AID AND TRADE ACTIVITIES OF COMMUNIST COUNTRIES IN LESS DEVELOPED AREAS OF THE FREE WORLD -1966

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CIA-RDP92B01090R000400010022-9
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RIPPUB
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S
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66
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December 19, 2016
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January 25, 2006
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22
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Publication Date: 
March 1, 1967
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REPORT
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Approved For Release 2006/02/07 :CIA-RDP92B01090ROO~~OQ1~2-9 AID AND TRADE ACTIVITIES OF C4MMt~Nl~T COUNTRIES IN LESS DEVELOPED AREAS OF THE FLEE WORLD - 196b ECONOMIC INITELLIGENCE COMMITTEE of th e UNITED STATES INTELLIGENCE BOARD Sec~~t EIC F'~~-S1? N`iarch I ~b7 C`'PY ~l Approved For Release 2006/02/07 :CIA-RDP9y2B01~OR000400010022-9 4 ~e~ `~ 25X1 gpproved For Release 2006/02/07 :CIA-RDP92B01090R000400010022-9 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 :CIA-RDP92B01090R000400010022-9 SECRET pproved For Release 2006/02/07 :CIA-RDP92B01090R000400010022-9 AID AND TRADE ACTIVITIES OF COMMUNIST COUNTRIES IN LESS DEVELOPED AREAS OF THE FREE WORLD - 1966 EIC R14-S21 MARCH 1967 ECONOMIC INTELLIGENCE COMMITTEE of the UNITED STATES INTELLIGENCE BOARD SECRET 25X1 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 :CIA-RDP92B01090R0 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 :CIA-RDP92B01090R000400010022-9 SECRET FOREWORD The EIC-R14 series provides periodic summaries and analytical interpretations of significant developments in the economic relations and military aid activities of Communist countries with less developed countries of the Free 'World. These developments are reported c,n a current, factual basis in the Biweekly Reports in the EIC-WGR-1 series. This report, covering the 12 months from 1 January through 31 December 1966, constitutes the twenty-first periodic supplement to EIC-R14, the initial report on Sino-Soviet Bloc Postwar Economic Activities in Underdeveloped Areas, 8 August 1956, SECRET. fihe present supplement updates the previous annual report and includes the more significant developments during the reporting period. It also relates noteworthy noneconomic activities, including military aid, to economic operations of the Communist countries in less developed areas. Data have been revised to include new information, and fig- ures in the current supplement supersede those in previous issues. This report was prepared by the Department of State and the Central Intelligence Agency. The draft was reviewed and coordinated. by a Working Group of the Economic Intelligence Committee, which includes representatives of the Department of State, the Defense In- telligence Agency, the Departments of Commerce and Agriculture, the Agency for International Development, the National Security Agency, and the Central Intelligence Agency. The final report was approved by the Economic Intelligence Committee on 14 February 1967. In this report the term Communist countries refers primarily to the following countries that extend aid to less developed countries of the Free World: the USSR, Communist China, and the following countries of Eastern Europe-Bulgaria, Czechoslovakia, East Germany, Hun- gary, Poland, and Rumania. For certain limited purposes the term also may include Albania, Cuba, Mongolia, North Korea, and North Vietnam, none of which is normally a donor of aid. Yugoslavia is not included. Approved For Release 2006/02/07 :CIA-RDP92B01090R000400010022-9 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 :CIA-RDP92B01090R000400010022-9 SECRET I'he term less developed countries of the Free World :includes the i~ollowin~;: (1) all countries of Africa except the Republic of South ~~~frica; (-2) all countries in Asia except Japan; (3) Portugal and Spain; (4) all countries in Latin. America except Cuba; and (5) all countries n the Middle East, including Cyprus, Greece, Syria, Turkey, and the ~.)nited Arab Republic. Approved For Release 2006/02/07 :CIA-RDP92B01090R000400010022-9 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 :CIA-RDP92B01090R000400010022-9 SECRET CONTENTS Summary ...... . . I. Communist Activities in Less Developed Areas, by Type of Activity ...... .. ..... ..................... A. Introduction ...... ................. .. B. Economic Assistance ............................ .. n 1. Credits and Grants .......................... .. S a. Extensions ............................. b. Terms .......................... ~~ c. Drawings .......................... a d. Repayments ......................... xs 2. Technical Assistance ... ....................... i 4 a. Economic Technicians ......................... ~=~ b. Academic Students and Technical Trainees ... ~ 5 C. Military Assistance ....... .................... iii 1. Credits and Grants ... .................. iii 2. Technical Assistance ... .. .. ............... ... iS a. Military Technicians ... .................. ... t8 b. Military Trainees from Less Developed Countries ... 1S D. Trade ... ....... ..................... .. E9 1. Value ..... ............................... 2. Direction .................................. . 3. Commodity Composition ................... . Approved For Release 2006/02/07 :CIA-RDP92B01090R000400010022-9 25X1 gpproved For Release 2006/02/07 :CIA-RDP92B01090R000400010022-9 Next 3 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2006/02/07 :CIA-RDP92B01090R000400010022-9 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 :CIA-RDP92B01090R000400010022-9 SECRET AID AND TRADE ACTIVITIES OF COMMUNIST COUNTRIES IN LESS DEVELOPED AREAS OF THE FREE WORLD, 1966 SUMMARY Introduction During 1966 the Communist countries continued to employ foreign aid as an instrument for reducing Western influence and enhanc~iz~g their own position in the less developed countries. For Communist China and the USSR, these programs had the additional objective of countering each other's influence in many of the less developed countries. The USSR, while continuing as in 1965 to review the feasibility of project aid requests more critically than it had in the past, extended a near-record level of new economic aid in 1966 (see Figure t -.'~ Its largest commitment was to India's Fourth Five Year Plan (1 .April 1966 - 31 March 1971.) . It also extended a large credit to Syria for building the Euphrates Dam, which, together with the contirtct~tg economic and military aid programs in other Arab countries, reaffiraned the USSR's determination to support the "progressive" Arab countries. In 1966 the USSR committed a larger share of its aid undertakings than it had previously to credits that were of a more "commercial" character. Although their terms (5- to 10-year repayment pericyds and 2.5 to 4 percent :interest) still place them in the category of aid, these credits are being used to strengthen the trade orientation of the aid program and also to extend economic aid to countries, such as Brazil, that have been reluctant to accept Soviet project aid. The countries of I~astern Europe reduced their aid undertakings in 1966, although Hungary extended its largest credit since the irtcep- * In this report the term extension refers to a commitment to provide goods and services, either as a grant or on deferred payment terms. Assistance is considered to hat~c~ been extended when accords are initiated and constitute a formal declaration of intent. Thae term obligation refers to a credit or grant when it has been allocated to specific end uses. The term drawings refers to the delivery of goods or the use of services. Approved For Release 2006/02/07 :CIA-RDP92B01090R000400010022-9 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 :CIA-RDP92B01090R000400010022-9 .~,ECRET ion of the aid program ($52 million to India) . The Chinese con- i.: irrrred to commit new economic aid to countries that either are to the ?~uth of its border or in which they believe there are regimes with e xploitable "revolutionary potential" (such as Guinea, Tanzania, and k~'ernen) . I?canomic Credits and Grants "~'he high level of Communist economic aid activity in 1964 and '9ES5 was sustained in 1966 with the extension of almost $1.3 billion {9f n.ew economic assistance to 16 less developed countries. These 4ew commitments increased the level of Communist aid undertakings :?uince the inception of the aid program in 1954 to more than $9 billion. `cond consecutive year, to about $418 million. In part, the decline teas caused by reduced project activity as construction neared com- t~ietion or approached a new stage in countries that are major aid r~_;cipients. The decline also is a result of the small amount of aid ex- ta~nded in 1962 and 1963, large parts of whi.c;h would normally have le~~en used in 1966, and because not enough time had elapsed to allow tice initiation of major projects under the large aid commitments made ii b 1.964 and 1965. Approved For Release 2006/02/07 :CIA-RDP92B01090R000400010022-9 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 :CIA-RDP92B01090R000400010022-9 SECRET CCtMMUNIST ACTIVITX IN LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES OF THE FREE WORLD*, 1954-b6 Eastern Europe ECONOMIC AND MILITARY TECHNICIANS IN LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES Thousand Technicians D Military O Economic l~ l I ~ Military f::7 Technical ? Academic ?Data ore rewsed periodically to include new information and therefore may not be comparable with dpto previously presented. SECRET U Communist China V Eastern Europa l~ usslt Million US Dollars STUDENTS DEPARTING FROM LESS DEVELOPED CQUNTRIE fOR TRAINING IN COMMUNIST COUNTRIEc Approved For Release 2006/02/07 :CIA-RDP92B01090R000400010022-9 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 :CIA-RDP92B01090R000400010022-9 SECRET Repayments of principal and interest due on drawings under the Soviet economic aid program have risen from an estimated $20 million in 1960 to approximately $115 million in 1965 and $150 million in 1966. An estimated $65 million also was due in 1966 on drawuz~s under the East European aid programs. Because Ghana and Somalia were unable to fulfill their debt-servicing obligations, the USSR al- lowed them to defer some of these payments in 1966. The USSR was reported also to have given relief to the United Arab Republic (UAR) in making repayments on its military debt and agreed to re- schedule Indonesia's military debt. Economic Technicians The number of Communist economic technicians employed in less developed countries during 1966 increased by 11 percent over ].985, to more than 22,430. By the end of the year, however, there were re- ductions in the number of technicians present in Indonesia, Ghana, Nepal, the UAR, and Yemen because of political factors or because certain stages of major projects on which they were employed had been completed. Africa continued to employ the largest share ~>f Communist technicians, reflecting the heavy concentration of Chinese in the area as well as the large group of Soviet and East European personnel engaged in ~rctivities not related to specific projects. The concentration of technicians in a few countries continued to charac- terize the technical assistance program. During the year the UAR employed an estimated 2,000 Soviet technicians, of whom 1,000 were engaged in work on the Aswan. High Dam and related facilities. ,!~n- other 1,500 Soviet technicians were in India and 1,340 in Afghanistan. The heaviest concentration of Chinese technicians was in Mali, where about 1,350 were employed. Academic Students and Technical Trainees The number of academic students enrolling for the first time in Communist institutions declined for the fourth consecutive year in 1966, to 1,675, bringing the total number of enrollees since 1956 up to 23,685. Approximately 58 percent of the new students in 1966 were from Africa, with students from Latin America and the Middle East accounting for an additiona119 and 17 percent, respectively. 7'he USSR continued to accommodate the largest number of new students in 1966, about 85 percent of the total, but Communist China is nc~t known to have admitted any new students. At the end of 1966, more Approved For Release 2006/02/07 :CIA-RDP92B01090R000400010022-9 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 :CIA-RDP92B01090R000400010022-9 than 16,700 students were still pursuing academic programs in Commu- nist countries. The number of nationals departing in 1966 from the less developed countries for technical training in Communist countries declined by 31 percent from the previous year, to an estimated 1,205. This b~?ought the total number who have undertaken this training during the past decade to 12,200. Military Credits and Grants Communist countries extended a minimum of $231 million of mili- tsa.ry aid to less developed countries during a9G6, bringing the total of s~ich aid extended since 1955 to $4.9 billion. The largest commitment iii 1966 was a $181 million Soviet credit to Iraq. The USSR also is helieved to have agreed to extend an estimated $25 million in aid to Syria and small. amounts to Cambodia, Mr.>rocco, and Tanzania. It also conducted arms negotiations with Iran. Communist China ex- tended a $4 million credit to Tanzania, and Czechoslovakia agreed to provide an estimated $14 million worth of equipment to the UAR, possibly under long-term credit, and extended a credit of $1 million t~:~ Cyprus. Deliveries of military equipment under earlier agreements iii 1966 increased beyond the high levels of the past few years. Heavy deliveries of equipment continued to flow to the UAR, India, and ralgeria. Iraq began to receive equipment under the 1966 arms agree- iaient with the USSR. Military Technicians and Trainees In 19b6 the number of Communist military technicians in less de- veloped countries declined to 3,435, a i0-percent reduction from the 7.965 level. Most of the drop is accounted for by the reduction in the number of technicians in Indonesia after the attempted coup in 7.965. The number of technicians present iii the UAR, Congo (Brazza- ville ), and Yemen also declined, but these declines were offset to some extent by increases in the number present in most other countries. The largest increases were in Afghanistan and Iraq. 17urir~g 1966, some 1,550 nationals from less developed countries en- rc~lled in military training programs in Communist countries, about S7 percent of the number who departed for similar training in 1965. "i'he total number who have undergone this training since 1955 is Approved For Release 2 - 0908000400010022-9 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 :CIA-RDP92B01090R000400010022-9 SECRET almost 22,300, and at the end of 1966 about 3,630 still were being trained. Trade Total trade turnover between the Communist countries and less de- veloped countries during the first half of 1966 increased by about 22 percent over the corresponding period of 1965. This expansion was accounted for primarily by increased Soviet and East European trade with the less developed countries. In 1965, total Communist trade with these countries increased by 20 percent over 1964 to $4.3 billion. The USSR accounted for the largest part of the increase, rising from $1.4 billion in 1964 to $1.8 billion in 1965. Eastern Europe's trade with the less developed countries rose by 16 percent in 1965 to over $1.7 billion, while Communist China's trade with these countries ~?ose by 23 percent, from $652 million in 1964 to $802 million in 1965. The geographic distribution of Communist trade with the less de- veloped countries in 1.965 followed the general pattern of 1964, ::on- centrating on Asia and the Middle East in general and on India and the UAR in particular., In 1965 the commodity composition of trade between Communist and less developed countries varied only slightly from 1964. Crude materials and food products continued to account for about 85 t~er- cent of Communist imports from less developed areas although the share of food products was somewhat less in 1965 than it had been in 1964. Communist exports of machinery, transport equipment, and manufactured goods continued in 1965 to account for more tharx t0 percent of total Communist exports to less developed countries, but there was a decline iri the importance of machinery and equipment. While the value of such exports to less developed countries rose, their share of total Communist exports to less developed countries declined from a high of 40 percent in 1964 to 36 percent in 1965. Approved For Release 2006/02/07 :CIA-RDP92B01090R000400010022-9 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 :CIA-RDP92B01090R000400010022-9 SECRET I. Communist .Activities in Less Developed Areas, }~y Type of Activity A. INTRODUCTION During 1966 the Communist countries continued to employ foreign aid as an instrument for reducing Western influence and enhancing; their own position in the less developed countries. For Communist China and the USSR, these programs had the additional objective cif countering each other's influence in many of these countries. Paced by large extensions of military and economic aid to Syria anzl large new military aid commitments to Iraq, the Soviet Union can c- tinued its support of the "progressive" Arab countries in the hope tl-r+t it can promote the ascendancy of political forces there which ultimately will align themselves rwith the Soviet Bloc. The Soviet leadership also continued to push for the unification of all "progressive" forces in the area into a common anti-imperialist front and called for the backing of Nasser as the vanguard of these forces. On the Indian subec-ntinent, the Soviet Union not only unclertc~c~lt additional large economic aid commitments in India to maintain i#s influence in that countrv but also extended sizable new credits to Pakistan to arrest that country's pro-Chinese drift. Sub-Saharan. Africa continued to hold a secondary position in Soviet policy in the less developed countries during 1966. The largest Soviet credit to this area-$20 million to Tanzania-was the culmination of negotiations can an offer made early in 1.964. With the ouster of Nkrumah from Ghar;a in February, the USSR lost one of its most active champions in Africa, and its aid activities in (;liana came to a virtual standstill. Although the USSR extended anear-record level of new economic aid in 1966, it continued, as in 1965, to review the feasibility of proje=_~t aid requests more critically than before. In addition, the USSR con$- mitted alarger share of its aid untiertakings in 1966 to credits of a more "commercial" character, although their terms still place them u ~ the category of aid. 'these trade credits generally allow repaymec~t periods of 5 to 10 years for deliveries of equipment to small projects and for non-project-related imports. Thus more than 40 percent ;,f all Soviet credits extended during the year were in the form of trade credits. These trade credits are being used by the USSR to penet~aFe Approved For Release 2006/02/07 :CIA-RDP92B01090R000400010022-9 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 :CIA-RDP92B01090R000400010022-9 SECRET areas that have been reluctant to accept project-type economic aid from the USSR, such as Brazil. Trade credits, as opposed to project ricl, are intended also to strengthen the trade orientation of the aid I]rc:~gram and to consolidate commercial relationships with the less dleveloped countries. "C'he countries of Eastern Europe reduced their aid undertakings in 1966, although Hungary extended its largest credit since the incep- tion of the aid program ($52 million to India) . The Chinese also continued to maintain the pattern of aid extensions ghat has characterized their aid program in recent years. New eco- ~romic aid commitments were undertaken in countries which are either p~c:~ripheral to Communist China (Cambodia and Nepal) or in which the Chinese believe there are regimes with exploitable "revolutionary ,}c~tential" (such as Guinea, Tanzania, and Yemen) . The program ~ontinuecl to be oriented toward roadbuilding and small light indus- trial and. agricultural undertakings that are labor intensive in char-