AID AND TRADE ACTIVITIES OF COMMUNIST COUNTRIES IN LESS DEVELOPED AREAS OF THE FREE WORLD 1 JULY - 31 DECEMBER 1963

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CIA-RDP92B01090R000400010017-5
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February 1, 1964
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REPORT
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A proved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010017-5 SECRET AID AND TRADE jr,urI ITIES OF COQ COUNTRIES INESS DEVELOPED AIR:,. "TE h F FREE WORLD 1 JULY 31 DECEMBER 196:. --IC R1-S16 Feb>ruary 1964 ECONOMIC I N TELLI-GENCE COM -U of ie, UNITED S r 2\TE;3 INTELLIGENCE BOARD Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010017-5 25X1 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010017-5 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010017-5 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010017-5 SECRET AID AND TRADE ACTIVITIES OF COMMUNIST COUNTRIES IN LESS DEVELOPED AREAS OF THE FREE WORLD 1 JULY - 31 DECEMBER 1963 EIC R14-S16 February 1964 ECONOMIC INTELLIGENCE COMMITTEE SECRET Approved For Release 006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92 01090R000400010017-5 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010017-5 ;-E-C-R-E-T FOREWORD The EIC-R14 series provides periodic summaries and analytical in- terpretations of significant developments in the economic and milita.:-y relations of Communist countries with less developed countries of th', Free World. These developments are reported on a current, factual brtsis in the Biweekly Reports in the EIC-WGR-l series. This report, covering the 6 months from 1 July through 31 Decemb:rr 1963, constitutes the sixteenth periodic supplement to EIC-R14, the__ni- tial report on Sino-Soviet Bloc Postwar Economic Activities in Under- developed Areas, 8 August 1956-. SECRET. The present supplement upda`,es the previous semiannual report and includes the more significant devflop- ments during the reporting period. It also relates noteworthy noneco-o- nomic activities, including military aid, to economic operations of the Communist countries in less developed areas. This report was ureparnd by the Department of State and the Central Intelligence Agency. The draft was reviewed and coordinated by a Working Group of the Economi- Intelligence Committee, including representatives of the Department of State; the Defense Intelligence Agency; the Departments of the Army, Navy, and Air Force; the Departments of Commerce and Agriculture; they Agency for International. Development; the Office of the Secretary of Defense; the National Security Agency; and the Central Intelligence Agency. The final report was approved by the Economic Intelligence Committee on 12 February 1964. In this report the term Communist countries refers primarily to l;he following countries that extend aid to less developed areas: the U3E~R, Communist China, and the following countries of Eastern Europe -- Bulgaria, Czechoslovakia, East Germany, Hungary, Poland, and Rumania. For certain limited purposes the term also may include Albania, Cuba. Mongolia, North Korea, and North Vietnam, none of which is norrla.Lly i. donor of aid. The term does not include Yugoslavia. The term less developed countries of the Free World includes the following: (1 all countries of Africa except the Republic of South Africa; (2) all countries in South and Southeast Asia; (3) Ice.a.id, Portugal, and Spain; (4) all countries in Latin America except Cuba; and (5) all countries in. the Middle East, including Cyprus, Grcece, the Syrian Arab Republic, Turkey, and the United Arab Republic. S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010017-5 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010017-5 S-E-C-R-E-T CONTENTS Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . I. Economic Assistance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . A. Credits and Grants . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . B. Technical Assistance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1. Economic Technicians . . . . . . . 2. Academic Students and Technical Trainees . . . II. Bloc Military Assistance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . A. Credits and Grants . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . B. Technical Assistance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . l,) 1. Military Technicians . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2. Military Trainees from Less Developed Countries . . . . . . . . . . ? ? A. Value . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . B. Direction . . ? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . i ' C. Commodity Composition . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .}j A. Africa . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . i' B. Asia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4( C. Latin America . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . D. Middle East . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . C-E-C-R-R-T Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010017-5 25X1 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010017-5 Next 1 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010017-5 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010017-5 s-E-C-R-E-T AID AND TRADE ACTIVITIES OF COMMUNIST COUNTRIES IN LESS DEVELOPED AREAS OF THE FREE WORLD Summary* Economic activities of the Communist countries in the less developed countries of the Free World during the last half of 1963 expanded over the previous 6-month period in most sectors. Soviet and Chinese aid commitments increased and drawings on previously extended lines of credit accelerated, there was a continuing high level of activity in military assistance, and the scale of training programs and the numbei of Communist technicians in less developed countries continued to in- crease. The assistance extended to Algeria, the Somali Republic, and Iran constituted the most significant new aid activity during the period. Both the USSR and Communist China seized opportunities for extending new assistance to Algeria and the Somali Republic. Also, by extendin{ a development credit to Iran for a joint multipurpose project, which will provide both countries with power and irrigation, the USSR agreed to an aid undertaking that will yield direct benefits to its own economy. Although the levels of new economic assistance extended Ln the laL.t half of 1963 by Communist countries were still below earlier peak periods, such aid increased markedly over recent 6-month periods. Credits and grants extended to the less developed countries by the Communist countries during the last half of 1963 totaled about x;215 million, bringing aggregate economic aid extended for 1963 to $1;15 million -- slightly less than the amount provided in 1962 and less then one-third-of the peak year extensions in 1961. The Eastern European countries were virtually inactive during the period. The USSR and Com- munist China accounted for almost all the new assistance provided. For both of these countries, the new aid extended represented substan- tial increases over 6-month totals recorded in the previous year and a half. Soviet economic aid extensions totaled $14+2 million, and Chinese Communist extensions totaled $72 million. This brought aggre- gate extensions by Communist China in 1963 up to $88 million -- its largest annual aid commitment (with the exception of 1961) since the inception of the Chinese Communist aid program in 1956. Although the extension of new assistance rerlectec. the continued willingness of the USSR and Communist China to grasp new aid opportu nities, it also pointed up the competition between the USSR and Com- munist China in Africa. This rivalry has been apparent for several years in the political sphere but now appears to have become more in- tense in the economic field. The timing of credits extended to Algeria * See the chart, Figure 1, following p. 3. Approved For Release 2009/ /S7R d1AT-RDP92B01090R000400010017-5 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010017-5 by the USSR and the Chinese Communists, as well as the terms offered by the latter, was indicative of the competitive nature of their under- taki.ing:,. Similarly, in the Somali Republic, the extension of economic assistance by the Chinese Communists was followed by military aid from the USSR. J'h(^ TJSSR's first development loan to Iran has political overtones, since Iran is Western-oriented and committed to a military alliance with the United States. The loan also is of economic importance to the domestic economy of the USSR. The multipurpose development of facilities along the Aras River, which forms a natural boundary between the Iranian province of Azerbaijan and the USSR, will provide both countries with power and irrigation. The rate of drawings on Communist economic credits continued to increase. Approximately $260 million of economic aid was expended during the second half of 1963, bringing total aid disbursements for the year to approximately $465 million, or almost 25 percent above the level of 1962. Total cumulated drawings reached $1.6 billion by the end of 1963, or one-third of the total of $4.9 billion in Communist economic aid thus far extended. New military aid agreements worth at least $90 million were con- cluded during the last 6 months of 1963, bringing known extensions of military assistance during 1963 to approximately $290 million. Never- theless, new extensions of military assistance were still below the years of peak extensions in 1960 and 1961. Soviet military assistance to the Somali Republic and Algeria comprised over half of the total extended during the second half of 1963, with the remainder going to India. There is evidence, however, to indicate that additional agree- merits may have been signed with other countries. teiveries of Soviet military aid included MIG-21's to India, Syria, and the United Arab Republic (UAR); Komar-class guided missile patrol boats to Indonesia, Syria, and the UAR; and surface-to-air missiles (SAM's) to Indonesia and the UAR. Other items of military hardware also were delivered to Algeria to support its border conflict with Morocco and to Yemen to fulfill earlier commitments. Technical assistance and academic training programs, the most dynamic components of the Communist countries' efforts in many of the less developed countries in recent years, continued to increase. Dur- ing the 6-month period under review the number of economic technicians from Communist countries employed in the less developed areas rose to about 11,940, an increase of about 6 percent over the previous 6-month period. In spite of the adverse publicity arising out of student pro- tests in the USSR and Eastern Europe during 1963, the number of students enrolling in the academic institutions of Communist countries continued to increase. Almost 2,400 students arrived in Communist countries during the period, 50 percent of whom came from countries in Africa. Approved For Release 200664 g2DP92B01090R000400010017-5 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010017-5 S-E-C-R-E-T During the first half of 1963, foreign trade turnover between Com- munist countries and less developed countries of the Free World con- tinued to show the moderate expansion noted in 1962. The value c:' this trade during the period January-June 1963 amounted to more than Z:L.2 billion, or 13 percent above the corresponding period of 1962. Asia continued to be the Communist countries' most important trading; a:'ea, followed in importance by the Middle East. Asia's trade with Communist countries in the first 6 months of L963 amounted to $494 million, whereas that of the Middle East was $395 million. Trade with Latin America remained relatively stable at about $14o'million, while Com- munist trade with Africa increased about 36 percent. The year 19o2 brought little variation from former patterns in the commodity compose- tion of this trade. The Communist countries continued to represent primarily a market for crude materials and foodstuffs while supplying manufactured goods and machinery. Although the exports of Communist countries rose more than their imports during the 6 -month perio under- review, the Communist area still emerged as a net importer, refLectinww primarily the deficit position of the USSR that has been evident sine' 1955. S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010017-5 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010017-5 SECRET ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES OF COMMUNIST COUNTRIES IN LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES OF THE FREE WORLD Selected Years, 1954 - 63 COMMUNIST ECONOMIC ASSISTANCE TO LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES 1954-63 COMMUNIST ECONOMIC AND MILITARY TECHNICIANS IN LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES 1955-63 COMMUNIST MILITARY ASSISTANCE TO LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES, E955-61- STUDENTS FROM LESS DEVELOPED COUNTI E= TRAINED IN COMMUNIST COUNTRIES 1956 A *Since Communist milit,;ry as, u:. ce .r u ? mp z :. cannot be distributed by y=ar .nnnaa( ore only estimates. SE R T 39185 2-54 25X1 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010017-5 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010017-5 I. Economic Assistance A. Credits and Grants Economic credits and grants extended by Communist countries tc less developed areas during the second half of 1963 totaled $21`. mil- lion (see Table 1*) and brought total extensions in 1963 to $31',rnil- lion (see Figure 2**). Witt these new extensions the cumulative tots: from the inception of the program in 1954 to the end of 1963 roe to $4.9 billion. Although new commitments in the second half of 1143 were more than double those undertaken in the first half, the total for 1963 was slightly below the low level attained in 1962 and __c?s than one-third of the commitments undertaken in the peak year or' 1961 During the second half of 1903 the USSR accounted for approxi- mately 70 percent of total extensions by the Communist countrie:;. This is consistent with its contribution to the total program from 1954 to 1963, during which period the USSR extended $3.4 billion of the $4.9 billion committed by the Communist countries. The $14;' mil- lion of new Soviet aid extended in the last 6 months of 1963 repre- sented a significant increase above Soviet extensions of $63 miJ_lion, $14 million, and $65 million in the two halves of 1962 and the `Jrst half of 1963, respectively. In spite of the relatively large increase in Soviet extension.;, only three countries -- A.f?hcanistan, Algeria, and Iran -- were ecipi=ants of such aid, the lowest number to receive new Soviet aid during any 6-month period since 19514. Algeria and Iran represented significant opportunities seized by the USSR. Apparently convinced that. the Ben Bella regime was firmly entrenched and committed to a policy of sub- stantially expanding the public sector and anticipating an aid o.>!'f'er ry Communist China, the USSR overcame its year-long hesitancy to provide aid to Algeria and extended a credit of $100 million for that country's development program. In Iran the USSR succeeded in expanding its political and economic relations with a country allied with the United States in an anti-Communist military alliance. Moreover, b;:nefits will accrue to the domestic economy of the USSR through the extension of aid to Iran. In addition to an increase in new extensions, the `JSSR made informal representations to both India and the UAR to indicate that it would consider the extension of additional aid for their next 5-year plans, which are being formulated at present. For the first time since the inception of the Communist aid programs, the contribution of the Eastern European countries was in- significant. East Germany extended a minor credit to a private _irm P. 6, below. Following p. 6. For a summary of speciric credits and grants by Communist coun- tries to less developed countries, see Tables 7 through 11, pp. 5 through 90, below. Approved For Release 2006!0V'.1'C1 -DP92B01090R000400010017-5 25X1 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010017-5 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010017-5 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92B01090R000400010017-5 SECRET ECONOMIC CREDITS AND GRANTS EXTENDED BY COMMUNIST COUNTRIES TO LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES OF THE FREE WORLD EXTENSIONS AND DRAWINGS, BY YEAR 1954 - 63 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92B01090R000400010017-5 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010017-5 S-E-G-R-E-T As in previous years, the rate of drawings on Communist crett.s previously extended continued to accelerate. Approximately $26r mil- lion was expended during the period, bringing total expenditures for the year to $465 million, an increase of almost 25 percent over the previous year. The major drawings occurred in the UAR, Afghanistan, and India, where pressure is being exerted to complete projects under the recipients' Five Year Plans. The pace of implementation also was stepped up in Ceylon, Burma, and the Somali Republic. Political in- stability and a lack of adequate material and human resources continued to impede the implementation of programs in most of the other countries of Africa and Asia. By the end of 1963, $1.6 billion of the $4.q bil- lion program had been expended. B. Technical Assistance 1. Economic Technicians The number of economic technicians from Communist countries employed in less developed areas during the last half of 1963 was about 11,9+0, an increase of about 6 percent above the previous 6-month period (see Table 12*). The small increase reflects a levelinz off or requirements for technicians on aid projects in countries in the MiddL.e East and Africa and the presence of larger numbers of technician.: in Indonesia, Mali, the UAR, and Yemen. The sizable increase in the UAF' was a result of the quickening of the pace of activities at the lswar_ Dam. In Yemen the increase was largely in nonproject activities- Nearly 70 percent of all economic technicians provided by Communist governments were employed in six countries -- Afghanistan, Guinea, India, Iraq, the UAR, and Yemen. The largest group, about 1,700, was employed at the Aswan Dam. In Yemen, about 400 Soviet con- struction workers completed an airfield near San'a and departed by th, end of the year. Nearly 1,200 technicians still were in Iraq d:u'ing the last 6 months of 1963, although many had departed by the end of the year. Activities under technical assistance agreements not con- nected with economic aid credits continued to increase and accounted for about 20 percent of the economic technicians in less developed countries. These technicians included about 830 medical personnel, more than half of them in Algeria. In addition, 1,560 were engaged in agricultural, educational, economic planning, urban development, and managerial activities. Technical assistance activity in agriculture increased during the period as Soviet and Eastern European technicians were en- gaged in surveys of agricultural requirements and water utilization schemes, in water drilling, and in training native personnel to coeral,e * P. 91, below. Approved For Release 200 UE%&7 &ATRDP92BO109OR000400010017-5 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010017-5 S-E-C-R-E-T and manage state farms. India, presumably satisfied with the Soviet- developed state farm at Suratgarh, announced plans to expand the farm with Soviet assistance. In other activity, organizations from the Communist area were engaged in town planning and urban development activities in a number of countries, particularly Africa. Both. Kenya and Tanganyika accepted assistance for the establishing of news distribution centers in those countries and the training of personnel in the USSR and Czechoslovakia. 2. Academic Students and Technical Trainees The number of nationals from less developed countries enrolled in academic programs in Communist countries continued to increase in spite of indications of increased student dissatisfaction (see Table 14*). By the end of the year, there were 12,800 students studying; in Communist countries; the USSR was host to approximately two-thirds of the total. The largest single group from any one country, about 2,000, continued to be the students from Iraq, in spite of an Iraqi decree of June 1963 calling for the return of all Iraqi citizens studying in academic institutions in Communist countries. During the period, about 810 technical trainees from less developed countries arrived in Communist countries to undertake technical training pro- grams (see Table 13**). During the last 6 months of 1963 an estimated total of 1.,580 academic students departed for training at institutions in Com- munist countries, bringing to more than 14,500 the number who have undertaken academic programs in those countries. The number of new enrollees in academic institutions, however, falls far short of the enrollment level of the previous 3 years. The decline in the rate of increase of new enrollees may be attributable, in part, to increasing efforts by some governments to control the number and type of individuals studying abroad. New offers of scholarships reportedly have been re- jected in some cases. The Sofia incident in February 1963 and the subsequent and more frequent allegations of racial discrimination also may tiave discouraged some governments and students from accepting scholarships to study in Communist countries. In spite of the racial problems, however, the largest increment of the increase in student enrollment, about 55 percent, again was represented by students from Africa. Although the 12,800 students from less developed countries in all academic training programs in Communist countries is as yet rather modest compared with the 43,500 students in similar programs in the United States alone, the number is substantial in absolute terms, and the outlook for the future, in spite of periodic student incidents, P. ,i. Both the USSR and Communist China seized opportunities for extend.T.rig new assistance to Algeria and the Somali Republic. Also, by extending a development credit to Iran for a joint multipurpose project, which will provide both countries with power and irrigation, the USSR agreed to an aid undertaking that will yield direct benefits to its own ;rr--ononr-. Although the levels of new economic assistance extended in the Last half of 1963 by Communist countries were still below earlier peak periods, such aid increased. markedly over recent 6-month periods. Credits and grants extended, to the less developed countries by the Communist countries during the last half of 1963 totaled about $2l- million, bringing aggregate economic aid extended for 1963 to $315 million -- slightly less than the amount provided in 1962 and less than one-third of the peak year extensions in 1961. The Eastern European countries were virtually inactive during the period. The USSR and "om- munist China accounted for almost all the new assistance provided. For both of these countries, the new aid extended represented substan- tial increases over 6-month totals recorded in the previous year and. a half. Soviet economic aid extensions totaled $14+2 million, and Chinese Communist extensions totaled $72 million. This brought aggre- gate extensions by Communist China in 1963 up to $88 million -- its largest annual aid commitment (with the exception of 1961) since ti,.: inception of the Chinese Communist aid program in 1956. Although the extension of new assistance reflected the continuoj willingness of the USSR and Communist China to grasp new aid oppor>'a- nities, it also pointed up the competition between the USSR and Corn-- munist China in Africa. This riva~ry has been apparent for severer' years in the political sphere but now appears to have become more _r- tense in the economic field. The timing of credits extended to Algeria. * See the chart, Figure 1, following p. 3. Approved For Release 2b&F0210f-:TCIA-RDP92B01090R000400010017-5 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010017-5 by the USSR and the Chinese Communists, as well as the terms offered by the latter, was indicative of the competitive nature of their under- takings. Similarly, in the Somali Republic, the extension of economic assistance by the Chinese Communists was followed by military aid from the USSR. h e USSR's first development loan to Iran has political overtones, since Iran is Western-oriented and committed to a military alliance with the United States. The loan also is of economic importance to the domestic economy of the USSR. The multipurpose development of facilities alor the Ares River, which forms a natural boundary between the Iranian province of Azerbaijan and the USSR, will provide both countries with power and irrigation. The rate of drawings on Communist economic credits continued to increase. Approximately $260 million of economic aid was expended during the second half of 1963, bringing total aid disbursements for the year to approximately $465 million, or almost 25 percent above the level of 1962_. Total cumulated drawings reached $1.6 billion by the end of 1963, or one-third of the total of $4.9 billion in Communist economic aid thus far extended. New military aid agreements worth at least $90 million were con- cluded during the last 6 months of 1963, bringing known extensions of military assistance during 1963 to approximately $290 million. Never- theless, new extensions of military assistance were still below the years of peak extensions in 1960 and 1961. Soviet military assistance to the Somali Republic and Algeria comprised over half of the total extended during the second half of 1963, with the remainder going to India. There is evidence, however, to indicate that additional agree- menLs may have been signed with other countries. Deliveries of Soviet military aid included MIG-21's to India, Syria, and the United Arab Republic (UAR); Komar-class guided missile patrol boats to Indonesia, Syria, and the UAR; and surface-to-air missiles (SAM's) to Indonesia and the UAR. Other items of military hardware also were delivered to Algeria to support its border conflict with Morocco and to Yemen to fulfill earlier commitments. ':Technical assistance and academic training programs, the most dynamic components of the Communist countries' efforts in many of the less developed countries in recent years, continued to increase. Dur- ing the 6-month period under review the number of economic technicians from Communist countries employed in the less developed areas rose to about 11,940, an increase of about 6 percent. over the previous 6-month period. In spite of the adverse publicity arising out of student pro- tests in the USSR and Eastern Europe during 1963, the number of students enrolling in the academic institutions of Communist countries continued to increase. Almost 2,400 students arrived in Communist countries during the period, 50 percent of whom came from countries in Africa. Approved For Release 2006/0292B01090R000400010017-5 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010017-5 S-1i-C-R-E-T During the first half of 1963, foreign trade turnover between Com- munist countries and less developed countries of the Free World con- tinued to show the moderate expansion noted in 1962. The value of this trade during the period January-June 1963 amounted to more than $1.2 billion, or 13 percent above the corresponding period of 1962. Asia continued to be the Communist countries' most important trading area, followed in importance by the Middle East. Asia's trade with Communist countries in the first 6 months of 1963 amounted to $494 million, whereas that of the Middle East was $395 million. Trade with Latin America remained relatively stable at about $140 million, while Com- munist trade with Africa increased about 36 percent. The year 1.962 brought little variation from former patterns in the commodity composi- tion of this trade. The Communist countries continued to represent primarily a market for crude materials and foodstuffs while supplying manufactured goods and machinery. Although the exports of Communist countries rose more than their imports during the 6-month period under review, the Communist area still emerged as a net importer, reflecting primarily the deficit position of the USSR that has been evident since 1955. S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010017-5 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010017-5 SECRET ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES OF COMMUNIST COUNTRIES IN LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES OF THE FREE WORLD Selected Years, 1954 - 63 COMMUNIST ECONOMIC ASSISTANCE TO LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES 1954-63 COMMUNIST ECONOMIC AND MILITARY TECHNICIANS IN LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES 1955-63 *Since Commune n0itary asistna. e f -r srrnf nf connot be distributed by tear, nom;. l fivo* are only estimates. SECRET COMMUNIST MILITARY ASSISTANCE TO LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES, 19i5-63" STUDENTS FROM LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES TRAINED IN COMMUNIST COUNTRIES, 1156-63 Thousand Students F'T Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010017-5 25X1 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010017-5 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010017-5 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92B01090R000400010017-5 SECRET AID A ID TRADE ACTIVITIES OF C .A UNIST COUNTRIES IN LE`S DEVELOPED AREAS )1 THE FREE WORLD JULY - 3 DECEMBER 25X1 Approved For Release 200 3109107 - CIA-RD 92B01090R000400010017-5 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92B01090R000400010017-5 SECRET AID AND TRADE ACTIVITIES OF COMMUNIST COUNTRIES IN LESS DEVELOPED AREAS OF THE FREE WORLD 1 JULY-31 DECEMBER 1963 March 1964 SECRET Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92B01090R000400010017-5 Approved For Release 2006/0 /! 7_CPQJP92B01090R000400010017-5 This series provides periodic summaries and analytical interpreta- tions of significant developments in the economic and military rel.tiore of Communist countries with less developed countries of the Free World. These developments are reported on a current, factual basis in biieekly reports under the same title. This report, covering the 6 months from 1 July through 31 Deceber 1963, constitutes the sixteenth periodic supplement to a report on Sino-Soviet Bloc Postwar Economic Activities in Underdeveloped Areas, 8 August 1956, SECRET. The present supplement updates the previous semiannual report and includes the more significant developments during the reporting period. It also relates noteworthy noneconomic activi- ties, including military aid, to economic operations of the CoTnmuni t countries in less developed areas. In this report the term Communist countries refers primarily to the following countries that extend aid to less developed areas: the U.3SR, Communist China, and the following countries of Eastern Europe -- Bulgaria, Czechoslovakia, East Germany, Hungary, Poland, and qumanit. For certain limited purposes the term also may include Albania, Cuba, Mongolia, North Korea, and North Vietnam, none of which is no,T-mally a donor Of aid. The term does not include Yugoslavia. The term less developed countries of the Free World includes thf, following: (1) all countries of Africa except the Republic o Sout}, Africa; (2) all countries in South and Southeast Asia; (3) Iceland, Portugal, and Spain; (1+) all countries in Latin America except Cuba and (5) all countries in the Middle East, including Cyprus, Greece, the Syrian Arab Republic, Turkey, and the United Arab Republic. Approved For Release 200610 0/4 i RCIATRDP92B01090R000400010017-5 Approved For Release 2006/02/687 ''t 1 -P 92B01090R000400010017-5 CONTENTS Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . I. Economic Assistance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . A. Credits and Grants . . . . . . . . . . . . B. Technical Assistance . . . . . ? ? ? ? ? . 1. Economic Technicians . . . . . 2. Academic Students and Technical Trainees . . . II. Bloc Military Assistance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . i A. Credits and Grants . . . . . . ? B. Technical Assistance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 1. Military Technicians . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 2. Military Trainees from Less Developed Countries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . lI A. Value . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ~_ B. Direction . . . . . . ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? . l C. Commodity Composition . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13- A. Africa . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . B. Asia . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . C. Latin America . . . . . . . . . . . . . . D. Middle East . . . . . . . . . . . . ? ? ? ? . Appendix Statistical Appendix . . . . ? ? ? S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010017-5 25X1 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010017-5 Next 1 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010017-5 Approved For Release 2006/0g/ 7-~C ALRgP92BO1090R000400010017-5 AID AND TRADE ACTIVITIES OF COMMUNIST COUNTRIES IN LESS DEVELOPED AREAS OF THE FREE WORLD Summary* Economic activities of the Communist countries in the less developdd countries of the Free World during the last half of 1963 expanded river the previous 6-month period in most sectors. Soviet and Chinese aid commitments increased and drawings on previously extended lines of credit accelerated, there was a continuing high level of activity ~n military assistance, and the scale of training programs and the nugber of Communist technicians in less developed countries continued to in- crease. The assistance extended to Algeria, the Somali Republic, and Iran constituted the most significant new aid activity during the period. Both the USSR and Communist China seized opportunities for extending new assistance to Algeria and the Somali Republic. Also, by e:.-,tending a development credit to Iran for a joint multipurpose project, which will provide both countries with power and irrigation, the USSR agreed to an aid undertaking that will yield direct benefits to its :)wn econom Although the levels of new economic assistance extended in the Last half of 1963 by Communist countries were still below earlier peak periods, such aid increased markedly over recent 6-month periods. Credits and grants extended to the less developed countries by the Communist countries during the last half of 1963 totaled about $210 million, bringing aggregate economic aid extended for 1963 to about $310 million -- slightly less than the amount provided in 1962 and less than one-third of the peak year extensions in 1961. The Easterrn European countries were virtually inactive during the period. The USSR and Communist China accounted for almost all the new assistance provided. For both of these countries, the new aid extended repre- sented substantial increases over 6-month totals recorded in the pre- vious year and a half. Soviet economic aid extensions totaled $139 million, and Chinese Communist extensions totaled $72 million. This brought aggregate extensions by Communist China in 1963 up to $88 million -- its largest annual aid commitment (with the exception of 1961) since the inception of the Chinese Communist aid program in 1956. Although the extension of new assistance reflected the continued willingness of the USSR and Communist China to grasp new aid opportu- nities, it also pointed up the competition between the USSR and Com- munist China in Africa. This rivalry has been apparent for several years in the political sphere but now appears to have become more in- tense in the economic field. The timing of credits extended to Algeria * See the chart, Figure 1, following p. 3. Approved For Release 20062/ RCAA'RDP92B01090R000400010017-5 Approved For Release 20Qfi/P26p7R: l~-RDP92B01090R000400010017-5 by the USSR and the Chinese Communists, as well as the terms offered by the latter, was indicative of the competitive nature of their under- takings. Similarly, in the Somali Republic, the extension of economic assistance by the Chinese Communists was followed by military aid from the USSR. The C,OSR's first development loan to Iran has political overtones, since Iran is Western-oriented and committed to a military alliance with the United States. The loan also is of economic importance to the domestic economy of the USSR. The multipurpose development of facilities along the Aras River, which forms a natural boundary between the Iranian province of Azerbaijan and the USSR, will provide both countries with power and irrigation. Th- rate of :drawings on Communist economic: credits continued to increase. Approximately $2o0 million of economic aid was expended during, the second half of 1963, bringing total aid disbursements for the year to approximately $', L65 million, or almost 25 percent above the level ,f 1962. Total. cumulated drawings reached $1.6 billion by the end of 1953, or one-third of the total of $4.9 billion in Communist economic aid thus far extended. Neu ailitary aid agreements concluded with Algeria, India, and the Somali Republic during the !ast 6 months of 1963 brought the minimum total of` Communist military aid to less developed countries since 1955 to $3.d billion. D.. Liveries of Soviet military aid included. MIG-21's to India, Syria, and the United Arab Republic (UAR); Komar-class guided missile patrol. boats.to Syria and the UAR; and surface-to-air missiles (SAM's) to the UAh. Other items of military hardware also were delivered to Algeraa to support its border conflict with Morocco. Techni.cal assistance and academic training programs, the most dynamic components of the Communist countries" efforts in. many of the less developed countries in recent years, continued to increase. Dur- ing the 6-month period under review the number of economic technicians from Communist countries employed in -the less developed areas rose to about 11..,940, an increase of about 6 percent over the previous 6-month period. In spite of the adverse publicity arising out of student pro- tests in the USSR and Eastern Europe during 1963, the number of students enrolling in the academic institutions of Communist countries continued to increase. Almost 2,400 students arrived in Communist countries dur- ing the period, 50 percent of whom carne from countries in Africa. Approved For Release 2006/O2 TiCIA-RDP92B01090R000400010017-5 Approved For Release 2006/0g/!I7_CgQJP92B01090R000400010017-5 During the first half of 1963, foreign trade turnover between (tom- munist countries and less developed countries of the Free World car.- tinued to show the moderate expansion noted in 1962. The value of this trade during the period January-June 1963 amounted to more than $1.2 billion, or 13 percent above the corresponding period of 1962. Asia continued to be the Communist countries' most important trading area, followed in importance by the Middle East. Asia's trade with Communist countries in the first 6 months of 1963 amounted to $494 million, whereas that of the Middle East was $395 million. Trade with Latir; America remained relatively stable at about $140 million, whit- Com- munist trade with Africa increased about 36 percent. The year 196' brought little variation from former patterns in the commodity composi- tion of this trade. The Communist countries continued to represent primarily a market for crude materials and foodstuffs while supplying manufactured goods and machinery. Although the exports of Communist countries rose more than their imports during the 6-month peri)d unier review, the Communist area still emerged as a net importer, ret`lecting primarily the deficit position of the USSR that has been evident since 1955? Approved For Release 20066e2/O7-i?J AgRDP92B01090R000400010017-5 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010017-5 COMMUNIST MILITARY ASSISTANCE TO LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES, 1955-63 STUDENTS FROM LESS DEVELOPED COUNTR ES TRAINED IN COMMUNIST COUNTRIES, 1956 63 `.Since Communist mfiitary assisttruc,,ion of the Soviet-financed petroleum refinery at Assab reportedly was abut to start, following renegotiation of an earlier agreement. A Soviet- financed technical school. at Baherdar-Giyorgis opened during the per Lod, and work progressed on a Czechoslovak shoe factory near Addis Ababa. Tanganyika, which already has trade agreements with several Communist countries, signed its first with the USSR in August. Tang~.n- yika will exchange traditional agricultural produce for agricultural and roadbuilding machinery. The Tanganyikan Minister for Commerce a-id Industry, George Kahama, visited the USSR, Czechoslovakia, and 'olani to seek economic and technical assistance and to discuss trade inatte,s. Under an agreement of December 1963, Poland and Tanganyika will ,joinoly construct, operate, and own a sugar factory and plantation in Tanganyika. A Polish organization will retain 40 percent of the ownership of the enterprise for 12 years. The Poles also discussed entrance into the Tanganyikan fishing and fish-canning, glass, and small agricultural tools industries. Czechoslovakia is to help Tanganyika establish a leews agency. The trade of Sudan with Communist countries increased substae- tially during 1963, largely as a result of increased imports of Sudanese Approved For Release 20069e2! 7-RE gRDP92B01090R000400010017-5 Approved For Release 2006/Q2 7 : I - DP92B01090R000400010017-5 cotton, primarily by the USSR, Communist China, and Rumania. As of November 1963, Communist purchases of Sudanese cotton were more than double those of the previous year and accounted for about one-third of total Sudanese exports of cotton. In December 1963 the'Sudanese press reported that the USSR had replaced the UK as the largest single buyer of Sudanese cotton. Libya, Bulgaria has undertaken the first project to be built by a Communist country -- construction of part of a large sewerage system in Tripoli. Progress on the implementation of Soviet and Eastern European credits to Tunisia continued to be slow. A civil air agree- rnent, signed in October, provides for a weekly Bulgarian flight on the route Soria-Rome-Tunis-Algiers. An inaugural. flight took place on 1l October. Mali signed an agreement with North Korea in June, under which the latter agreed to underake the rebuilding, of a rice mill and the ~cons;r.uction of a porcelain factory. Work on. the latter project re- portedl,y began early in September. No new credits were announced during the pper-iod, and the Communist countries gave no indication that they will provide budgetary support to meet the crisis caused by the loss of 1F'renc?h hard currency support and the creation. of the Malian franc. k:iovie-t geologists continued their explorations and, according to one report. discovered promising evidence of gold. near the Guinean border. The delivery of basic construction materials permitted work to begin on tiro worts stadium project. cainea reportedly received a second commitment of foreign xch~:,ne from Communist China amounting to $4.2 million, which is 0ciir>ved to constitute a further obligation of the September 1960 ored-ib. Progress was made on the cigarette factory that was being rnst.rr3c},ed with Chinese assistance; it was expected to be put into orperatlon in 1x64. Guinean news media and officials increasingly acknowledged Chinese Communist assistance (as well as Free World aid) but continued to ignore or to criticize obliquely Soviet assistance. Major Soviet construction rarojects in Conakry were stalled for 7 months i'or? a. Lack of local workers, but after protracted discussions an agree- nrerrt was reached, and work was resumed in September. Guinea continued to be reluctant to permit its Soviet-built airport facilities to be used by Aeroflot for onward flights to Cuba and presented increasingly dising(z.enuous excuses: in December, Aeroflot was informed that landing rights still could not be granted until the USSR agreed to guarantee the runway for 3U years. In September, Poland and Guinea dissolved their roartnership in the joint Guinean-Polish fishing enterprise, although a number of Polish advisers have been retained, and some of the Polish boats were not returned. Ghana and the Communist countries continued to seek to surmount the various obstacles to implementation of credits. The lack of financ- ing or local costs remained a prime deterrent. Poland agreed to obli- gate $%-t.4 million from its April 1961 credit to cover local costs of a Approved For Release 2006/Q207C:P1A-JRDP92B01090R000400010017-5 Approved For Release 2006/0 /p7d q DP92B01090R000400010017-5 civil engineering works at its sugar refinery near Akuse. Au agreement signed between the USSR and Ghana in July whereby the USSR would provide goods, under the November 1961 credit, to generate local currency for its projects ran into various difficulties, but it appeared likely that in time the difficulties could be ironed out. Another approacu to the problem was illustrated by agreements that the Ghanaian Government signed with a French firm to finance certain local construction costs of some Czechoslovak and Hungarian projects. The USSR, under consider- able pressure from Ghana, accepted the return of four I1-18 transports and one An-12 transport purchased for Ghana Airways under a 1`)40 Soviet credit. Ghana's complaints about its trade and payments arrangements with Communist countries, which have in the past resulted in Ghana deinr a substantial creditor on trade accounts, reportedly resulted in an agreement "in principle"' with all Communist trading partners i-" r a periodic balancing of trade accounts, with settlement to be in con- vertible currency. Only one agreement -- with Bulgaria -- was signed, however, and it merely provided that a favorable balance could be used to repay developmental credits extended by Bulgaria. Poland offered Nigeria a $42 million credit in June, but no hint more has been heard about the status of the offer. Nevertheless, two Poles have conducted feasibility studies on the erection of factories in northern Nigeria. In spite of a political. climate that seemed in many A_-,an c )un- tries to offer increased opportunities, the Communist countries undi}r- took few new activities in the aid field during the last half of 19?3. The presence of the Communist countries generally was maintail>d in the area, largely through the continued implementation of pre: ous grants and credits. Several new projects were initiated or agreed rtpon under existing extensions, but new credits were at a low level. Si,r- nificant developments included (1) Cambodia's renunciation of ITS all, with a possibility of greater dependence on Communist China; (2) near trade agreements between India and several Communist countries call ng for expanded and diversified trade; (3) Pakistan's movement toward-t limited increase in economic relations with the Communist countries: and (4) Indonesia's search for material support for its confrontation with Malaysia, with little result. In Indonesia, Sukarno turned his attention in the latter ha:'.f of 1963 to the confrontation with Malaysia and at the same time seemed to shift his weight back to the foot that he keeps in the Communist camp. The severance of 'trade and communications between Indonesia and. Malaysia in September dealt a heavy blow to the Indonesian economy and dimmed the possibility of carrying out the economic stabilization p^'o- gram. Approved For Release 2006}29 -RDP92B01090R000400010017-5 Approved For Release 2000/F7 ~CpA,1RDP92B01090R000400010017-5 The USSR, along with Czechoslovakia, Bulgaria, and Rumania, has shown interest in production-sharing arrangements. A production- sharing agreement was signed with Bulgaria in August that extended credits of $500,000 for the construction of . citronella plant. It is assumed that this constitutes an obligation of the May 1961 line of credit that hitherto has not been utilized. Cambodia, while maintaining officially its longstanding policy rf nonalignment during the last half of 1963, showed an increased in- clination to support Communist China on international issues. Cambodia showed sympathy for the Chinese stand in the Sino-Soviet dispute (although without attacking the USSR). The USSR delivered military aid to Cam- bodia in November, and Sihanouk announced in mid-December that he had accep ned an "important gift" of military equipment from Communist China. A con-Lract with the USSR under a previous credit for the construction of the Kamchay Dam was signed during the period. E November, Prince Sihanouk demanded that US aid to Cambodia be te;-m_nated. It appears that France will partly fill the resulting rap, and conditions are favorable for an increase in Chinese Communist influE~nce in Cambodia. French influence will continue because of impor- ;arrt 're:rr_,ch contributions to military and administrative training and French interests in business and finance. The proposed nationalization in lyn4 of foreign trade and banking, however, could, if implemented, serve to aimini.sh French commercial influence., The most significant Communist involvement in Burma during the reporting period was political in nature, with the Chinese backing the +;i:temirt of their Communist (White Flag) proteges to achieve a legali- s ation of their ~osi tion. The failure of the negotiations between the government and the Communist insurgents, their return to their bases in the jungle, and the subsequent arrest of the leadership of the White Flag Communists precluded for a time the possibility of an accommoda- ;-ion between the government of Burma and the Burmese Communists. ^J:thouFt no new credits were reported during the period, modest implementation of the Chinese Communist credit of $84 million continued. :,urveys of all projects under the credit reportedly had been completed by Ai inst. Construction of a bridge across the Salween River at Kunlong in.t.h(e Northern Shan States is scheduled to begin in March 1964, the i'irst oi' numerous projects under the Chinese loan actually to reach the construction stage. Most of the equipment under the $2.6 million soviet credit for agricultural machinery had arrived by the end of 1,963, and progress continued on the construction of the Soviet-assisted dam at, Kyetmauktaung. To the last 6 months of 1963 the USSR and Eastern Europe assursd India of their continued and enhanced participation in future indiarE E=conomic affairs. T'hese assurances were in the form of several new credit offers for the Third and Fourth Plans -- one from Czecho- slovaKia for $`i0 million and one from Hungary for $25 million -- and Approved For Release 2006102ZG I RDP92B01090R000400010017-5 Approved For Release 2006/O2tql-C. A BtQP92B01090R000400010017-5 new trade agreements with the USSR, Czechoslovakia, and Hungary that call for greatly expanded and diversified trade over the next yeprs. In the trade sphere, efforts were made to expand the volume and variety of goods traded between India and the Communist countries. Recently concluded long?-term trade agreements with the USSR, Czechc- slovakia, and Hungary provided for increased exchanges, including ex- ports of goods not traditionally exported by India. Recent political developments in Nepal have not been Favorable to the interests of the Communist countries. King Mahendra's domestic political base broadened while the opposition to his regime renainei in disarray. Relations between Nepal and India also improved. Although the political developments in Nepal may have affected the position of the Comrrrun_ist countries in Nepal, it did not affect their aid activities. Communist China continued with construeeti;ion ?f the Katmandu-Kodari (Tibet) road, but the proposed cement fac'ury at Hitaura and the paper mill at Nepalgunj have been abandoned. 'The Chinese aid funds thus released may be channeled to other projects, such as hydroelectric and irrigation facilities and roadbuilding in the Terai.* The three Soviet-financed projects -- the hydroeLectri? plant, sugar mill, and cigarette factory -- now under construction are proceeding satisfactorily. Inasmuch as these projects probably will be completed by the end of 1965, the USSR agreed to investigate t e po.>- sibilities for further economic aid to Nepal, including the constru-,tioa. of a 65-mile road from Janakpur to Simra and the establishmeri, of an agricultural implements factory. There was, however, no announced expansion in the current Soviet aid program. In Ceylon, construction progressed on the Soviet-assisted iron and steel works and the tire and tube factory -- started earl er in the year -- and work was begun on the cold storage plant at Kandy. The proposed flour mill and grain elevator complex was brought a step closer toward implementation with the signing of an agreement that let forth the Soviet contribution to the project. The USSR was to covet foreign exchange costs, estimated at. about $1.4 million. Communist China meanwhile agreed to supply Ceylon with 30,000 tons of rice duxing the last quarter of 1963, the costs to be charged against the unusec portion of the 1958 flood relief credit. Peiping also offered to set up a fountain pen factory and to equip a second textile mill, presumably as part of its $26.3 million grant program. The Chinese under the same program completed delivery of $5 million worth of railroad roiling stock. * Agreement reportedly was reached in January 1964 for the construction of a hydroelectric plant on the Baghmati River, brick-tile and.oottery factories in the Katmandu Valley, the Morang-Janakpur section of the East-West Highway, five warehouses, and a tannery and shoe factrzry at Butwal. Approved For Release 200&9/6l`F6ADP92B01090R000400010017-5 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010017-5 Ceylonese trade relations with Communist countries we:I?e hi lighted by the renewal in October Of the 5-year rubber-for-rise par: with Communist China. The new agreement calls for the exch of 200, 000 tons of rice and, 000 i s of rubber at an estimate-i. valU of $21 million each w r' o l (;Xy. eyl n a so reached agreement with !;he for the purchase of the C v Ton Petroleum Corporation's petroleum quirements for 1964. Pakistan continued to implement a policy of expanding its rf!la- tions with Communist Chins.. The two countries signed an air agreement and a $1.7 million barter agreement. An official visit by Premier rhou? En-tai in February 1964 was announced. Pakistan appeared to be going ahead with plans to open the civil air service to China early ii 1.9#4+ in spite of the fact that Pakistan Tnternational Airlines has been i =enij Japanese permission to fly f Ikcviet and Eastern European aid of,er were numerous, but aid reia ned limited to the Soviet petroleum exp )ra- tion program. Some increase in Com hunist assistance, probably related to heavy industrial deve'_on ent, may be forthcoming to coincide with the initiation of Pakistan's Third ii'ive Year Plan in 1965. Thus it is probable that Pakistan's limited ecenomic ties with the Communist cr: ,n- tries will slowly expand, not so much as a move to weaken a, ba.3ic pr_- Western attitude as to show displeasure with Western military sist- ance to India. In Af hanistan, fbe'Tl!er Prime Minister Daud's departure more the government gave the AiFr pans somewhat more flexibility in the international political arrra. The USSR continued to maintain t.s preponderant position, howver, in the military and economic a;list- ante fields in spite of Afrba,nittan's desire to moderate Soviet in- fluence. The visit of Sov et. "President Rrezhnev to Kabul in Ci, t -,ben was successful but produces no startling results. He brought---, Sov ,t promise to exploit the Kush and indicated Soviet tillirgnes's to construct a pipeline :r to _ Soviet Central Asia. The t,SR would then import about 1.5 -bi1Jion o the 2 billion cubic meters' of eras thet are exile; t.eri tx-) he P t r?*A, annually for the initial o" od of pioitation. Afghanistan's almost exclusive dependence on the USSR for m-i i- tary equipment and training ,onti_nueci during the period. Ernphns-i s wr on the accelerated famili ari 'ation training of Afghan persnulne ot)', in the USSR and in Afghanistan under the military assistance pronrarn Commercial agreements with the USSR appear to cover the repaaee:nent and supply needs of Afghani :,-,an , and there was no indicati oii tFlstt. net agreements are in prospect: Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010017-5 Approved For Release 2006/0RL4 -Cq-A P92B01090R000400010017-5 C. Latin America The economic involvement of Latin America with the Communist countries was relatively unchanged during the latter half of 1963. Domestic political developments and changes in government were not along lines that would materially increase the area's receptivity ?o Communist trade and aid offers. Brazil remains the country most it.- terested in developing East-West trade, but Soviet inability to meet wheat export obligations will depress Soviet-Brazilian trade, at least through 1964. A number of other Latin American countries have indicated a somewhat heightened interest in developing their exports to Communist countries. This interest is based on commercial, rather than political, considerations. Communist China stepped up its commercial activities in Latin America, particularly in Argentina. Meat and grain contracts that Communist China has been negotiating with Argentine interests >ince mid-1963 total approximately $100 million. Mexico sold wheat and e)tto< to Peiping, and Chile reportedly was negotiating a $6 million copper sale. Communist China held a trade exhibition in Mexico. In Brazil, Poland renewed its offer (dormant since November 1962) to finance construction of a $26 million thermal electric powoor- plant in southern Brazil. Czechoslovakia offered to undertake mode-ni- zation of the port of Recife and urged that Brazil utilize a longstand- ing credit of $60 million for powerplant construction. None o? there offers had been accepted by the end of 1963. In December, four Soviet engineers, at the invitation of Brazilian officials, arrived in Brasil to survey the feasibility of constructing a giant hydroelectric powfyr complex at Sete Quedas in the state of Parana. Brazil continued its efforts to expand iron ore exports to Eastern Europe. A Brazilian trade mission visited Rumania in August 1963 to discuss an exchange of iron ore for petroleum products. Brazil's largest iron ore producer plans to increase its exports frrm 1.5 million to 4 million tons annually, with much of the increase evr- marked for Eastern Europe, particularly Bulgaria and Rumania. The USSR offered Uruguay assistance in a project that would expand Uruguay's thermal electric power capacity significantly. Allhou&N the offer yielded some propaganda benefits to the USSR, there was no indication that the Uruguayan Government was seriously considering the offer. During the period, Czechoslovakia offered to purchase $12 m5l- lion worth of Uruguayan meat in exchange for cash. The protracted negotiations between Czechoslovakia and Bolivia for construction of an antimony smelter continued without final agree- ment. Although Bolivian counterproposals made during the first half of 1963 apparently were accepted in principle by Czechoslovak negotiator.. final approval still had not been obtained from Prague. Approved For Release 200E90f/6l`RE UkDP92BO109OR000400010017-5 Approved For Release 2008/QQ/87 ~IA; RDP92B01090R000400010017-5 ;birurierc al activities continued in a number of other Latin American countries. The USSR continued negotiating with Chile for an additional $6 million worth of copper. Poland actively pursued trade with Mexico, Honduras, Chile, Argentina, and Haiti. Czechoslovakia participated in a trade fair in Lima and succeeded in selling 200 buses in Per,.?. in the Middle East, Communist activity was highlighted by the first major Soviet aid agreement with Iran, additional deliveries of military equipment, an over-all decline of aid activities in Iraq, and c-ritirueci implementation of economic aid projects in Syria and the UAR. Atern n- , than a year of gradually improving relations, the t..Tc_,SR cz?n Iran signed an economic aid agreement in July 1963 providing for jci_ut construction of a multipurpose project on the Aras border river, :i1 grain silos in Iran, and fish hatcheries on the Caspian Sea. i i. , o, 1e c, .:ion w .. t1i the river project the USSR extended a credit of 8. n il.ion to Iran to cover the latter's share of the cost of the The credit is to oe repaid in Iranian commodities over a se.rio i of 12 year,-, at 3.6 percent interest. It was reported that the dams ) br. constructed, combined with irrigation canals, will allow an area c,i' aii;most )9.000 acres (half on each side of the frontier) to be brought under cultivation. In addition, power to be generated by three - iwer ] a 12 ions y 4,i 11 :3uapply trice requirements of agriculture and indus- t ry iii ifc thern Iran and A~e.rbaydzhan SSR. tr-ing the period, several of the Eastern European countries L rred .t. ,rc :-tecnt credits to Iran for a variety of economic vei P e it projects. Probably the most sign inficant of these offers a.. C' m~ 11 c; , o+'fer by Czechoslovakia to expand Iran's sugar indust.r,y. Poland and Hungary offered credit., of $15 million and $10 milli,; n, respe;a.,:i.vely, for other industrial projects. None of these r fer:; known to have res ul.ted in agreements. The second half' of 1963 witnessed a continuation of reduced Corrtmu ,i t econuriiic aid activity in Iraq. This curtailment of these economic efforts in Iraq, which began with the Ba'ath coup of 8 Feb- ruary 1 kb , apparently was continued by the iiilitary junta that seized power on L8 November 1963. By the end of the year a project-by- pro je t eview of the entire Communist econor:iic assistance program in Iraq was still in process. Iraqi authorities called in Western experts to provide an assessment of the projects of -Communist countries. The experts' advice confirmed the Iraqi regime's view that many of the projects were poorly designed and constructed. FFy the end of the period, eight projects had been canceled, and efforts had been made to obtain implementation by non-Communist coun- trie,s, through international tender. Among these are the Baghdad steel Approved For Release 2006/9249]C;.P1/j--J DP92B01090R000400010017-5 Approved For Release 2006/02/ eC*AER9P92B01090R000400010017-5 mill and the agricultural machinery plant. Eight additional projects remained under study, and 27 had been completed or were expected t,, be completed. Because of the cancellation of some projects and the dflay in others pending decisions, the number of economic technicians from Communist countries present in Iraq, about 1,200, declined and by 'the end of the period was slightly more than 600. The pace of implementation of construction activities in the UAR continued at a relatively high level. The most important single Soviet aid project, the Aswan Dam, moved rapidly toward completion of the first stage in May 1964. The USSR had 1,700 technicians workirg on the project and plans to maintain that level until completion of the first stage. Expansion of the oil refinery at Suez was completed, and other petroleum projects met no unusual delays. Plans were finalized for Hungary to furnish equipment for a Soviet-financed calcium carbide and ferrosilicon plant at Aswan, on which cons ruction will commence in early 1.964. In Yemen the USSR continued its aid activities and completed the Al Rahiba International Airport and a road connecting the airfield to the nearby town of San'a. Formal airport dedication ceremoriLes s)f 27 September 1963 were accompanied by voluminous and fulsome propag.tnda This project was the largest single one undertaken by the USSR in Yemen and reportedly brought Soviet prestige in that country to an all-tine high. Considerable Soviet military and economic aid, however, has teen provided to Yemen since the USSR decided to support the new regime. The value of such assistance, however, is still unknown. In Syria, Soviet policy was much the same as it has been since the breakup of the UAR in September 1961. In spite of frequent and violent changes in Syrian regimes, the USSR continued to implement 'ts economic and military aid programs in that country without any -~ignsfi- cant policy changes toward Syria. Projects under construction appa?- ently proceeded without incident. The only reported difficulty con- cerned a disagreement over the type of fertilizer factory to be buil'L in Homs by the USSR. The USSR continued to deliver military equipment to Syria. Approved For Release 2006/02/On-C RDP92BO109OR000400010017-5 Approved For Release 2006/02Q ~.:(Ip- DP92B01090R000400010017-5 STATISTICAL APPENDIX Approved For Release 2006 94-X-%-'RDP92B01090R000400010017-5 25X1 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010017-5 Next 21 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2006/02/07 : CIA-RDP92BO109OR000400010017-5