43+ ~~ - ri "' / " ? ( qqI 'N~ ~ h 1 F li 'N Y h d I M 1 iA Pi i~( NSW M i l ~ 11% r / V k il ali F( I~N,.p rY M 14 M MI l I4Fk I~i 1M I ~ yk.iJ {. I I I I ~1 k 1. ;k, I ~F rtl- m w 4u ~w. "5~a- ? 'iw I n' r 1 J ~ ~ i ~' ~~'~ I~ 'r